MXN – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
always remember
MXN is Main EM CURRENCIES PATHFINDER
ATA Continuation of …
2015 – 2016
6.08.2015 – MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…
12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…
21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…
7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…
13.11.2016 – TRUMP ERA – MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER
2018
14.07.2018 – MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER DEJA VU…
18.08.2018 – MEXICAN PESO FULL FIGHT with TURKISH & EM F/X RISKS…
27.08.2018 – MEXICAN PESO vs NAFTA TRADE AGREEMENT…
29.08.2018 – MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE after US – MEXICO TRADE DEAL…
4.10.2018 – MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE 2.0 after NAFTA 2.0…
4.11.2018 – MEXICAN PESO vs FITCH WARNING…
18.11.2018 – MEXICAN PESO – F/X STANDBY…
2019
18.01.2019 – MEXICAN PESO on RISK ON WAVE…
31.05.2019 – MEXICAN PESO under Trump Tariffs Strike…
1.09.2019 – MEXICAN PESO – EM F/X RISK OFF Strike …
2020
17.08.2020 – MEXICAN PESO – USD Global Shot Down Latin FX Effect…
15.11.2020 – MEXICAN PESO – LATIN BULLS IN FX CORRIDA…
4.12.2020 – MEXICAN PESO – MEXICAN FX RHYTHM…
16.12.2020 – MEXICAN PESO – Something got MXN Started…
2021
21.02.2021 – MEXICAN PESO – Something got MXN Really Started…
Present MEXICAN PESO Motives
Bank of Mexico May 13-th Meeting
after
Interest Rate Unchanged at 4% – March
Cutting it by 25 basis points – February
and
Mexico Economy 2020 Worst Decline since the Great Depression of the 1930s, shrinking by 8.5%
with
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
USD F/X Master EM Currencies Pathfinder
USD BEAR WAVE
DXY Dynamic Fall – Back to Master Psychological Key Level 90 Zone
EM CURRENCIES – MXN BULL STRIKE
and
US & Latin America Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Locdowns
Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “
FED No any Tapering Signals
Biden Stimuls Ecstasy
but with
Virus Mutation – Now special India
vs
COVID Vaccines Global Hope
with
still Active
Clear Risky Motive
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
vs
COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes
Global Recovery Hopes
created by Mainstream
with
Afterpandemic New Reality
Latin America – US & Global Economy Reopen
K – Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections
FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
First…ATA from 21.02.2021
” Activated
Intraday H5 Bull Reversal Pattern – Ending Diagonal
Upper Edge Psychological Key Level 20 Zone
( stricte 20.13 ) “
Second…Present USD/MXN Situation
USD/MXN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
Charts Worth more than 1000 Words
Charts have No Temperature
Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante
Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast
Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
Long Term View
First of All
After Activated
First…Skyrocket Move
Test Higher Psychological Key Level 25
( High 25.75 )
vs
Second…Bear Action
2B – Bear Reversal Pattern
Key Level 25.50
Dynamic Shot Down
Back Inside Wedge Pattern
Fall Under Master Psychological Key Level 20
Test 38.2% FIB RET – Key Level 19.68
and
Last Bull Contraction from 19.68 to 21.50 Zone ( max 21.53 )
vs
still Falling Monthly MA 8 ( Now 20.37 )
Now dominating
Dynamic MXN Bull Contraction from 30% Fib Ret Zone of Last Bear Wave
First…Back under Psychological Key Levels 21.50 and 21
Second…Back under Lower Psychological Key Level 20
and
MXN Intraday H5 Pattern Inception
New Intraday H5 Pattern H&S – Neckline 19.80
after Last Activated
Intraday H5 Bull Reversal Pattern – Ending Diagonal
Upper Edge Psychological Key Level 20 Zone
( stricte 20.13 )
with
Long Term Open Option
New Bear Strike and New Test
Lower Edge Wedge Pattern – Key Level 19.50 Zone
38.2% FIB RET – Key Level 19.68
and
Bull Reversal Pattern – W – Key Level 19.50 Scenario
vs
still Active
MACD Monthly Sell Signal
ATA USD/MXN Present Investment Conclusion
Now dominating
MXN Bull Wave
from Key Level 21.50 Zone
to Present 19.90 Key Level Zone
so
Special Focus on
Active Range Long Term 19.50 – 19.68 vs 20.00 – 21
ATA FX Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE
vs
MAJOR BOTTOMS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS
with
PANIC PHASE
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
N- TIMES
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
EOM – Now May
USD/MXN Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts
13.11.2016
13.07.2018
17.08.2018
27.08.2018 ( First Phase of American Session )
29.08.2018 ( First Phase of European Session )
4.10.2018 ( First Phase of American Session )
2.11.2018 ( EOD & EOW )
16.11.2018 ( EOD & EOW )
18.01.2019
31.05.2019 ( Start of American Session )
30.08.2019 – EOM
USD/MXN Monthly Charts17.08.2020 – Assian Session
13.11.2020 – EOD
4.12.2020 – Assian Session – Ending Phase
16.12.2020 – Assian Session End Phase
USD/MXN Monthly & Intraday H5 Charts
19.02.2021 – EOD
7.05.2021 – EOD
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 
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