SPDR Gold Shares – Golden Bullish Dynamic Move on USD FX Bearish Hard Impact in Yellen Warning Shadow…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

SPDR Gold Shares – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

GLD is one of the most popular ETFs in the world, offering gold exposure

based on physically-backed gold bullion

ATA Continuation of…

2021

21.08.2021 – SPDR Gold Shares – Golden Equilibrium in Palantir Bet Flash…

ATA Following …

Newmont Goldcorp

13.11.2022 – Newmont Goldcorp – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Smart Money Golden Fibonacci Move…

Barrick Gold 

6.11.2022 – Barrick Gold – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Fibonacci Smart Money Golden Action…

GOLDEN SPECTRUM

7.04.2020 – GOLD – GOLDEN SECULAR SPECTRUM …

GOLD Futures

24.07.2022 – GOLD Futures – Golden Bulls Bears 10 Years War – Major Bullish Zone under Bearish Attack in USD FX Shadow…

GOLD Spot 

23.07.2022 – GOLD Spot – US Dollar FX Path vs Russia-Ukraine War and Inflation Mainstream Fear Trend in Fibonacci Golden Constellation Shadow …

Global X Silver Miners ETF

16.08.2021 – Global X Silver Miners ETF – Silveren Tactic Wave…

XAU/XAG –  Gold/Silver Ratio

27.07.2020 –  XAU/XAG – BEARS DEALING CARDS…

Gold/Bitcoin Ratio

19.06.2022 – GOLD/BITCOIN RATIO – from Golden Bullish Reversal to Bulls Wave…

Copper/Gold Ratio 

18.06.2022 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – from Bearish Reversal to Bear Wave in Stagflation Fear Mainstream Flashes…

SILVER Spot

20.11.2022 – SILVER Spot – New Hard Climb in US Dollar and Fed Shadows…

iShares Silver Trust

4.12.2022 – iShares Silver Trust – Silver Bull Action on USD and Fed RISK ON Double Impact…

Global X Silver Miners ETF

16.08.2021 – Global X Silver Miners ETF – Silveren Tactic Wave…

SPDR Gold Shares Key Motives

SPDR Gold Shares tracking  GOLD Spot 

Gold  anti USD Path

Gold Spot Bull Dynamic Strike Back Cont.  above

1st Psychological Key Level 1800 USD  

2nd Higher  Psychological Key Level 1900 USD 

on

Yellen Warning Global Financial Crisis – US Debt Limit Ceiling Risk

in

GLOBAL DOLLAR – DXY F/X Bearish Shadow

with

GLOBAL TRENDS

Global Risk On Waves New Reactivation  – Bulls Bears Hard Fight – Latest Bulls Dynamic Strike >  June 2022 Lows

Bond Sell Off Wave Stopped

Stocks Sell Off Wave Stopped

Wall Street Risk ON Wave New Reactivation  – Bulls Strike Back >  June 2022 Lows 

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK ON Action  for Now

on

Master Factors

US Big Tech Layoff Wave – Costs Reduction

US and Global Recession 2023 still Active Rising Risk

Finally for Now

Fed Less vs still Hawkish Scenario but with Pivot on Horizon – Target 5% Zone

with

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

US Earnings Stagflation Recession Fear with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

on

US Inflation Peak and Disinflation Wave Mainstream Scenario

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility Active –  RISK ON Impulse New Reactivation –  Bulls Strike Back above  September Fib Ret  June Lows Zone

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped –  Bulls New Strike Back

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls New Strike Back  >   June 2022 Low Key Level 11.000 and Higher 11.500  – non stop above Lower 10.500 

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 10.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Back  > Higher 11.500

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick 

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Strike Back  from Lower  Key Level 33.000  – still    >  June 2022 Low Key Level 29.500-600 and Lower 28.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bull Strike Back  from  Lower 33.000

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull  Candlestick 

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Strike Back  from Lower Key Level 3.900  –  non stop above  June 2022 Low Key Level 3.600 and Lower 3.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  50% Fib Ret 3.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Back  from Lower 3.900

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB SNB BoJ and PBoC

Fed

Fed Less Slower Hawkish vs still Hawkish  vs   Fed Dovish Pivot on Horizon

February 25pbs Rate Hike Outlook

after

December 50bps Rate Hike

November 75bps Rate Hike

ECB

ECB  still Hawkish  – No ECB Dovish Pivot

February 50pbs Rate Hike Outlook

Lagarde more Hawkish  New Speech – ‘stay the course’ in monetary policy

after

December 50bps Rate Hike

ECB Super Hawkish Verdict – 75bps Rate Hike October

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

SNB

SNB less Hawkish vs still Hawkish  – No SNB Dovish Pivot

after

December 50bps Rate Hike

Swiss Central Hawkish Wave 2022

BOJ

non stop Ultra Dovish afer January 2023 BoJ Meeting

with

BoJ FX Interventions – September and October

Japan Mega QE

Japan QE > European QE > US QE

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – still Dovish

after

PBoC Cuts Rates Wave 2022

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Stopped  vs Bear Wave Stopped in 102 Zone –  Bulls Bears Hard FX Fight  for Now

USD/JPY Bearish Wave Stopped for Now – Bulls New Strike Back from Fibonacci Ret 50% 127.30

Back  > 129 vs still < 130

after Earlier Hard Fall  < Psychological Key Level 150 after  BoJ FX Intervention

US Dollar Index

Earlier Acceleration New Higher  20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )

Long Term Bulls  FX Wave  Stopped

2022

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow

October Bearish Doji Monthly Candlestick – Volatility and Long Upper Lower Shadows

November Bearish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body

December Bearish Monthly Candlestick 

2023

January Bearish Monthly Candlestick  in Play

Long Upper Shadow vs Short Lower Shadow  for Now

( needed confirmation – EOM )

with

First

Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50

Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 109.50

Test Key Level 109 110  Zone – 68.5 -78.6%

Last

Bears Strike Back  from 113 Zone under Key Level  109.50

Break Down  July/22 Top  109.30

Latest

Bear New Strike to Lower Fib Ext 101.50 Zone

vs

Bull New Dynamic Strike Back from Fib Ext 101.50 to Fib Ret 102

with

Bulls vs Bear FX Hard Fight in 102 Zone

Now

IN 102 103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

vs

UNDER 104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave  Hard Stopped vs Bear Wave Stopped in 102 Zone –

with

Last Bullish FX short term Move from Fib Ext  101.50 to Fib Ret 102

Latest Bulls Bears Hard FX Fighting in 102 Zone

DXY BattleField

Key Levels   101.50 102 vs 102.30 102.50 102.80 103  Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels   101.50 102 vs 102.30 102.50 102.80 103

( EOW 101.99 )

First…ATA  from  21.08.2021

” Present

Long Term Consolidation in Lower Zone 155 – 160 USD

March 2021 – August 2021

Open Option

Bull Reversal Pattern – W

ATA Yellen BlackRock Dr Doom BIS Big Short Warning

Gold Silver US Inflation DXY Fed BoJ ECB Central Banks Key Tweets

Yellen Warning

BlackRock Warning

Dr Doom Nouriel Roubini Warning

BIS Warning

Big Short Michael Burry Warning

Real Estate Blackstone Warning

Warnings – Gold Safe Haven

Derivatives Disaster Warning

Financial Mainstream Game True Explanation…

GOLD

DXY – FX Master ANTI Gold & Silver Factor

EUR/USD – FX Major PRO Gold & Silver Factor

US Government Debt Economy Black Swan

Fed Black Swan

BoJ – Black Swan

ECB – Black Swan

SNB – Black Swan

Central Banks Black Swans

Fed SNB Emergency Swap ActionExtreme Low Global Liquidity Risk

Second. SPDR Gold Shares Present Situation

GLD  LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Monthly View 

First of All

Domination

First…Secular Bear Reversal Pattern – 2B – Key Level 185 USD

September 2011 – March 2022

Second… Long Term Bear Reversal Pattern – M – Key Level 195-193 USD

August 2020 – March 2022

vs

Third… Secular Bull Reversal Pattern – Inverted H&S or Cup with Handle

Key Level 177 USD

and

Bullish Flag Pattern – Key Level 178 USD

( Monthly Line Chart )

with

Bear Wave from 193 USD Zone ( 3.2022 ) to 150 USD Zone ( 9.2022 – 11.2022 )

Test Fib Ret 44.7% 150 USD Zone ( 9.2022 – 11.2022 )

Finally

Present Active

Bull Wave from 150 USD Zone

( Monthly and Weekly Charts )

Now dominating

Test Higher Psychological Key Level 180 USD Zone

Fib Ret 68.5% – 180 USD Zone

( Weekly Chart )

with

January Monthly Bull Candlestick

vs

MACD Monthly still Sell Signal vs near to Future Active Buy

GLD  Present Battlefield

150 – 170    vs   180 185 195 USD

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Special Focus on

150 – 170    vs   180 185 195 USD

Final Result of Test

Present Psychological Key Level 180 USD

Research New Pattern and Confirm or Cancel Present Pattern

Classical   Candlestick 

with

Next Smart Money Move

New

Gold News 

US Dollar DXY Strikes and News

Fed Verdict Verbal Strikes

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan News

Next Global Macro Strikes

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – January

by the Golden   Way

always remember

Gold –  ANTI US Dollar  Vector

SPDR Gold Shares  Monthly & Weekly  Charts

19.06.2015 

GLD - M - 6-2015
GLD - W - 6-2015

SPDR Gold Shares  Weekly  Chart

30.07.2015 

GLD - W - 7-2015

SPDR Gold Shares  Monthly & Weekly  Charts

20.08.2015 

GLD - M- 8-2015
GLD - W - 8-2015

SPDR Gold Shares  Monthly & Weekly  Charts

6.04.2020 – EOD

GLD -M - 6.04.2020
GLD - W - 6.04.2020

SPDR Gold Shares  Monthly Charts

20.08.2021 – EOD

US Dollar-DXY Index Gold Spot SPDR Gold Shares   Monthly Weekly Charts

20.01.2023 – EOW

ProShares Ultra Silver – Silver Bullish Move in USD Bearish Shadow…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

ProShares Ultra Silver – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

This ETF offers 2x daily long leverage to the Silver bullion, making it a powerful tool for investors

with a bullish short-term outlook for silver

ATA Continuation of…

2021

15.08.2021 – ProShares Ultra Silver – Silveren Tactic Strike…

28.08.2021 – ProShares Ultra Silver – Silver Spark in Fed Dovish Dark…

ATA Following …

SILVER Spot

2022

20.11.2022 – SILVER Spot – New Hard Climb in US Dollar and Fed Shadows…

iShares Silver Trust

2022

4.12.2022 – iShares Silver Trust – Silver Bull Action on USD and Fed RISK ON Double Impact…

Global X Silver Miners ETF

2021

16.08.2021 – Global X Silver Miners ETF – Silveren Tactic Wave…

XAU/XAG –  Gold/Silver Ratio

27.07.2020 –  XAU/XAG – BEARS DEALING CARDS…

and

Newmont Goldcorp

13.11.2022 – Newmont Goldcorp – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Smart Money Golden Fibonacci Move…

Barrick Gold 

6.11.2022 – Barrick Gold – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Fibonacci Smart Money Golden Action…

GOLDEN SPECTRUM

2020

7.04.2020 – GOLD – GOLDEN SECULAR SPECTRUM …

GOLD Futures

24.07.2022 – GOLD Futures – Golden Bulls Bears 10 Years War – Major Bullish Zone under Bearish Attack in USD FX Shadow…

GOLD Spot 

2022

23.07.2022 – GOLD Spot – US Dollar FX Path vs Russia-Ukraine War and Inflation Mainstream Fear Trend in Fibonacci Golden Constellation Shadow …

Gold/Bitcoin Ratio

2022

19.06.2022 – GOLD/BITCOIN RATIO – from Golden Bullish Reversal to Bulls Wave…

Copper/Gold Ratio 

2022

18.06.2022 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – from Bearish Reversal to Bear Wave in Stagflation Fear Mainstream Flashes…

ProShares Ultra Silver Key Motives

ProShares Ultra Silver tracking 2x daily long leverage SILVER Spot 

Silver Biggest Deficit in decades – Silver Institute

Silver – Golden  anti USD Path

Silver Spot Bull Dynamic Strike Back Cont.  above

1st Psychological Key Level 20 USD  

2nd Higher Key Level 23 USD 

in

GLOBAL DOLLAR – DXY F/X Bearish Shadow

with

GLOBAL TRENDS

Global Risk On Waves still Stopped  after Last Reactivation  – Bears Strike Back >  June 2022 Lows

Bond Sell Off Wave Stopped

Stocks Sell Off Wave Stopped

Wall Street Risk ON Wave still Stopped  after Last  Reactivation  – Bears Strike Back >  June 2022 Lows 

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK ON Action still Stopped   for Now

on

Master Factors

US and Global Recession 2023 Rising Risk

Finally for Now still Active

Fed Rates Hike Cycle still Active – No Pivot – Less vs still Hawkish Scenario

with

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

US Earnings Stagflation Recession Fear with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility Active –  RISK ON Action Stopped  after Last Reactivation –  Bears Strike Back above  September Fib Ret  June Lows Zone

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Bulls Bears Fighting

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bears Strike Back  >   June 2022 Low Key Level 11.000 – non stop above Lower 10.500 

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 10.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bears Strike Back < Higher 12.000 and Lower 11.500

with

Latest Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bears Strike Back  <  Higher Key Level 35.000  vs   >  June 2022 Low Key Level 29.500-600 and Lower 28.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bears Strike Back    Higher 35.000 and Lower 33.500

with

Latest Friday Daily Bear  Candlestick 

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bears Strike Back  <  Psychological Key Level 4.000  vs non stop above  June 2022 Low Key Level 3.600 and Lower 3.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  50% Fib Ret 3.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bears Strike Back Higher 4.100  Psychological 4.000  and Lower 3.900

with

Latest Friday Daily Bear Candlestick

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB SNB BoJ and PBoC

Fed

Fed Less Slower Hawkish vs still HawkishNo Fed Dovish Pivot

December 50bps Rate Hike

Powell Hawkish Speech

after

November 75bps Rate Hike

Powell Super Hawkish

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer

and

75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB  still Hawkish  – No ECB Dovish Pivot

December 50bps Rate Hike

Lagarde Hawkish Speech

after

ECB Super Hawkish Verdict – 75bps Rate Hike October

and

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

SNB

SNB less Hawkish vs still Hawkish  – No SNB Dovish Pivot

December 50bps Rate Hike

Swiss Central Hawkish Wave 2022

SNB September Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 75Bps to 0.50%

earlier

SNB June Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50Bps to -025%

Swiss Central Bank surprises markets – First Rate Hike since 2007

Rate Hike to -0.25% from -0.75%

BOJ

non stop Ultra Dovish ahead of December BoJ Meeting – Next Week

vs

BoJ FX Interventions – September and October

Japan Mega QE

Japan QE > European QE > US QE

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – still Dovish

after

PBoC cut RRR 25bps

China Central Bank Stimulus Covid-Hit China Economy

China Central Bank Verbal Intervention

Warning on Speculation against Yuan

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Stopped vs  Bulls New Strike Back  for Now

USD/JPY Bulls New Strike Back from Lower 133 and > 135

after Earlier Hard Fall  < Psychological Key Level 150 after  BoJ FX Intervention

US Dollar Index

Earlier Acceleration New Higher  20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )

Long Term Bulls  FX Wave  Stopped

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow

October Bearish Doji Monthly Candlestick – Volatility and Long Upper Lower Shadows

November Bearish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body

December Hammer Bullish Reversal Pattern Monthly Candlestick in Play

Small Real Body and Lower Shadow  for Now

( needed confirmation – EOM )

with

First

Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50

Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 109.50

Test Key Level 109 110  Zone – 68.5 -78.6%

Last

Bears Strike Back  from 113 Zone under Key Level  109.50

Break Down  July/22 Top  109.30

Latest

Bear New Strike to Lower Fib Ext – Fib Ret 103.30 Zone

vs

Bull New Dynamic Strike Back from Fib Ext – – Fib Ret 103.30  – Back again  to 105 Zone

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave  Hard Stopped vs Latest Bullish Strike Back

with

Present USD  Bulls Strike

Bullish FX short term Move from Fib Ext – Fib Ret 103.30  Zone – Back to 105 Zone

DXY BattleField

Key Levels  103.30-50 104-104.30-50 vs 105 105.80 106  Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels  104-104.30-50 vs 105 105.80 106

( EOW 104.83 )

First…ATA  from  28.08.2021

AGQ  Present Battlefield 

35 – 36.30   vs  38.50 40 – 45  USD

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now  still Special Focus on

35 – 36.30   vs   38.50 40 – 45  USD

with

Next Smart Money Move

Future Active or Cancel

Inverted 2B

Ending Diagonal

W Pattern

ATA Big BlackRock Dr Doom BIS Big Short Warning

Gold Silver US Inflation DXY Fed BoJ ECB Central Banks Key Tweets

BlackRock Warning

Dr Doom Nouriel Roubini Warning

BIS Warning

Big Short Michael Burry Warning

Real Estate Blackstone Warning

Warnings – Gold Safe Haven

Derivatives Disaster Warning

Financial Mainstream Game True Explanation…

GOLD

DXY – FX Master ANTI Gold & Silver Factor

EUR/USD – FX Major PRO Gold & Silver Factor

Fed Black Swan

BoJ – Black Swan

ECB – Black Swan

SNB – Black Swan

Central Banks Black Swans

Fed SNB Emergency Swap ActionExtreme Low Global Liquidity Risk

Second.. ProShares Ultra Silver Present Situation

AGQ LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Monthly View 

First of All

After Activated

Bear Reversal Process – H&S Hybryd

Key Level 750 USD Zone – April 2011

( stricte 764.16 )

Dynamic Bear Wave from 750 USD Zone to 12 – 13 USD Zone

with

Covid 2020 Impact – March 2020

Flash Crash

Test

12-13 USD Zone

vs

Bull Dynamic Contraction to 70 USD Zone ( stricte 71.60 )

and

Bear Dynamic Wave

1st Break Down

61.8% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave from Covid Panic Low Zone – March 2020

Key Level 35 USD

2nd Cancel

Pattern Inception

Inverted 2B – Key Level 36.30 USD

Ending Diagonal

( Monthly and Weekly Charts )

3rd Test

Lower 88.6% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave from Covid Panic Low Zone – March 2020

Key Level 19 USD

Finally Activated

Bullish Pattern Inception

1st Long Term W – Key Level 19 USD – 2020 – 2022 Years

2nd Short Term Invert 2B – Key Level 19 USD – July – August 2022

Now dominating

Bulls Wave

from 19 USD Zone to 30 USD Zone

Test Earlier 2022 Year Resistance Zone 30 USD

( Weekly Chart )

vs

Bears Strike

from 33 USD Zone to 30 USD Zone

inside Ending Diagonal Pattern

Test Lower Edge Key Level 30 USD Zone

( Daily Chart )

inside of Invert Ending Diagonal Pattern

Ahead of Test Upper Edge Key Level 35 USD Zone

( Monthly Chart )

with

MACD Monthly Sell Signal vs near to Active Buy

MACD Weekly Buy Signal

MACD Daily Buy Signal vs near to Active Sell

AGQ  Present Battlefield 

19-20 25 30 vs 35  USD

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now  still Special Focus on

19-20 25 30 vs 35  USD

Final Result of Test

Present Psychological Key Level 30 USD

Research New Pattern and Confirm or Cancel Present Pattern

Classical   Candlestick 

and of course

Next Smart Money Move

New

Gold Silver News 

US Dollar DXY Strikes and News

Fed Verbal Strikes

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan News

Next Global Macro Strikes

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – December

by the Silver  Way

always remember

Silver  –  ANTI US Dollar  Vector

ProShares Ultra Silver  Monthly and Weekly Charts

13.08.2021

27.08.2021 – EOW

ProShares Ultra Silver  Monthly Weekly and Daily Charts

16.12.2022 -EOW

Credit Suisse – Capital Hike Success in Saudi Shadow…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Credit Suisse –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

10.07.2022 – Credit Suisse – Swiss Smart Money Game – Next Lehman Brothers Scenario Risk in Play…

8.10.2022 – Credit Suisse – from Next Lehman Brothers Warning to Lehman Moment Strike and Stop – Finally Rescue Action…

27.11.2022 – Credit Suisse – Record Bank Run Mainstream Panic in Rescue Action Shadow…

ATA Following …

Lehman Shadow

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

JP Morgan

5.06.2022 – JP Morgan – Jamie Dimon “Economic Hurricane” Warning…

Deutsche Bank

9.10.2022 – Deutsche Bank – German Banking Titan Smart Money Game in Credit Suisse Yes/Not Lehman Moment Speculation Shadow…

Credit Suisse Master Motives

Rescue Plan – Capital Hike Success

Bank successfully completed the final part of its 4 billion Swiss franc ($4.28 billion) fund raising 

Shareholders exercised 98.2% of their subscription rights

Saudi National Bank Rescue Move

Credit Suisse had already raised 1.8 billion francs by placing stock with a group of institutional investors led by Saudi National Bank aking the total funds raised to 4 billion francs

Saudi Crown Prince to Invest in Credit Suisse – WSJ

Mohammed bin Salman is considering $500 Million Injection

Saudi Crown Prince Weighs Investment in CS

with Earlier

Credit Suisse Risk OFF Strikes

Mega Loss Forecast 1.6 Billion USD

Record Bank Run – Worst Exodus since Lehman Brothers Financial Crisis

Clients pulled as much as 84 Billion Swiss Francs, or 88.3 Billion US Dollar ,

of their money from the bank during the first few weeks of the quarter

The outflows were especially acute at the key wealth management unit, 

where they amounted to 10% of assets under management

vs

CS Rescue Action – RISK ON Motive

Shareholders approved a Capital Raise of about 4 Billion Swiss Francs

that’s needed to finance the restructuring, which will also see about 9,000 jobs cut by 2025

Chairman Axel Lehmann pointed to shareholder approval of the bank planned capital raising

“further positive step in building the new Credit Suisse”

SNB and Fed  Swap Line Action

and

Credit Suisse Risk On Verbal Wave and Rescue Action

Credit Suisse pays down Debt to Calm Investors

Credit Suisse offers to buy back own Debt Securities up to CHF3Bn

Pimco, Sixth Street , Centerbridge Restructuring Plan for Credit Suisse

Pimco, Sixth Street and an investor group including Centerbridge Partners

are among a shortlist of bidders for at least part of Credit Suisse Group AG

securitized products business

Citi Credit Suisse Risk On

NOT Lehman Brothers

NOT Lehman Moment

Buy Credit Suisse Recommendation – Target 6 CHF

with

GLOBAL TRENDS

Global Risk On Waves Stopped  after Last Reactivation  – Bulls Bears Fight >  June 2022 Lows

Bond Sell Off Wave Stopped

Stocks Sell Off Wave Stopped

Wall Street Risk ON Wave Stopped  after Last  Reactivation  –  Bulls Bears Fight. >  June 2022 Lows 

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK ON Action Stopped   for Now

on

Master Factors

US and Global Recession 2023 Rising Risk

Finally for Now still Active

Fed Rates Hike Cycle Slower – Less Hawkish – Less vs still Hawkish Scenario

with

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

US Earnings Stagflation Recession Fear with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility Active  RISK ON Action Stopped  after Last Reactivation –  Bulls Bears Fight . above  September Fib Ret  June Lows Zone

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Bulls Bears Fighting

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Bears Fighting >   June 2022 Low Key Level 11.000 – non stop above Lower 10.500 

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 10.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Bears Fighting > 11.000  vs < Higher 12.000

with

Latest Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Bears Fighting <  Higher Key Level 34.000  vs   >  June 2022 Low Key Level 29.500-600 and Lower 28.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Bears Fighting   34.000 and Higher 34.500 

with

Latest Friday Daily Bear  Candlestick 

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Bears Fighting < Psychological Key Level 4.000  vs non stop above  June 2022 Low Key Level 3.600 and Lower 3.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  50% Fib Ret 3.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Bears Fighting  Psychological 4.000  and  Higher 4.100 

with

Latest Friday Daily Bear Candlestick

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB SNB BoJ and PBoC

Fed

Fed Less Slower Hawkish vs still Hawkish ahead of FOMC Dec Meeting

Finally

Fed Rate Hike Outlook – Fed Fund Futures

50bps December ( 78.2% )

Fed Less Hawkish Scenario still on the Table

after

November 75bps Rate Hike

Powell Super Hawkish

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer

and

75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Less Hawkish vs still Hawkish ahead of ECB Dec Meeting

ECB Less Hawkish on the Table

after

ECB Super Hawkish Verdict – 75bps Rate Hike October

and

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

SNB

SNB Less Hawkish vs still Hawkish ahead of SNB Dec Meeting

Swiss Central Hawkish Wave 2022

SNB September Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 75Bps to 0.50%

earlier

SNB June Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50Bps to -025%

Swiss Central Bank surprises markets – First Rate Hike since 2007

Rate Hike to -0.25% from -0.75%

BOJ

non stop Ultra Dovish

vs

BoJ FX Interventions – September and October

Japan Mega QE

Japan QE > European QE > US QE

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – still Dovish

after

PBoC cut RRR 25bps

China Central Bank Stimulus Covid-Hit China Economy

China Central Bank Verbal Intervention

Warning on Speculation against Yuan

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Stopped vs  Bulls Strike Back  for Now

USD/JPY Bulls Strike Back from Lower 133 and > 135

after Earlier Hard Fall  < Psychological Key Level 150 after  BoJ FX Intervention

US Dollar Index

Earlier Acceleration New Higher  20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )

Long Term Bulls  FX Wave  Stopped

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow

October Bearish Doji Monthly Candlestick – Volatility and Long Upper Lower Shadows

November Bearish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body

December Bearish Monthly Candlestick vs Small Real Body and Lower Shadow  for Now

( needed confirmation – EOM )

with

First

Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50

Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 109.50

Test Key Level 109 110  Zone – 68.5 -78.6%

Last

Bears Strike Back  from 113 Zone under Key Level  109.50

Break Down  July/22 Top  109.30

Latest

Bull New Dynamic Strike Back from Fib Ext 104.30  Back to 105 Zone

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave  Hard Stopped vs Latest Bullish Strike Back

with

Present USD  Bulls Strike

Bullish FX short term Move from Fib Ext 104.30  Back to 105 Zone

after Earlier

Bearish FX short term Strike from  113 under Key Level 109.50

Bullish FX short term Fight in Lower 105.80 – 106 Zone

DXY BattleField

Key Levels  104-104.30-50 vs 105 105.80 106  Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels  104-104.30-50 vs 105 105.80 106

( EOW 104.93 )

First of All…ATA from 15.09.2018 

– Financial Decade after Lehman Panic… –

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! ” 

ATA from 5.06.2022

– JP Morgan – Jamie Dimon “Economic Hurricane” Warning… –

” JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon “Economic Hurricane” Warning

Two Main Warns Factors

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Ukraine War Impact on Commodities special on Oil “

First…ATA  from  27.11.2022

” Now dominating

Bear Dynamic Reactivation on Bank Run Lehman Moment Strike Back

Fall under Key Level 3.83 USD

Fresh ALT 3.50 USD Zone

vs

Bullish Reversal Patterns Inverted Ending Diagonals

Weekly – Lower Edge – Key Level 3.30 USD

Daily – Lower Edge – Key Level 3.10 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

Bank Run Lehman Moment Fear vs Rescue – Restructuring Plan Action

special focus on

Present Active Key Levels Zone

3.00-3.10 3.30-3.50 vs 3.70-4.00 4.50  5.00 USD

and

ATA Credit Suisse and BlackRock BIS Dr Doom Big Short Blackstone Warnings

Gold Silver DXY Fed BoJ ECB Central Banks Key Tweets

Credit Suisse – Master Psychological Key Level 3 USD

BlackRock Warning

Dr Doom Nouriel Roubini Warning

BIS Warning

Big Short Michael Burry Warning

Real Estate Blackstone Warning

Warnings – Gold Safe Haven

Financial Mainstream Game True Explanation…

GOLD

DXY

Fed Black Swan

BoJ – Black Swan

ECB – Black Swan

SNB – Black Swan

Central Banks Black Swans

Fed SNB Emergency Swap ActionExtreme Low Global Liquidity Risk

Second…Present Credit Suisse Situation

CREDIT SUISSE  LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

First of All

Credit Suisse

Wall Street

All Time High  –  April 2007

80 USD Zone ( stricte 79.29 USD )

Fresh All Time Low  –  December 2022

3 USD  ( stricte 3.00 USD )

Quarterly View

Activated

Quarterly Bearish Reversal Candlestick Pattern Shooting Star  ( Q2/2007 )

70-80 USD Zone

Quarterly Bearish Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 57 USD

Q3 September 2000 – Q1 March 2008

Bear Trend

Secular Bear Trend Channel since 2007 Year Top

Lower Edge Key Level 4.30-50 USD

Upper Edge Key Level  8.50-9.00 USD

Break Down Lower Edge Secular Bear Trend Channel

vs

2nd Latest Bulls Correction on  Rescue Plan Capital Hike Success NOT Lehman

vs 

still No Permanent Back inside Secular Bear Trend Channel

Now dominating

Bull Dynamic Strike Back on Capital Hike Success

after

Bank Run Panic Lehman Moment Strike Back

Bull Strike from  Fresh ATL 3.00 USD Zone

still outside  Secular Bear Trend Channel

under  Lower Edge Key Level 4.30-50 USD

Quarterly Q2 and Q3/22 Bear Candlesticks – Large Real Body

Quarterly Q2 and Q3/22 Mega Volume

Quarterly Q4/22 Bear Candlestick – Extra Long Upper Shadow vs Lower Shadow

( confirmation needed – EOQ )

Mega Volume Q4/22Bullish Reversal Scenario Rising Probability

Quarterly MACD Sell Signal 

Monthly View 

Activated

Monthly Bearish Patterns

Ending Diagonal – Break Lower Edge – Key Level 64 USD – July 2007

2B – Key Level 59 USD – November 2007

H&S Hybrid Pattern – Break Neckline 52 USD – January 2008 ( Line Chart )

Bear Trend

Secular Bear Trend Channel since 2007 Year Top

Lower Edge Key Levels 4.80-4..85 USD ( Candlestick – Line Charts )

Upper Edge Key Levels 9-10 USD Zone

vs

Latest Bulls Correction on Capital Hike Success NOT Lehman

vs 

No Permanent Back inside Secular Bear Trend Channel

still outside  Secular Bear Trend Channel

still under  Lower Edge Key Level 4.80 USD ( Candlestick Chart )

Now dominating

Bull Dynamic Strike Back from Fresh Dec ATL 3.00 US

Bulls Perfect Active Action

Bullish Reversal Pattern Inverted Ending Diagonal

Lower Edge – Key Level 3.00 USD 

Higher Edge – Key Level 4.00 USD 

Monthly October Bull Candlestick vs Extra Long Upper Shadow

Monthly November  Bear Candlestick – Large Real Body – Long Upper Shadow

Monthly December  Bull Candlestick  – Lower Shadow

( confirmation needed – EOM )

Monthly MACD Sell Signal

Weekly Daily View 

After

1st Activated

Bullish Reversal Pattern Invert 2B Key Level 3.83 USD – 3.10.2022

2nd Test

Higher Resistance 4.90 USD Zone

and Last

Bear Dynamic Reactivation on Bank Run Lehman Moment Strike Back

Fall under Key Level 3.83 USD and Nov Low 3.50 USD Zone

to

Lower Psychological Key Level 3.00 USD

Now dominating

Bullish Dynamic Correction after Perfect Test Psychological Key Level 3.00 USD

still Active

Bullish Reversal Patterns Inverted Ending Diagonals

Weekly

Lower Edge – Key Level 3.00 USD Zone

Higher Edge – Key Level 4.30 USD Zone

Daily

Lower Edge – Key Level 3.00 USD Zone

Higher Edge – Key Level 4.35 USD Zone

Bullish Two Weekly Candlesticks – Long Lower Shadows

vs

Danger Daily Bearish Shooting Star Candlestick

MACD Weekly Sell Signal Activated

MACD Daily Sell Signal vs near to Future Active Buy

Credit Suisse  Battlefield

3.00 3.30  vs  3.50 4.00 4.30-35 4.50  5.00 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

Capital Hike Success Restructuring Plan ActionNOT Lehman

after Last

Bank Run Lehman Moment Fear

special focus on

Present Active Key Levels Zone

3.00 3.30 vs  3.50  4.00 4.30-35 4.50  5.00 USD

and

Research Classic and Candlestick Patterns Confirm or Cancel

of course with

New

Credit Suisse News

SNB and ECB Fed Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Swiss Eurozone Stocks and Wall Street Strikes

Swiss Eurozone and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – December

Finally…EOQ – Q4 – December

Credit Suisse  Quarterly Monthly and Weekly  Charts

8.07.2022 – EOW

Credit Suisse  Daily  Charts Intraday Swiss SIX CHF

4 – 6 – 7 .10.2022

Credit Suisse  Quarterly Monthly Weekly and Daily Charts

7.10.2022 -EOW

Credit Suisse  Quarterly Monthly Weekly  Daily Charts

25.11.2022 – EOW

9.12.2022 – EOW

iShares Silver Trust – Silver Bull Action on USD and Fed RISK ON Double Impact…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

iShares Silver Trust – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

SLV  is one of the most popular ETFs in the world, offering silver exposure

based on physically-backed silver bullion.

ATA Continuation of…

2021

24.08.2021 – iShares Silver Trust – Silver Bull Fight in FX USD Rhythm…

ATA Following …

SILVER Spot

2022

20.11.2022 – SILVER Spot – New Hard Climb in US Dollar and Fed Shadows…

Global X Silver Miners ETF

2021

16.08.2021 – Global X Silver Miners ETF – Silveren Tactic Wave…

ProShares Ultra Silver

2021

28.08.2021 – ProShares Ultra Silver – Silver Spark in Fed Dovish Dark…

XAU/XAG –  Gold/Silver Ratio

27.07.2020 –  XAU/XAG – BEARS DEALING CARDS…

and

Newmont Goldcorp

13.11.2022 – Newmont Goldcorp – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Smart Money Golden Fibonacci Move…

Barrick Gold 

6.11.2022 – Barrick Gold – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Fibonacci Smart Money Golden Action…

GOLDEN SPECTRUM

2020

7.04.2020 – GOLD – GOLDEN SECULAR SPECTRUM …

GOLD Futures

24.07.2022 – GOLD Futures – Golden Bulls Bears 10 Years War – Major Bullish Zone under Bearish Attack in USD FX Shadow…

GOLD Spot 

2022

23.07.2022 – GOLD Spot – US Dollar FX Path vs Russia-Ukraine War and Inflation Mainstream Fear Trend in Fibonacci Golden Constellation Shadow …

Gold/Bitcoin Ratio

2022

19.06.2022 – GOLD/BITCOIN RATIO – from Golden Bullish Reversal to Bulls Wave…

Copper/Gold Ratio 

2022

18.06.2022 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – from Bearish Reversal to Bear Wave in Stagflation Fear Mainstream Flashes…

iShares Silver Trust Key Motives

iShares Silver Trust tracking SILVER Spot 

Silver Biggest Deficit in decades – Silver Institute

Silver – Golden  anti USD Path

Silver Spot Bull Dynamic Strike Back Cont.  > Psychological Key Level 20 USD Test Higher 23 USD Key Level

in

GLOBAL DOLLAR – DXY F/X Bearish Shadow

with

GLOBAL TRENDS

Global Risk On Waves  still Active after Last Reactivation  with  Bullish Strike Cont. >  June 2022 Lows

Bond Sell Off Wave Stopped

Stocks Sell Off Wave Stopped

Wall Street Risk ON Wave still Active after Last  Reactivation  –  Bulls Strike Cont. >  June 2022 Lows 

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK ON Active   for Now

on

Master Factors

Fed Powell Speech Less Slower Hawkish

US PCE CPI PPI Inflation Lower Strikes

with

Fed FOMC Minutes Less Hawkish

Finally for Now still Active

Fed Rates Hike Cycle Slower – Less Hawkish – Less vs still Hawkish Scenario

with

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

US Earnings Stagflation Recession Fear with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK ON Active after Last Reactivation –  Bulls Strike Cont. above  September Fib Ret  June Lows Zone

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Bulls Dynamic Strike Cont.

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Dynamic Strike Cont. >   June 2022 Low Key Level 11.000 – non stop above Lower 10.500 

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 10.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike  Cont. > 11.000 and Fight  in Higher 12.000 Zone

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick – very long Lower Shadow

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. >  Higher Key Level 34.000  and  >  June 2022 Low Key Level 29.500-600 and Lower 28.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls  Strike Cont.   34.000  and Fight Cont. in Higher 34.500 Zone

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull  Candlestick – – very long Lower Shadow

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. above Higher Psychological Key Level 4.000  no stop above  June 2022 Low Key Level 3.600 and Lower 3.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  50% Fib Ret 3.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike  Fight Cont. >  Psychological 4.000 and  Bull Bear Fight  in Higher 4080-4.100 Zone

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull  Candlestick – very long Lower Shadow

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB SNB BoJ and PBoC

Fed

Fed Powell Speech Less Slower Hawkish vs still Hawkish

Fed FOMC Minutes Less Hawkish vs still Hawkish

Fed Less Hawkish on US PCE CPI PPI Lower

Finally

Fed Rate Hike Outlook – Fed Fund Futures

50bps December ( 78.2% )

Fed Less Hawkish Scenario still on the Table

after

November 75bps Rate Hike

Powell Super Hawkish

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer

and

75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

Eurozone CPI PPI Inflation Lower ECB Less Hawkish

ECB Minutes Less Hawkish vs still Hawkish

ECB Less Hawkish on the Table

after

ECB Super Hawkish Verdict – 75bps Rate Hike October

and

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

SNB

Swiss Central Hawkish Wave 2022

SNB September Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 75Bps to 0.50%

earlier

SNB June Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50Bps to -025%

Swiss Central Bank surprises markets – First Rate Hike since 2007

Rate Hike to -0.25% from -0.75%

BOJ

non stop Ultra Dovish

vs

BoJ FX Interventions – September and October

Japan Mega QE

Japan QE > European QE > US QE

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – New Dovish

PBoC cut RRR 25bps

China Central Bank Stimulus Covid-Hit China Economy

China Central Bank Verbal Intervention

Warning on Speculation against Yuan

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Stopped and  Hard Bears Strike Cont. for Now

USD/JPY Bear Wave Cont. < Lower 135

after Earlier Hard Fall  < Psychological Key Level 150 after  BoJ FX Intervention

US Dollar Index

Earlier Acceleration New Higher  20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )

Long Term Bulls  FX Wave  Stopped

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow

October Bearish Doji Monthly Candlestick – Volatility and Long Upper Lower Shadows

November Bearish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body

December Bearish Monthly Candlestick for Now

( needed confirmation – EOM )

with

First

Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50

Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 109.50

Test Key Level 109 110  Zone – 68.5 -78.6%

Last

Bears Strike Back  from 113 Zone under Key Level  109.50

Break Down  July/22 Top  109.30

Latest

Bears New Hard Strike under 105.80 – 106  and Lower 105

vs

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave  Hard Stopped with Last Bearish Strike Cont.

with

Present USD  Bear Strike

Bearish FX short term Move under  Lower 105

after Earlier

Bearish FX short term Strike from  113 under Key Level 109.50

Bullish FX short term Fight in Lower 105.80 – 106 Zone

DXY BattleField

Key Levels  104-104.30-50 vs 105 105.80 106  Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels  104-104.30-50 vs 105 105.80 106

( EOW 104.51 )

First…ATA  from  24.08.2021

Next Bear Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 27.50 USD

August 2020 – February 2021

Latest Bear Correction

Pattern Inception – 2B and H&S

Break Down – Hybryd H&S Neckline – Key Level 24.30 USD

ATA Big Short Warning Gold Silver US Inflation DXY Fed BoJ ECB Central Banks Key Tweets

Big Short Michael Burry Warning

Warnings – Gold Safe Haven

Financial Mainstream Game True Explanation…

US PCE Lower – Major Fed Less Hawkish Factor

US PPI Lower – Major Fed Less Hawkish Factor

US CPI Lower – Major Fed Less Hawkish Factor

GOLD

DXY

Fed Less Hawkish vs Hawkish Scenario

Fed Black Swan

BoJ – Black Swan

ECB – Black Swan

Central Banks Black Swans

Fed SNB Emergency Swap ActionExtreme Low Global Liquidity Risk

Second...iShares Silver Trust Present Situation

SLV  LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Monthly View 

First of All

After Activated

First…

Bull Ecstasy Skyrocket – Test 50 USD Zone ( stricte 48.35 ) – April 2011

Bear Reversal Process –  Next Lower Top 46 USD Zone ( stricte 46.23 ) – May 2011

Dynamic Bear Wave from 50 USD Zone to 13 USD Zone

Major Low – ( stricte 13.04 December 2015

Second Low – ( stricte 13.11 ) September 2018

with

Bull Reversal Patterns – Ending Diagonals

Smaller ( 2014 -2015 Years )

Bigger ( 2016 -2018 Years )

and

Covid Panic Strike – March 2020

New Master Low – Key Level 10 USD Zone ( stricte 10.86 )

Finally

Long Term Inverted 2B – Key Level 13 USD

December 2015 September 2018 – March 2020

Second…

Bull Dynamic Contraction

Test 44.6% Fib Ret Long Term Bear Wave – Key Level 27.50 USD Zone

Third…

Next Bear Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 27.50 USD

August 2020 – February 2021

Pattern Inception – 2B and H&S

Break Down – Hybryd H&S Neckline – Key Level 24.30 USD

February – August 2021

Bear Correction

from 27.50 USD to 16 USD Zone

with

Test

1st Lower Edge Bearish Trend Channel – Key Level 16 USD Zone

Weekly View 

2nd 68.5% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave from Covid Panic Low Zone – March 2020

Key Level 16 USD Zone

Now dominating

Bull Dynamic Strike

from Lower Edge Bearish Trend Channel and Fib Ret 16 USD Zone

to Upper Edge Bearish Trend Channel – Key Level 21.80 USD Zone

with

Monthly November – December Bull Candlestick for Now

Last Weekly Bull Candlestick

MACD Monthly Sell Signal vs Weekly Buy Signal

SLV  Present Battlefield 

21 – 21.30  vs 21.80 -22 USD

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now  Special Focus on

21 – 21.30  vs 21.80 -22 USD

with

Next Smart Money Move

Final Result of Test

Upper Edge Bearish Trend Channel

Research New Pattern and Confirm or Cancel Present Pattern

Classical   Candlestick 

and of course

Next Smart Money Move

New

Gold Silver News 

US Dollar News

Fed Verbal Strikes

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan News

Next Global Macro Strikes

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – December

by the Silver  Way

always remember

Silver  –  anti US Dollar  Vector

Global X Silver Miners ETF   Monthly Weekly Charts

13.08.2021

2.12.2022 – EOW

Credit Suisse – Record Bank Run Mainstream Panic in Rescue Action Shadow…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Credit Suisse –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

10.07.2022 – Credit Suisse – Swiss Smart Money Game – Next Lehman Brothers Scenario Risk in Play…

8.10.2022 – Credit Suisse – from Next Lehman Brothers Warning to Lehman Moment Strike and Stop – Finally Rescue Action…

ATA Following …

Lehman Shadow

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

JP Morgan

5.06.2022 – JP Morgan – Jamie Dimon “Economic Hurricane” Warning…

Deutsche Bank

9.10.2022 – Deutsche Bank – German Banking Titan Smart Money Game in Credit Suisse Yes/Not Lehman Moment Speculation Shadow…

Credit Suisse Master Motives

Credit Suisse Risk OFF Strikes

Mega Loss Forecast 1.6 Billion USD

Record Bank RunWorst Exodus since Lehman Brothers Financial Crisis

Clients pulled as much as 84 Billion Swiss Francs, or 88.3 Billion US Dollar ,

of their money from the bank during the first few weeks of the quarter

The outflows were especially acute at the key wealth management unit, 

where they amounted to 10% of assets under management

vs

CS Rescue Action – RISK ON Motive

Shareholders approved a Capital Raise of about 4 Billion Swiss Francs

that’s needed to finance the restructuring, which will also see about 9,000 jobs cut by 2025

Chairman Axel Lehmann pointed to shareholder approval of the bank planned capital raising

“further positive step in building the new Credit Suisse”

SNB and Fed  Swap Line Action

after Earlier

Credit Suisse Risk On Verbal Wave and Rescue Action

Credit Suisse pays down Debt to Calm Investors

Credit Suisse offers to buy back own Debt Securities up to CHF3Bn

Pimco, Sixth Street , Centerbridge Restructuring Plan for Credit Suisse

Pimco, Sixth Street and an investor group including Centerbridge Partners

are among a shortlist of bidders for at least part of Credit Suisse Group AG

securitized products business

Citi Credit Suisse Risk On

NOT Lehman Brothers

NOT Lehman Moment

Buy Credit Suisse Recommendation – Target 6 CHF

with

GLOBAL TRENDS

Global Risk On Waves  Active after Last Reactivation  with  Bullish Strike Cont. >  June 2022 Lows

Bond Sell Off Wave Stopped

Stocks Sell Off Wave Stopped

Wall Street Risk ON Wave Active after Last  Reactivation  –  Bulls Strike Cont. >  June 2022 Lows 

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK ON Active   for Now

on

Master Factors

US CPI PPI Inflation Lower Strikes

with

Fed FOMC Minutes Less Hawkish

Finally for Now still Active

Fed Rates Hike Cycle Slower – Less Hawkish – Less vs still Hawkish Scenario

with

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

US Earnings Season – Stagflation Recession Fear with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK ON Active after Last Reactivation –  Bulls Strike Cont. above  September Fib Ret  June Lows Zone

on

US CPI PPI Peak Scenario – Fed Less Hawkish Scenario

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Bulls Dynamic Strike Cont.

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Dynamic Strike Cont. >   June 2022 Low Key Level 11.000 – non stop above Lower 10.500 

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 10.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike  Cont. > 11.000 and Fight Cont.  in Higher 11.800 Zone

with

Latest Friday Daily Bear Candlestick

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. >  Higher Key Level 34.000  and  >  June 2022 Low Key Level 29.500-600 and Lower 28.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls  Strike Cont.   34.000  and Fight in Higher 34.300-500 Zone

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull  Candlestick

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. above Higher Psychological Key Level 4.000  no stop above  June 2022 Low Key Level 3.600 and Lower 3.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  50% Fib Ret 3.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike  Fight Cont. >  Psychological 4.000 and  Bull Bear Fight in Higher 4030-50 Zone

with

Latest Friday Daily Doji  Candlestick

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB SNB BoJ and PBoC

Fed

Fed FOMC Minutes Less Hawkish vs still Hawkish

Fed Less Hawkish on US CPI PPI Lower

Finally

Fed Rate Hike Outlook – Fed Fund Futures

50bps December ( 75.8% )

Fed Less Hawkish Scenario still on the Table

after

November 75bps Rate Hike

Powell Super Hawkish

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer

and

75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Minutes Less Hawkish vs still Hawkish

ECB Less Hawkish on the Table

after

ECB Super Hawkish Verdict – 75bps Rate Hike October

and

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

SNB

Swiss Central Hawkish Wave 2022

SNB September Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 75Bps to 0.50%

earlier

SNB June Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50Bps to -025%

Swiss Central Bank surprises markets – First Rate Hike since 2007

Rate Hike to -0.25% from -0.75%

BOJ

non stop Ultra Dovish

vs

BoJ FX Interventions – September and October

Japan Mega QE

Japan QE > European QE > US QE

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – New Dovish

PBoC cut RRR 25bps

China Central Bank Stimulus Covid-Hit China Economy

China Central Bank Verbal Intervention

Warning on Speculation against Yuan

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Stopped and  Hard Bears Strike still Stopped for Now

USD/JPY Bulls Strike Fight > 138 vs Back < 140 

after Earlier Hard Fall  < Psychological Key Level 150 after  BoJ FX Intervention

US Dollar Index

Earlier Acceleration New Higher  20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )

Long Term Bulls  FX Wave  Stopped

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow

October Bearish Doji Monthly Candlestick – Volatility and Long Upper Lower Shadows

November Bearish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body – Upper Shadow vs Lower Shadow

( needed confirmation – EOM )

with

First

Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50

Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 109.50

Test Key Level 109 110  Zone – 68.5 -78.6%

and

Last

Bears Strike Back  from 113 Zone under Key Level  109.50

Break Down  July/22 Top  109.30

vs

Bulls Hard Fight in Lower 105.80 – 106 Zone

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave  Hard Stopped vs Last Bearish Strike Stopped

with

Present USD  Bulls Hard Fight

Bullish FX short term Fight in Lower 105.80 – 106 Zone

after Earlier

Bearish FX short term Strike from  113 under Key Level 109.50

Key Levels  104 105 105.80 – 106 vs 107-108 109.50- 110 Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels  104 105 105.80 – 106    107-108 109 109.50-110

( EOW 106.06 )

First of All…ATA from 15.09.2018 

– Financial Decade after Lehman Panic… –

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! ” 

ATA from 5.06.2022

– JP Morgan – Jamie Dimon “Economic Hurricane” Warning… –

” JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon “Economic Hurricane” Warning

Two Main Warns Factors

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Ukraine War Impact on Commodities special on Oil “

First…ATA  from  8.10.2022

” Now dominating

Bull Dynamic Reactivation on NOT Lehman Moment

Monthly September Bear Candlestick – Large Real Body

Monthly October Bull Candlestick – Large Real Body

but

No Back above Lower Edge Key Level 5.15 – 5.20 USD

No Return inside Secular Bear Trend Channel

Credit Suisse  Battlefield

3.70-4.00-4.50  vs  5.00 5.15-5.20 10 USD

ATA Credit Suisse Warnings DXY Fed BoJ ECB Central Banks Key Tweets

Financial Mainstream Game True Explanation…

Credit Suisse Warnings

Warnings – Gold Safe Haven

DXY

Fed Less Hawkish vs Hawkish Scenario

Fed Black Swan

BoJ – Black Swan

ECB – Black Swan

Central Banks Black Swans

Fed SNB Emergency Swap ActionExtreme Low Global Liquidity Risk

Second…Present Credit Suisse Situation

CREDIT SUISSE  LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

First of All

Credit Suisse

All Time High  –  April 2007

80 USD Zone ( stricte 79.29 USD )

Fresh All Time Low  –  November 2022

3.50 USD Zone ( stricte 3.52 USD )

Quarterly View

Activated

Quarterly Bearish Reversal Candlestick Pattern Shooting Star  ( Q2/2007 )

70-80 USD Zone

Quarterly Bearish Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 57 USD

Q3 September 2000 – Q1 March 2008

Bear Trend

Secular Bear Trend Channel since 2007 Year Top

Lower Edge Key Level 4.30 USD

Upper Edge Key Level  8.50 USD

Break Down Lower Edge Secular Bear Trend Channel

vs

Last Bulls Correction on NOT Lehman Moment

vs No Permanent Back inside Secular Bear Trend Channel

only Test ResistancePsychological Key Level 5 USD Zone

Now dominating

Bear Dynamic Wave Cont. Panic Lehman Moment Strike Back

Bear Strike to  Fresh ATL 3.50 USD Zone

still outside  Secular Bear Trend Channel

under  Lower Edge Key Level 4.50 USD

Quarterly Q2 and Q3/22 Bear Candlesticks – Large Real Body

Quarterly Q2 and Q3/22 Mega Volume

Quarterly Q4/22 Bear Candlestick – Extra Long Upper Shadow

( confirmation needed – EOQ )

Quarterly MACD Sell Signal 

Monthly View 

Activated

Monthly Bearish Patterns

Ending Diagonal – Break Lower Edge – Key Level 64 USD – July 2007

2B – Key Level 59 USD – November 2007

H&S Hybrid Pattern – Break Neckline 52 USD – January 2008 ( Line Chart )

Bear Trend

Secular Bear Trend Channel since 2007 Year Top

Lower Edge Key Levels 4.80-4..85 USD ( Candlestick – Line Charts )

Upper Edge Key Levels 8-9 USD Zone

vs

Last Bulls Correction on NOT Lehman Moment

vs No Permanent Back inside Secular Bear Trend Channel

still outside  Secular Bear Trend Channel

under  Lower Edge Key Level 5.00 USD ( Candlestick Chart )

Now dominating

Bear Dynamic Wave Cont.  on Bank Run New Panic Lehman Moment Strike Back

New Bear Strike to  Fresh ATL 3.50 USD Zone

vs

Bullish Reversal Pattern Inverted Ending Diagonal

Lower Edge – Key Level 3.00 USD Zone

Monthly October Bull Candlestick vs Extra Long Upper Shadow

Monthly November  Bear Candlestick – Large Real Body – Extra Long Upper Shadow

( confirmation needed – EOM )

Monthly MACD Sell Signal

Weekly Daily View 

After

1st Activated

Bullish Reversal Pattern Invert 2B Key Level 3.83 USD – 3.10.2022

2nd Test

Higher Resistance 4.90 USD Zone

Now dominating

Bear Dynamic Reactivation on Bank Run Lehman Moment Strike Back

Fall under Key Level 3.83 USD

Fresh ALT 3.50 USD Zone

vs

Bullish Reversal Patterns Inverted Ending Diagonals

Weekly – Lower Edge – Key Level 3.30 USD

Daily – Lower Edge – Key Level 3.10 USD

MACD Weekly Buy Signal still Active

MACD Daily Buy Signal

Credit Suisse  Battlefield

3.00-3.10 3.30-3.50 vs 3.70-4.00 4.50  5.00 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

Bank Run Lehman Moment Fear vs Rescue – Restructuring Plan Action

special focus on

Present Active Key Levels Zone

3.00-3.10 3.30-3.50 vs 3.70-4.00 4.50  5.00 USD

and

Research Classic and Candlestick Patterns Confirm or Cancel

of course with

New

Credit Suisse News

SNB and ECB Fed Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Swiss Eurozone Stocks and Wall Street Strikes

Swiss Eurozone and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – November

Finally…EOQ – Q4 – December

Credit Suisse  Quarterly Monthly and Weekly  Charts

8.07.2022 – EOW

Credit Suisse  Daily  Charts Intraday Swiss SIX CHF

4 – 6 – 7 .10.2022

Credit Suisse  Quarterly Monthly Weekly and Daily Charts

7.10.2022 -EOW

Credit Suisse  Quarterly Monthly Weekly  Daily Charts

25.11.2022 – EOW

SILVER Spot – New Hard Climb in US Dollar and Fed Shadows…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

SILVER Spot –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

10.05.2020 – SILVER Spot – Awakening…

26.05.2020 –  SILVER Spot – Bull Strike after Awakening…

27.07.2020 –  SILVER Spot – Bulls Dealing Cards…

28.07.2020 –  SILVER Spot – Run…

29.07.2020 –  SILVER Spot – Silver Snow Avalanche…

10.08.2020 – SILVER Spot – Hard Climbing…

with

ATA Following …

Global X Silver Miners ETF

2021

16.08.2021 – Global X Silver Miners ETF – Silveren Tactic Wave…

iShares Silver Trust

2021

24.08.2021 – iShares Silver Trust – Silver Bull Fight in FX USD Rhythm…

ProShares Ultra Silver

2021

28.08.2021 – ProShares Ultra Silver – Silver Spark in Fed Dovish Dark…

XAU/XAG –  Gold/Silver Ratio

27.07.2020 –  XAU/XAG – BEARS DEALING CARDS…

and

Newmont Goldcorp

13.11.2022 – Newmont Goldcorp – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Smart Money Golden Fibonacci Move…

Barrick Gold 

6.11.2022 – Barrick Gold – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Fibonacci Smart Money Golden Action…

GOLDEN SPECTRUM

2020

7.04.2020 – GOLD – GOLDEN SECULAR SPECTRUM …

GOLD Futures

24.07.2022 – GOLD Futures – Golden Bulls Bears 10 Years War – Major Bullish Zone under Bearish Attack in USD FX Shadow…

GOLD Spot 

2022

23.07.2022 – GOLD Spot – US Dollar FX Path vs Russia-Ukraine War and Inflation Mainstream Fear Trend in Fibonacci Golden Constellation Shadow …

Gold/Bitcoin Ratio

2022

19.06.2022 – GOLD/BITCOIN RATIO – from Golden Bullish Reversal to Bulls Wave…

Copper/Gold Ratio 

2022

18.06.2022 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – from Bearish Reversal to Bear Wave in Stagflation Fear Mainstream Flashes…

SILVER Spot  Major Motives

Silver Biggest Deficit in decades – Silver Institute

SilverGolden  anti USD Path

Silver Spot Bull Dynamic Strike Back > Psychological Key Levels 1st 18 USD 2nd 20 USD 

after Test Fib Ret 68.5%  17.50 USD Zone

Bullish Wave from March 2020 Low 11.60 USD Zone to August 2020 February 2021 Top 30 USD Zone

in

GLOBAL DOLLAR – DXY F/X Bearish Shadow

with

GLOBAL TRENDS

Global Risk On Waves  Active after Last Reactivation  with  Bullish Strike Cont. >  June 2022 Lows

Bond Sell Off Wave Stopped

Stocks Sell Off Wave Stopped

Wall Street Risk ON Wave Active after Last  Reactivation  –  Bulls Strike Cont. >  June 2022 Lows 

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK ON Active   for Now

on

Master Factors

US CPI PPI Inflation Lower Strikes

vs

Fed Bullard still Hawkish Verbal Strike

Finally for Now still Active

Fed Rates Hike Cycle Slower – Less Hawkish  Scenario – Less Hawkish – Hawkish Pause

with

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

US Earnings Season – Stagflation Recession Fear with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK ON Active after Last Reactivation –  Bulls Strike Cont. above  September Fib Ret  June Lows Zone

on

US CPI PPI Peak Scenario – Fed Less Hawkish Scenario

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Bulls Dynamic Strike Cont.

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Dynamic Strike Cont. >   June 2022 Low Key Level 11.000 – non stop above Lower 10.500 

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 10.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike  Cont. > 11.000 and Fight in Higher 11.800 Zone

with

Latest Friday Daily Doji Candlestick

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. >  Psychological Key Level 30.000 and  >  June 2022 Low Key Level 29.500-600 and Lower 28.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls  Strike Cont.   33.000  and Fight in Higher 33.800 Zone

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull  Candlestick

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. and Bull Fight above Psychological Key Level 3.700  no stop above  June 2022 Low Key Level 3.600 and Lower 3.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  50% Fib Ret 3.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike  Fight Cont. >  3.700  vs Bears Strike from  Higher Psychological 4.000

with

Latest Friday Daily Doji  Candlestick

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB SNB BoJ and PBoC

Fed

Fed Less Hawkish on US CPI PPI Lower

vs

Fed Bullard still Hawkish Verbal Strike

Finally

Fed Rate Hike Outlook – Fed Fund Futures

50bps December ( 75.8% )

Fed Less Hawkish Scenario still on the Table

after

November 75bps Rate Hike

Powell Super Hawkish

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer

and

75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Less Hawkish on the Table

after

ECB Super Hawkish Verdict – 75bps Rate Hike October

and

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

SNB

Swiss Central Hawkish Wave 2022

SNB September Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 75Bps to 0.50%

earlier

SNB June Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50Bps to -025%

Swiss Central Bank surprises markets – First Rate Hike since 2007

Rate Hike to -0.25% from -0.75%

BOJ

non stop Ultra Dovish

vs

BoJ FX Interventions – September and October

Japan Mega QE

Japan QE > European QE > US QE

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

China Central Bank Verbal Intervention

Warning on Speculation against Yuan

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Stopped and  Hard Bears Strike Stopped for Now

USD/JPY Bulls Strike Back > 140 after Earlier < Psychological Key Level 150 after  BoJ FX Intervention

US Dollar Index

Earlier Acceleration New Higher  20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )

Long Term Bulls  FX Wave  Stopped

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow

October Bearish Doji Monthly Candlestick – Volatility and Long Upper Lower Shadows

November Bearish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body – Upper Shadow vs Lower Shadow

( needed confirmation – EOM )

with

First

Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50

Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 109.50

Test Key Level 109 110  Zone – 68.5 -78.6%

and

Latest

Bears Strike Back  from 113 Zone under Key Level  109.50

Break Down  July/22 Top  109.30

vs

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave  Hard Stopped vs Last Bearish Strike Stopped

with

Present USD  Bulls Action

Bullish FX short term Strike Back from 106 to 107 Zone

after Earlier

Bearish FX short term Strike from  113 under Key Level 109.50

Key Levels  104 105 106 vs 109.50- 110 v   Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels  104 105 106    109 109.50-110

( EOW 106.96 )

First…ATA  from  10.08.2020

“Latest

SILVER RUNS

First RUN 

Test  Key Level 26 USD Zone 

38.2% FIB RET Last Big Wave Down 

with

Silver Shot Down from  26 USD Zone 

back under Psychological Key Level 25 USD

Test  FIB RET 14.6% Last Bull Wave 

&

Second RUN 

Test  Key Level 30 USD Zone 

50% FIB RET Last Big Wave Down 

and

ATA Warnings US PPI CPI GOLD DXY Fed BoJ ECB Central Banks Key Tweets

US PPI Lower – Major Fed Less Hawkish Factor

US CPI Lower – Major Fed Less Hawkish Factor

Value Illusion created by Mianstream Media in “Print” Flat Money World

Warnings – Gold Safe Haven

GOLD

DXY

Fed Pause – Less Hawkish vs Hawkish Scenario

Fed Black Swan

BoJ – Black Swan

ECB – Black Swan

Central Banks Black Swans

Fed SNB Emergency Swap ActionExtreme Low Global Liquidity Risk

Second…Present  SILVER Spot  Situation

XAG  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION

First of All

All Time High – April 2011

Psychological Key Level 50 USD Zone 

( Real Top 49.54 USD )

after

Skyrocket Bull Wave  2008 – 2011 Years Horizon

Top and Bearish Reversal M – Key Level 48 USD

April – May 2011 Year

Dynamic Bear Waterfall 2011 – 2015 Years Horizon

Bearish Wave from 50 USD to 13.50 USD Zone

and

Bull Escape from 5 Years Consolidation 

Support  – Key Level  13.80 USD  Zone 

88.6% Fib Ret 13 USD Zone 

with

March  2020 Covid Panic Extreme Volatility and Dynamic Moves

Shot Down – Shot Up Action 

Fall under Support & Dynamic Back above 

( Low 11.64 USD vs  EOM March 2020 13.99 USD )

and

SILVER RUNS July – August 2020

First RUN 

Test  Key Level 26 USD Zone 

38.2% FIB RET Last Big Wave Down 

Second RUN 

Test  Key Level 30 USD Zone 

50% FIB RET Last Big Wave Down 

vs

Bearish Reversal M Pattern Key Level 30 USD Zone

August 2020 – February 2021

and

Bears Correction from 30 USD to 17.50 USD

Test Fib Ret 68.5% Bull Wave 2020 August 2022

with

Consolidation

( Weekly Chart )

Now dominating

New SILVER RUN from 17.50 USD to 22 USD

but with

Test Resistance 22 USD Zone – Consolidation 2020 – 2021 Years

and

Latest Bears Correction from 22 USD to 20 USD Zone

with

November Monthly Bull Candlestick Upper Shadow 

Last Weekly Bear Candlestick

and

Monthly MACD Sell Signal  vs Weekly MACD Buy Signal

Silver Spot   Present Battlefield 

18 – 20  vs   22-25 28-30  USD

with

Psychological Key Levels  20 22 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Active Silver Zone

20  vs  22   USD

with

Psychological Key Levels  20 22 USD

Research New Pattern and Confirm or Cancel Present Pattern

Classical   Candlestick 

and of course

Next Smart Money Move

New

Gold Silver News 

US Dollar News

Fed Verbal Strikes

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan News

Next Global Macro Strikes

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – November

by the Silver   Way

always remember

Silver  –  anti US Dollar  Vector

SILVER Spot   Monthly  Charts

8.05.2020 – EOD

Silver Spot - M - Line
Silver Spot - M - Fib Ext

26.05.2020 – Ending Phase Asian Session 

Silver Spot - M - Line
Silver Spot - M - Fib png

27.07.2020 – Assian Session 

Silver Spot - M - Line
Silver Spot - M - Fib png

28.07.2020 – Assian Session 

Silver Spot - M - Fib png

29.07.2020 – Assian Session 

Silver Spot - M - Fib png

Silver Spot  Monthly & Weekly Charts

10.08.2020 – Assian Session 

Silver Spot - M - Fib png
Silver Spot - W - Fib png

18.11.2022 – EOW

Newmont Goldcorp – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Smart Money Golden Fibonacci Move…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Newmont Goldcorp World Largest Gold Mining Company

Newmont Goldcorp –  Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Following…

Barrick Gold 

6.11.2022 – Barrick Gold – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Fibonacci Smart Money Golden Action…

GOLDEN SPECTRUM

2020

7.04.2020 – GOLD – GOLDEN SECULAR SPECTRUM …

GOLD Futures

24.07.2022 – GOLD Futures – Golden Bulls Bears 10 Years War – Major Bullish Zone under Bearish Attack in USD FX Shadow…

GOLD Spot 

2022

23.07.2022 – GOLD Spot – US Dollar FX Path vs Russia-Ukraine War and Inflation Mainstream Fear Trend in Fibonacci Golden Constellation Shadow …

Gold/Bitcoin Ratio

2022

19.06.2022 – GOLD/BITCOIN RATIO – from Golden Bullish Reversal to Bulls Wave…

Copper/Gold Ratio 

2022

18.06.2022 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – from Bearish Reversal to Bear Wave in Stagflation Fear Mainstream Flashes…

Newmont Goldcorp Master  Key Motives

Newmont Goldcorp Golden Path

Gold Miner Stocks Bull Dynamic Strike Back > Psychological Key Level  40 USD and >  Fib Ret 61.8% 43 USD

Bullish Wave from 2015 Low to 2022 Top

tracking

GOLD Futures Bull Strike Back Cont. from Psychological Key Level 1600 USD  to > Higher 1700 USD

in

GLOBAL DOLLAR – DXY F/X Bearish Shadow

with

GLOBAL TRENDS

Global Risk On Waves Reactivation  with New Bullish Strike Back >  June 2022 Lows

Bond Sell Off Wave Stopped

Stocks Sell Off Wave Stopped

Wall Street Risk ON Wave Reactivation  –  New Bulls Strike Back >  June 2022 Lows 

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK ON Reactivation  for Now

on

Master Factors

US CPI Inflation Lower Strike

Fed Rates Hike Cycle Slower – Less Hawkish – Fed Pivot Scenario – Less Hawkish – Hawkish Pause

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

US Earnings Season – Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK ON Reactivation –  Bulls Strike Back above  September Fib Ret  June Lows Zone

on

US CPI Peak Scenario – Fed Less Hawkish – Fed Pivot Scenario

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Latest Bulls Dynamic Strike Back 

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Dynamic Strike Back >   June 2022 Low Key Level 11.000 – non stop above Lower 10.500 

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 10.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

New  Bulls Strike  Back > 11.000 and Cont. > Higher 11.800

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Strike Back >  Psychological Key Level 30.000 and  >  June 2022 Low Key Level 29.500-600 and Lower 28.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

New  Bulls  Strike  33.000  and Cont. to Higher 33.800 Zone

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull  Candlestick

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Strike Back vs Bull Fight from  Psychological Key Level 3.700  no stop above  June 2022 Low Key Level 3.600 and Lower 3.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  50% Fib Ret 3.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

New  Bulls Strike  from  3.700  to Higher Psychological 4.000

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB SNB BoJ and PBoC

Fed

Fed Less Hawkish on US CPI Lower

Fed Rate Hike Outlook – Fed Fund Futures

50bps December ( 80.6% )

Fed Pivot Scenario Back on the Table

after

November 75bps Rate Hike

Powell Super Hawkish

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer

and

75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish Verdict – 75bps Rate Hike October

and

Lagarde still Hawkish  vs   Fed Less Hawkish

after

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

SNB

Swiss Central Hawkish Wave 2022

SNB September Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 75Bps to 0.50%

earlier

SNB June Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50Bps to -025%

Swiss Central Bank surprises markets – First Rate Hike since 2007

Rate Hike to -0.25% from -0.75%

BOJ

non stop Ultra Dovish

vs

BoJ FX Interventions – September and October

Japan Mega QE

Japan QE > European QE > US QE

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

China Central Bank Verbal Intervention

Warning on Speculation against Yuan

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Stopped and  Hard Bears Strike 

USD/JPY Dynamic Bear Move < 140 after Earlier < Psychological Key Level 150 after  BoJ FX Intervention

US Dollar Index

Earlier Acceleration New Higher  20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )

Long Term Bulls  FX Wave  Stopped

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow

October Bearish Doji Monthly Candlestick – Volatility and Long Upper Lower Shadows

November Bearish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body – Upper Shadow

( needed confirmation – EOM )

with

First

Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50

Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 109.50

Test Key Level 109 110  Zone – 68.5 -78.6%

and

Latest

Bears Strike Back  from 113 Zone under Key Level  109.50

Break Down  July/22 Top  109.30

vs

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave  Hard Stopped – Bearish Strike

with

Present USD  Bears Action

Bearish FX short term Strike from  113 under Key Level 109.50

Key Levels  104 105 106 vs 109.50- 110 v   Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels  104 105 106    109 109.50-110

( EOW 106.41 )

ATA Warnings US CPI GOLD DXY Fed BoJ Central Banks Key Tweets

US CPI Lower – Major Fed Less Hawkish Factor

Value Illusion created by Mianstream Media in “Print” Flat Money World

Warnings – Gold Safe Haven

GOLD

DXY

Fed Pivot – Pause – Less Hawkish Scenario

Fed Black Swan

BoJ – Black Swan

Central Banks Black Swans

Fed SNB Emergency Swap ActionExtreme Low Global Liquidity Risk

Second…Present Newmont Goldcorp Situation 

Newmont Goldcorp  SECULAR TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN SECULAR TERM ACTION  

First of All

All Time High 85-88 USD Zone April 2022

( stricte 86.61 USD )

Quarterly View 

After Activated

Two Bearish Reversal Patterns 2B

1987 – 2022 Year Horizon

1st – Key Level 81.90 USD

2nd – Key Level 79 USD

Break Down Psychological Key Level 80 USD

Monthly View 

After Activated

Bearish Reversal Pattern 2B

March – April 2022 Year Horizon

Key Level 81 USD

Break Down Psychological Key Level 80 USD

and

Quarterly – Monthly View 

Bearish Dynamic Wave

from 85 – 80 USD Zone to 37-40 USD Zone

Test 61.8% Fib Ret – Key Level 43 USD

Bullish Big Wave from 15 USD Zone to 85 USD Zone

2015 – 2022 Years Horizon

vs

Activated

Bullish Reversal Pattern – Invert 2B – Key Level 40 USD

Now dominating

Bullish Dynamic Strike Back above 61.8% Fib Ret 43 USD

with

Quarterly Bull Candlestick – Long Lower Shadow

Monthly Bull Candlestick – Long Lower Shadow

vs

MACD Quarterly Monthly Sell Signals

Newmont Goldcorp  Present Battlefield 

37-40-43  vs   50-56 60  USD

with

Psychological Key Levels  40 50 USD

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now  Special Focus on

37-40-43  vs   50-56 60  USD

with

Psychological Key Levels  40 50 USD

and

FIB RET Last Bearish Big Wave

1st 23.6% Key Level 49 USD

Research New Pattern and Confirm or Cancel Present Pattern

Classical   Candlestick 

and of course

Next Smart Money Move

New

Golden News 

US Dollar News

Fed Verbal Strikes

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan News

Next Global Macro Strikes

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – November

by the Gold  Way

always remember

Gold  –  anti US Dollar  Vector

Newmont Goldcorp Quarterly and Monthly Charts

11.11.2022 – EOW

Barrick Gold – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Fibonacci Smart Money Golden Action…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Barrick Gold World Second Largest Gold Mining Company

Barrick Gold  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2015 

19.07.2015 –  ABX – Searching for Opportunity…

2020

4.04.2020 –  Barrick Gold – New Golden Strike with Risky Shining…

18.08.2020 – Barrick Gold – Buffett Golden Ecstasy…

15.10.2020 – Barrick Gold – after Buffett Golden Dust Down…

13.12.2020 – Barrick Gold – Perfect Contrarian Golden Bear Strike after Buffett IN…

2021

19.02.2021 – Barrick Gold – Fibonacci Winning with Buffett…

27.02.2021 – Barrick Gold – One Buffett Flew Over the Golden Cuckoo’s Nest…

5.03.2021 – Barrick Gold – Buffett Left the Golden Haven…

21.07.2021Barrick Gold – Miner Waiting for Gold Outcome…

with

ATA Following…

GOLDEN SPECTRUM

2020

7.04.2020 – GOLD – GOLDEN SECULAR SPECTRUM …

GOLD Futures

24.07.2022 – GOLD Futures – Golden Bulls Bears 10 Years War – Major Bullish Zone under Bearish Attack in USD FX Shadow…

GOLD Spot 

2022

23.07.2022 – GOLD Spot – US Dollar FX Path vs Russia-Ukraine War and Inflation Mainstream Fear Trend in Fibonacci Golden Constellation Shadow …

Gold/Bitcoin Ratio

2022

19.06.2022 – GOLD/BITCOIN RATIO – from Golden Bullish Reversal to Bulls Wave…

Copper/Gold Ratio 

2022

18.06.2022 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – from Bearish Reversal to Bear Wave in Stagflation Fear Mainstream Flashes…

Barrick Gold  Master Key Motives

Barrick Golden Path

Gold Miner Stocks Fighting in Lower 19 USD Key Level Zone in  Fib Ret 78.6% Zone

Bullish Wave from 2018 Low to 2020 Top

tracking

GOLD Futures Bull Strike Fight > Psychological Key Level 1600 USD 

in

GLOBAL DOLLAR – DXY F/X Shadow

with

GLOBAL TRENDS

Global Risk Off Waves Reactivation  with New Bearsih Strike Back vs Bulls Hard Fight  under/in  June 2022 Lows Zone

Bond Sell Off Wave Reactivation

Stocks Sell Off Wave Reactivation

Wall Street Risk Off Wave Reactivation  –  New Bears Strike Back vs Bulls Hard Fight under/in June 2022 Lows 

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Reactivation  for Now

on

Master Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle still Active still Super Hawkish vs No Fed Pivot Scenario – Less Hawkish – Hawkish Pause

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

US Earnings Season – Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK OFF Reactivation –  Bears Strike Back under/in September Fib Ret  June Lows Zone

on

Extreme Mainstream Bearish Warnings  and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Latest Bears Dynamic Strike Back 

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone  Reactivation for Now

Bears Dynamic Strike Back Cont. under   June 2022 Low Key Level 11.000 vs still above Lower 10.500 

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 10.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

New  Bears Strike  < 11.000  vs Bulls Fight > 10.500

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Reactivation  for Now

Bear Strike Back vs Bull Fight vs still above Psychological Key Level 30.000 and  June 2022 Low Key Level 29.500-600 and Lower 28.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

New  Bear  Strike  from  Higher 33.000  vs Bull Fight > 32.000

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull  Candlestick

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Reactivation  for Now

Bear Strike Back vs Bull Fight vs still above Psychological Key Level 3.700 above  June 2022 Low Key Level 3.600 and Lower 3.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  50% Fib Ret 3.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

New  Bear Strike  from  Higher 3.900  vs Bull Fight > 3.700

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB SNB BoJ and PBoC

Fed

Fed still Super Hawkish November 75bps Rate Hike

Powell still Super Hawkish

No Fed Pivot Scenario

vs

Less Hawkish on the Table

Fed Rate Hike Outlook Fed Fund Futures

50bps vs 75bps December ( 52% vs 48% )

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

after

75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish Verdict – 75bps Rate Hike October

and

Lagarde still Hawkish  like  Fed still Hawkish

after

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

SNB

Swiss Central Hawkish Wave 2022

SNB September Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 75Bps to 0.50%

earlier

SNB June Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50Bps to -025%

Swiss Central Bank surprises markets – First Rate Hike since 2007

Rate Hike to -0.25% from -0.75%

BOJ

non stop Ultra Dovish

vs

BoJ FX Interventions – September and October

Japan Mega QE

Japan QE > European QE > US QE

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

China Central Bank Verbal Intervention

Warning on Speculation against Yuan

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Stopped and Cooling Strike 

USD/JPY > 145 vs still < Psychological Key Level 150 after  BoJ FX Intervention

US Dollar Index

Earlier Acceleration New Higher  20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )

Long Term Bulls  FX Wave  Stopped

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow

October Bearish Doji Monthly Candlestick – Volatility and Long Upper Lower Shadows

November Bearish Shooting Star Monthly Candlestick – Long Upper Shadow

( needed confirmation – EOM )

with

Last

Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50

Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 109.50

Test Key Level 109 110  Zone – 68.5 -78.6% Node Fib Ret Last Bull Wave

and

Latest

Bears Strike Back  from 113 Zone under Key Level 111 

vs

still  above July/22 Top 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave  still Stopped – Cooling

with

Present USD  Bears Action

Bearish FX short term Strike from  113 under Key Level 111  still above 110

Key Levels   109 109.50- 110 vs 111 112 113-113.30  113.50-80  114.80-115   Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels    109 109.50- 110 vs 111 112 113-113.30  113.50-80  114.80-115

( EOW 110.78 )

First…ATA from  21.07.2021

” Now dominating

Bull vs Bear Fighting in Psychological Key Level 25 CAD

Ahead of 61.8% Fib Ret Last Golden Bull Wave – Key Level 23 CAD

with

MACD Monthly Bear Sell Signal

and

ATA Warnings GOLD DXY Fed BoJ Central Banks Key Tweets

Warnings – Gold Safe Haven

GOLD

DXY