OIL – Back under September 2019 Top vs IRAN Rising Risk…

OIL  –  All Time  on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

2019 Last

15.12.2019 –  OIL – No Black Gold Ecstasy after OPEC OPEC+ & Aramco Double Super Impact…

2020 First

5.01.2020 –  OIL – IRAN Black Gold Strike…

 

Present  OIL  Key Motives

Latest  IRAN RISK OFF Motives

 

US Strike – Global Geopolitical RISK OFF Factor

Airstrike – Killed one of Iran Most Powerful Generals

 

Trump Warns Iran

52 Iranian Targets will be Hit if Tehran retaliates against US

 

Iran Uranium Limits Decision – Risk Rising Factor

” No Longer Observe Any Limits ” on Uranium Enrichment

 

IRAN New Top Military Commander Emails Ghaani

Verbal Warning Strike 

“Remove America from Region”

 

IRAN Warning – 13 US ” Historic Nightmare” Scenarios

13 Danger US Scenarios for Killing General Soleimani

 

vs

still Active

NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE 

Wall Street sill in  January All Time Highs Zone

USD  Rising Contraction

&

OIL 

Now dominating

Shot Down 

like

Earlier  after  Saudi Aramco Drone Strike 

with

Back under 

September 2019 Top Zone  Key Level 63 USD

even after

IRAN Last Activated Geopolitical Risk 

&

US – CHINA  TRADE  SAGA  

Phase One Trade Deal Done

BREXIT  SAGA 

UK General Election-UK PM Johnson Win

&

MAINSTREAM MEDIA WALL STREET ECSTASY 

FED – Master Central Factor 

NEW EASING WAVE ” NOT QE4 ” 

vs

TIME GAME 2020 Scenario

with

MAIN CENTRAL BANKS DOVISH 

vs

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

GLOBAL EQUITIES & BONDS SELL OFF HIGH RISK 

Global & CHINA – US – EU – UK Slowdown  & Recession Risk

with

SYRIA –  LIBYA – TURKEY ,  IRAN  & North Korea 

special

IRAN Last Activated  Geopolitical Risk 

 

OIL - 13

 

First…ATA  from  5.01.2020

Now still dominating

Rising Wave 

EOW above Psychological Key Level  60 USD 

&

Testing Higher Resistance Zone 

September 2019 Top 63-63.38 USD 

created on

Saudi Aramco  Drone Strike 

vs

No Dynamic Bull Move 

above Key Level 63  USD   

 

&

ATA  latest OIL-IRAN  Tweets…

 

 

Second…Present  OIL  Situation 

OIL MEDIUM TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN MEDIUM TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

After

First…Activated Last W Pattern

Key Level  55 USD 

Second…Dynamic Shot Up 

Third…Test September 2019 Top

Key Levels 63-63.38 USD  Zone

with

Strike to Key Level 65 USD Zone 

on

Last Motives 

First...OPEC & OPEC+ Cut

Aramco Super Debut & Rising 

Second… Present IRAN Geopolitical Risk Off Strikes

Now dominating

Shot Down & Bear Contraction 

with

Back under  September 2019 Top

Key Levels 63-63.38 USD 

created on

Saudi Aramco  Drone Strike 

vs

still above Psychological Key Level  60 USD 

with

Activated

New Daily 2B Pattern

Key Levels 63.38  & 63 USD 

&

Risk of Future Active Bear Reversal

2B Pattern – Key Level 60 USD 

&

Active Risk of  Bear Reversal Patterns 

Daily Ending Diagonal 

Key Level  62 USD 

&

H5 Inverted Ending Diagonal 

Key Level  61.30 USD 

with Present

Weekly Bear Candlestick 

Daily 2 Bears Candlesticks

vs

MACD Weekly & Daily Buy Signals

but with

MACD H5 Sell Signal

 

 

OIL Present Battlefield 

58.50-59.50  60   vs   63-66  USD

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now  still Special Focus on

Next News from US & IRAN & Smart Money Strike 

&

58.50-59.50  60   vs   63-66  USD  Zone 

with

FIB RET  Big Wave Down 

Special  88.6%

( Daily Chart )

vs

FIB RET  Last Wave Up

Special  23.6% & 38.2% 

( H5 Chart )

 

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…Monday H1-H4 -EOD

Second…EOD-s & EOW-s

Final…EOM – January

 

by the Black Gold way

don’t forget

Oil  – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…

OIL WARNING

Wall Street still on January All Time High Zone 

vs

OIL

still under Lower Price Zone 

&

Back under September 2019 Top  63-63.38 USD 

created on

Saudi Aramco  Drone Strike 

 

 

OIL Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H5  Charts :

13.12.2019 – EOW  (  Futures Present Active Series  59.77 USD ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

3.01.2020 – EOW 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

7.01.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

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