iShares Silver Trust – Silver Bull Action on USD and Fed RISK ON Double Impact…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

iShares Silver Trust – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

SLV  is one of the most popular ETFs in the world, offering silver exposure

based on physically-backed silver bullion.

ATA Continuation of…

2021

24.08.2021 – iShares Silver Trust – Silver Bull Fight in FX USD Rhythm…

ATA Following …

SILVER Spot

2022

20.11.2022 – SILVER Spot – New Hard Climb in US Dollar and Fed Shadows…

Global X Silver Miners ETF

2021

16.08.2021 – Global X Silver Miners ETF – Silveren Tactic Wave…

ProShares Ultra Silver

2021

28.08.2021 – ProShares Ultra Silver – Silver Spark in Fed Dovish Dark…

XAU/XAG –  Gold/Silver Ratio

27.07.2020 –  XAU/XAG – BEARS DEALING CARDS…

and

Newmont Goldcorp

13.11.2022 – Newmont Goldcorp – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Smart Money Golden Fibonacci Move…

Barrick Gold 

6.11.2022 – Barrick Gold – Gold Spark in US Dollar Dark – Fibonacci Smart Money Golden Action…

GOLDEN SPECTRUM

2020

7.04.2020 – GOLD – GOLDEN SECULAR SPECTRUM …

GOLD Futures

24.07.2022 – GOLD Futures – Golden Bulls Bears 10 Years War – Major Bullish Zone under Bearish Attack in USD FX Shadow…

GOLD Spot 

2022

23.07.2022 – GOLD Spot – US Dollar FX Path vs Russia-Ukraine War and Inflation Mainstream Fear Trend in Fibonacci Golden Constellation Shadow …

Gold/Bitcoin Ratio

2022

19.06.2022 – GOLD/BITCOIN RATIO – from Golden Bullish Reversal to Bulls Wave…

Copper/Gold Ratio 

2022

18.06.2022 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – from Bearish Reversal to Bear Wave in Stagflation Fear Mainstream Flashes…

iShares Silver Trust Key Motives

iShares Silver Trust tracking SILVER Spot 

Silver Biggest Deficit in decades – Silver Institute

Silver – Golden  anti USD Path

Silver Spot Bull Dynamic Strike Back Cont.  > Psychological Key Level 20 USD Test Higher 23 USD Key Level

in

GLOBAL DOLLAR – DXY F/X Bearish Shadow

with

GLOBAL TRENDS

Global Risk On Waves  still Active after Last Reactivation  with  Bullish Strike Cont. >  June 2022 Lows

Bond Sell Off Wave Stopped

Stocks Sell Off Wave Stopped

Wall Street Risk ON Wave still Active after Last  Reactivation  –  Bulls Strike Cont. >  June 2022 Lows 

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK ON Active   for Now

on

Master Factors

Fed Powell Speech Less Slower Hawkish

US PCE CPI PPI Inflation Lower Strikes

with

Fed FOMC Minutes Less Hawkish

Finally for Now still Active

Fed Rates Hike Cycle Slower – Less Hawkish – Less vs still Hawkish Scenario

with

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

US Earnings Stagflation Recession Fear with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK ON Active after Last Reactivation –  Bulls Strike Cont. above  September Fib Ret  June Lows Zone

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Bulls Dynamic Strike Cont.

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Dynamic Strike Cont. >   June 2022 Low Key Level 11.000 – non stop above Lower 10.500 

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 10.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike  Cont. > 11.000 and Fight  in Higher 12.000 Zone

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick – very long Lower Shadow

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. >  Higher Key Level 34.000  and  >  June 2022 Low Key Level 29.500-600 and Lower 28.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls  Strike Cont.   34.000  and Fight Cont. in Higher 34.500 Zone

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull  Candlestick – – very long Lower Shadow

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. above Higher Psychological Key Level 4.000  no stop above  June 2022 Low Key Level 3.600 and Lower 3.500 Zone

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  50% Fib Ret 3.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike  Fight Cont. >  Psychological 4.000 and  Bull Bear Fight  in Higher 4080-4.100 Zone

with

Latest Friday Daily Bull  Candlestick – very long Lower Shadow

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB SNB BoJ and PBoC

Fed

Fed Powell Speech Less Slower Hawkish vs still Hawkish

Fed FOMC Minutes Less Hawkish vs still Hawkish

Fed Less Hawkish on US PCE CPI PPI Lower

Finally

Fed Rate Hike Outlook – Fed Fund Futures

50bps December ( 78.2% )

Fed Less Hawkish Scenario still on the Table

after

November 75bps Rate Hike

Powell Super Hawkish

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer

and

75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

Eurozone CPI PPI Inflation Lower ECB Less Hawkish

ECB Minutes Less Hawkish vs still Hawkish

ECB Less Hawkish on the Table

after

ECB Super Hawkish Verdict – 75bps Rate Hike October

and

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

SNB

Swiss Central Hawkish Wave 2022

SNB September Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 75Bps to 0.50%

earlier

SNB June Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50Bps to -025%

Swiss Central Bank surprises markets – First Rate Hike since 2007

Rate Hike to -0.25% from -0.75%

BOJ

non stop Ultra Dovish

vs

BoJ FX Interventions – September and October

Japan Mega QE

Japan QE > European QE > US QE

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – New Dovish

PBoC cut RRR 25bps

China Central Bank Stimulus Covid-Hit China Economy

China Central Bank Verbal Intervention

Warning on Speculation against Yuan

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Stopped and  Hard Bears Strike Cont. for Now

USD/JPY Bear Wave Cont. < Lower 135

after Earlier Hard Fall  < Psychological Key Level 150 after  BoJ FX Intervention

US Dollar Index

Earlier Acceleration New Higher  20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )

Long Term Bulls  FX Wave  Stopped

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow

October Bearish Doji Monthly Candlestick – Volatility and Long Upper Lower Shadows

November Bearish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body

December Bearish Monthly Candlestick for Now

( needed confirmation – EOM )

with

First

Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50

Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 109.50

Test Key Level 109 110  Zone – 68.5 -78.6%

Last

Bears Strike Back  from 113 Zone under Key Level  109.50

Break Down  July/22 Top  109.30

Latest

Bears New Hard Strike under 105.80 – 106  and Lower 105

vs

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave  Hard Stopped with Last Bearish Strike Cont.

with

Present USD  Bear Strike

Bearish FX short term Move under  Lower 105

after Earlier

Bearish FX short term Strike from  113 under Key Level 109.50

Bullish FX short term Fight in Lower 105.80 – 106 Zone

DXY BattleField

Key Levels  104-104.30-50 vs 105 105.80 106  Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels  104-104.30-50 vs 105 105.80 106

( EOW 104.51 )

First…ATA  from  24.08.2021

Next Bear Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 27.50 USD

August 2020 – February 2021

Latest Bear Correction

Pattern Inception – 2B and H&S

Break Down – Hybryd H&S Neckline – Key Level 24.30 USD

ATA Big Short Warning Gold Silver US Inflation DXY Fed BoJ ECB Central Banks Key Tweets

Big Short Michael Burry Warning

Warnings – Gold Safe Haven

Financial Mainstream Game True Explanation…

US PCE Lower – Major Fed Less Hawkish Factor

US PPI Lower – Major Fed Less Hawkish Factor

US CPI Lower – Major Fed Less Hawkish Factor

GOLD

DXY

Fed Less Hawkish vs Hawkish Scenario

Fed Black Swan

BoJ – Black Swan

ECB – Black Swan

Central Banks Black Swans

Fed SNB Emergency Swap ActionExtreme Low Global Liquidity Risk

Second...iShares Silver Trust Present Situation

SLV  LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Monthly View 

First of All

After Activated

First…

Bull Ecstasy Skyrocket – Test 50 USD Zone ( stricte 48.35 ) – April 2011

Bear Reversal Process –  Next Lower Top 46 USD Zone ( stricte 46.23 ) – May 2011

Dynamic Bear Wave from 50 USD Zone to 13 USD Zone

Major Low – ( stricte 13.04 December 2015

Second Low – ( stricte 13.11 ) September 2018

with

Bull Reversal Patterns – Ending Diagonals

Smaller ( 2014 -2015 Years )

Bigger ( 2016 -2018 Years )

and

Covid Panic Strike – March 2020

New Master Low – Key Level 10 USD Zone ( stricte 10.86 )

Finally

Long Term Inverted 2B – Key Level 13 USD

December 2015 September 2018 – March 2020

Second…

Bull Dynamic Contraction

Test 44.6% Fib Ret Long Term Bear Wave – Key Level 27.50 USD Zone

Third…

Next Bear Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 27.50 USD

August 2020 – February 2021

Pattern Inception – 2B and H&S

Break Down – Hybryd H&S Neckline – Key Level 24.30 USD

February – August 2021

Bear Correction

from 27.50 USD to 16 USD Zone

with

Test

1st Lower Edge Bearish Trend Channel – Key Level 16 USD Zone

Weekly View 

2nd 68.5% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave from Covid Panic Low Zone – March 2020

Key Level 16 USD Zone

Now dominating

Bull Dynamic Strike

from Lower Edge Bearish Trend Channel and Fib Ret 16 USD Zone

to Upper Edge Bearish Trend Channel – Key Level 21.80 USD Zone

with

Monthly November – December Bull Candlestick for Now

Last Weekly Bull Candlestick

MACD Monthly Sell Signal vs Weekly Buy Signal

SLV  Present Battlefield 

21 – 21.30  vs 21.80 -22 USD

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now  Special Focus on

21 – 21.30  vs 21.80 -22 USD

with

Next Smart Money Move

Final Result of Test

Upper Edge Bearish Trend Channel

Research New Pattern and Confirm or Cancel Present Pattern

Classical   Candlestick 

and of course

Next Smart Money Move

New

Gold Silver News 

US Dollar News

Fed Verbal Strikes

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan News

Next Global Macro Strikes

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – December

by the Silver  Way

always remember

Silver  –  anti US Dollar  Vector

Global X Silver Miners ETF   Monthly Weekly Charts

13.08.2021

2.12.2022 – EOW

Advertisement

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Create a website or blog at WordPress.com

Up ↑

%d bloggers like this: