UK POUND – BREXIT DEADLOCK…

ATA Continuation…

25.06.2017 – UK POUND – 1 YEAR after BREXIT VOTE…

15.09.2017 – UK POUND – BRITISH SHOW MUST GO ON…

30.09.2017 – GREAT BRITAIN = GREAT POUND…

&

10.07.2018  –  UK POUND – 2 YEARS after BREXIT VOTE…

17.07.2018  –  UK POUND – NEGATIVE IMPULSES PROOF…

21.07.2018  –  UK POUND BRAVE FIGHTING with SPECTRE of BREXIT …

2.08.2018   –   UK POUND vs BoE CENTRAL FACTOR…

3.08.2018   –    UK POUND after BoE & CARNEY…

13.09.2018  –   UK POUND vs BoE & CARNEY…

2.11.2018  –  UK POUND – Key Pattern Deja Vu before Final BREXIT Deal…

15.11.2018  –  UK POUND vs BREXIT TURMOIL…

 

 

Present  Active  UK POUND  Motive…

BREXIT POLITICAL DEADLOCK

after

May Day  –  Vote Score  : May Stay – 13.12.2018

&

Present  Active  UK POUND  Technical  Pattern…

GBP RISK OFF Wave Continuation 

with

Open Option   of   Invert  2B …

of course

don’t forget about

December FED Meeting  – 19.12.2018 

with

Powell  2019 Rate Projections 

&

always remember

Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction…

 

Brexit

 

First

ATA from  15.11.2018

” Focus  carefully on  Every  New  BREXIT  News…!!!

one more time… becasue,

BREXIT Words can do Everything with UK POUND in Minutes… ” 

&

”  ATA Preferred  Scenario 

W Pattern in Key Level  1.2660  Zone

(  Turkish Low )

with

with Open Opction

Invert 2B  

&

ATA Alternative Scenario 

UK POUND  RISK OFF Wave Continuation  ” 

 

&

 

ATA Tweets ex ante…

 

 

Second

Present  UK POUND   Situation 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN ACTION  

First…Market Motive :

BREXIT POLITICAL DEADLOCK

after

May Day  –  Vote Score  : May Stay – 13.12.2018

with

No Final BREXIT Deal…

 

Second…Market Technical  Pattern :

GBP/USD 

Now Active

ATA  Activated  Scenario 

UK POUND  RISK OFF Wave Continuation 

&

MACD Weekly Sell Signal 

with

with Open Opction

Invert 2B  

after

Cancelled 

W Pattern in Key Level  1.2660  Zone ( Turkish Low)

 

For Now

Present  Range

Long Term 

Support Zone – Psychological Key Levels  1.20 & 1.25

with

FIB RET 1.2565  & 1.25 

vs

Resistance Zone  –  1.2660  ( Turkish Low ) 

&

Psychological Key Levels  1.28 – 1.30 

 

Medium  Term 

Support Zone  – Last  Low 1.2477 

&

Psychological Key Level  1.2500  ,  1.2550-80  

vs

Resistance Zone  –  1.2660  ( Turkish Low )

&

1.28 , Psychological Key Level 1.30 

 

ATA Alternative Scenario 

UK POUND  RISK OFF Wave Stop 

Active Defense Psychological Key Level 1.25 Zone

&

UK Game Changer 

Dynamic Back above Turkish Low 1.12660

 

EUR/GBP 

Key Patterns

Triangle  or   Ending Diagonal 

&

2B Pattern  in  0.9050 Key Level Zone 

with

MACD Weekly  Buy  Signal 

 

Present  Range

Support Zone 

 0.8950-80 

with

Psychological Key Level 0.89 Zone

vs

Resistance Zone   

 Psychological Key Level   0.90

&

0.9050 

 

 

Never  Forget

Focus  carefully on  Every  New  BREXIT  News…

BREXIT Words can do Everything with UK POUND in Minutes…!!!

what de facto proved…

Last  BREXIT & MAY Week

 

RISK STRIKES FAST

so

React…Don’t Predict 

&

Never Look for the Market Truth…

because

Looking for the Market Truth can last Forever…!!!

 

 

 

GBP/USD  &   EUR/GBP   Weekly & Daily  Charts :

7.10.2016
GBPUSD-D5i
24.03.2017
GBPUSD - D10(2)
23.06.2017
GBP-USD-W11
14.09.2017
GBP-USD-W13
30.09.2018
EURGBP-W1
10.07.2018
GBP-USD-W15
EURGBP-W3
17.07.2018
GBP-USD - W
EUR-GBP - W
20.07.2018
gbp-usd-w
eur-gbp-w

2.08.2018

GBP-USD - W

EUR-GBP- W

3.08.2018

GBP-USD - W

EUR-GBP- W

13.09.2018

GBP-USD-W

EUR-GBP-W

2.11.2018

GBP-USD-W

EUR-GBP-W

15.11.2018

GBP-USD-WEUR-GBP-W

14.12.2018

GBP-USD-W

EUR-GBP-W

GBP-USD- FIB RET - W

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FRANCE ASSETS vs MACRON VERBAL DECLARATIONS…

ATA Continuation of…

MACRON  Factor 

France Equities 

9.12.2018 –  CAC 40 – MACRON Factor – from OMEN to NIGHTMARE…

France Bonds

9.12.2018 –  FRANCE 10Y BOND YIELD under MACRON FIRE…

France Currency 

9.12.2018 – EURO – MACRON – New Napoleon nearer & nearer to WATERLOO…

 

 

More than  1 Year after MACRON OMEN  &  20  Months after First EUROPEAN WARNING…

MACRON start to VERBAL CALM & PROMISE…

of course under

FRANCE STREET PRESSURE  &  YELLOW VEST PROTESTS…

but

This MACRON Move

didn’t Help Him…

 

Latest  France, Ipsos poll:

President Macron Approval Rating

Approve: 20% (-6)

vs

Disapprove: 76% (+6)

 

gettyimages-1071221586

 

 

First

ATA Tweets ex ante…

 

Second

Present   Situation  of  FRANCE ASSETS 

 

CAC 40 

Dynamic Up Correction 

from 4800 Zone to Last Psychological Key Level  5000  Zone…

Key Level 5000  is still  Resistance Zone

&

Break long term Bull Trendline 

from European Debt Crisis   2012 Lows

is still Active 

with

Monthly MACD

Test his Trendline with Sell Signal

 

ATA  CAC 40   Present Investment Conclusion

still Focus carefully on

Psychological Key Level 5000  

with

FIB RET (  30% ; 38.2%  &  50% ) 

&

Research of  Key Pattern 

of course keep in mind

December  EOM

 

FRANCE 10Y BOND YIELD

still dominates

HORIZONTAL CONSOLIDATION in 0.7% Key Level Zone 

with

Wave Up 

from  Last 0.70 to Present 0.7250 

in this same time

France 10 Year vs Germany 10 Year Spread Bond Yield

France 10 Year vs  US 10 Year Spread Bond Yield

keep Rising 

FRANCE CURRENCY – EURO 

EUR/USD 

still Active Range 1.13 – 1.14 

Market Technical Patterns

H&S  with Neck Line 1.1650 Key Level Zone

&

F/X EQUATOR  – 1.1500  Key Level

with

Monthly MACD Sell Signal 

vs

Invert 2B Pattern – still above Key Level 1.13 

after

Test  Key Level 1.12 Zone – Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018

with

Weekly  MACD Sell Signal  vs  Daily  MACD  Buy  Signal 

 

of course

don’t forget about

ECB –  END OF EUROPEAN QT  Factor 

( Tomorrow – 13.12.18 –  ECB Meeting )

&

ITALIAN Motive

19.11.2018 – ITALIAN EYE of the EUROZONE CYCLONE …

BREXIT  Motive 

15.11.2018 –  UK POUND vs BREXIT TURMOIL…

 

 

CAC Monthly Charts :

 

1.08.2017

5.09.2018

CAC-M

CAC-M - 1

CAC-M - 2

12.11.2018

CAC-MCAC-M - 1CAC-M - 2

7.12.2018

CAC-M

CAC-M - 1CAC-M - 2CAC-M - FIB

12.12.2018

CAC-M

CAC-M - 1

CAC-M - 2

 

 

 

FRANCE  10Y BOND YIELD

France 10 Year vs Germany 10 Year Spread Bond Yield

France 10 Year vs  US 10 Year Spread Bond Yield

Big Picture – Monthly Charts :

7.12.2018

FRANCE BONDS

FR - DR SPREAD - M

FR - US SPREAD - M

12.12.2018

FRANCE BONDS

FR - DR SPREAD - M

FR - US SPREAD - M

 

 

EUR/USD  Charts :

earlier charts from 19.11.2018 – ITALIAN EYE of the EUROZONE CYCLONE … 

 

10.03.2018

Your new TVC (1)

18.05.2018

Your new TVC (6)

 

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (9)

29.05.2018

Your new TVC (12)

30.05.2018

Your new TVC (18)

20.08.2018

EUR-USD-M

24.08.2018

eur-usd m line

28.09.2018

EUR-USD - LINE - M

12.10.2018

EUR-USD - LINE - M

26.10.2018

EUR-USD - LINE - M

19.11.2018
EUR-USD - LINE - M
7.12.2018

 

EUR-USD - LINE - M

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

12.12.2018

EUR-USD - LINE - M

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-D

EURO – MACRON – New Napoleon nearer & nearer to WATERLOO…

 

MACRON OMEN 

after

France Equities 

9.12.2018 –  CAC 40 – MACRON Factor – from OMEN to NIGHTMARE…

&

France Bonds

9.12.2018 –  FRANCE 10Y BOND YIELD under MACRON FIRE…

is

Negative for  EURO Currency

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

when you look at

Past  MACRON Cover – New Statesman   August 2017 

Now – December 2018 is only One Answer

Yes…

MACRON is  New Napoleon…

&

His Ambition  lead Him  to  WATERLOO  Disaster…!!! 

but

there is New Question

Key  ATA  EUROZONE & EURO  Question

It can be only Macron WATERLOO  Disaster 

or 

also EUROZONE & EURO Currency…!!???

because of

one more EURO Political Reason 

2019 European Parliament Election

of course with

ITALIAN Motive

19.11.2018 – ITALIAN EYE of the EUROZONE CYCLONE …

BREXIT 

15.11.2018 –  UK POUND vs BREXIT TURMOIL…

 

MACRON - New Napoleon

N – TIMES…

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

 

ATA   EURO   Present Situation  –  7.12.2018 

EUR/USD 

Market Motive – MACRON  POLITICAL & FINANCIAL WATERLOO  RISK 

Market Technical Patterns

H&S  with Neck Line 1.1650 Key Level Zone

&

F/X EQUATOR  – 1.1500  Key Level

with

Monthly MACD Sell Signal 

vs

Invert 2B Pattern – still above Key Level 1.13 

after

Test  Key Level 1.12 Zone – Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018

with

Weekly  MACD Sell Signal  vs  Daily  MACD  Buy  Signal 

 

Remember

Smart Money Reaction on Final MACRON Situation  

with

End of the December  Close Prices 

will  show

All Smart Money Truth France Intentions 

with ECB Central Factor

ECB  ending European QE – Now on December 2018

 

EUR/USD  Charts :

earlier charts from 19.11.2018 – ITALIAN EYE of the EUROZONE CYCLONE … 

 

10.03.2018

Your new TVC (1)

18.05.2018

Your new TVC (6)

 

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (9)

29.05.2018

Your new TVC (12)

30.05.2018

Your new TVC (18)

20.08.2018

EUR-USD-M

24.08.2018

eur-usd m line

28.09.2018

EUR-USD - LINE - M

12.10.2018

EUR-USD - LINE - M

26.10.2018

EUR-USD - LINE - M

19.11.2018
EUR-USD - LINE - M
7.12.2018

 

EUR-USD - LINE - M

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

FRANCE 10Y BOND YIELD under MACRON FIRE…

 

MACRON OMEN 

after

France Equities 

9.12.2018 –  CAC 40 – MACRON Factor – from OMEN to NIGHTMARE…

strikes also against

France Bonds….

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

when you look at

Past  MACRON Cover – the Economist  June 2017 

Now – December 2018 is only One Answer

MACRON is  FALSE  SAVIOR

&

so Important

ATA  shows  IT  ex ante…

28.04.2017 –  3 HORSEMEN of MARKETS EUPHORY… 

21.06.2017  –  CAC 40 – FRENCH POLITICAL MESSIAH DOESN’T HELP…

1.08.2017  –  MACRON OMEN…

 

KEY ATA  France Debt Question

What happend with FRANCE DEBT  in 2019 …!!???

without ECB Central Help

ECB  ending European QE – Now on December 2018

of course

don’t forget about

Italian Debt 

19.11.2018 – ITALIAN EYE of the EUROZONE CYCLONE …

BREXIT 

15.11.2018 –  UK POUND vs BREXIT TURMOIL…

 

the Economist - MACRON Zbawiciel

 

ATA  Present  FRANCE 10Y BOND YIELD  Research Note…

After

July – September  2016 

Creating Strategic Low 

with

Testing  Psychological 0%  Key Level Zone

 

 September 2016 – January 2017 

Dynamic Wave up

with

Testing  Psychological 1%  Key Level Zone

 

January 2017 – September 2017 

Correction Move  

 

Now dominates

HORIZONTAL CONSOLIDATION

in

0.7% Key Level Zone 

but

in this same time

France 10 Year vs Germany 10 Year Spread Bond Yield

RISING…!!!

&

France 10 Year vs  US 10 Year Spread Bond Yield

START RISING…!!!

Remember

December EOM 

FRANCE  10Y BOND YIELD

France 10 Year vs Germany 10 Year Spread Bond Yield

France 10 Year vs  US 10 Year Spread Bond Yield

Big Picture – Monthly Charts :

FRANCE BONDS

FR - DR SPREAD - M

FR - US SPREAD - M

CAC 40 – MACRON Factor – from OMEN to NIGHTMARE…

ATA Continuation of…

28.04.2017 –  3 HORSEMEN of MARKETS EUPHORY… 

1.06.2017  –  CAC 40 – RISK OFF SHOOTING STAR on FRENCH SKY…

21.06.2017  –  CAC 40 – FRENCH POLITICAL MESSIAH DOESN’T HELP…

10.07.2017  –  FRENCH EQUITY BEAR ACTIVE MOVE – IT’S NOT COINCIDENCE...

1.08.2017  –  MACRON OMEN…

5.09.2018  –  CAC 40 – 1 Year after MACRON OMEN…

12.11.2018  –  CAC 40 – MACRON OMEN ON…

 

More than  1 Year after MACRON OMEN  &  20  Months after First EUROPEAN WARNING…

CAC 40  long term Bull Trendline from European Debt Crisis   2012  Lows 

was broken…!!!

 

the Economist - MACRON

 

First

ATA Tweets ex ante…

 

Second

Present  CAC 40  Situation 

After

Last  Special French Motive   –  MACRON OMEN

&

Bearish  Monthly Technical Pattern – 3 TOPS in 5500 Zone 

Now

Present Special French Motive – MACRON NIGHTMARE

&

Active Break long term Bull Trendline

from European Debt Crisis   2012 Lows 

with

Monthly MACD

Test his Trendline with Sell Signal

 

Long Term CAC 40 Picture shows

Dynamic Wave Down

Back under  March 2015 Top

that determines

 Past Support Zone  5000  Key Level

changing to

Present Resistance Zone 

 

This French Picture  still  shows 

Clear  No Coincidence…  after  first Sign – MACRON OMEN 

how destructive is

MACRON Factor 

 

ATA  CAC 40   Present Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

Psychological Key Level 5000  

with

FIB RET (  30% ; 38.2%  &  50% ) 

&

 

Research of  Key Pattern 

of course keep in mind

December  EOM

 

of course

don’t forget about

ITALIAN Motive…

19.11.2018 – ITALIAN EYE of the EUROZONE CYCLONE …

BREXIT  Motive…

15.11.2018 –  UK POUND vs BREXIT TURMOIL…

 

 

CAC Monthly Charts :

 

1.08.2017

5.09.2018

CAC-M

CAC-M - 1

CAC-M - 2

12.11.2018

CAC-MCAC-M - 1CAC-M - 2

7.12.2018

CAC-M

CAC-M - 1CAC-M - 2CAC-M - FIB

DXY – MORE & MORE DANGER GREEN TRACK…

ATA Continuation of…

from…

14.02.2018  –  DXY – Close Encounters of the Third Kind…

16.02.2018  –  DXY – The Thin Red Line…

17.03.2018  –  DXY – RISING STAR…

22.03.2018  – FED – THE DAY AFTER US CENTRAL MOTIVE…

27.04.2018  –  DXY – STILL STANDING…

to…

27.05.2018  –  DXY – BIG WAVE UP SURFING…BUT…

7.06.2018  –  DXY – KING IS TIRED…

13.06.2018  – DXY – FED BIG BADA BUM…!!!

16.06.2018  –  DXY – MASTER KEY TO ALL EM DOORS…

17.06.2018  – DXY – EM Currency Side of American Dollar…

23.06.2018  – DXY – SHOT DOWN…

30.06.2018  – DXY – REAL FALLING AGAINST MAINSTREAM MEDIA ” KING ” VOICES…

15.07.2018 –  DXY-STILL LOSING MOMENTUM…

18.07.2018  –  DXY – POWELL – FED MOTIVE…

19.07.2018  –  DXY – NO F/X AIR FLOW…

22.07.2018  – DXY – TRUMP SHOT DOWN…

23.07.2018 –  DXY after G20 Argentina Meeting…

with Last…

1.08.2018  –  DXY vs FED CENTRAL FACTOR…

2.08.2018  – DXY after FED & POWELL…

11.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X NORTHERN STAR for EM CURRENCIES…

12.08.2018 –  DXY -TURKISH GAME CHANGER…

18.08.2018 –  DXY vs EM CURRENCIES on TURKISH RATING DOUBLE IMPACT…

19.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X SAFE HAVEN…

21.08.2018 –  DXY – SHOT DOWN by TRUMP…

23.08.2018 –  DXY – HAWKISH FED MINUTES…

25.08.2018  –  DXY vs All the President’s Men…

28.08.2018 –  DXY – F/X EXECUTION…

15.09.2018  –  Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

Now…

DXY 

after New High in Present  F/X  Wave 

( Top 97.69  –  12.11.2018 ) 

is under  Correction Move…

for Now…

BREXIT or  ITALY DEBT & DEFICIT with EUROZONE Slowdown 

with

all time Hawkish FED 

didn’t support American Currency 

15.11.2018 –  UK POUND vs BREXIT TURMOIL…

19.11.2018 – ITALIAN EYE of the EUROZONE CYCLONE …

19.11.2018 –  EUR/USD – F/X AMBUSH…

 

at the End of  November..like on August…

once again dominates

USD LONGS   F/X  Execution

by  Dynamic Buying EURO or GBP  with CAD & AUD…NZD  to Close USD Longs…

 

USD

 

First

ATA Tweets ex ante…

 

Second

Present  DXY   Situation 

on Last  Extreme RISK OFF Motives :

BREXIT, ITALY , EUROZONE Slowdown with FED 

DXY created the TOP in 97.50 – 98.00 Zone 

(  Max 97.69  –  12.11.2018 ) 

& after All…

USD Longs  was  successive exterminated ….

that’s activated

DXY  Wave Down…

under

October Max  –  ( 97.20 – 31.10.2018 )

&

August Max  –  ( 96.98 – 15.08.2018 ) 

 

Technical Patterns  :

( Monthly Chart )

 November Bearish  Candlestick 

but with Lower Shadow

at Key Support Zone – Half of October Bull Candlestick 

MACD Buy Signal 

 

( Weekly  Chart )

Hammer Pattern  at Support Zone  96.50 – 96.30 

MACD Buy Signal 

 

 ( Daily Chart )

2B  & 2B BIS Patterns  in 97.20  &  97.00 Zone 

vs

Engulfing Bull Candlestick  

MACD Sell Signal 

 

(  Intraday – H5 Chart )

 Trend Up Channel 

Test  & Move Up from Trendline Support – 96 – 96.20 Zone 

vs

MACD Sell Signal 

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

 For Now

DXY  Final 5-th  Wave  Up   ATA  Preferred Scenario  still Active …!!!

but

for Now is  completed  1  of 5-th Wave  

with

2B  & 2B BIS Patterns  in 97.20  &  97.00 Zone 

vs

2  Correction Wave  is active or completed  

with

FIB RET  ( Daily Chart ) 

so

Special Focus on

Present   FIB RET  ( Daily Chart ) 

with

COT USD 

 

p.s.

Don’t Forget about

US 10Y BOND YIELD 

18.11.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – TACTICAL SAFE BACK…

with

US  & GLOBAL STOCK MARKET 

13.11.2018  –   NASDAQ – TECH PRESSURE…

13.11.2018  –  GLOBAL DOW INDEX – RISK OFF Wave…

13.11.2018  – MSCI WORLD ex USA Index – Dynamic Shot Down…

&

Remember

finally   EOD-s  EOW-s  & EOM – November…

 

 

DXY Monthly Charts :

 

16.02.2018

your-new-tvc-61

16.03.2018

Your new TVC (1)

21.03.2018

Your new TVC (9)

27.04.2018

Your new TVC (6)

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (8)

 

with

 

DXY  Weekly , Daily  & Intraday (  H5 – H4  – H1  ) Charts :

 

16.06.2018

Your new TVC (10)

Your new TVC (11)

Your new TVC (12)

17.06.2018

DXY Weekly  Chart

Your new TVC (10)

23.06.2018

DXY Weekly  Chart

 

Your new TVC (15)

 

DXY Weekly , Daily   & Intraday (  H5 – H4  – H1 ) Charts :

 

29.06.2018

Your new TVC (21)

Your new TVC (22)

Your new TVC (23)

13.07.2018

Your new TVC

Your new TVC (1)

Your new TVC (2)

18.07.2018

Your new TVC (6)

Your new TVC (7)

Your new TVC (8)

19.07.2018

Your new TVC (10)

Your new TVC (11)

Your new TVC (12)

20.07.2018

Your new TVC (4)

Your new TVC (2)

Your new TVC (3)

23.07.2018

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

Your new TVC (5)

1.08.2018

Your new TVC (10)

Your new TVC (11)

Your new TVC (12)

Your new TVC (13)

2.08.2018

Your new TVC (14)

Your new TVC (15)

Your new TVC (16)

Your new TVC (17)

 

DXY  Monthly , Weekly  &   Daily   Charts :

10.08.2018

DXY-M

DXY-W

DXY-D

17.08.2018

DXY - M

DXY -W

DXY -D

21.08.2018

DXY-M

DXY-W

DXY-D

23.08.2018

DXY-M-1

DXY-M-1 line

DXY-W1

DXY-D1

24.08.2018

DXY - M CAN

DXY - M LINE

DXY-W NEW

DXY-D NEW

28.08.2018

DXY-M

DXY-M LINE

DXY-W

DXY-D

DXY-H5

20.11.2018

DXY- M -1DXY- M -2DXY- WDXY- DDXY- H5

EUR/USD – F/X AMBUSH…

ATA Continuation chronological

2014 – 2015 – 2017

20.03.2014 – FED & ELLIOTT IMPLICATIONS – EUR/USD…

06.03.2015 – EUR/USD – GIGA PRECISION

08.03.2015 – EUR/USD – 1 YEAR MOVE – March 2014 vs March 2015

18.07.2017 – EURO RUN on DRAGHI MOTIVE – SMART MONEY in ACTION…

01.09.2017 – EUR/USD FIGHTING…

2018

13.01.2018 –  EURO-SOJUZ vs FIBONACCI…

16.01.2018 – EUR/USD – Focus on Stalingrad Pattern…

25.01.2018 – EUR/USD – Dancing with Draghi…

29.01.2018 –  MAIN EUROPEAN DM CURRENCIES AFTER DRAGHI DUST…

26.07.2018 – EUR/USD BIG PICTURE – ECB Motive…

27.07.2018 – EUR/USD – the Day after Dovish Draghi…

28.07.2018 – EUR/USD & GDP FACTOR : US vs FRANCE…

&

Finally

6.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH…

6.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – FIRST ROUND…

7.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – SECOND ROUND…

8.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – THIRD ROUND…

10.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – FINAL ROUND…

with

Last

12.08.2018 – EUR/USD – TURKISH GAME CHANGER…

19.08.2018 –  EUR/USD vs EURO BANKS TURKISH DEBT VIRUS…

22.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – F/X CANNONBALL…

24.08.2018 – EUR/USD vs POWELL from JACKSON HOLE…

27.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – KIND OF F/X MAGIC…

28.08.2018 – EUR/USD – COT SHORTS vs FIBONACCI…

29.08.2018 – EUR/USD vs US GDP MACRO Factor…

13.09.2018 – EUR/USD vs ECB & DRAGHI…

21.09.2018 –  EUR/USD – Dynamic Strikes Back…

25.09.2018 – EUR/USD vs CENTRAL FACTOR – ECB VERBAL MOTIVE vs FED RATE HIKES…

29.09.2018 – EUR/USD BLACK CLOUDS after FED & ITALY MOTIVES…

7.10.2018 –  EUR/USD – RETURN to F/X EQUATOR…

11.10.2018  –  EUR/USD – ACTIVE DEFENSE of F/X EQUATOR…

25.10.2018  –  EUR/USD under F/X EQUATOR waiting for ECB …

02.11.2018  –  EUR/USD – Against All Odds…Key Pattern Deja Vu…

8.11.2018  –  EUR/USD vs Master F/X Nightmares…from ITALY & ECB to US Election & FED…

 

Now

EUR/USD  is rising &  testing  1.1450 – 1.1480 Zone

after

shot down & testing

Key Level 1.12 Zone 

(  Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018 ) 

back above

Key Level 1.13  (Turkish RISK OFF Motive)

&

Key Level 1.14 

 

EURO is rising 

Against All Odds…

from  ITALY & EUROZONE with ECB  to  US Election  &  FED…

19.11.2018  –  ITALIAN EYE of the EUROZONE CYCLONE …

 

EURO

 

N – TIMES…

Most  Important  is  Final Smart Money Reaction…!!!

Reaction on 

ITALIAN  DEBT ,  DEFICIT & MACRO  Mainstream Media Drama Story

 

 

First

ATA   EUR/USD   Last  Tweet  ex ante

 

 

Second

EUR/USD Present View

ATA Present Investment Conclusion 

F/X AMBUSH

with

Invert 2B Pattern in Key Level 1.13

still dominates…

EUR/USD  is rising  &  testing  1.1450 – 80 Zone 

after

shot down & testing

Key Level 1.12 Zone 

(  Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018 ) 

back above

Key Level 1.13  (Turkish RISK OFF Motive)

&

Key Level 1.14 

 

of course

Long Term Picture  is  always  the  Master  F/X Key 

EURO  for Now  is  back  above

Turkish  Low – 1.13 

 

Monthly Chart 

Dragonfly Doji August Candlestick 

negated by

Gravestone Doji September Candlestick

in  October

EUR/USD  was created

Bear  Candlestick

with

MACD Monthly   Sell  Signal

but Now

on Second Half  of   November 

dominates

EURO  Dynamic  Contraction 

 

 Weekly Chart 

After

Last Many Bearish Candlesticks

Now  is dominating

2 Bull Candlesticks

First with  Lower  Shadow

Second with Strong Bull Body

which created

Invert 2B   Pattern   in   Key Level 1.13  Zone

with

MACD  Weekly   near to active Buy Signal 

 

Daily Chart 

EURO is rising – near to  Test 1.15 Zone 

Today

Bull Candlestick  in 1.1450 Zone

confirms

Invert 2B   Pattern   in   Key Level 1.13  Zone

with

MACD  Daily  Buy  Signal

 

Intraday ( H5 ) Chart 

Active Move Up  above   Second Down Trendline 

 

 

N – TIMES

CENTRAL FIGHT  –  ECB QE  vs   FED  QT  – Master  Factor for   EUR/USD 

US MACRO  vs   EUROZONE MACRO

with

ITALIAN MOTIVE STORY 

on the  Market Edge 

 

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Today

After  Move Up above  Key Level 1.1450

Focus on

F/X  EQUATOR 1.15

with

Present Key Levels  : 

1.13  &  1.14 – 1.1450   vs   1.1480  –  1.15  

of course with

FIB RET Last Wave Down

( Daily Chart &  Intraday H5  Chart )

 

 

Active ATA  Prefered  Scenario 

is Now

Invert 2B   Pattern  in 1.13 Zone 

but

Remember How Important

is

F/X  EQUATOR 1.15

 

vs

ATA Alternative Scenario 

 No Back above   F/X  EQUATOR  – 1.15

active back to

EURO RISK OFF Wave Continuation 

 

In the end decides…

Result of the Test  F/X  EQUATOR –  Key Level 1.15

 

Don’t forget about

Today  H5 Close  &  finally   EOD & EOW

 

 

 

EUR/USD  Monthly , Weekly , Daily  & Intraday  ( H4 & H5 )  Charts :

 

20.03.2014

eurusd_w(4)

08.03.2015

EURUSD (miesięcznie) 20150308071830

18.07.2017

EURUSD-M35

01.09.2017

EURUSD-M39

13.01.2018

twój-nowy-tvc2

16.01.2018

twój-nowy-tvc3

25.01.2018

eur-usd-m

26.07.2018

EURUSD-M1

EURUSD-W1

EURUSD-D1

27.07.2018

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

Twoja nowa TVC

27.07.2018  ( EOD ) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

6.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-H4

6.08.2018 

( before American Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

7.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC (2)

Twoja nowa TVC (3)

8.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

10.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC (9)

10.08.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EURUSD-M

EURUSD-W

EURUSD-D

EUR -D

EUR-H5

17.08.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD  & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D -1

EUR-USD-D -2

EUR-USD-H5

22.08.2018  

(  Start European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -H5

EUR-USD-W.png

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -H5

27.08.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -D3

EUR-USD -H5

28.08.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD -M

EUR-USD -W

EUR-USD -D

EUR-USD -D-1

EUR-USD - H5

29.08.2018  

( Before Start of  American F/X Session )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D1

EUR-USD-h5

13.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D1

EUR-USD-h5

21.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D2

EUR-USD-h5-1

25.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D3

EUR-USD-h5-2

28.09.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D4

EUR-USD-h5-3

5.10.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D5

EUR-USD-h5-4

11.10.2018  

(  Start of American Session )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

 

EUR-USD-D6

EUR-USD-h5-5

25.10.2018  

(  Middle of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D7EUR-USD-h5-6

2.11.2018  

(  Start  of  American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D8EUR-USD-h5-7

8.11.2018  

(  Before American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D9EUR-USD-h5-8

19.11.2018  

(  First Phase of American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-10EUR-USD-h5-9

ITALIAN EYE of the EUROZONE CYCLONE …

ATA Continuation of…

July  2016

9.07.2016  – EUROPEAN BANKS – TURNING POINT HIGH PROBABILITY …

10.07.2016 – EUROPEAN BANKS – STRATEGIC VIEW…

 

March 2018

3.03.2018 – ITALIAN ELECTION like ITALIAN JOB…

4.03.2018 – ITALIAN MOTIVE vs CENTRAL WATCHMAN – ECB…

5.03.2018  – 6-TH ITALIAN STAR – BERLUSCONI…

10.03.2018 –  EURO-ELITE with ECB CONTROL ( for Now ) ITALY SITUATION…

18.03.2018 – ITALY in Mainstream Media Focus…

27.03.2018 –  Is New Italy’s Government ” FINE “…

May 2018

29.05.2018 – ITALIAN ERUPTION – ETNA VOLCANO PATTERN…

30.05.2018  –  Italian Chessboard – All Financial Roads lead to Rome…

25.08.2018  –  ITALIAN DEBT still under RISK…

with Last

20.08.2018 –  ITALIAN RISK OFF WAVE under TURKISH COVER…

11.09.2018  –  FTSE MIB – Italian Risk Omerta…

29.09.2018  –   ITALIAN RISK BOOMERANG…

29.09.2018  –  EUR/USD BLACK CLOUDS after FED & ITALY MOTIVES…

14.10.2018  –  ITALIAN RISK OFF STORY – MEDIA WAR with EU & ECB…

28.10.2018  –  ITALY ALIVE – S&P RATING MERCY…

with

SWISS FRANC

29.09.2018  –  SWISS SAFE HAVEN…

14.10.2018  –  SWISS FRANC still on the CURRENCY WAVE…

15.11.2018  –  SWISS FRANC – NO NEW RISK OFF SIGNS…

EURO

11.10.2018  –  EUR/USD – ACTIVE DEFENSE of F/X EQUATOR…

25.10.2018  –  EUR/USD under F/X EQUATOR waiting for ECB …

02.11.2018  –  EUR/USD – Against All Odds…Key Pattern Deja Vu…

8.11.2018  –  EUR/USD vs Master F/X Nightmares…from ITALY & ECB to US Election & FED…

 

 

After  Months of  ITALIAN OMERTA

Now Mainstream Media  Eurozone 

TOP NEWS  is all time  ITALIAN RISK OFF Factor 

with

ITALIAN BUDGET & DEFICIT

MEDIA WAR  –  ITALY GOVERMENT  vs  EU & ECB 

MOODY’S  – ITALY RATING CUT

vs

S&P  –  NO  ITALIAN RATING CUT  

 

ATA Research Conclusion 

for Now dominates…

MEDIA & MARKET SILENCE  

in

ITALIAN EYE of the EUROZONE CYCLONE…

with

F/X ITALIAN AMBUSH 

 

italy flag - 1

 

ATA Research  –  ITALIAN CASE 

First

ATA Tweet ex ante

 

Second

ATA Present Situation  – 19.11.2018 

EUR/USD 

10Y ITALY BONDS YIELD

FTSE Italia All Share Banks

FTSE MIB 

are all time on

ATA  Research RADAR 

with

Present Active Key Levels :

EUR/USD –  1.12 ,  1.13 – 1.1350   &  1.14   vs  1.1430 – 50  &  1.15 

10Y ITALY BONDS YIELD –  3.40 – 3.50  vs  3.60  &  3.80  ( 3.7830 – Last Max )

FTSE Italia All Share Banks –  7500 – 7800  & 7900  vs  8000  

FTSE MIB –   18.000  – 18500  &   18.800   vs  19.000 – 19.500  &  20.000

 

Still Look carefully at  Main Positive Divergences

between

First

Mainstream Media Italy News Negative Trend

with

Present Silence Waiting for…

Final  ITALIAN BUDGET with DEFICIT Level 

vs

Market  Italian Assets Trend 

 

EUR/USD 

Active Invert 2B Pattern – Dynamic Move Up  above Key Level 1.13 

after

Test  Key Level 1.12 Zone – Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018

&

10Y ITALY BONDS YIELD

No New High – Now in Key Level 3.50 Zone

with

FTSE Italia All Share Banks  &  FTSE MIB

No New Lows

 

of course

Smart Money Reaction on Final ITALIAN BUDGET 

with

End of the November Close Prices 

will show

All Smart Money Truth Italian Intentions 

 

 

EUR/USD & 10Y ITALY BONDS YIELD Charts :

 

10.03.2018

Your new TVC (1)

 

Your new TVC

 

18.05.2018

Your new TVC (6)

Your new TVC (5)

 

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (9)

Your new TVC (5)

29.05.2018

Your new TVC (12)

Your new TVC (13)

30.05.2018

Your new TVC (18)

Your new TVC (19)

&

2Y & 10Y ITALY BONDS YELD Charts  with  FIB ZONES :

29.05.2018

Your new TVC (14)

Your new TVC (15)

Your new TVC (16)

Your new TVC (17)

30.05.2018

Your new TVC (21)

Your new TVC (20)

 

FTSE Italia All Share Banks Chart  with  FIB ZONES :

30.05.2018

Your new TVC (22)

 

 

EUR/USD , 10Y ITALY BONDS YIELD  &  FTSE Italia All Share Banks  Charts :

 

20.08.2018

EUR-USD-M

10Y ITALY B Y-W

ITALY BANKS-W

24.08.2018

eur-usd m line

italy debt

italy banks

 

FTSE  MIB  Monthly  Weekly & Daily Charts :

11.09.2018

MIB - M

MIB - W

MIB - D

 

EUR/USD , 10Y ITALY BONDS YIELD ,  FTSE Italia All Share Banks  &  FTSE MIB  Charts :

28.09.2018

EUR-USD - LINE - M

10y italy - line -w

FTSE - ITALY BANKS - LINE - W

FTSE MIB - LINE - M

12.10.2018

EUR-USD - LINE - M

10y italy - line -w

FTSE - ITALY BANKS - LINE - W

FTSE MIB - LINE - M

26.10.2018

EUR-USD - LINE - M

10y italy - line -w

FTSE - ITALY BANKS - LINE - W

FTSE MIB - LINE - M

19.11.2018
EUR-USD - LINE - M
10y italy - line -w
FTSE - ITALY BANKS - LINE - W
FTSE MIB - LINE - M

RUSSIAN RUBLE vs OIL STRIKE…

ATA Continuation…

ex ante & chronological

6.08.2015 –  MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…

12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

last

18.03.2018  –  RTS & RUB – RUSSIA TODAY…

11.04.2018  –  RED ASSETS – from RUSSIA with LOSS…

16.07.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – TRUMP – PUTIN GEOPOLITICAL FACTOR…

23.07.2018  –  RUBLE – RUSSIAN OIL & GEOPOLITICAL ROULETTE…

9.08.2018   –   RUBLE – TRUMP STRIKES BACK…

10.08.2018  –  RUB – AMERICAN F/X TARGET…

18.08.2018  –  RUB vs US SANCTIONS & OIL RISK OFF FACTORS…

26.08.2018  –  RUB vs TRUMP CURRENCY WAR…

10.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs American Financial Pressure…

12.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs VOSTOCK 2018…

15.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs CBR Rate Hike…

18.10.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs SANCTIONS with ITALIAN VERBAL HELP…

 

 

RUB   

RISK ON  Motives  

No US Dollar strong Wave Up 

Bank of Russia Rate Hikes

vs

RISK OFF Motives

Sanctions 

OIL  Panic   

 

RUSSIA OIL

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

Present  RUSSIAN RUBLE  Situation 

Main Last Motive

OIL Panic

Main Technical Pattern

Russian Ruble  Dynamic Down & Up 

with  still Open Option of   W  Pattern in  65 Zone 

 

( Monthly Chart )

August  Monthly Big  Bull Candlestick   

with

still Active Support 65    – Half of  this Candlestick Body 

&

October Monthly Doji Candlestick 

vs   

September  & November  Shooting Stars  – Bear Candlesticks

– Long Upper Shadows

with

Psychological Key Level 70 USD  ( Max 70.58 ) 

 

&

( Weekly & Daily  Chart )

Weekly Bearish Engufling Pattern 

&

Dynamic  Up vs Down  Impulses  in  65 – 68  Key Levels Zone 

vs

Open Option  of   W Pattern   in 65 Key Level Zone 

&

FIB RET   

(  Monthly,  Weekly  &  Daily  Charts ) 

 

 

ATA  USD/RUB  Investment Conclusion 

 

RUB Relative Strength  Rising…!!!

 

NO NEW HIGH above Key Level  Psychological  70 USD 

or even

NO NE TEST of last  HIGH Zone

( 70 – 70.58 USD ) 

 

USD/RUB  Active Key Levels  still  are   65   vs    68  &  70  – 70.50    

with

Last  High –  70.58

&

Present Fluctuations

in Range ( 65 – 68 ) 

with

MACD Monthly  & Daily Buy Signals 

 vs 

MACD Weekly  Sell Signal

 

Remember  like always…

Most Important is Smart Money  Final Reaction 

of course with

SM Future Reaction

at Present Active

FIB RET  ( Monthly , Weekly  & Daily Charts )

 

 

by the RUB  way…

all time Special Focus on…

OIL – Master Key Levels 50 -55  USD Zone

( EOD & EOW )

14.11.2018  –  OIL – BLACK GOLD PANIC…

EUR/USD –  Master Key Level  1.13 

( EOD & EOW )

2.11.2018 –  EUR/USD – Against All Odds…Key Pattern Deja Vu…

&

US 10Y BOND YIELD 

18.11.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – TACTICAL SAFE BACK…

with

US  & GLOBAL STOCK MARKET 

13.11.2018  –   NASDAQ – TECH PRESSURE…

13.11.2018  –  GLOBAL DOW INDEX – RISK OFF Wave…

13.11.2018  – MSCI WORLD ex USA Index – Dynamic Shot Down…

&

F/X SAFE HAVEN 

15.11.2018 –  SWISS FRANC – NO NEW RISK OFF SIGNS…

17.11.2018  –  YEN – NONE NEW HARD JAPAN STRIKE…

 

 

 

USD/RUB  Monthly , Weekly  &  Daily  Charts :

 

18.03.2018

Your new TVC (6)

11.04.2018

Your new TVC

15.07.2018

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

Your new TVC (5)

23.07.2018

Your new TVC

Your new TVC (1)

Your new TVC (2)

9.08.2018

Your new TVC (5)

Your new TVC (6)

Your new TVC (8)

10.08.2018

tvc_1e1d68711527d067624b3bb54ef71d1c

tvc_ce8bc1b6f2353c07c4dd8f89de37ba33

tvc_406b4856071959d34d9241f4f7b0127d

17.08.2018

USD-RUB-M

USD-RUB-W

USD-RUB-D

24.08.2018

RUB-M

RUB-W

 

RUB-D

10.09.2018

USD-RUB-M

USD-RUB-W

USD-RUB-D

12.09.2018

USD-RUB-M-1

USD-RUB-W-1

USD-RUB-D-1

14.09.2018

USD-RUB-M-2

USD-RUB-W-2

USD-RUB-D-2

18.10.2018

USD-RUB-M-3

USD-RUB-W-3

USD-RUB-D-3

16.11.2018

USD-RUB-M-4USD-RUB-W-4USD-RUB-D-4

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