FANG + INDEX – Bearish Ending Diagonal Harder RISK OFF Consequence in Fibonacci Shadow…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

FANG + INDEX   –   Non Stop on ATA Research Radar 

FANG + INDEX  – Wall Street  &  Global Equity Pathfinder 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

Last

17.12.2020 – FANG + INDEX – 2020 EOY Windows Dressing Bulls Party…

2021

7.02.2021 – FANG + INDEX – 2021 Bulls Levitation…

24.02.2021 – FANG + INDEX – TECH SHOCK…

3.03.2021 – FANG + INDEX – on the EDGE…

24.03.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Danger Zone…

6.07.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Bulls Reconquest to Danger Zone…

20.07.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Bear Strike from Danger Zone…

7.08.2021 – FANG + INDEX – No New ATH since February 2021…

25.08.2021 – FANG + INDEX – New Round US TECH Bulls vs Bears Fighting under February 2021 Top…

2.09.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Bulls Strike inside Bear Ending Diagonal…

21.09.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Bear Patterns Action…

1.10.2021 – FANG + INDEX – ON SKYFALL EDGE…

13.11.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Bulls vs Bears Fight above Higher Edge Bearish Ending Diagonal…

18.12.2021 – FANG + INDEX – Bears Strike under Lower Edge Bearish Ending Diagonal…

2022

23.01.2022 FANG + INDEX – Bearish Ending Diagonal Hard RISK OFF Consequence…

FANG + INDEX  Present Key Motives

FANG Index Bear Dynamic ActionNew Deep Harder Strikes

after

Activated Two Bearish Patterns

2B – Key Level 8000 – November 2021

Ending Diagonal 

Break Down

Upper Edge – Key Level 7800 – November 2021

Lower Edge – Key Level 7800 – December 2021

and

Bear Strike under February 2021 Top Zone – Key Level 7350-7250 – January 2022

on

RISK OFF Waves in Ukraine War Inflation Stagflation Fed Hawkish (Rate Hikes QT Prediction) Shadows

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Continuation after Last  Reactivation

Bear Strike under Psychological 13.000

after Earlier

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bull Dynamic Contraction from 13.000 Zone to 15.300 Zone

Finally for Now

Bear Contraction Continuation  from 15.300 Zone under 13.000War Low

Test Lower 12.850 Zone

Ahead of Lower 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Continuation after Last Reactivation

with

Bull Dynamic Strikes still Stopped for Now

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone  S&P500 to 4600 Zone

and

Bear Contractions Continuation

DJIA from 35.300 Zone to 33.000 Zone – still above War Low Zone

S&P500 from 4.600 Zone to 4.100 Zone – in War Low Zone

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed May 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish Outlook

Fed Funds Futures Hike 0.50% 97.1% Probability

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

with still Active

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Debt Rising

and

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed May 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish Outlook

Fed Funds Futures Hike 0.50% 97.1% Probability

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Fight Continuation

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Active 

but with

Hard FX Fighting in 103 – 104 Zone

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

after

Bear Correction from 101 Zone to 99.80 Zone

USD Bull Strike Continuation from Last Low  99.80 Zone  

above 

First…Master Psychological Key Level 100  

Second…Higher Psychological Key Level 103  

but with

Latest Bear Short Term Contraction from Key Level 104 to 102.80

( Max 103.94 )

and

Latest Bull Short Term Strike from Key Level 102.80  Back above  103

on 

FOMC MAY Meeting Fed Hawkish Outlook

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active

Now dominating

Bull Wave Domination still above 100 and Higher 103 – EOW 103.23

Active Zone Key Levels  103 – 104

special focus on

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

Master Psychological Key Level 100 and Higher Key Levels  103 vs 104

( EOW 103.23 )

First…ATA  from  23.01.2022

” Now still dominating

Hard Bear Wave

Fall to Key Level 6500 Zone

Latest Weekly Bear Candlestick – Large Real Body

Ahead of

Lower Psychological Key Level 6000 Zone

March – May 2021 Low Zone

38.2% Fib Ret Bull Wave from 2500 to 8000

Second…Present   FANG + INDEX  Situation

FANG + INDEX  LONG TERM  SITUATION

First of All

FANG + INDEX –  ATH 8000 Zone –  November 2021

( stricte 8077.01 )

FANG Index Perspective 

After

Final

Test 3 Times Higher Psychological 8000 Zone

Finally

Activated Two Bearish Patterns

2B – Key Level 8000

Ending Diagonal – Upper Edge – Key Level 7800

and

Dynamic Bear Strike under

First…Upper Edge – Key Level 7800 of Ending Diagonal

Second…Lower Edge – Key Level 7400 of Ending Diagonal

Third…February Top Key Level 7300 

with

War Panic – March 2022 – Low Zone 5.400

vs

Bull Dynamic Contraction from 5.400 to 7.000 Zone

March – April 2022

Now dominating

Hard Bear Wave Continuation

inside

Inverted Ending Diagonal Expanding Diagonal

Upper Edge – Key Level 6.000

Lower Edge – Key Level 4.600

and

Latest Bearish Strike under 5.400 – War March Low

Present Test

Lower Key Level 5.300 Zone

50% Fib Ret Bull Wave from 2.500 to 8.000 – Key Level 5.300

March 2020 – November 2021

61.8% Fib Ext First Bear Wave from 8000 to 5.400 – Key Level 5.300

November 2021 – March 2022

with

Latest Weekly Bear Candlestick

Small Real Body – Upper and Lower Shadows

ATA Investment Conclusion

Future Open Scenarios

Bull Scenario – Active Bull Reversal Pattern Inverted 2B – Key Level 5.400

vs

Bear Scenario Fall Continuation to

Lower 61.8% Fib Ret – Key Level 4.600

Lower 78.6% Fib Ext – Key Level 4.800 and 100% Fib Ext – Key Level 4.250

so special focus on

Present

Active Zone 5300 – 5600

Fib Ret – special 50%

Inverted Ending Diagonal Expanding Diagonal

and

Research

Candlestick and Classic Reversal Patterns

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New

FOMC May – Fed Verdict

US Tech News 

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOW-s

Final…EOM – May

FANG + INDEX   Daily  Charts

14.01.2020 –  EOD  3360.24 vs High 3.399.38

FANG - D - FIB EXT png

4.02.2020 –  EOD  3667.14 vs High 3.730.91

FANG - D - FIB EXT png

1.05.2020 – EOD 

FANG - D - Main FIB EXT png

8.05.2020 – EOD 

FANG - D - Main FIB EXT png

29.05.2020 – EOM 

FANG - D - Line

5.06.2020 – EOD 

FANG - D - Main FIB EXT - Line

FANG + INDEX   Weekly Charts

11.06.2020 – EOD 

FANG - W

FANG + INDEX   Weekly Charts

12.06.2020 – EOW 

FANG - W - SCharts

16.06.2020 – EOD 

FANG - W - SCharts

FANG + INDEX   Weekly Charts

23.06.2020 – EOD 

FANG - W

1.07.2020 – EOD 

FANG - W - SCharts

7.07.2020 – EOD 

FANG - W

15.07.2020 – EOD

FANG - W - 15.07

16.07.2020 – EOD

FANG - W

31.07.2020 – EOW – EOM 

FANG - W

13.08.2020 – EOD 

FANG - W

25.08.2020 – EOD

FANG - W - SCharts

3.09.2020 – EOD

4.09.2020 – EOD

8.09.2020 – EOD

22.09.2020 – EOD

29.09.2020 – EOD

15.10.2020 – EOD

29.10.2020 – EOD

31.10.2020 – EOW

4.11.2020 -EOD

25.11.2020 – EOD

10.12.2020 – EOD

16.12.2020 – EOD

5.02.2021 -EOW

23.02.2021 – EOD

2.03.2021 – EOD

23.03.2021 – EOD

2.07.2021 – EOW

19.07.2021 – EOD

6.08.2021 – EOW

24.08.2021 – EOD

1.09.2021 – EOD

20.09.2021 – EOD

30.09.2021 – EOD

12.11.2021 – EOW

17.12.2021 – EOW

21.01.2022 – EOW

29.04.2022 – EOW

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