FIRST OF ALL
FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS
2021 – 2022 Horizon
– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –
APPLE – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
2020
Last of 2020
24.12.2020 – APPLE – Next iLevel – Cupertino EV…
2021
8.02.2021 – APPLE – Apple Car Speculation…
19.07.2021 – APPLE – iPhone Optimism Warning…
11.09.2021 – APPLE – App Store Payment Decision Strike…
15.09.2021 – APPLE – iPhone event 2021 Motive…
30.10.2021 – APPLE – Pattern and Fibonacci in Supply Chain Crunch Shadow…
2022
29.01.2022 – APPLE – Bull Strikes Back on Monster Earnings in Fibonacci and Ending Diagonal Shadows…
14.05.2022 – APPLE – from Ending Diagonal Risk to Bear Strike in Fibonacci Shadows…
ATA Following…
Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario
19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…
15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…
8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!
Polish Stocks
14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…
Apple Main Motives
First of All
Apple Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and S&P500
Apple Market Capitalisation equivalent to S&P500 180 Stocks
Apple iPhone 14 Launch Event
Apple has debuted its iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Pro. Announced during the company’s Far Out event at its Cupertino, Calif., headquarters on Wednesday, the iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Pro come in standard and larger Plus and Max models.
The 6.1-inch iPhone 14 starts at $799 and hits the market Sept. 16, while the 6.7-inch iPhone 14 Plus starts at $899. The iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max — also available on Sept. 16 — will set you back a bit more thanks to their 6.7-inch displays, costing $999 and $1,099.
Apple Earnings Q3/2022 fiscal year – July 28 2022
Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg
Revenue $83 billion versus $82.7 billion expected
Earnings per share $1.20 versus $1.16 expected
iPhone revenue $40.7 billion versus $38.9 billion expected
iPad revenue $7.22 billion billion versus $6.9 billion expected
Mac revenue $7.4 billion billion versus $8.4 billion expected
Wearables revenue $8.1 billion versus $8.8 billion expected
Services revenue $19.6 billion billion versus $19.7 billion expected
Earnings Report Conclusion
Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Apple Stocks Action – Bulls Strike – Fight above Psychological Key Level 150 USD
after Latest Bears Action – Test Key Fib Ret
with
Global Risk Off Waves Stopped after Reactivation in August 2022
Bond Sell Off Stopped
Stocks Sell Off Stopped
Wall Street Risk Off Wave Stopped – specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq
Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK ON Impact Active for Now
with
Present
Bulls Dynamic Strikes after Test Fib Ret Daily
Activated Bullish Ending Diagonal and Invert 2B Patterns H4 Intraday
on
Present Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally
Factors
Fed Rates Hike Cycle
Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction
Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact
Investment Conclusion
Wall Street Volatility and RISK ON Action from September Fib Ret Zones vs above May – June Lows Zone
on
Mainstream Bearish Warnings and Projections
in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows
with
LONG TERM MOTIVES
WALL STREET
Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN Stopped with Last RISK ON Action Strike Back
Nasdaq 100
Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Stopped for Now
Fibonacci Constelation
Test 68.5% Fib Ret 11.900-12.000 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone
vs
Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone
with
Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Finally for Now
Bulls Wave Reactivation in 11.900-12.000 Zone
with
Present Bull Strike from 12.000 Zone
DJIA and S&P500
DJIA
Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 37.000 Zone Stopped for Now
Fibonacci Constelation
Test 68.5% Fib Ret 31.000 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 29.500-30.000 Zone
vs
Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone
with
Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 29.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Finally for Now
Bulls Wave Reactivation in 31.000 Zone
with
Present Bull Strike from 31.000 Zone
S&P500
Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Stopped for Now
Fibonacci Constelation
Test 61.8% Fib Ret 3.900 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone
vs
Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone
with
Test 44.7% Fib Ret 3.650 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Finally for Now
Bulls Wave Reactivation in 3.900 Zone
with
Present Bull Strike from 3.900 Zone
CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC
Fed
Fed More Hawkish Active – 75bps September Meeting Outlook – Fed Powell Hawkish Speech
Fed Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario
vs
Fed Pivot Scenario 2022 Less Hawkish and 2023 Dovish Outlook Reactivation Canceled for Now
on Fed Powell Hawkish Verbal Strike in Jackson Hole Symposium
after
Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish
2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps
Fed June 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish
Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994
Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st
ECB
ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate
Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History
ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps
July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation
ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma
Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk
ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War
Energy Crisis
Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis
PBoC
PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish
Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Bull Long Term Wave Hard Stopped for Now – New Cooling Strike from Overheat Extreme Risk Zone
Long Term Bulls – Present Bears Strike Back after Last Bulls Dynamic FX Wave
September Bear Shooting Star Candlestick Bearsih Reversal Pattern
with
Last Short Term FX Strikes
Bears Activated Correction from 110.80
Activated Bearish Reversal Patterns
Ending Diagonals and New 2B Pattern 109.30 Daily – H4 Intraday
after
Bulls Latest Dynamic Strike to New 20 Years High 110-111 Zone above July/22 Top 109.30
still above
103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top
104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top
ATA Conclusion
Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave New Stopped for Now ( July High 109.30 – September High 110-111 Zone stricte 110.78 )
with
Present Active Domination
Bulls Bear FX short term Fight in 108.30-50 109.30 Zone
Key Levels 108.30-108.50 vs 109.30 vs 110–111 Zone in Smart Money FX Game
special focus on
Present Key Levels 108.30-108.50 vs 109.30 110–111
( EOW 108.97 )
First…ATA from 14.05.2022
“Rising Risk of Skyrocket Fly End
Activated
Quarterly Smaller Ending Diagonal
( needed confirmation EOQ – Q2 )
Activated
Monthly Smaller Ending Diagonal
( needed confirmation EOM – May )
Quarterly Q2 Bear Candlestick
vs
Test 23.6% Fib Ret Bull Long Wave from post Lehman 2008 Low – 140 USD Zone ( Monthly Chart )
Test October 2021 Low Zone 138 USD ( Daily Chart )
with
Open Scenarios
Bull Scenario – W Pattern 138-140 USD Zone – Next Bull Strike > 150 USD
vs
Bear Scenario – No Back > 150 USD – Next Bear Strike < 140 USD
ATA Investment Conclusion
all time special focus on
Present Apple Active Zone
140 vs 150-155-160 180-185 USD
and
Important Psychological Key Level 150 USD “
and
Apple Key Tweets
Second…Present Apple Situation
APPLE SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Perspective
First of All
All Time High – January 2022
after SPLIT 4 : 1
Key Levels 180-183 USD Zone
( stricte 182.87 USD )
January 2022 Long Term Strong Bull Trend Stopped
High Risk of Skyrocket Fly End
Activated
Daily Bear Reversal Patterns
First…2B Key Level 182 USD
Second…2B Key Level 176.50 USD
Quarterly Smaller Ending Diagonal
Upper Edge Key Level 200 USD Zone
Lower Edge Key Level 165 USD Zone
Monthly Smaller Ending Diagonal
Upper Edge Key Level 200 USD
Lower Edge Key Level 170 USD
vs
Test
30% Fib Ret Bull Long Wave from post Lehman 2008 Low – 130 USD Zone ( Monthly Chart )
Lower Edge Invert Ending Diagonal – Key Level 130 USD ( Weekly Chart )
and
Bull Dynamic Wave from 130 USD to 175 USD
vs
Bear Strike
Test 50% Fib Ret Bull Last Summer Wave – 150 USD Zone ( Daily Chart )
with
Quarterly Q2 Bear Candlestick
Quarterly Q3 Bull Candlestick – Upper Shadow for Now
(needed confirmation EOQ – Q3)
Monthly July Bull Candlestick
Monthly August Shooting Star Bearish Reversal Pattern
Monthly September Doji for Now
(needed confirmation EOM – September)
Now dominating
Bull Strike from Fib Ret 150 USD Zone
MACD Factor
Quarterly Buy Signal vs Monthly Sell Signal
with
Open Scenarios
Bull Scenario – Bull Wave Cont. from 150 USD Zone – Next Higher Bull Strikes
No Fall < 150 USD
vs
Bear Scenario – Back < 150 USD – Next Lower Bear Strikes
Apple Smart Money Battlefield
130 150 vs 160 180-185 USD
Psychological Key Level 150 USD
ATA Investment Conclusion
all time special focus on
Present Apple Active Zone
130 150 vs 160 180-185 USD
and
Important Psychological Key Level 150 USD
still carefully Research
Present Active Quarterly and Monthly Smaller Ending Diagonals
Research Pattern Classical – Candlestick Confirm or Cancel
Fib Ret All Bull Waves
with Next
Apple US Big Tech Nasdaq News
Russia Moves Ukraine War – China – Taiwan
War and Global Economy News
Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts
Wall Street Strikes
Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News
Governments & Central Banks Strikes
and of course
Future Final Smart Money Reaction…
First..EOM – September and Finally…EOQ – Q3/2022
APPLE Monthly Charts
8.11.2019 ( Half US Session )
24.12.2019 – EOD
7.02.2020 – EOW
5.05.2020 – EOD
5.06.2020 – EOW
19.06.2020 – EOW
23.06.2020 – EOD
10.07.2020 – EOW
31.07.2020 – EOM
11.08.2020 – EOD
19.08.2020 -EOD
28.08.2020 – EOD
APPLE Quarterly Chart
after SPLIT 4 : 1
31.08.2020 – EOM
APPLE Quarterly & Monthly Charts
11.09.2020 – EOD
16.09.2020 – EOD
21.09.2020 – EOD
12.10.2020 – EOD
30.10.2020 -EOM
23.12.2020 – EOD
5.02.2021 – EOD
16.07.2021 – EOD
10.09.2021 – EOW
14.09.2021 – EOD
29.10.2021 – EOM
APPLE Quarterly Monthly and Daily Charts
28.01.2022 – EOW
13.05.2022 – EOW
APPLE Quarterly Monthly Weekly and Daily Charts
9.09.2022 – EOW
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 