Bloomberg Commodity Index – Secular Horizon in Shadows of USD & COVID-19…

Bloomberg Commodity Index – Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

23.04.2012 – CRB – Kierunkowskaz dla EM…

&

27.09.2015 – CRB – IT’S NOW OR NEVER…

9.12.2015 – CRB – USD IS THE COMMODITIES KEY

with

ATA Following …

DXY

20.01.2019 –  DXY – NO F/X CAPITULATION…

OIL

10.04.2020 – OIL – Secular View after Saudi-Russia Dust Down…

COPPER 

11.04.2020 – DR COPPER – Perfect Hitting the Bear Target…

 

Bloomberg Commodity Index  Present Main Motives

Global Slowdown or Recession Extreme High Risk

vs

Central Banks & Governments Rescue Actions 

with

Global Coronavirus Pandemic – still High Risk 

Wuhan Exodus Extreme – Coronavirus Second Wave Risk

&

USD Master F/X  Vector for  Commodities 

 

FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swan

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

&

FED “Central Printing Projection”

Balance Sheet  Skyrocket Rising

 

Wall Street Factor  for  Commodities 

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

CRB - Bloomberg

 

Present  Bloomberg Commodity Index  Situation

COMMODITIES INDEX  SECULAR PERSPECTIVE

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN  SECULAR  ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Monthly View 

First of All  All Time

Secular Horizontal  Range 

Under Secular Horizon Lows Zone  1999 – 2016 Years 

74 – 75 ( Line Chart )

72 – 73  ( Candle Chart )

with

Psychological Key Level 70 

 

ATA Bloomberg Commodity Index  Secular Research 

After

First…Created

Major All Time High Top before Lehman

Second…Activated

Major Bear Reversal Pattern – 2B  – 2008 year 

H&S Pattern – 2009 – 2014 years

Last Hybrid H&S – 2016 – 2020 years 

&

Break Down Secular Trendline 

Dynamic Waterfall Shot 

Test  lower Psychological Key Level 60

( low 59.08 – March 2020 )

Now dominating

Stopping  Wave Down 

with

Bull Contraction 

Back above Key Level 63 – Test 63.50 Zone 

vs

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

inside of Secular Triangle 

 

Bloomberg Commodity Index  Battlefield 

59-60  vs  63.50-65  70 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

September 2016 Low Zone  &  Trendline 

Psychological Key Levels  70  & 75 

vs

Last Low Zone

Psychological Key Level  60

with

Open RISK OF Option – Bear Wave Continuation 

Strike under Key Level  60

vs

Open RISK ON Option – Strong Bull Wave Activation 

Dynamic back above Key Levels  70  &  75 

&

Research New Pattern

Classical   Candlestick 

and of course

New Global USD Moves – DXY Direction 

with

New Coronavirus News

New Global Macro Economy News 

vs

Governments & Central Banks Helping Strikes 

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important s Final Smart money Reaction…

EOM – Now April 

 

 

Bloomberg Commodity Index Monthly  Charts:

23.04.2012

CRB -2015

29.07.2015

CRB -7-2015

9.12.2015 

CRB -12-2015

9.04.2020 – EOD

CRB -M Line

CRB -M

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