EM CURRENCIES – DXY HOSTAGES…

EM CURRENCIES   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

&

16.06.2018  –  DXY – MASTER KEY TO ALL EM DOORS…

17.06.2018  –  DXY – EM Currency Side of American Dollar…

11.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X NORTHERN STAR for EM CURRENCIES…

18.08.2018 –  DXY vs EM CURRENCIES on TURKISH RATING DOUBLE IMPACT…

2.06.2019 –  EM CURRENCIES – SILENCE before the DXY STORM …

with

ATA Following …

DXY Index 

14.07.2019 –  DXY in FED CLINCH…

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO

14.07.2019 –  EUR/USD – Fighting in FED vs ECB Central Shadow…

GOLD – SILVER Vector 

13.07.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index on Shining Wave…

DEBT Vector 

13.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH SCENARIO GOES ON…

13.07.2019 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – from Last DEBT RUSH to Real DEBT AMBUSH…

 

 

EM CURRENCIES Master Motives

USD Weakness after Powell Testimony before  FED July Rate Cut 

US PPI Rising 

 

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on  Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE & Rate Cut Draghi Verbal on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

 

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt Mega Danger 

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

 

RUSSIA & CHINA Buying Gold 

 

IRAN  NORTH KOREA Risks 

RUSSIA – TURKEY S400 System  

RUSSIA – INDIA  S400 System  

Hong Kong Protests – China Political Risk

 

BRICS

 

First…ATA from  2.06.2019

” DXY is Master Key for EM Currencies

with

Super Master Key Level 98 

MSCI Intl Emerging Market EMEA Currency

for Now is much stronger than

MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency

with

WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy – ETF 

closer tracking

MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency

What’s Most Important  in these Three Markets

Fibonacci is the King  

Focus carefully FIB RET

 ( Monthly Charts )

Smart Money Strike

First on DXY  – Super Master Key Level 98 

Second on EM Currencies

from Present Consolidation Zone 

( Monthly & Weekly Charts )

shows

EM Currencies  Main Direction…!!!  “

 

 

Second…Present EM CURRENCIES  Situation 

 

 

First…Main Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

DXY – US Dollar index 

Secular View 

first of all

SECULAR ENDING DIAGONAL 

still Active DXY VERDUN  by FED CLINCH 

with

Activated 2B Pattern in  98 – 97.70  Key Levels Zone

after

Two Monthly ( April – May ) Candlesticks with Upper Shadow 

 

Finally  in  Consequence  

June Monthly Bear Large Real Body Candlestick

July so far..Monthly Candlestick with Long Upper Shadow 

vs

still above Key MA

1-st Key Support Zone – 96.50

2-nd Key Support Zone – Low January 2019  

3-rd Key Support Zone – Tops October & November 2017 

Psychological  Key Levels  Zone   96.50 – 96  &  95.50 –  95  

with

still active Monthly MACD Buy Signal 

&

still under Weekly FIB RET 61.% Last Wave Down 

( January 2017 – February 2018 ) 

with

active Weekly MACD Sell Signal 

 

 

MSCI Intl Emerging Market EMEA Currency

New Top in Rising Wave from Main Low September 2018 

June Monthly Large Real Body Candlestick 

after

3 Months Lower Consolidation 

( March, April, May ) 

vs

FIB RET  61.8% All Wave Down 

( February – September 2018 )

with

Active for Now…MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

&

New  Weekly Line Top in Present Wave Up 

with

Activated MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency

No New Top in Rising Wave from Main Low September 2018 

still under Key Top from January 2019 

vs

June Monthly Large Real Body Candlestick 

after

4 Months Falling Correction 

(  February March, April, May ) 

vs

FIB RET  50 – 56.4% Zone  All Wave Down 

( February – September 2018 )

with

still Active for Now…MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

&

NO New Weekly Line Top in Present Wave Up 

still Testing  Main Top Zone 

with

Activated MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy – ETF 

New Top in Rising Wave from Main Low September 2018 

June Monthly Large Real Body Candlestick 

after

4 Months Falling Correction 

(  February March, April, May ) 

vs

FIB RET  50%  All Wave Down 

( January – September 2018 )

with

Activated MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

&

New  Weekly Line Top in Present Wave Up 

vs

Weekly Inverted Ending Diagonal Pattern 

with

Activated MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

ATA EM Currencies Investment Conclusion 

DXY is Master Key for EM Currencies

with

DXY VERDUN  by FED CLINCH 

Super Master Key Levels  

98 – 97.70   vs  96.50 – 96  &  95.50 –  95  

Most Important  in these 3 EM  Currency Markets

is Fibonacci – the King  

so

Focus carefully

Next Smart Money Strike on  FED July Verdict Motive 

USD – DXY Index 

&

EM CURRENCIES in FIB RET Zones 

( Monthly Charts )

Final Smart Money  Reaction 

shows

EM Currencies Main Direction…!!!

which depends on

Precision Aswer

to

Master  Central Question 

How Deep will be FED Rate Cut…!!???

not only in July FED Meeting…

 

 

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now July

 

Remember

Chart is Worth more than Thousand Words…!!!

 

 

DXY  &  EM CURRENCY INDEX & ETF   Weekly Charts :

17.06.2018

Your new TVC (10)

Your new TVC (13)

Your new TVC (14)

10.08.2018

DXY-W

EM1 - W

EM2 - W

17.08.2018

DXY -W

MSCI -W

CEW I -W

DXY , MSCI Intl Emerging Market EMEA Currency ,  MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency & WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Monthly & Weekly Charts :

31.05.2019 

DXY V - M

DXY V - W

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - M

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - W

EM CURRENCY - M

EM CURRENCY - W

CEW - M

CEW - W

12.07.2019 

DXY V - M

DXY V - W

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - M

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - W

EM CURRENCY - M

EM CURRENCY - W

CEW - M

CEW - W

Advertisements

DXY in FED CLINCH…

DXY –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

from…

14.02.2018  –  DXY – Close Encounters of the Third Kind…

16.02.2018  –  DXY – The Thin Red Line…

17.03.2018  –  DXY – RISING STAR…

22.03.2018  – FED – THE DAY AFTER US CENTRAL MOTIVE…

27.04.2018  –  DXY – STILL STANDING…

to…

27.05.2018  –  DXY – BIG WAVE UP SURFING…BUT…

7.06.2018  –  DXY – KING IS TIRED…

13.06.2018  – DXY – FED BIG BADA BUM…!!!

16.06.2018  –  DXY – MASTER KEY TO ALL EM DOORS…

17.06.2018  – DXY – EM Currency Side of American Dollar…

23.06.2018  – DXY – SHOT DOWN…

30.06.2018  – DXY – REAL FALLING AGAINST MAINSTREAM MEDIA ” KING ” VOICES…

15.07.2018 –  DXY-STILL LOSING MOMENTUM…

18.07.2018  –  DXY – POWELL – FED MOTIVE…

19.07.2018  –  DXY – NO F/X AIR FLOW…

22.07.2018  – DXY – TRUMP SHOT DOWN…

23.07.2018 –  DXY after G20 Argentina Meeting…

with Last…

1.08.2018  –  DXY vs FED CENTRAL FACTOR…

2.08.2018  – DXY after FED & POWELL…

11.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X NORTHERN STAR for EM CURRENCIES…

12.08.2018 –  DXY -TURKISH GAME CHANGER…

18.08.2018 –  DXY vs EM CURRENCIES on TURKISH RATING DOUBLE IMPACT…

19.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X SAFE HAVEN…

21.08.2018 –  DXY – SHOT DOWN by TRUMP…

23.08.2018 –  DXY – HAWKISH FED MINUTES…

25.08.2018  –  DXY vs All the President’s Men…

28.08.2018 –  DXY – F/X EXECUTION…

15.09.2018  –  Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

20.11.2018 –  DXY – MORE & MORE DANGER GREEN TRACK…

20.01.2019 –  DXY – NO F/X CAPITULATION…

&

20.03.2019 –  DXY – SECULAR TREND… before & beyond FED – POWELL Verbal Action…

23.03.2019 – DXY – SECULAR TREND… after & beyond FED – POWELL Verbal Action…

28.03.2019 –  DXY – SECULAR VIEW with Last Months of F/X VERDUN…

31.03.2019 –  DXY – F/X MARATHON ELITE…

10.06.2019 –  DXY after FED & TRUMP Verbal Sparks…

23.06.2019 –  DXY – FED RATE CUT AHEAD…

with

ATA Following …

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

 

DXY  Main  Motives

USD Weakness after Powell Testimony before  FED July Rate Cut 

US PPI Rising 

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt  Mega Danger 

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on  Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE & Rate Cut Draghi Verbal on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

with

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

&

RUSSIA & CHINA Buying Gold 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

with

IRAN  NORTH KOREA Risks 

RUSSIA – TURKEY S400 System  

RUSSIA – INDIA  S400 System  

Hong Kong Protests – China Political Risk

 

with Special

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO

14.07.2019 –  EUR/USD – Fighting in FED vs ECB Central Shadow…

GOLD – SILVER Vector 

13.07.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index on Shining Wave…

DEBT Vector 

13.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH SCENARIO GOES ON…

13.07.2019 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – from Last DEBT RUSH to Real DEBT AMBUSH…

 

N-times…

FED is Not Only US..is Global Central Bank…

which protects

All Global Financial & Monetary System…

 

US FLAG

 

First…ATA from  23.06.2019

” Big Body Bear Monthly June Candlestick 

vs

still above Key MA

1-st Key Support Zone – Low January 2019  

2-nd Key Support Zone – Tops October & November 2017 

Psychological  Key Levels  Zone  96 –  95.50 –  95  

with

Monthly MACD Buy Signal 

 

&

ATA Tweets…

 

 

Second…Present  DXY  Situation 

 

First…Main Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Secular View 

first of all

SECULAR ENDING DIAGONAL 

&

still Active DXY VERDUN  by FED CLINCH 

with

Activated 2B Pattern in 97.70 – 98 Key Levels Zone

after

Two Monthly ( April – May ) Candlesticks with Upper Shadow 

 

Finally  in  Consequence  

June Monthly Bear Large Real Body Candlestick

July so far... Monthly Candlestick with Long Upper Shadow 

vs

still above Key MA

1-st Key Support Zone – 96.50

2-nd Key Support Zone – Low January 2019  

3-rd Key Support Zone – Tops October & November 2017 

Psychological  Key Levels  Zone   96.50 – 96  &  95.50 –  95  

with

still active Monthly MACD Buy Signal 

 

 

ATA Research Conclusion

DXY  June  EOM – 96.13

Now  still active defense  Key Level  96.50  (  EOW 96.72 ) 

so

still Special Focus on 

Secular Trend Chart 

DXY VERDUN 

Key Support Zone  96.50 – 96  &  95.50 – 95  

vs

Key Resistance Zone  97  &  97.70 – 98

with

Half of  Body Bear Monthly June Candlestick 

Key Level 97.00 

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Active Monitoring 

DXY  Key Levels  97  vs  96.50 – 96  & 95.50 -95  

in combination to

US 10Y  Bond Yield – Psychological Key Level 2.00% 

with

Master  Central Question 

How Deep will be FED Rate Cut…!!???

not only in July FED Meeting…

 

remember

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Key Month July

 

 

 

DXY Monthly  Charts :

20.03.2019 – before the FOMC

DXY - M - Secular

 

DXY - M - Secular - Line

22.03.2019 – after the FOMC – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

28.03.2019 – Start European Session 

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

29.03.2019 – EOM – March

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - FocusDXY - M - Secular - Focus - FocusDXY - M - Secular - LineDXY - M - Secular - Line - FocusDXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

10.06.2019 – Before Start American Session 

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

21.06.2019 – after the FOMC Meeting – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus.png

12.07.2019 – after  FED Powell Testimony – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

EUR/USD – Fighting in FED vs ECB Central Shadow…

EUR/USD  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation chronological

2014 – 2015 – 2017

20.03.2014 – FED & ELLIOTT IMPLICATIONS – EUR/USD…

06.03.2015 – EUR/USD – GIGA PRECISION

08.03.2015 – EUR/USD – 1 YEAR MOVE – March 2014 vs March 2015

18.07.2017 – EURO RUN on DRAGHI MOTIVE – SMART MONEY in ACTION…

01.09.2017 – EUR/USD FIGHTING…

2018

13.01.2018 –  EURO-SOJUZ vs FIBONACCI…

16.01.2018 – EUR/USD – Focus on Stalingrad Pattern…

25.01.2018 – EUR/USD – Dancing with Draghi…

29.01.2018 –  MAIN EUROPEAN DM CURRENCIES AFTER DRAGHI DUST…

26.07.2018 – EUR/USD BIG PICTURE – ECB Motive…

27.07.2018 – EUR/USD – the Day after Dovish Draghi…

28.07.2018 – EUR/USD & GDP FACTOR : US vs FRANCE…

6.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH…

6.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – FIRST ROUND…

7.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – SECOND ROUND…

8.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – THIRD ROUND…

10.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – FINAL ROUND…

12.08.2018 – EUR/USD – TURKISH GAME CHANGER…

19.08.2018 –  EUR/USD vs EURO BANKS TURKISH DEBT VIRUS…

22.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – F/X CANNONBALL…

24.08.2018 – EUR/USD vs POWELL from JACKSON HOLE…

27.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – KIND OF F/X MAGIC…

28.08.2018 – EUR/USD – COT SHORTS vs FIBONACCI…

29.08.2018 – EUR/USD vs US GDP MACRO Factor…

13.09.2018 – EUR/USD vs ECB & DRAGHI…

21.09.2018 –  EUR/USD – Dynamic Strikes Back…

25.09.2018 – EUR/USD vs CENTRAL FACTOR – ECB VERBAL MOTIVE vs FED RATE HIKES…

29.09.2018 – EUR/USD BLACK CLOUDS after FED & ITALY MOTIVES…

7.10.2018 –  EUR/USD – RETURN to F/X EQUATOR…

11.10.2018  –  EUR/USD – ACTIVE DEFENSE of F/X EQUATOR…

25.10.2018  –  EUR/USD under F/X EQUATOR waiting for ECB …

02.11.2018  –  EUR/USD – Against All Odds…Key Pattern Deja Vu…

8.11.2018  –  EUR/USD vs Master F/X Nightmares…from ITALY & ECB to US Election & FED…

19.11.2018 –  EUR/USD – F/X AMBUSH…

2019

19.01.2019 –  EUR/USD – F/X VERDUN…

10.03.2019 –  EUR/USD – Super Mario – Super Dove…

12.05.2019 –  EUR/USD – Fibonacci Retracement 1.12 – “No Pasarán”…

26.05.2019 –  EUR/USD – European Political New Arrangement Risk…

7.06.2019 –  EUR/USD – Missed Opportunities can take Revenge…

18.06.2019 – EUR/USD – F/X FALSE START – after Draghi before FED…

22.06.2019 –  EUR/USD – BROKEN F/X DEADLOCK…

 

 

EUR/USD  Main Motives

USD Weakness after Powell Testimony before  FED July Rate Cut 

US PPI Rising 

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt  Mega Danger 

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on  Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE & Rate Cut Draghi Verbal on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

with

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

&

RUSSIA & CHINA Buying Gold 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

with

IRAN  NORTH KOREA Risks 

RUSSIA – TURKEY S400 System  

RUSSIA – INDIA  S400 System  

Hong Kong Protests – China Political Risk

 

EURO-1

 

First…ATA from  22.06.2019

” Dominating EURO Dynamic Shot Up

with

Testing  FIB RET  Last Wave Down –  Daily & H5 

Present

Daily  &  H5   56.4%  1.1369

so

Special Focus on

FIB Zones

56.4% – 61.8%  ( 1.1369 – 1.1394 )

&

78.6% – 88.6%  ( 1.1472 – 1.1519 )

with

Psychological Key Level 1.14

&

F/X  EQUATOR  –  Key Level 1.15

of course with

Pattern Research 

& waiting for

Next Central Banks Srikes

US – IRAN  War of Nerves  “

 

&

ATA Tweets…

 

 

Second…Present EUR/USD  Situation 

 

 

First…Main Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

( Monthly Chart )

Present July Dynamic Pullback 

with

Last Testing Master Key Level 1.12 

(  Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018 ) 

after

June Broken F/X Deadlock 

Test 1.14 Zone 

 

June Monthly Bull Large Real Body Candlestick 

vs

July Monthly Bear Candlestick 

but with

Long Lower Shadow 

for Now

Pullback Open Scenario 

to

first…Master Key Level 1.12 

second…Half of  June Monthly Candlestick 

Key Level 1.1250 Zone

with

still active MACD Monthly Sell signal 

 

( Weekly Chart )

First Psychological Resistance – Key Level 1.13 

Half of  Weekly Bear Candlestick from 5.07.2019

vs

Last Weekly Bull Candlestick 

with

still active MACD Weekly Buy signal 

 

( Daily Chart )

Present Active Range  1.13 vs 1.12

after

test FIB RET  Last Wave Down –  Daily & H5 

61.8% – 68.5%  Zone  ( 1.1394 – 1.1425 )

back under Key Level  1.14 & 1.13

vs

test  – active defense 1.12  & back above 1.1250 

with

Last Daily  Bull Large Real Body Candlestick 

Two Others with Long Lower Shadows 

vs

active MACD Daily Sell signal 

 

( Intraday Chart )

Intraday Fighting  in  1.13 – 1.1250  Present  Range 

 

EUR/USD

stil active defended 

Key Level 1.12  ( Italian RISK OFF Low )

vs

back under

Key Level 1.13  (Turkish RISK OFF Low )

of course

still under 

F/X  EQUATOR  –  Key Level 1.15

 

EUR/USD Lows Picture  

April Low : 1.1110

May Low  : 1.1107  & May EOM : 1.1168

June Low 1.1160  & June EOM : 1.11352

July Low so far  : 1.1193

 

 

ATA  EUR/USD Present Investment Conclusion 

Now dominating

EURO FIGHTING in 1.12 – 1.13  Range 

after

Powell  Dovish Testimony 

before

July FED Meeting 

with

Key Central Question 

How Deep will be FED Rate Cut…!!???

&

How really Dovish will be LAGARDE – ECB New Face..!!???

 

for Now

the Best Way  is  Pattern Research 

with

hear  Central Voices

 

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Key Month July

 

 

 

EUR/USD  Monthly , Weekly , Daily  & Intraday  ( H4 & H5 )  Charts :

 

20.03.2014

eurusd_w(4)

08.03.2015

EURUSD (miesięcznie) 20150308071830

18.07.2017

EURUSD-M35

01.09.2017

EURUSD-M39

13.01.2018

twój-nowy-tvc2

16.01.2018

twój-nowy-tvc3

25.01.2018

eur-usd-m

26.07.2018

EURUSD-M1

EURUSD-W1

EURUSD-D1

27.07.2018

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

Twoja nowa TVC

27.07.2018  ( EOD ) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

6.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-H4

6.08.2018 

( before American Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

7.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC (2)

Twoja nowa TVC (3)

8.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

10.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC (9)

10.08.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EURUSD-M

EURUSD-W

EURUSD-D

EUR -D

EUR-H5

17.08.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD  & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D -1

EUR-USD-D -2

EUR-USD-H5

22.08.2018  

(  Start European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -H5

EUR-USD-W.png

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -H5

27.08.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -D3

EUR-USD -H5

28.08.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD -M

EUR-USD -W

EUR-USD -D

EUR-USD -D-1

EUR-USD - H5

29.08.2018  

( Before Start of  American F/X Session )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D1

EUR-USD-h5

13.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D1

EUR-USD-h5

21.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D2

EUR-USD-h5-1

25.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D3

EUR-USD-h5-2

28.09.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D4

EUR-USD-h5-3

5.10.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D5

EUR-USD-h5-4

11.10.2018  

(  Start of American Session )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

 

EUR-USD-D6

EUR-USD-h5-5

25.10.2018  

(  Middle of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D7EUR-USD-h5-6

2.11.2018  

(  Start  of  American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D8EUR-USD-h5-7

8.11.2018  

(  Before American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D9EUR-USD-h5-8

19.11.2018  

(  First Phase of American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-10EUR-USD-h5-9

18.01.2019  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

eur-usd-meur-usd-w

eur-usd-d

eur-usd-fib-d

eur-usd-h5

8.03.2019  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-M LINE

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-FIB-D

EUR-USD-h5

10.05.2019 

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

24.05.2019 

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

7.06.2019 

( First Half of American Session ) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

18.06.2019 

( First Phase  of American Session ) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

21.06.2019  ( EOW )

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

12.07.2019  ( EOW )

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

NASDAQ Bets on FED Rate Cut…

Nasdaq   –  all time on ATA Research Radar 

 

First of All

Back to 2016…

21.08.2016 – NASDAQ(S) – Big Picture – 18 Months Over 2000 year Top…

&

ATA Continuation…

ex ante & chronological

2018  – January – November 

17.01.2018 –  Stalingrad Patterns – the Day US Equities Stood Still…

18.01.2018 – GLOBAL EQUITIES WARNING – DJIA like BITCOIN before the Peak…

19.01.2018 – Stalingrad Patterns – the Day US Equities Stood Still – Annex…

30.01.2018 = US 10Y BOND YIELD WARNING…

6.02.2018 – WALL STREET – FALLING KNIFES…

with

7.03.2018 – TRUMP TRADE WAR…

23.03.2018 –  TRUMP TRADE WAR STRIKES AGAIN…

7.07.2018 – TRUMP WARNING COVER vs US STRONGEST INDEX – Part I…

7.07.2018 –  TRUMP WARNING COVER vs US STRONGEST INDEX – Part II…

&

26.03.2018 –  NASDAQ – BEARS HOLY TRUTH …

3.04.2018 –  NASDAQ – BACK from SPACE…

7.04.2018 –  NASDAQ at the EDGE of TOMORROW…

10.04.2018 –  NASDAQ FIGHT at the EDGE of TOMORROW…

25.06.2018 –  NASDAQ IN TIME OF TOMORROW…

4.07.2018 –  NASDAQ INDEPENDENT on 4-TH of JULY…

6.10.2018  –  NASDAQ – GLOBAL STRONGEST INDEX under RISK PRESSURE…

13.10.2018 –  NASDAQ – TECH VIEW after RISK OFF DUST DOWN…

17.10.2018  –  NASDAQ in Fibonacci Double Envelopment…

24.10.2018  –  NASDAQ FIGHTING…

25.10.2018  –  NASDAQ SHOT DOWN…

30.10.2018  –  NASDAQ – RED OCTOBER…

13.11.2018 – NASDAQ – TECH PRESSURE…

14.01.2019 –  NASDAQ – V CORRECTION – from Dynamic Risk Off to Dynamic Risk On…

7.05.2019 –  NASDAQ vs TRUMP TRADE GAME..

8.05.2019 –  NASDAQ – Two Main Clear Technical Analysis Options : 2B vs ABC…

11.05.2019 –  NASDAQ from TRUMP NEWS to TARIFFS FACTS…

13.05.2019 –  NASDAQ – CHINA DRAGON VERBAL STRIKE…

9.06.2019 –  NASDAQ – ABC Correction Winning…for Now…

20.06.2019 – NASDAQ after FED CUT Verbal Spark…

with

ATA Following …

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

 

NASDAQ 100 FUTURE  –  SHORT TERM PICTURE 

Now still dominating

Dynamic Rising Wave

with

New All Time High 7967.38 

vs

Activated Intraday 2B  Pattern in 7962 Zone 

( H1 Chart )

&

Ending Diagonal Pattern 

with

Upper Edge –  Key Level 7970 

&

Psychological Key Level 8000

( H5 Chart )

 

Nasdaq -12

 

First…

ATA  from  20.06.2019  

” still Active

Dynamic Rising Wave  

&

Test All Time High Zone – Key Level 7880  “

 

&

ATA Tweets…

 

 

 

Second…

Present  NASDAQ 100 Futures  Situation 

 

First…Key Motives

RISK ON Wave  after Powell Testimony before  FED July Rate Cut 

US PPI Rising 

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt  Mega Danger 

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on  Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE & Rate Cut Draghi Verbal on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

with

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

&

RUSSIA & CHINA Buying Gold 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

with

IRAN  NORTH KOREA Risks 

RUSSIA – TURKEY S400 System  

RUSSIA – INDIA  S400 System  

Hong Kong Protests – China Political Risk

 

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

For Now dominating

Strong Bull  Impulse 

with

Activated MACD Monthly & Weekly Buy Signals

Active MACD Daily H5 & H1 Buy Signals 

&

Cancel 

 Long Term 2B Pattern

( Monthly  Weekly  Daily Charts )

Last M Pattern – Key Level 7880 

( Daily Chart )

vs

New Intraday 2B Pattern – Key Level 7970 

( H1 Chart )

&

Ending Diagonal Pattern – Upper Edge 

Key Level 7970 

Psychological Key Level 8000

( H5 Chart )

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

For Now dominating

Strong Bull Wave

but with

Intraday Warning 2B Pattern

( H1 Chart )

after

ABC Down Correction 

8.05.2019 –  NASDAQ – Two Main Clear Technical Analysis Options : 2B vs ABC…

of course with

non stop Active FED Central Verbal Help…

but

Monitor carefully

Bond Market

13.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH SCENARIO GOES ON…

13.07.2019 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – from Last DEBT RUSH to Real DEBT AMBUSH…

Gold – Silver Market

13.07.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index on Shining Wave…

so

Special  Focus on 

Present Range  ( H5 – H1 Charts )

Resistance Zone  8000 – 7970 

vs

Support Zone 7900

with

Search New Pattern…

special  Daily…Weekly…

finally…Monthly…

 

 

always remember

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

 

of course

Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction…

before & after FED  July Meeting

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Month July

 

 

NASDAQ 100  Futures  Weekly ,  Daily  &  Intraday ( H5 ) Charts  :
3.04.2018
Your new TVC

 

6.04.2018

 

Your new TVC (1)

10.04.2018

Your new TVC (2)

25.06.2018

Your new TVC (18)

 

Your new TVC (19)

4.07.2018

Your new TVC (30)

Your new TVC (31)

 

6.07.2018
Your new TVC (35)

 

Your new TVC (37)

5.10.2018 

NASDAQ FUT -W

NASDAQ FUT -D

NASDAQ FUT -D - 1

12.10.2018 

NASDAQ FUT -W

NASDAQ FUT -D

NASDAQ FUT - H5

17.10.2018 

NASDAQ FUT -W

NASDAQ FUT -D

NASDAQ FUT - H5

24.10.2018 

NASDAQ FUT -W

NASDAQ FUT -D

NASDAQ FUT - H5

25.10.2018 

NASDAQ FUT -W

NASDAQ FUT -D

NASDAQ FUT - H5

 

NASDAQ 100  Futures  Monthly ,  Weekly ,  Daily  &  Intraday ( H5 & H1 ) Charts

30.10.2018 

NASDAQ FUT -M

NASDAQ FUT -W

NASDAQ FUT -D

NASDAQ FUT - H5

13.11.2018 

NASDAQ FUT -MNASDAQ FUT -WNASDAQ FUT -DNASDAQ FUT - H5

14.01.2019

nasdaq fut -mnasdaq fut -wnasdaq fut -dnasdaq fut - h5

7.05.2019

Nasdaq Fut - M

Nasdaq Fut - W

Nasdaq Fut - D

Nasdaq Fut - H5

8.05.2019

Nasdaq Fut - M

Nasdaq Fut - W

Nasdaq Fut - D

Nasdaq Fut - H5

10.05.2019

Nasdaq Fut - M

Nasdaq Fut - W

Nasdaq Fut - D

Nasdaq Fut - H5

Nasdaq Fut - H1

13.05.2019

Nasdaq Fut - M

Nasdaq Fut - W

Nasdaq Fut - D

Nasdaq Fut - H5

Nasdaq Fut - H1

7.06.2019

Nasdaq Fut - M

Nasdaq Fut - W

Nasdaq Fut - D

Nasdaq Fut - H5

Nasdaq Fut - H1

20.06.2019

( Start American Session ) 

Nasdaq Fut - M

Nasdaq Fut - W

Nasdaq Fut - D

Nasdaq Fut - H5

Nasdaq Fut - H1

12.07.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq Fut - M

Nasdaq Fut - W

Nasdaq Fut - D

Nasdaq Fut - H5

Nasdaq Fut - H1

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index on Shining Wave…

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

3.05.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – F/X Anti USD & Save Haven Pathfinder…

17.06.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Showing Bullion North…

20.06.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Bets on Global Central Easing…

with

ATA Following …

13.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH SCENARIO GOES ON…

13.07.2019 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – from Last DEBT RUSH to Real DEBT AMBUSH…

&

Special

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

 

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Main Motives

USD Weakness after Powell Testimony before  FED July Rate Cut 

US PPI Rising 

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt  Mega Danger 

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on  Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE & Rate Cut Draghi Verbal on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

with

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

&

RBNZ ( New Zealand ) May Rate Cut 

RBA ( Australia )  June & July  Rate Cut

RBI ( India ) June Rate Cut

CBR ( Russia ) June Rate Cut

&

RUSSIA & CHINA Buying Gold 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

with

IRAN  NORTH KOREA Risks 

RUSSIA – TURKEY S400 System  

RUSSIA – INDIA  S400 System  

&

Hong Kong Protests – China Political Risk

 

gold-silver - 3

 

First…ATA from 20.06.2019 

” Active Rising Wave

with

Present Testing Psychological Key Level  80 

&

MACD Monthly Buy Signal  &  Bullish Trendline 

MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

 

&

ATA Tweets…

 

 

 

Second…Present  PHLX Gold/Silver  Situation 

 

 

First…Main Motives

USD Weakness after Powell Testimony before  FED July Rate Cut 

US PPI Rising 

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt  Mega Danger 

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

( FED , ECB , BOJ , SNB ) 

more above in this text…

 

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Monthly View 

first of all still active

Two Secular Horizon Channels

First Narrow 

Second  Wide 

&

still Active Rising Wave

above 

Psychological Key Levels  80 & 85 

 

Next Main Targets 

90 , 100 & 115 Key Level Zone 

 

Bull Trend  accelerating  Now

after

Last W Pattern  

in  Psychological Key Level Zone 60 

( 9.2018 – 11.2018 )

ending

Fall Correction

of

Dynamic Wave Up 

( 1.2016 – 8.2016 )

with

Key FIB RET  68.5% 

( Weekly Chart )

&

MACD Monthly Buy Signal  &  Bullish Trendline 

MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Gold/Silver Relative Strength  still Rising  accelerating  by USD Last Shot Down

one again

Investors should consider  Global RISK OFF Scenario 

entitled

” WINTER IS COMMING ” 

 

one more time

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!!

 

Why ” WINTER IS COMMING ” 

because…

after 10 Year of Global QE by Main Central Banks Nothing Really Changed 

except

Next Assets Bubble –  special Stocks & Bonds

but

Only One Short Break without QE in US & EUROZONE 

shows

” NO MORE CAPITALISM WITHOUT PRINTING ” 

sensu stricte

PSEUDO – CAPITALISM…

that’s why for real

5.03.2017 –  WALL STREET & FOREX – NEW AGE CIRCUS MAXIMUS…

 

so

Special Focus on

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Smart Money Battlefield  

Resistance Zone –  Psychological Key Levels  90 , 100 & 115

vs

Support  Zone –  Psychological Key Levels 80  & 85 

of course

Final SM Reaction on 

July Weeks EOW-s  &  EOM – Month July 

 

always remember

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

EOM – Key Month June

 

 

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Monthly & Weekly Charts :

3.05.2019

Gold-Silver Index - M - Line - log

Gold-Silver Index - M - log

Gold-Silver Index - W- log

17.06.2019

( American Session – 2-nd Half )

PHLX Gold-Silver - M - Line

PHLX Gold-Silver - M

PHLX Gold-Silver - W

19.06.2019

PHLX Gold-Silver - M - Line

PHLX Gold-Silver - M

PHLX Gold-Silver - W

12.05.2019 – EOW

PHLX Gold-Silver - M - Line

PHLX Gold-Silver - M

PHLX Gold-Silver - W

GERMAN BOND YIELD – from Last DEBT RUSH to Real DEBT AMBUSH…

GERMAN YIELD –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

10.06.2016 – GERMAN DEBT SECOND ( LAST…!!??? ) MARKET SHINING …

14.06.2016 – GERMAN GROUND ZERO – GLOBAL DEBT MANIA…

13.09.2016 – GERMAN 10Y BOND YIELD – RISING TO THE SURFACE…

24.07.2016 – GERMAN 10Y BOND YIELD – EUROPEAN RISK ON/OFF VECTOR…

28.10.2016 – GERMAN DEBT – ACTIVE ATA REVERSAL SCENARIO…

31.03.2019 –  GERMAN DEBT – JAPANIFICATION SCENARIO …

6.07.2019 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – Deutschland Deutschland unter Alles…

with

ATA Following …

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

German Debt  Master Motives – EUROZONE Vectors :

ECB DRAGHI – Super Dovish – New TLTRO III  , Rate Cut &  QE

vs

FED –  Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on  Horizon 

EUROZONE Recession Risk 

Economic Cycle Peak Risk 

BREXIT Risk Saga

Negative Macro Data

Eurozone Banks

Italian Debt 

 SALVINI –  Political Risk 

New European Parliament –  Political Risk 

 

Master German Debt  – EUROZONE  still Active Central  Questions

What do Smart Money really know about the  GERMAN & EUROZONE Economy Risk… that Espace again to German Debt with Negative Yield…!!???

&

Will ECB overshoot Eurozone Central Policy Targets  or  outperform BoJ  in Easing Ride…!!???

 

germany-flag - 1

 

First..of All…ATA from 15.09.2018 

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! ” 

 

First…

ATA from  6.07.2019

” Special Focus on 

Secular Trend Chart 

after

Last Dynamic Break Down 

with

Key Resistance Zone 

German Debt Yield  2016 Master Low 

 – 0.127%  & – 0.17%   from 6.2016 – 9.2016

vs

Key Support Zone

Last All Time Low  -0.409%  

with

Psychological  Level -0.40%  ” 

 

&

ATA Tweets…

 

 

Second…

10Y GERMAN BOND YIELD –  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

First…Market Motives :

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Pattern :

Monthly View 

first of all

Mega Long Term Downtrend 

with

1 Year & 6 months  Rising Correction

from  6.2016   -0.127%  ; Low -0.170%

to  1.2018  0.697% ;  High 0.707%

&

Last  Strong Falling Wave

EOM – June  -0.328% ; Low -0.336%

EOW – 5 July : – 0.365%  Low -0.409%

with

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

vs

Present  Dynamic Rising Contraction 

from

Last All Time Low  -0.409%  

Psychological  Level -0.40% 

with

Monthly Hammer Candlestick Pattern 

MACD Monthly Rising Trendline Support 

( Monthly  Chart )

Weekly Large Real Body Bull Candlestick 

( Weekly Chart )

&

Finally Rising Probability

of

GERMAN DEBT AMBUSH 

Future Active Invert 2B Pattern 

in Psychological Key Level  -0.20%

( Weekly Chart )

like

US DEBT AMBUSH 

Activated Invert 2B Pattern 

in Psychological Key Level 2.00%

13.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH SCENARIO GOES ON…

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Dynamic Wave Down Stop for Now

dominating

Rising Contraction 

from

Last All Time Low  -0.409%  

Psychological  Level -0.40% 

with

Rising Probability

of

GERMAN DEBT AMBUSH 

Future Active Invert 2B Pattern 

in Psychological Key Level  -0.20%

( Weekly  Chart )

so

Special Focus on 

Most Important Resistance Psychological  Level -0.20% 

( Weekly  Chart )

vs

Key Support Zone

Last All Time Low  -0.409%  

Psychological  Level -0.40% 

&

Present EOW  -0.252%

with

FIB RET Last Wave Down

 

 

always remember

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction 

EOM – July 

 

 

Germany 10Y Bond Yield  Weekly & Monthly Charts :

 

24.07.2016 – Monthly , Weekly  & Daily  

 

13.09.2016 – Weekly

28.10.2016 – Weekly

 

29.03.2019 – EOM – March

German Yield - M

German Yield - M - Focus

German Yield - M - Focus - Focus

5.07.2019 – EOW 

German Yield - M

German Yield - M - Focus

German Yield - M - Focus - Focus

 

GERMANY  10Y BOND YIELD  – Monthly & Weekly Charts  :

12.07.2019 – EOW 

German Yield - M - Line

 

German Yield - M - Line - Focus

German Yield - M - Focus

German Yield - W

US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH SCENARIO GOES ON…

US 10Y BOND YIELD  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation…

10.01.2018  –  US BONDS – END(LESS) SUMMER MOVE ON…

30.01.2018  – US 10Y BOND YIELD WARNING…

14.02.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – The Show Must Go On…

25.04.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Who Wants to Live Forever…

16.05.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Mainstream Media Panic…

27.05.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – PERFECT AMBUSH…

15.09.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Strategic Attack on Psychological 3%…

4.11.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – GAME CHANGER in Action…

18.11.2018 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – TACTICAL SAFE BACK…

16.01.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back to Neutral Zone…

1.04.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – NO MEGA SAFE ESCAPE…

29.05.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Awakening & Run to Safe Haven…

22.06.2019 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – from DEBT RUSH to DEBT AMBUSH…

7.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH PROBABILITY RISING …

with

ATA Following …

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

 

ATA  Present  US 10Y BOND YIELD  Research Look…

Now  still dominating

Second Shot Up  ( First 21.06.2019 )

&

Active Defense of Psychological Key Level 2.00% Zone 

with

New Signals of  US Yield Ambush  after Last Rush…

Testing  2.00% with  Dynamic Shot Down

&

Present Shot Up  above 2.10% 

 

US Yield Long Term Picture shows

Rising Probability of  Long Term Invert 2B Pattern 

in  Key Level 2.12%

( Monthly  Chart )

&

Activated Invert 2B Pattern 

in Psychological Key Level 2.00%

(  Weekly Chart )

with

Candlestick  Hammer Pattern week ago

Bull Candlestick – Large Real Body 

after

Last Rush & Test Fib Ret 68.5%  1.933%  

( Weekly Chart )

 

in the Wider Market Perspective 

Now dominating

Rising Probability of  Long Term Invert 2B Pattern 

in  Key Level 2.12%

after

Activated  Long Term 2B Risk Off Pattern

in Psychological Key Level 3.00% 

( Monthly  Chart )

 

ATA Research Conclusion 

Now still  Second Time

US Debt Awakening  from  YIELD RUSH  like  long ago GOLD RUSH…

of course

Most Important will be Final Smart Money Reaction – EOM – July

with

Psychological Key Level 2.00%  &  Key Level EOM 2.12%

 

United States Treasury Savings Bonds

 

First..of All…ATA from 15.09.2018 

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! ” 

 

First…ATA from  7.07.2019

” Rising Probability of  Invert 2B Pattern 

in

Psychological Key Level 2.00%

( Monthly & Weekly Charts )

with

Weekly Candlestick  Hammer Pattern

Long Lower Shadow 

&

US Yield Ambush Signals

 

&

ATA Tweets…

 

 

Second…Present  US 10Y BOND YIELD   Situation 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Main Motives

RISK ON Wave after Powell Testimony before  FED July Rate Cut 

US  High PPI Data 

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on  Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE Rate Cut Draghi Verbal on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

with

TRUMP TRADE WAR

US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

&

RUSSIA & CHINA  Selling US Bonds vs Buying Gold 

with

IRAN  War  Risk 

RUSSIA – TURKEY S400 System  

RUSSIA – INDIA  S400 System  

Hong Kong Protests – China Political Risk

 

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Now  still dominating

Second Shot Up  ( First 21.06.2019 )

&

Active Defense of Psychological Key Level 2.00% Zone 

with

New Signals of  US Yield Ambush  after Last Rush…

Testing  2.00% with  Dynamic Shot Down

&

Present Shot Up  above 2.10% 

 

US Yield Long Term Picture shows

Rising Probability of  Long Term Invert 2B Pattern 

in  Key Level 2.12%

( Monthly  Chart )

&

Activated Invert 2B Pattern 

in Psychological Key Level 2.00%

(  Weekly Chart )

with

Candlestick  Hammer Pattern week ago

Bull Candlestick – Large Real Body 

after

Last Rush & Test Fib Ret 68.5%  1.933%  

( Weekly Chart )

 

in the Wider Market Perspective 

Now dominating

Rising Probability of  Long Term Invert 2B Pattern 

in  Key Level 2.12%

after

Activated  Long Term 2B Risk Off Pattern

in Psychological Key Level 3.00% 

( Monthly  Chart )

 

ATA Research Conclusion 

Now still  Second Time

US Debt Awakening  from  YIELD RUSH  like  long ago GOLD RUSH…

of course

Most Important will be Final Smart Money Reaction – EOM – July

with

Psychological Key Level 2.00%  &  Key Level EOM 2.12%

 

 

US YIELD AMBUSH  still  ATA Preferred  Scenario

Psychological  2.00% Key Level Zone 

September 2017 Low 

FIB RET 61.8%  – 68.5%  All Wave Up 

with

Yield  EOD & EOW above 2.00% ( 2.124%) 

&

MACD Monthly still in Bull Trendline Support Zone

MACD Daily Buy Signal 

vs

MACD Monthly & Weekly Sell Signals

 

ATA  Research  still Active Thesis  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD 

Now  still Most  depends  of…

Dovish Moves after Dovish Words …!!!

Real..not only Words & Speech …FED other Central Banks Verdicts

after

Last Verbal  Dovish Wave from FED, ECB & BOJ 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

Psychological Key Level 2.00%  

&

Key Level EOM 2.12%

with

FIB RET 61.8%  – 68.5%  All Wave Up  ( Weekly Chart )

vs

FIB RET All Wave Down ( Daily Chart )

 

ATA Research Conclusion

Next Ambush can strikes  others…

First…DEBT MARKETS

Second…WALL STREET

Finally…GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET 

with

NEW GOLDEN RUSH…

 

 

 

never forget

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Key Month July

 

 

US 10Y BOND YIELD Big Picture – Monthly Chart :

10.01.2018

Your new TVC.png

30.01.2018

Your new TVC

14.02.2018

Your new TVC (5)

25.04.2018

Your new TVC (5)

16.05.2018

Your new TVC (4)

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (7)

14.09.2018

US BONDS

2.11.2018

US BONDS

US 10Y BOND YIELD Big Picture – Monthly  & Daily Charts  :

16.11.2018

US BONDS - M

US BONDS - M - 1

US BONDS - D

US 10Y BOND YIELD Big Picture – Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts  :

16.01.2019

us bonds - mus bonds - wus bonds - d

1.04.2019

US Yield - MUS Yield - WUS Yield - D

29.05.2019

US Yield - M

US Yield - W

US Yield - D

21.06.2019

US Yield - M

US Yield - W

US Yield - D

5.07.2019

US Yield - M

US Yield - W

US Yield - D

12.07.2019

US Yield - M

US Yield - M - Focus

US Yield - W

US Yield - D

GLOBAL DEBT – FLIGHT of the DEBT ICARUS…

BOND YIELDS  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

8.06.2019 –  GLOBAL DEBT – NEGATIVE YIELD OUTBREAK…

15.06.2019 –  GLOBAL DEBT – YIELD RUSH…

with

ATA Following …

6.07.2019 –  JAPAN BOND YIELD – Enigmatic Letters from Debt Iwo Jima…

6.07.2019 –SWISS BOND YIELD – HELVETIC SAFE HAVEN RUSH…

6.07.2019 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – Deutschland Deutschland unter Alles…

7.07.2019 –  ITALIAN BOND YIELD – ECB DOLCE VITA DEBT STORY…

7.07.2019 –  EUROZONE PIGS BOND YIELDS – PIGGIES FLIGHT on ECB VERBAL WINGS…

7.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH PROBABILITY RISING …

&

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

20.06.2019 –PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Bets on Global Central Easing…

22.06.2019 –  EUR/USD – BROKEN F/X DEADLOCK…

23.06.2019 – DXY – FED RATE CUT AHEAD…

 

 

BOND YIELDS   Present  Picture 

Global Hunting any Positive Yields 

No Risks on Investment Process 

still Active

WATERFALL Patterns

 

Main Motives

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

&

Global Dovish & Dovisher Central Banks Moves 

FED –  Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with Rate Cut Voices on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

with

RBNZ ( New Zealand ) May Rate Cut 

RBA ( Australia )  June & July  Rate Cut

RBI ( India ) June Rate Cut

CBR ( Russia ) June Rate Cut

&

TRUMP Trade War

US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

with

IRAN  NORTH KOREA Risks 

RUSSIA – TURKEY S400 System  

RUSSIA – INDIA  S400 System  

 

bonds-screen

 

First…

ATA from 15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! “

 

ATA from 15.06.2019

” in Present GLOBAL YIELD RUSH…

Most Important is Last Master Low 

in Most Yield Markets – 2016 Year Low…

with

10Y  US Bond Yield

Present Psychological Key Level 2% 

 

&

ATA Tweets…

 

 

 

Second…Present  GLOBAL BOND YIELDS   Situation 

 

 

First…Main Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

BOND YIELDS WATERFALL Pattern

still Active on

GLOBAL YIELD RUSH…

vs

2B Pattern – Last Tweet 

or

Invert 2B Pattern on Yields Charts 

Now with

2 MAIN GROUPS – 10Y BOND YIELD  

1-st – Above 2016 Year Low 

10Y Japan Bond Yield – Negative Zone

10Y  US Bond Yield

10Y  Italian Bond Yield

10Y  India Bond Yield

10Y  Russia Bond Yield

10Y  China Bond Yield

 

2-nd – Under 2016 Year Low 

10Y  German Bond Yield – Negative Zone

10Y  Australia Bond Yield

10Y  New Zealand Bond Yield

10Y Swiss Bond Yield – Negative Zone

10Y  France Bond Yield – Negative Zone

with

Special   ” Amazing “

10Y  Greece Bond Yield

10Y  Portugal Bond Yield

10Y  Spain Bond Yield

 

 

ATA GLOBAL DEBT  Investment Conclusion 

in Present GLOBAL HUNTING YIELD …

Most Important is Last Master Low 

in Most Yield Markets – 2016 Year Low…

with

10Y  US Bond Yield

Present Psychological Key Level 2% 

 

Special Remember

in Danger Real Probability Scenario…

in 2-nd Group …

special in German France  & PIGS  Yields

Most Danger can happend 

will be

Dynamic Back above 2016 Year Low 

This will Start

ESCAPE from DEBT…!!!

It will be Sign of

DEBT AMBUSH  

with

Baskerville Dog  Rising Move…

&

Finally

Loss of Faith in Central Banks ” Printing Drug “…!!!

like on the Movie

after this
Only True Option on the Market Table
will be

 

of course

Financial Chernobyl 

always remember
Lehman Fall & Subprime Crisis  was the Process… 
&
Debt Change Key Direction is the Process…

 

for Now one more time…

Master Questions : 

Is Faith in Immortal Central Banks enough

to Save

First..Debt 

Second…Equities 

Finally Global Financial System …!!???

 

What Smart Money Investors know…

that 

escape to Debt even with Negative Yields…!!???

 

What’s Wrong with EUROZONE…!!???

when you look through the Prizm of German Yield…

&

Finally

When this DEBT BUBBLE  Burst …!!???

 

Charts show you First…!!!

that’s why

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

 

Never Forget

Every Rush has his End …!!!

like

Gold Rush…

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Key Month July

 

 

10Y Japan Bond Yield , 10Y Swiss Bond Yield , 10Y  German Bond Yield

10Y  US Bond Yield & 10Y  Italian Bond Yield Monthly & Weekly Charts :

7.06.2019 

Japan Yield - M

Swiss Yield - M

German Yield - M

US Yield - M

ITALY 10Y YIELD - W - Line

 

10Y Japan Bond Yield , 10Y Swiss Bond Yield , 10Y  German Bond Yield

10Y  US Bond Yield , 10Y  Italian Bond Yield 10Y , France Bond Yield

10Y  Spain Bond Yield  , 10Y Portugal Bond Yield & 10Y Greece Bond Yield

10Y  Australia Bond Yield , 10Y  New Zealand Bond Yield

10Y  India Bond Yield , 10Y  Russia Bond Yield

Monthly Charts –  Italian Weekly Chart :

14.06.2019 

Japan Yield - M

Swiss Yield - M

German Yield - M

US Yield - M

ITALY 10Y YIELD - W

FRANCE Yield - M

SPAIN Yield - M

PORTUGAL Yield - M

GREECE Yield - M

AUSTRALIAN Yield - M

NEW ZEALAND Yield - M

INDIA Yield - M

RUSSIA Yield - M

 

10Y Japan Bond Yield , 10Y Swiss Bond Yield , 10Y  German Bond Yield

10Y  US Bond Yield , 10Y  Italian Bond Yield 10Y , France Bond Yield

10Y  Spain Bond Yield  , 10Y Portugal Bond Yield & 10Y Greece Bond Yield

10Y  Australia Bond Yield , 10Y  New Zealand Bond Yield

10Y  India Bond Yield , 10Y  Russia Bond Yield, 10Y China Bond Yield

Monthly Charts –  Italian Weekly Chart :

5.07.2019

Japan Yield - M

Swiss Yield - M

German Yield - M

US Yield - M

Italy Yield - WFRANCE Yield - M

SPAIN Yield - M

PORTUGAL Yield - M

GREECE Yield - M

AUSTRALIAN Yield - M

NEW ZEALAND Yield - M

INDIA Yield - M

RUSSIA Yield - M

CHINA Yield - M

US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH PROBABILITY RISING …

US 10Y BOND YIELD  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation…

10.01.2018  –  US BONDS – END(LESS) SUMMER MOVE ON…

30.01.2018  – US 10Y BOND YIELD WARNING…

14.02.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – The Show Must Go On…

25.04.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Who Wants to Live Forever…

16.05.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Mainstream Media Panic…

27.05.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – PERFECT AMBUSH…

15.09.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Strategic Attack on Psychological 3%…

4.11.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – GAME CHANGER in Action…

18.11.2018 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – TACTICAL SAFE BACK…

16.01.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back to Neutral Zone…

1.04.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – NO MEGA SAFE ESCAPE…

29.05.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Awakening & Run to Safe Haven…

22.06.2019 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – from DEBT RUSH to DEBT AMBUSH…

with

ATA Following …

6.07.2019 –  JAPAN BOND YIELD – Enigmatic Letters from Debt Iwo Jima…

6.07.2019 –SWISS BOND YIELD – HELVETIC SAFE HAVEN RUSH…

6.07.2019 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – Deutschland Deutschland unter Alles…

7.07.2019 –  ITALIAN BOND YIELD – ECB DOLCE VITA DEBT STORY…

7.07.2019 –  EUROZONE PIGS BOND YIELDS – PIGGIES FLIGHT on ECB VERBAL WINGS…

&

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

20.06.2019 –PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Bets on Global Central Easing…

22.06.2019 –  EUR/USD – BROKEN F/X DEADLOCK…

23.06.2019 – DXY – FED RATE CUT AHEAD…

 

 

ATA  Present  US 10Y BOND YIELD  Research Look…

Now dominating

Second Shot Up  ( First 21.06.2019 )

&

Active Defense of Psychological Key Level 2.00% Zone 

with

New Signals of  US Yield Ambush  after Last Rush…

Testing  2.00% with  Dynamic Shot Down & Shot Up 

 

US Yield Long Term Picture shows

Rising Probability of  Invert 2B Pattern 

in

Psychological Key Level 2.00%

( Monthly & Weekly Charts )

with

Weekly Candlestick  Hammer Pattern

Long Lower Shadow 

&

US Yield Ambush Signals

still Active Fighting in Psychological Key Level 2.00% Zone

US Yield Ambush Signals

after

Last Rush & Test Fib Ret 68.5%  1.933%  ( Weekly Chart )

&

in the Wider Market Perspective 

after

First…September 2018  Strategic Attack  & Break  Psychological 3% 

October  – November Test of  Upper Part of   Leading  Diagonal  

&

November – December  Dynamic Wave Down 

with

Break Down

First – Psychological Key Level 3.00% 

Second – Lower  Part of   Leading  Diagonal  2.95%

&

Finally Activated  Long Term 2B Risk Off Pattern

 

Second…Wave Down Continuation with Break Down

Key Levels 2.44% – 2.46% – Top Zone 12.2016 – 1.2017 

&

Key Level 2.30%

 

ATA Research Conclusion 

Now Second Time

US Debt Awakening  from  YIELD RUSH  like  long ago GOLD RUSH…

of course

Most Important will be Final Smart Money Reaction – EOM – July

with

Present Psychological Key Level 2.00% 

 

US BONDS - 3

 

First…ATA from  22.06.2019

” US YIELD AMBUSH Open Scenario

Psychological  2.00% Key Level Zone 

September 2017 Low 

FIB RET 61.8%  All Wave Up

 

&

ATA Tweets…

 

 

Second…Present  US 10Y BOND YIELD   Situation 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Main Motives

US Strong US job Data

KUDLOW HAWKISH  Verbal Strike 

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on  Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE Rate Cut Draghi Verbal on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

with

TRUMP Trade War

US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

 

RUSSIA & CHINA  Selling US Bonds vs Buying Gold 

&

IRAN  War  Risk 

 

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Now dominating

Second Shot Up  ( First 21.06.2019 )

&

Active Defense of Psychological Key Level 2.00% Zone 

with

New Signals of  US Yield Ambush  after Last Rush…

Testing  2.00% with  Dynamic Shot Down & Shot Up 

 

US Yield Long Term Picture shows

Rising Probability of  Invert 2B Pattern 

in

Psychological Key Level 2.00%

( Monthly & Weekly Charts )

with

Weekly Candlestick  Hammer Pattern

Long Lower Shadow 

&

US Yield Ambush Signals

still Active Fighting in Psychological Key Level 2.00% Zone

US Yield Ambush Signals

after

Last Rush & Test Fib Ret 68.5%  1.933%  ( Weekly Chart )

&

in the Wider Market Perspective 

after

First…September 2018  Strategic Attack  & Break  Psychological 3% 

October  – November Test of  Upper Part of   Leading  Diagonal  

&

November – December  Dynamic Wave Down 

with

Break Down

First – Psychological Key Level 3.00% 

Second – Lower  Part of   Leading  Diagonal  2.95%

&

Finally Activated  Long Term 2B Risk Off Pattern

 

Second…Wave Down Continuation with Break Down

Key Levels 2.44% – 2.46% – Top Zone 12.2016 – 1.2017 

&

Key Level 2.30%

 

ATA Research Conclusion 

Now Second Time

US Debt Awakening  from  YIELD RUSH  like  long ago GOLD RUSH…

of course

Most Important will be Final Smart Money Reaction – EOM – July

with

Present Psychological Key Level 2.00% 

 

US YIELD AMBUSH  still Open Scenario

Psychological  2.00% Key Level Zone 

September 2017 Low 

FIB RET 61.8%  – 68.5%  All Wave Up 

with

Yield  EOD & EOW above 2.00% ( 2.039%) 

&

MACD Monthly still in Bull Trendline Support Zone

MACD Daily Buy Signal 

vs

MACD Monthly & Weekly Sell Signals

 

ATA  Research  still Active Thesis  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD 

Now Most  depends  of…

Dovish Moves after Dovish Words …!!!

Real..not only Words & Speech …FED other Central Banks Verdicts

after

Last Verbal  Dovish Wave from FED, ECB & BOJ 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

Psychological Key Level 2.00%

&

FIB RET 61.8%  – 68.5%  All Wave Up  ( Weekly Chart )

vs

FIB RET All Wave Down ( Daily Chart )

 

always remember

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Key Month July

 

 

US 10Y BOND YIELD Big Picture – Monthly Chart :

10.01.2018

Your new TVC.png

30.01.2018

Your new TVC

14.02.2018

Your new TVC (5)

25.04.2018

Your new TVC (5)

16.05.2018

Your new TVC (4)

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (7)

14.09.2018

US BONDS

2.11.2018

US BONDS

US 10Y BOND YIELD Big Picture – Monthly  & Daily Charts  :

16.11.2018

US BONDS - M

US BONDS - M - 1

US BONDS - D

US 10Y BOND YIELD Big Picture – Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts  :

16.01.2019

us bonds - mus bonds - wus bonds - d

1.04.2019

US Yield - MUS Yield - WUS Yield - D

29.05.2019

US Yield - M

US Yield - W

US Yield - D

21.06.2019

US Yield - M

US Yield - W

US Yield - D

5.07.2019

US Yield - M

US Yield - W

US Yield - D

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