OIL – Secular Horizon – Bull Show…

OIL  –  All Time  on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

OIL – Long Term & Secular Perspective

2019 Last

15.12.2019 –  OIL – No Black Gold Ecstasy after OPEC OPEC+ & Aramco Double Super Impact…

2020 

5.01.2020 –  OIL – IRAN Black Gold Strike…

7.01.2020 –  OIL – Back under September 2019 Top vs IRAN Rising Risk…

13.01.2020 –  OIL – Dynamic Fall on No IRAN War Euphory…

9.03.2020 –  OIL – BLACK ABYSS…

2.04.2020 –  OIL – Black Gold Secular Perspective vs Present China Rescue Strike…

10.04.2020 – OIL – Secular View after Saudi-Russia Dust Down…

13.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon vs OPEC+ Game of Interests with “Historic” Deal…

19.04.2020 –  OIL – Secular Perspective vs Mega Contango…

20.04.2020 –  OIL – Black Gold Waterfall striking Secular Trendline in Flash of Mega Contango…

25.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Perspective after Minsky Moment…

3.05.2020 –  OIL – Secular Horizon in Goldman Sachs Tactic Schizophrenia Shadow …

17.05.2020 –  OIL – Secular Horizon – Hitting Goldman Sachs Target…

with

ATA Following …

DXY

20.01.2019 –  DXY – NO F/X CAPITULATION…

 

Present Master  OIL  Motives

OPEC New Deal – Today Decision 

OPEC and Allies  agree to extend record production cut

Yesterday Friday Oil  rally  ahead of OPEC+ Deal Expectation 

after earlier

OIL Hitting  Goldman Target

and before that

Goldman  Oil  Schizophrenia 

Goldman Sachs Oil Tactic 180 degree Change of Mind

Last

Goldman Sachs – Bullish on Oil

Brent Rallying Back to 30 USD  Q3/2020

vs

Earlier

Goldman Sachs – another Oil Price Crash

 

OIL Mega Run 

on

US – EUROZONE – Global Economy Reopen

U or L – Shaped Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

with

FED Powell Warning 

US W-shaped Recovery too optimistic

 

ATA OIL  Conclusion 

Giants  OIL Smart Money  still in OIL  Play 

OIL Hitting Higher Psychological Target 40 USD Zone 

but with still Active

Perfect RISK OFF Motives  in Oil Strategic Game 

Big OIL Era End –  RISK OFF Scenario 

&

Putin – Russia Bankruptcy  Open Option 

USRR Red Empire Fall  Deja Vu 

George Friedman Russia – Oil Warning

Russia World Biggest Loser from Oil Crash

Geopolitical Reason to Worry

with

USD Master F/X  Vector for OIL 

&

Global Coronavirus Pandemic – still High Risk 

with

Global Slowdown or Recession Extreme High Risk

 

OIL - 44

 

First…ATA  from  17.05.2020 

Present Oil Contract Series  – CME  June & July

First of All

All Time Active even after  CME May Minsky Moment 

Major Oil Patterns

Last Main Secular Falling Wedges

2 Wedges :  Falling & Inverted  ( Line Chart )

with  special

Pattern Inception 

New Long Term Inverted Falling Wedge ( Line Chart )    ”

 

Second…Present  OIL Secular  Situation 

OIL SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN SECULAR ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Present Oil Contract Series  – CME  July  & August 

First of All

All Time Active even after  CME May Minsky Moment 

Major Oil Patterns

Last Main Secular Falling Wedges

2 Wedges :  Falling & Inverted  ( Line Chart )

with  special

Pattern Inception 

New Long Term Inverted Falling Wedge ( Line Chart )

Lower Edge – Key Level 18.50 USD 

with

Larger Inverted Wedge – Lower Edge – Key Level 13 USD 

( Line Chart )

&

Secular Rising Trendlines

Key Levels 12.50 – 13 USD Zone ( Line Chart )

Key Levels 14-15 USD Zone ( Candlestick Chart )

of course with

Secular Major Lows 

OIL MAGIC TEN 

1986 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 9.75 )

1999 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 10.35 )

 

ATA OIL Secular Research 

Secular Falling Wedge & Secular Trendline still ON 

after Tested

Lower Edge – New Long Term Inverted Falling Wedge

Lower Edge – Key Level 18.50 USD 

with Earlier

Second Test – W Pattern – ” Magic Ten ” – Key Level 10 USD 

&

Rising above Psychological Key Level 30 USD – Goldman Target

with

Back inside Ending Diagonal 

Now dominating

Testing Higher Psychological Key Level 40 USD Zone 

vs

still  Shrink  Contango

OIL CME August Contract Futures

Present EOW  39.21  USD

with

May Monthly  Bull Extra Large Real Body Candlestick

but still active

MACD Monthly Sell Signal

 

OIL Present Battlefield 

Present Oil Contract Serie  – CME  June

35 – 38    vs  40 – 45 – 50 USD

with

Psychological Key Levels  30   40   50  USD 

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Present Oil Contract Series  – CME June

Special Focus on

Psychological Key Level  40  USD

with

Research New Pattern

Classical   Candlestick 

and of course

New Coronavirus News

New OPEC+, Saudi Arabia, Russia Central Banks Strikes 

with

Monday  SM  Reaction on  Yesterday Saturday  OPEC Verdict

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – June 

 

by the Black Gold way

always remember

Oil  – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…

 

OIL   Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H5  Charts :

13.12.2019 – EOW  (  Futures Present Active Series  59.77 USD ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

3.01.2020 – EOW 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

7.01.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

13.01.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

OIL   Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H4  Charts :

9.03.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H4

OIL Monthly Charts

2.04.2020 (  before start  US Session )

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

9.04.2020 – EOD

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

13.04.2020 – ( before Start European Session ) 

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

17.04.2020 – EOD

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

 

OIL Monthly Charts

20.04.2020 –  OIL CME June  ( Start European Session )

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

21.04.2020 –  OIL CME May  – EOD  – MINSKY MOMENT

OIL - CME - M - May -2020

24.04.2020 –  OIL CME June  – EOD

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

OIL - M - Focus

1.05.2020 –  OIL CME June  – EOD

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

OIL - M - Focus

15.05.2020 –  OIL CME June  – EOD

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

5.06.2020 – EOW 

OIL - M - Line

OIL - M

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