OIL – All Time on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
OIL – Long Term & Secular Perspective
2019 Last
15.12.2019 – OIL – No Black Gold Ecstasy after OPEC OPEC+ & Aramco Double Super Impact…
2020
5.01.2020 – OIL – IRAN Black Gold Strike…
7.01.2020 – OIL – Back under September 2019 Top vs IRAN Rising Risk…
13.01.2020 – OIL – Dynamic Fall on No IRAN War Euphory…
9.03.2020 – OIL – BLACK ABYSS…
2.04.2020 – OIL – Black Gold Secular Perspective vs Present China Rescue Strike…
10.04.2020 – OIL – Secular View after Saudi-Russia Dust Down…
13.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon vs OPEC+ Game of Interests with “Historic” Deal…
19.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Perspective vs Mega Contango…
20.04.2020 – OIL – Black Gold Waterfall striking Secular Trendline in Flash of Mega Contango…
25.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Perspective after Minsky Moment…
3.05.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon in Goldman Sachs Tactic Schizophrenia Shadow …
17.05.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon – Hitting Goldman Sachs Target…
7.06.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon – Bull Show…
23.08.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon – Knocking on Black Floor…
5.09.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon – Back to Black Line…
Present Master OIL Motives
Present Active
Wall Street SELL OFF
Global Economy Warnings
Second COVID-19 Strike Scenario
after
Last Pandemic Warning & Panic
vs
Present COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes
Global Recovery Hopes
created by Mainstream
with
Main Central Banks ” Mega Printing ”
vs
Pandemic Second Wave Fear Strikes Back
vs
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
with
Afterpandemic New Reality
EUROZONE & US – Global Economy Reopen
Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections
FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
Wall Street Factor for OIL
still High Probability
of
2000 Year DOT.COM Bubble Burst DEJA VU Scenario
or even
1929 Great Depression
with
Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning
Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse
Tech Bubble High Risk
GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK
First…ATA from 5.09.2020
” OIL Present Battlefield
Present Oil Contract Serie – CME October
38 vs 40 – 42.30-50 USD
with
Psychological Key Level 40 USD “
Second…Present OIL Secular Situation
OIL SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN SECULAR ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
Charts have No Temperature
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
Monthly View
First of All
All Time Active even after April – CME May Fut 2020 Minsky Moment
Major Oil Patterns
Last Main Secular Falling Wedges
2 Wedges : Falling & Inverted ( Line Chart )
with special
Pattern Inception
New Long Term Inverted Falling Wedge ( Line Chart )
Lower Edge – Key Level 18.50 USD
with
Larger Inverted Wedge – Lower Edge – Key Level 13 USD
( Line Chart )
&
Secular Rising Trendlines
Key Levels 12.50 – 13 USD Zone ( Line Chart )
Key Levels 14-15 USD Zone ( Candlestick Chart )
of course with
Secular Major Lows
OIL MAGIC TEN
1986 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 9.75 )
1999 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 10.35 )
ATA OIL Secular Research
Secular Falling Wedge & Secular Trendline still ON
after Tested
Lower Edge – New Long Term Inverted Falling Wedge
Lower Edge – Key Level 18.50 USD
with Earlier
Second Test – W Pattern – ” Magic Ten ” – Key Level 10 USD
&
Rising above Psychological Key Level 30 USD – Goldman Target
with
Back inside Ending Diagonal
&
Latest Testing Neckline – Key Level 42.30 USD H&S Pattern
Now still dominating
Bear Strike & Shot Down
from Neckline – Key Level 42.30 USD H&S Pattern
under Psychological Key Level 40 USD Zone
with
Small Contango
vs
September Monthly Bear Candlestick
and still active
MACD Monthly Sell Signal
OIL Present Battlefield
Present Oil Contract Serie – CME October
38 vs 40 – 42.30-50 USD
with
Psychological Key Level 40 USD
ATA Investment Conclusion
Present Oil Contract Series – CME November
Special Focus on
Psychological Key Level 40 USD
&
Neckline – Key Level 42.30 USD H&S Pattern
with
Research New Pattern
Classical & Candlestick
and of course
New Coronavirus News
New OPEC+, Saudi Arabia, Russia & Central Banks Strike
N – TIMES
F/X Maximes
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOM – September
by the Black Gold way
always remember
Oil – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…
OIL Weekly , Daily & Intraday- H5 Charts
13.12.2019 – EOW ( Futures Present Active Series 59.77 USD )
3.01.2020 – EOW
7.01.2020 ( First Half US Session )
13.01.2020 ( First Half US Session )
OIL Weekly , Daily & Intraday- H4 Charts
9.03.2020 ( First Half US Session )
OIL Monthly Charts
2.04.2020 ( before start US Session )
9.04.2020 – EOD
13.04.2020 – ( before Start European Session )
17.04.2020 – EOD
OIL Monthly Charts
20.04.2020 – OIL CME June ( Start European Session )
21.04.2020 – OIL CME May – EOD – MINSKY MOMENT
24.04.2020 – OIL CME June – EOD
1.05.2020 – OIL CME June – EOD
15.05.2020 – OIL CME June – EOD
5.06.2020 – EOW
21.08.2020 – EOW
4.09.2020 – EOW
24.09.2020 – Assian Session
