OIL – All Time on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
2016
29.07.2016 – OIL SHOT DOWN – NO SUPRISE for ATA…
6.08.2016 – OIL – BLACK GOLD COME BACK…
20.08 2016 – OIL – Market & Mainstream Media Trends…
15.10.2016 – OIL STILL ON GREEN TRACK…
2018
7.05.2018 – OIL – FIBONACCI WARNING…!!!
11.05.2018 – OIL – IRAN Motive vs Fibonacci…
28.05.2018 – BLACK OIL DOWN…
1.07.2018 – OIL – TRUMP – Saudi Arabia Motive & Fibonacci…
9.07.2018 – OIL – CHINA – IRAN Motive & Fibonacci…
12.07.2018 – OIL – Mainstream Verbal Trend vs Fibonacci…
19.07.2018 – OIL-FIBONACCI WINNING…
29.07.2018 – OIL – PRICE SUNSET…
5.08.2018 – OIL-GEOPOLITICAL SPECULATION BURNOUT…
9.08.2018 – OIL – NO IRAN FEAR…
26.08.2018 – OIL – RUN OUT OF IMPET…
8.09.2018 – OIL – BLACK GOLD STILL NOT SHINING…
16.10.2018 – OIL vs IRAN Sanctions – waiting for November…
3.11.2018 – OIL OFF vs IRAN SANCTIONS ON…
14.11.2018 – OIL – BLACK GOLD PANIC…
2019
16.01.2019 – OIL – V Sharp Correction…
28.04.2019 – OIL – WASHINGTON vs TEHRAN CLASH…
20.07.2019 – OIL – HORMUZ GEOPOLITICAL IRANIAN STRIKE…
7.08.2019 – OIL – Global Slowdown & Recession Barometer…
2.09.2019 – OIL – BLACK GOLD STATUS QUO…
11.09.2019 – OIL – Global Slowing vs Central Easing…
15.09.2019 – OIL – Saudi Aramco Drone Strike…
16.09.2019 – OIL – Hot Reaction after Aramco Drone Strike…
17.09.2019 – OIL – Black Gold Picture after Saudi Dust Fall…
20.09.2019 – OIL – SAUDI vs IRAN Rising Risk with US Sanctions Iran National Bank…
2.10.2019 – OIL – from Saudi Aramco Halted Panic to Dynamic Shot Down …
18.10.2019 – OIL – No Black Gold Bull Ecstasy Warning…
4.11.2019 – OIL – ARAMCO STORYTELLING & PUMPING MOTIVE…
19.11.2019 – OIL – ARAMCO IS NOT ENOUGH…
24.11.2019 – OIL – OPEC Meeting & Aramco pre-IPO Roadshow – Key Playing Motives…
29.11.2019 – OIL – Russian Black Friday Sell Off…
5.12.2019 – OIL – Saudi Shot Up…
8.12.2019 – OIL – OPEC OPEC+ & Aramco – Double Motive…
with
ATA Following …
Saudi Aramco
15.12.2019 – Saudi Aramco – Giant in Smart Money OIL Play…
Saudi Arabia TASI
15.12.2019 – Saudi Arabia TASI – No Euphory after Aramco Stock Market Debut…
Present OIL Key Motives
One of the Deepest Oil Output Cuts
OPEC & OPEC+ Members Final Cut Agreement
an extra 500,000 barrels per day for Q1/2020
the total to 1.7 million bpd , 1.7% of global demand
OPEC – an extra 372,000 bpd
OPEC+ mostly Russia – an extra 131,000 bpd
&
Saudi Aramco Stock Market Super Debut
Rising to Valuation in 2 Trillion USD Zone
vs
still Active
NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE
Wall Street New December All Time Highs
USD Rising Contraction
&
OIL
still dominating
Market Clinch
above 59 USD
vs
under Psychological Key Level 60 USD
even after
US – CHINA TRADE SAGA
Phase One Trade Deal Done
BREXIT SAGA
UK General Election-UK PM Johnson Win
&
MAINSTREAM MEDIA WALL STREET ECSTASY
FED – Master Central Factor
NEW EASING WAVE ” NOT QE4 ”
vs
TIME GAME 2020 Scenario
with
MAIN CENTRAL BANKS DOVISH
vs
GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK
GLOBAL EQUITIES & BONDS SELL OFF HIGH RISK
Global & CHINA – US – EU – UK Slowdown & Recession Risk
with
SYRIA – TURKEY , IRAN & North Korea
First…ATA from 8.12.2019
” Now dominating
Rising Wave
EOW above Key Level 58 USD
&
Testing Resistance Zone
Psychological Key Level 60 USD
vs
still under 60 USD ”
&
ATA OIL-Aramco-TASI Tweets…
Second…Present OIL Situation
OIL MEDIUM TERM SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN MEDIUM TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
After
First…Activated Last W Pattern
Key Level 55 USD
Second…Dynamic Shot Up
after
OPEC & OPEC+ Cut
&
Aramco Super Debut & Rising
Now still dominating
Rising Wave
EOW above Key Level 59 USD
&
Testing Resistance Zone
Psychological Key Level 60 USD
vs
No Dynamic Bull Move
still under 60 USD
with
Activated
2B Pattern – Key Level 59.83 USD
&
Risk of Future Active Bear Reversal
2B Pattern – Key Level 58.50 USD
with Last
Weekly Bull Candlestick
Daily Bull Candlestick
but with
Upper Shadow
H5 Intraday Candlesticks
First…Very Long Upper Shadow
Second…Bear Strike
&
MACD Weekly Daily H5 Buy Signals
OIL Present Battlefield
58.50-59.30-50 vs 60-63-66 USD
ATA Investment Conclusion
Now still Special Focus on
New OPEC ; OPEC+ Cut Commentary
with
Aramco Stock Trend
&
58.50-59.30-50 vs 60-63-66 USD Zone
with
FIB RET Last Wave Down
Special 78.6%
( Daily Chart )
N – TIMES
F/X Maximes
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…Monday H1-H4 -EOD
Second…EOD-s & EOW-s
Final…EOM – December
by the Black Gold way
don’t forget
Oil – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…
OIL WARNING
Wall Street Back again to Last All Time High Zone
vs
OIL still in Lower Price Zone & under Psychological 60 USD
OIL Weekly Charts :
20.08.2016
15.10.2016
7.05.2018
11.05.2018
25.05.2018
29.06.2018
9.07.2018
12.07.2018
19.07.2018
27.07.2018
3.08.2018
9.08.2018
24.08.2018
7.09.2018
16.10.2018
2.11.2018
14.11.2018
OIL Weekly & Daily Charts
16.01.2019
26.04.2019
OIL Weekly , Daily & Intraday- H5 Charts
19.07.2019
7.08.2019
2.09.2019 ( End Phase European Session )
11.09.2019 ( Start American Session )
13.09.2019 ( EOW )
16.09.2019 ( Start US Session )
17.09.2019 ( before Start US Session )
20.09.2019 ( Second Half US Session )
2.10.2019 ( First Phase European Session )
18.10.2019 ( First Phase US Session )
4.11.2019 ( Half European Session )
19.11.2019 ( Half European Session )
22.11.2019 – EOW
29.11.2019 – EOW – EOM
5.12.2019 ( First Phase US Session )
6.12.2019 – EOW
13.12.2019 – EOW ( Futures Present Active Series 59.77 USD )
