Euro Stoxx 50 – Major Strike Countdown…

Euro Stoxx 50  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

21.05.2019 –  Euro Stoxx 50 – Fighting…far away from Top Year 2007…

&

16.08.2019 –  Euro Stoxx 50 – Euro Risk 50/50…

with

ATA Following …

STOXX Europe 600

21.05.2019 –  STOXX Europe 600 – Knocking on Market Heavens Door…

16.08.2019 –  STOXX Europe 600 – Status Quo Fight…

22.09.2019 –  STOXX Europe 600 – Preparing to Final Strike…

Special

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

7.09.2019 –  NASDAQ – Real…No Fantastic Risk of FED Second GLOBAL EASING TOP Scenario …

22.09.2019 –  FANG + INDEX – Bull Contraction after Winning Support Zone Battle…

 

 

Euro Stoxx 50  Main Motives

Wall Street –   July All Time High 

vs

Euro Stoxx 50  No Clearly Higher Top since 2007 High  

on

Wall Street  still Active Bull Market but with Risks 

&

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

GLOBAL EQUITIES & BONDS SELL OFF HIGH RISK 

with

Wall Street still near All Time High Zone 

US – CHINA TRADE  Hope

Rising Bond Yields 

ECB Mega Dovish Strike 

FED Hawkish Rate Cut 25bps

GDP Forecast 2019 rising to 2.2%

PBOC – New Central China Easing Move

 

EURO STOXX 50 - 1

 

First…ATA from  16.08.2019

” Now dominating

Bearish  vs Bullish  Monthly Technical Patterns  : 

Bearish 

Activated  3 Reversal Patterns 

2  Long Term M  Patterns  

First  March 2015 – October 2017 – Top Zone 3700

Second  July 2018 – April 2019 – Top Zone 3500

M Pattern July 2018 – April 2019 

Top Zone 3500

with

Open Scenario Risk of  Hybryd H&S Pattern 

December 2013 – Present 

Neckline 3000 

vs

Bullish

Open Scenario of  Invert H&S  Pattern

Neck Line – Key Level  3500 – 3535 Zone 

April  2017 – Present    ”

 

 

Second…Present  Euro Stoxx 50  Situation 

Euro Stoxx 50  LONG TERM  SITUATION 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

 

Monthly View 

for Now dominating

Bearish  vs Bullish  Monthly Technical Patterns  : 

Bearish 

Activated  Reversal Pattern 

Long Term M  Patterns  

March 2015 – October 2017 – Top Zone 3700

with

Open Scenario of Future 2 M Patterns 

First...Sart March 2015  – Top Zone 3700

Second… Start October 2017  – Top Zone 3675

vs

Bullish

Activated Invert H&S  Pattern

Neck Line – Key Level  3500 – 3535 Zone 

April  2017 – September  2019

with

Monthly MACD

Buy Signal  vs under Bear Trendline 

 

Weekly View 

Open Scenario of Future 2 M Patterns 

First...Sart April 2015  – Top Zone 3800-3820

Second… Start October 2017  – Top Zone 3700-3710

vs

Open Scenario of  Invert  H&S Pattern 

Start May 2017 –  Neckline 3650 – 3660  

with

Weekly MACD Activated Buy Signal 

 

 

Daily View 

Active

W Pattern  – 3280 Key Level Zone 

after

Cancel 

2B Pattern –  3500 Key Level Zone 

Daily H&S Pattern – Neckline 3330

with

Daily MACD Buy Signal  

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus on

Present Battlefield 

3530 – 3500  vs  3700 – 3800

&

Activated Patterns

vs

Open Scenario Futures Patterns 

that can be Triggered

with

All FIB RET 

 

 

This EURO STOXX Picture shows

how far EURO STOXX  50 Equities are  from

US WALL STREET & NASDAQ…

 

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now September 

 

 

Euro Stoxx 50   Monthly , Weekly  & Daily Charts :

21.05.2019

STOXX 50 - M - Line

STOXX 50 - W - Line

STOXX 50 - D - Line

STOXX 50 - M - Fib Ret

16.08.2019  ( First Half  European Session ) 

STOXX 50 - M - Line

STOXX 50 - W - Line

STOXX 50 - D - Line

STOXX 50 - M - Fib Ret

20.09.2019 – EOW 

STOXX 50 - M - Line

STOXX 50 - M - Fib Ret

STOXX 50 - W - Line

STOXX 50 - M - Fib Ret

Advertisements

STOXX Europe 600 – Preparing to Final Strike…

STOXX Europe 600  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

21.05.2019 –  STOXX Europe 600 – Knocking on Market Heavens Door…

&

16.08.2019 –  STOXX Europe 600 – Status Quo Fight…

with

ATA Following …

Special

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

&

7.09.2019 –  NASDAQ – Real…No Fantastic Risk of FED Second GLOBAL EASING TOP Scenario …

with

22.09.2019 –  FANG + INDEX – Bull Contraction after Winning Support Zone Battle…

 

 

STOXX Europe 600  Main Motives

Wall Street –   July All Time High 

vs

STOXX Europe 600  No Clearly Higher Top since 2007 High  

on

Wall Street  still Active Bull Market but with Risks 

&

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

GLOBAL EQUITIES & BONDS SELL OFF HIGH RISK 

with

Wall Street still near All Time High Zone 

US – CHINA TRADE  Hope

Rising Bond Yields 

ECB Mega Dovish Strike 

FED Hawkish Rate Cut 25bps

GDP Forecast 2019 rising to 2.2%

PBOC – New Central China Easing Move

 

Stoxx-600 - 1

 

First…ATA from  16.08.2019

”  Now dominating

Bearish  vs Bullish  Monthly Technical Patterns  : 

Bearish 

Activated  4 Reversal Patterns 

2  Long Term  M  Patterns 

Psychological Key Level 400 

First  May 2007 – May 2015

Second May 2015 – May 2019

Hybryd H&S Pattern – Neckline 370 

May 2017 – May 2019

M Pattern – Top Zone 390

July 2018 – April 2019

vs

Bullish

Open Scenario of  Invert H&S  Pattern

Neck Line – Key Level  390 

May 2017 – Present     ”

 

 

Second…Present  STOXX Europe 600  Situation 

STOXX Europe 600 LONG TERM  SITUATION 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

 

Monthly View 

for Now dominating

Bearish  vs Bullish  Monthly Technical Patterns  : 

Bearish 

Activated  2  Reversal Patterns 

2  Long Term  M  Patterns 

Psychological Key Level 400 

First  May 2007 – May 2015

Second May 2015 – Present

vs

Bullish

Invert H&S  Pattern

Neck Line – Key Level  397 – 400 

May 2017 – Present

with

Monthly MACD

Buy Signal  & above Trendline 

 

Weekly View 

Bearish  vs Bullish Weekly Technical Patterns  : 

Bearish 

M Pattern – Top Zone 395

May 2017 –  Present

vs

Bullish

Invert H&S  Pattern

Neck Line – Key Level  395 

May 2017 – Present

with

Weekly MACD  Activated Buy Signal 

 

Daily View 

Bearish  vs  Bullish Daily Technical Patterns  : 

M Pattern –  Key Level  393 

vs

Invert 2B Pattern 

370 Key Level Zone 

after

Cancel  Last Daily H&S Pattern – Neckline 373

by

Rising above Neckline & Dynamic Baskerville Dog  Run 

with

Daily MACD Buy Signal  

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus on

Present Main Key Levels  393 – 395 – 397-400 Zone 

like

Dynamic Wave Trigger 

 

 

This EURO STOXX Picture shows

Relative Strength vs  South Eurozone Equties

vs

how far EURO STOXX Equities are  from

US WALL STREET & NASDAQ…

 

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now September 

 

 

STOXX Europe 600   Monthly , Weekly  & Daily Charts :

21.05.2019

STOXX 600 - M - Line

STOXX 600 - W- Line

STOXX 600 - D - Line

16.08.2019  ( First Phase European Session ) 

STOXX 600 - M - Line

STOXX 600 - W- Line

STOXX 600 - D - Line

20.09.2019 – EOW 

STOXX 600 - M - Line

STOXX 600 - W- Line

STOXX 600 - D - Line

FANG + INDEX – Bull Contraction after Winning Support Zone Battle…

FANG + INDEX   –   Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

FANG + INDEX  – Wall Street  &  Global Equity Pathfinder 

 

ATA Continuation of…

28.07.2019 –  FANG + INDEX – at the Market Crossroads…

8.08.2019 –  FANG + INDEX – Support Zone Battle…

with

ATA Following …

Special

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

&

7.09.2019 –  NASDAQ – Real…No Fantastic Risk of FED Second GLOBAL EASING TOP Scenario …

 

 

FANG + INDEX  Main Motives

Nasdaq  –   July All Time High 

vs

FANG + INDEX No New Top after 2018 High  

on

Nasdaq  still Active Bull Market

&

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

GLOBAL EQUITIES & BONDS SELL OFF HIGH RISK 

with

Wall Street still near All Time High Zone 

US – CHINA TRADE  Hope

Rising Bond Yields 

ECB Mega Dovish Strike 

FED Hawkish Rate Cut 25bps

GDP Forecast 2019 rising to 2.2%

PBOC – New Central China Easing Move

&

TRUMP, FED – Powell & Kudlow 

US & China Agree To Resume Trade Talks In October

White House Kudlow Risk On  Impulses 

US Economy Potential Grow 3% or Better…!!!

Fed Rate Cut Step in Right Direction

Good Signs for US Economy

Any Recession Signals

FED Clarida Verbal Strike

Fed will take Interest Rate Policy ‘Meeting by Meeting’

US Economy – Good Place but some Risks remain

Doesn’t Anticipate Neg. Rates Being Considered

Trump China Risk On Strike

Making Progress on China

 

FANG - 2

 

First…ATA  from  8.08.2019

”  2  Master Patterns 

Falling Invert Ending Diagonal 

vs

Raising Invert Ending Diagonal 

with

Present Weekly Hammer Candlestick Pattern 

&

Now dominating  Test 

Lower Edge of  Raising Invert Ending Diagonal 

Key Level 2450 

&

FIB RET  Zone Last Wave Up  ( 50 – 61.8% )

2400 – 2450 Zone     

 

 

Second…Present   FANG + INDEX  Situation 

 FANG + INDEX  LONG TERM  SITUATION 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

still Active

2  Master Patterns 

Falling Invert Ending Diagonal 

vs

Raising Invert Ending Diagonal 

&

Activated

2B Pattern – Key Level  2680 

after Last

Dynamic Bull Wave 

&

Testing July 2019 Top Zone 

Key Levels  2665 – 2680 

with

Last Weekly Bull Candlestick 

vs

Long Upper Shadow  

Back under July 2019 Top 

after

August Test 

Lower Edge of  Raising Invert Ending Diagonal 

Key Level 2450 

&

FIB RET  Zone Last Wave Up  ( 50 – 61.8% )

2400 – 2450 Zone 

Now with

MACD Weekly  Activated Buy Signal 

 

 

ATA  FANG + INDEX  Investment Conclusion 

FANG + INDEX   Battlefield 

Resistance –   2665 – 2680   

vs

Support  2450 – 2244-50    

 

Special Focus on

Present Resistance Zone :   2665 – 2680   

July 2019 Top Zone 

FIB RET  78.6% Last Wave Down (2707)

with

MACD Weekly Bear Trendline 

 

always remember

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now Month September

 

 

FANG + INDEX   Weekly   Charts :

26.07.2019 – EOW 

FANG - W - Line

FANG - W - Fib Ret.png

7.08.2019 – EOD

FANG - W - Line

  FANG - W - Fib Ret

20.09.2019 – EOW

FANG - W - Line

FANG - W - Fib Ret

 

 

Saudi Arabia TASI – Bull Short Term Full Control – Calm after Panic…

Saudi Arabia TASI –  Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

15.09.2019 –  Saudi Arabia TASI – Bear Domination…

17.09.2019 –   Saudi Arabia TASI – Dynamic Short Term Bull Contraction…

21.09.2019 –  Saudi Arabia TASI – Short Term Bull Reversal Continuation …

with

ATA Following …

Special

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

&

7.09.2019 –  NASDAQ – Real…No Fantastic Risk of FED Second GLOBAL EASING TOP Scenario …

 

 

Main Latest Saudi Arabia TASI Motives

RISK OFF

Saudi Aramco Drone Strike Repercussions 

Iran Major War Warning

even if    US made “Limited Strikes”

US Sanctioned Iran National Bank

US has identified Locations Drone in Iran

US VP Pence Verbal Strike

US Military Is ‘Ready’ Following Saudi Oil Attacks

Iran Foreign Minister Warning

US or Saudi Strike on IRAN would lead to “ All-out War “

Trump – IRAN Warning

It’s Possibility that We Not Get a Peaceful Solution to the Situation in Iran

RISK ON

Saudi Oil Output will return to Norma lLlevels quicker than thought…

Next 2- 3 Weeks

Saudi OIL Min Salman Verbal Risk On Strike

Oil Supply Fully Back Online…!!!

with

Wall Street still near All Time High Zone 

US – CHINA TRADE  Hope

Rising Bond Yields 

ECB Mega Dovish Strike 

FED Hawkish Rate Cut 25bps

GDP Forecast 2019 rising to 2.2%

PBOC – New Central China Easing Move

&

TRUMP, FED – Powell & Kudlow 

US & China Agree To Resume Trade Talks In October 

US Economy Potential Grow 3% or Better…!!!

Fed Rate Cut Step in Right Direction

Good Signs for US Economy

Any Recession Signals

 

Saudi Index - 3

 

First…ATA from  21.09.2019 

”  After Sunday Panic Halted

still dominating

Short Term Bull Contraction 

with Activated

Intraday Reversal Patterns 

H1 Inverted Ending Diagonal 

H5 Ending Diagonal 

with

Close Sunday Bear Gap 

&

MACD  H5 & H1  Buy Signals   ” 

 

&

ATA Last  OIL – Saudi – IRAN Tweet…

 

 

Second…Present  Saudi Arabia TASI  Situation 

Saudi Arabia TASI  Intraday  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN SHORT TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

( Intraday  H5 & H1 Charts )

After  Week ago Sunday Panic Halted

still dominating

Short Term Bull Contraction 

with

Psychological First Target 8000 

after Activated

Intraday Reversal Patterns 

H1 Inverted Ending Diagonal 

H5 Ending Diagonal 

with

Close Sunday Bear Gap 

&

MACD  H5 & H1  Buy Signals

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

FIB  RET Last Wave Down 

First… 38.2%  ( 7986 )

Second…50% ( 8108 )

of course with

Psychological Key Level 8000 

( H5 Chart )

 

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

 

 

 

Saudi Arabia TASI  Monthly & Intraday H1 Charts :

15.09.2019 – EOD 

Saudi - M

Saudi - H1

Saudi Arabia TASI   Intraday H5 & H1 Charts :

17.09.2019

Saudi - H5

Saudi - H1

20.09.2019 – EOD

Saudi - H5

Saudi - H1

22.09.2019 

Saudi - H5

Saudi - H1

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Golden Bull Action…

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index  –  All Time on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

3.05.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – F/X Anti USD & Save Haven Pathfinder…

17.06.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Showing Bullion North…

20.06.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Bets on Global Central Easing…

13.07.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index on Shining Wave…

4.08.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Shining Climb with Risky Contraction…

7.08.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Shining Side of Global Central Easing vs Rising Risk of Bear Strike…

24.08.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Bulls vs Bears Fight for Life & Death…

25.08.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – EXTREME ZONE TARGET…

27.08.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Intraday Scratches on the Precious Metals Glass…

5.09.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Dynamic Down Contraction after Last Scratches…

6.09.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Golden Bear Action…

8.09.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Golden Fibonacci in Both Bear vs Bull Sides Action…

10.09.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Golden Bears still in Action…

13.09.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Perfect Pullback in Golden Bear Strike…

16.09.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – No Golden Effect of Saudi Attack…

17.09.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – New Bull Strike…

19.09.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Bull Reversal Contraction…

with

ATA Following …

Special

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Main Motives

SHORT & MEDIUM  TERM  BULL REVERSAL 

PROS 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

GLOBAL EQUITIES & BONDS SELL OFF HIGH RISK 

&

Saudi Aramco Drone Strike Repercussions 

Risk of War in the Middle East

US Sanctioned Iran National Bank

US has identified Locations Drone in Iran

US VP Pence Verbal Strike

US Military Is ‘Ready’ Following Saudi Oil Attacks

Iran Foreign Minister Warning

US or Saudi Strike on IRAN would lead to “ All-out War “

Trump – IRAN Warning

It’s Possibility that We Not Get a Peaceful Solution to the Situation in Iran

US – China Trade War 

China Trade Delegation Cancels Trip

TRUMP Advisers Tariffs Risk Off Verbal Strike

Tariffs on China Goods could go to 50 or 100 % …!!!

US CHINA TRADE WAR  still formally Active 

TRUMP – Powell  Conflict

TRUMP – Powell  Conflict still Active

&

BREXIT SAGA 

with

FED Easing Strikes 

FED Hawkish Rate Cut 25bps

GDP Forecast 2019 rising to 2.2%

If US Economy Weaknes more Cuts may be Needed…!!!

Revisiting Question – Returning to Organic Growth of Balance Sheet

ECB Mega Easing Strikes 

ECB – Super Dovish Verdict by Super Mario  

ECB Cuts Deposit Rate to -0.5% from -0.4%

Restarts QE from Nov1 at €20bn/mth

Changes Forward Guidance

Eases TLTRO

PBOC Easing Move

Cuts 1 year Loan Prime Rate from 4.25% to 4.20%

Cuts Despite Rate to 4.80%

Keeps 5Y LPR at 4.85%

 

CONS 

FED First Signals of Next QE vs No Golden Dynamic Rising Reaction

IRAN WAR RISK No Golden Dynamic Rising Reaction

No Golden Reaction on Saudi Aramco Drone Attack 

&

FED Clarida Verbal Strike

Fed will take Interest Rate Policy ‘Meeting by Meeting’

US Economy – Good Place but some Risks remain

Doesn’t Anticipate Neg. Rates Being Considered

Trump China Risk On Strike

Making Progress on China

Trump Advisors Verbal Strike

Consider “Interim China Deal” To Delay Tariffs…!!!

with

Latest RISK ON Verbal Strikes 

from TRUMP, FED – Powell & Kudlow 

US & China Agree To Resume Trade Talks In October

White House Kudlow Risk On  Impulses 

US Economy Potential Grow 3% or Better…!!!

Fed Rate Cut Step in Right Direction

Good Signs for US Economy

Any Recession Signals

BREXIT – Jean-Claude Juncker Verbal Risk On Strike

‘We can have a deal’ and ‘Brexit will happen’

 

GOLD-SILVER-16

 

First…ATA from  19.09.2019 

” After Activated

First…Bull Ending Diagonal Pattern 

Upper Edge – Key Level  90.80

Second…W Pattern – Key Level 90 Zone

still dominating

Bull Contraction   

 

 

&

ATA Tweets…

First of  All

Special ATA GOLDEN Tweets

 

with

Other Last 

 

 

Second…Present  PHLX Gold/Silver  Situation 

PHLX Gold/Silver  MEDIUM – SHORT TERM  SITUATION 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Gold/Silver  Short Term View

( Intraday H4 Charts )

after Activated

First…Bull Ending Diagonal Pattern 

Upper Edge – Key Level  90.80

Second…W Pattern – Key Level 90 Zone

still dominating

Bull Wave 

with

Last H4 Bull Candlesticks 

MACD H4 Buy Signal 

Present Rising Impulse

above Fib Ret 38.2% Last Wave Down

Up to Next Fib Ret 50 – 61.8% 

vs

still Active

Inverted Ending Diagonal Pattern 

for Now Lower Edge – Key Level  97.30

concurrent with

Fib Ret 61.8% Last Wave Down – 97.30

 

 

Gold-Silver Short Term Battlefield 

90 – 93    vs   95 – 97.30 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

W Pattern – Key Level 90 Zone

&

FIB RET Last Rising Wave 

First…38.2%  88.33

vs

Invert Ending Diagonal Pattern 

for Now Lower Edge – Key Level 97.30

&

FIB RET Last Wave Down 

First…50%  95.75

Second…61.8%  97.30

( Candlestick H4 Chart )

 

still Special Focus on Psychological Key Levels 

GOLD Fut 1500 USD – Now above –  1524 USD

SILVER Fut 18 USD  – Now above  – 18.05 USD

 

Always remember

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

 

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Monthly & Weekly Charts :

3.05.2019

Gold-Silver Index - M - Line - log

Gold-Silver Index - M - log

Gold-Silver Index - W- log

17.06.2019

( American Session – 2-nd Half )

PHLX Gold-Silver - M - Line

PHLX Gold-Silver - M

PHLX Gold-Silver - W

19.06.2019

PHLX Gold-Silver - M - Line

PHLX Gold-Silver - M

PHLX Gold-Silver - W

13.07.2019 – EOW

PHLX Gold-Silver - M - Line

PHLX Gold-Silver - M

PHLX Gold-Silver - W

2.08.2019 – EOW

PHLX Gold-Silver - M - Line

PHLX Gold-Silver - M

PHLX Gold-Silver - W

7.08.2019 –  ( First  Phase US  Session )

PHLX Gold-Silver - M - Line

PHLX Gold-Silver - M

PHLX Gold-Silver - W

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Monthly  Weekly  & Daily Charts :

23.08.2019 – EOW

Gold-Silver Index - M - Line - log

Gold-Silver Index - M - log

Gold-Silver Index - W

Gold-Silver Index - D - Line

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Daily Charts – FIB EXT  :

23.08.2019 – EOD

Gold-Silver Index - D - FIB EXT

Gold-Silver Index - D - FIB EXT F1

Gold-Silver Index - D - FIB EXT F2

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

26.08.2019 – EOD

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (1)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (2)

5.09.2019 – ( First Phase US Session )

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (5)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (4)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index   Daily  & H4 Charts :

6.09.2019 – ( Half of US Session )

PHLX Gold-Silver - D

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (6)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index  Daily  & H4 Charts :

6.09.2019 – EOD

PHLX Gold-Silver - D Line FIB EXT

PHLX Gold-Silver - D Line FIB RET

PHLX Gold-Silver - D Candle FIB EXT RET

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (7)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

6.09.2019 – ( Second Half of US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (8)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (9)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

12.09.2019 –  EOD  ( End of US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (10)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (11)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

16.09.2019 – ( First Half of US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (12)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (13)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

17.09.2019 – ( second Half of US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (14)

 

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (16)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

18.09.2019 (  EOD – US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (17)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (18)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

18.09.2019 

( Start US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (19)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (20)

( First Half  US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (21)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (22)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

20.09.2019 – EOD

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (23)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (24)

 

 

OIL – SAUDI vs IRAN Rising Risk with US Sanctions Iran National Bank…

OIL  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

2016

29.07.2016   –  OIL SHOT DOWN – NO SUPRISE for ATA…

6.08.2016   –  OIL – BLACK GOLD COME BACK…

20.08 2016 – OIL – Market & Mainstream Media Trends…

15.10.2016 –  OIL STILL ON GREEN TRACK…

2018

7.05.2018  –   OIL – FIBONACCI WARNING…!!!

11.05.2018 –   OIL – IRAN Motive vs Fibonacci…

28.05.2018  –   BLACK OIL DOWN…

1.07.2018  –  OIL – TRUMP – Saudi Arabia Motive & Fibonacci…

9.07.2018  –   OIL – CHINA – IRAN Motive & Fibonacci…

12.07.2018  –  OIL – Mainstream Verbal Trend vs Fibonacci…

19.07.2018  –  OIL-FIBONACCI WINNING…

29.07.2018   –  OIL – PRICE SUNSET…

5.08.2018   –    OIL-GEOPOLITICAL SPECULATION BURNOUT…

9.08.2018   –    OIL – NO IRAN FEAR…

26.08.2018  –   OIL – RUN OUT OF IMPET…

8.09.2018  –  OIL – BLACK GOLD STILL NOT SHINING…

16.10.2018  –  OIL vs IRAN Sanctions – waiting for November…

3.11.2018  –  OIL OFF vs IRAN SANCTIONS ON…

14.11.2018 –  OIL – BLACK GOLD PANIC…

2019

16.01.2019 –  OIL – V Sharp Correction…

28.04.2019 –  OIL – WASHINGTON vs TEHRAN CLASH…

20.07.2019 –  OIL – HORMUZ GEOPOLITICAL IRANIAN STRIKE…

7.08.2019 –   OIL – Global Slowdown & Recession Barometer…

2.09.2019 –  OIL – BLACK GOLD STATUS QUO…

11.09.2019 –  OIL – Global Slowing vs Central Easing…

15.09.2019 –  OIL – Saudi Aramco Drone Strike…

16.09.2019 – OIL – Hot Reaction after Aramco Drone Strike…

17.09.2019 –  OIL – Black Gold Picture after Saudi Dust Fall…

with

ATA Following …

Saudi Arabia TASI

15.09.2019 –  Saudi Arabia TASI – Bear Domination…

17.09.2019 –  Saudi Arabia TASI – Dynamic Short Term Bull Contraction…

20.09.2019 –  Saudi Arabia TASI – Short Term Bull Reversal Continuation…

 

 

Present  OIL  Active  Main Motives

RISK OFF

Saudi Aramco Drone Strike Repercussions 

Trump Iran Sanctions Strike

US Sanctioned Iran National Bank

Risk of War in the Middle East

US has identified Locations Drone in Iran

US VP Pence Verbal Strike

US Military Is ‘Ready’ Following Saudi Oil Attacks

Iran Foreign Minister Warning

US or Saudi Strike on IRAN would lead to “ All-out War “

Trump – IRAN Warning

It’s Possibility that We Not Get a Peaceful Solution to the Situation in Iran

RISK ON

Saudi Oil Output will return to Norma lLlevels quicker than thought…

Next 2- 3 Weeks

Saudi OIL Min Salman Verbal Risk On Strike

Oil Supply Fully Back Online…!!!

with

Wall Street still near All Time High Zone 

US – CHINA TRADE  Hope

Rising Bond Yields 

ECB Mega Dovish Strike 

FED Hawkish Rate Cut 25bps

GDP Forecast 2019 rising to 2.2%

PBOC – New Central China Easing Move

&

TRUMP, FED – Powell & Kudlow 

US & China Agree To Resume Trade Talks In October 

US Economy Potential Grow 3% or Better…!!!

Fed Rate Cut Step in Right Direction

Good Signs for US Economy

Any Recession Signals

 

OIL - saudi iran

 

First…ATA  from  17.09.2019  

” Bull  Gap  vs  Panic Halted 

( Max 63.50 vs Now 61.83  USD )

with

OIL Fighting

above Master Key Level 60 

vs

still under Monday Max 63.50  & Top 66 

First of All…Research Pattern 

&

Master Psychological Key Level  60     ”

 

 

&

ATA OIL Last Tweets…

 

 

 

Second…Present  OIL  Situation 

OIL MEDIUM TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN MEDIUM TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

After

Aramco Drone Attack 

still  dominating

Bull  Gap 

vs  

Panic Halted & Shot Down < 60 USD

Fighting in  58 – 60 USD Zone 

( Now 58.55  USD )

after

Test  Daily Fib Ret  78.6% 

Daily Bear Large Real Body Candlestick 

with

Weekly Shooting Star Candlestick 

H5 Intraday Reversal Pattern

2B Pattern – Key Level 61 USD 

vs

still above

Weekly Bear Trendline 

Daily Bear Trendlines

with

MACD Weekly Daily Buy Signals

vs

MACD H5 Sell Signal 

 

OIL Battlefield 

55 – 58   vs   60-61  –  63.50 – 66  USD

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now Focus on

58 vs 60 USD Zone 

with

FIB RET  Last  Rising Wave 

(  H5 Chart )

&

of course

Oil Market Reaction

on

US Sanctioned Iran National Bank

 

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…Today H1-H4 -EOD

Second…EOD-s & EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now Month  September 

 

by the Black Gold way

don’t forget

Oil  – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…

 

 

OIL Weekly Charts :

20.08.2016

15.10.2016

7.05.2018

Your new TVC (1)

11.05.2018

Your new TVC (2)

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (11)

29.06.2018

Your new TVC (24)

9.07.2018

Your new TVC (39)

12.07.2018

Your new TVC (9)

19.07.2018

Your new TVC (9)

27.07.2018

Your new TVC (2)

Your new TVC (3)

3.08.2018

Your new TVC (15)

Your new TVC (16)

9.08.2018

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

24.08.2018

OIL-1

OIL-2

7.09.2018

OIL-1

OIL-2

16.10.2018

OIL-1

OIL-2

2.11.2018

OIL-1

OIL-2

OIL-3

14.11.2018

OIL-1OIL-2OIL-3

OIL Weekly  & Daily Charts

16.01.2019

oil-1oil-2oil-3

26.04.2019

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H5  Charts

19.07.2019

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

7.08.2019

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

2.09.2019  (  End Phase European Session )

OIL - W

OIL - DOIL - H5

11.09.2019  (  Start American Session )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

13.09.2019  (  EOW  )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

16.09.2019  (  Start US Session  )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

17.09.2019  (  before Start US Session  )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

20.09.2019  (  Second Half  US Session  )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

Saudi Arabia TASI – Short Term Bull Reversal Continuation …

Saudi Arabia TASI –  Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

15.09.2019 –  Saudi Arabia TASI – Bear Domination…

17.09.2019 –   Saudi Arabia TASI – Dynamic Short Term Bull Contraction…

with

ATA Following …

Special

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

&

7.09.2019 –  NASDAQ – Real…No Fantastic Risk of FED Second GLOBAL EASING TOP Scenario …

 

Main Latest Saudi Arabia TASI Motives

RISK OFF

Saudi Aramco Drone Strike Repercussions 

Trump Iran Sanctions Strike

US Sanctioned Iran National Bank

Risk of War in the Middle East

US has identified Locations Drone in Iran

US VP Pence Verbal Strike

US Military Is ‘Ready’ Following Saudi Oil Attacks

Iran Foreign Minister Warning

US or Saudi Strike on IRAN would lead to “ All-out War “

Trump – IRAN Warning

It’s Possibility that We Not Get a Peaceful Solution to the Situation in Iran

RISK ON

Saudi Oil Output will return to Norma lLlevels quicker than thought…

Next 2- 3 Weeks

Saudi OIL Min Salman Verbal Risk On Strike

Oil Supply Fully Back Online…!!!

with

Wall Street still near All Time High Zone 

US – CHINA TRADE  Hope

Rising Bond Yields 

ECB Mega Dovish Strike 

FED Hawkish Rate Cut 25bps

GDP Forecast 2019 rising to 2.2%

PBOC – New Central China Easing Move

&

TRUMP, FED – Powell & Kudlow 

US & China Agree To Resume Trade Talks In October 

US Economy Potential Grow 3% or Better…!!!

Fed Rate Cut Step in Right Direction

Good Signs for US Economy

Any Recession Signals

 

Saudi Index - 2

 

First…ATA from  17.09.2019 

”  After Sunday Panic Halted

now  dominating

Short Term Bull Contraction 

Intraday Reversal Patterns : 

Activated H1 Inverted Ending Diagonal 

&

near to Active H5 Ending Diagonal 

with

near to Close Sunday Bear Gap   ”

 

 

&

ATA Tweets…

 

 

 

Second…Present  Saudi Arabia TASI  Situation 

Saudi Arabia TASI  Intraday  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN SHORT TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

( Intraday  H5 & H1 Charts )

After Sunday Panic Halted

still dominating

Short Term Bull Contraction 

with Activated

Intraday Reversal Patterns 

H1 Inverted Ending Diagonal 

H5 Ending Diagonal 

with

Close Sunday Bear Gap 

&

MACD  H5 & H1  Buy Signals

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

FIB  RET Last Wave Down 

( H5 Chart )

 

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

 

 

 

Saudi Arabia TASI  Monthly & Intraday H1 Charts :

15.09.2019 – EOD 

Saudi - M

Saudi - H1

Saudi Arabia TASI   Intraday H5 & H1 Charts :

17.09.2019

Saudi - H5

Saudi - H1

20.09.2019 – EOD

Saudi - H5

Saudi - H1

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Bull Reversal Contraction…

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index  –  All Time on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

3.05.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – F/X Anti USD & Save Haven Pathfinder…

17.06.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Showing Bullion North…

20.06.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Bets on Global Central Easing…

13.07.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index on Shining Wave…

4.08.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Shining Climb with Risky Contraction…

7.08.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Shining Side of Global Central Easing vs Rising Risk of Bear Strike…

24.08.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Bulls vs Bears Fight for Life & Death…

25.08.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – EXTREME ZONE TARGET…

27.08.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Intraday Scratches on the Precious Metals Glass…

5.09.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Dynamic Down Contraction after Last Scratches…

6.09.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Golden Bear Action…

8.09.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Golden Fibonacci in Both Bear vs Bull Sides Action…

10.09.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Golden Bears still in Action…

13.09.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Perfect Pullback in Golden Bear Strike…

16.09.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – No Golden Effect of Saudi Attack…

17.09.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – New Bull Strike…

with

ATA Following …

Special

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Main Motives

SHORT & MEDIUM  TERM  BULL REVERSAL 

PROS 

US CHINA TRADE WAR  still formally Active 

TRUMP – Powell  Conflict still Active

BREXIT SAGA 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

with

FED RISK ON Strikes 

FED Hawkish Rate Cut 25bps

GDP Forecast 2019 rising to 2.2%

If US Economy Weaknes more Cuts may be Needed…!!!

Revisiting Question – Returning to Organic Growth of Balance Sheet

ECB RISK ON Strikes 

ECB – Super Dovish Verdict by Super Mario  

ECB Cuts Deposit Rate to -0.5% from -0.4%

Restarts QE from Nov1 at €20bn/mth

Changes Forward Guidance

Eases TLTRO

CONS 

FED First Signals of Next QE vs No Golden Dynamic Rising Reaction

IRAN WAR RISK No Golden Dynamic Rising Reaction

No Golden Reaction on Saudi Aramco Drone Attack 

&

Trump Advisors Verbal Strike

Consider “Interim China Deal” To Delay Tariffs…!!!

with

Latest RISK ON Verbal Strikes 

from TRUMP, FED – Powell & Kudlow 

US & China Agree To Resume Trade Talks In October 

&

White House Kudlow Risk On  Impulses 

US Economy Potential Grow 3% or Better…!!!

Fed Rate Cut Step in Right Direction

Good Signs for US Economy

Any Recession Signals

 

GOLD-SILVER-15

 

First…ATA from  17.09.2019 

” After Yesterday Testing

Support Zone – Psychological Key Level 90 

with

Hammer Candlestick modification  to

Spinning Top Candlestick 

Now dominating

New Bull Contraction 

H4 Bull Large Real Body Candlestick 

with

Activated Bull Ending Diagonal Pattern 

Upper Edge – Key Level  90.80     ”

 

 

&

ATA Tweets…

First of  All

Special ATA GOLDEN Tweets

 

with

Other Last 

 

 

Second…Present  PHLX Gold/Silver  Situation 

PHLX Gold/Silver  MEDIUM – SHORT TERM  SITUATION 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Gold/Silver  Short Term View

( Intraday H4 Charts )

After Last First & Second Testing

Support Zone – Psychological Key Level 90 

with

First…Spinning Top Candlestick 

Second…H4 Candlestick with Big Lower Shadow 

&

Activated

First…Bull Ending Diagonal Pattern 

Upper Edge – Key Level  90.80

Second…W Pattern – Key Level 90 Zone

still dominating

Bull Contraction 

Present H4 Bull Candlestick 

with

MACD H4 Activated Buy Signal 

vs

still Active

Inverted Ending Diagonal Pattern 

for Now Lower Edge – Key Level  96.75 

 

 

Gold-Silver Short Term Battlefield 

90    vs   93- 95 – 96.55 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

W Pattern – Key Level 90 Zone

&

FIB RET Last Rising Wave 

First…38.2%  88.33

vs

Invert Ending Diagonal Pattern 

for Now Lower Edge – Key Level 96.75

&

FIB RET Last Falling Wave 

First…38.2%  94.15

( Candlestick H4 Chart )

 

still Special Focus on Psychological Key Levels 

GOLD Fut 1500 USD – Now above –  1505 USD

SILVER Fut 18 USD  – Now under  – 17.86 USD

 

Always remember

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…Today H4-EOD-EOW

 

 

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Monthly & Weekly Charts :

3.05.2019

Gold-Silver Index - M - Line - log

Gold-Silver Index - M - log

Gold-Silver Index - W- log

17.06.2019

( American Session – 2-nd Half )

PHLX Gold-Silver - M - Line

PHLX Gold-Silver - M

PHLX Gold-Silver - W

19.06.2019

PHLX Gold-Silver - M - Line

PHLX Gold-Silver - M

PHLX Gold-Silver - W

13.07.2019 – EOW

PHLX Gold-Silver - M - Line

PHLX Gold-Silver - M

PHLX Gold-Silver - W

2.08.2019 – EOW

PHLX Gold-Silver - M - Line

PHLX Gold-Silver - M

PHLX Gold-Silver - W

7.08.2019 –  ( First  Phase US  Session )

PHLX Gold-Silver - M - Line

PHLX Gold-Silver - M

PHLX Gold-Silver - W

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Monthly  Weekly  & Daily Charts :

23.08.2019 – EOW

Gold-Silver Index - M - Line - log

Gold-Silver Index - M - log

Gold-Silver Index - W

Gold-Silver Index - D - Line

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Daily Charts – FIB EXT  :

23.08.2019 – EOD

Gold-Silver Index - D - FIB EXT

Gold-Silver Index - D - FIB EXT F1

Gold-Silver Index - D - FIB EXT F2

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

26.08.2019 – EOD

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (1)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (2)

5.09.2019 – ( First Phase US Session )

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (5)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (4)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index   Daily  & H4 Charts :

6.09.2019 – ( Half of US Session )

PHLX Gold-Silver - D

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (6)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index  Daily  & H4 Charts :

6.09.2019 – EOD

PHLX Gold-Silver - D Line FIB EXT

PHLX Gold-Silver - D Line FIB RET

PHLX Gold-Silver - D Candle FIB EXT RET

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (7)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

6.09.2019 – ( Second Half of US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (8)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (9)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

12.09.2019 –  EOD  ( End of US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (10)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (11)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

16.09.2019 – ( First Half of US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (12)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (13)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

17.09.2019 – ( second Half of US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (14)

 

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (16)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

18.09.2019 (  EOD – US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (17)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (18)

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

18.09.2019 

( Start US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (19)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (20)

( First Half  US Session)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (21)

^XAU_YahooFinanceChart (22)

 

DXY – FED – SUPER DOVISH EXPECTATIONS vs FED FUND FUTURES…

DXY –  all time on  ATA Research Radar 

 

DXY   –  Master  Pathfinder 

EM CURRENCIES   &  EQUITIES   

GOLD – SILVER   &  COMMODITIES  

 

ATA Continuation of…

from…

14.02.2018  –  DXY – Close Encounters of the Third Kind…

16.02.2018  –  DXY – The Thin Red Line…

17.03.2018  –  DXY – RISING STAR…

22.03.2018  – FED – THE DAY AFTER US CENTRAL MOTIVE…

27.04.2018  –  DXY – STILL STANDING…

to…

27.05.2018  –  DXY – BIG WAVE UP SURFING…BUT…

7.06.2018  –  DXY – KING IS TIRED…

13.06.2018  – DXY – FED BIG BADA BUM…!!!

16.06.2018  –  DXY – MASTER KEY TO ALL EM DOORS…

17.06.2018  – DXY – EM Currency Side of American Dollar…

23.06.2018  – DXY – SHOT DOWN…

30.06.2018  – DXY – REAL FALLING AGAINST MAINSTREAM MEDIA ” KING ” VOICES…

15.07.2018 –  DXY-STILL LOSING MOMENTUM…

18.07.2018  –  DXY – POWELL – FED MOTIVE…

19.07.2018  –  DXY – NO F/X AIR FLOW…

22.07.2018  – DXY – TRUMP SHOT DOWN…

23.07.2018 –  DXY after G20 Argentina Meeting…

with Last…

1.08.2018  –  DXY vs FED CENTRAL FACTOR…

2.08.2018  – DXY after FED & POWELL…

11.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X NORTHERN STAR for EM CURRENCIES…

12.08.2018 –  DXY -TURKISH GAME CHANGER…

18.08.2018 –  DXY vs EM CURRENCIES on TURKISH RATING DOUBLE IMPACT…

19.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X SAFE HAVEN…

21.08.2018 –  DXY – SHOT DOWN by TRUMP…

23.08.2018 –  DXY – HAWKISH FED MINUTES…

25.08.2018  –  DXY vs All the President’s Men…

28.08.2018 –  DXY – F/X EXECUTION…

15.09.2018  –  Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

20.11.2018 –  DXY – MORE & MORE DANGER GREEN TRACK…

20.01.2019 –  DXY – NO F/X CAPITULATION…

&

20.03.2019 –  DXY – SECULAR TREND… before & beyond FED – POWELL Verbal Action…

23.03.2019 – DXY – SECULAR TREND… after & beyond FED – POWELL Verbal Action…

28.03.2019 –  DXY – SECULAR VIEW with Last Months of F/X VERDUN…

31.03.2019 –  DXY – F/X MARATHON ELITE…

10.06.2019 –  DXY after FED & TRUMP Verbal Sparks…

23.06.2019 –  DXY – FED RATE CUT AHEAD…

14.07.2019 –  DXY in FED CLINCH…

30.07.2019 –  DXY – FED FINAL COUNTDOWN…

1.08.2019 –    DXY – FED the Day After…

11.08.2019 –  DXY – TRUMP ” GREEN AIR ” CUTOFF…

29.08.2019 –  DXY – SURVIVING TRUMP – FED POWELL VERBAL FURY…

with

ATA Following …

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

 

DXY  Master  Motives

FED – Present Master Vector 

Dovish Expectations 

Big Waiting for Today Next Easing Move

vs

25bps Rate Cut Probability Fall to 56.5%

after

ECB RISK ON Strikes 

ECB – Super Dovish Verdict by Super Mario  

ECB Cuts Deposit Rate to -0.5% from -0.4%

Restarts QE from Nov1 at €20bn/mth

Changes Forward Guidance

Eases TLTRO

&

Trump Advisors Verbal Strike

Consider “Interim China Deal” To Delay Tariffs…!!!

with

Latest RISK ON Verbal Strikes 

from TRUMP, FED – Powell & Kudlow 

US & China Agree To Resume Trade Talks In October 

FED – Powell Dovish Expectations 

vs

Global & CHINA – US – EU – UK Slowdown  & Recession Risk

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt Mega Danger 

US CHINA TRADE WAR  still formally Active 

BREXIT SAGA 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

with

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

of course Now dominating

BIG WAITING for  FED 

that’s why  Special Focus on

FED Central Strike

FED  Today Verdict & Verbal Predictions

 

N-times…

FED is Not Only US..is Global Central Bank…

which protects

All Global Financial & Monetary System…

 

FED - USD

 

First…ATA from  29.08.2019

” SECULAR ENDING DIAGONAL 

with

New Breaking  F/X VERDUN…

&

Back above Master Key Level 98

Finally  in  Consequence  

Cancel  Earlier AMBUSH 

&

Keeping  Active  Rising Wave 

Back above

Last Months VERDUN Top Zone  98 

after

Strong Defense – Key Level 97.50

Half of July Candlestick   

 

 

&

ATA Tweets…

First of  All

Special ATA  Tweets

 

 

with

DXY  Last 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Second… Present  DXY   Secular  Situation 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Secular View 

First of All

SECULAR ENDING DIAGONAL 

after Activated

Breaking  F/X VERDUN

still above Master Key Levels Zone

98 – 97.75 

Against All Odds 

FED Super Dovish Expectations 

Trump – Powell Big Rate Cut Verbal Strikes 

but with

ECB Help Draghi Super Dovish Last Verdict 

 

Finally  in  Consequence  

still Active  Rising Wave 

with

Master Condition 

No Back under Key Support Zone 98 –  97.75 

( of course EOM )

 

 

DXY Long Term Perspective 

Now dominating

Big Waiting in 98.50 Zone 

for

FED Verdict & Monetary Projections 

that’s why DXY Chart creating for Now

September Monthly Spinning Top Candlestick 

with

Pullback to Key Level 97.75

( September Low for Now 97.86 )

after

Last August Monthly Bearish Pattern 

Hanging Man Candlestick

Earlier July Monthly Bull Large Real Body Candlestick

 

DXY Long & Medium Term View 

Monthly Picture

ConsolidationSpinning Top Candlestick – 98.50 Zone

so  still above

Key Monthly MA ( Moving Averages ) 

Master Support Zone  98 – 97.75 – F/X VERDUN

&

Weekly  Picture

Present Weekly Bull Candlestick 

with

Pullback to Neckline 98 

of

Activated Inverted H&S Pattern 

&

still Active

Monthly MACD Buy Signal 

Weekly MACD Buy Signal

 

 

ATA Research Conclusion

DXY  July  EOM – 98.61

DXY  August  EOM –  98.92 

&

DXY September  Now –  98.40

with

September  Pullback to Key Level  97.75

( September Low for Now 97.86 )

so

Special Focus on 

Secular DXY Present Active  Battlefield 

  97.75 –   98  vs 98.50 – 99 – 100

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Active Monitoring 

DXY  Master Key Levels   98  vs  98.50 

in combination to

US 10Y  Bond Yield – Psychological Key Level

1.50  –  1.80%   –  2.00 %    ( Now 1.775% )

with

still Active Master  Central Questions

What will do FED on September Meeting…!!???

 

with

What will be Next Verbal Strikes of  Powell  & Trump …!!???

vs

How really Dovish will be LAGARDE – ECB New Face..!!???

 

 

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Present  Month September 

 

 

DXY Monthly  Charts :

20.03.2019 – before the FOMC

DXY - M - Secular

 

DXY - M - Secular - Line

22.03.2019 – after the FOMC – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

28.03.2019 – Start European Session 

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

29.03.2019 – EOM – March

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - FocusDXY - M - Secular - Focus - FocusDXY - M - Secular - LineDXY - M - Secular - Line - FocusDXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

10.06.2019 – Before Start American Session 

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

21.06.2019 – after the FOMC Meeting – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus.png

12.07.2019 – after  FED Powell Testimony – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

 

DXY Monthly & Weekly  Charts

30.07.2019 – the Day before  FED  & Powell Verdict  – ( Half of  US Session )

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

 

1.08.2019 – the Day after FED  –  (  Before US Session )

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

9.08.2019 – Week after FED  –  EOW

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

29.08.2019 –  Stronger against all  odds – Trump Number One  

(  Before European Session )

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

18.09.2019 – FED Day   –  ( Before US Session )

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

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