OIL – Secular Perspective after Minsky Moment…

OIL  –  All Time  on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

OIL – Long Term & Secular Perspective

2019 Last

15.12.2019 –  OIL – No Black Gold Ecstasy after OPEC OPEC+ & Aramco Double Super Impact…

2020 

5.01.2020 –  OIL – IRAN Black Gold Strike…

7.01.2020 –  OIL – Back under September 2019 Top vs IRAN Rising Risk…

13.01.2020 –  OIL – Dynamic Fall on No IRAN War Euphory…

9.03.2020 –  OIL – BLACK ABYSS…

2.04.2020 –  OIL – Black Gold Secular Perspective vs Present China Rescue Strike…

10.04.2020 – OIL – Secular View after Saudi-Russia Dust Down…

13.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon vs OPEC+ Game of Interests with “Historic” Deal…

19.04.2020 –  OIL – Secular Perspective vs Mega Contango…

20.04.2020 –  OIL – Black Gold Waterfall striking Secular Trendline in Flash of Mega Contango…

&

OIL – Short  Term 

20.04.2020 –  OIL – Mega Contango in Black Speculation…

20.04.2020 –  OIL – MINSKY MOMENT…

21.04.2020 –  OIL – the Day after Minsky Moment…

21.04.2020 –  OIL – CME June in Bear Action – CME May Minsky Moment Deja Vu Real Risk…

21.04.2020 –  OIL CME June – Americans back to Black Gold Speculation Game…

22.04.2020 –  OIL CME June – Calm Time after & before Next Dealing Cards in Black Poker…

24.04.2020 –  OIL CME June – Black Poker New Dealing Cards – Bull Contraction after Calm…

with

ATA Following …

DXY

20.01.2019 –  DXY – NO F/X CAPITULATION…

 

Present Master  OIL  Motives

Goldman Sachs  OIL Active Warning

Another Oil Price Crash

Global Oil Storage Full In 3-4 Weeks

“Crunch Time” –  It could happen again

Combination of   Factors :

weak demand, excess supply,  shortage of storage

made it likely that

oil prices will drop below zero again next month

but for Now

CME June 

Calm & Bull Contraction

after earlier

CME May Minsky Moment 

&

Bears Lost Momentum

Bear Action Stopped  

No CME May Minsky Moment Deja Vu 

vs

June – July CME Contracts Shrinking Contango 

EOW

Crude Oil CME June  – Now 17.18 USD

Crude Oil CME July  – Now  21.25 USD

 

ATA OIL  Conclusion 

Giants  OIL Smart Money Bull Contraction 

on

TRUMP – US Economy Reopen Decision 

after

Last Hard  Destruction Strikes 

vs

still Active

Perfect RISK OFF Motives  in Oil Strategic Game 

Big OIL Era End –  RISK OFF Scenario 

&

Putin – Russia Bankruptcy  Open Option 

USRR Red Empire Fall  Deja Vu 

with

USD Master F/X  Vector for OIL 

&

Global Coronavirus Pandemic – still High Risk 

with

Global Slowdown or Recession Extreme High Risk

 

OIL - 30

 

First…ATA  from  20.04.2020  –  OIL – Black Gold Waterfall striking Secular Trendline in Flash of Mega Contango…

” All Time Active

Major Oil Pattern 

Secular Falling Wedge 

vs

Secular Rising Trendline 

&

Secular Major Lows 

OIL MAGIC TEN 

1986 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 9.75 )

1999 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 10.35 )   ”

 

&

ATA OIL Key  Tweets

 

 

Second…Present  OIL Secular  Situation 

OIL SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN SECULAR ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Present Oil Contract Series  – CME  June & July

First of All

All Time Active even after  CME May Minsky Moment 

Major Oil Patterns

Secular Falling Wedges

2 Wedges :  Falling & Inverted  ( Line Chart )

special for Now

Inverted Wedge – Lower Edge – Key Level 13 USD 

( Line Chart )

&

Secular Rising Trendlines

Key Levels 12.50 – 13 USD Zone ( Line Chart )

Key Levels 14-15 USD Zone ( Candlestick Chart )

of course with

Secular Major Lows 

OIL MAGIC TEN 

1986 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 9.75 )

1999 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 10.35 )

 

ATA OIL Secular Research 

Secular Falling Wedge & Secular Trendline still ON 

after Activated

Broken Lower Edge 

Psychological Key Level 30 USD  ( Line Chart )

&

Break Down Psychological Key Level 20 USD

after earlier

only Pullback to Lower Edge of  Secular Wedge

Key Level 23 USD  ( Candlestick Chart )

&

Oil Crash with CME May Minsky Moment 

CME June

Waterfall  strike in 5 USD Zone

CME May

Dynamic Fall off the Cliff ” 0″

Test Incredible Negative Key Level -40 USD Zone 

( Low -40.32 USD  20.04.2020 )

with

First…Time Break Down

Secular Trendline & 1998 -1986 Lows 

Second…Dynamic Back above

” Magic Ten “ –  1998 -1986 Lows 

Secular Trendline

 ( Candlestick Chart )

Now dominating

Back above Higher Psychological Key Level 15 USD

with

Real Open Option – Attack  Psychological Key Level 20 USD 

vs

Dynamic Shrink  Contango

Next Oil Contract Series much higher Prices 

OIL CME July Contract Futures

Now  21.25 USD

with

April Mega Volatility 

April Monthly Candlestick Small Real body 

Mega Long  Upper &  Lower Shadows

special Lower Shadow 

but still active

MACD Monthly Sell Signal

Long Term Negative Divergence 

 

OIL Present Battlefield 

Present Oil Contract Serie  – CME  June

5   10 -15    vs    18 -20   23   25 – 30 USD

with

Psychological Key Levels   5 10  – 15  20 – 25 – 30 USD 

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Present Oil Contract Series  – CME June

Special Focus on

10   vs   20   USD

with

Psychological Key Levels  10 – 20  USD 

&

Research New Pattern

Classical   Candlestick 

and of course

New Coronavirus News

vs

New OPEC+, Saudi Arabia, Russia Central Banks Strikes 

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – April

 

by the Black Gold way

always remember

Oil  – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…

 

 

OIL   Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H5  Charts :

13.12.2019 – EOW  (  Futures Present Active Series  59.77 USD ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

3.01.2020 – EOW 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

7.01.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

13.01.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

OIL   Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H4  Charts :

9.03.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H4

OIL Monthly Charts

2.04.2020 (  before start  US Session )

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

9.04.2020 – EOD

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

13.04.2020 – ( before Start European Session ) 

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

17.04.2020 – EOD

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

 

OIL Monthly Charts

20.04.2020 –  OIL CME June  ( Start European Session )

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

21.04.2020 –  OIL CME May  – EOD  – MINSKY MOMENT

OIL - CME - M - May -2020

24.04.2020 –  OIL CME June  – EOD

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

OIL - M - Focus

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