FIRST OF ALL
FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS
2021 – 2022 Horizon
– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –
Barrick Gold World Second Largest Gold Mining Company
Barrick Gold – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
2015
19.07.2015 – ABX – Searching for Opportunity…
2020
4.04.2020 – Barrick Gold – New Golden Strike with Risky Shining…
18.08.2020 – Barrick Gold – Buffett Golden Ecstasy…
15.10.2020 – Barrick Gold – after Buffett Golden Dust Down…
13.12.2020 – Barrick Gold – Perfect Contrarian Golden Bear Strike after Buffett IN…
2021
19.02.2021 – Barrick Gold – Fibonacci Winning with Buffett…
27.02.2021 – Barrick Gold – One Buffett Flew Over the Golden Cuckoo’s Nest…
5.03.2021 – Barrick Gold – Buffett Left the Golden Haven…
21.07.2021 – Barrick Gold – Miner Waiting for Gold Outcome…
with
ATA Following…
GOLDEN SPECTRUM
2020
7.04.2020 – GOLD – GOLDEN SECULAR SPECTRUM …
GOLD Futures
24.07.2022 – GOLD Futures – Golden Bulls Bears 10 Years War – Major Bullish Zone under Bearish Attack in USD FX Shadow…
GOLD Spot
2022
Gold/Bitcoin Ratio
2022
19.06.2022 – GOLD/BITCOIN RATIO – from Golden Bullish Reversal to Bulls Wave…
Copper/Gold Ratio
2022
18.06.2022 – COPPER/GOLD RATIO – from Bearish Reversal to Bear Wave in Stagflation Fear Mainstream Flashes…
Barrick Gold Master Key Motives
Barrick Golden Path
Gold Miner Stocks Fighting in Lower 19 USD Key Level Zone in Fib Ret 78.6% Zone
Bullish Wave from 2018 Low to 2020 Top
tracking
GOLD Futures Bull Strike Fight > Psychological Key Level 1600 USD
in
GLOBAL DOLLAR – DXY F/X Shadow
with
GLOBAL TRENDS
Global Risk Off Waves Reactivation with New Bearsih Strike Back vs Bulls Hard Fight under/in June 2022 Lows Zone
Bond Sell Off Wave Reactivation
Stocks Sell Off Wave Reactivation
Wall Street Risk Off Wave Reactivation – New Bears Strike Back vs Bulls Hard Fight under/in June 2022 Lows
specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq
Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Reactivation for Now
on
Master Factors
Fed Rates Hike Cycle still Active still Super Hawkish vs No Fed Pivot Scenario – Less Hawkish – Hawkish Pause
Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction
US Earnings Season – Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact
Investment Conclusion
Wall Street Volatility and RISK OFF Reactivation – Bears Strike Back under/in September Fib Ret June Lows Zone
on
Extreme Mainstream Bearish Warnings and Projections
in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows
with
LONG TERM MOTIVES
WALL STREET
Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN Stopped with Latest Bears Dynamic Strike Back
Nasdaq 100
Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Reactivation for Now
Bears Dynamic Strike Back Cont. under June 2022 Low Key Level 11.000 vs still above Lower 10.500
Fibonacci Constelation
Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 10.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Finally for Now
New Bears Strike < 11.000 vs Bulls Fight > 10.500
with
Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick
DJIA and S&P500
DJIA
Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 37.000 Zone Reactivation for Now
Bear Strike Back vs Bull Fight vs still above Psychological Key Level 30.000 and June 2022 Low Key Level 29.500-600 and Lower 28.500 Zone
Fibonacci Constelation
Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Finally for Now
New Bear Strike from Higher 33.000 vs Bull Fight > 32.000
with
Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick
S&P500
Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Reactivation for Now
Bear Strike Back vs Bull Fight vs still above Psychological Key Level 3.700 above June 2022 Low Key Level 3.600 and Lower 3.500 Zone
Fibonacci Constelation
Test 50% Fib Ret 3.500 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Finally for Now
New Bear Strike from Higher 3.900 vs Bull Fight > 3.700
with
Latest Friday Daily Bull Candlestick
CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB SNB BoJ and PBoC
Fed
Fed still Super Hawkish November 75bps Rate Hike
Powell still Super Hawkish
No Fed Pivot Scenario
vs
Less Hawkish on the Table
Fed Rate Hike Outlook – Fed Fund Futures
50bps vs 75bps December ( 52% vs 48% )
Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario
after
75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict
Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish
2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps
Fed June 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish
Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994
Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st
ECB
ECB Super Hawkish Verdict – 75bps Rate Hike October
and
Lagarde still Hawkish like Fed still Hawkish
after
ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate
Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History
ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps
July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation
ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma
Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk
ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War
Energy Crisis
Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis
SNB
Swiss Central Hawkish Wave 2022
SNB September Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 75Bps to 0.50%
earlier
SNB June Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50Bps to -025%
Swiss Central Bank surprises markets – First Rate Hike since 2007
Rate Hike to -0.25% from -0.75%
BOJ
non stop Ultra Dovish
vs
BoJ FX Interventions – September and October
Japan Mega QE
Japan QE > European QE > US QE
PBoC
PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish
China Central Bank Verbal Intervention
Warning on Speculation against Yuan
Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Bull Long Term Wave still Stopped and Cooling Strike
USD/JPY > 145 vs still < Psychological Key Level 150 after BoJ FX Intervention
US Dollar Index
Earlier Acceleration New Higher 20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )
Long Term Bulls FX Wave Stopped
September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow
October Bearish Doji Monthly Candlestick – Volatility and Long Upper Lower Shadows
November Bearish Shooting Star Monthly Candlestick – Long Upper Shadow
( needed confirmation – EOM )
with
Last
Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50
Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 109.50
Test Key Level 109 110 Zone – 68.5 -78.6% Node Fib Ret Last Bull Wave
and
Latest
Bears Strike Back from 113 Zone under Key Level 111
vs
still above July/22 Top 109.30
still above
103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top
104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top
ATA Conclusion
Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave still Stopped – Cooling
with
Present USD Bears Action
Bearish FX short term Strike from 113 under Key Level 111 still above 110
Key Levels 109 109.50- 110 vs 111 112 113-113.30 113.50-80 114.80-115 Zone in Smart Money FX Game
special focus on
Present Key Levels 109 109.50- 110 vs 111 112 113-113.30 113.50-80 114.80-115
( EOW 110.78 )
First…ATA from 21.07.2021
” Now dominating
Bull vs Bear Fighting in Psychological Key Level 25 CAD
Ahead of 61.8% Fib Ret Last Golden Bull Wave – Key Level 23 CAD
with
MACD Monthly Bear Sell Signal ”
and
ATA Warnings GOLD DXY Fed BoJ Central Banks Key Tweets
Warnings – Gold Safe Haven
GOLD
DXY
Fed Pivot – Pause – Less Hawkish Scenario
Fed Black Swan
BoJ – Black Swan
Central Banks – Black Swans
Fed SNB Emergency Swap Action – Extreme Low Global Liquidity Risk
Second…Present Barrick Gold Situation
ABX LONG TERM SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
Monthly View
First of All
After Activated
Two Falling Ending Diagonals 2015 and 2018 Year
Inverted H&S 2019 Year
Dynamic Rising Wave
Test Higher Psychological Key Level 40 CAD Zone
and
Bear Strike
Test 61.8% Fib Ret Golden Bull Wave Key Level 23 CAD
with
Bull vs Bear Strikes
First…Test Psychological Key Level 30 CAD
Second…Test Psychological Key Level 25 CAD
and
Last Bearish New Wave from 30-33 CAD Zone to 18 – 19 CAD Zone
Now dominating
Bull vs Bear Fighting < Psychological Key Level 20 CAD
and
Test 78.6% Fib Ret Last Golden Bull Wave – Key Level 19 CAD Zone
with
November Monthly Bear Candlestick vs Lower Shadow
and
MACD Monthly Bear Sell Signal
Barrick Gold Present Battlefield
18-19 vs 20-23 CAD
with
Present Psychological Key Level 20 CAD
ATA Investment Conclusion
Now Special Focus on
18-19 vs 20-23 CAD
with
Present Psychological Key Level 20 CAD
and
FIB RET
Research New Pattern
Classical & Candlestick
and of course
Next Smart Money Move
New
Golden News
US Dollar News
Fed Verbal Strikes
Global Macro Economy News
Governments & Central Banks Strikes
Russia Moves Ukraine War – China – Taiwan News
Next Global Macro Strikes
Future Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOM – November
by the Gold Way
always remember
Gold – anti US Dollar Vector
Barrick Gold Monthly Charts
19.07.2015
3.04.2020 – EOW
17.08.2020 – EOD
14.10.2020 – EOD
11.12.2020 – EOD
18.02.2021 – EOD
26.02.2021 – EOM
4.03.2021 – EOD
20.07.2021 – EOD
4.11.2022 – EOW
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 