OIL – All Time on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
OIL – Long Term & Secular Perspective
2019 Last
15.12.2019 – OIL – No Black Gold Ecstasy after OPEC OPEC+ & Aramco Double Super Impact…
2020
5.01.2020 – OIL – IRAN Black Gold Strike…
7.01.2020 – OIL – Back under September 2019 Top vs IRAN Rising Risk…
13.01.2020 – OIL – Dynamic Fall on No IRAN War Euphory…
9.03.2020 – OIL – BLACK ABYSS…
2.04.2020 – OIL – Black Gold Secular Perspective vs Present China Rescue Strike…
10.04.2020 – OIL – Secular View after Saudi-Russia Dust Down…
13.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon vs OPEC+ Game of Interests with “Historic” Deal…
19.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Perspective vs Mega Contango…
20.04.2020 – OIL – Black Gold Waterfall striking Secular Trendline in Flash of Mega Contango…
&
OIL – Short Term
20.04.2020 – OIL – Mega Contango in Black Speculation…
20.04.2020 – OIL – MINSKY MOMENT…
21.04.2020 – OIL – the Day after Minsky Moment…
21.04.2020 – OIL – CME June in Bear Action – CME May Minsky Moment Deja Vu Real Risk…
21.04.2020 – OIL CME June – Americans back to Black Gold Speculation Game…
22.04.2020 – OIL CME June – Calm Time after & before Next Dealing Cards in Black Poker…
24.04.2020 – OIL CME June – Black Poker New Dealing Cards – Bull Contraction after Calm…
with
ATA Following …
DXY
20.01.2019 – DXY – NO F/X CAPITULATION…
Present Master OIL Motives
Goldman Sachs OIL Active Warning
Another Oil Price Crash
Global Oil Storage Full In 3-4 Weeks
“Crunch Time” – It could happen again
Combination of Factors :
weak demand, excess supply, shortage of storage
made it likely that
oil prices will drop below zero again next month
but for Now
CME June
Calm & Bull Contraction
after earlier
CME May Minsky Moment
&
Bears Lost Momentum
Bear Action Stopped
No CME May Minsky Moment Deja Vu
vs
June – July CME Contracts Shrinking Contango
EOW
Crude Oil CME June – Now 17.18 USD
Crude Oil CME July – Now 21.25 USD
ATA OIL Conclusion
Giants OIL Smart Money Bull Contraction
on
TRUMP – US Economy Reopen Decision
after
Last Hard Destruction Strikes
vs
still Active
Perfect RISK OFF Motives in Oil Strategic Game
Big OIL Era End – RISK OFF Scenario
&
Putin – Russia Bankruptcy Open Option
USRR Red Empire Fall Deja Vu
with
USD Master F/X Vector for OIL
&
Global Coronavirus Pandemic – still High Risk
with
Global Slowdown or Recession Extreme High Risk
First…ATA from 20.04.2020 – OIL – Black Gold Waterfall striking Secular Trendline in Flash of Mega Contango…
” All Time Active
Major Oil Pattern
Secular Falling Wedge
vs
Secular Rising Trendline
&
Secular Major Lows
OIL MAGIC TEN
1986 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 9.75 )
1999 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 10.35 ) ”
&
ATA OIL Key Tweets
Second…Present OIL Secular Situation
OIL SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN SECULAR ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
Present Oil Contract Series – CME June & July
First of All
All Time Active even after CME May Minsky Moment
Major Oil Patterns
Secular Falling Wedges
2 Wedges : Falling & Inverted ( Line Chart )
special for Now
Inverted Wedge – Lower Edge – Key Level 13 USD
( Line Chart )
&
Secular Rising Trendlines
Key Levels 12.50 – 13 USD Zone ( Line Chart )
Key Levels 14-15 USD Zone ( Candlestick Chart )
of course with
Secular Major Lows
OIL MAGIC TEN
1986 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 9.75 )
1999 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 10.35 )
ATA OIL Secular Research
Secular Falling Wedge & Secular Trendline still ON
after Activated
Broken Lower Edge
Psychological Key Level 30 USD ( Line Chart )
&
Break Down Psychological Key Level 20 USD
after earlier
only Pullback to Lower Edge of Secular Wedge
Key Level 23 USD ( Candlestick Chart )
&
Oil Crash with CME May Minsky Moment
CME June
Waterfall strike in 5 USD Zone
CME May
Dynamic Fall off the Cliff ” 0″
Test Incredible Negative Key Level -40 USD Zone
( Low -40.32 USD 20.04.2020 )
with
First…Time Break Down
Secular Trendline & 1998 -1986 Lows
Second…Dynamic Back above
” Magic Ten “ – 1998 -1986 Lows
Secular Trendline
( Candlestick Chart )
Now dominating
Back above Higher Psychological Key Level 15 USD
with
Real Open Option – Attack Psychological Key Level 20 USD
vs
Dynamic Shrink Contango
Next Oil Contract Series much higher Prices
OIL CME July Contract Futures
Now 21.25 USD
with
April Mega Volatility
April Monthly Candlestick Small Real body
Mega Long Upper & Lower Shadows
special Lower Shadow
but still active
MACD Monthly Sell Signal
Long Term Negative Divergence
OIL Present Battlefield
Present Oil Contract Serie – CME June
5 10 -15 vs 18 -20 23 25 – 30 USD
with
Psychological Key Levels 5 10 – 15 20 – 25 – 30 USD
ATA Investment Conclusion
Present Oil Contract Series – CME June
Special Focus on
10 vs 20 USD
with
Psychological Key Levels 10 – 20 USD
&
Research New Pattern
Classical & Candlestick
and of course
New Coronavirus News
vs
New OPEC+, Saudi Arabia, Russia & Central Banks Strikes
N – TIMES
F/X Maximes
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOM – April
by the Black Gold way
always remember
Oil – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…
OIL Weekly , Daily & Intraday- H5 Charts :
13.12.2019 – EOW ( Futures Present Active Series 59.77 USD )
3.01.2020 – EOW
7.01.2020 ( First Half US Session )
13.01.2020 ( First Half US Session )
OIL Weekly , Daily & Intraday- H4 Charts :
9.03.2020 ( First Half US Session )
OIL Monthly Charts
2.04.2020 ( before start US Session )
9.04.2020 – EOD
13.04.2020 – ( before Start European Session )
17.04.2020 – EOD
OIL Monthly Charts
20.04.2020 – OIL CME June ( Start European Session )
21.04.2020 – OIL CME May – EOD – MINSKY MOMENT
24.04.2020 – OIL CME June – EOD