MEXICAN PESO – Something got MXN Really Started…

MXN   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

always remember

MXN  is Main EM CURRENCIES PATHFINDER 

ATA Continuation of …

2015 – 2016

6.08.2015 –  MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…

12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

13.11.2016 – TRUMP ERA – MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER

2018 

14.07.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER DEJA VU…

18.08.2018  –   MEXICAN PESO FULL FIGHT with TURKISH & EM F/X RISKS…

27.08.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO vs NAFTA TRADE AGREEMENT…

29.08.2018  –   MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE after US – MEXICO TRADE DEAL…

4.10.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE 2.0 after NAFTA 2.0…

4.11.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO vs FITCH WARNING…

18.11.2018 –  MEXICAN PESO – F/X STANDBY…

2019

18.01.2019 –  MEXICAN PESO on RISK ON WAVE…

31.05.2019 –  MEXICAN PESO under Trump Tariffs Strike…

1.09.2019 –  MEXICAN PESO – EM F/X RISK OFF Strike …

2020

17.08.2020  MEXICAN PESO – USD Global Shot Down Latin FX Effect…

15.11.2020 – MEXICAN PESO – LATIN BULLS IN FX CORRIDA…

4.12.2020 – MEXICAN PESO – MEXICAN FX RHYTHM…

16.12.2020 – MEXICAN PESO – Something got MXN Started…

Present  MEXICAN PESO Motives

No Mexican FX Show

after

FED and Banco de México  Easing Continuation Verdicts

Mexico Central Bank February Rate Cut to New Low 4.00%

with Earlier

BIDEN VICTORY FX DONE

stricte Master Trigger for

First…USD BEAR WAVE ACTIVATION

Second…EM CURRENCIES BULL STRIKE

USD F/X  Master EM Currencies Pathfinder Falling Wave 

with

COVID Mutation

Third Wave Strike Active

vs

COVID Vaccines Hopes 

Latin America Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

with

Banco de México  Easing Policy 

Mexico Central Bank continuation record monetary easing cycle

February Rate Cut to New Low 4.00%

vs

Pandemic Second Wave Fear Strikes Back  

vs

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

with

Afterpandemic New Reality 

Latin America – US & EUROZONE – Global Economy Reopen

European Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

First…ATA  from  16.12.2020

Special Focus on

Active Range  19.50 – 19.68 – 19.90 vs   20

with

All FIB RET  Last  Big Falling Wave from Low before Lehman

For Now Most Important

First…38.2% FIB RET

Key Level 19.68

Second…Lower Edge Wedge Pattern

Key Level 19.50

Second…Present  USD/MXN   Situation 

USD/MXN  LONG TERM  ACTION

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Charts have No Temperature

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Long Term  View 

First of All

After Activated

First…Skyrocket Move 

Test Higher Psychological Key Level 25

( High 25.75 )

vs

Second…Bear Action 

2B – Bear Reversal Pattern 

Key Level 25.50

Dynamic Shot Down 

Back Inside Wedge Pattern

Fall Under  Master Psychological Key Level 20

Test 38.2% FIB RET – Key Level 19.68

Now dominating

Dynamic USD Bull Contraction

First…Back above Psychological Key Level 20

Second…Testing Higher Psychological Key Level 20.50 Zone

after

Perfect Test 38.2% FIB RET – Key Level 19.68

with

Activated

Intraday H5 Bull Reversal Pattern – Ending Diagonal

Upper Edge Psychological Key Level 20 Zone

( stricte 20.13 )

vs

still Active

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

ATA  USD/MXN  Present Investment Conclusion 

Now dominating

USD Bull Wave

from  Fib Key Level 19.68 Zone

to Present 20.50 Key Level Zone

so

Special Focus on

Active Range  20 – 20.50

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N- TIMES

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

EOM – Now  February

USD/MXN  Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts

13.11.2016

USDMXN-M13
USDMXN-W13
USDMXN-D13

13.07.2018

USDMXN-M13'
USDMXN-W13'
USDMXN-D13'

17.08.2018

USD-MXN - M
USD-MXN - W
USD-MXN - D

27.08.2018  (  First Phase of American  Session )

MXN-M
MXN-W
MXN-D

29.08.2018   (  First Phase of  European  Session  )

MXN-M
MXN-W
MXN-D

4.10.2018   (  First Phase of  American  Session  )

MXN-M
MXN-W
MXN-D

2.11.2018  ( EOD & EOW ) 

MXN-M
MXN-W
MXN-D

16.11.2018  ( EOD & EOW ) 

MXN-M
MXN-W
MXN-D

18.01.2019

mxn-m
mxn-w
mxn-d

31.05.2019   (  Start of  American  Session  )

USD-MXN - M
USD-MXN - W
USD-MXN - D

30.08.2019 – EOM 

USD-MXN - M
USD-MXN - W
USD-MXN - D

USD/MXN  Monthly Charts17.08.2020 – Assian Session 

USD-MXN - M - StockCharts
USD-MXN - M - Fib Ret

13.11.2020 – EOD

4.12.2020 – Assian Session – Ending Phase

16.12.2020 – Assian Session End Phase

USD/MXN  Monthly & Intraday H5 Charts

19.02.2021 – EOD

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