DXY – SURVIVING TRUMP – FED POWELL VERBAL FURY…

DXY –  all time on  ATA Research Radar 

 

DXY   –  Master  Pathfinder 

EM CURRENCIES   &  EQUITIES   

GOLD – SILVER   &  COMMODITIES  

 

ATA Continuation of…

from…

14.02.2018  –  DXY – Close Encounters of the Third Kind…

16.02.2018  –  DXY – The Thin Red Line…

17.03.2018  –  DXY – RISING STAR…

22.03.2018  – FED – THE DAY AFTER US CENTRAL MOTIVE…

27.04.2018  –  DXY – STILL STANDING…

to…

27.05.2018  –  DXY – BIG WAVE UP SURFING…BUT…

7.06.2018  –  DXY – KING IS TIRED…

13.06.2018  – DXY – FED BIG BADA BUM…!!!

16.06.2018  –  DXY – MASTER KEY TO ALL EM DOORS…

17.06.2018  – DXY – EM Currency Side of American Dollar…

23.06.2018  – DXY – SHOT DOWN…

30.06.2018  – DXY – REAL FALLING AGAINST MAINSTREAM MEDIA ” KING ” VOICES…

15.07.2018 –  DXY-STILL LOSING MOMENTUM…

18.07.2018  –  DXY – POWELL – FED MOTIVE…

19.07.2018  –  DXY – NO F/X AIR FLOW…

22.07.2018  – DXY – TRUMP SHOT DOWN…

23.07.2018 –  DXY after G20 Argentina Meeting…

with Last…

1.08.2018  –  DXY vs FED CENTRAL FACTOR…

2.08.2018  – DXY after FED & POWELL…

11.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X NORTHERN STAR for EM CURRENCIES…

12.08.2018 –  DXY -TURKISH GAME CHANGER…

18.08.2018 –  DXY vs EM CURRENCIES on TURKISH RATING DOUBLE IMPACT…

19.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X SAFE HAVEN…

21.08.2018 –  DXY – SHOT DOWN by TRUMP…

23.08.2018 –  DXY – HAWKISH FED MINUTES…

25.08.2018  –  DXY vs All the President’s Men…

28.08.2018 –  DXY – F/X EXECUTION…

15.09.2018  –  Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

20.11.2018 –  DXY – MORE & MORE DANGER GREEN TRACK…

20.01.2019 –  DXY – NO F/X CAPITULATION…

&

20.03.2019 –  DXY – SECULAR TREND… before & beyond FED – POWELL Verbal Action…

23.03.2019 – DXY – SECULAR TREND… after & beyond FED – POWELL Verbal Action…

28.03.2019 –  DXY – SECULAR VIEW with Last Months of F/X VERDUN…

31.03.2019 –  DXY – F/X MARATHON ELITE…

10.06.2019 –  DXY after FED & TRUMP Verbal Sparks…

23.06.2019 –  DXY – FED RATE CUT AHEAD…

14.07.2019 –  DXY in FED CLINCH…

30.07.2019 –  DXY – FED FINAL COUNTDOWN…

1.08.2019 –    DXY – FED the Day After…

11.08.2019 –  DXY – TRUMP ” GREEN AIR ” CUTOFF…

with

ATA Following …

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

 

DXY  Master  Motives

after FED  July CUT RATE

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict  Rising 

TRUMP  Verbal  FED Attacks 

Waiting for FED September Verdict 

&

Global & CHINA – US – EU – UK Slowdown  & Recession Risk

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt  Mega Danger 

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  after FED July Rate Cut  –  Active Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE & Rate Cut  on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

FED & ECB September Real Verdicts & Verbal Strikes 

with

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

&

RUSSIA & CHINA Buying Gold 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

 

N-times…

FED is Not Only US..is Global Central Bank…

which protects

All Global Financial & Monetary System…

 

DXY - 1

 

First…ATA from  11.08.2019

” Secular View 

First of All

SECULAR ENDING DIAGONAL 

vs

Invert V Pattern 

Shot Up  after  FED Verdict  CUT & PAUSE

Shot Down after  TRUMP – FED Verbal  Strikes 

FED must Cut Rates Bigger & Faster  

Back under

Last Months VERDUN Top Zone  98 

Half of July Candlestick – 97.50

vs

still above Key MA

Support Zone :

Key Level 97 

January – February 2019 Lows Zone  –  96 – 95.50 – 95

Tops October & November 2017  –  95     

 

&

ATA Tweets…

 

 

 

Second… Present  DXY   Secular  Situation 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Secular View 

First of All

SECULAR ENDING DIAGONAL 

with

New Breaking  F/X VERDUN…

&

Back above Master Key Level 98

Against All Odds – Trump Numer One 

” Fed did NOTHING! “

“Who is Our Bigger Enemy: Powell or Xi”

 

 

Finally  in  Consequence  

Cancel  Earlier AMBUSH 

&

Keeping  Active  Rising Wave 

 

DXY   Perspective 

Now dominating

August Monthly Bearish Pattern 

Hanging Man Candlestick

but with

Important Very Long Lower Shadow 

after

July Monthly Bull Large Real Body Candlestick

with

Back above

Last Months VERDUN Top Zone  98 

after

Strong Defense – Key Level 97.50

Half of July Candlestick

& of course

still above Key MA

Support Zone :

Key Level 97 

January – February 2019 Lows Zone  –  96 – 95.50 – 95

Tops October & November 2017  –  95

with

Weekly  Picture 

Present Bull Candlestick 

with

Open  RISK ON Scenario 

Inverted H&S Pattern – Neckline 98 

&

still Active

Monthly MACD Buy Signal 

Weekly MACD Buy Signal

 

 

ATA Research Conclusion

DXY  July  EOM – 98.61

vs

DXY  August  Now –  98.19 

Back to Support Role for Key Level  98 

so

Special Focus on 

Secular DXY   New – Old  Battlefield 

Present Active Master Key Level  98

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Active Monitoring 

DXY  Master Key Level  98

in combination to

US 10Y  Bond Yield – Psychological Key Level

 1.45&  vs   1.50%   

( Now 1.466% ) 

with

still Active Master  Central Questions

What will do FED on September Meeting…!!???

with

What will be Next Verbal Strikes of  Powell  & Trump …!!???

vs

How really Dovish will be LAGARDE – ECB New Face..!!???

&

What will do ECB  on September Meeting…!!???

 

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now Month  August

 

 

DXY Monthly  Charts :

20.03.2019 – before the FOMC

DXY - M - Secular

 

DXY - M - Secular - Line

22.03.2019 – after the FOMC – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

28.03.2019 – Start European Session 

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

29.03.2019 – EOM – March

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - FocusDXY - M - Secular - Focus - FocusDXY - M - Secular - LineDXY - M - Secular - Line - FocusDXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

10.06.2019 – Before Start American Session 

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

21.06.2019 – after the FOMC Meeting – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus.png

12.07.2019 – after  FED Powell Testimony – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

 

DXY Monthly & Weekly  Charts

30.07.2019 – the Day before  FED  & Powell Verdict  – ( Half of  US Session )

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

 

1.08.2019 – the Day after FED  –  (  Before US Session )

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

9.08.2019 – Week after FED  –  EOW

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

29.08.2019 –  Stronger against all  odds – Trump Number One  

(  Before European Session )

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

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