COPPER/GOLD RATIO – from Bearish Reversal to Bear Wave in Stagflation Fear Mainstream Flashes…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Copper/Gold Ratio –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

9.06.2020 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – GLOBAL ECONOMY RECOVERY PATHFINDER…

20.08.2020 –  COPPER/GOLD RATIO – HARD FIGHTING…

10.09.2020 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – CHINA SYNDROME…

2021

16.02.2021 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – IN COPPER RECOVERY BULLS TRUST…

29.04.2021 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – COPPER BULLS RUN…

6.06.2021 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – COPPER BEAR CONTRACTION …

27.08.2021 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – BEAR vs BULL FIGHTING in PULLBACK ACTION…

24.09.2021 – COPPER/GOLD RATI– Metals Equilibrium…

6.11.2021 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – Copper Bear Reversal Pattern = Gold Bull Action…

COPPER/GOLD RATIO Master Key Motives

COPPER  Bear Strike vs GOLD Bull Bear Fight

after

Last… Copper Bear Reversal Pattern

Earlier…COPPER vs GOLD Equilibrium

on

Wall Street RISK OFF Impact

Main Warns Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact on Industry Commodities – Copper

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Huge Volatility and RISK OFF Action Continuation

on

Mainstream Bearish Impacts and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Continuation

Last

Test – 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

vs

Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 12.900-13.000 Zone Bear Wave from 2021 April High

Bear Strike Back from Psychological Key Level 13.000 Zone

Finally for Now

Bears Strike Continuation < Key Level 11.500  May/22 Low Zone

DJIA S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH  37.000 Zone Continuation

Last

Test – 30% Fib Ret 31.330  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

vs

Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 33.500 Zone Bear Wave from 2021 April High

Bear Strike Back from Psychological Key Level 33.500 Zone

Finally for Now

Bears Strike  Continuation < Key Level 30.500  May/22 Low Zone

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH  4.800 Zone Continuation

Last

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 3.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

vs

Test – 50% Fib Ret 4.200 Zone Bear Wave from 2021 April High

Bear Strike Back from Psychological Key Level 4.200 Zone

Finally for Now

Bears Strike Continuation < Key Level 3.800  May/22 Low Zone

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed Super Hawkish Central Path

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

ECB

ECB Emergency Meeting – Introduction of Anti-Fragmentation New Tools

ECB June Meeting Hawkish Outlook

Rate Hike 25bps July QT – APP Program End July 1

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Action

Bulls Fight > 104

vs

Bears Strike Back under Psychological Key Level 105 from High 105.78

still Out of the Range 103 – 104

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination Last New High 105.78

with

Present Active Domination

Bull Bear FX short term Fight

Active Zone Key Levels  104 – 105

special focus on

Present Key Levels  104 and 105

( EOW 104.65 )

First…ATA  from  6.11.2021

ATA  Copper/Gold Ratio  Investment Conclusion

Focus on

Copper/Gold Ratio Battlefield

Active Master Psychological Key Levels 0.0023  vs  0.0025

with

Upper Edge Long Term Bear Channel for Now Key Level 0.00213

and

Confirm or Cancel

Bear Reversal Pattern – 2B Key Level 0.00255

Second…Present  Copper/Gold Ratio  Situation 

COPPER/GOLD RATIO  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION

First of All

After Formed

First…Long Term Bottom 

3 Monthly Candlesticks – Lower Shadows 

March – April – May 2020

All Time Low ATH 0.00129 April  2020

Dynamic Bull Wave

Rising above

Higher Psychological Key Level 0.0020

Upper Edge Long Term Bear Channel – Key Level 0.00223

Second…Test December 2017 Top First Resistance Zone

Psychological Key Level 0.00255

First…Higher 0.00264 – May 2021

Second…Higher 0.00271 – October 2021

Finally Activated

Three Bear Reversal Patterns

Two Bear Reversal Patterns 2B Key Level 0.00255

First…December 2017 – October 2021

Second…May – October 2021

H&S Pattern – Neckline Key Level 0.00233

Now dominating

Bear Strike Continuation

Testing Lower Key Level 0.0021 Zone

June Monthly Bear Candlestick with Long Upper Shadow for Now

Ahead of Test Lower Zone

Upper Edge Long Term Bear Channel – Key Level 0.0020 for Now

MACD Monthly Sell Signal

ATA  Copper/Gold Ratio  Investment Conclusion

Focus on

Copper/Gold Ratio Battlefield

Active Master Psychological Key Levels 0.0020  vs  0.00233

with

Upper Edge Long Term Bear Channel for Now Key Level 0.0020

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New

Copper and Gold   News

Fed Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – June

Copper/Gold Ratio  Monthly  Charts

9.06.2020 – End Phase of Assian Session 

Copper-Gold Ratio - M
Copper-Gold Ratio - US 10Y Yield - M

20.08.2020 – Assian Session 

Copper-Gold Ratio - M

10.09.2020 – Assian Session

16.02.2020 – Assian Session

29.04.2021 – before Start European Session

4.06.2021 – EOW

27.08.2021 – European Session Start Phase

24.09.2021 – European Session Start Phase

5.11.2021 – EOD

17.06.2022 – EOW

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