FIRST OF ALL
FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS
2021 – 2022 Horizon
– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –
AMAZON – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
2020
7.05.2020 – AMAZON – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extensions – May 2020…
20.06.2020 – AMAZON – Genius Cover Warning…
14.10.2020 – AMAZON – Prime Day…
2021
5.02.2021 – AMAZON – Bezos Left the Building…
31.07.2021 – AMAZON – from Disappointment Strike to Long Term Bear Warning…
31.10.2021 – AMAZON – Earnings Miss Pressure – Next Step in Long Term Bear Warning Perspective …
with
ATA Following…
AMAZON
2017 – 2019
21.05.2017 – AMAZING AMAZON…
23.09.2017 – AMAZON – HOW MUCH IS ENOUGH..!!???
21.11.2017 – TECH ICARUS – FLIGHT NEAR THE MARKET SUN…
10.11.2018 – AMAZON dynamic return from COSMIC GATE…
20.07.2019 – AMAZON – still under COSMIC GATE…
27.07.2019 – AMAZON – Contraction from COSMIC GATE…
4.10.2019 – AMAZON – Bear Power Rising…
15.11.2019 – AMAZON – still away from Nasdaq Bull Rally…
2.12.2019 – AMAZON – Cyber Monday Mainstream Motive…
7.12.2019 – AMAZON – No Santa Claus Motive in Smart Money Play…
2020
11.02.2020 – AMAZON – “JEDI” Contract Strike Back…
15.06.2020 – AMAZON – Higher Cosmic Orbit must Wait…
30.08.2020 – AMAZON – Higher Cosmic Orbit Testing…
8.10.2020 – AMAZON – Back from E-commerce Stratosphere …
Apple
10.09.2022 – APPLE – iPhone 14 Launch Event in Ending Diagonals and Fibonacci Shadows…
APPLE/S&P500 Ratio
11.09.2022 – APPLE/S&P500 RATIO – Apple Shining Capitalisation Equivalent to 180 Stocks in Loosing Momentum Risk Shadow…
Microsoft
17.09.2022 – MICROSOFT – from Bear Pattern 2021 to Bear Impact 2022 in Fibonacci Shadow…
Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario
19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…
15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…
8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!
Polish Stocks
14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…
AMAZON Master Motives
First of All
Split 20-for-1 stock June 6 2022
Amazon 3rd Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and S&P500
Amazon Earnings Q2/2022 – July 28 2022
Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg
Revenue: $121.2 billion versus $119.53 billion expected
Earnings per share: –$0.20 versus $0.52 expected
Amazon Web Services (AWS) net sales: $19.74 billion versus $19.4 billion expected
Microsoft Stocks Action
Quarterly View
Bear Hard Wave – Break Down Bullish Secular Trendline – Key Level 140 USD
from 1998 Year Low Zone 0.08 USD ( after Split 20-for-1 stock June 6 2022 )
vs
Bull Strike Back – Fight above Psychological Key Level 100 USD
with
Global Risk Off Waves Action after Reactivation in August 2022
Bond Sell Off Active vs Friday Triple Witch Day Bull Strike
Stocks Sell Off Active vs Friday Triple Witch Day Bull Strike
Wall Street Risk Off Wave Active vs vs Friday Triple Witch Day Bull Strike
specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq
Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Active for Now
with
Present
Bulls Daily Dynamic Strikes – Hammer Bullish Reversal Candlestick on Friday Triple Witch Day
Activated Bullish Reversal Invert 2B Pattern Daily – H4 Intraday
on
Present Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally
Factors
Fed Rates Hike Cycle
Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction
Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact
Investment Conclusion
Wall Street Volatility and RISK ON/OFF in September Fib Ret Zones vs above May – June Lows Zone
on
Mainstream Bearish Warnings and Projections
in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows
with
LONG TERM MOTIVES
WALL STREET
Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN Stopped with Latest Bull Bear Hard Fight
on Friday Triple Witch Day
Nasdaq 100
Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Active for Now
Fibonacci Constelation
Test 68.5% Fib Ret 11.900-12.000 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone
vs
Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone
with
Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Finally for Now
Bull Bear Hard Fight in 11.900-12.000 Zone
with
Present
Hammer Bullish Reversal Candlestick on Friday Triple Witch Day
Activated Bullish Reversal Invert 2B Pattern Daily – H4 Intraday
DJIA and S&P500
DJIA
Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 37.000 Zone Active for Now
Fibonacci Constelation
Test 78.6% Fib Ret 30.600 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 29.500-30.000 Zone
vs
Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone
with
Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 29.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Finally for Now
Bull Bear Hard Fight in 31.000 Zone
with
Present
Hammer Bullish Reversal Candlestick on Friday Triple Witch Day
Activated Bullish Reversal Invert 2B Pattern Daily – H4 Intraday
S&P500
Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Active for Now
Fibonacci Constelation
Test 68.5% Fib Ret 3.850 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone
vs
Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone
with
Test 44.7% Fib Ret 3.650 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Finally for Now
Bull Bear Hard Fight in 3.900 Zone
with
Present
Hammer Bullish Reversal Candlestick on Friday Triple Witch Day
Activated Bullish Reversal Invert 2B Pattern Daily – H4 Intraday
CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC
Fed
Fed More Hawkish still Active – 75bps September Meeting Outlook
Fed Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario
after
Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish
2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps
Fed June 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish
Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994
Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st
ECB
ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate
Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History
ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps
July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation
ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma
Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk
ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War
Energy Crisis
Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis
PBoC
PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish
Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Bull Long Term Wave Hard still Stopped for Now – New Cooling Strike from Overheat Extreme Risk Zone – 20 Years High 110.80 Zone
Long Term Bulls – Present Bulls Bears Hard Fight after Last Bulls Dynamic FX Wave
September Bear Shooting Star Candlestick Bearsih Reversal Pattern Canceled for Now
( most important September EOM )
with
Latest Short Term Bull Bear FX Strikes above July/22 Top 109.30
after
1st Test Key Level 107.70 – 50% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave
2nd Bulls Dynamic Strike nad Back above July/22 Top 109.30
still above
103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top
104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top
ATA Conclusion
Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave New Stopped for Now ( July High 109.30 – September High 110-111 Zone stricte 110.78 )
with
Present Active Domination
Bulls Bear FX short term Fight in 109.30 – 110 Zone
Key Levels 109.30 vs 110–111 Zone in Smart Money FX Game
special focus on
Present Key Levels 109.30 vs 110–111
( EOW 109.64 )
First…ATA from 31.10.2021
” Active Warnings
Quarterly
Bearish Warnings
Ending Diagonal Pattern Risk
Monthly
Bearish Warnings
Activated 2B Pattern “
Second…Present AMAZON Situation
AMAZON LONG TERM SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
Quarterly – Monthly View
First of All
June 2021 All Time High Key Level 3.800 USD Zone
( stricte 3.773,08 )
after Split 20-for-1 stock June 6 2022
June 2021 All Time High Key Level 190 USD Zone
( stricte 188.65 )
Bearish Reversal and Bear Strike
after
Bull Trend Stopped and Bear Warnings
Quarterly
1st Ending Diagonal Pattern Activated
Broken Lower Edge – Key Level 160 USD
2nd Trend Reversal Activated
Broken Secular Bull Trendline – Key Level 133 USD
with
Q3 Q4 2021 Two Quarterly Shooting Star Candlesticks
Monthly
Test Fibonacci Extension Targets All Major Bull Waves
Key Levels 180 – 200 USD Zones
Bearish Reversal Patterns Activated
M Pattern – Key Level 188 USD
2B Pattern – Key Level 175 USD
Ending Diagonal Pattern – Lower Edge Key Level 163 USD
with
July and November 2021 Two Monthly Shooting Star Candlesticks
Finally
Bear Wave and Test 68.5% Fib Ret Bull Wave from Covid Panic Low 2020 Year
Psychological Key Level 100 USD
Now dominating
Quarterly Monthly Charts
Bull Strike Back from Key Level 100 USD Zone
W Pattern – Key Level 100 USD
vs
Bear Strike Back from
50% Fib Ret Last Bear Wave Monthly
Bull Trendline and Half of Q2 Bear Candlestick Quarterly
Key Level 145 USD Zone
with
MACD Quarterly and Monthly Sell Signals
Amazon Smart Money Battlefield
100 120 vs 130 145 USD
ATA Investment Conclusion
Now Special Focus on
Present Master Psychological Key Levels 100 120 vs 130 145 USD
and
Research Patterns Classical – Candlestick Confirm or Cancel
with Next
Amazon US Big Tech Nasdaq News
Russia Moves Ukraine War – China – Taiwan
War and Global Economy News
Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts
Wall Street Strikes
Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News
Governments & Central Banks Strikes
and
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOM – September and Finally…EOQ – Q3/2022
AMAZON Monthly Charts
6.05.2020 – EOD
12.06.2020 – EOW
19.06.2020 – EOW
28.08.2020 – EOD
7.10.2020 – EOD
AMAZON Quarterly & Monthly Charts
13.10.2020 – EOD
4.02.2021 – EOD
30.07.2021 – EOM
29.10.2021 – EOM
AMAZON Quarterly & Monthly Charts ( after Split 20-for-1 stock June 6 2022 )
16.09.2022 – EOW
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 