MXN – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of …
6.08.2015 – MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…
12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…
21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…
7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…
13.11.2016 – TRUMP ERA – MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER
&
14.07.2018 – MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER DEJA VU…
18.08.2018 – MEXICAN PESO FULL FIGHT with TURKISH & EM F/X RISKS…
27.08.2018 – MEXICAN PESO vs NAFTA TRADE AGREEMENT…
29.08.2018 – MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE after US – MEXICO TRADE DEAL…
4.10.2018 – MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE 2.0 after NAFTA 2.0…
4.11.2018 – MEXICAN PESO vs FITCH WARNING…
18.11.2018 – MEXICAN PESO – F/X STANDBY…
18.01.2019 – MEXICAN PESO on RISK ON WAVE…
31.05.2019 – MEXICAN PESO under Trump Tariffs Strike…
with
ATA Following …
EM CURRENCIES
29.08.2019 – EM CURRENCIES – RISK OFF STRIKE to DANGER ZONE…
DXY Index
29.08.2019 – DXY – SURVIVING TRUMP – FED POWELL VERBAL FURY…
EUR/USD
28.08.2019 – EUR/USD – Back under F/X Water…
Present MEXICAN PESO Motives
USD F/X Power Against All Odds – Trump Numer One
TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict Rising
TRUMP Verbal FED Attacks
Waiting for FED & ECB September Verdicts
Global & CHINA – US – EU – UK Slowdown & Recession Risk
Global Goverment & Corporate Debt Mega Danger
4 MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING
FED – after FED July Rate Cut – Active Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on Horizon
ECB – New TLTRO III with New QE & Rate Cut on Horizon
SNB & BOJ NIRP Monetary Policy
FED & ECB September Real Verdicts & Verbal Strikes
with
TRUMP TRADE WAR – US Tariffs & China Tariffs
TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict
TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR
TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE
EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN
&
Global Equities & Bonds Risk
with
stricte Mexican Factor
MEXICO ECONOMY FALLEN…
GDP Q2 2019 Y/Y -0.8% & Q/Q 0.0%
&
Waiting for FED & ECB September Verdicts
First…ATA from 31.05.2019
” still Active
Long Term Invert Ending Diagonal ( Monthly Chart )
Lower Part – Now Support 18.80 Key Level Zone ”
&
ATA Mexican Factor Tweet…
Second…Present MEXICAN PESO Situation
USD/MXN LONG TERM SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
EOM August – still Active
Long Term Invert Ending Diagonal ( Monthly Chart )
Lower Part – Now Support 19 Key Level Zone
vs
Higher Part – Now Resistance 21.50 Key Level Zone
&
Activated New Invert H&S Patterns
Small – Neckline 19.20 ( Daily Chart )
&
Large – Neckline 19.60 ( Weekly Chart )
vs
Master Top Zone 21.00 – 22.00 – January 2017
Psychological Key Level 20.00
&
Last Weekly Bull Candlestick
but with Upper Shadow
Last Two Daily Bear Candlesticks
Contraction
with
MACD Monthly Sell Signal but near to Buy
vs
MACD Weekly & Daily Buy Signals
USD/MXN Present Active Range
20 vs 21.00 – 22.00
ATA USD/MXN Present Investment Conclusion
always remember
MXN is Main EM CURRENCIES PATHFINDER
N – TIMES
F/X Maximes
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOD-s
Second…EOW-s
Final…EOM – Now Month September
USD/MXN Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts :
13.11.2016
13.07.2018
17.08.2018
27.08.2018 ( First Phase of American Session )
29.08.2018 ( First Phase of European Session )
4.10.2018 ( First Phase of American Session )
2.11.2018 ( EOD & EOW )
16.11.2018 ( EOD & EOW )
18.01.2019
31.05.2019 ( Start of American Session )
30.08.2019 – EOM
