OIL – All Time on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
OIL – Long Term & Secular Perspective
2019 Last
15.12.2019 – OIL – No Black Gold Ecstasy after OPEC OPEC+ & Aramco Double Super Impact…
2020
5.01.2020 – OIL – IRAN Black Gold Strike…
7.01.2020 – OIL – Back under September 2019 Top vs IRAN Rising Risk…
13.01.2020 – OIL – Dynamic Fall on No IRAN War Euphory…
9.03.2020 – OIL – BLACK ABYSS…
2.04.2020 – OIL – Black Gold Secular Perspective vs Present China Rescue Strike…
10.04.2020 – OIL – Secular View after Saudi-Russia Dust Down…
13.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon vs OPEC+ Game of Interests with “Historic” Deal…
19.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Perspective vs Mega Contango…
20.04.2020 – OIL – Black Gold Waterfall striking Secular Trendline in Flash of Mega Contango…
25.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Perspective after Minsky Moment…
3.05.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon in Goldman Sachs Tactic Schizophrenia Shadow …
17.05.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon – Hitting Goldman Sachs Target…
with
ATA Following …
DXY
20.01.2019 – DXY – NO F/X CAPITULATION…
Present Master OIL Motives
OPEC New Deal – Today Decision
OPEC and Allies agree to extend record production cut
Yesterday Friday Oil rally ahead of OPEC+ Deal Expectation
after earlier
OIL Hitting Goldman Target
and before that
Goldman Oil Schizophrenia
Goldman Sachs Oil Tactic 180 degree Change of Mind
Last
Goldman Sachs – Bullish on Oil
Brent Rallying Back to 30 USD Q3/2020
vs
Earlier
Goldman Sachs – another Oil Price Crash
OIL Mega Run
on
US – EUROZONE – Global Economy Reopen
U or L – Shaped Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections
with
FED Powell Warning
US W-shaped Recovery too optimistic
ATA OIL Conclusion
Giants OIL Smart Money still in OIL Play
OIL Hitting Higher Psychological Target 40 USD Zone
but with still Active
Perfect RISK OFF Motives in Oil Strategic Game
Big OIL Era End – RISK OFF Scenario
&
Putin – Russia Bankruptcy Open Option
USRR Red Empire Fall Deja Vu
George Friedman Russia – Oil Warning
Russia World Biggest Loser from Oil Crash
Geopolitical Reason to Worry
with
USD Master F/X Vector for OIL
&
Global Coronavirus Pandemic – still High Risk
with
Global Slowdown or Recession Extreme High Risk
First…ATA from 17.05.2020
” Present Oil Contract Series – CME June & July
First of All
All Time Active even after CME May Minsky Moment
Major Oil Patterns
Last Main Secular Falling Wedges
2 Wedges : Falling & Inverted ( Line Chart )
with special
Pattern Inception
New Long Term Inverted Falling Wedge ( Line Chart ) ”
Second…Present OIL Secular Situation
OIL SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN SECULAR ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
Present Oil Contract Series – CME July & August
First of All
All Time Active even after April – CME May Fut 2020 Minsky Moment
Major Oil Patterns
Last Main Secular Falling Wedges
2 Wedges : Falling & Inverted ( Line Chart )
with special
Pattern Inception
New Long Term Inverted Falling Wedge ( Line Chart )
Lower Edge – Key Level 18.50 USD
with
Larger Inverted Wedge – Lower Edge – Key Level 13 USD
( Line Chart )
&
Secular Rising Trendlines
Key Levels 12.50 – 13 USD Zone ( Line Chart )
Key Levels 14-15 USD Zone ( Candlestick Chart )
of course with
Secular Major Lows
OIL MAGIC TEN
1986 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 9.75 )
1999 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 10.35 )
ATA OIL Secular Research
Secular Falling Wedge & Secular Trendline still ON
after Tested
Lower Edge – New Long Term Inverted Falling Wedge
Lower Edge – Key Level 18.50 USD
with Earlier
Second Test – W Pattern – ” Magic Ten ” – Key Level 10 USD
&
Rising above Psychological Key Level 30 USD – Goldman Target
with
Back inside Ending Diagonal
Now dominating
Testing Higher Psychological Key Level 40 USD Zone
vs
still Shrink Contango
OIL CME August Contract Futures
Present EOW 39.21 USD
with
May Monthly Bull Extra Large Real Body Candlestick
but still active
MACD Monthly Sell Signal
OIL Present Battlefield
Present Oil Contract Serie – CME June
35 – 38 vs 40 – 45 – 50 USD
with
Psychological Key Levels 30 40 50 USD
ATA Investment Conclusion
Present Oil Contract Series – CME June
Special Focus on
Psychological Key Level 40 USD
with
Research New Pattern
Classical & Candlestick
and of course
New Coronavirus News
New OPEC+, Saudi Arabia, Russia & Central Banks Strikes
with
Monday SM Reaction on Yesterday Saturday OPEC Verdict
N – TIMES
F/X Maximes
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOM – June
by the Black Gold way
always remember
Oil – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…
OIL Weekly , Daily & Intraday- H5 Charts :
13.12.2019 – EOW ( Futures Present Active Series 59.77 USD )
3.01.2020 – EOW
7.01.2020 ( First Half US Session )
13.01.2020 ( First Half US Session )
OIL Weekly , Daily & Intraday- H4 Charts :
9.03.2020 ( First Half US Session )
OIL Monthly Charts
2.04.2020 ( before start US Session )
9.04.2020 – EOD
13.04.2020 – ( before Start European Session )
17.04.2020 – EOD
OIL Monthly Charts
20.04.2020 – OIL CME June ( Start European Session )
21.04.2020 – OIL CME May – EOD – MINSKY MOMENT
24.04.2020 – OIL CME June – EOD
1.05.2020 – OIL CME June – EOD
15.05.2020 – OIL CME June – EOD
5.06.2020 – EOW
