APPLE/S&P500 RATIO – Apple Shining Capitalisation Equivalent to 180 Stocks in Loosing Momentum Risk Shadow…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

APPLE/S&P500 Ratio  –  Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Following…

Apple

10.09.2022 – APPLE – iPhone 14 Launch Event in Ending Diagonals and Fibonacci Shadows…

Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario

19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…

15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…

8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!

Polish Stocks

14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…

Apple/S&P500 Ratio Main Motives

First of All

Apple Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and S&P500

Apple Market Capitalisation equivalent to S&P500 180 Stocks

and

Global Risk Off Waves Stopped after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off Stopped

Stocks Sell Off Stopped

Wall Street Risk Off Wave  Stopped  – specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK ON Impact Active  for Now

with

Present

Bulls Dynamic Strikes after Test Fib Ret Daily

Activated Bullish Ending Diagonal and Invert 2B Patterns H4 Intraday

on

Present Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally 

Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK ON Action from September Fib Ret Zones vs above  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Warnings  and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Last RISK ON Action Strike Back

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Stopped for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 11.900-12.000 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone

vs

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

with

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Reactivation in 11.900-12.000 Zone

with

Present  Bull Strike from 12.000 Zone

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Stopped  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 31.000 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 29.500-30.000 Zone

vs

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

with

Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 29.800  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Reactivation in 31.000 Zone

with

Present Bull Strike from 31.000 Zone

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Stopped  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 3.900 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone

vs

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

with

Test 44.7% Fib Ret 3.650  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bulls Wave Reactivation in 3.900 Zone

with

Present  Bull Strike from 3.900 Zone

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish Active – 75bps September Meeting Outlook – Fed Powell Hawkish Speech

Fed Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

vs

Fed Pivot Scenario 2022 Less Hawkish and 2023 Dovish Outlook Reactivation Canceled for Now

on Fed Powell Hawkish Verbal Strike in Jackson Hole Symposium

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Hard Stopped for Now – New  Cooling Strike from Overheat Extreme Risk Zone

Long Term Bulls  – Present Bears Strike Back  after Last Bulls Dynamic FX Wave

September Bear Shooting Star Candlestick Bearsih Reversal Pattern

with

Last Short Term FX Strikes

Bears Activated Correction from 110.80

Activated Bearish Reversal Patterns

Ending Diagonals and New 2B Pattern 109.30   Daily – H4 Intraday

after

Bulls Latest Dynamic Strike to New 20 Years High 110-111 Zone above July/22 Top 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave New Stopped for Now ( July High 109.30 – September High 110-111 Zone stricte 110.78 )

with

Present Active Domination

Bulls Bear FX short term Fight in 108.30-50 109.30 Zone

Key Levels   108.30-108.50  vs 109.30  vs 110111 Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels  108.30-108.50  vs 109.30   110111

( EOW 108.97 )

First…Apple S&P500 Ratio Master Tweet

Second…Present Apple/S&P500 Ratio  Situation 

APPLE/S&P500 RATIO  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Monthly Perspective 

First of All

80s Decade – especially 1983 – 1991

Horizontal Trend – Triple Tops Pattern

90s Decade – especially 1991 – 1997

Bearish Trend – started afer Activated H&S Pattern

2000s Decade and Beyond – especially 2000 – 2012

Bullish Mega Strong Trend

started afer Activated Two Inverted H&S Patterns

1st – 1997 -1998 Years with strong Pullback 2000 Year

2nd – 2002 – 2004 Years

2012 Year – Top of Dynamic Bulls Wave

2010s Decade and Beyond – especially 2012 – 2020

Bear Correction from 2012 Top – 2012 – 2013 Years

Bullish Less Dynamic Trend inside Bullish Channel – 2013 – 2019 Years

Bulls Wave Acceleration – New High – 2019 – 2020 Years

2020s Decade Started – 2020 – 2022

Loosing Bullish Momentum – Ending Diagonal Pattern Bearish Risk

Now still dominating

Loosing Bullish Momentum Process

inside

1st – Ending Diagonal Pattern

2nd – 1.618 – 2.00% Fib Ext Zone

with

September Monthly Bear Candlestick

MACD Monthly Sell Signal – Negative Divergence since January 2021

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on and carefully Research

Monthly Ending Diagonal

Research Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick  Confirm or Cancel

Fib Ext Bull Large Wave

with Next

Apple US Big Tech Nasdaq S&P500 Wall Street News   

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First..EOM – September 

APPLE/S&P500 Ratio  Monthly  Charts

9.09.2022 – EOW

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