FIRST OF ALL
FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS
2021 – 2022 Horizon
– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –
iShares Silver Trust – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
SLV is one of the most popular ETFs in the world, offering silver exposure
based on physically-backed silver bullion.
ATA Continuation of…
2021
24.08.2021 – iShares Silver Trust – Silver Bull Fight in FX USD Rhythm…
ATA Following …
SILVER Spot
2022
20.11.2022 – SILVER Spot – New Hard Climb in US Dollar and Fed Shadows…
Global X Silver Miners ETF
2021
16.08.2021 – Global X Silver Miners ETF – Silveren Tactic Wave…
ProShares Ultra Silver
2021
28.08.2021 – ProShares Ultra Silver – Silver Spark in Fed Dovish Dark…
XAU/XAG – Gold/Silver Ratio
27.07.2020 – XAU/XAG – BEARS DEALING CARDS…
and
Newmont Goldcorp
13.11.2022 – Newmont Goldcorp – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Smart Money Golden Fibonacci Move…
Barrick Gold
6.11.2022 – Barrick Gold – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Fibonacci Smart Money Golden Action…
GOLDEN SPECTRUM
2020
7.04.2020 – GOLD – GOLDEN SECULAR SPECTRUM …
GOLD Futures
24.07.2022 – GOLD Futures – Golden Bulls Bears 10 Years War – Major Bullish Zone under Bearish Attack in USD FX Shadow…
GOLD Spot
2022
Gold/Bitcoin Ratio
2022
19.06.2022 – GOLD/BITCOIN RATIO – from Golden Bullish Reversal to Bulls Wave…
Copper/Gold Ratio
2022
18.06.2022 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – from Bearish Reversal to Bear Wave in Stagflation Fear Mainstream Flashes…
iShares Silver Trust Key Motives
iShares Silver Trust tracking SILVER Spot
Silver Biggest Deficit in decades – Silver Institute
Silver – Golden anti USD Path
Silver Spot Bull Dynamic Strike Back Cont. > Psychological Key Level 20 USD – Test Higher 23 USD Key Level
in
GLOBAL DOLLAR – DXY F/X Bearish Shadow
with
GLOBAL TRENDS
Global Risk On Waves still Active after Last Reactivation with Bullish Strike Cont. > June 2022 Lows
Bond Sell Off Wave Stopped
Stocks Sell Off Wave Stopped
Wall Street Risk ON Wave still Active after Last Reactivation – Bulls Strike Cont. > June 2022 Lows
specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq
Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK ON Active for Now
on
Master Factors
Fed Powell Speech Less Slower Hawkish
US PCE CPI PPI Inflation Lower Strikes
with
Fed FOMC Minutes Less Hawkish
Finally for Now still Active
Fed Rates Hike Cycle Slower – Less Hawkish – Less vs still Hawkish Scenario
with
Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction
US Earnings Stagflation Recession Fear with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact
Investment Conclusion
Wall Street Volatility and RISK ON Active after Last Reactivation – Bulls Strike Cont. above September Fib Ret June Lows Zone
with
LONG TERM MOTIVES
WALL STREET
Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN Stopped with Bulls Dynamic Strike Cont.
Nasdaq 100
Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Stopped for Now
Bulls Dynamic Strike Cont. > June 2022 Low Key Level 11.000 – non stop above Lower 10.500
Fibonacci Constelation
Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 10.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Finally for Now
Bulls Strike Cont. > 11.000 and Fight in Higher 12.000 Zone
with
Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick – very long Lower Shadow
DJIA and S&P500
DJIA
Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 37.000 Zone Stopped for Now
Bulls Strike Cont. > Higher Key Level 34.000 and > June 2022 Low Key Level 29.500-600 and Lower 28.500 Zone
Fibonacci Constelation
Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Finally for Now
Bulls Strike Cont. > 34.000 and Fight Cont. in Higher 34.500 Zone
with
Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick – – very long Lower Shadow
S&P500
Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Stopped for Now
Bulls Strike Cont. above Higher Psychological Key Level 4.000 no stop above June 2022 Low Key Level 3.600 and Lower 3.500 Zone
Fibonacci Constelation
Test 50% Fib Ret 3.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Finally for Now
Bulls Strike Fight Cont. > Psychological 4.000 and Bull Bear Fight in Higher 4080-4.100 Zone
with
Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick – very long Lower Shadow
CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB SNB BoJ and PBoC
Fed
Fed Powell Speech Less Slower Hawkish vs still Hawkish
Fed FOMC Minutes Less Hawkish vs still Hawkish
Fed Less Hawkish on US PCE CPI PPI Lower
Finally
Fed Rate Hike Outlook – Fed Fund Futures
50bps December ( 78.2% )
Fed Less Hawkish Scenario still on the Table
after
November 75bps Rate Hike
Powell Super Hawkish
Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer
and
75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict
Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish
2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps
Fed June 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish
Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994
Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st
ECB
Eurozone CPI PPI Inflation Lower – ECB Less Hawkish
ECB Minutes Less Hawkish vs still Hawkish
ECB Less Hawkish on the Table
after
ECB Super Hawkish Verdict – 75bps Rate Hike October
and
ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate
Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History
ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps
July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation
ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma
Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk
ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War
Energy Crisis
Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis
SNB
Swiss Central Hawkish Wave 2022
SNB September Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 75Bps to 0.50%
earlier
SNB June Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50Bps to -025%
Swiss Central Bank surprises markets – First Rate Hike since 2007
Rate Hike to -0.25% from -0.75%
BOJ
non stop Ultra Dovish
vs
BoJ FX Interventions – September and October
Japan Mega QE
Japan QE > European QE > US QE
PBoC
PBoC – People Bank of China – New Dovish
PBoC cut RRR 25bps
China Central Bank Stimulus Covid-Hit China Economy
China Central Bank Verbal Intervention
Warning on Speculation against Yuan
Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Bull Long Term Wave still Stopped and Hard Bears Strike Cont. for Now
USD/JPY Bear Wave Cont. < Lower 135
after Earlier Hard Fall < Psychological Key Level 150 after BoJ FX Intervention
US Dollar Index
Earlier Acceleration New Higher 20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )
Long Term Bulls FX Wave Stopped
September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow
October Bearish Doji Monthly Candlestick – Volatility and Long Upper Lower Shadows
November Bearish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body
December Bearish Monthly Candlestick for Now
( needed confirmation – EOM )
with
First
Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50
Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 109.50
Test Key Level 109 110 Zone – 68.5 -78.6%
Last
Bears Strike Back from 113 Zone under Key Level 109.50
Break Down July/22 Top 109.30
Latest
Bears New Hard Strike under 105.80 – 106 and Lower 105
vs
still above
103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top
104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top
ATA Conclusion
Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Hard Stopped with Last Bearish Strike Cont.
with
Present USD Bear Strike
Bearish FX short term Move under Lower 105
after Earlier
Bearish FX short term Strike from 113 under Key Level 109.50
Bullish FX short term Fight in Lower 105.80 – 106 Zone
DXY BattleField
Key Levels 104-104.30-50 vs 105 105.80 106 Zone in Smart Money FX Game
special focus on
Present Key Levels 104-104.30-50 vs 105 105.80 106
( EOW 104.51 )
First…ATA from 24.08.2021
” Next Bear Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 27.50 USD
August 2020 – February 2021
Latest Bear Correction
Pattern Inception – 2B and H&S
Break Down – Hybryd H&S Neckline – Key Level 24.30 USD “
ATA Big Short Warning Gold Silver US Inflation DXY Fed BoJ ECB Central Banks Key Tweets
Big Short Michael Burry Warning
Warnings – Gold Safe Haven
Financial Mainstream Game True Explanation…
US PCE Lower – Major Fed Less Hawkish Factor
US PPI Lower – Major Fed Less Hawkish Factor
US CPI Lower – Major Fed Less Hawkish Factor
GOLD
DXY
Fed Less Hawkish vs Hawkish Scenario
Fed Black Swan
BoJ – Black Swan
ECB – Black Swan
Central Banks – Black Swans
Fed SNB Emergency Swap Action – Extreme Low Global Liquidity Risk
Second...iShares Silver Trust Present Situation
SLV LONG TERM SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
Monthly View
First of All
After Activated
First…
Bull Ecstasy Skyrocket – Test 50 USD Zone ( stricte 48.35 ) – April 2011
Bear Reversal Process – Next Lower Top 46 USD Zone ( stricte 46.23 ) – May 2011
Dynamic Bear Wave from 50 USD Zone to 13 USD Zone
Major Low – ( stricte 13.04 ) December 2015
Second Low – ( stricte 13.11 ) September 2018
with
Bull Reversal Patterns – Ending Diagonals
Smaller ( 2014 -2015 Years )
Bigger ( 2016 -2018 Years )
and
Covid Panic Strike – March 2020
New Master Low – Key Level 10 USD Zone ( stricte 10.86 )
Finally
Long Term Inverted 2B – Key Level 13 USD
December 2015 September 2018 – March 2020
Second…
Bull Dynamic Contraction
Test 44.6% Fib Ret Long Term Bear Wave – Key Level 27.50 USD Zone
Third…
Next Bear Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 27.50 USD
August 2020 – February 2021
Pattern Inception – 2B and H&S
Break Down – Hybryd H&S Neckline – Key Level 24.30 USD
February – August 2021
Bear Correction
from 27.50 USD to 16 USD Zone
with
Test
1st Lower Edge Bearish Trend Channel – Key Level 16 USD Zone
Weekly View
2nd 68.5% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave from Covid Panic Low Zone – March 2020
Key Level 16 USD Zone
Now dominating
Bull Dynamic Strike
from Lower Edge Bearish Trend Channel and Fib Ret 16 USD Zone
to Upper Edge Bearish Trend Channel – Key Level 21.80 USD Zone
with
Monthly November – December Bull Candlestick for Now
Last Weekly Bull Candlestick
MACD Monthly Sell Signal vs Weekly Buy Signal
SLV Present Battlefield
21 – 21.30 vs 21.80 -22 USD
ATA Investment Conclusion
Now Special Focus on
21 – 21.30 vs 21.80 -22 USD
with
Next Smart Money Move
Final Result of Test
Upper Edge Bearish Trend Channel
Research New Pattern and Confirm or Cancel Present Pattern
Classical & Candlestick
and of course
Next Smart Money Move
New
Gold Silver News
US Dollar News
Fed Verbal Strikes
Global Macro Economy News
Governments & Central Banks Strikes
Russia Moves Ukraine War – China – Taiwan News
Next Global Macro Strikes
Future Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOM – December
by the Silver Way
always remember
Silver – anti US Dollar Vector
Global X Silver Miners ETF Monthly Weekly Charts
13.08.2021
2.12.2022 – EOW
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 