GREEK BONDS YIELDS – Bullish Perfect Reversal – from Danger Zone to Skyrocket Flight…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Greek Bonds Yields  –  Back  Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

17.02.2020 – GREEK BONDS YIELDS – Falling into ” Danger Zone “…

with

ATA Following …

Lehman Shadow

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

Italian Yield

24.04.2022 – ITALY BOND YIELD – “FEAR THE WALKING DEAD…”

German Yield

16.04.2022 – GERMAN BOND YIELD – DEBT Double Impact -ECB Lagarde Dovish vs Inflation Fever…

US Yield

9.04.2022 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – Fed Super Hawkish Fever…

GREEK 10Y BOND YIELD  Major Motives

Greek 10Y Bond Yield

Bull Dynamic Wave Action from “Close to Zero” Zone

vs

Bear Strike

on

Eurozone – Greece Inflation Fever

Eurozone – specially Greece Extreme Debt Level

Greece Government Debt to GDP  Near 200% ( stricte 193% ) End of 2021

and

ECB Central Factor

Hawkish Projections

Hawkish vs Less Hawkish Scenarios in Smart Money Bond Market Game

vs

Emergency Meeting New Tools to Stop Eurozone Debt Yields Fragmentation Process

with

EUROZONE & EURO Structural Risk 

Greece – ” Dead Country Walking ”

only with Central Help – ECB economic life-support machine…

EURO Master F/X  Vector for  GREEK 10Y BOND YIELD 

with

US 10Y Bond Yield Bull Path

Fed Hawkish vs Less Hawkish Scenarios in Smart Money Bond Market Game

Mainstream Fed Hawkish Panic

Russia – Ukraine War

Inflation Shock

Stagflation Risk

Recession Risk

and

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Stopped for Now

vs

Bulls Dynamic Strikes

on

Extreme Fear created by Mainstream

Main Warns Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Huge Volatility and RISK OFF Action Continuation

on

Mainstream Bearish Impacts and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Stopped for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 12.900-13.000 Zone Bear Wave from 2021 April High

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Back > Key Level 11.500  May/22 Low Zone

DJIA S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH  37.000 Zone Stopped for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 30% Fib Ret 31.330  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 33.500 Zone Bear Wave from 2021 April High

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Back > Key Level 30.500  May/22 Low Zone

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH  4.800 Zone Stopped for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 3.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Test – 50% Fib Ret 4.200 Zone Bear Wave from 2021 April High

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Back > Key Level 3.800  May/22 Low Zone

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed Powell Testimony and US Michigan Inflation Expectations Less Hawkish

Fed Hawkish Central Path

Fed Fund Futures FOMC Meeting July

Fed Rate Hike 75bps 83.8% Probability

after

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

Fed Less Hawkish Outlook vs July 75bps still in Play

ECB

ECB Emergency Meeting – Introduction of Anti-Fragmentation New Tools

ECB June Meeting Hawkish Outlook still Active

Rate Hike 25bps July QT – APP Program End July 1

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Action

Bulls still Hard Fight > 104

vs

Bears still Hold Positions  under Psychological Key Level 105 from High 105.78

still Out of the Range 103 – 104

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave (Last New High 105.78) Stopped for Now

with

Present Active Domination

Bull Bear FX short term Fight

Active Zone Key Levels  104 – 105

special focus on

Present Key Levels  104 and 105

( EOW 104.12 )

First of All…ATA from 15.09.2018 

– Financial Decade after Lehman Panic… –

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! ” 

First…ATA from  17.02.2020

Greece Debt  Euphory Danger 

Greek Debt  Bubble Rising Risk 

sponsored by

ECB ” Central Printing ” 

Greek Bonds Yield  Strike  to Close to Zero Zone

Special  Focus on

Present Active Zones 

10Y Greece Yield

Psychological  0%  0.5%  vs  Earlier Low 1.155% – 10/2019

5Y  Greece Bond Yield 

Psychological  0%  0.3% vs  Earlier Low  0.375% – 11/2019

and

Research Reversal Patterns Classic ( W , Invert 2B ) and Candlesticks 

&

ATA Central Banks “PRINT” – Debt Risk – ECB Key Tweets

First of All

Chronological

Second…Present 10Y Greek Bond Yields   Secular Situation

GREEK BONDS YIELDS  LONG TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Monthly Charts

First of All 

ATL ( All Time Low ) – 0.53% Zone ( stricte 0.528% ) – August 2021

After

First…Free Fall and Test Master “Close to Zero” Zone – stricte 0.5% Zone

December 2020

Second…Activated Bull Reversal Pattern – Inverted 2B – Key Level 0.55%

December 2020 – August 2021

and

Bulls Dynamic Wave from 0.53-0.55% Zone to Near Psychological Key Level 5% Zone

( stricte 4.72% )

Now dominating

Bulls Wave

vs

Bears Dynamic short term Strike from 5% Zone under Lower Psychological Key Level 4%

Move Back to 3.50-3.80% Zone

on

ECBEmergency New Tolls Action to Stopped Eurozone Bond Yields Fragmentation Process

with

June Monthly Candlestick Bearish Reversal Risk Shooting Star

needed Confirmation EOM-June

vs

MACD Monthly Buy Signal

Greece 10Y Bond Yield  Battlefield

3.50% – 4.00% – 5.00%

ATA Investment Conclusion

Special Focus on 

Present Psychological 3.50% – 4.00% Active Zone

June Monthly Candlestick Shooting Star

Confirmation or Cancel

Fibonacci Ret Bear Big Wave

Research New Pattern Classical  –  Candlestick

New ECB and  Fed Actions  &  Greece – Eurozone Macro 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

never forget

Next Greece Debt like US Debt Strike can move  Others…

First…GLOBAL DEBT MARKET

Second… European Stock Markets and US WALL STREET

Finally…GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET 

with

NEW GOLDEN RUSH…

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – June

10Y Greece Bond Yield  Monthly  Charts

14.06.2019 

GREECE Yield - M

5.07.2019

GREECE Yield - M

5Y Greece Bond Yield  Monthly Charts

14.06.2019 

5Y GREECE Yield - M

5.07.2019

GREECE 5Y YIELD - M - Line

10Y Greece Bond Yield  &  5Y Greece Bond Yield   Monthly  Charts

17.02.2020

GREECE 10Y YIELD - M - Line
GREECE 5Y YIELD - M - Line

10Y Greece Bond Yield  Monthly  Charts

24.06.2022 – EOW

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