MXN – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
always remember
MXN is Main EM CURRENCIES PATHFINDER
ATA Continuation of …
2015 – 2016
6.08.2015 – MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…
12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…
21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…
7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…
13.11.2016 – TRUMP ERA – MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER
2018
14.07.2018 – MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER DEJA VU…
18.08.2018 – MEXICAN PESO FULL FIGHT with TURKISH & EM F/X RISKS…
27.08.2018 – MEXICAN PESO vs NAFTA TRADE AGREEMENT…
29.08.2018 – MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE after US – MEXICO TRADE DEAL…
4.10.2018 – MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE 2.0 after NAFTA 2.0…
4.11.2018 – MEXICAN PESO vs FITCH WARNING…
18.11.2018 – MEXICAN PESO – F/X STANDBY…
2019
18.01.2019 – MEXICAN PESO on RISK ON WAVE…
31.05.2019 – MEXICAN PESO under Trump Tariffs Strike…
1.09.2019 – MEXICAN PESO – EM F/X RISK OFF Strike …
2020
17.08.2020 – MEXICAN PESO – USD Global Shot Down Latin FX Effect…
Present MEXICAN PESO Motives
BIDEN VICTORY Master Factor
of
EM CURRENCIES BULL STRIKE
MXN – BIDEN
USD F/X Master EM Currencies Pathfinder Falling Wave
with
Pandemic Second Wave Strike still Active
vs
PFIZER COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes
Latin America Recovery Hopes
created by Mainstream
with
Banco de México Easing Policy
Target for the overnight interbank rate is kept unchanged at 4.25%
vs
Pandemic Second Wave Fear Strikes Back
vs
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
with
Afterpandemic New Reality
EUROZONE & US – Global Economy Reopen
European Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections
FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
First…ATA from 17.08.2020
” ATA USD/MXN Present Investment Conclusion
Now dominating
MXN Rising Contraction
from Key Level 25 Zone
to Key Level 22 Zone
Now
Special Focus on
Active Range 22 vs 25 “
Second…Present USD/MXN Situation
USD/MXN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
Charts have No Temperature
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
Long Term View
First of All
After Activated
First…Bull Action
Inverted 2B – Bull Reversal Pattern
Key Level 18.75
Back above Psychological Key Level 20
with
Skyrocket Move
Test Higher Psychological Key Level 25
( High 25.75 )
vs
Second…Bear Action
2B – Bear Reversal Pattern
Key Level 25.50
Dynamic Shot Down Continuation
Back Inside Wedge Pattern
Now dominating
Present Testing Master Psychological Key Level 20
with Activated
MACD Monthly Sell Signal
ATA USD/MXN Present Investment Conclusion
Now dominating
MXN Rising Wave
from Key Level 25 Zone
to Key Level 20 Zone
Now
Special Focus on
Active Range 20 vs 22
with
All FIB RET Last Big Falling Wave from Low before Lehman
For Now Most Important 38.2% 20 Zone ( 19.68 )
ATA Wall Street Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
N- TIMES
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
EOM – Now November
USD/MXN Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts
13.11.2016



13.07.2018



17.08.2018



27.08.2018 ( First Phase of American Session )



29.08.2018 ( First Phase of European Session )



4.10.2018 ( First Phase of American Session )



2.11.2018 ( EOD & EOW )



16.11.2018 ( EOD & EOW )



18.01.2019



31.05.2019 ( Start of American Session )



30.08.2019 – EOM



USD/MXN Monthly Charts17.08.2020 – Assian Session


13.11.2020 – EOD

