ARK Innovation ETF  – Wall Street Raiders of the Lost Ark…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

ARK Innovation ETF   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar

ATA Continuation of…

2021

6.03.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Fibonacci Smart Money Game…

25.03.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Besotted in TESLA…

18.04.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – ARK Portfolio ” Chess Castling “

7.05.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Smart Money Playing Out Present Master Key Level 100 USD…

18.07.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – JP Morgan ” Bull Trap ” Warning…

17.08.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – ‘Big Short’ Michael Burry Bearish Bet…

1.09.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bulls vs Bears Draw…

6.10.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – in the Line of Bear Fire…

28.10.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – “TESLA” Rescue Strike from the Line of Bear Fire…

4.12.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bear Torpedo in the Target…

2022

15.01.2022 – ARK Innovation ETF – ARKK in the “DARK” vs Fibonacci “SPARK”…

1.05.2022 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bearish Impact from “DARK” to “DARKNESS”…

ARK Innovation ETF Key Master Motives

ARKK Inflows

ARKK biggest week of inflows in over a year with $534m (Top 1% among ETFs)

5th straight week of inflows

ARKK Bulls vs Bears Hard Fight

Bull Dynamic Contraction in May 2022

after

Worst Ever Month after Plunging 27% in April 2022

with

Cathie Wood US TECH Bull Super Predictions

Cathie Wood still expects ‘spectacular returns’ over the next 5 years

ARKK Free Fall Stopped

Bear Wave in Fear Shadow Stopped in Lower 33-35 USD Zone after Fall under Key Level 50 USD from Peak 160 USD Zone February 16 2021

with

Bull Dynamic Contraction from 33-35 USD Zone

Bull Strike Back above Higher 40 USD

ARKK Conclusion – ARKK First Flash Light in Darkness

Bear Wave Stopped

after Test

First…Key Levels 33-35 USD Zone – Consolidation 2018 – 2020 Years

Second…88.6% Fib Ret Bull Wave from 160 USD Top 31 USD Zone ( Monthly Chart )

Third… 1.5-1.618% Zone Fib Ext 1st Bear Wave – 31-38 USD Zone ( Weekly Chart )

on

Nasdaq Big Tech Bear Hard Wave

Wall Street RISK OFF Waves

in Inflation Stagflation Fed Hawkish ( Rate Hikes & QT ) Shadows

vs

Latest Bull Contraction

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone

Fall under Psychological 13.000 – 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Test – 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

Latest Bull Dynamic Contraction – Back >  12.000 

Finally for Now

Bulls Bears Hard Fight in Present Active Zone 12.000 – 13.000

with

Lower Support Zone – 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones

DJIA 37.000 Zone S&P500 4.800 Zone

DJIA 

Bull Bear Hard Fight in War Low Zone Active Action

32.000 Zone – in War Low Zone – February 2022

S&P500 

Bear Strike under 4.100  War Low Zone – February 2022

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 3.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

Latest Bull Dynamic Contractions

from DJIA 31.000 Zone S&P500 3800 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 32.000 Zone  S&P500 to 4000 Zone

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start January 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

End of Easy Money Era – Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Bond Yields Rising

Global Debt Rising

and

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start January 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB Eurozone Dovish vs Hawkish Central Fight Continuation

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Central Verbal Moves

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Active 

Bull Strike Out of Range 103 – 104

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

with

Latest Test Higher 105 vs Bear Short Term Correction

Present Active Bull Bear Short Term Fighting  in Key Levels  104 – 105 Zone

( Latest Max 105.05 )

on 

FOMC MAY Meeting Fed Hawkish Verdict

Fed Hawkish 2022 Outlook

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active

Now dominating

Bull Wave Action still above 103 and Higher 104 – EOW 104.51

vs

Bear Latest Short Term Correction from Higher 105

Active Zone Key Levels  104 – 105

special focus on

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

Higher Psychological Key Level 105

( EOW 104.51 )

First…ATA  from  1.05.2022

” Now still dominating

Bear New Hard Wave

More Bearish Open Scenarios

First Bearish Scenario

Cancel Ending Diagonal Pattern – Bear Strike to 33-35 USD Zone

Future Tests

Lower Zone of Consolidation 2018 – 2020 Years – Key Levels 33-35 USD Zone

Fib Ext 1.5% and 1.618% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top ( 39-40 and 30 USD Zone )

Fib Ret 88.5% Big Bull Wave from 15 USD Low Zone ( 30 USD Zone ) “

and

ARKK Key Tweets

Second…Present  ARKK Innovation ETF Situation

ARKK Innovation ETF LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION

First of All

All Time High Zone

Key Level 160 USD Zone – February 2021

( stricte 159.70 )

Perfect Test 3.618% Fib Ext

Activated

Monthly Bear Reversal Pattern –  Rising Ending Diagonal ( SChart Monthly Chart )

on

TECH Innovation Ecstasy

and

Hard Destructive Bear Wave

Cancel Rising Ending Diagonal Pattern  – Bear Strike to 35 USD Zone ( SChart Monthly Chart )

Forming Falling Invert Ending Diagonal Pattern Lower Edge 40 USD Zone

( SChart Monthly Chart )

Test

First…Key Levels 33-35 USD Zone – Consolidation 2018 – 2020 Years

Second…88.6% Fib Ret Bull Wave from 160 USD Top 31 USD Zone ( Monthly Chart )

Third… 1.5-1.618% Zone Fib Ext 1st Bear Wave – 31-38 USD Zone ( Weekly Chart )

Now dominating

ARKK Free Fall Stopped

Bear Wave in Fear Shadow Stopped in Lower 33-35 USD Zone after Fall under Key Level 50 USD from Peak 160 USD Zone February 16 2021

with

Bull Dynamic Contraction from 33-35 USD Zone

Bull Strike Back above Higher 40 USD

Monthly May Bear Candlestick vs Small Real Body Long Lower Shadow

Weekly Hammer Bull Candlestick

High Spike Volume Monthly and especially Daily

and

Bullish Open Scenario

Major Low in 30-35 USD Zone – Bull Reversal Pattern

Future Active New Bull Wave

vs

More Bearish Open Scenario

Bear Wave Reactivation after Present Bull Correction Over

Bear Strike Back – Fall under 35 USD  to 14- 15 USD Zone – Low 2016 Year

Cancel Whole Long Bull Wave

ATA Long Term Investment Conclusion

ARKK Conclusion – ARKK First Flash Light in Darkness

N-TIMES

ARK – First OUT of Bulls Market so Real Scenario – First Back IN Bulls Play after Bears Hard Wave…

so special focus on

Present Active Range

35 – 45-50 USD 

and

Fib Ret Big Bear Wave from 160 USD Top

First…23.6% 65 USD Zone

with

Research

New Candlesticks and Classic Pattern

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New

Fed Verbal Strikes

ARK Cathie Wood News

Nasdaq US Tech News 

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOW-s

Final…EOM – May

ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly Charts

5.03.2021 – EOD

24.03.2021 – EOD

16.04.2021 – EOD

6.05.2021 – EOD

16.07.2021 – EOD

16.08.2021 – EOD

31.08.2021 – EOM

5.10.2021 – EOD

27.10.2021 – EOD

ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly and Weekly Charts

3.12.2021 – EOW

14.01.2022 – EOW

29.04.2022 – EOM

ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly Weekly and Daily Charts

13.05.2022 – EOW

APPLE – from Ending Diagonal Risk to Bear Strike in Fibonacci Shadows…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

APPLE  –  Back  Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

Last of 2020

24.12.2020 – APPLE – Next iLevel – Cupertino EV…

2021

8.02.2021 – APPLE – Apple Car Speculation…

19.07.2021 – APPLE – iPhone Optimism Warning…

11.09.2021 – APPLE – App Store Payment Decision Strike…

15.09.2021 – APPLE – iPhone event 2021 Motive…

30.10.2021 – APPLE – Pattern and Fibonacci in Supply Chain Crunch Shadow…

2022

29.01.2022 – APPLE – Bull Strikes Back on Monster Earnings in Fibonacci and Ending Diagonal Shadows…

Apple Main Motives

First of All

Apple Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and S&P500

Apple  Lost 3 Trillion USD Market

Apple EOW 147.1 USD per share – Present Valuation 2.38 Trillion USD

Saudi Aramco overtook Apple as the World Most Valuable Company

Apple Earnings Q2/2022

Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg

  • Revenue: $97.3 billion versus $93.98 billion expected
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.52 versus $1.42 expected
  • iPhone revenue: $50.57 billion versus $49.16 billion expected
  • Mac revenue: $10.44 billion versus $9.23 billion expected
  • iPad revenue: $7.65 billion versus $7.19 billion expected
  • Wearables revenue: $8.81 billion versus $8.98 billion expected
  • Services revenue: $19.82 billion versus $19.78 billion expected

Earnings Report Conclusion

Huge Quarter, but Revenue Growth is slowing

Apple Stocks Action Bear Wave vs Latest Bull Strike

on

Nasdaq Big Tech Bear Hard Wave

Wall Street RISK OFF Waves

in Inflation Stagflation Fed Hawkish ( Rate Hikes & QT ) Shadows

vs

Latest Bull Contraction

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone

Fall under Psychological 13.00038.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Test50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

Latest Bull Dynamic ContractionBack >  12.000 

Finally for Now

Bulls Bears Hard Fight in Present Active Zone 12.000 – 13.000

with

Lower Support Zone – 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones

DJIA 37.000 Zone S&P500 4.800 Zone

DJIA 

Bull Bear Hard Fight in War Low Zone Active Action

32.000 Zone – in War Low Zone – February 2022

S&P500 

Bear Strike under 4.100  War Low Zone – February 2022

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 3.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

Latest Bull Dynamic Contractions

from DJIA 31.000 Zone S&P500 3800 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 32.000 Zone  S&P500 to 4000 Zone

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start January 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

End of Easy Money Era – Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Bond Yields Rising

Global Debt Rising

and

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start January 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB Eurozone Dovish vs Hawkish Central Fight Continuation

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Central Verbal Moves

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Active 

Bull Strike Out of Range 103 – 104

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

with

Latest Test Higher 105 vs Bear Short Term Correction

Present Active Bull Bear Short Term Fighting  in Key Levels  104 – 105 Zone

( Latest Max 105.05 )

on 

FOMC MAY Meeting Fed Hawkish Verdict

Fed Hawkish 2022 Outlook

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active

Now dominating

Bull Wave Action still above 103 and Higher 104 – EOW 104.51

vs

Bear Latest Short Term Correction from Higher 105

Active Zone Key Levels  104 – 105

special focus on

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

Higher Psychological Key Level 105

( EOW 104.51 )

First…ATA  from  29.01.2022

Present January 2022 Long Term Strong Bull Trend  Stopped

with

Activated

Daily Bear Reversal Pattern – 2B Key Level 182 USD

still

Rising Risk of Skyrocket Fly End 

with Active

Bull vs Bear Hard Fighting

First…in Psychological Key Levels 150-180 USD Zone

ATA Investment Conclusion

all time special focus on

Present Apple Active Zone 

145-150   vs   180-185  USD 

still carefully Research

Present Active Smaller Ending Diagonal

and

Apple Key Tweets

Second…Present Apple  Situation 

APPLE  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Quarterly  Monthly Daily View 

First of All

All Time High – January 2022

after SPLIT 4 : 1 

Key Levels 180-183 USD Zone 

( stricte 182.87 USD )

January 2022 Long Term Strong Bull Trend  Stopped

Activated

Daily Bear Reversal Patterns

First…2B Key Level 182 USD

Second…2B Key Level 176.50 USD

and

Bear Wave

Finally for Now

Fight under Psychological Key Levels 150 USD

still

Rising Risk of Skyrocket Fly End 

Activated

Quarterly Smaller Ending Diagonal

( needed confirmation EOQ – Q2 )

Upper Edge Key Level 180 USD

Lower Edge Key Level 155 USD

Activated

Monthly Smaller Ending Diagonal

( needed confirmation EOM – May )

Upper Edge Key Level 180 USD

Lower Edge Key Level 160 USD

with

Quarterly Q2 Bear Candlestick

Fall for Now under 150 USD

Quarterly Q4 Bull Candlestick – Half Real Body Support Psychological Key Level 150 USD

and

Monthly April Bear Candlestick

Monthly May Bear Candlestick but with Lower Shadow

vs

Test 23.6% Fib Ret Bull Long Wave from post Lehman 2008 Low 140 USD Zone ( Monthly Chart )

Test October 2021 Low Zone 138 USD ( Daily Chart )

Present Bull Contraction – Back above 140 USD vs still under Psychological 150 USD

MACD Factor

still Active Quarterly Buy Signal vs Activated Monthly Sell Signal

with

Open Scenarios

Bull Scenario – W Pattern 138-140 USD Zone – Next Bull Strike > 150 USD

vs

Bear Scenario – No Back > 150 USD – Next Bear Strike < 140 USD

Apple  Smart Money Battlefield

140 vs  150-155-160  180-185  USD 

Psychological Key Level 150 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

all time special focus on

Present Apple Active Zone 

140 vs  150-155-160  180-185  USD  

and

Important Psychological Key Level 150 USD

still carefully Research

Present Active Quarterly and Monthly Smaller Ending Diagonals

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New

Fed Verbal Strikes

Apple News

Nasdaq US Tech News 

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First..EOM – May   and  Finally…EOQ – Q2/2022

APPLE  Monthly  Charts

8.11.2019  ( Half US Session )

APPLE - M - FIB EXT
APPLE - M - FIB EXT - Focus

24.12.2019 – EOD

APPLE - M - FIB EXT
APPLE - M - FIB EXT - Focus

7.02.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT - Focus

5.05.2020  –  EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

5.06.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

19.06.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

23.06.2020 – EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

10.07.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

31.07.2020 – EOM 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

11.08.2020 – EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

19.08.2020 -EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

28.08.2020 – EOD

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

APPLE  Quarterly Chart

after SPLIT 4 : 1 

31.08.2020 – EOM 

APPLE - Q - StockCharts

APPLE  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

11.09.2020 – EOD

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-q-stockcharts-1.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-m-fib-ext-focus.png

16.09.2020 – EOD

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-q-stockcharts-2.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-m-fib-ext-focus-1.png

21.09.2020 – EOD

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-q-stockcharts-3.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-m-fib-ext-focus-2.png

12.10.2020 – EOD

30.10.2020 -EOM

23.12.2020 – EOD

5.02.2021 – EOD

16.07.2021 – EOD

10.09.2021 – EOW

14.09.2021 – EOD

29.10.2021 – EOM

APPLE  Quarterly Monthly and Daily Charts

28.01.2022 – EOW

13.05.2022 – EOW

NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – from ”Unstoppable” Contrarian Warning to Bear Dynamic Wave…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Nasdaq   –  All Time on ATA Research Radar 

NASDAQ  Indexes  – Wall Street  &  Global Equity Pathfinders

First of All

Back to 2016…

21.08.2016 – NASDAQ(S) – Big Picture – 18 Months Over 2000 year Top…

&

ATA Continuation of…

2019 

21.07.2019 –  NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON…

22.07.2019 –  NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON FIB EXT TARGETS…

8.09.2019 –  NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON Update September before ECB & FED Verdicts…

29.09.2019 –  NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON Update September after ECB & FED Verdicts…

9.11.2019 –  NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON ahead of Major Fibonacci Extensions Zone -Update November…

2020

1.01.2020 –NASDAQ – Wall Street Euphory vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update December 2019…

9.01.2020 –  NASDAQ – Wall Street Bulls Power vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update January 2020…

12.02.2020 –  NASDAQ – US Tech Bulls Parabolic Wave vs Secular Horizon Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…

9.05.2020 –  NASDAQ – US Tech Bulls Back in Action Ahead of Secular Horizon Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update May 2020…

2.06.2020 –  NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – Secular Horizon Perspective…

21.06.2020 –  NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – WEALTH GAP – BULLS HIDDEN ENGINE…

25.06.2020 –  NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – PERFECT FIB EXT HIT…

3.07.2020 –  NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – Enternig Tech Mania…

4.07.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BARRON’S Cover CRUNCH TIME…

10.07.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – AD TECH ASTRA…

21.07.2020 –  NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – US TECH SHOW GOES ON…

3.08.2020 –  NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – Bulls do not fold the Gun…

26.08.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – US TECH SPACE INVADERS IN ACTION…

4.09.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BEARS STRIKES BACK…

9.09.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – Next Bear Hit…

13.09.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BARRON’S TECH BUBBLE COVER…

10.10.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – COVID VACCINE DANGER EUPHORY…

22.12.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – US TECH ” PRINTING ” STIMULUS…

2021

17.01.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BIDEN STIMULUS MAINSTREAM STRIKE …

31.01.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – FIRST AWAKENING…

13.02.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – NEW BULLS CHARGE vs BULLS TRAP HIDING RISK…

28.02.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BEAR FIBONACCI AWAKENING…

12.03.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BIDEN STIMULUS GAMBLE CHECK…

22.08.2021 NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – US BIG TECH ” Unstoppable ” Contrarian Risk Off Sign…

with

ATA Following…

Nasdaq 100 Futures 

31.03.2020 –  NASDAQ 100 Futures – Smart Money Perfection – Secular AMAZING CONSTELLATION after First & Second Bear Strikes…

NASDAQ   Key Master Motives

First…Activated Bear Reversal Process – November 2021

Test Fib Ext Node All Main Bull Waves

Formed Bear Reversal Patterns – Ending Diagonals

Second…Activated Bear Dynamic Wave

on

Nasdaq Big Tech Bear Hard Wave

Wall Street RISK OFF Waves

in Inflation Stagflation Fed Hawkish ( Rate Hikes & QT ) Shadows

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Continuation after Last  Reactivation

Active Bear Strike under Psychological 13.000

after Earlier

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bull Dynamic Contraction from 13.000 Zone to 15.300 Zone

Finally for Now

Bear Contraction Continuation  from 15.300 Zone under 13.000 – War Low – February March 2022

Fall under Lower 12.800

Ahead of Lower 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Continuation after Last Reactivation

Bear Strikes and Fight in War Low Zones Active Action

DJIA from 35.300 Zone to 32.000 Zone – in War Low Zone – February 2022

S&P500 from 4.600 Zone to 4.100 Zone – in War Low Zone – February 2022

after Earlier

Bull Dynamic Contractions

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone  S&P500 to 4600 Zone

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start January 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

End of Easy Money Era – Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Bond Yields Rising

Global Debt Rising

and

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start January 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB Eurozone Dovish vs Hawkish Central Fight Continuation

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Central Verbal Moves

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Active 

but with

Hard FX Fight Continuation  in 103 – 104 Zone

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

still above 

First…Master Psychological Key Level 100  

Second…Higher Psychological Key Level 103  

with

Present Active Bull Bear Short Term Fighting  in Key Levels 103 – 104 Zone

( Latest Max 104.09 )

on 

FOMC MAY Meeting Fed Hawkish Verdict

Fed Hawkish 2022 Outlook

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active

Now dominating

Bull Wave Action still above 100 and Higher 103 – EOW 103.68

Active Zone Key Levels  103 – 104

special focus on

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

Master Psychological Key Level 100 and Higher Key Levels  103 vs 104

( EOW 103.68 )

First…ATA  from  22.08.2021

US BIG TECH Ecstasy Domination

vs

Testing

Higher FIB EXT Zones

Psychological Key Levels Zone – First 15.000 – 15.500

and

Bear Reversal Patterns – Ending Diagonals Rising Risk

Second…Present  NASDAQ Comp  NASDAQ 100  & NASDAQ 100 Futures  Situation 

NASDAQ Comp  NASDAQ 100  NASDAQ 100 FUTURES   SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

First of All

All Time Highs

NASDAQ Comp   16.000 Zone  ( 16.212 ) –  November 2021

NASDAQ 100   16.800 Zone ( 16.764 ) November 2021

NASDAQ Futures  16.800 Zone ( 16.767 ) November 2021

Quarterly View

After Activated

Bear Reversal Pattern – Ending Diagonal

Upper Edge – Key Level 16.800

Lower Edge – Key Level 15.300

Now dominating

Bear Dynamic Wave

Back inside Secular Bull Channel

Fall under Upper Edge – Key Level 14.300

Quarterly Q2/22 Bear Candlestick for Now

( needed confirmation EOQ – June 2022 )

MACD Quarterly still Active Buy Signal

with

Open Bearish Scenario

Bear Wave Continuation – Test Lower Edge – Key Level 10.500

Monthly View

After

US BIG TECH Ecstasy Mainstream Peak – November 2021

Test

FIB EXT Nodes and Ending Diagonals Upper Edges

Psychological Key Levels Zones

Nasdaq Comp. 16.000 Zone  

Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Fut 16.800 Zone

and

Activated

Bear Reversal Patterns – Ending Diagonals – Break Lower Edges

Nasdaq Comp Key Level 15.800

Nasdaq 100 Key Level 16.000

Nasdaq Fut Key Level 15.500

with

Monthly Shooting Star – Candlestick Bear Reversal Patterns – November 2021

Now dominating

Bear Dynamic Wave

Fall under Psychological Key Level 13.000

special Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Fut

Monthly April Bear Candlesticks – Large Real Body

MACD Monthly Sell Signals

with

Open Bearish Scenario

Bear Wave Continuation – Test Lower Fib Ret Nodes – Key Levels 11.800 and 10.000 Zone

ATA Secular Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Psychological Key Levels

12.000 and 11.000 – Nasdaq Comp

13.000 and 12.000 – Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Fut

and

Present and Lower FIB RET Nodes

with

Classic Technical Analysis Pattern Research 

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New

Fed Verbal Strikes

Nasdaq US Tech News 

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – May

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Quarterly Charts

19.07.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp -Q
Nasdaq 100 -Q

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

19.07.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Quarterly Charts

6.09.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp -Q
Nasdaq 100 -Q

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

6.09.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Quarterly Charts

27.09.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp -Q
Nasdaq 100 -Q

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

27.09.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

8.11.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT - Focus
Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT - Focus

31.12.2019 – EOM  ( Log Scale ) 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT - Focus
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT - Focus

8.01.2020 – EOD ( Log Scale ) 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

12.02.2020 –  Start US Session  ( Log Scale ) 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

8.05.2020 – EOD 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

NASDAQ Comp  NASDAQ 100  & NASDAQ 100 Futures Monthly Charts

2.06.2020 – First Phase American Session 

Nasdaq Comp - M - Line
Nasdaq 100 - M - Line
Nasdaq 100 Futures - M - Line

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

19.06.2020 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

24.06.2020 – EOD 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT

2.07.2020 – EOD

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100   Quarterly  Charts

2.07.2020 – EOD

Nasdaq Comp -Q
Nasdaq 100 -Q

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

9.07.2020 – EOD 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

20.07.2020 – EOD

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT - Focus
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT - Focus

31.07.2020 – EOM 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

25.08.2020 – EOD 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

3.09.2020 – EOD

8.09.2020 – EOD

11.09.2020 – EOD

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

Nasdaq 100  Futures Daily Chart

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100   Quarterly & Monthly Charts

21.12.2020 – EOD

15.01.2021 – EOD

Nasdaq 100 & Nasdaq 100 Futures  Monthly Charts

29.01.2021 – EOM

NASDAQ Comp  NASDAQ 100  & NASDAQ 100 Futures  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

12.02.2021 – EOD

26.02.2021 – EOM

11.03.2021 – Indexes EOD – Futures Asian Session

NASDAQ Comp  NASDAQ 100  and NASDAQ 100 Futures  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

20.08.2021 – EOD

NASDAQ Comp  NASDAQ 100 and NASDAQ 100 Futures FIB EXT FIB RET Quarterly & Monthly Charts

6.05.2022 – EOW

Nasdaq Biotechnology Index – Elliott Wave Perspective – Final (V) Wave Top Consequence – Next Bearish Act…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Nasdaq Biotechnology Index  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

Elliott Wave Perspective

2020

31.05.2020 – Nasdaq Biotechnology Index – Elliott Wave Perspective…

2021

29.03.2021 – Nasdaq Biotechnology Index – Elliott Wave Perspective – March 2021 …

2022

22.01.2022 – Nasdaq Biotechnology Index – Elliott Wave Perspective – Final (V) Wave Top Consequence…

Nasdaq Biotechnology Index Main Motives

Nasdaq Biotechnology Index Dynamic SELL OFF

Bearish Hard Consequence

of

V Wave Top Perfect Activated – August 2021

with Consequence

Bear Dynamic Correction Wave still  in Smart Money Biotechnology Game

Nasdaq Biotechnology Index

Activated Master Top

( V ) Wave in 5.500 Zone

and

Present Active Bear Correction Strike Continuation

under ( III ) Wave Top  – Key Level 4000 

with

Fall inside Triangle Pattern ( IV ) Wave Zone

and

Test 38.2% Fib Ret Node All Main Bull Waves

on

Nasdaq Big Tech Bear Hard Wave

Wall Street RISK OFF Waves

in Inflation Stagflation Fed Hawkish ( Rate Hikes & QT ) Shadows

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Continuation after Last  Reactivation

Active Bear Strike under Psychological 13.000

after Earlier

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bull Dynamic Contraction from 13.000 Zone to 15.300 Zone

Finally for Now

Bear Contraction Continuation  from 15.300 Zone under 13.000 – War Low – February March 2022

Fall under Lower 12.800

Ahead of Lower 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Continuation after Last Reactivation

Bear Strikes and Fight in War Low Zones Active Action

DJIA from 35.300 Zone to 32.000 Zone – in War Low Zone – February 2022

S&P500 from 4.600 Zone to 4.100 Zone – in War Low Zone – February 2022

after Earlier

Bull Dynamic Contractions

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone  S&P500 to 4600 Zone

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start January 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

End of Easy Money EraMega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Bond Yields Rising

Global Debt Rising

and

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start January 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB Eurozone Dovish vs Hawkish Central Fight Continuation

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Central Verbal Moves

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Active 

but with

Hard FX Fight Continuation  in 103 – 104 Zone

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

still above 

First…Master Psychological Key Level 100  

Second…Higher Psychological Key Level 103  

with

Present Active Bull Bear Short Term Fighting  in Key Levels 103 104 Zone

( Latest Max 104.09 )

on 

FOMC MAY Meeting Fed Hawkish Verdict

Fed Hawkish 2022 Outlook

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active

Now dominating

Bull Wave Action still above 100 and Higher 103 – EOW 103.68

Active Zone Key Levels  103 – 104

special focus on

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

Master Psychological Key Level 100 and Higher Key Levels  103 vs 104

( EOW 103.68 )

First…ATA  from  22.01.2022

Nasdaq Biotechnology Index

Elliott Wave Count prefered by ATA

Elliott Wave Supercycle Count

Activated Master Top

( V ) Wave in 5.500 Zone

with

Present Active Bear Correction Strike

Test ( III ) Wave Top and 4 Wave Low – 4000 Zone “

and

ATA Nasdaq Biotech Index Master Tweet

Second..Present  Nasdaq Biotechnology Index   Situation

NASDAQ BIOTECHNOLOGY  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Elliott Wave Count prefered by ATA

Elliott Wave Supercycle Count

Activated Master Top – August 2021

( V ) Wave in 5.500 Zone

confirm by activated

Classic Bearish Reversal Pattern – 2B – Key Level 5500 – February-August 2021

and

Present Active Bear Correction Strike Continuation

First…Fall under ( III ) Wave Top – Key Level 4000 

Back inside Triangle Pattern ( IV ) Wave Zone

Second…Test 38.2% Fib Ret Node All Main Bull Waves – Key Level 3500 Zone

MACD Factor

Monthly Sell Signal

Bear Strike under Support Line – Lower Edge of Triangle ( needed Conformation – EOM )

with

Open Bear Scenarios

First…Cancel whole (V) WaveTest 50% Fib Ret Node All Main Bull Waves – Key Level 3000 Zone

Second…Fall to A Wave LowTest 61.8% Fib Ret Node All Main Bull Waves – Key Level 2500 Zone

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

Present Elliott Wave Structure 

special

Inside Triangle Pattern ( IV ) Wave Zone – Now Key Level 3500 Zone

38.2% Fib Ret Node All Main Bull Waves – Key Level 3500 Zone

with

Elliott Wave Structures Research

Classic Technical Analysis Pattern Research 

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New

Fed Verbal Strikes

Biotech News

Nasdaq US Tech News 

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – May

Nasdaq Biotechnology Index   Monthly Elliott Wave Charts

29.05.2020 – EOM

Nasdaq Biotech - M - Line - Elliott

26.03.2021 – EOD

21.01.2022 – EOW

Nasdaq Biotechnology Index   Monthly Elliott Wave and Fibonacci Retracements Charts

6.05.2022 – EOW

ARK Innovation ETF – Bearish Impact from “DARK” to “DARKNESS”…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

ARK Innovation ETF   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar

ATA Continuation of…

2021

6.03.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Fibonacci Smart Money Game…

25.03.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Besotted in TESLA…

18.04.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – ARK Portfolio ” Chess Castling “

7.05.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Smart Money Playing Out Present Master Key Level 100 USD…

18.07.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – JP Morgan ” Bull Trap ” Warning…

17.08.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – ‘Big Short’ Michael Burry Bearish Bet…

1.09.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bulls vs Bears Draw…

6.10.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – in the Line of Bear Fire…

28.10.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – “TESLA” Rescue Strike from the Line of Bear Fire…

4.12.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bear Torpedo in the Target…

2022

15.01.2022 ARK Innovation ETF – ARKK in the “DARK” vs Fibonacci “SPARK”…

ARK Innovation ETF Key Master Motives

ARKK Capital Outflow Continuation

ARKK Worst Ever Month after Plunging 27% in April 2022

vs

Cathie Wood US TECH Bull Super Predictions

Cathie Wood still expects ‘spectacular returns’ over the next 5 years

ARKK Free Fall Continuation

Bear Wave under Key Level 50 USD from Peak 160 USD Zone February 16 2021

ARKK Conclusion – ARKK Darkness

Bear Wave Active Continuation

after

Dynamic Break Down and Out Off from Range 110 – 130

with

Present Test 78.6% Fib Ret Bull Wave 45-46 USD Zone

on

US Big Tech Bear Hard Wave

Nasdaq 100 falls 13% in April – Biggest Monthly Drop since Lehman Brother Collapse 2008

on

RISK OFF Waves in Inflation Stagflation Fed Hawkish ( Rate Hikes QT Prediction ) Shadows

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Continuation after Last  Reactivation

Bear Strike under Psychological 13.000

after Earlier

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bull Dynamic Contraction from 13.000 Zone to 15.300 Zone

Finally for Now

Bear Contraction Continuation  from 15.300 Zone under 13.000 – War Low

Test Lower 12.850 Zone

Ahead of Lower 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Continuation after Last Reactivation

with

Bull Dynamic Strikes still Stopped for Now

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone  S&P500 to 4600 Zone

and

Bear Contractions Continuation

DJIA from 35.300 Zone to 33.000 Zone – still above War Low Zone

S&P500 from 4.600 Zone to 4.100 Zone – in War Low Zone

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed May 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish Outlook

Fed Funds Futures Hike 0.50% 97.1% Probability

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

with still Active

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Debt Rising

and

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed May 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish Outlook

Fed Funds Futures Hike 0.50% 97.1% Probability

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Fight Continuation

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Active 

but with

Hard FX Fighting in 103 – 104 Zone

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

after

Bear Correction from 101 Zone to 99.80 Zone

USD Bull Strike Continuation from Last Low  99.80 Zone  

above 

First…Master Psychological Key Level 100  

Second…Higher Psychological Key Level 103  

but with

Latest Bear Short Term Contraction from Key Level 104 to 102.80

( Max 103.94 )

and

Latest Bull Short Term Strike from Key Level 102.80  Back above  103

on 

FOMC MAY Meeting Fed Hawkish Outlook

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active

Now dominating

Bull Wave Domination still above 100 and Higher 103 – EOW 103.23

Active Zone Key Levels  103 – 104

special focus on

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

Master Psychological Key Level 100 and Higher Key Levels  103 vs 104

( EOW 103.23 )

First…ATA  from  15.01.2022

” Now still dominating

Bear New Hard Wave

with

Monthly November December Bear Candlesticks

Monthly January Bear Candlestick for Now

and

Active Test

Fib Ext 88.6% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top 77 USD Zone )

Fib Ret 56.4% Last Bull Wave from 30 USD Low 77 USD Zone ) “

Second…Present  ARKK Innovation ETF Situation

ARKK Innovation ETF LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION

First of All

All Time High Zone

Key Level 160 USD Zone – February 2021

( stricte 159.70 )

Perfect Test 3.618% Fib Ext

Activated

Monthly Bear Reversal Pattern – Ending Diagonal

on

TECH Innovation Ecstasy

and

Shot Down to Lower Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone

Test 38.3 – 44.7% Zone Fib Ret Big Bull Wave 95 – 100 USD Zone

with

Bull Contraction from Psychological Support 100 USD Zone to Higher 130 USD Zone

Test 56.4% Zone Fib Ret Last Bear Wave 130 USD Zone

and

Second Bear Strike to Lower  Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone

Second Bull Strike from 100 USD to 120 USD Zone

vs

No Back above Key Level 120 USD

Now still dominating

Bear New Hard Wave  from Master Top Psychological Key Level 160 USD

with

Test

Fib Ext 1.414% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top 44 USD Zone )

Fib Ret 78.6% Big Bull Wave from 15 USD Low  45 USD Zone )

Test

Inverted Ending Diagonal – Lower Edge 44- 45 USD Zone

with

Monthly April Bear Candlestick Large Real Body

and

More Bearish Open Scenarios

First Bearish Scenario

Cancel Ending Diagonal Pattern Bear Strike to 33-35 USD Zone

Future Tests

Lower Zone of Consolidation 2018 – 2020 Years – Key Levels 33-35 USD Zone

Fib Ext 1.5% and 1.618% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top ( 39-40 and 30 USD Zone )

Fib Ret 88.5% Big Bull Wave from 15 USD Low Zone ( 30 USD Zone )

Second Bearish Scenario

Bear Strike to 14- 15 USD Zone – Low 2016 Year

Cancel Whole Long Bull Wave

remember

ARK First OUT of Bulls Market so Real Scenario – First Back IN Bulls Play after Bears Hard Wave…

ATA Long Term Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Active Range

44-45 – 50 USD 

and

Test Results of

Inverted Ending Diagonal – Lower Edge 44- 45 USD Zone

FIB RET  44 USD Zone

FIB EXT 45 USD Zone

with

Research

New Candlesticks and Classic Pattern

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New

FOMC May – Fed Verdict

ARK Cathie Wood News

US Tech News 

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOW-s

Final…EOM – May

ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly Charts

5.03.2021 – EOD

24.03.2021 – EOD

16.04.2021 – EOD

6.05.2021 – EOD

16.07.2021 – EOD

16.08.2021 – EOD

31.08.2021 – EOM

5.10.2021 – EOD

27.10.2021 – EOD

ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly and Weekly Charts

3.12.2021 – EOW

14.01.2022 – EOW

29.04.2022 – EOM

FANG + INDEX – Bearish Ending Diagonal Harder RISK OFF Consequence in Fibonacci Shadow…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

FANG + INDEX   –   Non Stop on ATA Research Radar 

FANG + INDEX  – Wall Street  &  Global Equity Pathfinder 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

Last

17.12.2020 – FANG + INDEX – 2020 EOY Windows Dressing Bulls Party…

2021

7.02.2021 – FANG + INDEX – 2021 Bulls Levitation…

24.02.2021 – FANG + INDEX – TECH SHOCK…

3.03.2021 – FANG + INDEX – on the EDGE…

24.03.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Danger Zone…

6.07.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Bulls Reconquest to Danger Zone…

20.07.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Bear Strike from Danger Zone…

7.08.2021 – FANG + INDEX – No New ATH since February 2021…

25.08.2021 – FANG + INDEX – New Round US TECH Bulls vs Bears Fighting under February 2021 Top…

2.09.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Bulls Strike inside Bear Ending Diagonal…

21.09.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Bear Patterns Action…

1.10.2021 – FANG + INDEX – ON SKYFALL EDGE…

13.11.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Bulls vs Bears Fight above Higher Edge Bearish Ending Diagonal…

18.12.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Bears Strike under Lower Edge Bearish Ending Diagonal…

2022

23.01.2022 FANG + INDEX – Bearish Ending Diagonal Hard RISK OFF Consequence…

FANG + INDEX  Present Key Motives

FANG Index Bear Dynamic ActionNew Deep Harder Strikes

after

Activated Two Bearish Patterns

2B – Key Level 8000 – November 2021

Ending Diagonal 

Break Down

Upper Edge – Key Level 7800 – November 2021

Lower Edge – Key Level 7800 – December 2021

and

Bear Strike under February 2021 Top Zone – Key Level 7350-7250 – January 2022

on

RISK OFF Waves in Inflation Stagflation Fed Hawkish ( Rate Hikes QT Prediction ) Shadows

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Continuation after Last  Reactivation

Bear Strike under Psychological 13.000

after Earlier

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bull Dynamic Contraction from 13.000 Zone to 15.300 Zone

Finally for Now

Bear Contraction Continuation  from 15.300 Zone under 13.000War Low

Test Lower 12.850 Zone

Ahead of Lower 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Continuation after Last Reactivation

with

Bull Dynamic Strikes still Stopped for Now

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone  S&P500 to 4600 Zone

and

Bear Contractions Continuation

DJIA from 35.300 Zone to 33.000 Zone – still above War Low Zone

S&P500 from 4.600 Zone to 4.100 Zone – in War Low Zone

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed May 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish Outlook

Fed Funds Futures Hike 0.50% 97.1% Probability

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

with still Active

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Debt Rising

and

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed May 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish Outlook

Fed Funds Futures Hike 0.50% 97.1% Probability

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Fight Continuation

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Active 

but with

Hard FX Fighting in 103 – 104 Zone

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

after

Bear Correction from 101 Zone to 99.80 Zone

USD Bull Strike Continuation from Last Low  99.80 Zone  

above 

First…Master Psychological Key Level 100  

Second…Higher Psychological Key Level 103  

but with

Latest Bear Short Term Contraction from Key Level 104 to 102.80

( Max 103.94 )

and

Latest Bull Short Term Strike from Key Level 102.80  Back above  103

on 

FOMC MAY Meeting Fed Hawkish Outlook

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active

Now dominating

Bull Wave Domination still above 100 and Higher 103 – EOW 103.23

Active Zone Key Levels  103 – 104

special focus on

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

Master Psychological Key Level 100 and Higher Key Levels  103 vs 104

( EOW 103.23 )

First…ATA  from  23.01.2022

” Now still dominating

Hard Bear Wave

Fall to Key Level 6500 Zone

Latest Weekly Bear Candlestick – Large Real Body

Ahead of

Lower Psychological Key Level 6000 Zone

March – May 2021 Low Zone

38.2% Fib Ret Bull Wave from 2500 to 8000

Second…Present   FANG + INDEX  Situation

FANG + INDEX  LONG TERM  SITUATION

First of All

FANG + INDEX –  ATH 8000 Zone –  November 2021

( stricte 8077.01 )

FANG Index Perspective 

After

Final

Test 3 Times Higher Psychological 8000 Zone

Finally

Activated Two Bearish Patterns

2B – Key Level 8000

Ending Diagonal – Upper Edge – Key Level 7800

and

Dynamic Bear Strike under

First…Upper Edge – Key Level 7800 of Ending Diagonal

Second…Lower Edge – Key Level 7400 of Ending Diagonal

Third…February Top Key Level 7300 

with

War Panic – March 2022 – Low Zone 5.400

vs

Bull Dynamic Contraction from 5.400 to 7.000 Zone

March – April 2022

Now dominating

Hard Bear Wave Continuation

inside

Inverted Ending Diagonal

Upper Edge – Key Level 6.000

Lower Edge – Key Level 4.600

and

Latest Bearish Strike under 5.400 – War March Low

Present Test

Lower Key Level 5.300 Zone

50% Fib Ret Bull Wave from 2.500 to 8.000 – Key Level 5.300

March 2020 – November 2021

61.8% Fib Ext First Bear Wave from 8000 to 5.400 – Key Level 5.300

November 2021 – March 2022

with

Latest Weekly Bear Candlestick

Small Real Body – Upper and Lower Shadows

ATA Investment Conclusion

Future Open Scenarios

Bull Scenario – Active Bull Reversal Pattern Inverted 2B – Key Level 5.400

vs

Bear Scenario Fall Continuation to

Lower 50% Fib Ret – Key Level 4.600

Lower 78.6% Fib Ext – Key Level 4.800 and 1% Fib Ext – Key Level 4.250

so special focus on

Present

Active Zone 5300 – 5600

Fib Ret – special 50%

Inverted Ending Diagonal

and

Research

Candlestick and Classic Reversal Patterns

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New

FOMC May – Fed Verdict

US Tech News 

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOW-s

Final…EOM – May

FANG + INDEX   Daily  Charts

14.01.2020 –  EOD  3360.24 vs High 3.399.38

FANG - D - FIB EXT png

4.02.2020 –  EOD  3667.14 vs High 3.730.91

FANG - D - FIB EXT png

1.05.2020 – EOD 

FANG - D - Main FIB EXT png

8.05.2020 – EOD 

FANG - D - Main FIB EXT png

29.05.2020 – EOM 

FANG - D - Line

5.06.2020 – EOD 

FANG - D - Main FIB EXT - Line

FANG + INDEX   Weekly Charts

11.06.2020 – EOD 

FANG - W

FANG + INDEX   Weekly Charts

12.06.2020 – EOW 

FANG - W - SCharts

16.06.2020 – EOD 

FANG - W - SCharts

FANG + INDEX   Weekly Charts

23.06.2020 – EOD 

FANG - W

1.07.2020 – EOD 

FANG - W - SCharts

7.07.2020 – EOD 

FANG - W

15.07.2020 – EOD

FANG - W - 15.07

16.07.2020 – EOD

FANG - W

31.07.2020 – EOW – EOM 

FANG - W

13.08.2020 – EOD 

FANG - W

25.08.2020 – EOD

FANG - W - SCharts

3.09.2020 – EOD

4.09.2020 – EOD

8.09.2020 – EOD

22.09.2020 – EOD

29.09.2020 – EOD

15.10.2020 – EOD

29.10.2020 – EOD

31.10.2020 – EOW

4.11.2020 -EOD

25.11.2020 – EOD

10.12.2020 – EOD

16.12.2020 – EOD

5.02.2021 -EOW

23.02.2021 – EOD

2.03.2021 – EOD

23.03.2021 – EOD

2.07.2021 – EOW

19.07.2021 – EOD

6.08.2021 – EOW

24.08.2021 – EOD

1.09.2021 – EOD

20.09.2021 – EOD

30.09.2021 – EOD

12.11.2021 – EOW

17.12.2021 – EOW

21.01.2022 – EOW

29.04.2022 – EOW

ITALY BOND YIELD – “FEAR THE WALKING DEAD…”

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

ITALY YIELD –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

July  2016

9.07.2016  – EUROPEAN BANKS – TURNING POINT HIGH PROBABILITY …

10.07.2016 – EUROPEAN BANKS – STRATEGIC VIEW…

March 2018

3.03.2018 – ITALIAN ELECTION like ITALIAN JOB…

4.03.2018 – ITALIAN MOTIVE vs CENTRAL WATCHMAN – ECB…

5.03.2018  – 6-TH ITALIAN STAR – BERLUSCONI…

10.03.2018 –  EURO-ELITE with ECB CONTROL ( for Now ) ITALY SITUATION…

18.03.2018 – ITALY in Mainstream Media Focus…

27.03.2018 –  Is New Italy’s Government ” FINE “…

May – August 2018

29.05.2018 – ITALIAN ERUPTION – ETNA VOLCANO PATTERN…

30.05.2018  –  Italian Chessboard – All Financial Roads lead to Rome…

20.08.2018 –  ITALIAN RISK OFF WAVE under TURKISH COVER…

25.08.2018  –  ITALIAN DEBT still under RISK…

September – October 2018

11.09.2018  –  FTSE MIB – Italian Risk Omerta…

29.09.2018  –   ITALIAN RISK BOOMERANG…

14.10.2018  –  ITALIAN RISK OFF STORY – MEDIA WAR with EU & ECB…

28.10.2018 ITALY ALIVE – S&P RATING MERCY…

with

ATA Following …

Lehman Shadow

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

German Yield

16.04.2022 GERMAN BOND YIELD – DEBT Double Impact -ECB Lagarde Dovish vs Inflation Fever…

US Yield

9.04.2022 US 10Y BOND YIELD – Fed Super Hawkish Fever…

ITALY 10Y BOND YIELD  Major Motives

Italy 10Y Bond Yield Dynamic Bull Wave Action

on

Eurozone – Italy Inflation Fever

Eurozone – specially Italy Rising Debt

Italy Government Debt to GDP expected to reach 157% of GDP by the End of 2022

with Last

ECB Hawkish Projections

and

EUROZONE & EURO Structural Risk 

ITALY- ” Dead Country Walking ”

only with Central Help – ECB economic life-support machine…

EURO Master F/X  Vector for  ITALY 10Y BOND YIELD 

with

US 10Y Bond Yield Bull Path

Fed Mega Hawkish Scenario

Mainstream Fed Hawkish Panic

and

Russia – Ukraine War

Inflaction Shock

Stagflation Risk

with

Wall Street and Global Indexes – Bulls Dynamic Contraction Stopped vs still above War Low Zones

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Global Master Currencies Pathfinder

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Continuation after Last  Reactivation

with

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bull Dynamic Contraction  from 13.000 still Stopped 

Bear Contraction Continuation  from 15.300 Zone to Lower  13.500 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Continuation after Last Reactivation

with

Bull Dynamic Strikes still Stopped for Now

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone  S&P500 to 4600 Zone

and

Bear Contractions Continuation

DJIA from 35.300 Zone to 33.800 Zone

S&P500 from 4.600 Zone under 4.300 

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

Italy – Eurozone Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on ECB 

with

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

vs

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

and

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

with still Active

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Debt Rising

and

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Fight Continuation

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Active 

after

Bull Reversal Pattern – W Intraday H5 Key Level 97.80

USD Bull Strike Continuation from 97.80 Zone  above Master Psychological Key Level 100  

with

Last Bear Short Term Contraction from Key Level 101 to 99.80

and

Latest Bull Short Term Strike from Key Level 99.80 to 101.30 Zone ( Max 101.34 )

on 

Fed Extreme Hawkish Predictions Explosions

Fed Hawkish Mainstream Panic

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active

Now dominating

Bull Wave Domination still above 100 and Higher 101 – EOW 101.13

Active Zone Key Levels  100-101 –  101.30

special focus on

Master Psychological Key Level 100 and Higher Key Level 101

( EOW 101.13 )

First of All…ATA from 15.09.2018 

– Financial Decade after Lehman Panic… –

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! ” 

First…ATA from  28.10.2018

Present Active Key Levels

10Y ITALY BONDS YIELD –  3.40 vs 3.50  – 3.60  &  3.80  ( 3.7830 – Last Max )

Look carefully at  Main Positive Divergences

between

Mainstream Media Italy News Trend

10Y ITALY BONDS YIELD

No New High Last Week

Last High – Moody’s Cut ( 19.10.2018 ) 

&

ATA Central Banks “PRINT” and Debt Risk Last Key Tweets

Second…10Y ITALY BOND YIELD –  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Monthly and Weekly Charts

First of All 

After

Bear Reversal and Bear Action20182020 Years

First…No Rising above 3.50% and Bear Strike under Lower 3.40% – October 2018

2B Pattern – Key Level 3.23% H&S Pattern – Neckline 2.65% – ( Weekly Chart )

Second…Bear Wave under Psychological 3% – November 2018

Third…Bear Wave Continuation under Lower 2.30% – 2015 – 2017 Years Tops Zone – June 2019

Finally…Bear Strike and Test Psychological Lower 0.50% Zone ( stricte 0.521 ) – December 2020

Bull Reversal and Bull Action2021 – 2022 Years

First…Bull Strike from 0.50% Zone to 0.90% Zone – December 2020 – May 2021

W Pattern Small – Key Level 0.50% Zone – December 2020 – February 2021

W Pattern Large – Key Level 0.50 0.55% Zone – February 2021 – August 2021

( Weekly Chart )

Second…Bull Wave above Psychological 1% – October 2021

Third…Bull Wave Continuation above Higher Psychological 2% – March 2022

Finally…Bull Strike above Higher 2.50% – Bear Trendline – April 2022

( Monthly Chart )

Now dominating

Bull Wave Ahead of Test Higher Psychological 3%

38.2% Fib Ret Bear Wave since 2011 Year Top

( Monthly Chart )

Bull Wave Ahead of Test Secular Bear Trendline since 1992 Year Top – Key Level 3.13%

MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

( Weekly Chart )

needed Confirmation – EOM – First – April

Italy 10Y Bond Yield  Battlefield

2.50% – 3.00% 3.13%

ATA Investment Conclusion

Special Focus on 

Present Psychological 2.50% – 3.00% Active Zone

Research New Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick

New ECB and Fed Actions  &  Italy – Eurozone Macro 

never forget

Next Italy Debt like US Debt Strike can move  Others…

First…GLOBAL DEBT MARKET

Second… European Stock Markets and US WALL STREET

Finally…GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET 

with

NEW GOLDEN RUSH…

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – April

Italy 10Y Bond Yield  Weekly Charts

10.03.2018

Your new TVC

18.05.2018

Your new TVC (5)

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (5)

29.05.2018

Your new TVC (13)

30.05.2018

Your new TVC (19)

&

2Y & 10Y ITALY BONDS YELD Charts  with  FIB ZONES :

29.05.2018

Your new TVC (14)
Your new TVC (15)
Your new TVC (16)
Your new TVC (17)

30.05.2018

Your new TVC (21)
Your new TVC (20)

20.08.2018

10Y ITALY B Y-W

24.08.2018

italy debt

28.09.2018

10y italy - line -w

12.10.2018

10y italy - line -w

26.10.2018

10y italy - line -w

Italy 10Y Bond Yield  Monthly & Weekly  Charts

22.03.2022 – EOW

GERMAN BOND YIELD – DEBT Double Impact -ECB Lagarde Dovish vs Inflation Fever…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

GERMAN YIELD –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2016

10.06.2016 – GERMAN DEBT SECOND ( LAST…!!??? ) MARKET SHINING …

14.06.2016 – GERMAN GROUND ZERO – GLOBAL DEBT MANIA…

13.09.2016 – GERMAN 10Y BOND YIELD – RISING TO THE SURFACE…

24.07.2016 – GERMAN 10Y BOND YIELD – EUROPEAN RISK ON/OFF VECTOR…

28.10.2016 – GERMAN DEBT – ACTIVE ATA REVERSAL SCENARIO…

2019

31.03.2019 –  GERMAN DEBT – JAPANIFICATION SCENARIO …

6.07.2019 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – Deutschland Deutschland unter Alles…

13.07.2019 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – from Last DEBT RUSH to Real DEBT AMBUSH…

2020

10.05.2020 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – Horizontal Drift with Volatility Shocks…

17.05.2020 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – No Down Move on German Economy Gotterdammerung…

4.06.2020 GERMAN BOND YIELD – DEBT BEARS in ACTION…

with

ATA Following …

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

GERMAN 10Y BOND YIELD  Major Motives

German 10Y Bond Yield Dynamic Bull Wave Continuation 

on

Eurozone – Germany Inflation Fever

even with Last

ECB Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

and

EUROZONE & EURO Structural Risk 

ITALY- ” Dead Country Walking ”

only with Central Help – ECB economic life-support machine…

EURO Master F/X  Vector for  GERMAN 10Y BOND YIELD 

with

US 10Y Bond Yield Dynamic Bull Path

Fed Mega Hawkish Scenario

Mainstream Fed Hawkish Panic

and

Russia – Ukraine War

Inflaction Shock

Stagflation Risk

with

Wall Street and Global Indexes – Bulls Dynamic Contraction Stopped vs still above War Low Zones

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Global Master Currencies Pathfinder

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone  Reactivation

after

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

Bull Dynamic Contraction  from 13.000 still Stopped for Now

and

Bear Contraction Continuation  from 15.300 Zone under 14.000 

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Reactivation

with

Bull Dynamic Strikes still Stopped for Now

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone  S&P500 to 4600 Zone

and

Bear Contractions Continuation

DJIA from 35.300 Zone under 34.500 

S&P500 from 4.600 Zone under 4.500 

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

Germany – Eurozone Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on ECB 

but with

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

vs

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

with still Active

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Debt Rising

and

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

with

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Fight Continuation

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Active 

after

Bull Reversal Pattern – W Intraday H5 Key Level 97.80

USD Bull Strike Continuation from 97.80 Zone  above Master Psychological Key Level 100  

with

Last Bear Short Term Contraction from Key Level 100.50 to 99.50

and

Latest Bull Short Term Strike  from Key Level 99.50 to 100.80 Zone ( Max 100.76 )

vs

Bear Short Term Move under 100.50 to 100.30

on 

Fed Extreme Hawkish Predictions Explosions

Fed Hawkish Mainstream Panic

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active

but with

Latest Daily Bull Candlestick – Long Upper Shadow

FX Bear Correction  Intraday H5 Action

Now dominating

Bull Wave Domination still above 100 – EOW 100.30

Bear Correction – back under 100.50 Test Lower 100.30

Active Zone Key Levels  100-100.30  –  100.50-100.80

special focus on

Master Psychological Key Level 100

( EOW 100.30 )

First of All…ATA from 15.09.2018 

Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! ” 

First…ATA from  4.06.2020

” first of all  still Active

HALTED  FALL 

Mega Long Term Downtrend  stopped for Now 

since August 2019

Activated

Bull Reversal Pattern – Inverted 2B

Key Level  – 0.73% 

still Active

Present Bull Contraction 

Back above Psychological Key Level – 0.50% 

&

Ahead of Higher Psychological Key Level – 0.20% 

Second…10Y GERMAN BOND YIELD –  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Monthly View 

First of All 

After

First…Activated Bull Reversal Pattern – Inverted 2B – March 2020 – Covid Panic

Key Level  – 0.73% 

Second…Bull Strike above Higher Key Level  – 0.10%  – June 2016 – March 2019 Lows Zone

Finally…Bull Strike above

Master Psychological Key Level  0% – January 2022

Higher 0.15% – March 2022

Now still dominating

Bull Wave

but with

Present Testing

First Major Resistance Zone

First…Higher Psychological Key Level 0.80% Zone – June 2015 – February 2018 Tops Zone

Second…30% Fib Ret Bear Wave 0.80% Zone ( stricte 0.7749 ) 2008 – 2020 Years

needed Confirmation – EOM – First – April

with

MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

German 10Y Bond Yield  Battlefield

0.15% – 0.80-83 1.00%

ATA Investment Conclusion

Special Focus on 

Present Psychological Key Level 0.80% Zone

Research New Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick

New ECB and Fed Actions  &  Germany – Eurozone Macro 

never forget

Next German Debt like US Debt Strike can move  Others…

First…GLOBAL DEBT MARKET

Second… DAX – European Stock Markets and US WALL STREET

Finally…GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET 

with

NEW GOLDEN RUSH…

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – April

Germany 10Y Bond Yield   Monthly & Weekly  Charts

24.07.2016 – Monthly , Weekly  & Daily  

13.09.2016 – Weekly

28.10.2016 – Weekly

29.03.2019 – EOM – March

German Yield - M
German Yield - M - Focus
German Yield - M - Focus - Focus

5.07.2019 – EOW 

German Yield - M
German Yield - M - Focus
German Yield - M - Focus - Focus

GERMANY  10Y BOND YIELD  – Monthly & Weekly Charts  :

12.07.2019 – EOW 

German Yield - M - Line
German Yield - M - Line - Focus
German Yield - M - Focus
German Yield - W

GERMANY  10Y BOND YIELD  – Monthly & Weekly Charts  :

8.05.2020 – EOW 

German Yield - M - Line
German Yield - M - Line - Focus
German Yield - M - Focus
German Yield - W

15.05.2020 – EOW 

German Yield - M - Line
German Yield - M
German Yield - W

Germany 10Y Bond Yield  Monthly Charts

3.06.2020 – EOD

German Yield - M - Line
German Yield - M

15.04.2022 – EOW

DB Agriculture Fund – Secular View – Bulls Strange Action Fight vs No Run on Food Inflation Fever…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

DB Agriculture Fund – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

14.04.2020 – DB Agriculture Fund – Secular View in USD, Climate & Coronavirus Shadows …

21.10.2020 – DB Agriculture Fund – Secular View – Bulls Strike Back…

2021

18.10.2021 DB Agriculture Fund – Secular View – Negative Divergence -Bulls Strike Stopped since May vs Mainstream Media non stop creating Food Inflation Panic…

DB Agriculture Fund  Present Main Motives

Global Shocks Era and Climate Changes

Food Shock

Inflation Shock

Stagflation Risk

Russia – Ukraine War

with

Wall Street and Global Indexes – Bulls Dynamic Contraction Stopped vs still above War Low Zones

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Global Master Currencies Pathfinder

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone  Reactivation Risk

after

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

Bull Dynamic Contraction  from 13.000 still Stopped for Now

vs

Bear Contraction Continuation  from 15.300 Zone to 14.300 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Reactivation Risk

with

Bull Dynamic Strikes still Stopped for Now

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone  S&P500 to 4600 Zone

vs

Bear Contractions Continuation

DJIA from 35.300 Zone vs above 34.500 

S&P500 from 4.600 Zone under 4.500 

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

with still Active

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Debt Rising

and

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

with

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Fight still Active

ECB Meeting Hawkish

ECB Lagarde Dovish

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Active vs Bear Reversal Strike

after

Bull Reversal Pattern – W Intraday H5 Key Level 97.80

USD Bull Strike Continuation  from 97.80 Zone to above Master Psychological Key Level 100  

vs

Present Bear Short Term Contraction from Key Level 100.20 to 99.80

on 

Fed Extreme Hawkish Predictions Explosions

Fed Hawkish Mainstream Panic

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination Stopped for Now

Bear Reversal Candlestick Patterns

Intraday H5 Spinning Top

Daily Shooting Star

FX Bear Correction Action

Now dominating

Bear Short Term Correction

Bull  Bear Intraday Fight in 99.80 Zone

Active Zone Key Levels  99.80  –  100

( EOW 99.79 )

First…ATA from  18.10.2021

” Now dominating

Bull Wave Stopped and Consolidation

Testing Fib Ret 30% Bear Wave started March 2011

with

Short Term Up vs Down Strikes in Master Psychological Key Level  20  USD

special focus on

Present Master Psychological Key Level  20  USD

with

Fib Ret Both Bear Waves

Second…Present  DB Agriculture Fund  Situation

AGRICULTURE FUND  SECULAR PERSPECTIVE

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN  SECULAR  ACTION  

Monthly View 

First of All  All Time

Present Active  Range 

20 – 23 25 USD ( Line Chart )

20 – 23 25 USD ( Candlestick Chart )

with

Master Psychological Key Level  20  USD

changed

from Resistance ( October 2020 )

to Support ( April 2022 )

ATA DB Agriculture Fund  Secular Research

After

First…Created

Major All Time High Top before Lehman

Second…Activated

Major Bear Reversal Pattern – M  – 2008 year 

2B  Pattern – 2011 year

Secular

Bear Channel  ( Line Chart )

Ending Diagonal ( Candlestick Chart )

and

Bull Wave  started November 2020

above

Upper Edge Bear Channel  Key Level 15  USD 

Upper Edge Ending Diagonal Key Level 15.30  USD 

with

Bull Wave Stopped and Consolidation May – December 2021

Test  Psychological Key Level 20 USD Zone

Now dominating

Bull Wave Continuation

Move > Psychological Key Level 20 USD

Present

Testing Higher Key Level 23 USD Zone

Fighting in Fib Ret 38.2%  22 USD Zone Bear Wave started March 2011

Short Term Up vs Down Strikes in Key Levels 22 – 23  USD

and

February March Monthly Shooting Stars – Upper Shadows

April Bull Monthly Candlestick – needed Confirmation – EOM

MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

Ahead of

Bulls Higher Targets

Key Level 23 USD Zone Key Lows 2008 – 2010 Years Key Tops 2015 – 2016 Years

( StockCharts Chart )

Fib Ret 44.7% 50%  23 – 24.50 USD Zone Bear Wave started March 2011

Fib Ret 38.2% 25 USD Zone Bear Wave started March 2008

( Candlestick Chart )

DB Agriculture Fund   Battlefield

20 – 23 25 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Active Zone 20 – 23 25 USD

Master Support Key Level  20  USD

with

Fib Ret Both Bear Waves

Bear Wave started March 2011

Bear Wave started March 2008 Lehman

and

Research New Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick

with focus on

Agro Food – Macro – War News

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – April

DB Agriculture Fund   Monthly  Charts

9.04.2020 – EOD

Agriculture - M - Line
Agriculture - M

20.10.2020 – EOD

15.10.2021 – EOD

8.04.2022 – EOW

US 10Y BOND YIELD – Fed Super Hawkish Fever…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

US 10Y BOND YIELD  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation…

2018

10.01.2018  –  US BONDS – END(LESS) SUMMER MOVE ON…

30.01.2018  – US 10Y BOND YIELD WARNING…

14.02.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – The Show Must Go On…

25.04.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Who Wants to Live Forever…

16.05.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Mainstream Media Panic…

27.05.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – PERFECT AMBUSH…

15.09.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Strategic Attack on Psychological 3%…

4.11.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – GAME CHANGER in Action…

18.11.2018 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – TACTICAL SAFE BACK…

2019

16.01.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back to Neutral Zone…

1.04.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – NO MEGA SAFE ESCAPE…

29.05.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Awakening & Run to Safe Haven…

22.06.2019 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – from DEBT RUSH to DEBT AMBUSH…

7.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH PROBABILITY RISING …

13.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH SCENARIO GOES ON…

2020 

10.05.2020 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Bulls vs Bears Fighting in Debt Abyss…

16.05.2020 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – No Bear Strike on US Macro Most Disaster in over 100 Years…

5.06.2020 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back from US Debt Abyss…

8.08.2020 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Waiting for Debt Godot…

28.08.2020 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – POWELL(LESS)…

2021

7.01.2021 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – PERFECT BULL WAVE…

17.02.2021 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – MASTER DEBT TEST AHEAD…

22.02.2021 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – ” WHO WANTS TO PRINT FOREVER “

2.03.2021 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – Debt Smart Money Perfect Action…

17.03.2021 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – Super Touchdown Ahead of Fed…

16.07.2021 US 10Y BOND YIELD – Perspective after March Super Touchdown…

with

ATA Following …

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Major Motives

US 10Y Bond Yield Dynamic Bull Wave Continuation 

on

Fed Mega Hawkish Scenario

Fed March Rate Hike

Dynamic QT – Start May

Dynamic Rate Hikes – Next FOMC Meetings

with

Mainstream Fed Hawkish Panic

and

Russia – Ukraine War

Inflaction Shock

Stagflation Risk

with

Wall Street and Global Indexes – Bulls Dynamic Contraction Stopped vs still above War Low Zones

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Global Master Currencies Pathfinder

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone  Reactivation Risk

after

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

Bull Dynamic Contraction  from 13.000 still Stopped for Now

vs

Bear Contraction Continuation  from 15.300 Zone to 14.300 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Reactivation Risk

with

Bull Dynamic Strikes still Stopped for Now

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone  S&P500 to 4600 Zone

vs

Bear Contractions Continuation

DJIA from 35.300 Zone vs above 34.500 

S&P500 from 4.600 Zone under 4.500 

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

with still Active

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Debt Rising

and

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

with

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Fight still Active

ECB Meeting Hawkish

ECB Lagarde Dovish

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Active vs Bear Reversal Strike

after

Bull Reversal Pattern – W Intraday H5 Key Level 97.80

USD Bull Strike Continuation  from 97.80 Zone to above Master Psychological Key Level 100  

vs

Present Bear Short Term Contraction from Key Level 100.20 to 99.80

on 

Fed Extreme Hawkish Predictions Explosions

Fed Hawkish Mainstream Panic

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination Stopped for Now

Bear Reversal Candlestick Patterns

Intraday H5 Spinning Top

Daily Shooting Star

FX Bear Correction Action

Now dominating

Bear Short Term Correction

Bull  Bear Intraday Fight in 99.80 Zone

Active Zone Key Levels  99.80  –  100

( EOW 99.79 )

First of All…ATA from 15.09.2018 

– Financial Decade after Lehman Panic… –

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! ” 

First…ATA from  16.07.2021

” Now dominating

Dynamic Bear Contraction from Secular Bear Trendline – 1.80% Zone

Back under Psychological Key Level 1.50% 

with

Present Testing Lower Psychological Key Level 1.30% Zone

Second…Present  US 10Y BOND YIELD  Situation

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

First of All

after Activated

First…

Long Term 2B Bear Reversal Pattern

Psychological Key Level 3.00% 

2014 – 2018 Year Horizon

stricte

US 10Y Bond Yield –  Bull Trap – Perfect Ambush 

Second…

Bearish US Yield  Scenario 

Bear Wave

with

Test 0.30% Key Level Zone 

( stricte 0.318% )

2020 March

Third…

Perfect Touchdown stricte Old Secular Bear Trendline

Bull Contraction to Psychological Key Level 1.80% Zone

2021 March

( stricte 1.776% )

Fourth…

Bear Contraction to Lower Master Psychological Key Level 1% Zone

Test 44.7% Fib Ret Key Level 1.12 Zone Bull Wave March 2020 – March 2021

Monthly Close > 38.2% Fib Ret – Key Level 1.21 Zone

Monthly Bull Reversal PatternM Key Level 1.13 Zone

( stricte 1.128 1.127 )

June – July 2021

Now dominating

Dynamic Bull Wave  above  Old and New Secular Bear Trendline – 2.55% Key Level

Bull Move > New Secular Bear Trendline  needed Conformation – EOM

with

Present Testing Higher  Key Level 2.70% Zone

Ahead of Higher

Fib Ext First Bull Wave March 2020 – March 2021 2.77 3.00 3.30 Zones

Fib Ret Bear Wave October 2018 – March 2020 3.00 3.30 Zones

and

MACD Monthly Buy Signal

US Yield Secular Term Picture

showing

Hard Dynamic Stopped of Secular Bear Scenario Domination 

Dynamic Rasing US Yield

with

Activated Bull Reversal Pattern – Inverted 2B – Key Level 1.50% Zone

2012 – 2016 – 2021 Years Horizon

and

Break for Now New Secular Bear Trendline

What Most Importnat

in the Wider Market Perspective 

still dominating

Secular Bear Channel 

Bull Move > New Secular Bear Trendline  needed Conformation – EOM

Long Term Game Changer

First.. No Back under New Secular Bear Trendline – 2.55% Key Level

Bull Hard Strike above Master Higher Key Level 3.00%

always remember

Yield Bull Trap 2018 Year Scenario

Broken  Old Secular Bear Trendline – 2.50% Key Level

Ended by Perfect Ambush – Bull Trap  in Psychological Key Level 3.00% Zone

Finally Canceled

Long Term Bull Reversal and New Bull Market Scenario

ATA Research Conclusion

special focus on

Present Active Master  Zone 2.50% – 3.00 3.30%

Old Secular Bear Trendline –  Key Level 2.50%

Tops Zone 2013 and 2018 Year Key Levels 3.00% – 3.30%

ATA  Research  still Active Thesis  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD  Master Trigger

Now  still Most  depends  of…

Fed & Powell Strikes  with  US Macro Figures 

and of course

War News

US 10Y Bond Yield  Battlefield

2.50% – 3.00 3.30%

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

Present Active Master  Zone 2.50% – 3.00 3.30%

Research New Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick

New Fed Actions  &  US Macro 

never forget

Next US DEBT Strike can move  others…

First…DEBT MARKETS

Second…WALL STREET

Finally…GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET 

with

NEW GOLDEN RUSH…

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – April

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly Charts

10.01.2018

Your new TVC.png

30.01.2018

Your new TVC

14.02.2018

Your new TVC (5)

25.04.2018

Your new TVC (5)

16.05.2018

Your new TVC (4)

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (7)

14.09.2018

US BONDS

2.11.2018

US BONDS

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly  & Daily Charts 

16.11.2018

US BONDS - M
US BONDS - M - 1
US BONDS - D

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts 

16.01.2019

us bonds - m
us bonds - w
us bonds - d

1.04.2019

US Yield - M
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

29.05.2019

US Yield - M
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

21.06.2019

US Yield - M
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

5.07.2019

US Yield - M
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

12.07.2019

US Yield - M
US Yield - M - Focus
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts 

8.05.2020

US Yield - M
US Yield - M - Focus
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

15.05.2020

US Yield - M
US Yield - M - Focus
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly  Charts

4.06.2020 – EOD 

US Yield - M - Line
US Yield - M

7.08.2020 – EOD

US Yield - M - Line
US Yield - M

27.08.2020 – Assian Session

US Yield - M - Line
US Yield - M - Focus

6.01.2021 – EOD

16.02.2021 – EOD

22.02.2021 – before European Session Start

1.03.2021 – Assian Session

17.03.2021 – before Start European Session

16.07.2021 – European Session Start Phase

8.04.2022 – EOW

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