MEXICAN PESO – EM F/X RISK OFF Strike …

MXN   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of …

6.08.2015 –  MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…

12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

13.11.2016 – TRUMP ERA – MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER

&

14.07.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER DEJA VU…

18.08.2018  –   MEXICAN PESO FULL FIGHT with TURKISH & EM F/X RISKS…

27.08.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO vs NAFTA TRADE AGREEMENT…

29.08.2018  –   MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE after US – MEXICO TRADE DEAL…

4.10.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE 2.0 after NAFTA 2.0…

4.11.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO vs FITCH WARNING…

18.11.2018 –  MEXICAN PESO – F/X STANDBY…

18.01.2019 –  MEXICAN PESO on RISK ON WAVE…

31.05.2019 –  MEXICAN PESO under Trump Tariffs Strike…

with

ATA Following …

EM CURRENCIES 

29.08.2019 –  EM CURRENCIES – RISK OFF STRIKE to DANGER ZONE…

DXY Index 

29.08.2019 –  DXY – SURVIVING TRUMP – FED POWELL VERBAL FURY…

EUR/USD

28.08.2019 –  EUR/USD – Back under F/X Water…

 

Present  MEXICAN PESO Motives

USD F/X Power Against All Odds – Trump Numer One 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict  Rising 

TRUMP  Verbal  FED Attacks 

Waiting for FED  & ECB  September Verdicts 

 

Global & CHINA – US – EU – UK Slowdown  & Recession Risk

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt  Mega Danger 

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  after FED July Rate Cut  –  Active Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE & Rate Cut  on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

FED & ECB September Real Verdicts & Verbal Strikes 

with

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

&

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

with

stricte Mexican Factor 

MEXICO ECONOMY FALLEN…

GDP Q2 2019 Y/Y -0.8% & Q/Q 0.0%

&

Waiting for FED  & ECB  September Verdicts 

 

MEXICAN FLAG-1

 

First…ATA  from  31.05.2019

” still Active

Long Term Invert Ending Diagonal  ( Monthly Chart )

Lower Part –  Now Support 18.80 Key Level Zone   ”

 

&

ATA Mexican Factor Tweet…

 

Second…Present  MEXICAN PESO  Situation 

USD/MXN   LONG TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

EOM August – still Active

Long Term Invert Ending Diagonal  ( Monthly Chart )

Lower Part –  Now Support 19 Key Level Zone

vs

Higher Part –  Now Resistance 21.50 Key Level Zone

&

Activated  New Invert H&S  Patterns 

Small – Neckline 19.20  ( Daily Chart )

&

Large – Neckline 19.60  ( Weekly Chart )

vs

Master Top Zone  21.00 – 22.00  – January 2017 

Psychological Key Level 20.00 

&

Last Weekly Bull Candlestick 

but with Upper Shadow 

Last Two Daily Bear Candlesticks

Contraction 

with

MACD Monthly Sell Signal but near to Buy

vs

MACD Weekly  & Daily Buy  Signals

 

USD/MXN  Present Active Range

20    vs    21.00 –  22.00

 

ATA   USD/MXN  Present Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

Psychological Key Level 20.00 Zone

 

always remember

MXN  is Main EM CURRENCIES PATHFINDER 

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now Month  September 

 

 

USD/MXN Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts :

13.11.2016

USDMXN-M13

USDMXN-W13

USDMXN-D13

13.07.2018

USDMXN-M13'

USDMXN-W13'

USDMXN-D13'

17.08.2018

USD-MXN - M

USD-MXN - W

USD-MXN - D

27.08.2018  (  First Phase of American  Session )

MXN-M

MXN-W

MXN-D

29.08.2018   (  First Phase of  European  Session  )

MXN-M

MXN-W

MXN-D

4.10.2018   (  First Phase of  American  Session  )

MXN-M

MXN-W

MXN-D

2.11.2018  ( EOD & EOW ) 

MXN-MMXN-WMXN-D

16.11.2018  ( EOD & EOW ) 

MXN-MMXN-WMXN-D

18.01.2019

mxn-mmxn-wmxn-d

31.05.2019   (  Start of  American  Session  )

USD-MXN - M

USD-MXN - W

USD-MXN - D

30.08.2019 – EOM 

USD-MXN - M
USD-MXN - WUSD-MXN - D

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