OIL – Secular Perspective from 2020 Year Bull Game Changer to 2022 Year Bear Game Changer in Play…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

OIL  –  All Time  on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

OIL – Long Term & Secular Perspective

2019 Last

15.12.2019 –  OIL – No Black Gold Ecstasy after OPEC OPEC+ & Aramco Double Super Impact…

2020 

5.01.2020 –  OIL – IRAN Black Gold Strike…

7.01.2020 –  OIL – Back under September 2019 Top vs IRAN Rising Risk…

13.01.2020 –  OIL – Dynamic Fall on No IRAN War Euphory…

9.03.2020 –  OIL – BLACK ABYSS…

2.04.2020 –  OIL – Black Gold Secular Perspective vs Present China Rescue Strike…

10.04.2020 – OIL – Secular View after Saudi-Russia Dust Down…

13.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon vs OPEC+ Game of Interests with “Historic” Deal…

19.04.2020 –  OIL – Secular Perspective vs Mega Contango…

20.04.2020 –  OIL – Black Gold Waterfall striking Secular Trendline in Flash of Mega Contango…

25.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Perspective after Minsky Moment…

3.05.2020 –  OIL – Secular Horizon in Goldman Sachs Tactic Schizophrenia Shadow …

17.05.2020 –  OIL – Secular Horizon – Hitting Goldman Sachs Target…

7.06.2020 –  OIL – Secular Horizon – Bull Show…

23.08.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon – Knocking on Black Floor…

5.09.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon – Back to Black Line…

24.09.2020 – OIL – Hard Resistance Fighting…

5.10.2020 – OIL – No Black Bulls Power…

2021

17.07.2021 – OIL – Secular Perspective after 2020 Year Bull Game Changer…

Present Master  OIL  Motives

Energy Crisis

Russia – Ukraine War

Biden Russia Oil Ban

Biden Release of US Oil Reserves

and

Inflaction Shock

Stagflation Risk

China Covid Wave – Shanghai Lockdown

Oil Perfect Smart Money Trend Reversal Action

Oil Bulls Market Phases

Bull Wave on Energy Crisis

Bull Acceleration Strike on Russia Invasion

Bull Panic Buying on Warnings of US Russia Oil Ban

Bull Top on Activated Biden Ban of Russia Oil

Oil Bear Reversal Action

Perfect M Pattern Intraday H5 Key Level 130 USD Activated Biden Ban of Russia Oil

Mainstream Panic vs No Bull Strike>130

Oil Bear Wave

Last Bear Action on Biden Order ‘unprecedented’ historic Release of US Oil Reserves

with

Latest Bulls vs Bear Hard Fight in Master Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone

ATA Conclusion

Present Active Factors for Oil Market

Global Energy Crisis Russia – Ukraine War Biden Russia Oil Ban vs Biden Release of US Oil Reserves

with

Wall Street and Global Indexes – Bulls Dynamic Contraction Stopped vs still above War Low Zones

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Global Master Currencies Pathfinder

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone still Stopped 

after

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

Bull Dynamic Contraction  from 13.000 Stopped for Now

VS

Bear Contraction from 15.300 Zone to 14.500 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones still Stopped 

with

Bull Dynamic Strikes Stopped for Now

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone  S&P500 to 4600 Zone

vs

Bear Contractions

DJIA from 35.300 Zone to 34.500 Zone

S&P500 from 4.600 Zone to 4.500 Zone

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

clear example

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

with

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Debt Rising

and

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

with

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Powell More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Taper

ECB

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

ECB Meeting Hawkish

ECB Lagarde Dovish

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

Now Next Dovish vs Meeting Hawkish

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave  New Act  – Try Back to Bull Track  with FX Hard Fight

Bull Reversal Pattern – W Intraday H5 Key Level 97.80

USD Bull New Strike from 97.80 Zone to above Key Level 98.50 on Peace Optimism Gone

after Earlier

USD Bears Strike Back on Russia Ukraine Talks Optimism

Bears Dynamic Strike < 99  Key Level

Bear Reversal Pattern – M Intraday H5 Key Level 99.30

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Reactivation but with FX Hard Fight

Now dominating

Bull  Bear Dynamic Fight in 98.50 Zone

Active Zone Key Levels  98.50  –  98.80

( EOW 98.54 )

First…ATA from  17.17.2021

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Present Oil Contract Series  – CME  August 2021

Special Focus on

Psychological Key Levels 70 and  75  USD

and

Fib Ret

with

Research Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick  Confirm or Cancel

Shooting Star July Monthly Candlestick Pattern

and

M Pattern – Key Level 75 USD Zone

&

ATA OIL Last Key Tweets

Second…Present  OIL Secular  Situation 

OIL SECULAR  SITUATION 

MARKET MODEL IN SECULAR ACTION  

Monthly View 

First of All

Major Oil Patterns even after  April –  CME May Fut 2020 Minsky Moment 

Main Secular 2 Falling Wedges

and

Long Term

Inverted Wedge  ( Line and Candlestick Charts )

with special

Pattern Inception 

&

Secular Bear Trendlines

Upper Edges Main Secular Falling Wedges

Key Levels 55 and 65 USD  ( Line Chart )

Key Level 60 USD ( Candlestick Chart )

of course with

Secular Major Lows 

OIL MAGIC TEN 

1986 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 9.75 )

1999 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 10.35 )

ATA OIL Secular Research

After

First…Activated

Inverted Wedge

Key Level 50 USD   ( Line and Candlestick Monthly Charts )

Main Secular 2 Falling Wedges

Key Levels 55 and 65 USD  ( Line Chart )

Key Level 60 USD ( Candlestick Monthly Chart )

Second…Canceled

M Pattern – Key Level  75 USD

with Activated

Inverted Ending Diagonal  ( Weekly Chart )

Higher Edge – Key Level 85 USD

Lower Edge – Key Level 65 USD

Dynamic Bull Wave

from 65 USD to 130 USD Zone

Bull Strike above 88.6% Fib Ret Secular Bear Wave

Key Level 125 USD Zone ( Candlestick Chart )

Finally…

Skyrocket and Panic Buying Apogeum

Bear Reversal Pattern Intraday ( Intraday H5 Chart )

Perfect M Pattern Intraday H5 Key Level 130 USD Activated Biden Ban of Russia Oil

Mainstream Panic vs No Bull Strike>130

Now dominating

Dynamic Bear Contraction – Back to Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone

Shot Down from 130 USD Zone to Lower 100 USD Zone

Shooting Star March Monthly Candlestick PatternMega Long Upper Shadow

Last Bear Weekly Candlestick

vs

MACD Monthly Weekly Buy Signals

OIL Present Battlefield

Present Oil Contract Serie  – CME  May 2022

65 9095   vs  100-115 120-125 USD

with

Present Master Psychological Key Level 100  USD 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Present Oil Contract Series  – CME  May 2022

Special Focus on

Present Master Psychological Key Level 100  USD

and

Fib Ret Last Big Bull Wave

with

Research Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick  Confirm or Cancel

New War Oil and Global Economy News

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – April

by the Black Gold Way

always remember

Oil  – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…

OIL   Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H5  Charts

13.12.2019 – EOW  (  Futures Present Active Series  59.77 USD ) 

OIL - W
OIL - D
OIL - H5

3.01.2020 – EOW 

OIL - W
OIL - D
OIL - H5

7.01.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W
OIL - D
OIL - H5

13.01.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W
OIL - D
OIL - H5

OIL   Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H4  Charts

9.03.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W
OIL - D
OIL - H4

OIL Monthly Charts

2.04.2020 (  before start  US Session )

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

9.04.2020 – EOD

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

13.04.2020 – ( before Start European Session ) 

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

17.04.2020 – EOD

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

OIL Monthly Charts

20.04.2020 –  OIL CME June  ( Start European Session )

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

21.04.2020 –  OIL CME May  – EOD  – MINSKY MOMENT

OIL - CME - M - May -2020

24.04.2020 –  OIL CME June  – EOD

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M
OIL - M - Focus

1.05.2020 –  OIL CME June  – EOD

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M
OIL - M - Focus

5.05.2020 –  OIL CME June  – EOD

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

5.06.2020 – EOW 

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

21.08.2020 – EOW 

OIL - Secular - M - Line
OIL - Secular - M

4.09.2020 – EOW

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie oil-secular-m-line.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie oil-secular-m.png

24.09.2020 – Assian Session

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie oil-m-line.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie oil-m-focus.png

5.10.2020 – Asian Session

16.07.2021 – EOW

OIL   Monthly Weekly & Intraday- H5  Charts

1.04.2022 – EOW

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