EM CURRENCIES – RISK OFF STRIKE to DANGER ZONE…

EM CURRENCIES   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

&

16.06.2018  –  DXY – MASTER KEY TO ALL EM DOORS…

17.06.2018  –  DXY – EM Currency Side of American Dollar…

11.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X NORTHERN STAR for EM CURRENCIES…

18.08.2018 –  DXY vs EM CURRENCIES on TURKISH RATING DOUBLE IMPACT…

2.06.2019 –  EM CURRENCIES – SILENCE before the DXY STORM …

14.07.2019 –  EM CURRENCIES – DXY HOSTAGES…

with

ATA Following …

DXY Index 

29.08.2019 –  DXY – SURVIVING TRUMP – FED POWELL VERBAL FURY…

 

 

EM CURRENCIES Master Motives

USD F/X Power Against All Odds – Trump Numer One 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict  Rising 

TRUMP  Verbal  FED Attacks 

Waiting for FED  & ECB  September Verdicts 

 

Global & CHINA – US – EU – UK Slowdown  & Recession Risk

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt  Mega Danger 

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  after FED July Rate Cut  –  Active Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE & Rate Cut  on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

FED & ECB September Real Verdicts & Verbal Strikes 

with

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

&

RUSSIA & CHINA Buying Gold 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

 

EM CURRENCY

 

First…ATA from  14.07.2019

” DXY is Master Key for EM Currencies

with

DXY VERDUN  by FED CLINCH 

Super Master Key Levels  

98 – 97.70   vs  96.50 – 96  &  95.50 –  95  

Most Important  in these 3 EM  Currency Markets

is Fibonacci – the King  

so

Focus carefully

Next Smart Money Strike on  FED July Verdict Motive 

USD – DXY Index 

&

EM CURRENCIES in FIB RET Zones   “

Second…Present EM CURRENCIES  Situation 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

 

DXY – US Dollar index 

Secular View 

First of All

SECULAR ENDING DIAGONAL 

with

New Breaking  F/X VERDUN…

&

Back above Master Key Level 98

Against All Odds – Trump Numer One 

” Fed did NOTHING! “

“Who is Our Bigger Enemy: Powell or Xi”

Now dominating

August Monthly Bear Candlestick

Hanging Man Bearish Pattern 

but with

Important Very Long Lower Shadow 

after

July Monthly Bull Large Real Body Candlestick

with

Back above

Last Months VERDUN Top Zone  98 

after

Strong Defense – Key Level 97.50

Half of July Candlestick

& of course

still above Key MA

with

Weekly  Picture 

Present Bull Candlestick 

with

Activated Inverted H&S Pattern 

Neckline 98 

&

still Active

Monthly MACD Buy Signal 

Weekly MACD Buy Signal

 

 

MSCI Intl Emerging Market EMEA Currency

Daily View 

After

Activated 2B Pattern – Key Level  1566 

Now dominating

Wave Down 

Testing Psychological Key Level 1500 

with

Risk of

Fall under  Key Level 1400 

Activated Long Term H&S Pattern

Neckline 1400

vs

MACD Daily Buy Signal 

MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency

Daily View 

After

Activated M Pattern – Key Level  1650 

Now dominating

Wave Down 

Testing Psychological Key Level 1600 Zone 

with

Risk of

Fall under  Key Level 1585

Activated Long Term H&S Pattern

Neckline 1585

with

MACD Daily Sell  Signal 

WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy – ETF 

Daily View 

After

Activated 2B Pattern – Key Level  18.70 

Now dominating

Wave Down 

Activated Inverted Ending Diagonal  Pattern

Lower Edge – Key Level  18.18 

with

Risk of

Fall under  Key Level 17.70 – 17.60 

Activated Long Term H&S Pattern

Neckline 17.60

with

MACD Daily Sell Signal 

ATA EM Currencies Investment Conclusion 

DXY is Master Key for EM Currencies

with

New Breaking  F/X VERDUN…

&

Back above Master Key Level 98

that’s why

Focus carefully

Next Smart Money Strike on 

Next US – China trade War Real or Verbal Strikes 

&

Finally 

FED & ECB  September  Verdicts

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now Month  August

 

 

DXY  &  EM CURRENCY INDEX & ETF   Weekly Charts :

17.06.2018

Your new TVC (10)

Your new TVC (13)

Your new TVC (14)

10.08.2018

DXY-W

EM1 - W

EM2 - W

17.08.2018

DXY -W

MSCI -W

CEW I -W

DXY , MSCI Intl Emerging Market EMEA Currency ,  MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency & WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Monthly & Weekly Charts :

31.05.2019 

DXY V - M

DXY V - W

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - M

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - W

EM CURRENCY - M

EM CURRENCY - W

CEW - M

CEW - W

12.07.2019 

DXY V - M

DXY V - W

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - M

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - W

EM CURRENCY - M

EM CURRENCY - W

CEW - M

CEW - W

DXY , MSCI Intl Emerging Market EMEA Currency ,  MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency & WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy

Monthly  Weekly & Daily Charts :

29.08.2019 ( First Phase of  US Session )

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY V - W

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - D

EM CURRENCY - D

EM CURRENCY ETF - D

6 thoughts on “EM CURRENCIES – RISK OFF STRIKE to DANGER ZONE…

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