DXY – NO F/X CAPITULATION…

ATA Continuation of…

from…

14.02.2018  –  DXY – Close Encounters of the Third Kind…

16.02.2018  –  DXY – The Thin Red Line…

17.03.2018  –  DXY – RISING STAR…

22.03.2018  – FED – THE DAY AFTER US CENTRAL MOTIVE…

27.04.2018  –  DXY – STILL STANDING…

to…

27.05.2018  –  DXY – BIG WAVE UP SURFING…BUT…

7.06.2018  –  DXY – KING IS TIRED…

13.06.2018  – DXY – FED BIG BADA BUM…!!!

16.06.2018  –  DXY – MASTER KEY TO ALL EM DOORS…

17.06.2018  – DXY – EM Currency Side of American Dollar…

23.06.2018  – DXY – SHOT DOWN…

30.06.2018  – DXY – REAL FALLING AGAINST MAINSTREAM MEDIA ” KING ” VOICES…

15.07.2018 –  DXY-STILL LOSING MOMENTUM…

18.07.2018  –  DXY – POWELL – FED MOTIVE…

19.07.2018  –  DXY – NO F/X AIR FLOW…

22.07.2018  – DXY – TRUMP SHOT DOWN…

23.07.2018 –  DXY after G20 Argentina Meeting…

with Last…

1.08.2018  –  DXY vs FED CENTRAL FACTOR…

2.08.2018  – DXY after FED & POWELL…

11.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X NORTHERN STAR for EM CURRENCIES…

12.08.2018 –  DXY -TURKISH GAME CHANGER…

18.08.2018 –  DXY vs EM CURRENCIES on TURKISH RATING DOUBLE IMPACT…

19.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X SAFE HAVEN…

21.08.2018 –  DXY – SHOT DOWN by TRUMP…

23.08.2018 –  DXY – HAWKISH FED MINUTES…

25.08.2018  –  DXY vs All the President’s Men…

28.08.2018 –  DXY – F/X EXECUTION…

15.09.2018  –  Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

20.11.2018 –  DXY – MORE & MORE DANGER GREEN TRACK…

 

 

DXY 

after 

Activated  M  Pattern 

2  Tops : 97.69 – 12.11.2018   &  97.71 – 14.12.2018  

&

Correction Move

is  Now

Back to  Rising  Wave

against

FED Game Changer 

Present FED – Powell Dovish & Dovisher – FED TIME GAME 

after

All Last 2018 Year  Hawkish FED – FED RATE HIKES 

but with

USD Rising Arguments from other  Markets

Main Currencies

19.01.2019 –  EUR/USD – F/X VERDUN…

19.01.2019 –UK POUND – BREXIT SAGA with BRITISH STATUS QUO…

17.01.2019 –  YEN – RISK OFF REVENGE…

17.01.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – NO RISK OFF REVENGE…

Wall Street  with US Bonds

15.01.2019 –  GLOBAL DOW INDEX – DIVERGENCE – Wall Street vs other Markets…

14.01.2019 – NASDAQ – V CORRECTION – from Dynamic Risk Off to Dynamic Risk On…

16.01.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back to Neutral Zone…

 

dxy v

 

First…

ATA from  20.11.2018

” DXY created the TOP in 97.50 – 98.00 Zone 

(  Max 97.69  –  12.11.2018 ) 

that’s activated

DXY  Wave Down…

under

October Max  –  ( 97.20 – 31.10.2018 )

&

August Max  –  ( 96.98 – 15.08.2018 ) 

 

DXY  Final 5-th  Wave  Up   ATA  Preferred Scenario  still Active …!!!

but

for Now is  completed  1  of 5-th Wave  

with

2B  & 2B BIS Patterns  in 97.20  &  97.00 Zone 

vs

2  Correction Wave  is active or completed  

with

FIB RET  ( Daily Chart ) 

so

Special Focus on

Present   FIB RET  ( Daily Chart ) 

 

 

ATA Tweets 

 

First – Special 

 

 

 

Second – FED & Powell Central Factor

ex ante & chronological…

in Tweets  DXY   is   US Dollar Index Futures – Mar 19 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Second…

Present  DXY   Situation 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN ACTION  

 

First…Market Motives :

FED – Powell Dovish & Dovisher – FED TIME GAME 

TRUMP vs  FED & Powell

US Present & Future  2019  Slowdown 

FITCH US RATING WARNING

US Macro Data &  DEBT/ GDP Ratio

TRUMP – Mexico Wall

TRUMP – IRAN & SYRIA

vs

ECB  with Draghi –  End of QE

EUROZONE Recession Risk 

EUROZONE Macro Data &  DEBT/ GDP Ratio

MACRON & SALVINI –  European Political Risk 

European Parliament Election  – May 2019

 

 

Second…Market Technical  Pattern :

( Monthly Chart )

Elliott Wave  Long Term Bullish Count 

January Bull Candlestick with Lower Shadow

Key Support Zone – Tops October & November 2017 

Psychological  Key Level   95 Zone 

MACD Buy Signal 

 

( Weekly  Chart )

Bullish Engulfing 

Support Zone  95  vs  Resistance Zone  96.50 

MACD Sell Signal 

 

 ( Daily Chart )

Last M Pattern in 97.70 Zone

vs

Elliott Wave Bullish Count 

MACD Buy Signal 

 

(  Intraday – H5 Chart )

 Down Trend  Channel  Break Up 

Trendline Support – Key Level 96.20 

MACD Buy Signal 

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

still for Now

DXY  Final 5-th  Wave  Up   ATA  Preferred Scenario  still Active …!!!

for Now is  completed  1  &  2  of 5-th Wave  

3  of 5-th Wave  in Action

but with Open Option of

2′  of  3 of 5-th Wave

with

FIB RET  ( Monthly , Weekly , Daily & H5  Charts ) 

so

Special Focus on

Present   FIB RET-s    Daily   vs   H5   Charts

 

p.s.

Remember

finally   January EOM…

 

 

DXY Monthly Charts :

 

16.02.2018

your-new-tvc-61

16.03.2018

Your new TVC (1)

21.03.2018

Your new TVC (9)

27.04.2018

Your new TVC (6)

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (8)

 

with

 

DXY  Weekly , Daily  & Intraday (  H5 – H4  – H1  ) Charts :

 

16.06.2018

Your new TVC (10)

Your new TVC (11)

Your new TVC (12)

17.06.2018

DXY Weekly  Chart

Your new TVC (10)

23.06.2018

DXY Weekly  Chart

 

Your new TVC (15)

 

DXY Weekly , Daily   & Intraday (  H5 – H4  – H1 ) Charts :

 

29.06.2018

Your new TVC (21)

Your new TVC (22)

Your new TVC (23)

13.07.2018

Your new TVC

Your new TVC (1)

Your new TVC (2)

18.07.2018

Your new TVC (6)

Your new TVC (7)

Your new TVC (8)

19.07.2018

Your new TVC (10)

Your new TVC (11)

Your new TVC (12)

20.07.2018

Your new TVC (4)

Your new TVC (2)

Your new TVC (3)

23.07.2018

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

Your new TVC (5)

1.08.2018

Your new TVC (10)

Your new TVC (11)

Your new TVC (12)

Your new TVC (13)

2.08.2018

Your new TVC (14)

Your new TVC (15)

Your new TVC (16)

Your new TVC (17)

 

DXY  Monthly , Weekly  &   Daily   Charts :

10.08.2018

DXY-M

DXY-W

DXY-D

17.08.2018

DXY - M

DXY -W

DXY -D

21.08.2018

DXY-M

DXY-W

DXY-D

23.08.2018

DXY-M-1

DXY-M-1 line

DXY-W1

DXY-D1

24.08.2018

DXY - M CAN

DXY - M LINE

DXY-W NEW

DXY-D NEW

28.08.2018

DXY-M

DXY-M LINE

DXY-W

DXY-D

DXY-H5

20.11.2018

DXY- M -1DXY- M -2DXY- WDXY- DDXY- H5

20.01.2019

dxy- m -1dxy- m -2

dxy- wdxy- ddxy- h5

Advertisements

EUR/USD – F/X VERDUN…

ATA Continuation chronological

2014 – 2015 – 2017

20.03.2014 – FED & ELLIOTT IMPLICATIONS – EUR/USD…

06.03.2015 – EUR/USD – GIGA PRECISION

08.03.2015 – EUR/USD – 1 YEAR MOVE – March 2014 vs March 2015

18.07.2017 – EURO RUN on DRAGHI MOTIVE – SMART MONEY in ACTION…

01.09.2017 – EUR/USD FIGHTING…

2018

13.01.2018 –  EURO-SOJUZ vs FIBONACCI…

16.01.2018 – EUR/USD – Focus on Stalingrad Pattern…

25.01.2018 – EUR/USD – Dancing with Draghi…

29.01.2018 –  MAIN EUROPEAN DM CURRENCIES AFTER DRAGHI DUST…

26.07.2018 – EUR/USD BIG PICTURE – ECB Motive…

27.07.2018 – EUR/USD – the Day after Dovish Draghi…

28.07.2018 – EUR/USD & GDP FACTOR : US vs FRANCE…

&

Finally

6.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH…

6.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – FIRST ROUND…

7.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – SECOND ROUND…

8.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – THIRD ROUND…

10.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – FINAL ROUND…

with

Last

12.08.2018 – EUR/USD – TURKISH GAME CHANGER…

19.08.2018 –  EUR/USD vs EURO BANKS TURKISH DEBT VIRUS…

22.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – F/X CANNONBALL…

24.08.2018 – EUR/USD vs POWELL from JACKSON HOLE…

27.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – KIND OF F/X MAGIC…

28.08.2018 – EUR/USD – COT SHORTS vs FIBONACCI…

29.08.2018 – EUR/USD vs US GDP MACRO Factor…

13.09.2018 – EUR/USD vs ECB & DRAGHI…

21.09.2018 –  EUR/USD – Dynamic Strikes Back…

25.09.2018 – EUR/USD vs CENTRAL FACTOR – ECB VERBAL MOTIVE vs FED RATE HIKES…

29.09.2018 – EUR/USD BLACK CLOUDS after FED & ITALY MOTIVES…

7.10.2018 –  EUR/USD – RETURN to F/X EQUATOR…

11.10.2018  –  EUR/USD – ACTIVE DEFENSE of F/X EQUATOR…

25.10.2018  –  EUR/USD under F/X EQUATOR waiting for ECB …

02.11.2018  –  EUR/USD – Against All Odds…Key Pattern Deja Vu…

8.11.2018  –  EUR/USD vs Master F/X Nightmares…from ITALY & ECB to US Election & FED…

19.11.2018 –  EUR/USD – F/X AMBUSH…

 

 

All  Time…from August  2018

EUR/USD  is  still in Range ( 1.12 – 1.13  vs  1.15 ) 

under 

F/X  EQUATOR  –  Key Level 1.15

with

Last Back under   Key Level 1.14 

vs

above 

Key Level 1.12  ( Italian RISK OFF Low )

&

Key Level 1.13  (Turkish RISK OFF Low )

 

 

EUR/USD Last Months  shows   F/X VERDUN…

 

Both Sides of this Forex Battle 

can not break for good  other Side Resistance

Wave Up – 1.15 

vs

Wave Down 1.12 – 1.13

 

verdun

 

First…

ATA from  19.11.2018

”  F/X AMBUSH

with

Invert 2B Pattern in Key Level 1.13

after shot down & testing

Key Level 1.12 Zone 

(  Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018 ) 

 

ATA  Prefered  Scenario 

is Now

Invert 2B   Pattern  in 1.13 Zone 

but

Remember How Important

is

F/X  EQUATOR 1.15 

 

ATA Alternative Scenario 

 No Back above   F/X  EQUATOR  – 1.15

active back to

EURO RISK OFF Wave Continuation  

In the end decides…

Result of the Test  FX  EQUATOR –  Key Level 1.15 

 

&

 

ATA Tweets  ex ante & chronological…

in Tweets  DXY   is   US Dollar Index Futures – Mar 19 

 

 

 

Second…

Present  EUR/USD   Situation 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN ACTION  

 

First…Market Motives :

US   vs   EUROZONE : 

Economic Cycle Peak Risk 

Present &  Future Slowdown 

Macro Data

FED – Powell Dovish & Dovisher – FED TIME GAME 

TRUMP vs  FED & Powell

ECB  End of QE

DEBT/ GDP Ratio

TRUMP – Mexico Wall

TRUMP – IRAN & SYRIA

MACRON & SALVINI –  Political Risk 

FITCH US RATING WARNING

&

European Parliament Election  – May 2019

 

 

Second…Market Technical  Pattern :

EUR/USD Last Months  shows   F/X VERDUN…

 

Invert 2B Pattern in Key Level 1.13

&

Invert Ending Diagonal  

with

Key Level 1.12 Zone 

(  Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018 ) 

vs

F/X  EQUATOR  –  Key Level 1.15

with

FIB RET  Monthly , Weekly & Daily

&

MACD Monthly & Daily Sell Signals

vs

MACD Weekly Buy Signal

 

 

ATA  EUR/USD Present Investment Conclusion 

All  Time…from August  2018

Against All Odds…

from

ITALY , France & EUROZONE with ECB

to

US TRUMP  &  FED – Powell …

EUR/USD  

is  still in

Master Range ( 1.12 – 1.13  vs  1.15 ) 

so

In the end decides…

Result of the Test 

F/X  EQUATOR –  Key Level 1.15

vs

Last  Support Zone Key Levels  1.12 – 1.13

 

N – TIMES

CENTRAL FIGHT  –  ECB  vs   FED   – Master  Factor for   EUR/USD 

US MACRO  vs   EUROZONE MACRO

with

ITALIAN & FRANCE   vs  TRUMP MOTIVE STORY 

are

Master Key Motives for EUR/USD

 

but Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

 

 

EUR/USD  Monthly , Weekly , Daily  & Intraday  ( H4 & H5 )  Charts :

 

20.03.2014

eurusd_w(4)

08.03.2015

EURUSD (miesięcznie) 20150308071830

18.07.2017

EURUSD-M35

01.09.2017

EURUSD-M39

13.01.2018

twój-nowy-tvc2

16.01.2018

twój-nowy-tvc3

25.01.2018

eur-usd-m

26.07.2018

EURUSD-M1

EURUSD-W1

EURUSD-D1

27.07.2018

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

Twoja nowa TVC

27.07.2018  ( EOD ) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

6.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-H4

6.08.2018 

( before American Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

7.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC (2)

Twoja nowa TVC (3)

8.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

10.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC (9)

10.08.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EURUSD-M

EURUSD-W

EURUSD-D

EUR -D

EUR-H5

17.08.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD  & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D -1

EUR-USD-D -2

EUR-USD-H5

22.08.2018  

(  Start European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -H5

EUR-USD-W.png

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -H5

27.08.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -D3

EUR-USD -H5

28.08.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD -M

EUR-USD -W

EUR-USD -D

EUR-USD -D-1

EUR-USD - H5

29.08.2018  

( Before Start of  American F/X Session )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D1

EUR-USD-h5

13.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D1

EUR-USD-h5

21.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D2

EUR-USD-h5-1

25.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D3

EUR-USD-h5-2

28.09.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D4

EUR-USD-h5-3

5.10.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D5

EUR-USD-h5-4

11.10.2018  

(  Start of American Session )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

 

EUR-USD-D6

EUR-USD-h5-5

25.10.2018  

(  Middle of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D7EUR-USD-h5-6

2.11.2018  

(  Start  of  American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D8EUR-USD-h5-7

8.11.2018  

(  Before American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D9EUR-USD-h5-8

19.11.2018  

(  First Phase of American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-10EUR-USD-h5-9

18.01.2019  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

eur-usd-meur-usd-w

eur-usd-d

eur-usd-fib-d

eur-usd-h5

UK POUND – BREXIT SAGA with BRITISH STATUS QUO…

ATA Continuation…

25.06.2017 – UK POUND – 1 YEAR after BREXIT VOTE…

15.09.2017 – UK POUND – BRITISH SHOW MUST GO ON…

30.09.2017 – GREAT BRITAIN = GREAT POUND…

&

10.07.2018  –  UK POUND – 2 YEARS after BREXIT VOTE…

17.07.2018  –  UK POUND – NEGATIVE IMPULSES PROOF…

21.07.2018  –  UK POUND BRAVE FIGHTING with SPECTRE of BREXIT …

2.08.2018   –   UK POUND vs BoE CENTRAL FACTOR…

3.08.2018   –    UK POUND after BoE & CARNEY…

13.09.2018  –   UK POUND vs BoE & CARNEY…

2.11.2018  –  UK POUND – Key Pattern Deja Vu before Final BREXIT Deal…

15.11.2018  –  UK POUND vs BREXIT TURMOIL…

16.12.2018 –  UK POUND – BREXIT DEADLOCK…

 

Present  Active  UK POUND  Motives   (chronological )

Brexit Deal Vote – UK PM May loses Brexit Vote – Biggest Defeat for any PM in UK History

UK PM MAY No Confidence Vote – May Stay

BREXIT New Scenario – EU Ready to Delay Brexit until 2020 – The Times

NO BREXIT Possible Scenario

 

Present BREXIT Summary  – No Final BREXIT Deal… 

 

with

BOE – Bank of England Policy & UK Macro 

&

FED & Powell Impulses – FED TIME GAME 2019 

TRUMP vs FED & Powell 

 

 

the economist - mother of all mess

 

 

First…

ATA from  15.11.2018

”  ATA Preferred  Scenario 

W Pattern in Key Level  1.2660  Zone

(  Turkish Low )

with

with Open Opction

Invert 2B 

 

ATA from  16.12.2018

” with Open Opction

Invert 2B  after Cancelled 

W Pattern in Key Level  1.2660  Zone ( Turkish Low)

 

ATA Alternative Scenario 

UK POUND  RISK OFF Wave Stop 

Active Defense Psychological Key Level 1.25 Zone

&

UK Game Changer 

Dynamic Back above Turkish Low 1.2660  ”

 

&

 

ATA Tweets ex ante…

 

 

Second…

Present  UK POUND   Situation 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN ACTION  

First…Market Motives :

 (chronological )

Brexit Deal Vote – UK PM May loses Brexit Vote – Biggest Defeat for any PM in UK History

UK PM MAY No Confidence Vote – May Stay

BREXIT New Scenario – EU Ready to Delay Brexit until 2020 – The Times

NO BREXIT Possible Scenario

 

Present BREXIT Summary  –  No Final BREXIT Deal… 

 

with

BOE – Bank of England Policy & UK Macro 

&

FED & Powell Impulses – FED TIME GAME 2019 

TRUMP vs FED & Powell 

 

 

Second…Market Technical  Pattern :

GBP/USD 

UK POUND  RISK OFF Wave Cancellation

Activated

Invert 2B BIS &  2B Formations

in

First in 1.2480  &  Second 1.2660 Key Level  Zone 

with

MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

&

FIB RET 

vs

Inverted Ending Diagonal 

with still  active

Resistance Zone  

Psychological Key Level  1.30 

Present  Range

1.2660 – 1.27  vs  129 – 1.30 

 

 

EUR/GBP 

Key Patterns

Triangle  or   Ending Diagonal 

&

Activated  2B Pattern  in  0.9050 Key Level Zone 

vs

MACD Weekly  still  Buy  Signal 

Present  Range

 0.8620-50  – 0.88  vs  89 – 90 

 

 

one more time…

Always Remember

Focus  carefully on  Every  New  BREXIT  News…

BREXIT Words can do Everything with UK POUND in Minutes…!!!

what de facto proved…

Last  BREXIT & MAY Week

 

RISK STRIKES FAST

so

React…Don’t Predict 

&

Never Look for the Market Truth…

because

Looking for the Market Truth can last Forever…!!!

 

 

 

GBP/USD  &   EUR/GBP   Weekly & Daily  Charts :

7.10.2016
GBPUSD-D5i
24.03.2017
GBPUSD - D10(2)
23.06.2017
GBP-USD-W11
14.09.2017
GBP-USD-W13
30.09.2018
EURGBP-W1
10.07.2018
GBP-USD-W15
EURGBP-W3
17.07.2018
GBP-USD - W
EUR-GBP - W
20.07.2018
gbp-usd-w
eur-gbp-w

2.08.2018

GBP-USD - W

EUR-GBP- W

3.08.2018

GBP-USD - W

EUR-GBP- W

13.09.2018

GBP-USD-W

EUR-GBP-W

2.11.2018

GBP-USD-W

EUR-GBP-W

15.11.2018

GBP-USD-WEUR-GBP-W

14.12.2018

GBP-USD-W

EUR-GBP-W

GBP-USD- FIB RET - W

18.01.2019

gbp-usd-w

eur-gbp-w

gbp-usd- fib ret - w

RUSSIAN RUBLE – Relative Strength Rising…

ATA Continuation…

ex ante & chronological

6.08.2015 –  MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…

12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

last

18.03.2018  –  RTS & RUB – RUSSIA TODAY…

11.04.2018  –  RED ASSETS – from RUSSIA with LOSS…

16.07.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – TRUMP – PUTIN GEOPOLITICAL FACTOR…

23.07.2018  –  RUBLE – RUSSIAN OIL & GEOPOLITICAL ROULETTE…

9.08.2018   –   RUBLE – TRUMP STRIKES BACK…

10.08.2018  –  RUB – AMERICAN F/X TARGET…

18.08.2018  –  RUB vs US SANCTIONS & OIL RISK OFF FACTORS…

26.08.2018  –  RUB vs TRUMP CURRENCY WAR…

10.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs American Financial Pressure…

12.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs VOSTOCK 2018…

15.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs CBR Rate Hike…

18.10.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs SANCTIONS with ITALIAN VERBAL HELP…

18.11.2018 –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs OIL STRIKE…

 

RUB   

still Active Present Motives 

RISK ON 

No US Dollar strong Wave Up 

Bank of Russia High Rate  after Last Hikes

OIL Rising – Back > Psychological Key Level 50 USD 

Russia &  Belarus  – One Common Currency Project 

FED & Powell Impulses – FED TIME GAME 2019

vs

RISK OFF 

Sanctions 

Ukraine – Donbass War

with

Kerch Strait Incident – Ukrainian Ships & Sailors 

russian-flag

N – TIMES…

Most Important is  Final Smart Money Reaction…!!!

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…

ATA from  18.11.2018

” September  & November  Shooting Stars  – Bear Candlesticks

– Long Upper Shadows

Psychological Key Level 70 USD  ( Max 70.58 ) 

RUB Relative Strength  Rising…!!!

NO NEW HIGH above Key Level  Psychological  70 USD 

or even

NO  TEST of last  HIGH Zone ( 70 – 70.58 USD )  “

 

Second…

Present  RUSSIAN RUBLE  Situation 

still Active Present Motives 

RISK ON 

No US Dollar strong Wave Up 

Bank of Russia High Rate  after Last Hikes

OIL Rising – Back > Psychological Key Level 50 USD 

Russia &  Belarus  – One Common Currency Project 

&

FED & Powell Impulses – FED TIME GAME 2019 

vs

RISK OFF 

Sanctions 

Ukraine – Donbass War

with

Kerch Strait Incident – Ukrainian Ships & Sailors 

 

Main  Master  Technical Pattern

M – Double Top in Psychological Key Level 70 USD Zone 

&

January  Monthly Bear Candlestick 

3 Weekly Bear Candlesticks 

Daily Invert Ending Diagonal 

with

Monthly MACD Negative Divergence

Weekly  & Daily MACD Sell Signals 

vs

August  Monthly Big  Bull Candlestick   

still Active Support 65    – Half of  this Candlestick Body

&

Monthly MACD Buy Signal 

of course with

FIB RET   

(  Monthly,  Weekly  &  Daily  Charts )

 

 

ATA  USD/RUB  Investment Conclusion 

RUB Relative Strength  still Rising…!!!

NO NEW HIGH above Key Level  Psychological  70.00 USD 

M  Pattern  after  December Test of  70  USD 

USD/RUB still Active Key Levels  still  are   65   vs    68  &  70  – 70.50    

with

Highs –  70.58 & 69.40 USD 

 

Focus on

USD/RUB January EOM 

with

OIL – Psychological Key Level 50 USD

16.01.2019 –  OIL – V Sharp Correction…

&

US 10Y BOND YIELD 

16.01.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back to Neutral Zone…

 

 

USD/RUB  Monthly , Weekly  &  Daily  Charts :

 

18.03.2018

Your new TVC (6)

11.04.2018

Your new TVC

15.07.2018

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

Your new TVC (5)

23.07.2018

Your new TVC

Your new TVC (1)

Your new TVC (2)

9.08.2018

Your new TVC (5)

Your new TVC (6)

Your new TVC (8)

10.08.2018

tvc_1e1d68711527d067624b3bb54ef71d1c

tvc_ce8bc1b6f2353c07c4dd8f89de37ba33

tvc_406b4856071959d34d9241f4f7b0127d

17.08.2018

USD-RUB-M

USD-RUB-W

USD-RUB-D

24.08.2018

RUB-M

RUB-W

 

RUB-D

10.09.2018

USD-RUB-M

USD-RUB-W

USD-RUB-D

12.09.2018

USD-RUB-M-1

USD-RUB-W-1

USD-RUB-D-1

14.09.2018

USD-RUB-M-2

USD-RUB-W-2

USD-RUB-D-2

18.10.2018

USD-RUB-M-3

USD-RUB-W-3

USD-RUB-D-3

16.11.2018

USD-RUB-M-4USD-RUB-W-4USD-RUB-D-4

18.01.2019

usd-rub-musd-rub-wusd-rub-d

MEXICAN PESO on RISK ON WAVE…

ATA Continuation…

ex ante & chronological

6.08.2015 –  MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…

12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

13.11.2016 – TRUMP ERA – MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER

&

14.07.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER DEJA VU…

18.08.2018  –   MEXICAN PESO FULL FIGHT with TURKISH & EM F/X RISKS…

27.08.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO vs NAFTA TRADE AGREEMENT…

29.08.2018  –   MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE after US – MEXICO TRADE DEAL…

4.10.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE 2.0 after NAFTA 2.0…

4.11.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO vs FITCH WARNING…

18.11.2018 –  MEXICAN PESO – F/X STANDBY…

 

After…

Last  Mainstream MXN  Big  Motives :

FITCH  Cut  Mexico’s  Outlook to Negative

Bank of  Mexico  Rate Hikes

&

FED & Powell Impulses

with

All  MXN Negative Impulses discounted 

&

F/X  Standby  for  Next  Big Motive  & Impuls 

still

Against All  RISK OFF Odds

MXN  activated Dynamic Rising Wave rising…

by

Activated  3 Patterns of  2B

on Key Levels  21.00   ;  20.50  & 20.00  Zones 

with

Break Down Psychological Key Level  20.00

 

A picture illustration shows Mexican pesos and U.S. dollars banknotes in Mexico City

 

N – TIMES…

Most Important is  Final Smart Money Reaction…!!!

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…

ATA from  18.11.2018

” After Last  Mexico Good News 

US – MEXICO  TRADE AGREEMENT 

US  Deal with Mexico & Canada  –   NAFTA 2.0 

MXN was falling

vs

After Last  Mexico Bad News  – Fitch Strike 

MXN was rising

Long Term  MXN  Picture  still   didn’t change

( Monthly Chart )

Bear Technical  Pattern –  2B & 2B BIS  “

 

Second…

Present  MXN   Situation 

Main Motives

All  MXN Negative Impulses discounted 

of course with

FED & Powell Impulses…for Now

 

Long Term  MXN  Picture

Technical Pattern  

Bear  Long Term Technical  Patterns

First 2B  ;  Second  2B & 2B BIS 

on Key Levels  21.00  ;  20.50  & 20.00  Zones 

with

2 Monthly Bear Candlesticks 

&

Long Term Invert Ending Diagonal  

Lower Part – Support Zone 18.50 Key Level 

with

MACD Monthly   Sell  Signal 

of course  Key is EOM –  January

 

Middle  & Short Term MXN Picture

Strong Wave Down 

with

only Bear Candlesticks 

&

MACD Weekly   Sell  Signal 

vs

Support Zone 18.50 Key Level 

Lower Part of   Invert Ending Diagonal  

vs

Daily  Signals of Stop or Pause  MXN Appreciation 

in

Key Level 18.80 Zone

Conformation Back > Psychological Level 19.00 

but

MACD Daily   still Sell  Signal 

 

 

ATA MXN  Investment Conclusion

Focus on carefully

Active  MXN Range 

(  18.50 – 18.80  vs  19 – 19.50 & 20   )

 Psychological Key Level 20.00

Past Support Zone – Now Resistance Zone 

 

always remember

MXN  is still  Main EM CURRENCIES PATHFINDER 

 

 

USD/MXN Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts :

13.11.2016

USDMXN-M13

USDMXN-W13

USDMXN-D13

13.07.2018

USDMXN-M13'

USDMXN-W13'

USDMXN-D13'

17.08.2018

USD-MXN - M

USD-MXN - W

USD-MXN - D

27.08.2018

(   First Phase of American  Session  )

MXN-M

MXN-W

MXN-D

29.08.2018

(   First Phase of  European  Session  )

MXN-M

MXN-W

MXN-D

4.10.2018

(   First Phase of  American  Session  )

MXN-M

MXN-W

MXN-D

2.11.2018

( EOD & EOW ) 

MXN-MMXN-WMXN-D

16.11.2018

( EOD & EOW ) 

MXN-MMXN-WMXN-D

18.01.2019

mxn-mmxn-wmxn-d

YUAN – TRADE HOPES…

ATA Continuation of

ex ante & chronological

25.02.2014 –  CHINA SYNDROME – Renminbi Shot Down…

14.08.2015 –  Chinese Yuan – Chain Reaction…

01.12.2015 –  China’s Renminbi – New Reserve Star is Born…

28.12.2015 – US Dollar – Chinese Yuan Fly High…

15.02.2016 – People’s Bank of China in Yuan ContrAction…

26.11.2016 – CHINESE YUAN PRESENT FREE FALL WAVE…but in the FUTURE…

1.07.2018  –  YUAN – TRADE WAR CHINA SYNDROME…

11.07.2018  – TRUMP NEW VERBAL TRADE WAR STRIKE – YUAN…

20.07.2018  –  YUAN in CURRENCY WAR…

25.07.2018  –   New China Stimulus Factor – YUAN…

3.08.2018   –   YUAN vs TRUMP – more China Tariffs…

4.08.2018 –  YUAN – CHINA STRIKES BACK…

 

Present   YUAN F/X  Motives 

USD –  No Dynamic Rising Wave  & Falling  Relative Strength 

&

Mnuchin Trade Hopes

Verbal RISK ON Strike  – US Weighs Rolling Back China Tariffs

with

People’s Bank of China F/X Operations 

&

of course

FED & Powell Impulses

 

china yuan

 

N – TIMES…

Most Important is  Final Smart Money Reaction…!!!

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…

ATA from  4.08.2018

”  USD/CNY  SHOT DOWN  Activated 

Shooting Star Pattern – Monthly ; Weekly  ;  Daily &  Intraday  Charts

&

Ending Diagonal Pattern  Intraday – H5 Chart 

with

Compilation  of  Fib Ret  &  FIB  Ext  –  Monthly ; Weekly  ;  Daily &  Intraday  Charts

 

Now  after  CHINA STRIKE

Most Important  Key Levels  still are…

Short  Term View  –   6.80   vs  6.85 – 6.88 

&   

Long  Term View  –  6.96 – 7.00  

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion :

STILL  HIGH PROBABILITY  OF  ENDING  FALLEN YUAN…!!!   

 

 

Second…

Present  YUAN   Situation 

Active Motives 

USD –  No Dynamic Rising Wave  & Falling  Relative Strength 

Mnuchin Trade Hopes

Verbal RISK ON Strike  – US Weighs Rolling Back China Tariffs

People’s Bank of China F/X Operations

&

FED & Powell Impulses

 

 

Technical Pattern  :

2B Pattern  in  6.96 Key Level Zone  – Monthly ; Weekly  Charts

with

 Fib Ret  All Big Wave Down  USD/CNY – Monthly  Chart

vs

Fib Ret  Last  Wave Up  USD/CNY –  Weekly  & Daily Charts

Fib Ext Last  Wave Down  USD/CNY – H5 Intraday Chart 

with

MACD  Monthly & H5  Buy Signals  vs  Weekly & Daily Sell Signals 

 

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion :

RISING  PROBABILITY  OF  ENDING  FALLEN YUAN…!!!

so

Focus   on   USD/CNY 

Move  at   6.70 – 6.73   vs   6.96 – 7.00  Zones

 

still needed

Confirmation of  2B Technical Pattern 

by Break

Last  FIB Zones All Big Wave Down  USD/CNY

 

 

 

USD/CNY  Monthly ; Weekly ; Daily  &  H4  – H5 Charts :

 

29.06.2018

Your new TVC (25)

Your new TVC (26)

Your new TVC (27)

Your new TVC (28)

Your new TVC (29)

11.07.2018

Your new TVC

Your new TVC (1)

Your new TVC (2)

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

20.07.2018

Your new TVC (14)

Your new TVC (15)

Your new TVC (16)

Your new TVC (17)

25.07.2018

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

Your new TVC (5)

Your new TVC (6)

Your new TVC (7)

3.08.2018

Your new TVC

Your new TVC (1)

Your new TVC (2)

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

3.08.2018 ( EOD )

Your new TVC (5)

Your new TVC (6)

Your new TVC (7)

Your new TVC (8)

18.01.2019

usd-cny - musd-cny - wusd-cny - dusd-cny - h5

SWISS FRANC – NO RISK OFF REVENGE…

ATA Continuation of…

SWISS STORY   2013  –  2016

SWISS STORM…

” European Recovery ” vs EUR/CHF…

OIL & GOLD FACTORS – RUSSIAN RULETTE & SWISS BLACK JACK

US DOLLAR PEAK vs SWISS FRANC & OIL FREAK…

SWISS FRANC UPDATE…

CHF – ( ENDLESS..!!??? ) SWISS KISS…

&

Last

20.09 2018  –  SWISS FRANC Strategic Picture vs SNB Efforts…

29.09.2018  –  SWISS SAFE HAVEN…

14.10.2018  –  SWISS FRANC still on the CURRENCY WAVE…

15.11.2018 –  SWISS FRANC – NO NEW RISK OFF SIGNS…

 

 

SWISS FRANC – NO RISK OFF REVENGE..

other than

YEN  – RISK OFF REVENGE..

17.01.2019 –  YEN – RISK OFF REVENGE…

 

NO  SWISS RISK OFF Wave

even during

Global December Sell Off 

WALL STREET  &  NASDAQ  Panic

&

Bonds Rally

vs

Still Active RISK OFF Motives :

SLOWDOWN – even in Germany  & US

ITALY DEFICIT & DEBT  –  ITALIAN GOVERMENT  vs  EU & ECB 

FRANCE – Macron Omen –  Yellow Vests Protests 

BREXIT  Turmoil 

US Goverment Shutdown 

 

swiss franc v

 

N – TIMES…

Most Important  is Smart Money Reaction…!!! 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…

ATA from  15.11.2018

” SWISS FRANC   Situation 

Main Motive 

GLOBAL & EUROZONE RISK OFF Factors – ON

vs

SWISS FRANC – OFF 

USD/CHF & EUR/CHF     STOP  SWISS  Domination  Patterns  “

 

 

Second…

Present  SWISS FRANC   Situation 

Still Active RISK OFF Motives :

SLOWDOWN – even in Germany  & US

ITALY DEFICIT & DEBT  –  ITALIAN GOVERMENT  vs  EU & ECB 

FRANCE – Macron Omen –  Yellow Vests Protests 

BREXIT  Turmoil 

US Goverment Shutdown 

 

still active

GLOBAL & EUROZONE RISK OFF Factors – ON

vs

SWISS FRANC – OFF 

although

 

&

US Bonds Rally 

16.01.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back to Neutral Zone…

 

&

Technical Patterns  :

SWISS FRANC FUTURES  ( Monthly  Chart )

Long Term  H&S Pattern

Present Key Levels :  1.00 & 0.99

&

USD/CHF & EUR/CHF     STOP  SWISS  Domination  Patterns 

( Monthly  Charts )

Special on

EUR/CHF –  Key Level 1.13 

EUR/CHF MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

 

USD/CHF –  Psychological  Key Level 1.00

USD/CHF MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

stricte Cross Currency Move

from  EUR/USD

 

GBP/CHF –  Main Key Level  1.25 & 1.28  

GBP/CHF MACD Monthly  Sell  Signal 

 

 

Finally… 

ATA Investment Conclusion

CHF – Both RISK OFF  Vectors   still  OFF 

  vs

Global December RISK OFF

of course

CHF  still is  CURRENCY SAFE HAVEN…

but Now …

Investors  still don’t Escape to this  SAFE CURRENCY 

 

USD/CHF  &  EUR/CHF  

still dominated

STOP  RISK OFF Reaction 

even if

Mainstream Media  still created 

New BREXIT, EUROZONE, ITALY & GLOBAL RISKS… 

 

Present  SWISS FRANC  Key Levels  

USD/CHF   1.00   vs  1.03 – 1.05 

EUR/CHF    1.13  vs   1.15 

GBP/CHF    1.25  vs   1.28 

of course keep in mind

January  EOM

 

 

always remember

SWISS FRANC  is  still  , 10 years after Lehman, Special  RISK ON/OFF  Vector  for Wall Street  & other Equities…

15.09.2018 –  Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

 

 

SWISS FRANC  Long  Term Monthly Charts :

 

28.09.2013 –  Swiss Franc Futures 

sf_f_w (1)

sf_f_d

2.02.2014 –  EUR/CHF 

eurchf_m 

18.01.2015 –  Swiss Franc  Futures 

SWISS FRANC M

13.06.2016 –  EUR/CHF & USD/CHF

EURCHF(Monthly)20160613142839

USDCHF(Monthly)20160613143337

20.09.2018 –  EUR/CHF & USD/CHF

EUR-CHF -M

USD-CHF -M

28.09.2018 –  EUR/CHF & USD/CHF

EUR-CHF -M-1

USD-CHF -M-1

12.10.2018 –  EUR/CHF & USD/CHF

USD-CHF -M

EUR-CHF -M

15.10.2018 –  EUR/CHF ;  USD/CHF  ; GBP/CHF  &  SWISS FRANC FUTURES

EUR-CHF -MUSD-CHF -M

GBP-CHF -M

CHF FUT - M

17.01.2019 –  EUR/CHF ;  USD/CHF  ; GBP/CHF  &  SWISS FRANC FUTURES

eur-chf -musd-chf -mgbp-chf -mchf fut - mchf fut - line - m

YEN – RISK OFF REVENGE…

ATA Continuation of…

UD/JPY

2016  – 2017

27.07.2016 –  CURRENCIES BETWEEN FED & BOJ…

29.08.2016 –  USD/JPY – JAPAN IMPACT of DXY BLAST…

18.09.2016 –  FED VS BOJ – DEVIL VS ANGEL of MAINSTREAM MEDIA…

10.02.2017 –  TRUMP VS ABE = USD VS JPY…

2018

16.03.2018 –  JPY – PREPARE FOR KAMIKAZE…

13.07.2018 –  JAPANESE YEN – IT’S ALL about the RISK…

18.07.2018 –  JAPANESE YEN – POWELL – FED MOTIVE…

22.07.2018 –  YEN surfing DXY WAVE…

24.07.2018 –  YEN follows DXY Pathfinder…

30.07.2018 –  YEN vs BOJ CENTRAL FACTOR…

31.07.2018 –  YEN after BOJ & KURODA…

5.08.2018 –  YEN – RISK OFF WAVE STRIKES BACK…

8.08.2018 –  YEN RISES TO POWER…

19.09.2018 –  YEN vs BOJ – Central Nihil Novi…

4.11.2018  –  YEN vs BOJ Central Constans…

17.11.2018 –  YEN – NONE NEW HARD JAPAN STRIKE…

 

Present  YEN  Motive

Tactical Dynamic RISK OFF Wave 

F/X Revenge  after  No Final  RISK ON Signals 

created

Attractive Levels to  Buy  USD  &  EURO    vs    JPY

 

japan_flag_blowing

 

N-TIMES…

Most Important  is  Final Smart Money Reaction…!!! 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…

ATA from  17.11.2018

” USD/JPY

Last New 2B  Pattern

with Key Level 114  

vs

Invert H&S

Neckline – 114  Key  Level Zone ” 

 

Second…

Present  YEN  Situation 

Market Motives 

RISK OFF Revenge  after  No Final  RISK ON Signals 

at last activated  because of

 Still Active RISK OFF Motives :

SLOWDOWN – even in Germany  & US

ITALY DEFICIT & DEBT  –  ITALIAN GOVERMENT  vs  EU & ECB 

FRANCE – Macron Omen –  Yellow Vests Protests 

BREXIT  Turmoil 

US Goverment Shutdown 

 

Technical Patterns  

JAPAN YEN FUTURE

still active

Very Long  Term  2B Pattern 

with

Open Option  – Big H&S 

vs

MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

 

USD/JPY

After

Total  Victory  F/X Option

of

2B  Pattern  with Key Level 114

with

Break Rising Trendline –  Key Level  112 

vs

No Activated 

Invert H&S

Neckline – 114  Key  Level Zone

Now

dominated

Hammer  –  Bull Candlestick  Pattern 

Very Long Lower Shadow – Low 104.79

&

W Pattern in  104 Key Level Zone 

Lows 03.2018 & 01.2019 

with Open Option of

Hybryd of Invert H&S 

&

still active

Monthly MACD  Buy Signal

 

EUR/JPY

After

Break Down Consolidation with Support  127 Zone 

with

FIB RET 38.2% – 126.80 

&

Test Next  FIB RET  61.8%  Psychological Key Level 120.00 Zone 

Now

dominates

Candlestick with Very Long Lower Shadow – Low 120.78

( Monthly Chart )

but with

Monthly MACD  Sell Signal

 

 

 

Finally… 

JAPAN YEN FUTURES

with

USD/JPY  &  EUR/JPY

Monthly  Line Charts

still show

USD & EURO  RISING  TO LONG TERM POWER…

but, so Important,  with

F/X Revenge like Last…

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Research   Monthly  Key Pattern  Confirmation 

with

January EOM

 

Investors  Escape to JAPAN  SAFE CURRENCY 

not before

Wall Street December Panic

14.01.2019 –  NASDAQ – V CORRECTION – from Dynamic Risk Off to Dynamic Risk On…

with

Global Implications 

15.01.2018 – GLOBAL DOW INDEX – DIVERGENCE – Wall Street vs other Markets…

 

so

Focus carefully on

Wall Street …special Nasdaq 

with

US Bonds Yield 

16.01.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back to Neutral Zone…

 

Now  again

JAPAN YEN FUTURES , USD/JPY  &  EUR/JPY  

dominated

STOP  RISK OFF Reaction  – Clear Monthly Candlestick Patterns 

even if

Mainstream Media  still  created 

New BREXIT, EUROZONE, ITALY & GLOBAL RISKS… 

 

 

one more time…

Never Forget

 

YEN is  still  , 10 years after Lehman, Special  RISK ON/OFF  Vector  for Wall Street  & other Equities…

15.09.2018 –  Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

 

USD/JPY  Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts :

 

27.07.2016

29.08.2016

16.09.2016

23.12.2016

10.02.2017

14.04.2017

16.03.2018

usdjpy-m

usdjpy-w

usdjpy-d

20.04.2018

usdjpy-m1

usdjpy-w1

usdjpy-d1

24.04.2018

usdjpy-m2

usdjpy-w2

usdjpy-d2

12.06.2018

usdjpy-m3

usdjpy-w3

usdjpy-d3

13.07.2018

USD-JPY - M

USD-JPY - W

USD-JPY - D

USD-JPY - H4

18.07.2018

USD-JPY-M

USD-JPY-W

USD-JPY-D

USD-JPY-H4

20.07.2018

USD-JPY-M

USD-JPY-W

USD-JPY-D

USD-JPY-H4

24.07.2018

USD-JPY-M

USD-JPY-W

USD-JPY-D

30.07.2018

USD-JPY -M

USD-JPY -W

USD-JPY -D

31.07.2018

USD-JPY -M

USD-JPY -W

USD-JPY -D

3.08.2018

YEN - M

YEN - W

YEN - D

8.08.2018

USDJPY-M

USDJPY-W

USDJPY-D

19.09.2018

USD-JPY-M

USD-JPY-W

USD-JPY-D

2.11.2018 

USD-JPY-MUSD-JPY-WUSD-JPY-D

 

JAPAN YEN FUTURES , USD/JPY & EUR/JPY  Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts :

16.11.2018 

USD-JPY-MUSD-JPY-WUSD-JPY-D

EUR-JPY-MEUR-JPY-WEUR-JPY-D

YEN FUT

USD-JPY-M LineEUR-JPY-M Line

JAPAN YEN FUTURES , USD/JPY & EUR/JPY  Monthly & Weekly  Charts :

17.01.2019

usd-jpy-m

usd-jpy-weur-jpy-meur-jpy-wyen futusd-jpy-m lineeur-jpy-m line

US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back to Neutral Zone…

ATA Continuation…

10.01.2018  –  US BONDS – END(LESS) SUMMER MOVE ON…

30.01.2018  – US 10Y BOND YIELD WARNING…

14.02.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – The Show Must Go On…

25.04.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Who Wants to Live Forever…

16.05.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Mainstream Media Panic…

27.05.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – PERFECT AMBUSH…

15.09.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Strategic Attack on Psychological 3%…

4.11.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – GAME CHANGER in Action…

18.11.2018 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – TACTICAL SAFE BACK…

 

 

ATA  Present  US 10Y BOND YIELD  Research Note…

After

September Strategic Attack  & Break  Psychological 3% 

October  – November Test of  Upper Part of   Leading  Diagonal  

&

November – December  Dynamic Wave Down 

with

Break Down

First – Psychological Key Level 3.00% 

Second – Lower  Part of   Leading  Diagonal  2.95%

&

January Test Psychological  Key Level 2.50% 

Now

dominating

V Sharp  Rising Correction 

with

Test Key Level 2.75%

 

us bonds v

 

First

ATA from  4.11.2018

“… real future  Correction Possibility 

Natural Pullback to  Psychological 3%  ” 

 

ATA from  18.11.2018

” doninates Wave Down  to

Psychological Key Level 3.00% 

Lower  Part of   Leading  Diagonal  2.95%

ATA Alternative Scenario

Deeper Correction to

Out of  Leading  Diagonal 

with

Break Down  under  2.95%

still Perfect Focus on  

Main Range  ( 3.00%  vs  3.20-3.25 )

FIB RET Last Big Wave Up  

ATA  Research Thesis  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD 

Most  depends  of…

US  & GLOBAL STOCK MARKET 

Last  US Bull Market Strongest Index – Nasdaq  

 

Second

Present  US 10Y BOND YIELD   Situation 

Now

dominating

V Sharp  Rising Correction 

with

Test Key Level 2.75%

but with

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

after

Break Down

First – Psychological Key Level 3.00% 

Second – Lower  Part of   Leading  Diagonal  2.95%

&

January Test Psychological  Key Level 2.50% 

on

FED & Powell Dovish & Dovisher  Motives 

with

FED TIME GAME by 2019

 

ATA Present Investment Conclusion 

Perfect Focus on  

Last Low Key Level 2.50%

with

FIB RET  Big Wave Up from June 2016 

vs

Last Max Key Level 2.75-50%

with

FIB RET Last Wave Down from October  2018 

 

ATA  Research  still Active Thesis  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD 

Most  depends  of…

FED & Powell Impulses

with

US  & GLOBAL STOCK MARKET  Reactions 

so

at the same time check

Last  US Bull Market Strongest Index

14.01.2019 –  NASDAQ – V CORRECTION – from Dynamic Risk Off to Dynamic Risk On…

&

Global  Equity Indexes 

15.01.2019 –   GLOBAL DOW INDEX – DIVERGENCE – Wall Street vs other Markets…

15.01.2019 –  MSCI WORLD ex USA Index – World Weakness without Wall Street Strength…

with

OIL 

16.01.2019 –  OIL – V Sharp Correction…

 

US 10Y BOND YIELD Big Picture – Monthly Chart :

 

10.01.2018

Your new TVC.png

30.01.2018

Your new TVC

14.02.2018

Your new TVC (5)

25.04.2018

Your new TVC (5)

16.05.2018

Your new TVC (4)

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (7)

14.09.2018

US BONDS

2.11.2018

US BONDS

US 10Y BOND YIELD Big Picture – Monthly  & Daily Charts  :

16.11.2018

US BONDS - M

US BONDS - M - 1

US BONDS - D

US 10Y BOND YIELD Big Picture – Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts  :

16.01.2019

us bonds - mus bonds - wus bonds - d

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