OIL – Secular Horizon vs OPEC+ Game of Interests with “Historic” Deal…

OIL  –  All Time  on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

2019 Last

15.12.2019 –  OIL – No Black Gold Ecstasy after OPEC OPEC+ & Aramco Double Super Impact…

2020 

5.01.2020 –  OIL – IRAN Black Gold Strike…

7.01.2020 –  OIL – Back under September 2019 Top vs IRAN Rising Risk…

13.01.2020 –  OIL – Dynamic Fall on No IRAN War Euphory…

9.03.2020 –  OIL – BLACK ABYSS…

2.04.2020 –  OIL – Black Gold Secular Perspective vs Present China Rescue Strike…

10.04.2020 – OIL – Secular View after Saudi-Russia Dust Down…

with

ATA Following …

DXY

20.01.2019 –  DXY – NO F/X CAPITULATION…

 

Present Master  OIL  Motives

OPEC+  ” Historic ”  Deal done

OPEC+ will cut 9.7 million barrels a day — just below the initial plan of 10 million

vs

Big OIL Era End –  RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk 

&

USD Master F/X  Vector for OIL 

vs

Global Coronavirus Pandemic – still High Risk 

Wuhan Exodus Extreme – Coronavirus Second Wave Risk

with

Global Slowdown or Recession Extreme High Risk

 

FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swan

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

&

FED “Central Printing Projection”

Balance Sheet  Skyrocket Rising

 

Wall Street Factor   for  OIL 

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

OIL - 18

 

First…ATA  from  10.04.2020

” Now dominating

Bull Contraction from 20 USD Zone

with

High Level Volatility 

vs

only Pullback to Broken Lower Edge Wedge Pattern 

EOW in Key Level 23 USD  ( Candle Chart )

No Shot Up & EOW above Key Level 30 USD  ( Line Chart )

with

Yesterday Final Dynamic Fall after First Dynamic Rising 

on

Saudi – Russia Cut Agreement   

 

 

Second…Present  OIL Secular  Situation 

OIL SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN SECULAR ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

All Time Active

Major Oil Pattern 

Secular Falling Wedge 

vs

Secular Rising Trendline 

 

Secular Falling Wedge 

Now

still Active

Broken Lower Edge 

Psychological Key Level 30 USD  ( Line Chart )

vs

Activated

Fighting in Lower Edge Zone

Key Level 23 USD  ( Candlestick Chart )

with earlier

33 USD  2016 Low Zone January 2016  ( Line Chart )

26 USD  2016 Low Zone January 2016  ( Candle Chart )

vs

Secular Rising Trendline – Major Targets 

Key Level  13 USD  ( Line Chart )

Key Level  15 USD  ( Candlestick Chart )

 

ATA OIL Secular Research 

after

March Waterfall  Action 

Monthly Super Extra Large Real Body Bear Candlestick 

Test Lower Psychological Key Level  20 USD Zone 

( March Low 19.27 USD )

Now still dominating

Bull Contraction from 20 USD Zone

with

High Level Volatility 

vs

for Now

only Pullback to Broken Lower Edge Wedge Pattern 

vs

Activated

Fighting in Lower Edge Zone

Key Level 23 USD  ( Candle Chart )

of course still

No Shot Up & Jump above Key Level 30 USD  ( Line Chart )

with

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

Long Term Negative Divergence 

&

Today Next Impulse Up

on

OPEC+  ” Historic ”  Deal 

vs

Big OIL Era End –  RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk 

 

 

OIL Present Battlefield 

13 -15  20   vs  23 -26-30 USD

with

Psychological Key Levels  13-15 – 20 – 25 – 30 USD 

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now  still Special Focus on

13 -15  20   vs  23 -26-30 USD

with

Psychological Key Levels  13-15 – 20 – 25 – 30 USD 

with

Research New Pattern

Classical   Candlestick 

and of course

New Coronavirus News

vs

New OPEC+, Saudi Arabia, Russia Central Banks  Strikes 

 

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…Next Session on  Today OPEC+  Agreement

Finally…EOM – April

 

by the Black Gold way

always remember

Oil  – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…

 

 

OIL   Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H5  Charts :

13.12.2019 – EOW  (  Futures Present Active Series  59.77 USD ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

3.01.2020 – EOW 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

7.01.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

13.01.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

OIL   Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H4  Charts :

9.03.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H4

OIL Monthly Charts

2.04.2020 (  before start  US Session )

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

9.04.2020 – EOD

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

13.04.2020 – ( before Start European Session ) 

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

 

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