ITALY BOND YIELD – “FEAR THE WALKING DEAD…”

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

ITALY YIELD –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

July  2016

9.07.2016  – EUROPEAN BANKS – TURNING POINT HIGH PROBABILITY …

10.07.2016 – EUROPEAN BANKS – STRATEGIC VIEW…

March 2018

3.03.2018 – ITALIAN ELECTION like ITALIAN JOB…

4.03.2018 – ITALIAN MOTIVE vs CENTRAL WATCHMAN – ECB…

5.03.2018  – 6-TH ITALIAN STAR – BERLUSCONI…

10.03.2018 –  EURO-ELITE with ECB CONTROL ( for Now ) ITALY SITUATION…

18.03.2018 – ITALY in Mainstream Media Focus…

27.03.2018 –  Is New Italy’s Government ” FINE “…

May – August 2018

29.05.2018 – ITALIAN ERUPTION – ETNA VOLCANO PATTERN…

30.05.2018  –  Italian Chessboard – All Financial Roads lead to Rome…

20.08.2018 –  ITALIAN RISK OFF WAVE under TURKISH COVER…

25.08.2018  –  ITALIAN DEBT still under RISK…

September – October 2018

11.09.2018  –  FTSE MIB – Italian Risk Omerta…

29.09.2018  –   ITALIAN RISK BOOMERANG…

14.10.2018  –  ITALIAN RISK OFF STORY – MEDIA WAR with EU & ECB…

28.10.2018 ITALY ALIVE – S&P RATING MERCY…

with

ATA Following …

Lehman Shadow

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

German Yield

16.04.2022 GERMAN BOND YIELD – DEBT Double Impact -ECB Lagarde Dovish vs Inflation Fever…

US Yield

9.04.2022 US 10Y BOND YIELD – Fed Super Hawkish Fever…

ITALY 10Y BOND YIELD  Major Motives

Italy 10Y Bond Yield Dynamic Bull Wave Action

on

Eurozone – Italy Inflation Fever

Eurozone – specially Italy Rising Debt

Italy Government Debt to GDP expected to reach 157% of GDP by the End of 2022

with Last

ECB Hawkish Projections

and

EUROZONE & EURO Structural Risk 

ITALY- ” Dead Country Walking ”

only with Central Help – ECB economic life-support machine…

EURO Master F/X  Vector for  ITALY 10Y BOND YIELD 

with

US 10Y Bond Yield Bull Path

Fed Mega Hawkish Scenario

Mainstream Fed Hawkish Panic

and

Russia – Ukraine War

Inflaction Shock

Stagflation Risk

with

Wall Street and Global Indexes – Bulls Dynamic Contraction Stopped vs still above War Low Zones

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Global Master Currencies Pathfinder

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Continuation after Last  Reactivation

with

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bull Dynamic Contraction  from 13.000 still Stopped 

Bear Contraction Continuation  from 15.300 Zone to Lower  13.500 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Continuation after Last Reactivation

with

Bull Dynamic Strikes still Stopped for Now

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone  S&P500 to 4600 Zone

and

Bear Contractions Continuation

DJIA from 35.300 Zone to 33.800 Zone

S&P500 from 4.600 Zone under 4.300 

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

Italy – Eurozone Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on ECB 

with

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

vs

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

and

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

with still Active

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Debt Rising

and

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Fight Continuation

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Active 

after

Bull Reversal Pattern – W Intraday H5 Key Level 97.80

USD Bull Strike Continuation from 97.80 Zone  above Master Psychological Key Level 100  

with

Last Bear Short Term Contraction from Key Level 101 to 99.80

and

Latest Bull Short Term Strike from Key Level 99.80 to 101.30 Zone ( Max 101.34 )

on 

Fed Extreme Hawkish Predictions Explosions

Fed Hawkish Mainstream Panic

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active

Now dominating

Bull Wave Domination still above 100 and Higher 101 – EOW 101.13

Active Zone Key Levels  100-101 –  101.30

special focus on

Master Psychological Key Level 100 and Higher Key Level 101

( EOW 101.13 )

First of All…ATA from 15.09.2018 

– Financial Decade after Lehman Panic… –

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! ” 

First…ATA from  28.10.2018

Present Active Key Levels

10Y ITALY BONDS YIELD –  3.40 vs 3.50  – 3.60  &  3.80  ( 3.7830 – Last Max )

Look carefully at  Main Positive Divergences

between

Mainstream Media Italy News Trend

10Y ITALY BONDS YIELD

No New High Last Week

Last High – Moody’s Cut ( 19.10.2018 ) 

&

ATA Central Banks “PRINT” and Debt Risk Last Key Tweets

Second…10Y ITALY BOND YIELD –  SECULAR SITUATION 

ITALY BONDS YIELDS  LONG TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Monthly and Weekly Charts

First of All 

After

Bear Reversal and Bear Action20182020 Years

First…No Rising above 3.50% and Bear Strike under Lower 3.40% – October 2018

2B Pattern – Key Level 3.23% H&S Pattern – Neckline 2.65% – ( Weekly Chart )

Second…Bear Wave under Psychological 3% – November 2018

Third…Bear Wave Continuation under Lower 2.30% – 2015 – 2017 Years Tops Zone – June 2019

Finally…Bear Strike and Test Psychological Lower 0.50% Zone ( stricte 0.521 ) – December 2020

Bull Reversal and Bull Action2021 – 2022 Years

First…Bull Strike from 0.50% Zone to 0.90% Zone – December 2020 – May 2021

W Pattern Small – Key Level 0.50% Zone – December 2020 – February 2021

W Pattern Large – Key Level 0.50 0.55% Zone – February 2021 – August 2021

( Weekly Chart )

Second…Bull Wave above Psychological 1% – October 2021

Third…Bull Wave Continuation above Higher Psychological 2% – March 2022

Finally…Bull Strike above Higher 2.50% – Bear Trendline – April 2022

( Monthly Chart )

Now dominating

Bull Wave Ahead of Test Higher Psychological 3%

38.2% Fib Ret Bear Wave since 2011 Year Top

( Monthly Chart )

Bull Wave Ahead of Test Secular Bear Trendline since 1992 Year Top – Key Level 3.13%

MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

( Weekly Chart )

needed Confirmation – EOM – First – April

Italy 10Y Bond Yield  Battlefield

2.50% – 3.00% 3.13%

ATA Investment Conclusion

Special Focus on 

Present Psychological 2.50% – 3.00% Active Zone

Research New Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick

New ECB and Fed Actions  &  Italy – Eurozone Macro 

never forget

Next Italy Debt like US Debt Strike can move  Others…

First…GLOBAL DEBT MARKET

Second… European Stock Markets and US WALL STREET

Finally…GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET 

with

NEW GOLDEN RUSH…

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – April

Italy 10Y Bond Yield  Weekly Charts

10.03.2018

Your new TVC

18.05.2018

Your new TVC (5)

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (5)

29.05.2018

Your new TVC (13)

30.05.2018

Your new TVC (19)

&

2Y & 10Y ITALY BONDS YELD Charts  with  FIB ZONES :

29.05.2018

Your new TVC (14)
Your new TVC (15)
Your new TVC (16)
Your new TVC (17)

30.05.2018

Your new TVC (21)
Your new TVC (20)

20.08.2018

10Y ITALY B Y-W

24.08.2018

italy debt

28.09.2018

10y italy - line -w

12.10.2018

10y italy - line -w

26.10.2018

10y italy - line -w

Italy 10Y Bond Yield  Monthly & Weekly  Charts

22.04.2022 – EOW

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