GERMAN BOND YIELD – DEBT Double Impact -ECB Lagarde Dovish vs Inflation Fever…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

GERMAN YIELD –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2016

10.06.2016 – GERMAN DEBT SECOND ( LAST…!!??? ) MARKET SHINING …

14.06.2016 – GERMAN GROUND ZERO – GLOBAL DEBT MANIA…

13.09.2016 – GERMAN 10Y BOND YIELD – RISING TO THE SURFACE…

24.07.2016 – GERMAN 10Y BOND YIELD – EUROPEAN RISK ON/OFF VECTOR…

28.10.2016 – GERMAN DEBT – ACTIVE ATA REVERSAL SCENARIO…

2019

31.03.2019 –  GERMAN DEBT – JAPANIFICATION SCENARIO …

6.07.2019 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – Deutschland Deutschland unter Alles…

13.07.2019 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – from Last DEBT RUSH to Real DEBT AMBUSH…

2020

10.05.2020 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – Horizontal Drift with Volatility Shocks…

17.05.2020 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – No Down Move on German Economy Gotterdammerung…

4.06.2020 GERMAN BOND YIELD – DEBT BEARS in ACTION…

with

ATA Following …

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

GERMAN 10Y BOND YIELD  Major Motives

German 10Y Bond Yield Dynamic Bull Wave Continuation 

on

Eurozone – Germany Inflation Fever

even with Last

ECB Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

and

EUROZONE & EURO Structural Risk 

ITALY- ” Dead Country Walking ”

only with Central Help – ECB economic life-support machine…

EURO Master F/X  Vector for  GERMAN 10Y BOND YIELD 

with

US 10Y Bond Yield Dynamic Bull Path

Fed Mega Hawkish Scenario

Mainstream Fed Hawkish Panic

and

Russia – Ukraine War

Inflaction Shock

Stagflation Risk

with

Wall Street and Global Indexes – Bulls Dynamic Contraction Stopped vs still above War Low Zones

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Global Master Currencies Pathfinder

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone  Reactivation

after

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

Bull Dynamic Contraction  from 13.000 still Stopped for Now

and

Bear Contraction Continuation  from 15.300 Zone under 14.000 

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Reactivation

with

Bull Dynamic Strikes still Stopped for Now

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone  S&P500 to 4600 Zone

and

Bear Contractions Continuation

DJIA from 35.300 Zone under 34.500 

S&P500 from 4.600 Zone under 4.500 

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

Germany – Eurozone Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on ECB 

but with

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

vs

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

with still Active

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Debt Rising

and

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

with

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Fight Continuation

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Active 

after

Bull Reversal Pattern – W Intraday H5 Key Level 97.80

USD Bull Strike Continuation from 97.80 Zone  above Master Psychological Key Level 100  

with

Last Bear Short Term Contraction from Key Level 100.50 to 99.50

and

Latest Bull Short Term Strike  from Key Level 99.50 to 100.80 Zone ( Max 100.76 )

vs

Bear Short Term Move under 100.50 to 100.30

on 

Fed Extreme Hawkish Predictions Explosions

Fed Hawkish Mainstream Panic

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active

but with

Latest Daily Bull Candlestick – Long Upper Shadow

FX Bear Correction  Intraday H5 Action

Now dominating

Bull Wave Domination still above 100 – EOW 100.30

Bear Correction – back under 100.50 Test Lower 100.30

Active Zone Key Levels  100-100.30  –  100.50-100.80

special focus on

Master Psychological Key Level 100

( EOW 100.30 )

First of All…ATA from 15.09.2018 

Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! ” 

First…ATA from  4.06.2020

” first of all  still Active

HALTED  FALL 

Mega Long Term Downtrend  stopped for Now 

since August 2019

Activated

Bull Reversal Pattern – Inverted 2B

Key Level  – 0.73% 

still Active

Present Bull Contraction 

Back above Psychological Key Level – 0.50% 

&

Ahead of Higher Psychological Key Level – 0.20% 

Second…10Y GERMAN BOND YIELD –  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Monthly View 

First of All 

After

First…Activated Bull Reversal Pattern – Inverted 2B – March 2020 – Covid Panic

Key Level  – 0.73% 

Second…Bull Strike above Higher Key Level  – 0.10%  – June 2016 – March 2019 Lows Zone

Finally…Bull Strike above

Master Psychological Key Level  0% – January 2022

Higher 0.15% – March 2022

Now still dominating

Bull Wave

but with

Present Testing

First Major Resistance Zone

First…Higher Psychological Key Level 0.80% Zone – June 2015 – February 2018 Tops Zone

Second…30% Fib Ret Bear Wave 0.80% Zone ( stricte 0.7749 ) 2008 – 2020 Years

needed Confirmation – EOM – First – April

with

MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

German 10Y Bond Yield  Battlefield

0.15% – 0.80-83 1.00%

ATA Investment Conclusion

Special Focus on 

Present Psychological Key Level 0.80% Zone

Research New Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick

New ECB and Fed Actions  &  Germany – Eurozone Macro 

never forget

Next German Debt like US Debt Strike can move  Others…

First…GLOBAL DEBT MARKET

Second… DAX – European Stock Markets and US WALL STREET

Finally…GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET 

with

NEW GOLDEN RUSH…

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – April

Germany 10Y Bond Yield   Monthly & Weekly  Charts

24.07.2016 – Monthly , Weekly  & Daily  

13.09.2016 – Weekly

28.10.2016 – Weekly

29.03.2019 – EOM – March

German Yield - M
German Yield - M - Focus
German Yield - M - Focus - Focus

5.07.2019 – EOW 

German Yield - M
German Yield - M - Focus
German Yield - M - Focus - Focus

GERMANY  10Y BOND YIELD  – Monthly & Weekly Charts  :

12.07.2019 – EOW 

German Yield - M - Line
German Yield - M - Line - Focus
German Yield - M - Focus
German Yield - W

GERMANY  10Y BOND YIELD  – Monthly & Weekly Charts  :

8.05.2020 – EOW 

German Yield - M - Line
German Yield - M - Line - Focus
German Yield - M - Focus
German Yield - W

15.05.2020 – EOW 

German Yield - M - Line
German Yield - M
German Yield - W

Germany 10Y Bond Yield  Monthly Charts

3.06.2020 – EOD

German Yield - M - Line
German Yield - M

15.04.2022 – EOW

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Create a website or blog at WordPress.com

Up ↑

%d bloggers like this: