OIL – All Time on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
OIL – Long Term & Secular Perspective
2019 Last
15.12.2019 – OIL – No Black Gold Ecstasy after OPEC OPEC+ & Aramco Double Super Impact…
2020
5.01.2020 – OIL – IRAN Black Gold Strike…
7.01.2020 – OIL – Back under September 2019 Top vs IRAN Rising Risk…
13.01.2020 – OIL – Dynamic Fall on No IRAN War Euphory…
9.03.2020 – OIL – BLACK ABYSS…
2.04.2020 – OIL – Black Gold Secular Perspective vs Present China Rescue Strike…
10.04.2020 – OIL – Secular View after Saudi-Russia Dust Down…
13.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon vs OPEC+ Game of Interests with “Historic” Deal…
19.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Perspective vs Mega Contango…
20.04.2020 – OIL – Black Gold Waterfall striking Secular Trendline in Flash of Mega Contango…
25.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Perspective after Minsky Moment…
3.05.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon in Goldman Sachs Tactic Schizophrenia Shadow …
17.05.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon – Hitting Goldman Sachs Target…
7.06.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon – Bull Show…
23.08.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon – Knocking on Black Floor…
5.09.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon – Back to Black Line…
24.09.2020 – OIL – Hard Resistance Fighting…
5.10.2020 – OIL – No Black Bulls Power…
Present Master OIL Motives
Oil Bull Explosion on Global Economy Recovery Euphory
Long Term Skyrocket Bull Wave
vs
Short term Bear Contraction
with
RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability
Global Equties – special Wall Street
and
Bubble Warnings
Secular Motives
still Active
Wall Street Bull Wave
Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street
Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by Main Central Banks – specially Fed
with
Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream
on
Afterpandemic New Reality
US and Global Economy Reopen
US Earnings Season
vs
RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability
Wall Street and US TECH Overheating Risk
and
Latest Warning Symptoms & Bear Contraction Rising Risk
on
Fed Central Motive
New Double Hawkish vs Dovish Impact
US Inflation Spike Fed QE Taper Hawkish vs Powell Testimony Dovish
Earlier
Fed Meeting Hawkish vs Powell Testimony Dovish
Finally still Active
Fed Verbal Schizophrenia
with
RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability
Global Equties – special Wall Street – Nasdaq – US TECH Risk
Global Debt Rising
US INFLATION Skyrocket
Russia plans to Cut Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO
China & Russia Buying Gold
Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation
New DELTA and LAMBDA COVID Wave
with
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
USD BULL still in Action above Psychological Key Level 92.50 after Latest US Inflation Spike and Powell Testimony
DXY
above Psychological Key Level 90 , still > 92.00 and 92.50
with
Present Bull Strike after Powell Testimony 2-nd Day from 92.30 Zone above Key Level 92.50 ( EOW 92.72 )
and
Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns
with
FED Mega ”Central Printing“
but with
FED Dovish vs Hawkish Verbal Strikes
vs
ECB Mega ” Central Printing” with “MORE” Option
and
Biden Stimulus Ecstasy and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum
but with
New COVID Wave
Newest Lambda Virus Mutation
Delta Virus Mutation from India
New Lockdowns RIKS OFF Strikes
vs
COVID Vaccines Global Hope
with
all time Active
WARNINGS
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash
Stagflationary Debt Crisis
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning
” Epic Bubble ”
“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning
” Mother of All Crashes ”
Rob Subbaraman Nomura
Cassandra Warning Model
vs
COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes
Global Recovery Hopes
created by Mainstream
but with
Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
First…ATA from 5.10.2020
” OIL Present Battlefield
Present Oil Contract Serie – CME October
35 vs 38 – 40 – 42.30-50 USD
with
Psychological Key Levels 35 & 40 USD
and
Neckline – Key Level 42.30 USD H&S Pattern “
Second…Present OIL Secular Situation
OIL SECULAR SITUATION
MARKET MODEL IN SECULAR ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
The Hardest is to be Patient
Trend is Your Friend
Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante
Charts Worth more than 1000 Words
Charts have No Temperature
Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante
Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast
Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…
First…Key Master Motives
Second…Market Technical Patterns
Monthly View
First of All
Major Oil Patterns even after April – CME May Fut 2020 Minsky Moment
Main Secular 2 Falling Wedges
and
Long Term
Inverted Wedge vs H&S ( Line and Candlestick Charts )
with special
Pattern Inception
&
Secular Bear Trendlines
Upper Edges Main Secular Falling Wedges
Key Levels 55 and 65 USD ( Line Chart )
Key Level 60 USD ( Candlestick Chart )
of course with
Secular Major Lows
OIL MAGIC TEN
1986 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 9.75 )
1999 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 10.35 )
ATA OIL Secular Research
After
Dynamic Strong Bull Wave
Strong Game Changer
First…Canceled
H&S Pattern – Neckline – Key Level 42.30 USD
Second…Activated
Inverted Wedge
Key Level 50 USD ( Line and Candlestick Charts )
Main Secular 2 Falling Wedges
Key Levels 55 and 65 USD ( Line Chart )
Key Level 60 USD ( Candlestick Chart )
Finally…Test
2018 Year Top Zone
Key Level 75 USD Zone
61.8% Fib Ret Secular Ber Wave
Key Level 75 USD Zone – stricte 75.61 ( Candlestick Chart )
Now dominating
Short Term Bear Contraction – Back under Psychological Key Level 75 USD
Shot Down from 75 USD Zone to Lower 70 USD Zone
Shooting Star July Monthly Candlestick Pattern
and
M Pattern – Key Level 75 USD Zone Rising Risk
vs
MACD Monthly Buy Signal
OIL Present Battlefield
Present Oil Contract Serie – CME August 2021
50 55-65 70 vs 75 USD
with
Psychological Key Levels 70 and 75 USD
ATA Investment Conclusion
Present Oil Contract Series – CME August 2021
Special Focus on
Psychological Key Levels 70 and 75 USD
and
Fib Ret
with
Research Pattern Classical – Candlestick Confirm or Cancel
Shooting Star July Monthly Candlestick Pattern
and
M Pattern – Key Level 75 USD Zone
and of course
New Coronavirus and Global Economy News
N – TIMES
F/X Maximes
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOM – July
by the Black Gold way
always remember
Oil – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…
OIL Weekly , Daily & Intraday- H5 Charts
13.12.2019 – EOW ( Futures Present Active Series 59.77 USD )
3.01.2020 – EOW
7.01.2020 ( First Half US Session )
13.01.2020 ( First Half US Session )
OIL Weekly , Daily & Intraday- H4 Charts
9.03.2020 ( First Half US Session )
OIL Monthly Charts
2.04.2020 ( before start US Session )
9.04.2020 – EOD
13.04.2020 – ( before Start European Session )
17.04.2020 – EOD
OIL Monthly Charts
20.04.2020 – OIL CME June ( Start European Session )
21.04.2020 – OIL CME May – EOD – MINSKY MOMENT
24.04.2020 – OIL CME June – EOD
1.05.2020 – OIL CME June – EOD
5.05.2020 – OIL CME June – EOD
5.06.2020 – EOW
21.08.2020 – EOW
4.09.2020 – EOW
24.09.2020 – Assian Session
5.10.2020 – Asian Session
16.07.2021 – EOW
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 