OIL – Secular Perspective after 2020 Year Bull Game Changer…

OIL  –  All Time  on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

OIL – Long Term & Secular Perspective

2019 Last

15.12.2019 –  OIL – No Black Gold Ecstasy after OPEC OPEC+ & Aramco Double Super Impact…

2020 

5.01.2020 –  OIL – IRAN Black Gold Strike…

7.01.2020 –  OIL – Back under September 2019 Top vs IRAN Rising Risk…

13.01.2020 –  OIL – Dynamic Fall on No IRAN War Euphory…

9.03.2020 –  OIL – BLACK ABYSS…

2.04.2020 –  OIL – Black Gold Secular Perspective vs Present China Rescue Strike…

10.04.2020 – OIL – Secular View after Saudi-Russia Dust Down…

13.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon vs OPEC+ Game of Interests with “Historic” Deal…

19.04.2020 –  OIL – Secular Perspective vs Mega Contango…

20.04.2020 –  OIL – Black Gold Waterfall striking Secular Trendline in Flash of Mega Contango…

25.04.2020 – OIL – Secular Perspective after Minsky Moment…

3.05.2020 –  OIL – Secular Horizon in Goldman Sachs Tactic Schizophrenia Shadow …

17.05.2020 –  OIL – Secular Horizon – Hitting Goldman Sachs Target…

7.06.2020 –  OIL – Secular Horizon – Bull Show…

23.08.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon – Knocking on Black Floor…

5.09.2020 – OIL – Secular Horizon – Back to Black Line…

24.09.2020 – OIL – Hard Resistance Fighting…

5.10.2020 – OIL – No Black Bulls Power…

Present Master  OIL  Motives

Oil Bull Explosion on Global Economy Recovery Euphory

Long Term Skyrocket Bull Wave

vs

Short term Bear Contraction

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street

and

Bubble Warnings

Secular Motives 

still Active

Wall Street Bull Wave

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

with

Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream

on

Afterpandemic New Reality 

US and Global Economy Reopen

US Earnings Season

vs

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Wall Street and US TECH Overheating Risk 

and

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Contraction Rising Risk

on

Fed Central Motive

New Double Hawkish vs Dovish Impact

US Inflation Spike Fed QE Taper Hawkish vs Powell Testimony Dovish

Earlier

Fed Meeting Hawkish vs Powell Testimony Dovish

Finally still Active

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street – Nasdaq – US TECH Risk 

Global Debt Rising

US INFLATION Skyrocket

Russia plans to Cut Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

New DELTA and LAMBDA COVID Wave

with

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD BULL still in Action above Psychological Key Level 92.50  after Latest US Inflation Spike  and  Powell Testimony

DXY 

above Psychological Key Level 90 still  >  92.00 and 92.50

with

Present Bull Strike after Powell Testimony 2-nd Day  from 92.30 Zone  above Key Level 92.50  ( EOW 92.72 )

and

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

with

FED Mega ”Central Printing“

but with

FED Dovish vs Hawkish Verbal Strikes

vs

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” with “MORE” Option

and

Biden Stimulus Ecstasy and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

but with

New COVID Wave

Newest Lambda Virus Mutation

Delta Virus Mutation from India

New Lockdowns RIKS OFF Strikes

vs

COVID Vaccines Global Hope

with

all time Active

WARNINGS

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

vs

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

but with

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

First…ATA  from  5.10.2020

OIL Present Battlefield 

Present Oil Contract Serie  – CME  October 

35   vs  38 – 40 – 42.30-50 USD

with

Psychological Key Levels 35 & 40  USD 

and

Neckline  – Key Level  42.30 USD H&S Pattern

Second…Present  OIL Secular  Situation 

OIL SECULAR  SITUATION 

MARKET MODEL IN SECULAR ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Master Motives 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

Monthly View 

First of All

Major Oil Patterns even after  April –  CME May Fut 2020 Minsky Moment 

Main Secular 2 Falling Wedges

and

Long Term

Inverted Wedge  vs H&S ( Line and Candlestick Charts )

with special

Pattern Inception 

&

Secular Bear Trendlines

Upper Edges Main Secular Falling Wedges

Key Levels 55 and 65 USD  ( Line Chart )

Key Level 60 USD ( Candlestick Chart )

of course with

Secular Major Lows 

OIL MAGIC TEN 

1986 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 9.75 )

1999 – 10 USD Zone ( Low 10.35 )

ATA OIL Secular Research

After

Dynamic Strong Bull Wave

Strong Game Changer

First…Canceled

H&S PatternNeckline  – Key Level  42.30 USD

Second…Activated

Inverted Wedge

Key Level 50 USD   ( Line and Candlestick Charts )

Main Secular 2 Falling Wedges

Key Levels 55 and 65 USD  ( Line Chart )

Key Level 60 USD ( Candlestick Chart )

Finally…Test

2018 Year Top Zone

Key Level 75 USD Zone

61.8% Fib Ret Secular Ber Wave

Key Level 75 USD Zone – stricte 75.61 ( Candlestick Chart )

Now dominating

Short Term Bear Contraction – Back under Psychological Key Level 75 USD

Shot Down from 75 USD Zone to Lower 70 USD Zone

Shooting Star July Monthly Candlestick Pattern

and

M Pattern – Key Level 75 USD Zone Rising Risk

vs

MACD Monthly Buy Signal

OIL Present Battlefield

Present Oil Contract Serie  – CME  August 2021

50 55-65 70   vs  75 USD

with

Psychological Key Levels 70 and 75  USD 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Present Oil Contract Series  – CME  August 2021

Special Focus on

Psychological Key Levels 70 and  75  USD

and

Fib Ret

with

Research Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick  Confirm or Cancel

Shooting Star July Monthly Candlestick Pattern

and

M Pattern – Key Level 75 USD Zone

and of course

New Coronavirus and Global Economy News

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – July

by the Black Gold way

always remember

Oil  – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…

OIL   Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H5  Charts

13.12.2019 – EOW  (  Futures Present Active Series  59.77 USD ) 

OIL - W
OIL - D
OIL - H5

3.01.2020 – EOW 

OIL - W
OIL - D
OIL - H5

7.01.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W
OIL - D
OIL - H5

13.01.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W
OIL - D
OIL - H5

OIL   Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H4  Charts

9.03.2020  (  First Half  US Session ) 

OIL - W
OIL - D
OIL - H4

OIL Monthly Charts

2.04.2020 (  before start  US Session )

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

9.04.2020 – EOD

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

13.04.2020 – ( before Start European Session ) 

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

17.04.2020 – EOD

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

OIL Monthly Charts

20.04.2020 –  OIL CME June  ( Start European Session )

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

21.04.2020 –  OIL CME May  – EOD  – MINSKY MOMENT

OIL - CME - M - May -2020

24.04.2020 –  OIL CME June  – EOD

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M
OIL - M - Focus

1.05.2020 –  OIL CME June  – EOD

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M
OIL - M - Focus

5.05.2020 –  OIL CME June  – EOD

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

5.06.2020 – EOW 

OIL - M - Line
OIL - M

21.08.2020 – EOW 

OIL - Secular - M - Line
OIL - Secular - M

4.09.2020 – EOW

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie oil-secular-m-line.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie oil-secular-m.png

24.09.2020 – Assian Session

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie oil-m-line.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie oil-m-focus.png

5.10.2020 – Asian Session

16.07.2021 – EOW

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