GOLD Futures – Secular Golden Fibonacci Constellation…

GOLD Futures  – Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Following …

Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index 

5.04.2020 –  Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index – Secular Clash of the Immortals…

NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index

5.04.2020 –  NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index – Secular Clash of the Titans…

Barrick Gold

4.04.2020 – Barrick Gold – New Golden Strike with Risky Shining…

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index

Short Term 

27.03.2020 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Next GOLDEN FALL…

Special 

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

&

15.01.2020 –  CHF/JPY – EUROZONE-ITALIAN STORM 2020 Rising Risk…

 

Major  GOLD Futures   Motives 

Global Coronavirus Pandemic – Rising Risk 

Global Slowdown or Recession Extreme High Risk

&

Gold Spot Moves 

vs

USD – Very Strong Main Global anti Gold & Silver Currency 

 

US  Factors for GOLD Futures

Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD

&

FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike

More for US Economy Financial System if needed

Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike

5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic

FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike

Policy Room for More Action

Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN

FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits 

US Government  Stimulus Packet 

with

Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike

FED Bullard “Boom” Strike

after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again

Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike

US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction

vs

FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario

US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%

Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike

Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike

Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP

Mnuchin US Jobless Warning

Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action

Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for GOLD Futures

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

GOLD F

 

Present  GOLD Futures  Situation 

GOLD FUTURES  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN MEDIUM TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

Fibonacci…

Secular Extension  

2.618%   First Golden Wave from 70s

Retracements

First…

48.6 – 50% Rising Wave from  Years 2001 – 2011

Second..

78.6% Falling Wave from Years 2011 – 2015

 

Present GOLD Futures Battlefield 

1350   1420   1500  vs  1666   1743   1830

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now  Special Focus on

Fibonacci Range 

1350   1420   1500  vs  1666   1743   1830

with

Key Signal – Move Out of the Range

&

Entering New Bull  or  Bear  Golden Market 

of course with

New Coronavirus News

vs

Next Global Macro Strikes

&

Central Banks FED-ECB-BOJ  & Governments Strikes 

 

ATA Financial Markets  Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – April  

 

by the Gold  Way

always remember

Gold  –  anti US Dollar  Vector

 

Gold Futures  Monthly Charts :

3.04.2020 – EOW 

GOLD F - M - Fib Constellation

GOLD F - M - Fib Constellation - Focus

Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index – Secular Clash of the Immortals…

Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index – Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Following …

NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index

5.04.2020 –  NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index – Secular Clash of the Titans…

Barrick Gold

4.04.2020 – Barrick Gold – New Golden Strike with Risky Shining…

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index

Short Term 

27.03.2020 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Next GOLDEN FALL…

Special 

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

&

15.01.2020 –  CHF/JPY – EUROZONE-ITALIAN STORM 2020 Rising Risk…

 

Major  Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index  Motives 

Global Coronavirus Pandemic – Rising Risk 

Global Slowdown or Recession Extreme High Risk

&

Gold & Silver Moves 

vs

USD – Very Strong Main Global anti Gold & Silver Currency 

 

US  Factors for HAU Gold and Silver 

Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD

&

FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike

More for US Economy Financial System if needed

Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike

5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic

FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike

Policy Room for More Action

Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN

FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits 

US Government  Stimulus Packet 

with

Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike

FED Bullard “Boom” Strike

after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again

Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike

US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction

vs

FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario

US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%

Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike

Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike

Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP

Mnuchin US Jobless Warning

Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action

Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for XAU Gold and Silver

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

XAU - Gold-Silver

 

Present  Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index  Secular  Situation 

HAU GOLD & SILVER   SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN MEDIUM TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

for many years

stricte September 2013 – present April 2020

all time dominating

Secular Inception 

Strategic Long Term Patterns

Bullish – Inverted H&S 

Neckline – 95

vs

Bearish – Rising Ending Diagonal  

Upper Edge – 110   vs   Lower Edge – 77

with

MACD Quarterly Buy Signal 

 

Present Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index Battlefield 

75  vs  85

&

77   vs    95 – 110 

with

 Psychological Key Levels  80  90  100

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now  Special Focus on

First

Present Psychological Key Levels 75 , 80 , 85 

Second

Long Term Range 

77   vs    95 – 110 

with

Key Signal – Move Out of the Range

&

Entering New Bull  or Bear  Golden Market 

of course with

New Coronavirus News

vs

Next Global Macro Strikes

&

Central Banks FED-ECB-BOJ  & Governments Strikes 

 

ATA Financial Markets  Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – April  & EOQ – Q2/2020 

 

by the Gold  Way

always remember

Gold  –  anti US Dollar  Vector

 

Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index  Quarterly Chart :

3.04.2020 – EOW 

PHLX - Q

NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index – Secular Clash of the Titans…

NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index – Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Following …

Barrick Gold

4.04.2020 – Barrick Gold – New Golden Strike with Risky Shining…

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index

27.03.2020 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Next GOLDEN FALL…

Special 

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

&

15.01.2020 –  CHF/JPY – EUROZONE-ITALIAN STORM 2020 Rising Risk…

 

Major  NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index  Motives 

Global Coronavirus Pandemic – Rising Risk 

Global Slowdown or Recession Extreme High Risk

&

Gold Moves 

vs

USD – Very Strong Main Global anti Gold Currency 

 

US  Factors for Gold BUGS

Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD

&

FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike

More for US Economy Financial System if needed

Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike

5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic

FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike

Policy Room for More Action

Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN

FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits 

US Government  Stimulus Packet 

with

Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike

FED Bullard “Boom” Strike

after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again

Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike

US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction

vs

FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario

US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%

Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike

Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike

Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP

Mnuchin US Jobless Warning

Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action

Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for  Gold BUGS

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

HUI - Gold

 

Present  NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index   Secular  Situation 

GOLD BUGS  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN MEDIUM TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

for many years

stricte March 2014 – present April 2020

all time dominating

Strategic Long Term Patterns

Bearish – Symmetrical Triangle 

Upper Edge – 240   vs   Lower Edge – 165

or

Bullish – Inverted H&S 

Neckline – 240 

with

MACD Quarterly Buy Signal 

 

Present NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index Battlefield 

165   vs    240

with

Present Psychological Key Level   200

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now  Special Focus on

First

Present Psychological Key Level   200

Second

Long Term Range 

165   vs    240

with

Key Signal – Move Out of the Range

&

Entering New Bull  or Bear  Golden Market 

of course with

New Coronavirus News

vs

Next Global Macro Strikes

&

Central Banks FED-ECB-BOJ  & Governments Strikes 

 

ATA Financial Markets  Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – April  & EOQ – Q2/2020 

 

by the Gold  Way

always remember

Gold  –  anti US Dollar  Vector

 

NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index Quarterly Chart :

3.04.2020 – EOW 

HUI - Q

Barrick Gold – New Golden Strike with Risky Shining…

Barrick Gold  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

2015 

19.07.2015 –  ABX – Searching for Opportunity…

with

ATA Following …

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index

27.03.2020 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Next GOLDEN FALL…

 

Major  Barrick Gold  Motives 

Global Coronavirus Pandemic – Rising Risk 

Global Slowdown or Recession Extreme High Risk

&

Gold Moves 

vs

USD – Very Strong Main Global anti Gold Currency 

 

US  Factors for Barrick Gold

Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD

&

FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike

More for US Economy Financial System if needed

Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike

5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic

FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike

Policy Room for More Action

Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN

FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits 

US Government  Stimulus Packet 

with

Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike

FED Bullard “Boom” Strike

after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again

Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike

US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction

vs

FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario

US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%

Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike

Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike

Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP

Mnuchin US Jobless Warning

Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action

Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for  Barrick Gold

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

barrick-gold

 

Present  Barrick Gold  Secular  Situation 

BARRICK GOLD  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN MEDIUM TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

After  earlier Activated

Two Falling Ending Diagonals 

with

Dynamic Rising Waves 

( Candlestick Chart )

Now dominating

New Bull Impuls 

that Activated

Latest Bull Reversal Pattern 

Inverted H&S – Neckline 25.85 CAD

vs

Psychological Resistance  30 – 30.50 CAD 

Top Zone –  July 2016

but with

MACD Monthly

Buy Signal  Inverted H&S 

 

Barrick Gold  Present Battlefield 

25- 25.86   vs    30 – 30.50  CAD

with

Psychological Key Levels  20 – 25 – 30 CAD 

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now  Special Focus on

25.28.85   vs   30-30.50  CAD

with

Psychological Key Levels  25 – 30  CAD 

with

Research New Pattern

Classical   Candlestick 

and of course

New Coronavirus News

vs

Next Global Macro Strikes

&

Central Banks FED-ECB-BOJ  & Governments Strikes 

 

ATA Financial Markets  Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – April

 

by the Gold  Way

always remember

Gold  –  anti US Dollar  Vector

 

Barrick Gold  Monthly Charts :

19.07.2015 

ABX - M - 2015

3.04.2020 – EOW 

ABX - M

ABX - M - Line

PSEI Index – Philippine Falling after Coronavirus Typhoon Strike…

Philippine PSEI Index – Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Following …

After  Wall Street  Shot Down on Coronavirus  Scary Motive 

Latest

DJIA

1.04.2020 –  DJIA – Secular View after January Barron’s Cover Warning…

Nasdaq 100  

31.03.2020 –  NASDAQ 100 Futures – Smart Money Perfection – Secular AMAZING CONSTELLATION after First & Second Bear Strikes…

DAX Index

30.03.2020 –  DAX – German Secular View after Financial Gotterdammerung First Act…

FTSE MIB Index 

30.03.2020 –  FTSE MIB – Italian Secular Perspective after Equity Avalanche Disaster on Coronavirus Panic Motive…

&

NIFTY 50 Index 

28.03.2020 –  NIFTY 50 – India Stock Index Secular View after First Bear Strike on Coronavirus Scary Motive…

Shanghai Index 

29.03.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular Perspective after Coronavirus First Dust Fall…

KOSPI Index 

29.03.2020 –  KOSPI – Bear vs Bull Fight after Secular Bear Reversal Pattern Activated on Coronavirus Panic Motive…

NIKKEI Index

29.03.2020 –  NIKKEI – Flowering Stock Cherries after Coronavirus Media Shock…

ASX Index

29.03.2020 –  ASX Index – Australian Stock Market Kangoo Jumps – from Sky to Hell…

 

 

Master  Philippine PSEI Index  Motives

Asia  Coronavirus Pandemic

Philippine COVID-19 Pandemic – still active Risk 

Asia – Philippine & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk

vs

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Cut Rates & Stimulus Strike 

 

US  Factors for PSEI Index 

Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD

&

FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike

More for US Economy Financial System if needed

Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike

5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic

FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike

Policy Room for More Action

Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN

FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits 

US Government  Stimulus Packet 

with

Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike

FED Bullard “Boom” Strike

after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again

Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike

US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction

vs

FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario

US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%

Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike

Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike

Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP

Mnuchin US Jobless Warning

Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action

Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for PSEI Index 

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

PSEI

 

PSEI Index  Present  Situation 

PSEI SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

All Time Max  9078.37 – January 29th  2018

After Activated

Long Term Bear Reversal Pattern – H&S

Neckline – Key Level  7350 

start forming April  2015

by

Break Down Neckline 

&

Dynamic Waterfall  

Test

Psychological Key Level 4000 Zone 

FIB RET Zones 2 Major Big Rising Waves 

with

March Monthly Extra Large Real Body Bear Candlestick 

vs

Super Long Lower Shadow 

Now dominating

Dynamic Bull Contraction 

with

Back above Psychological Key Level 5000

but with

MACD Monthly

Activated  Sell Signal  & Strong Negative Divergence 

 

PSEI Index  Battlefield 

Present Active Range

5000   vs   5500

with special

Psychological Key Level 5000 

 

ATA  PSEI Index  Investment Conclusion 

Long Term Bear Reversal Pattern – H&S

start forming April  2015

that’s why

Coronavirus  – “only” the Smart Money Trigger

Trigger to Strike Down…

Now special  Focus on

Psychological Key Level 5000

&

Research

New Pattern Classical   Candlestick 

of course with

New Coronavirus News

Next Global – Asia –  Philippine Macro Strikes

&

Central Banks FED –  Asia- China – Philippine &  Governments Strikes 

 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

EOM – First…April

 

PSEI Index Monthly Charts :

3.04.2020 – EOW 

PSEI - M - Line

PSEI - M

OIL – Black Gold Secular Perspective vs Present China Rescue Strike…

OIL  –  All Time  on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

2019 Last

15.12.2019 –  OIL – No Black Gold Ecstasy after OPEC OPEC+ & Aramco Double Super Impact…

2020 

5.01.2020 –  OIL – IRAN Black Gold Strike…

7.01.2020 –  OIL – Back under September 2019 Top vs IRAN Rising Risk…

13.01.2020 –  OIL – Dynamic Fall on No IRAN War Euphory…

9.03.2020 –  OIL – BLACK ABYSS…

 

Present Master  OIL  Motives

OIL – CHINA RESCUE STRIKE

China to Start Buying Oil for State Reserves after Crash

vs

BIG OIL END  Scenario Rising Risk 

with

Saudi Arabia – Russia  OIL War 

&

Strong American Dollar 

with

China  Coronavirus Pandemic Lower Risk 

but

US  & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk

vs

PBoC  – China Stimulus Strike 

 

Wall Street Factor   for  OIL 

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

OIL - 16

 

First…ATA  from  9.03.2020

“Now still dominating

Bear Wave 

with

Today Intraday  Action 

Morning Panic Waterfall  Pattern

Big Bear Gap 

Test 2016 Low Zone Key Level  26 USD   

 

&

Today ATA OIL Tweet 

 

Second…Present  OIL Secular  Situation 

OIL SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN MEDIUM TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

After

Break Down

Lower Edge 

Psychological Key Level 30 USD  ( Line Chart )

Key Level 23 USD  ( Candlestick Chart )

Secular Falling Ending Diagonal 

with earlier

33 USD  2016 Low Zone January 2016  ( Line Chart )

26 USD  2016 Low Zone January 2016  ( Candle Chart )

&

March Waterfall  Action 

Monthly Super Extra Large Real Body Bear Candlestick 

Test  Lower Psychological Key Level  20 USD Zone 

( March Low 19.27 USD )

Now dominating

Bull Contraction from 20 USD Zone

on

China RISK ON Motive 

with

Today Present Testing Key Level 22.50 USD Zone 

but with

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

Long Term Negative Divergence 

 

OIL Present Battlefield 

20   vs  23 -26-30 USD

with

Psychological Key Levels  20 – 25 – 30 USD 

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now  Special Focus on

20   vs  23 -26-30 USD

with

Psychological Key Levels 20 – 25 – 30 USD 

with

Research New Pattern

Classical   Candlestick 

and of course

New Coronavirus News

vs

New  China ,OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia   Central Banks  Strikes 

 

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – April

 

by the Black Gold way

always remember

Oil  – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…

 

 

OIL   Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H5  Charts :

13.12.2019 – EOW  (  Futures Present Active Series  59.77 USD ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

3.01.2020 – EOW 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

7.01.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

13.01.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

OIL   Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H4  Charts :

9.03.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H4

OIL Monthly Charts

2.04.2020 (  before start  US Session )

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

DJIA – Secular View after January Barron’s Cover Warning…

DJIA  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

2018

18.05.2018 –  DJIA – 3 Peaks of US Equities Himalayas…

2019

18.07.2019 –  DJIA – on FED Central Edge…

27.09.2019 –  DJIA – Wall Street VERDUN…

14.10.2019 –  DJIA – TUBE – MEGAPHONE REVERSAL PATTERN DOMINATING…

2020 

12.01.2020 –  DJIA – PATTERN INCEPTION – from TUBE – MEGAPHONE to ENDING DIAGONAL…

20.01.2020 –  DJIA – Barron’s Cover Warning with Bear Ending Diagonal Risk…

&

Special 

20.07.2019 –  DJIA – MOONWALKER…

FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS 

DJIA 

31.12.2019 –  DJIA – Wall Street Fever vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update December 2019…

Wall Street 

2.01.2020 –  WALL STREET – 2020 ECSTASY START vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions…

Wall Street  Short Term Perspective

27.01.2020 –  WALL STREET Index Futures – Intraday Bear Reversal Patterns Activated before Coronavirus Fear Main Strike…

28.01.2020 –  WALL STREET Index Futures – the Day after China Coronavirus Panic…

1.02.2020 –  WALL STREET Index Futures – Coronavirus in Play – US Panic after China Panic…

8.02.2020 –  WALL STREET Index Futures – Coronavirus still in Play – New Intraday Bear Contraction…

13.02.2020 –  WALL STREET Index Futures – Clash of Coronavirus Bulls Optimism vs Bears New Cases Jump – Perfect Motive for Start Intraday Creation of Top…

with

ATA Following …

After  Wall Street  Shot Down on Coronavirus  Scary Motive 

Latest

Nasdaq 100  

31.03.2020 –  NASDAQ 100 Futures – Smart Money Perfection – Secular AMAZING CONSTELLATION after First & Second Bear Strikes…

DAX Index

30.03.2020 –  DAX – German Secular View after Financial Gotterdammerung First Act…

FTSE MIB Index 

30.03.2020 –  FTSE MIB – Italian Secular Perspective after Equity Avalanche Disaster on Coronavirus Panic Motive…

&

NIFTY 50 Index 

28.03.2020 –  NIFTY 50 – India Stock Index Secular View after First Bear Strike on Coronavirus Scary Motive…

Shanghai Index 

29.03.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular Perspective after Coronavirus First Dust Fall…

KOSPI Index 

29.03.2020 –  KOSPI – Bear vs Bull Fight after Secular Bear Reversal Pattern Activated on Coronavirus Panic Motive…

NIKKEI Index

29.03.2020 –  NIKKEI – Flowering Stock Cherries after Coronavirus Media Shock…

ASX Index

29.03.2020 –  ASX Index – Australian Stock Market Kangoo Jumps – from Sky to Hell…

 

 

Master  DJIA  Motives

US Coronavirus Pandemic

US  COVID-19 Pandemic –High Risk 

US  & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk

vs

FED  Emergency  ALL IN  Mega Stimulus Strike 

 

US  Factors for Nasdaq 100 Futures 

Trump Extend Lockdown Strike

US Lockdown until April 30

Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD

&

FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike

More for US Economy Financial System if needed

Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike

5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic

FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike

Policy Room for More Action

Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN

FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits 

US Government  Stimulus Packet 

with

Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike

FED Bullard “Boom” Strike

after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again

Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike

US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction

vs

FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario

US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%

Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike

Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike

Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP

Mnuchin US Jobless Warning

Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action

Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for Nasdaq 100 Futures 

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

New York Stock Exchange, USA - 02 Oct 2019

 

First…ATA  from  20.01.2020 

”  DJIA

( Quarterly Monthly Charts )

Now  still  dominating

Bull Wave 

vs

Rising Risk of  Present Bear Reversal Pattern 

Ending Diagonal

for Now  Upper Edge – Key Level  30.000

&

( Weekly Chart )

Now  dominating

Pattern Inception 

Two Ending Diagonal Patterns

1st Upper Edge Key Level 28.800

2nd Upper Edge Key Level 29.000   

 

&

ATA  DJIA – WALL STREET   Master Tweets

 

 

Second…DJIA Present  Situation 

DJIA  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

All Time Max  29.568,57 – February 12th  2020 

 

( Quarterly Chart )

First of All

after Activated

Two Bear Reversal  Patterns 

First…Ending Diagonal

Fall from Upper Edge

Break Down Lower Edge

Second…Tube Megaphone

Back into Tube

Break Down Lower Edge

with earlier

Break Down

Bull Trendline 

of

Rising Channel from Lehman Low

&

Dynamic Wave Down 

with

Test Psychological Key Level 18.000 Zone 

for Now dominating

EOQ – Q1/2020 

Dynamic Bull Contraction

with

Back above

Psychological Key Level 20.000

&

Testing Higher Psychological Key Level 22.000

with

Quarterly Q1/20 Big Real Body  Bear Candlestick 

vs

Very Long Lower Shadow 

like Lehman  Candlestick Low 

but with

MACD Quarterly Activated Sell  Signal 

 

( Monthly Chart )

After Activated

Three Bear Reversal  Patterns 

First…Pattern Inception 

Two Ending Diagonal Patterns

Fall from Upper Edges 1st & 2nd

Break Down Lower Edges

Second…Tube Megaphone

Back into Tube

Break Down Lower Edge

with earlier

Break Down

Bull Trendline 

of

Rising Channel from Lehman Low

&

Dynamic Wave Down 

with

Test Psychological Key Level 18.000 Zone 

for Now dominating

EOM – March

Dynamic Bull Contraction

Back above

Psychological Key Level 20.000

&

Testing Higher Psychological Key Level 22.000

with

March Monthly Big Real Body Bear Candlestick 

vs

Very Long Lower Shadow 

but with

MACD Monthly Activated  Sell Signal 

 

( Weekly Chart )

After Activated

Three Bear Reversal  Patterns 

First…Pattern Inception 

Two Ending Diagonal Patterns

Fall from Upper Edges 1st & 2nd

Break Down Lower Edges

Second…Tube Megaphone

Back into Tube

Break Down Lower Edge

with earlier

Break Down

Bull Trendline 

of

Rising Channel from Lehman Low

&

Dynamic Wave Down 

with

Test Psychological Key Level 18.000 Zone 

for Now dominating

Dynamic Bull Contraction

with

Back above

Psychological Key Level 20.000

Testing Higher Psychological Key Level 22.000

&

Finally Back inside

Tube Megaphone Pattern 

with

Last Weekly Big Real Body Bull Candlestick 

&

Bull Engulfing Pattern

but with

MACD Weekly Sell Signal 

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Needed Trend Confirmation

Back under  or   Active Defense

Psychological Key Level 20.000 

( Quarterly , Monthly & Weekly Charts )

with

Research New Pattern 

so

Special Focus on

DJIA  Smart Money Battlefield  

Psychological Key Level 20.000 

with

SM Reaction on 

EOM– April & EOQ – Q2/2020

 

 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

EOQ – First…Q2

EOM – First…April

 

 

DJIA Monthly , Weekly  & Daily Charts :

18.01.2018

Your new TVC.png

Your new TVC (1)

Your new TVC (2)

11.01.2019

djia - m

djia - wdjia - d

17.05.2019

DJIA - M - Line

DJIA - W - Line

DJIA - D - Line

DJIA - W - Fib Ret

DJIA  Quarterly, Monthly, Weekly & Daily  Charts :

18.07.2019

( Starting Phase American Session )

DJIA - Q

DJIA - M

DJIA - W

DJIA - D

27.09.2019 – EOD 
DJIA - Q
DJIA - Q - Focus
DJIA - M
DJIA - M - Focus
DJIA - W
DJIA - D

 

DJIA  Quarterly, Monthly & Weekly Charts :

14.10.2019 – ( First Phase US Session ) 

DJIA - Q

DJIA - M

DJIA - W

10.01.2020 – EOD

DJIA - Q

DJIA - M

DJIA - W

17.01.2020 – EOW

DJIA - Q

DJIA - M

DJIA - W

31.03.2020 – EOM-EOQ

DJIA - Q - Focus

DJIA - M - Focus

DJIA - W- Focus

NASDAQ 100 Futures – Smart Money Perfection – Secular AMAZING CONSTELLATION after First & Second Bear Strikes…

Nasdaq 100  &  Nasdaq 100 Futures  – All Time on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

Nasdaq Comp – Nasdaq 100  & Futures 

First of All

Back to 2016…

21.08.2016 – NASDAQ(S) – Big Picture – 18 Months Over 2000 year Top…

2020

12.02.2020 –  NASDAQ – ELLIOTT WAVE TOP 2020 FINAL COUNTDOWN…

12.02.2020 –  NASDAQ – US Tech Bulls Parabolic Wave vs Secular Horizon Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…

25.02.2020 –  NASDAQ 100 – Hitting First Major Fibonacci Retracement Zone on Coronavirus Panic…

28.02.2020 –  NASDAQ 100 & NASDAQ 100 Fut – Hitting Next Major Fibonacci Retracement Zone on Coronavirus Panic…

29.02.2020 –  NASDAQ 100 Futures – Secular AMAZING CONSTELLATION after First Bear Strike…

&

Last Intraday 

27.03.2020 –  Nasdaq 100 Futures Intraday – Clear Following Smart Money Rhythm…

with

ATA Following …

After  Wall Street  Shot Down on Coronavirus  Scary Motive 

Latest

DAX Index

30.03.2020 –  DAX – German Secular View after Financial Gotterdammerung First Act…

FTSE MIB Index 

30.03.2020 –  FTSE MIB – Italian Secular Perspective after Equity Avalanche Disaster on Coronavirus Panic Motive…

&

NIFTY 50 Index 

28.03.2020 –  NIFTY 50 – India Stock Index Secular View after First Bear Strike on Coronavirus Scary Motive…

Shanghai Index 

29.03.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular Perspective after Coronavirus First Dust Fall…

KOSPI Index 

29.03.2020 –  KOSPI – Bear vs Bull Fight after Secular Bear Reversal Pattern Activated on Coronavirus Panic Motive…

NIKKEI Index

29.03.2020 –  NIKKEI – Flowering Stock Cherries after Coronavirus Media Shock…

ASX Index

29.03.2020 –  ASX Index – Australian Stock Market Kangoo Jumps – from Sky to Hell…

 

Master NASDAQ 100 Fut  Motives

US Coronavirus Pandemic

US  COVID-19 Pandemic –High Risk 

US  & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk

vs

FED  Emergency  ALL IN  Mega Stimulus Strike 

 

US  Factors for Nasdaq 100 Futures 

Trump Extend Lockdown Strike

US Lockdown until April 30

Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD

&

FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike

More for US Economy Financial System if needed

Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike

5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic

FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike

Policy Room for More Action

Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN

FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits 

US Government  Stimulus Packet 

with

Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike

FED Bullard “Boom” Strike

after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again

Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike

US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction

vs

FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario

US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%

Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike

Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike

Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP

Mnuchin US Jobless Warning

Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action

Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for Nasdaq 100 Futures 

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

NASDAQ -46

 

First…ATA from  29.02.2020  

ATA  NASDAQ 100 Futures Battlefield 

ATA Prefered  Scenario 

Dynamic Bear Contraction – Pullback to Neckline 

with

Back to Bull Trend 

vs

ATA Alternative  Scenario 

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

with

Rasing Wave B – only Bull Correction 

 

ATA  Research  Conclusion 

NASDAQ 100   NASDAQ 100 futures 

Tactic Bear Strike

with

Testing  First Major Fibonacci Retracement 

&

Psychological Key Level 8000 

remember

If Break Down 

Master First Target – Support Zone 2016 Year Low with FIB RET 38.2%

Key Levels 6400-300 – 6000  Zone   

 

&

ATA  Major Wall Street Nasdaq Tweets

First of All

Master Tweet 

&

 

 

Second…Present Nasdaq 100 Futures  Situation 

NASDAQ 100 FUTURES SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Master Motives 

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

Monthly  View 

First of All

NASDAQ 100 F

All Time Highs 19th February 2020

Key Level Zone  9700 – 9800 

9762.88    

 

still Active

Bear Danger Factor 

Similar to 2000 Year Top 

Long Upper Shadow 

February Monthly Candlestick 

vs

Bull Positive Factor 

Extra Long Lower  Shadow 

March Monthly Candlestick 

&

Monthly Line Chart 

Long Term Inverted H&S Pattern 

 

 

Nasdaq 100 Futures Research 

After Activated

Bear Scenario

by

Break Down Psychological Key Level 8000

&

Dynamic Waterfall  Strike 

with

Test  Psychological Key Level 6500 Zone 

( Low 6622 )

Now dominating

Dynamic  Bull Contraction

from  6600  to  8000 Zone 

Pullback to Broken 8000 Key Level 

vs

No back above Key Level 8000 

( Today High 7994 )

&

at the End of  March dominating

Bear Monthly Candlestick 

Extra Super Long Lower Shadow 

vs

Under Neckline

Long Term Inverted H&S Pattern 

but with

MACD Monthly 

still Active Buy Signal 

vs

Negative Divergence & Near to Active Sell 

 

 

ATA  NASDAQ 100 Futures Battlefield 

ATA Prefered  Scenario 

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

with

Rasing Wave B – only Bull Correction 

Dynamic Bull Contraction – Pullback to Broken Neckline 

Psychological Key Level 8000 Zone 

vs

ATA Alternative  Scenario 

1987 Crash  Scenario – Back above Psychological Key Level 8000

 

 

ATA Long Term Investment Conclusion 

Nasdaq F still Strongest 

8000  –  Very Important Psychological Key Level 

so

Special  Focus on

Psychological Key Level 8000

&

Research

New Pattern Classical   Candlestick 

of course with

New Coronavirus News

Next Global – US – Eurozone – German Macro Strikes

&

Central Banks FED – ECB  &  Governments Strikes 

 

 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First… Today EOM-March  

Second…EOM- April 

 

 

NASDAQ Comp &  NASDAQ 100   Monthly Elliott Wave Charts :

11.02.2020 – EOD

Nasdaq Comp - M - Elliott Waves

Nasdaq Comp - M - Elliott Waves - Focus

Nasdaq Comp - M - Elliott Waves - Focus-Focus

Nasdaq 100- M - Elliott Waves

Nasdaq 100 - M - Elliott Waves - Focus

Nasdaq 100 - M - Elliott Waves - Focus-Focus

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100   Monthly  Fibonacci Extensions Charts

12.02.2020 –  Start US Session  ( Log Scale ) 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT

Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

Nasdaq 100 Futures  Monthly Charts

28.02.2020 – EOM 

Nasdaq 100 F - M - Fib Ret

Nasdaq 100 F - M - Fib Ret - Focus

Nasdaq 100 F - M - Line

Nasdaq 100 F - M - Line - Focus

31.03.2020 – ( Second Half  US Session – March Last ) 

Nasdaq 100 F - M - Fib Ret - Focus

Nasdaq 100 F - M - Line - Focus

DAX – German Secular View after Financial Gotterdammerung First Act…

DAX   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

2017-2018

13.08.2017 – DAX – ZWAI B PANZERFAUST…

25.09.2017 – AfD – REICH STRIKES BACK…

6.09.2018  –  DAX – GERMAN EQUITY on the EDGE…

12.11.2018 –  DAX – GERMAN EQUITY under the EDGE…

2019 

13.01.2019 – DAX – GERMAN RISK OFF Wave…

9.05.2019 –  DAX – FIGHTING in MASTER EQUATOR 12.000…

3.08.2019 –  DAX – STRIKE under EQUTOUR 12.000

23.09.2019 –  DAX – BULL vs BEAR MAJOR CLASH…

2020 

18.01.2020 –  DAX – Final Fight in Master 2017-2018 Top Zone…

 

with

ATA Following …

After  Wall Street  Shot Down on Coronavirus  Scary Motive 

Latest

FTSE MIB Index 

30.03.2020 –  FTSE MIB – Italian Secular Perspective after Equity Avalanche Disaster on Coronavirus Panic Motive…

&

NIFTY 50 Index 

28.03.2020 –  NIFTY 50 – India Stock Index Secular View after First Bear Strike on Coronavirus Scary Motive…

Shanghai Index 

29.03.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular Perspective after Coronavirus First Dust Fall…

KOSPI Index 

29.03.2020 –  KOSPI – Bear vs Bull Fight after Secular Bear Reversal Pattern Activated on Coronavirus Panic Motive…

NIKKEI Index

29.03.2020 –  NIKKEI – Flowering Stock Cherries after Coronavirus Media Shock…

ASX Index

29.03.2020 –  ASX Index – Australian Stock Market Kangoo Jumps – from Sky to Hell…

 

DAX   Index  Key Motives

German &  European Coronavirus Pandemic

European – German  COVID-19 Pandemic –High Risk 

EUROZONE – Germany   & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk

vs

Eurozone ECB  Emergency Mega Stimulus Strike 

 

US  Factor for German DAX  Index 

Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD

&

FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike

More for US Economy Financial System if needed

Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike

5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic

FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike

Policy Room for More Action

Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN

FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits 

US Government  Stimulus Packet 

with

Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike

FED Bullard “Boom” Strike

after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again

Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike

US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction

vs

FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario

US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%

Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike

Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike

Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP

Mnuchin US Jobless Warning

Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action

Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for German DAX Index 

Dynamic Rising Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

DAX - 4

 

First…ATA from  18.01.2020

” Now dominating

DAX  Candlestick Testing 

November 2017 – January 2018 Top Zone 

Key Levels 13.500 – 13.600 

with

Pattern Inception from H&S to M or 2B 

&

Risk of New Bear Reversal Pattern

M or 2B – Key Levels 13.500 – 13.600     

 

 

Second…Present  DAX  Situation

DAX SECULAR  PERSPECTIVE

 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

All Time High – 13.795.34 

February 17th 2020 

After Final Activated

Bear Reversal  Pattern 

LONG TERM TOP PATTERN 

2B  Key Level 13.595  (Candlestick Chart)

M  Key Level 13.250  (Line Chart)

&

Dynamic Bear Strike 

with

Break Down

Old H&S Pattern Neckline – Key Level  10.750 

&

Test

First…FIB RET Last Long Term  Rasing Wave 

from Lehman Low 2009 Year

Second…Psychological Key Level 8.000 Zone 

Now dominating

Dynamic Bull Contraction 

Back to Psychological Key Level 10.000 Zone 

with

Monthly Bear Big Real Body Candlestick

vs  Long Lower Shadow 

&

Monthly MACD Sell Signal

Test Lover Edge Long Term Bear Channel 

 

 

ATA   DAX  Present Investment Conclusion

Present Battlefield 

8000-8300    vs   10.000

so

focus carefully  on

Result of Test Psychological Key Level 10.000 

&

Research

New Pattern Classical   Candlestick 

of course with

New Coronavirus News

Next Global – US – Eurozone – German Macro Strikes

&

Central Banks FED – ECB  &  Governments Strikes 

 

 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

N- TIMES

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – March 

 

DAX  Monthly Charts :

13.08.2017

DAX-M8

25.09.2017

DAX-M44

6.09.2018

DAX-M1

DAX-M2

DAX-M3

12.11.2018

DAX-M1

DAX-M2DAX-M3

11.01.2019

dax-m1

dax-m2

dax-m3

dax-fib-m

9.05.2019

DAX - M - Line

DAX - M - Line - Focus

DAX - M - Fib

2.08.2019

DAX - M - Line

DAX - M - Line - Focus

DAX - M - Fib

23.09.2019 – EOD

DAX - M - Line

DAX - M - Line - Focus

DAX - M - Fib

17.01.2020 – EOW

DAX - M - Line

DAX - M - Line - Focus

DAX - M - Fib

30.03.2020 –  EOD

DAX - M - Line DAX - M - Line - Focus

DAX - M - Fib

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