Evergrande – Today on ATA Research Radar
Evergrande Master Key Motives
China Real Estate Giant Debt Problems
misses payment deadline on dollar bond interest
Collapse Extreme Risk
Collapse could pose Systematic Risk to China Financial System and reverberate around the world
” Next Lehman “ Risk
Evergrande the next Lehman Brothers Risk creating by Mainstream Media
vs
PBOC Central Motive
PBOC Rescue Move – PBOC injects cash into China banking system
with
Secular Motives
still Active
Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN – Master Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq
Wall Street Last September ATH
vs
Latest Bear and Bull Short Term Strikes
on
China Evergrande Motive
DEBT RISK ON/OFF News Day by Day
from Panic to Bull Contraction and Back to Sell Off
and
Warning Symptoms
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating
RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk
Rising Probability
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk
Latest Warning Symptoms & Bear Harder Contraction Rising Risk
BUBBLE WARNINGS
Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis
Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime
Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts
Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.
“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market
BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell
Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession
” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash
Stagflationary Debt Crisis
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning
” Epic Bubble ”
“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning
” Mother of All Crashes ”
Rob Subbaraman Nomura
Cassandra Warning Model
Palantir Gold Bet Warning
Preparing for Future More Black Swans
BLACK SWANS
Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
Secular Motives
Wall Street Bull Strong – Dynamic Wave Active – Last ATH
Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street
Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by Main Central Banks – specially Fed
Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns
vs
COVID Variants Waves
DELTA ; LAMBDA , KAPPA and Newest Mu Mutation Strikes
Global Debt Rising
US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket
Fed vs ECB Central Motive
Fed and ECB Mega ”Central Printing“
European QE > US QE
Fed No Taper and ECB No Taper for Now
Fed
Fed Meeting Hawkish Scenario
Taper Start November 2021 – Ending Mid-2022 , Signals Rate-Hike In 2022
Finally for Now
US Macro and Taper ” Ping Pong ”
Fed Time Game in ” Printing World ”
Fed Verbal Schizophrenia Continuation – from Dovish to Hawkish
ECB
MORE EUROPEAN QE Scenario
ECB to Weigh QE Boost when Covid Bond Buys End
ECB Lagarde Verdict
more Dovish than Hawkish Strike
Not Eurozone Tapering vs Recalibrating PEPP ( Pandemic Stimulus )
with
ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Now still dominating
Dollar Index Bull Wave Cont. still above Major Psychological Key Level 93
with
Present Bull Bear Fight in Higher 93.30
Active Zone Key Levels 93 vs 93.30 -93.50
( Now 93.27 )
ATA Key Tweets
Present Evergrande Situation
EVERGRANDE SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
The Hardest is to be Patient
Trend is Your Friend
Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante
Charts Worth more than 1000 Words
Charts have No Temperature
Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante
Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast
Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
First of All
ATH 30 HKD Zone – October 2017
in
Long Term 4.236% Fib Ext Zone
First Bull Wave from May 2010 Low to May 2015 High
ATA Conclusion
Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante
After
Activated
Monthly Bear Reversal Pattern
Bear Engulfing Pattern – November 2017
Start Forming
Monthly
Falling Inverted Diagonal
November 2017 – July 2020
Test
Upper Edge Falling Inverted Diagonal
Key Level 22.80 HKD
Activated
Monthly Bear Patterns
Shooting Star
Very Long Upper Shadow July 2020
2B Pattern
Psychological Key Level 22 HKD – December 2019 – August 2020
Waterfall Pattern from 22 HKD Zone to 2 HKD Zone
with
” Rock Shelf ” 16.50 – 14.80 HKD Zone
5 Months November 2020 – March 2021
and
Weekly Triangle Pattern
Lower Edge – Key Level 14 HKD 29 March 2021
Finally
Test
Lower Psychological Key Level 2 HKD Zone
( stricte 2.06 )
vs
Last Bull Contraction to 2.30 – 3 HKD Zone
( EOW 2.36 )
with
September Monthly Bear Candlestick – Super Large Real Body
Weekly Bear Candlestick – Upper nad Lower Shadow
Latest
Daily Candlesticks Lower Shadows vs Upper Shadow
with
Mega Volumen Monthly Weekly and Daily
ATA Evergrande Investment Conclusion
Focus on
Evergrande Battlefield
Active Master Psychological Key Levels Zone 2 vs 3 HKD
ATA Market Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE
vs
MAJOR BOTTOMS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS
with
PANIC PHASE
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
never forget
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
EOM – Now September
Evergrande Monthly Weekly Charts
24.09.2021 – EOW
