MEXICAN PESO under Trump Tariffs Strike…

MXN   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of …

6.08.2015 –  MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…

12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

13.11.2016 – TRUMP ERA – MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER

&

14.07.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO – KEY EM CURRENCY PATHFINDER DEJA VU…

18.08.2018  –   MEXICAN PESO FULL FIGHT with TURKISH & EM F/X RISKS…

27.08.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO vs NAFTA TRADE AGREEMENT…

29.08.2018  –   MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE after US – MEXICO TRADE DEAL…

4.10.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO – F/X SURPRISE 2.0 after NAFTA 2.0…

4.11.2018  –  MEXICAN PESO vs FITCH WARNING…

18.11.2018 –  MEXICAN PESO – F/X STANDBY…

18.01.2019 –  MEXICAN PESO on RISK ON WAVE…

with

ATA Following …

DXY Index & EUR/USD

31.03.2019 –  DXY – F/X MARATHON ELITE…

26.05.2019 –  EUR/USD – European Political New Arrangement Risk…

US YIELD 

29.05.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Awakening & Run to Safe Haven…

 

 

Present  RISK OFF  MXN  Wave 

activated by

Trump US Mexico Tariffs

with

all time Global Strength USD 

creating

New Monthly  Green Candlestick against Mexican Peso Currency…

 

MEXICO

 

First…ATA  from  18.01.2019

” Daily  Signals of Stop or Pause  MXN Appreciation 

in

Key Level 18.80 Zone

Conformation Back > Psychological Level 19.00  “

&

ATA Mexican Factor Tweets 

 

 

Second…Present  USD/MXN  Situation 

 

First…Main Motives

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

FED  vs ECB & BOJ Monetary Policy

&

TRUMP Trade War

Tariffs Trump Key Tweet 

New US Tariffs

New China Tariffs 

&

IRAN – AMERICAN STRIKE RISK

NORTH KOREA RISK Back 

with

Special Mexican  Motive

Trump US Mexico Tariffs

 

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

still Active

Long Term Invert Ending Diagonal  ( Monthly Chart )

Lower Part –  Now Support 18.80 Key Level Zone

vs

Higher Part –  Now Resistance 21.00 Key Level Zone

&

Active Invert H&S  – Neckline 19.15  ( Daily Chart )

with

Master Top Zone  21.00 – 22.00  – January 2017 

&

Psychological Key Level 20.00 

with

MACD Monthly  Sell  Signal 

vs

MACD Weekly  & Daily Buy  Signals

 

USD/MXN  Present Active Range

21.00 – 20.00 –  19.50-19.00 

 

ATA   USD/MXN  Present Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully Result of  Testing 

Psychological Key Level 20.00 Zone

vs

Last Support Zone 18.80 

with

Psychological Key Level 19.00 Zone

 

 

always remember

MXN  is Main EM CURRENCIES PATHFINDER 

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now  May

 

 

USD/MXN Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts :

13.11.2016

USDMXN-M13

USDMXN-W13

USDMXN-D13

13.07.2018

USDMXN-M13'

USDMXN-W13'

USDMXN-D13'

17.08.2018

USD-MXN - M

USD-MXN - W

USD-MXN - D

27.08.2018

(   First Phase of American  Session  )

MXN-M

MXN-W

MXN-D

29.08.2018

(   First Phase of  European  Session  )

MXN-M

MXN-W

MXN-D

4.10.2018

(   First Phase of  American  Session  )

MXN-M

MXN-W

MXN-D

2.11.2018

( EOD & EOW ) 

MXN-MMXN-WMXN-D

16.11.2018

( EOD & EOW ) 

MXN-MMXN-WMXN-D

18.01.2019

mxn-mmxn-wmxn-d

31.05.2019

(   Start of  American  Session  )

USD-MXN - M

USD-MXN - W

USD-MXN - D

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