NVIDIA – Bearish Dynamic Strike Back 2022 from Bullish Extreme Chip Space 2021…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

NVIDIA  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2017- 2019

10.06.2017  –  NVIDIA – NASDAQ TOWERING INFERNO…

10.11.2018 –  NVIDIA – NASDAQ REAL TOWERING INFERNO …

28.07.2019 –  NVIDIA – Waiting for Strike…

9.10.2019 –  NVIDIA – under Pressure…

2020

8.05.2020 –  NVIDIA – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extensions – May 2020…

9.06.2020 – NVIDIA – Bulls Knocking on Market Heavens Door…

26.06.2020 –  NVIDIA – Bulls Harder Knocking on Market Heavens Door…

20.07.2020 –  NVIDIA – Fighting on Higher Tech Orbit…

5.08.2020 – NVIDIA – Chip Space Horizon…

2021

12.06.2021 – NVIDIA – Into the Chip Space…

with

ATA Following…

Philadelphia Semiconductor Index

28.08.2022 – Philadelphia Semiconductor Index – from Bear Reversal Risk 2021 – Global Chip Shortage Panic to Bear Reversal and Bear Wave 2022 on Global Chip Oversupply…

Apple

10.09.2022 – APPLE – iPhone 14 Launch Event in Ending Diagonals and Fibonacci Shadows…

APPLE/S&P500 Ratio

11.09.2022 – APPLE/S&P500 RATIO – Apple Shining Capitalisation Equivalent to 180 Stocks in Loosing Momentum Risk Shadow…

Microsoft

17.09.2022 – MICROSOFT – from Bear Pattern 2021 to Bear Impact 2022 in Fibonacci Shadow…

Amazon

18.09.2022 – AMAZON – from Bear Warning 2021 to Bear Strike 2022 and Finally Secular Bearish Game Changer Warning …

Tesla

24.09.2022 – TESLA – Split Bullish Motive in Smart Money Game – Bulls Hard Fight above June-July 2022 Low Zone…

ALPHABET ( Google )

25.09.2022 – ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – from Risk of Bull Skyrocket Fly End – 2021 to Bear Hard Impact – 2022…

Meta ( Facebook )

1.10.2022 – Meta – Zuckerberg Gotterdammerung 2022 after Contrarian Warning 2021…

Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario

19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…

15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…

8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!

Polish Stocks

14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…

NVIDIA  Master Motives

First of All

Nvidia Stock 4-to-1 Split July 20 2021

Nvidia 8th Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and 14th in S&P500

2022 Global Chips Oversupply

after

2021 Mainstream Panic Global Chips Shortage and Hunting – Strong Global Tech – Chips Demand

Nvidia Earnings Q2/2022 – August 24 2022

Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg

Revenue: $6.7 billion versus $6.7 billion expected

Adj. EPS: $0.51 versus $0.53 expected

Data Center: $3.8 billion versus $3.8 billion expected

Gaming: $2.0 billion versus $2.0 billion expected

Nvidia Stocks Action 

Quarterly View

after 4-to-1 Split July 20 2021

Activated Ending Diagonal Bearish Pattern  

Bull Trap – Upper Edge Key Level 300 USD

Lower Edge Key Level 275 USD

Back inside Secular Bull Channel

ahead of Test

1st Secular Bull Channel Lower Trendline  – Key Level 95 USD

2nd 2018 Year Top – Key Level 70-73 USD Zone

with

Global Risk Off Waves Action Acceleration after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off Active Cont.

Stocks Sell Off Active Cont.

Wall Street Risk Off Wave Active –  Testing June 2022 Lows

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Active  for Now

with

Present Bear Wave – Strike Cont. –  Test June 2022 Low

on

Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally 

Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK OFF – September Fib Ret – Back to  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Warnings  and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Latest Bear Hard Strike Back

on Friday Triple Witch Day

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Active for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone – Cancel Last Summer Bull Wave

with

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

vs

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike – Test 11.000 Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Bear Hard Strike under  June 2022 Low 29.500 Zone – Cancel Last Summer Bull Wave

with

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

vs

Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike under  29.000 Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone – Cancel Last Summer Bull Wave

with

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

vs

Ahead of Test  50% Fib Ret 3.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike under 3.600 

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish still Active – 75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

China Central Bank Verbal Intervention

Warning on Speculation against Yuan

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave  Stopped and Cooling Strike – after Latest Acceleration New Higher  Overheat Extreme Risk Zone – 20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )

Long Term Bulls  FX Wave Stopped after Latest  Acceleration

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow

( confirmed – EOM )

with

Last

Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50

Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 111.70 

Test Key Level 111.70 – 30% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave

vs

Latest

Bull Strike Back above Key Level 112

still  above July/22 Top 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Dynamic Acceleration after Latest Stopped – Cooling

( July High 109.30 – September High 113 Zone stricte 113.228 )

with

Present USD Domination Stopped and Cooling

Bears FX short term Strike from Higher 115 Zone to 112 Zone

Key Levels   110110.80 111.80-112  vs 113 – 113.30  Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels    110110.80  111.80-112  vs  113 114.80 – 115

( EOW 112.17 )

First…ATA from  12.06.2021

before Split July 2021

Earlier 800 USD Zone – Now 200 USD Zone

” Now  dominating

New Bull Wave above Upper Edge Zone 

all time above Trend Channel  – Upper Line 450 USD Zone 

Rising above New Higher Psychological Key Level 700 USD Zone 

in

New Bull Channel

Upper Edge – Key Level 900 USD

Lower Edge – Key Level 550 USD

but with

Test Fib Ext Node 2.% – 2.058% – Key Levels 700 – 720 USD Zone

Open Option

Higher Fib Ext 800 – 900 and 1000 USD Zone

and

ATA Central Banks Master Tweet

Second…Present  NVIDIA  Situation 

NVIDIA  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

First of All

New All Time High    350 USD Zone November 2021

( stricte 346.77 )

Quarterly & Monthly View 

After

1st Bullish Skyrocket from 30 USD Zone to 350 USD Zone

2018 – 2021 Years Horizon

2nd Test Fib Ext Nodes of Two Main Bulls Waves

4.23% – 4.414% Secular Bulls Wave from Lehman Panic Low 335-348 USD Zone

2% – 2.058% Long Term Bulls Wave from 2018 Year Low 348-355 USD Zone

Finally Activated

Quarterly Bearish Ending Diagonal

Bull Trap – Upper Edge Key Level 300 USD

Break Down – Lower Edge Key Level 275 USD

Bearish Dynamic Trend and Waterfall Pattern

Now  still dominating

Bear Destructive Wave

ahead of Test

Quarterly

1st Secular Bull Channel Lower Trendline  – Key Level 95 USD

2nd 2018 Year Top – Key Level 70-73 USD Zone

Monthly

Covid Panic Low 115 USD Zone

Fib Ret Node 78.6% – 88.6% – Key Levels 98 – 67 USD Zone

with

Quarterly Q2 Q3 Bear Candlesticks

Monthly September Bear Candlestick

MACD Quarterly Buy Signal vs Near to Active Sell Signal

MACD Monthly Sell Signal

NVIDIA  Battlefield

67-70-73 95 – 100 115  vs 130 150 – 180 USD

ATA  NVIDIA Investment Conclusion 

Now Special Focus on

Present Range 

67-70-73 95 – 100 115  vs 130 150 – 180 USD

Fib Ret-s

Research New Classic and Candlestick Patterns Confirm or Cancel

with Next

Meta US Big Tech Nasdaq News   

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and

Most Important Final Smart Money Reaction…

EOM – Now October  and EOQ – Q4/2022EOY 2022

NVIDIA Quarterly  & Monthly  Charts

10.06.2017

NVIDIA - Q

9.11.2018 

NVIDIA - M - 1
NVIDIA - M - 2

26.07.2019 – EOW 

NVDA - Q
NVDA - M
NVDA - M - Fib Ret

9.10.2019 – ( Second Half US Session )

NVDA - Q
NVDA - M
NVDA - M - Fib Ret

NVIDIA   Monthly  Charts

7.05.2020  – EOD

NVIDIA - M - Fib Ext

NVIDIA Quarterly  Charts

8.06.2020 – EOD

NVDA - Q

25.06.2020 – EOD 

NVDA - Q

17.07.2020 – EOW 

NVIDIA - Q

4.08.2020 – EOD 

NVDA - Q

NVIDIA Quarterly  & Monthly  Charts

11.06.2021 – EOW

30.09.2022 – EOM -EOQ

Meta – Zuckerberg Gotterdammerung 2022 after Contrarian Warning 2021…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Meta ( Facebook ) –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2018

21.03.2018  –  FACE OFF – FACEBOOK GOES DOWN…

11.11.2018 –  FACEBOOK – FACE OFF Continuation…

2019

27.07.2019 –  FACEBOOK – Risky Top Zone Attack…

2020

2.05.2020 – Facebook – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extensions – May 2020…

21.05.2020 –  Facebook – E-Commerce Strike…

21.06.2020 –  Facebook – Social Bulls on the Run…

27.07.2020 – Facebook – Advertising Espace…

2021

1.08.2021 – Facebook – Wall Street Analysts Enthusiasm – Contrarian Warning…

26.10.2021 – Facebook – from Contrarian Warning to Real Bear Strike with Fibonacci Ret Test…

2022

5.02.2022 – Meta – from Contrarian Warning and First Bear Strike to Waterfall…

with

ATA Following…

Apple

10.09.2022 – APPLE – iPhone 14 Launch Event in Ending Diagonals and Fibonacci Shadows…

APPLE/S&P500 Ratio

11.09.2022 – APPLE/S&P500 RATIO – Apple Shining Capitalisation Equivalent to 180 Stocks in Loosing Momentum Risk Shadow…

Microsoft

17.09.2022 – MICROSOFT – from Bear Pattern 2021 to Bear Impact 2022 in Fibonacci Shadow…

Amazon

18.09.2022 – AMAZON – from Bear Warning 2021 to Bear Strike 2022 and Finally Secular Bearish Game Changer Warning …

Tesla

24.09.2022 – TESLA – Split Bullish Motive in Smart Money Game – Bulls Hard Fight above June-July 2022 Low Zone…

ALPHABET ( Google )

25.09.2022 – ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – from Risk of Bull Skyrocket Fly End – 2021 to Bear Hard Impact – 2022…

Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario

19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…

15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…

8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!

Polish Stocks

14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…

Meta  Key Motives

First of All

Meta 7th Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and 12th in S&P500

Mark Zuckerberg Warnings

“one of the worst downturns that we’ve seen in recent history,”

” Meta short-term future faces a serious cloud cover and impending storm “

Meta Platforms Pauses Hiring, Warns of Restructuring

During 3rd Quarter Meta shares have fallen some 15%,

drop of $57.5 Billion in Market Value from July through September

Meta Earnings Q2/2022 – July 27 2022

Meta Revenue shrank for the first time in its history

Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg

Revenue: $28.8 billion versus $28.9 billion expected

Earnings per share: $2.46 versus $2.54 expected

Facebook daily active users: 1.97 billion versus 1.95 billion expected

Meta Stocks Action 

Monthly View

Bearish Dynamic Hard Wave Continuation

Break Down Secular Bull Trendline – Key Level 195 USD

Test 2018 Year Low Zone – Key Levels 123 – 128 USD

with

Global Risk Off Waves Action Acceleration after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off Active Cont.

Stocks Sell Off Active Cont.

Wall Street Risk Off Wave Active –  Testing June 2022 Lows

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Active  for Now

with

Present Bear Wave – Strike Cont. –  Test June 2022 Low

on

Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally 

Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK OFF – September Fib Ret – Back to  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Warnings  and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Latest Bear Hard Strike Back

on Friday Triple Witch Day

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Active for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone – Cancel Last Summer Bull Wave

with

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

vs

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike – Test 11.000 Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Bear Hard Strike under  June 2022 Low 29.500 Zone – Cancel Last Summer Bull Wave

with

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

vs

Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike under  29.000 Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone – Cancel Last Summer Bull Wave

with

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

vs

Ahead of Test  50% Fib Ret 3.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike under 3.600 

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish still Active – 75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

China Central Bank Verbal Intervention

Warning on Speculation against Yuan

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave  Stopped and Cooling Strike – after Latest Acceleration New Higher  Overheat Extreme Risk Zone – 20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )

Long Term Bulls  FX Wave Stopped after Latest  Acceleration

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow

( confirmed – EOM )

with

Last

Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50

Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 111.70 

Test Key Level 111.70 – 30% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave

vs

Latest

Bull Strike Back above Key Level 112

still  above July/22 Top 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Dynamic Acceleration after Latest Stopped – Cooling

( July High 109.30 – September High 113 Zone stricte 113.228 )

with

Present USD Domination Stopped and Cooling

Bears FX short term Strike from Higher 115 Zone to 112 Zone

Key Levels   110110.80 111.80-112  vs 113 – 113.30  Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels    110110.80  111.80-112  vs  113 114.80 – 115

( EOW 112.17 )

First…ATA from  5.02.2022

” Now still dominating

Dynamic Bear Wave

with Latest

Waterfall Pattern

from Fib Ext Key Level 380 USD Zone to  Lower 230 USD Zone

and

Test 61.8% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave 2020 – 2021

Key Level 230 USD Zone

Meta  Present Battlefield

Key Levels  190-200 230   vs  244-255 275  USD 

and

ATA Meta FB and Central Banks Master Tweets

Second…Present  Meta  Situation 

META LONG TERM PERSPECTIVE

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION 

First of All

September 2021 All Time High Key Level 385 USD Zone

( stricte 384.33 )

Monthly View 

Three Months Test Key Level 380 USD Zone

( July August September 2021 )

Long Term Strong Bull Trend Stopped

After

First…

Test 1.272% Fib Ext – Key Level 380 USD Zone

Second…

Activated Bear Reversal Pattern – 2021 Year

2B  Key Level 380 USD

Now still dominating

Dynamic Bear Wave

with

Waterfall Pattern Continuation

from Fib Ext Key Level 380 USD Zone to  Lower 135 USD Zone

Ahead of Test

1st 68.5% Fib Ret Big Bull Wave 2012 – 2021 – Key Level 130 USD Zone ( stricte 133 USD )

2nd 2018 Year Low Zone 120 USD ( stricte 123 USD )

and

Daily Ending Diagonal Pattern

Lower Edge – Key Level 130 USD Zone

with

Monthly

September Bear Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body

MACD Monthly Sell Signal

MACD Daily Sell Signal vs Near to Active Buy

Positive Divergence since February – April 2022

Meta  Present Battlefield

Key Levels  120-130   vs  160 200  USD 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Now Special Focus on

Present Range 

Key Levels  120-130   vs  160 200  USD 

Fib Ret-s

Research New Classic and Candlestick Patterns Confirm or Cancel

with Next

Meta US Big Tech Nasdaq News   

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and

Most Important Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – October

Meta Facebook Weekly Charts

21.03.2018

Your new TVC (8)

9.11.2018

FB-W - 1
FB-W - 2

Facebook  Monthly & Weekly Charts

26.07.2019  – EOW 

Facebook - M
Facebook - W - Line
Facebook - W - Line Focus

Facebook  Monthly  Charts

6.05.2020  – EOD

Facebook - M - Fib Ext

Facebook  Monthly & Weekly  Charts

20.05.2020 – EOD 

Facebook - M
Facebook - M - Fib Ext
Facebook - W - Line
Facebook - W

Facebook  Monthly  Charts

19.06.2020 – EOW 

Facebook - M
Facebook - M - Fib Ext

Facebook  Monthly  Charts

26.07.2020 – EOW 

Facebook - M - Fib Ext

20.07.2021 – EOM

25.10.2021 – EOD

Meta  Monthly  and Daily Charts

4.02.2022 – EOW

30.09.2022 – EOM

ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – from Risk of Bull Skyrocket Fly End – 2021 to Bear Hard Impact – 2022…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

ALPHABET –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

ALPHABET

2019

25.04.2019 –  ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – Searching the Top…

27.07.2019 –  ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – Fighting on the Edge…

29.10.2019 –  ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – INVESTMENT STATUS QUO…

2020

7.05.2020 –  ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extensions – May 2020…

16.05.2020 –  ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – Antitrust Impact…

7.08.2020 – ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – STRATEGIC E-LEARNING MOVE…

2021

13.09.2021 – ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – Rising Risk of Skyrocket Fly End…

with

ATA Following…

Apple

10.09.2022 – APPLE – iPhone 14 Launch Event in Ending Diagonals and Fibonacci Shadows…

APPLE/S&P500 Ratio

11.09.2022 – APPLE/S&P500 RATIO – Apple Shining Capitalisation Equivalent to 180 Stocks in Loosing Momentum Risk Shadow…

Microsoft

17.09.2022 – MICROSOFT – from Bear Pattern 2021 to Bear Impact 2022 in Fibonacci Shadow…

Amazon

18.09.2022 – AMAZON – from Bear Warning 2021 to Bear Strike 2022 and Finally Secular Bearish Game Changer Warning …

Tesla

24.09.2022 – TESLA – Split Bullish Motive in Smart Money Game – Bulls Hard Fight above June-July 2022 Low Zone…

Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario

19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…

15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…

8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!

Polish Stocks

14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…

ALPHABET  Key Motives

First of All

Alphabet Stock 20-to-1 Split July 15 2022

Alphabet 5th Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and S&P500

Alphabet Earnings Q2/2022 – July 26 2022

Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg

EPS $1.21 vs $1.32 expected 

Revenue ex-TAC – or traffic acquisition costs $57.47 billion vs $58.14 billion expected

Revenue totaled $56.29 billion topping the $56.14 billion expected

Google Services Revenue $62.84 billion vs $63.34 billion expected

Alphabet Stocks Action 

Quarterly View

Activated Ending Diagonal Bearish Pattern  – Key Level 150 USD

Back inside Secular Bull Channel

ahead of Test Secular Bull Trendline – Key Level 80 USD

with

Global Risk Off Waves Action Acceleration after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off Active Cont.

Stocks Sell Off Active Cont.

Wall Street Risk Off Wave Active ahead of Test June 2022 Lows

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Active  for Now

with

Present Bear Wave – Strike Cont. – ahead of Test June 2022 Low

on

Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally 

Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK OFF – September Fib Ret – Back to  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Warnings  and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Latest Bear Hard Strike Back

on Friday Triple Witch Day

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Active for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 88.6% Fib Ret 11.300 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone

vs

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

with

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike to  in 11.300-11.000 Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick  vs Long Lower Shadow

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  June 2022 Low 29.500 Zone

vs

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

with

Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 29.800  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike to  29.000 – 29.500  Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick  vs Long Lower Shadow

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 88.6% Fib Ret 3.700 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone

vs

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

with

Test 44.7% Fib Ret 3.650  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike to  3.700 – 3.600  Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick  vs Long Lower Shadow

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish still Active – 75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave  Acceleration after Last Cooling Strike – New Higher  Overheat Extreme Risk Zone – 20 Years High 113 Zone ( stricte 113.228 )

Long Term Bulls   Dynamic FX Wave Acceleration

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body

( most important September EOM )

with

Latest  Short Term Bull FX Strike from 109-110 to 113 Zone

after

1st Test Key Level 107.70 – 50% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave

2nd Bulls Dynamic Strike nad Back above July/22 Top 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Dynamic Acceleration after Latest Stopped – Cooling

( July High 109.30 – September High 113 Zone stricte 113.228 )

with

Present Active Domination

Bulls FX short term Strike to Higher 113 Zone

Key Levels   110110.80 111.80-112  vs 113 – 113.30 Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels    110110.80 111.80-112  vs 113 – 113.30

( EOW 113.02 )

First…ATA from  13.09.2021

before the Split July 2022

Earlier 3000 USD Zone – Now 150 USD Zone

” Now dominating

Secular Mega Strong Bull Trend  New Stopped

with

Bull vs Bear Fight in Psychological Key Levels 2800 – 3000 USD Zone

and

Test Major Higher 1.5% – 1.618% Fib Ext Zone – Key Levels  2840 – 2989 USD

with

Rising Risk of Skyrocket Fly End 

Second…Present ALPHABET  Situation 

ALPHABET  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Quarterly & Monthly View 

First of All

All Time High – November 2021

after 20-to-1 Split July 15 2022

150 USD Zone

( stricte 150.97 )

Quarterly & Monthly View 

After Activated

Fourth Major Bearish Reversal Patterns

1st Quarterly Ending Diagonal

Break down Lower Edge – Key Level 150 USD – Q1/20222

2nd Monthly 2B Pattern

Key Level 148 USD

October – November 2021

3rd Monthly Line H&S Pattern

Neckline – Key Level 135 USD

August 2021 – March 2022

4rh Monthly M Pattern

Key Level 150 USD

November 2021 – February 2022

Now dominating

Strong Bull Wave

Test 50% Fib Ret Bull Big Wave from Covid Panic Low

Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone

under Key Monthly MA

Back inside Quarterly Secular Bull Channel

ahead of Lower Edge – Bull Trend Line – Key Level 80 USD

with

Quarterly Q3 Bear Candlestick – Upper Long Shadow

Monthly September Bear Candlestick

MACD Quarterly still Buy Signal vs Near to Activated Sell

 MACD Monthly Sell Signal

and

Open Bull Scenario

Stop Bear Strike in 50% Fib Ret Bull Big Wave from Covid Panic Low

Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone

Future Activate Invert 2B – Key Level 102 USD – May 2022 Low Zone

vs

Open Bear Continuation Scenario

Next Bear Strike to Lower Key Level 80 USD Zone

68.5% Fib Ret Bull Big Wave from Covid Panic Low – Monthly View

Lower Edge – Bull Trend Line – Quarterly Secular Bull Channel

ALPHABET   Smart Money Battlefield

Psychological Key Levels  80 100  vs  110 – 115 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present ALPHABET Active Zone 

Psychological Key Levels  80 100  vs  110 – 115 USD

Fib Ret-s

Research Patterns  Classical  –  Candlestick  

with Next

Alphabet US Big Tech Nasdaq News   

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and

Most Important Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – September

Finally…EOQ – Q3 – September

Alphabet Monthly Charts

25.04.2019 

Google - M - Line log
Google - M - Line log - Focus
Google - M - Line

Alphabet  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

26.07.2019  – EOW 

Google - Q png
Google - M - Line log
Google - M - Line log - Focus
Google - M
Google - M - Line

29.10.2019  – ( Half  US Session )

Google - Q png
Google - M - Line log
Google - M - Line
Google - M

Alphabet Monthly Charts

15.05.2020 – EOD

Google - M
Google - M - Line

6.08.2020 – EOD 

Google - M
Google - M - Line log

Alphabet  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

10.09.2021 – EOW

Alphabet  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

after STOCK SPLIT   20 : 1  July 2022

23.09.2022 – EOW

TESLA – Split Bullish Motive in Smart Money Game – Bulls Hard Fight above June-July 2022 Low Zone…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

TESLA –  All Time on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

Last

19.12.2020 – TESLA – Welcome to S&P500 World…

2021

1.01.2021 – TESLA – 2020 YEAR MEGA WINNER…

8.01.2021 – TESLA – EV Revolution Discounting above Goldman Sachs Target…

9.02.2021 – TESLA – Smooth Waiting…

10.03.2021 – TESLA – Fibonacci EV Game…

6.04.2021 – TESLA – Q1 Delivery Numbers vs Fibonacci Numbers…

8.05.2021 – TESLA – STALLED…

18.08.2021 – TESLA – ‘Big Short’ Michael Burry Bearish Strike Back…

12.09.2021 – TESLA – Cathie Wood’s Ark ETFs RISK OFF Strike…

7.10.2021 – TESLA – Wedbush 1000 USD Target vs Cathie Wood’s Ark New Sell…

27.10.2021 – TESLA – 1 Trillion USD Market Cap Euphory vs Perfect Test Fibonacci Ext Zone…

9.11.2021 – TESLA – Musk Controversial Tweet in Smart Money Game…

11.12.2021 – TESLA – Musk Selling vs Smart Money Fighting…

2022

4.06.2022 – TESLA – Musk “Super Bad Feeling” Warning…

9.07.2022 – TESLA – Bulls Strike Back on Musk Double Impact from June Warning to July Twitter Deal Termination…

with

ATA Following…

Apple

10.09.2022 – APPLE – iPhone 14 Launch Event in Ending Diagonals and Fibonacci Shadows…

APPLE/S&P500 Ratio

11.09.2022 – APPLE/S&P500 RATIO – Apple Shining Capitalisation Equivalent to 180 Stocks in Loosing Momentum Risk Shadow…

Microsoft

17.09.2022 – MICROSOFT – from Bear Pattern 2021 to Bear Impact 2022 in Fibonacci Shadow…

Amazon

18.09.2022 – AMAZON – from Bear Warning 2021 to Bear Strike 2022 and Finally Secular Bearish Game Changer Warning …

Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario

19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…

15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…

8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!

Polish Stocks

14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…

TESLA Present  Master Motives

First of All

Tesla Stock 3-to-1 Split August 24 2022

Tesla 4th Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and S&P500

Tesla Earnings Q2/2022 – July 19 2022

Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg

Revenue: $16.9 billion vs $16.88 billion expected

Adjusted EPS: $2.27 vs $1.83 expected

Tesla Stocks Action 

Quarterly View

Bulls Hard Fight above June – July 2022 Low Zone – Key Level 200 USD Zone

 ( after Split 3-to-1 stock August 24 2022 )

with

Global Risk Off Waves Action Acceleration after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off Active Cont.

Stocks Sell Off Active Cont.

Wall Street Risk Off Wave Active ahead of Test June 2022 Lows

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Active  for Now

with

Present Bear Wave – Strike Cont. – ahead of Test June 2022 Low

on

Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally 

Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK OFF – September Fib RetBack to  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Warnings  and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Latest Bear Hard Strike Back

on Friday Triple Witch Day

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Active for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 88.6% Fib Ret 11.300 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone

vs

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

with

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike to  in 11.300-11.000 Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick  vs Long Lower Shadow

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  June 2022 Low 29.500 Zone

vs

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

with

Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 29.800  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike to  29.000 – 29.500  Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick  vs Long Lower Shadow

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 88.6% Fib Ret 3.700 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone

vs

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

with

Test 44.7% Fib Ret 3.650  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike to  3.700 – 3.600  Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick  vs Long Lower Shadow

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish still Active – 75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave  Acceleration after Last Cooling Strike – New Higher  Overheat Extreme Risk Zone – 20 Years High 113 Zone ( stricte 113.228 )

Long Term Bulls   Dynamic FX Wave Acceleration

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body

( most important September EOM )

with

Latest  Short Term Bull FX Strike from 109-110 to 113 Zone

after

1st Test Key Level 107.70 – 50% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave

2nd Bulls Dynamic Strike nad Back above July/22 Top 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Dynamic Acceleration after Latest Stopped – Cooling

( July High 109.30 – September High 113 Zone stricte 113.228 )

with

Present Active Domination

Bulls FX short term Strike to Higher 113 Zone

Key Levels   110110.80 111.80-112  vs 113 – 113.30 Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels    110110.80 111.80-112  vs 113 – 113.30

( EOW 113.02 )

First…ATA from  9.07.2022

before the Split August 2022

Earlier 600 USD Zone – Now 200 USD Zone

“Now dominating

Bull Correction 

First.. Move >700 USD

Second…Test Higher 750 USD Zone

with

MACD Daily Buy Signal

Ahead of Test Fib Ret Last Bear Wave

ATA Investment Conclusion

on Twitter Deal Terminated after earlier Musk Warning

special focus on

Present Active Key Levels Zone

620-625 640 700-750  vs  800-823 USD

Second…Present TESLA Situation

TESLA  LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

First of All

TESLA All Time High  –  November 2021

after SPLIT  3 : 1  August 2022

400 USD Zone

( stricte 414.50 USD )

Quarterly View

Quarterly Bearish Reversal Candlestick Pattern Hanging Man  ( Q1/22 )

400 USD Zone

Bear Candlestick – Large Real Body   ( Q2/22 )

Q2 Low 200 USD Zone ( stricte 206.85 ) and EOQ 224.47 USD

Now still dominating

Bull Strike Back above Upper Edge Quarterly Support Zone – 200 USD

vs

Bear Correction from 300 USD Resistance Zone – Half of Real Body Q2 Bear Candlestick

Monthly View 

After

Test  Higher Fib Ext Zone 365 – 460 USD Zone

Monthly November Doji Candlestick Pattern ( November 2021 )

Activated

Three Monthly Bear Reversal Patterns

First…2B – Key Level 400 USD ( December 2021 – January 2022 )

Second…M – Key Level 380 USD ( January – April 2022 )

Third…2B – Key Level 300 USD ( January 2021 – May 2022 )

vs

1st and 2nd Test 50% Fib Ret Bull Wave from 2019 Year Low – Key Level 200 USD Zone

206 USD May – 208 June 2022

Now still dominating

Bull Strike Back

Back above Psychological Key Level 250 USD

vs

Present Bear Action from  Higher Psychological Key Level 300 USD

Monthly September Bearish Reversal Shooting Star Candlestick  for Now

( needed confirmation EOM – September )

MACD Monthly Sell Signal

with

Open Bearish Scenario

H&S Pattern – Neckline 200 USD

Weekly View

After Activated

Bear Wave

Expanding Diagonal Pattern

Test Lower Edge – Key Level 200 USD Zone

and

Bull Strike – Test Higher 300 USD Key Level Zone

Now dominating

Bear Strike from 300 USD Zone

Present Bull vs Bear Hard Fighting in 265 USD Zone

Weekly Bear Candlestick – Large Real Body

MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

Daily View

After

Test 61.8% Fib Ret – Key Level 300 USD Zone Bear Wave April May 2022

Now dominating

Bear Correction 

First.. Move < 300 USD

Second… ahead of Test Lower 256 USD Zone

with

MACD Daily Sell Signal

Tesla Smart Money Battlefield

200-265  vs  300 -400 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Active Key Levels Zone

200-265  vs  300 -400 USD

with

Fib Ret-s

( Monthly Weekly vs Daily Charts )

and

Research Patterns  Classical  –  Candlestick  Confirm or Cancel

with Next

Tesla US Big Tech Nasdaq News   

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s and EOW-s

Second…EOM – September

Finally…EOQ – Q3 – September

TESLA  Quarterly & Monthly  Charts

after STOCK SPLIT   5 : 1 

31.12.2020 – EOY 2020

7.01.2021 – EOD

8.02.2021 – EOD

TESLA  Monthly  & Weekly Charts

9.03.2021 – EOD

TESLA  Quarterly Monthly  and Weekly Charts

5.04.2021 – EOD

7.05.2021 – EOD

17.08.2021 – EOD

10.09.2021 – EOW

6.10.2021 – EOD

TESLA  Quarterly Monthly  Weekly and Daily Charts

26.10.2021 – EOD

5.11.2021 – EOD

8.11.2021 – EOW

10.12.2021 – EOD

3.06.2022 – EOW

TESLA Daily and Intraday H4 Charts

21.06.2022

TESLA  Monthly  Weekly Daily Charts

8.07.2022 – EOW

TESLA  Quarterly Monthly  Weekly Daily Charts

after STOCK SPLIT   3 : 1  August 2022

23.09.2022 – EOW

AMAZON – from Bear Warning 2021 to Bear Strike 2022 and Finally Secular Bearish Game Changer Warning …

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

AMAZON –   Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

7.05.2020 –  AMAZON – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extensions – May 2020…

20.06.2020 –  AMAZON – Genius Cover Warning…

14.10.2020 – AMAZON – Prime Day…

2021

5.02.2021 – AMAZON – Bezos Left the Building…

31.07.2021 – AMAZON – from Disappointment Strike to Long Term Bear Warning…

31.10.2021 – AMAZON – Earnings Miss Pressure – Next Step in Long Term Bear Warning Perspective …

with

ATA Following…

AMAZON

2017 – 2019 

21.05.2017 – AMAZING AMAZON…

23.09.2017 – AMAZON – HOW MUCH IS ENOUGH..!!???

21.11.2017  –  TECH ICARUS – FLIGHT NEAR THE MARKET SUN…

10.11.2018 –  AMAZON dynamic return from COSMIC GATE…

20.07.2019 –  AMAZON – still under COSMIC GATE…

27.07.2019 –  AMAZON – Contraction from COSMIC GATE…

4.10.2019 –  AMAZON – Bear Power Rising…

15.11.2019 –  AMAZON – still away from Nasdaq Bull Rally…

2.12.2019 –  AMAZON – Cyber Monday Mainstream Motive…

7.12.2019 – AMAZON – No Santa Claus Motive in Smart Money Play…

2020

11.02.2020 –  AMAZON – “JEDI” Contract Strike Back…

15.06.2020 –  AMAZON – Higher Cosmic Orbit must Wait…

30.08.2020 – AMAZON – Higher Cosmic Orbit Testing…

8.10.2020 – AMAZON – Back from E-commerce Stratosphere …

Apple

10.09.2022 – APPLE – iPhone 14 Launch Event in Ending Diagonals and Fibonacci Shadows…

APPLE/S&P500 Ratio

11.09.2022 – APPLE/S&P500 RATIO – Apple Shining Capitalisation Equivalent to 180 Stocks in Loosing Momentum Risk Shadow…

Microsoft

17.09.2022 – MICROSOFT – from Bear Pattern 2021 to Bear Impact 2022 in Fibonacci Shadow…

Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario

19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…

15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…

8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!

Polish Stocks

14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…

AMAZON  Master Motives

First of All

Split 20-for-1 stock June 6 2022

Amazon 3rd Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and S&P500

Amazon Earnings Q2/2022 – July 28 2022

Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg

Revenue: $121.2 billion versus $119.53 billion expected

Earnings per share: –$0.20 versus $0.52 expected

Amazon Web Services (AWS) net sales: $19.74 billion versus $19.4 billion expected

Microsoft Stocks Action 

Quarterly View

Bear Hard Wave – Break Down Bullish Secular Trendline – Key Level 140 USD

from 1998 Year Low Zone 0.08 USD ( after Split 20-for-1 stock June 6 2022 )

vs

Bull Strike Back – Fight above Psychological Key Level 100 USD

with

Global Risk Off Waves Action after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off Active vs Friday Triple Witch Day Bull Strike

Stocks Sell Off Active vs Friday Triple Witch Day Bull Strike

Wall Street Risk Off Wave Active vs vs Friday Triple Witch Day Bull Strike  

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Active  for Now

with

Present

Bulls Daily Dynamic Strikes – Hammer Bullish Reversal Candlestick on Friday Triple Witch Day

Activated Bullish ReversaInvert 2B Pattern  Daily – H4 Intraday

on

Present Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally 

Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK ON/OFF in September Fib Ret Zones vs above  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Warnings  and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Latest Bull Bear Hard Fight

on Friday Triple Witch Day

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Active for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 11.900-12.000 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone

vs

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

with

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bull Bear Hard Fight in 11.900-12.000 Zone

with

Present  

Hammer Bullish Reversal Candlestick on Friday Triple Witch Day

Activated Bullish ReversaInvert 2B Pattern  Daily – H4 Intraday

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 30.600 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 29.500-30.000 Zone

vs

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

with

Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 29.800  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bull Bear Hard Fight in 31.000 Zone

with

Present  

Hammer Bullish Reversal Candlestick on Friday Triple Witch Day

Activated Bullish ReversaInvert 2B Pattern  Daily – H4 Intraday

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 3.850 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone

vs

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

with

Test 44.7% Fib Ret 3.650  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bull Bear Hard Fight in 3.900 Zone

with

Present  

Hammer Bullish Reversal Candlestick on Friday Triple Witch Day

Activated Bullish ReversaInvert 2B Pattern  Daily – H4 Intraday

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish still Active – 75bps September Meeting Outlook

Fed Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Hard still Stopped for Now – New  Cooling Strike from Overheat Extreme Risk Zone – 20 Years High 110.80 Zone

Long Term Bulls  – Present  Bulls Bears Hard Fight   after Last Bulls Dynamic FX Wave

September Bear Shooting Star Candlestick Bearsih Reversal Pattern Canceled for Now

( most important September EOM )

with

Latest  Short Term Bull Bear FX Strikes above July/22 Top 109.30

after

1st Test Key Level 107.70 – 50% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave

2nd Bulls Dynamic Strike nad Back above July/22 Top 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave New Stopped for Now ( July High 109.30 – September High 110-111 Zone stricte 110.78 )

with

Present Active Domination

Bulls Bear FX short term Fight in 109.30  – 110 Zone

Key Levels   109.30  vs  110111 Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels   109.30  vs   110111

( EOW 109.64 )

First…ATA from  31.10.2021

Active Warnings

Quarterly

Bearish Warnings

Ending Diagonal Pattern Risk

Monthly

Bearish Warnings

Activated 2B Pattern

Second…Present  AMAZON  Situation 

AMAZON LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION 

Quarterly – Monthly View 

First of All

June 2021 All Time High Key Level 3.800 USD Zone

( stricte 3.773,08 )

after Split 20-for-1 stock June 6 2022

June 2021 All Time High Key Level  190 USD Zone

( stricte 188.65 )

Bearish Reversal and Bear Strike

after

Bull Trend  Stopped and Bear Warnings

Quarterly

1st Ending Diagonal Pattern Activated

Broken Lower Edge – Key Level 160 USD

2nd Trend Reversal Activated

Broken Secular Bull Trendline – Key Level 133 USD

with

Q3 Q4 2021 Two Quarterly Shooting Star Candlesticks

Monthly

Test Fibonacci Extension Targets All Major Bull Waves

Key Levels 180 – 200 USD Zones

Bearish Reversal Patterns Activated

M Pattern – Key Level 188 USD

2B Pattern – Key Level 175 USD

Ending Diagonal Pattern – Lower Edge Key Level 163 USD

with

July and November 2021 Two Monthly Shooting Star Candlesticks

Finally

Bear Wave and Test 68.5% Fib Ret Bull Wave from Covid Panic Low 2020 Year

Psychological Key Level 100 USD

Now dominating

Quarterly Monthly Charts

Bull Strike Back from Key Level 100 USD Zone

W Pattern – Key Level 100 USD

vs

Bear Strike Back from

50% Fib Ret Last Bear Wave Monthly

Bull Trendline and Half of Q2 Bear Candlestick Quarterly

Key Level 145 USD Zone

with

MACD Quarterly and  Monthly Sell Signals

Amazon Smart Money Battlefield 

100 120 vs 130 145 USD 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Now Special Focus on

Present Master Psychological Key Levels 100 120 vs 130 145 USD 

and

Research Patterns  Classical  –  Candlestick  Confirm or Cancel

with Next

Amazon US Big Tech Nasdaq News   

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – September  and  Finally…EOQ – Q3/2022 

AMAZON    Monthly  Charts

6.05.2020  – EOD

Amazon - M - Fib Ext

12.06.2020 – EOW

Amazon - M - Fib Ext

19.06.2020 – EOW 

Amazon - M - Fib Ext

28.08.2020 – EOD 

Amazon - M - Fib Ext

7.10.2020 – EOD

AMAZON Quarterly & Monthly Charts

13.10.2020 – EOD

4.02.2021 – EOD

30.07.2021 – EOM

29.10.2021 – EOM

AMAZON Quarterly & Monthly Charts ( after Split 20-for-1 stock June 6 2022 )

16.09.2022 – EOW

MICROSOFT – from Bear Pattern 2021 to Bear Impact 2022 in Fibonacci Shadow…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

MICROSOFT  –  Back  Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2019

23.04.2019 – MICROSOFT – Secular View beyond Tech Bulls Space Imaginations…

16.07.2019 –  MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Space Flight to Fibonacci Extensions …

7.11.2019 – MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Hitting Secular Fibonacci Extension…

2020

26.12.2020 –  MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extension – Update December 2019…

10.02.2020 –  MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extension – Update February 2020…

6.05.2020 –  MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extension – Update May 2020…

20.07.2020 –  MICROSOFT – MASTERMIND FIBONACCI PLAY…

5.08.2020 – MICROSOFT – TikTok Game…

8.09.2020 – MICROSOFT – Fibonacci in Action…

29.10.2020 – MICROSOFT – No Fibonacci Coincidences …

2021

26.08.2021 – MICROSOFT – Bull Skyrocket inside Bear Pattern…

29.10.2021 – MICROSOFT – Bulls Flight above Market Clouds Ceiling on Cloud Computing Boom…

2022

12.02.2022 – MICROSOFT – Bear vs Bull Hard Fight in Bear Pattern Inception…

ATA Following…

Apple

10.09.2022 – APPLE – iPhone 14 Launch Event in Ending Diagonals and Fibonacci Shadows…

APPLE/S&P500 Ratio

11.09.2022 – APPLE/S&P500 RATIO – Apple Shining Capitalisation Equivalent to 180 Stocks in Loosing Momentum Risk Shadow…

Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario

19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…

15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…

8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!

Polish Stocks

14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…

MICROSOFT Main Motives

First of All

Microsoft 2nd Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and S&P500

Microsoft Earnings Q4/2022 fiscal year  – July 26 2022

Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg

Revenue: $51.9 billion versus $52.4 billion expected

Earnings per share: $2.23 versus $2.29 expected

Productivity and Business Processes: $14.4 billion versus $16.7 billion expected

Intelligent Cloud: $20.9 billion versus $21.1 billion expected

More Personal Computing: $14.4 billion versus $14.7 billion expected

Microsoft Stocks Action – Bear Hard Wave – Bull Bear Fight 

Test Key 50% Fib Ret Bull Wave from Covid Panic Low 2020 Year

with

Global Risk Off Waves Action after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off Active vs Friday Triple Witch Day Bull Strike

Stocks Sell Off Active vs Friday Triple Witch Day Bull Strike

Wall Street Risk Off Wave Active vs vs Friday Triple Witch Day Bull Strike  

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Active  for Now

with

Present

Bulls Daily Dynamic Strikes – Hammer Bullish Reversal Candlestick on Friday Triple Witch Day

Activated Bullish Reversal Invert 2B Pattern  Daily – H4 Intraday

on

Present Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally 

Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK ON/OFF in September Fib Ret Zones vs above  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Warnings  and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Latest Bull Bear Hard Fight

on Friday Triple Witch Day

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Active for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 11.900-12.000 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone

vs

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

with

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bull Bear Hard Fight in 11.900-12.000 Zone

with

Present  

Hammer Bullish Reversal Candlestick on Friday Triple Witch Day

Activated Bullish Reversal Invert 2B Pattern  Daily – H4 Intraday

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 30.600 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 29.500-30.000 Zone

vs

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

with

Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 29.800  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bull Bear Hard Fight in 31.000 Zone

with

Present  

Hammer Bullish Reversal Candlestick on Friday Triple Witch Day

Activated Bullish Reversal Invert 2B Pattern  Daily – H4 Intraday

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 3.850 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone

vs

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

with

Test 44.7% Fib Ret 3.650  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bull Bear Hard Fight in 3.900 Zone

with

Present  

Hammer Bullish Reversal Candlestick on Friday Triple Witch Day

Activated Bullish Reversal Invert 2B Pattern  Daily – H4 Intraday

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish still Active – 75bps September Meeting Outlook

Fed Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Hard still Stopped for Now – New  Cooling Strike from Overheat Extreme Risk Zone 20 Years High 110.80 Zone

Long Term Bulls  – Present  Bulls Bears Hard Fight   after Last Bulls Dynamic FX Wave

September Bear Shooting Star Candlestick Bearsih Reversal Pattern Canceled for Now

( most important September EOM )

with

Latest  Short Term Bull Bear FX Strikes above July/22 Top 109.30

after

1st Test Key Level 107.70 – 50% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave

2nd Bulls Dynamic Strike nad Back above July/22 Top 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave New Stopped for Now ( July High 109.30 – September High 110-111 Zone stricte 110.78 )

with

Present Active Domination

Bulls Bear FX short term Fight in 109.30  – 110 Zone

Key Levels   109.30  vs  110111 Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels   109.30  vs   110111

( EOW 109.64 )

First…ATA from  12.02.2022

” Now dominating

Quarterly View 

Pattern Inception

Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal in Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal

Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal – Lower Edge – Key Level 295 USD Zone

Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal – Lower Edge – Key Level 285 USD Zone

Test

Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal 

Lower Edge – Key Level  295 USD Zone for Now

Monthly View

After

First…Test  Major Target Fibonacci Extension 340 USD Zone ( 5.388% ) 

Second… Activated Monthly November Hanging Man Bearish Candlestick Pattern

Third…Bear Wave

Now dominating

Break Down for Now

First…Bull Long Term Channel – Lower Edge – Key Level 315 USD 

Second…Master Psychological Key Level  300 USD 

Third…5 and 8 Monthly MA

needed Conformation – EOM – February

Ahead of

Test Fib Ret – First Node – 270 – 266 USD Zone

Second…Present MICROSOFT  Situation 

MICROSOFT  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

First of All

All Time High – 350 USD Zone – November 2021

( 349.67 USD )

After

Secular Bull Wave Hard Stopped

Secular Strong Bull Trend Bearish Reversal Process Started

Test Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal – Upper Edge – Key Level 350 USD Zone

November 2021

Now dominating

Quarterly View 

Bear Wave

after

Activated

Bearish Patterns with Pattern Inception

Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal in Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal

Break Down

Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal – Lower Edge – Key Level 315 USD Zone

Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal – Lower Edge – Key Level 310 USD Zone

Monthly View

After

First…Test  Major Target Fibonacci Extension 340 USD Zone ( 5.388% ) 

Second… Activated Monthly November 2021 Hanging Man Bearish Candlestick Pattern

Third…Bear Wave

with

1st Break Down Bull Long Term Channel – Lower Edge – Key Level 315 USD 

2nd Master Psychological Key Level  300 USD

3rd 5 8 13 Monthly MA

Now dominating

Bear Wave Continuation

vs

Second Test Key Level 240 USD

1st June 2022 Low Zone

2nd Fib Ret 50% Bull Wave from Covid Panic Low

Quarterly Q1 Q2  and Monthly August September Bear Candlesticks

needed Conformation – EOM – September

MACD Quarterly Buy Signal vs Monthly Sell Signal 

with

Bearish Open Scenario

Ahead of

Test Fib Ret – Second Node – 220 – 215 USD Zone

Psychological Key Level 200 USD Zone

Microsoft Smart Money Battlefield  

200 215-220 240    vs    310- 315   USD 

with

Master Psychological Key Level 200 USD 

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Major Key Level 240 USD Zone

Fib Ret – Second Node – 220 – 215 USD Zone

Master Psychological Key Level 200 USD

and

Research Patterns  Classical  –  Candlestick 

Fib Ret Master Bull Wave

with Next

Microsoft US Big Tech Nasdaq News   

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and

FinaSM Reaction

First…EOM – Now September   and  Finally…EOQ – Q3/2022

Microsoft  Monthly  Charts

23.04.2019 

MSFT - M
MSFT - M - Focus 1
MSFT - M - Focus 2

16.07.2019 

( Starting Phase American Session )

MSFT - M
MSFT - M - Focus 1
MSFT - M - Focus 2

Microsoft  Quarterly & Monthly  Charts

6.11.2019 – EOD 

MSFT -Q
MSFT - M - Focus 1
MSFT - M - Focus 2

24.12.2019 – EOD 

MSFT -Q
MSFT - M - FIB EXT - Focus

10.02.2020  ( Second Half US Session ) 

Microsoft - Q - Pattern Inception
Microsoft - M - FIB EXT - Focus

5.05.2020  –  EOD 

Microsoft - Q - Pattern Inception
Microsoft - M - FIB EXT png
Microsoft - M - FIB EXT - Focus

17.07.2020 – EOW 

Microsoft - Q - Pattern Inception
Microsoft - M - FIB EXT - Focus

4.08.2020 – EOD 

MSFT -Q
MSFT - M - FIB EXT - Focus

4.09.2020 – EOD

27.10.2020 – EOD

28.10.2020 – EOD

25.08.2021 – EOD

28.10.2021 – EOD

11.02.2022 – EOW

16.09.2022 – EOW

APPLE/S&P500 RATIO – Apple Shining Capitalisation Equivalent to 180 Stocks in Loosing Momentum Risk Shadow…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

APPLE/S&P500 Ratio  –  Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Following…

Apple

10.09.2022 – APPLE – iPhone 14 Launch Event in Ending Diagonals and Fibonacci Shadows…

Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario

19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…

15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…

8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!

Polish Stocks

14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…

Apple/S&P500 Ratio Main Motives

First of All

Apple Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and S&P500

Apple Market Capitalisation equivalent to S&P500 180 Stocks

and

Global Risk Off Waves Stopped after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off Stopped

Stocks Sell Off Stopped

Wall Street Risk Off Wave  Stopped  – specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK ON Impact Active  for Now

with

Present

Bulls Dynamic Strikes after Test Fib Ret Daily

Activated Bullish Ending Diagonal and Invert 2B Patterns H4 Intraday

on

Present Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally 

Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK ON Action from September Fib Ret Zones vs above  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Warnings  and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Last RISK ON Action Strike Back

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Stopped for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 11.900-12.000 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone

vs

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

with

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Reactivation in 11.900-12.000 Zone

with

Present  Bull Strike from 12.000 Zone

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Stopped  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 31.000 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 29.500-30.000 Zone

vs

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

with

Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 29.800  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Reactivation in 31.000 Zone

with

Present Bull Strike from 31.000 Zone

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 3.900 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone

vs

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

with

Test 44.7% Fib Ret 3.650  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Reactivation in 3.900 Zone

with

Present  Bull Strike from 3.900 Zone

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish Active – 75bps September Meeting Outlook – Fed Powell Hawkish Speech

Fed Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

vs

Fed Pivot Scenario 2022 Less Hawkish and 2023 Dovish Outlook Reactivation Canceled for Now

on Fed Powell Hawkish Verbal Strike in Jackson Hole Symposium

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Hard Stopped for Now – New  Cooling Strike from Overheat Extreme Risk Zone

Long Term Bulls  – Present Bears Strike Back  after Last Bulls Dynamic FX Wave

September Bear Shooting Star Candlestick Bearsih Reversal Pattern

with

Last Short Term FX Strikes

Bears Activated Correction from 110.80

Activated Bearish Reversal Patterns

Ending Diagonals and New 2B Pattern 109.30   Daily – H4 Intraday

after

Bulls Latest Dynamic Strike to New 20 Years High 110-111 Zone above July/22 Top 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave New Stopped for Now ( July High 109.30 – September High 110-111 Zone stricte 110.78 )

with

Present Active Domination

Bulls Bear FX short term Fight in 108.30-50 109.30 Zone

Key Levels   108.30-108.50  vs 109.30  vs 110111 Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels  108.30-108.50  vs 109.30   110111

( EOW 108.97 )

First…Apple S&P500 Ratio Master Tweet

Second…Present Apple/S&P500 Ratio  Situation 

APPLE/S&P500 RATIO  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Monthly Perspective 

First of All

80s Decade – especially 1983 – 1991

Horizontal Trend – Triple Tops Pattern

90s Decade – especially 1991 – 1997

Bearish Trend – started afer Activated H&S Pattern

2000s Decade and Beyond – especially 2000 – 2012

Bullish Mega Strong Trend

started afer Activated Two Inverted H&S Patterns

1st – 1997 -1998 Years with strong Pullback 2000 Year

2nd – 2002 – 2004 Years

2012 Year – Top of Dynamic Bulls Wave

2010s Decade and Beyond – especially 2012 – 2020

Bear Correction from 2012 Top – 2012 – 2013 Years

Bullish Less Dynamic Trend inside Bullish Channel – 2013 – 2019 Years

Bulls Wave Acceleration – New High – 2019 – 2020 Years

2020s Decade Started – 2020 – 2022

Loosing Bullish Momentum – Ending Diagonal Pattern Bearish Risk

Now still dominating

Loosing Bullish Momentum Process

inside

1st – Ending Diagonal Pattern

2nd – 1.618 – 2.00% Fib Ext Zone

with

September Monthly Bear Candlestick

MACD Monthly Sell Signal – Negative Divergence since January 2021

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on and carefully Research

Monthly Ending Diagonal

Research Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick  Confirm or Cancel

Fib Ext Bull Large Wave

with Next

Apple US Big Tech Nasdaq S&P500 Wall Street News   

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First..EOM – September 

APPLE/S&P500 Ratio  Monthly  Charts

9.09.2022 – EOW

APPLE – iPhone 14 Launch Event in Ending Diagonals and Fibonacci Shadows…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

APPLE  –  Back  Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

Last of 2020

24.12.2020 – APPLE – Next iLevel – Cupertino EV…

2021

8.02.2021 – APPLE – Apple Car Speculation…

19.07.2021 – APPLE – iPhone Optimism Warning…

11.09.2021 – APPLE – App Store Payment Decision Strike…

15.09.2021 – APPLE – iPhone event 2021 Motive…

30.10.2021 – APPLE – Pattern and Fibonacci in Supply Chain Crunch Shadow…

2022

29.01.2022 – APPLE – Bull Strikes Back on Monster Earnings in Fibonacci and Ending Diagonal Shadows…

14.05.2022 – APPLE – from Ending Diagonal Risk to Bear Strike in Fibonacci Shadows…

ATA Following…

Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario

19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…

15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…

8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!

Polish Stocks

14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…

Apple Main Motives

First of All

Apple Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and S&P500

Apple Market Capitalisation equivalent to S&P500 180 Stocks

Apple iPhone 14 Launch Event

Apple has debuted its iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Pro. Announced during the company’s Far Out event at its Cupertino, Calif., headquarters on Wednesday, the iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Pro come in standard and larger Plus and Max models.

The 6.1-inch iPhone 14 starts at $799 and hits the market Sept. 16, while the 6.7-inch iPhone 14 Plus starts at $899. The iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max — also available on Sept. 16 — will set you back a bit more thanks to their 6.7-inch displays, costing $999 and $1,099.

Apple Earnings Q3/2022 fiscal year – July 28 2022

Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg

Revenue $83 billion versus $82.7 billion expected

Earnings per share $1.20 versus $1.16 expected

iPhone revenue $40.7 billion versus $38.9 billion expected

iPad revenue $7.22 billion billion versus $6.9 billion expected

Mac revenue $7.4 billion billion versus $8.4 billion expected

Wearables revenue $8.1 billion versus $8.8 billion expected

Services revenue $19.6 billion billion versus $19.7 billion expected

Earnings Report Conclusion

Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Apple Stocks Action – Bulls Strike – Fight above Psychological Key Level 150 USD

after Latest Bears Action – Test Key Fib Ret

with

Global Risk Off Waves Stopped after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off Stopped

Stocks Sell Off Stopped

Wall Street Risk Off Wave  Stopped  – specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK ON Impact Active  for Now

with

Present

Bulls Dynamic Strikes after Test Fib Ret Daily

Activated Bullish Ending Diagonal and Invert 2B Patterns H4 Intraday

on

Present Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally 

Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK ON Action from September Fib Ret Zones vs above  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Warnings  and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Last RISK ON Action Strike Back

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Stopped for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 11.900-12.000 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone

vs

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

with

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Reactivation in 11.900-12.000 Zone

with

Present  Bull Strike from 12.000 Zone

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Stopped  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 31.000 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 29.500-30.000 Zone

vs

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

with

Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 29.800  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Reactivation in 31.000 Zone

with

Present Bull Strike from 31.000 Zone

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 3.900 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone

vs

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

with

Test 44.7% Fib Ret 3.650  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Reactivation in 3.900 Zone

with

Present  Bull Strike from 3.900 Zone

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish Active – 75bps September Meeting Outlook – Fed Powell Hawkish Speech

Fed Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

vs

Fed Pivot Scenario 2022 Less Hawkish and 2023 Dovish Outlook Reactivation Canceled for Now

on Fed Powell Hawkish Verbal Strike in Jackson Hole Symposium

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Hard Stopped for Now – New  Cooling Strike from Overheat Extreme Risk Zone

Long Term Bulls  – Present Bears Strike Back  after Last Bulls Dynamic FX Wave

September Bear Shooting Star Candlestick Bearsih Reversal Pattern

with

Last Short Term FX Strikes

Bears Activated Correction from 110.80

Activated Bearish Reversal Patterns

Ending Diagonals and New 2B Pattern 109.30   Daily – H4 Intraday

after

Bulls Latest Dynamic Strike to New 20 Years High 110-111 Zone above July/22 Top 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave New Stopped for Now ( July High 109.30 – September High 110-111 Zone stricte 110.78 )

with

Present Active Domination

Bulls Bear FX short term Fight in 108.30-50 109.30 Zone

Key Levels   108.30-108.50  vs 109.30  vs 110111 Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels  108.30-108.50  vs 109.30   110111

( EOW 108.97 )

First…ATA from  14.05.2022

Rising Risk of Skyrocket Fly End 

Activated

Quarterly Smaller Ending Diagonal

( needed confirmation EOQ – Q2 )

Activated

Monthly Smaller Ending Diagonal

( needed confirmation EOM – May )

Quarterly Q2 Bear Candlestick

vs

Test 23.6% Fib Ret Bull Long Wave from post Lehman 2008 Low – 140 USD Zone ( Monthly Chart )

Test October 2021 Low Zone 138 USD ( Daily Chart )

with

Open Scenarios

Bull Scenario – W Pattern 138-140 USD Zone – Next Bull Strike > 150 USD

vs

Bear Scenario – No Back > 150 USD – Next Bear Strike < 140 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

all time special focus on

Present Apple Active Zone 

140 vs  150-155-160  180-185  USD  

and

Important Psychological Key Level 150 USD

and

Apple Key Tweets

Second…Present Apple  Situation 

APPLE  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Quarterly  Monthly Weekly Daily Perspective

First of All

All Time High – January 2022

after SPLIT 4 : 1 

Key Levels 180-183 USD Zone 

( stricte 182.87 USD )

January 2022 Long Term Strong Bull Trend  Stopped

High Risk of Skyrocket Fly End 

Activated

Daily Bear Reversal Patterns

First…2B Key Level 182 USD

Second…2B Key Level 176.50 USD

Quarterly Smaller Ending Diagonal

Upper Edge Key Level 200 USD Zone

Lower Edge Key Level 165 USD Zone

Monthly Smaller Ending Diagonal

Upper Edge Key Level 200 USD

Lower Edge Key Level 170 USD

vs

Test

30% Fib Ret Bull Long Wave from post Lehman 2008 Low – 130 USD Zone ( Monthly Chart )

Lower Edge Invert Ending Diagonal – Key Level 130 USD ( Weekly Chart )

and

Bull Dynamic Wave from 130 USD to 175 USD

vs

Bear Strike

Test 50% Fib Ret Bull Last Summer Wave – 150 USD Zone ( Daily Chart )

with

Quarterly Q2 Bear Candlestick

Quarterly Q3 Bull CandlestickUpper Shadow for Now

(needed confirmation EOQ – Q3)

Monthly July Bull Candlestick

Monthly August Shooting Star Bearish Reversal Pattern

Monthly September Doji for Now

(needed confirmation EOM – September)

Now dominating

Bull Strike from Fib Ret 150 USD Zone

MACD Factor

Quarterly Buy Signal  vs  Monthly Sell Signal

with

Open Scenarios

Bull Scenario – Bull Wave Cont. from 150 USD Zone – Next Higher Bull Strikes

No Fall < 150 USD

vs

Bear Scenario – Back < 150 USD – Next Lower Bear Strikes

Apple  Smart Money Battlefield

130 150  vs   160  180-185  USD 

Psychological Key Level 150 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

all time special focus on

Present Apple Active Zone 

130 150  vs   160  180-185  USD 

and

Important Psychological Key Level 150 USD

still carefully Research

Present Active Quarterly and Monthly Smaller Ending Diagonals

Research Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick  Confirm or Cancel

Fib Ret All Bull Waves

with Next

Apple US Big Tech Nasdaq News   

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First..EOM – September   and  Finally…EOQ – Q3/2022

APPLE  Monthly  Charts

8.11.2019  ( Half US Session )

APPLE - M - FIB EXT
APPLE - M - FIB EXT - Focus

24.12.2019 – EOD

APPLE - M - FIB EXT
APPLE - M - FIB EXT - Focus

7.02.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT - Focus

5.05.2020  –  EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

5.06.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

19.06.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

23.06.2020 – EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

10.07.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

31.07.2020 – EOM 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

11.08.2020 – EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

19.08.2020 -EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

28.08.2020 – EOD

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

APPLE  Quarterly Chart

after SPLIT 4 : 1 

31.08.2020 – EOM 

APPLE - Q - StockCharts

APPLE  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

11.09.2020 – EOD

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-q-stockcharts-1.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-m-fib-ext-focus.png

16.09.2020 – EOD

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-q-stockcharts-2.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-m-fib-ext-focus-1.png

21.09.2020 – EOD

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-q-stockcharts-3.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-m-fib-ext-focus-2.png

12.10.2020 – EOD

30.10.2020 -EOM

23.12.2020 – EOD

5.02.2021 – EOD

16.07.2021 – EOD

10.09.2021 – EOW

14.09.2021 – EOD

29.10.2021 – EOM

APPLE  Quarterly Monthly and Daily Charts

28.01.2022 – EOW

13.05.2022 – EOW

APPLE  Quarterly Monthly Weekly and Daily Charts

9.09.2022 – EOW

Baltic Dry Index – from Bear Reversal October 2021 to Bear Wave 2022 vs Signal of  Losing Bearish Momentum …

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Baltic Dry Index – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a shipping and trade index created by the London-based Baltic Exchange.

BDI measures changes in the cost of transporting…

ATA Continuation of…

2015 

21.11.2015 – Baltic Dry Index – True Picture vs Legend of Global Recovery

2016

12.01.2016 – Baltic Dry Index – HALTED GLOBAL FOREGIN TRADE…

2021

12.08.2021 – Baltic Dry Index – Rising Risk of End Shipping Trade Euphory…

19.09.2021 – Baltic Dry Index – Danger of “Red-Hot Shipping” on Horizon…

17.10.2021 – Baltic Dry Index – Bear Reversal in Smart Money Play on Mainstream Big Cargo Crunch…

ATA Following…

Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF

3.09.2022 – Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF – from Bulls Ecstasy Over October 2021 to Bear Dynamic Wave 2022 but with First Signal of Stop…

ATA Special Following …

European Natural Gas

17.07.2022 – European Natural Gas Futures – Old Continent Energy Crisis – Next Phase – Winter Warning…

ATA Special Conclusion

Natural Gas – Shipping Container Trade

Present Energy Crisis 2022 – Shipping Container Crisis 2021

PERFECT DEJA VU…!!!

2022 – Smart Money Mega Speculation in Energy Market – German Electricity Price Skyrocket – Test 1000 EURO/MWH Zone on Mainstream Media Energy Russia Winter Panic

2021 – Smart Money Mega Speculation in Shipping Container Market on Mainstream Media Global Trade Broken Supply Chains Container Cost Skyrocket Panic

Baltic Dry Index Master Motives

Baltic Dry Index  Bears Hard Dynamic Wave Continuation – 2022 Year

on

Recession Hard Landing Slowdown Global Economy and Global Trade

after

Mainstream Perfect Motive Big Cargo Crunch – October 2021 Year

with

Global Risk Off Waves Continuation after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off

Stocks Sell Off

Wall Street Risk Off Wave  – specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Active  for Now

with

Present

Bears Hard Strikes after Activated Bearish Ending Diagonal Patterns

vs

Bullish Ending Diagonal and W Patterns in Play

on

Extreme Last Euphory Summer Rally and Present Fear  Main Warns Factors Strikes Back

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK OFF Impact from August Fib Ret Zones vs above  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Impacts and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Last RISK OFF Impact Strike Back

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Reactivation for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

vs

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Stopped in 13.700 Zone

with

Present  Bear Strike Cont. – Test 12.000 Zone

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Reactivation for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

vs

Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 29.800  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Stopped in 34.000 Zone

with

Present  Bear Strike Cont. – Test 31.000-31.300 Zone

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Reactivation for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

vs

Test 44.7% Fib Ret 3.650  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Stopped in 4.300 Zone

with

Present  Bear Strike Cont. – Test 3.900 Zone

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish Active – 75bps September Meeting – Fed Powell Hawkish Speech Jackson Hole

Fed Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

vs

Fed Pivot Scenario 2022 Less Hawkish and 2023 Dovish Outlook Reactivation Canceled for Now

on Fed Powell Hawkish Verbal Strike in Jackson Hole Symposium

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB more Hawkish September Meeting Outlook – 75bps September Hike Rate Projection

ECB July 2022 Meeting More Hawkish

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Reactivation Cont. after Cooling Strike from Overheat Extreme Risk Zone

Long Term Bulls  – Present Bulls Strike Back  after Last Bear FX Hard Fight

August Monthly Bullish Candlestick – Large Real Body

with

New Bulls Dynamic Strike to New 20 Years High 110 Zone above July/22 Top 109.30

after

Last Short Term FX Strikes

Bears Activated Correction from 109.30 – back under 109 with Latest Test Lower 104.60 Zone

New 2B Pattern 108.55  H4 Intraday and Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern Daily

vs

Bulls Dynamic Strike from 104.60 Zone – Active Defense 104.78 56.4% Fib Ret Bull Wave from 101.30

March 2022 Low

Bullish Intraday ( H4 ) W Pattern – Key Level 104.63-65

Bullish Daily Inverted 2B Pattern – Key Level 105.00-05

Back > Key Levels  105 , 105.50 and 108.50 , 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Active ( July High 109.30 – September High 110 Zone stricte 109.97)

with

Present Active Domination

Bulls FX short term Strike Cont. > 109.30

Key Levels   108-108.50  109 – 109.30  vs 110 Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels  108-108.50  109 – 109.30  vs 110

( EOW 109.60 )

First…ATA from  17.10.2021

New Pattern Inception

Smaller Ending Diagonal in Bigger Ending Diagonal

Bull Move above Upper Edge Small Ending Diagonal

Now dominating

Dynamic Bear Contraction from Fib Ext 2.236 – 2.414% Zone

Back

under 5.500 and 5.000

under Upper Edge Small Ending Diagonal Key Level 5250

inside this Bearish Pattern

ahead of Test

Lower Edge Small Ending Diagonal Key Level 4750

with

Rising Risk of Future Active this Bear Ending Diagonal

Present Baltic Dry Index Situation

BDI LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Weekly View 

First of All

ATH 5500 Zone – October 2021

( stricte 5650 )

After

First…Formed Major Low – Key Level 300 – February 2016

Second…Activated Dynamic Bull Wave

from 300 Zone ( February 2016 ) to 1250 Zone November 2016 )

and

Formed 

Long Term Inverted Ending Diagonal 2016 – August 2021

with

Last…Bear – Bull Cycle

Bear Phase

pre Covid Bear Wave from Upper Edge Inverted Ending Diagonal

from 2500 Zone ( August 2019 ) to 400 Zone February 2020 )

Bull Phase

Bull Reversal Pattern in Lower Edge Inverted Ending Diagonal

W Pattern – Key Level 400 Zone February – May 2020 )

and

Covid Panic Bull Wave

from 400 Zone ( May 2020 ) to 3800 Zone August 2021 )

with

Bull Strike  above Upper Edge Inverted Ending Diagonal Key Level 3800

Finally Last

Bull Wave above Higher Psychological Key Level 5.500

Test Fib Ext 2.236 – 2.414% Zone First Bull Wave from 2016 Year Low

with

Activated Bearish Patterns

New Pattern Inception

Smaller Ending Diagonal in Bigger Ending Diagonal

and

Bear Dynamic Wave from 5.500 to 1000 Zone

Now still dominating

Bear Wave

vs

First Signal of Stop Bearish Action

Test Fib Ret 88.6% Bull Big Wave May 2020 – October 2021

Psychological Key Level 1000 Zone

with

Present Weekly Bull Reversal Candlestick Pattern – Hammer Lower Shadow

vs

MACD Weekly  Sell Signal 

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Active Key Level  1000 

Fib Ret Big Bull Wave 

and

Research Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick  Confirm or Cancel

with Next

Shipping News   Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOW-s

Final…EOM – September

Baltic Dry Index Monthly Charts

21.11.2015

12.01.2016

Baltic Dry Index Weekly Charts

11.08.2021 – EOD

17.09.2021 – EOW

15.10.2021 – EOW

2.09.2022 – EOW

Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF – from Bulls Ecstasy Over October 2021 to Bear Dynamic Wave 2022 but with First Signal of Stop…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2021

8.08.2021 – Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF – Top Rising Risk in Extreme Bulls Expectations…

18.09.2021 – Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF – Overheat Risk in Bulls Cointainer Show…

16.10.2021 – Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF – Bulls Ecstasy Over…

ATA Special Following …

European Natural Gas

17.07.2022 – European Natural Gas Futures – Old Continent Energy Crisis – Next Phase – Winter Warning…

ATA Special Conclusion

Natural Gas – Shipping Container

Present Energy Crisis 2022 – Shipping Container Crisis 2021

PERFECT DEJA VU…!!!

2022 – Smart Money Mega Speculation in Energy Market – German Electricity Price Skyrocket – Test 1000 EURO/MWH Zone on Mainstream Media Energy Russia Winter Panic

2021 – Smart Money Mega Speculation in Shipping Container Market on Mainstream Media Global Trade Broken Supply Chains Container Cost Skyrocket Panic

Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF Master Motives

Container Bears Hard Wave 2022 Year

on

Recession Hard Landing Slowdown Global Economy and Global Trade

after

Container Bulls Ecstasy Over October 2021

earlier

Container Shipping Rates Skyrocket – Overheating Rising Risk 

on

Global Trade & Economy Recovery and Boom special creating by Mainstream Media

Maersk CEO Ecstasy Verbal Strike

No Sign of Freight Market Easing this year

No Indication that the Current Red-Hot Shipping Market will lose steam this year

with

Global Risk Off Waves Continuation after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off

Stocks Sell Off

Wall Street Risk Off Wave  – specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Active  for Now

with

Present

Bears Hard Strikes after Activated Bearish Ending Diagonal Patterns

vs

Bullish Ending Diagonal and W Patterns in Play

on

Extreme Last Euphory Summer Rally and Present Fear  Main Warns Factors Strikes Back

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK OFF Impact from August Fib Ret Zones vs above  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Impacts and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Last RISK OFF Impact Strike Back

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Reactivation for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

vs

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Stopped in 13.700 Zone

with

Present  Bear Strike Cont. – Test 12.000 Zone

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Reactivation for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

vs

Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 29.800  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Stopped in 34.000 Zone

with

Present  Bear Strike Cont. – Test 31.000-31.300 Zone

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Reactivation for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

vs

Test 44.7% Fib Ret 3.650  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Stopped in 4.300 Zone

with

Present  Bear Strike Cont. – Test 3.900 Zone

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish Active – 75bps September Meeting – Fed Powell Hawkish Speech Jackson Hole

Fed Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

vs

Fed Pivot Scenario 2022 Less Hawkish and 2023 Dovish Outlook Reactivation Canceled for Now

on Fed Powell Hawkish Verbal Strike in Jackson Hole Symposium

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB more Hawkish September Meeting Outlook – 75bps September Hike Rate Projection

ECB July 2022 Meeting More Hawkish

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Reactivation Cont. after Cooling Strike from Overheat Extreme Risk Zone

Long Term Bulls  – Present Bulls Strike Back  after Last Bear FX Hard Fight

August Monthly Bullish Candlestick – Large Real Body

with

New Bulls Dynamic Strike to New 20 Years High 110 Zone above July/22 Top 109.30

after

Last Short Term FX Strikes

Bears Activated Correction from 109.30 – back under 109 with Latest Test Lower 104.60 Zone

New 2B Pattern 108.55  H4 Intraday and Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern Daily

vs

Bulls Dynamic Strike from 104.60 Zone – Active Defense 104.78 56.4% Fib Ret Bull Wave from 101.30

March 2022 Low

Bullish Intraday ( H4 ) W Pattern – Key Level 104.63-65

Bullish Daily Inverted 2B Pattern – Key Level 105.00-05

Back > Key Levels  105 , 105.50 and 108.50 , 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Active ( July High 109.30 – September High 110 Zone stricte 109.97)

with

Present Active Domination

Bulls FX short term Strike Cont. > 109.30

Key Levels   108-108.50  109 – 109.30  vs 110 Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels  108-108.50  109 – 109.30  vs 110

( EOW 109.60 )

First…ATA from  16.10.2021

” Finally

Test

Fib Ext 0.786 – 0.618% First Bull Wave

May 2020 – June 2021

Activated

Bear Reversal Patterns

Hybryd M – Key Level 40 USD

H&S – Neckline – Key Level 37 USD

Present   Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF   Situation 

Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF LONG TERM  SITUATION

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

First of All

Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF –  ATH  40 USD Zone – October 6-th 2021

( stricte 42.16 )

above

Earlier Top 30 USD Zone –  June – August – September 2021

Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF Perspective 

After

First…

March 2020 Pandemic Extreme Fear

Dynamic Bear Wave Stopped in 4 USD Zone May 2020

Activated

Bull Reversal Pattern – Inverted 2B – Key Level 5 USD – June 2020

( stricte June 3-th 2020 )

Second…

Dynamic Bull Wave from 4- 5 USD to 30 USD Zone

vs

Bear Contraction

but with

Cancel H&S – Neckline – Key Level 24.50 USD

Next

Bull Wave above Psychological Key Level 30 USD

Cancel M Pattern  – Key Level 30 USD

and

Bull Wave above Higher Psychological Key Level 40 USD

Finally

Test

Fib Ext 0.786 – 0.618% First Bull Wave May 2020 – June 2021

Activated

Bear Reversal Patterns

Hybryd M – Key Level 40 USD

H&S – Neckline – Key Level 37 USD

with

Two Weekly CandlestickLong Upper Shadows

Now still dominating

Bear Wave

vs

First Signal of Stop Bearish Action

Test Fib Ret 88.6% Bull Big Wave May 2020 – October 2021

Psychological Key Level 8 USD

with

Present Weekly Bull Reversal Candlestick PatternHammer Lower Shadow

and

MACD Weekly  Sell Signal vs Daily Buy Signal

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Active Psychological Key Level 8 USD Zone

3 – 4 USD Low Zone May 2022

Fib Ret Big Bull Wave 

and

Research Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick  Confirm or Cancel

with Next

Shipping News   Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  ChinaTaiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s EOW-s

Final…EOM – September

Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF   Daily  Charts

6.08.2021 – EOD

17.09.2021 – EOD

Bulk Shipping ETF   Weekly and Daily  Charts

15.10.2021 – EOW

2.09.2022 – EOW

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