FIRST OF ALL
FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS
2021 – 2022 Horizon
– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –
ARK Innovation ETF – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
2021
6.03.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Fibonacci Smart Money Game…
25.03.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Besotted in TESLA…
18.04.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – ARK Portfolio ” Chess Castling “
7.05.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Smart Money Playing Out Present Master Key Level 100 USD…
18.07.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – JP Morgan ” Bull Trap ” Warning…
17.08.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – ‘Big Short’ Michael Burry Bearish Bet…
1.09.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bulls vs Bears Draw…
6.10.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – in the Line of Bear Fire…
28.10.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – “TESLA” Rescue Strike from the Line of Bear Fire…
4.12.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bear Torpedo in the Target…
2022
15.01.2022 – ARK Innovation ETF – ARKK in the “DARK” vs Fibonacci “SPARK”…
1.05.2022 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bearish Impact from “DARK” to “DARKNESS”…
ARK Innovation ETF Key Master Motives
ARKK Inflows
ARKK biggest week of inflows in over a year with $534m (Top 1% among ETFs)
5th straight week of inflows
ARKK Bulls vs Bears Hard Fight
Bull Dynamic Contraction in May 2022
after
Worst Ever Month after Plunging 27% in April 2022
with
Cathie Wood US TECH Bull Super Predictions
Cathie Wood still expects ‘spectacular returns’ over the next 5 years
ARKK Free Fall Stopped
Bear Wave in Fear Shadow Stopped in Lower 33-35 USD Zone after Fall under Key Level 50 USD from Peak 160 USD Zone February 16 2021
with
Bull Dynamic Contraction from 33-35 USD Zone
Bull Strike Back above Higher 40 USD
ARKK Conclusion – ARKK First Flash Light in Darkness
Bear Wave Stopped
after Test
First…Key Levels 33-35 USD Zone – Consolidation 2018 – 2020 Years
Second…88.6% Fib Ret Bull Wave from 160 USD Top – 31 USD Zone ( Monthly Chart )
Third… 1.5-1.618% Zone Fib Ext 1st Bear Wave – 31-38 USD Zone ( Weekly Chart )
on
Nasdaq Big Tech Bear Hard Wave
Wall Street RISK OFF Waves
in Inflation Stagflation Fed Hawkish ( Rate Hikes & QT ) Shadows
vs
Latest Bull Contraction
with
SECULAR MOTIVES
Wall Street
Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN Stopped
Nasdaq 100
Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone
Fall under Psychological 13.000 – 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Test – 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
with
Latest Bull Dynamic Contraction – Back > 12.000
Finally for Now
Bulls Bears Hard Fight in Present Active Zone 12.000 – 13.000
with
Lower Support Zone – 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone
DJIA S&P500
Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones
DJIA 37.000 Zone S&P500 4.800 Zone
DJIA
Bull Bear Hard Fight in War Low Zone Active Action
32.000 Zone – in War Low Zone – February 2022
S&P500
Bear Strike under 4.100 War Low Zone – February 2022
Test 38.2% Fib Ret 3.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
with
Latest Bull Dynamic Contractions
from DJIA 31.000 Zone S&P500 3800 Zone
to Higher Key Levels DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 to 4000 Zone
and
Global Inflation Shock
special in Eurozone US and EM
US Inflation Shock
Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed
Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes
Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s
Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict
0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start January 1st
Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook
after
Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25%
with
Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook
Fed Powell More Hawkish
Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario
Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario
with
US and Global Stagflation Fears
STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream
More Risk Scenario
Structural Stagflation Risk
Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation
End of Easy Money Era – Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by Main Central Banks
Global Bond Yields Rising
Global Debt Rising
and
CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB
Fed
Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict
0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start January 1st
Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook
after
Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25%
with
Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook
Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction
Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s
Strong Hawkish Perspective
Dynamic Rate Hikes
QT Balance Sheet Rundown
Fed Rapid Taper
ECB
ECB Eurozone Dovish vs Hawkish Central Fight Continuation
ECB Last Hawkish Strikes
ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish
Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike
ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War
Dovish vs Hawkish Central Verbal Moves
ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia
ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery
European QE > US QE
ECB No Taper for Now
Eurozone Rates Time Game
European QE Story
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Bull Long Term Wave still Active
Bull Strike Out of Range 103 – 104
103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top
104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top
with
Latest Test Higher 105 vs Bear Short Term Correction
Present Active Bull Bear Short Term Fighting in Key Levels 104 – 105 Zone
( Latest Max 105.05 )
on
FOMC MAY Meeting Fed Hawkish Verdict
Fed Hawkish 2022 Outlook
ATA Conclusion
Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active
Now dominating
Bull Wave Action still above 103 and Higher 104 – EOW 104.51
vs
Bear Latest Short Term Correction from Higher 105
Active Zone Key Levels 104 – 105
special focus on
103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top
104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top
Higher Psychological Key Level 105
( EOW 104.51 )
First…ATA from 1.05.2022
” Now still dominating
Bear New Hard Wave…
More Bearish Open Scenarios
First Bearish Scenario
Cancel Ending Diagonal Pattern – Bear Strike to 33-35 USD Zone
Future Tests
Lower Zone of Consolidation 2018 – 2020 Years – Key Levels 33-35 USD Zone
Fib Ext 1.5% and 1.618% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top ( 39-40 and 30 USD Zone )
Fib Ret 88.5% Big Bull Wave from 15 USD Low Zone ( 30 USD Zone ) “
and
ARKK Key Tweets
Second…Present ARKK Innovation ETF Situation
ARKK Innovation ETF LONG TERM SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
First of All
All Time High Zone
Key Level 160 USD Zone – February 2021
( stricte 159.70 )
Perfect Test 3.618% Fib Ext
Activated
Monthly Bear Reversal Pattern – Rising Ending Diagonal ( SChart Monthly Chart )
on
TECH Innovation Ecstasy
and
Hard Destructive Bear Wave
Cancel Rising Ending Diagonal Pattern – Bear Strike to 35 USD Zone ( SChart Monthly Chart )
Forming Falling Invert Ending Diagonal Pattern – Lower Edge 40 USD Zone
( SChart Monthly Chart )
Test
First…Key Levels 33-35 USD Zone – Consolidation 2018 – 2020 Years
Second…88.6% Fib Ret Bull Wave from 160 USD Top – 31 USD Zone ( Monthly Chart )
Third… 1.5-1.618% Zone Fib Ext 1st Bear Wave – 31-38 USD Zone ( Weekly Chart )
Now dominating
ARKK Free Fall Stopped
Bear Wave in Fear Shadow Stopped in Lower 33-35 USD Zone after Fall under Key Level 50 USD from Peak 160 USD Zone February 16 2021
with
Bull Dynamic Contraction from 33-35 USD Zone
Bull Strike Back above Higher 40 USD
Monthly May Bear Candlestick vs Small Real Body Long Lower Shadow
Weekly Hammer Bull Candlestick
High Spike Volume – Monthly and especially Daily
and
Bullish Open Scenario
Major Low in 30-35 USD Zone – Bull Reversal Pattern
Future Active New Bull Wave
vs
More Bearish Open Scenario
Bear Wave Reactivation after Present Bull Correction Over
Bear Strike Back – Fall under 35 USD to 14- 15 USD Zone – Low 2016 Year
Cancel Whole Long Bull Wave
ATA Long Term Investment Conclusion
ARKK Conclusion – ARKK First Flash Light in Darkness
N-TIMES
ARK – First OUT of Bulls Market so Real Scenario – First Back IN Bulls Play after Bears Hard Wave…
so special focus on
Present Active Range
35 – 45-50 USD
and
Fib Ret Big Bear Wave from 160 USD Top
First…23.6% 65 USD Zone
with
Research
New Candlesticks and Classic Pattern
of course with
Next Smart Money Move
New
Fed Verbal Strikes
ARK Cathie Wood News
Nasdaq US Tech News
Global Macro Economy News
Governments & Central Banks Strikes
and of course
Future Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOW-s
Final…EOM – May
ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly Charts
5.03.2021 – EOD



24.03.2021 – EOD



16.04.2021 – EOD



6.05.2021 – EOD



16.07.2021 – EOD



16.08.2021 – EOD



31.08.2021 – EOM



5.10.2021 – EOD



27.10.2021 – EOD



ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly and Weekly Charts
3.12.2021 – EOW




14.01.2022 – EOW




29.04.2022 – EOM




ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly Weekly and Daily Charts
13.05.2022 – EOW




