RUSSIAN RUB – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
2015 – 2016
6.08.2015 – MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…
12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…
21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…
7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…
2018
18.03.2018 – RTS & RUB – RUSSIA TODAY…
11.04.2018 – RED ASSETS – from RUSSIA with LOSS…
16.07.2018 – RUSSIAN RUBLE – TRUMP – PUTIN GEOPOLITICAL FACTOR…
23.07.2018 – RUBLE – RUSSIAN OIL & GEOPOLITICAL ROULETTE…
9.08.2018 – RUBLE – TRUMP STRIKES BACK…
10.08.2018 – RUB – AMERICAN F/X TARGET…
18.08.2018 – RUB vs US SANCTIONS & OIL RISK OFF FACTORS…
26.08.2018 – RUB vs TRUMP CURRENCY WAR…
10.09.2018 – RUSSIAN RUBLE vs American Financial Pressure…
12.09.2018 – RUSSIAN RUBLE vs VOSTOCK 2018…
15.09.2018 – RUSSIAN RUBLE vs CBR Rate Hike…
18.10.2018 – RUSSIAN RUBLE vs SANCTIONS with ITALIAN VERBAL HELP…
18.11.2018 – RUSSIAN RUBLE vs OIL STRIKE…
2019
19.01.2019 – RUSSIAN RUBLE – Relative Strength Rising…
1.06.2019 – RUSSIAN RUBLE – Above & Beyond RISK…
4.08.2019 – RUSSIAN RUBLE – under Moscow Political & Oil Strikes…
3.09.2019 – RUSSIAN RUBLE – Secular Perspective -Putin 20 years in Power…
2020
18.08.2020 – RUSSIAN RUBLE – AT USD & OIL GRACE…
27.09.2020 – RUSSIAN RUBLE – PUTIN BEAR WEAKNESS…
19.10.2020 – RUSSIAN RUBLE – Russian Roulette Shot Countdown…
14.11.2020 – RUSSIAN RUBLE – RUSSIAN FX LIMITED STRIKE…
Present RUSSIAN RUB Motives
The Bank of Russia April Meeting
Raises the Key Rate by 50 bp to 5.00%
and
OIL Strong Bull Market
Putin – Navalny
Sanctions
Nord Stream 2
Ukraine and Belarus
with
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
USD F/X Master EM Currencies Pathfinder
USD BEAR WAVE
DXY Dynamic Fall – Back to Master Psychological Key Level 90 Zone
EM CURRENCIES – RUB BULL STRIKE
and
US & Europe – Russia Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Locdowns
Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “
FED No any Tapering Signals
Biden Stimuls Ecstasy
but with
Virus Mutation – Now special India
vs
COVID Vaccines Global Hope
with
still Active
Clear Risky Motive
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
vs
COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes
Global Recovery Hopes
created by Mainstream
with
Afterpandemic New Reality
Russia – Europe – US & Global Economy Reopen
K – Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections
FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
First…ATA from 14.11.2020
” Now still dominating
Shot Down from Psychological Key Level 80 Zone
after
First…Test Key Level 80 Zone
Second…Test Lower Key Level 75 Zone “
and
ATA RUB Key Tweet
Second…Present RUSSIAN RUB Situation
USD/RUB SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
Charts Worth more than 1000 Words
Charts have No Temperature
Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante
Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast
Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
Monthly View
First of All
After Activated
Two Bear Reversal Patterns
2B Pattern – Key Level 78.50 Zone
2B Pattern – Key Level 77.50 Zone
with
still Active
Invert Ending Diagonal
Now still dominating
Shot Down from Psychological Key Level 80 Zone
New Active USD Bear Strike under Key Level 75
with
Present Testing Lower Key Level 73 Zone
and
Monthly MACD Sell Signal
RUB Smart Money Battlefield
70 – 73 vs 75 – 80
ATA USD/RUB Investment Conclusion
USD Relative Strength still Falling …!!!
Now special focus on
Result of Test Present Psychological Key Level 70 – 73 Zone
ATA USD/RUB Present Investment Conclusion
Focus carefully on Key Levels
70 – 73 vs 75 – 80
with
Fib Ret Last Bull Wave
and
Active Monitoring
DXY , EUR/USD , EM CURRENCIES & OIL
ATA FX Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE
vs
MAJOR BOTTOMS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS
with
PANIC PHASE
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
N- TIMES
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction….
First…EOM – May
USD/RUB Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts
18.03.2018
11.04.2018
15.07.2018
23.07.2018
9.08.2018
10.08.2018
17.08.2018
24.08.2018
10.09.2018
12.09.2018
14.09.2018
18.10.2018
16.11.2018
18.01.2019
31.05.2019
2.08.2019
3.09.2019
USD/RUB Monthly Charts
18.08.2020 – Assian Session
25.09.2020 – EOD
19.10.2020 – Assian Session
13.11.2020 – EOD
10.05.2021 – before Start European Session
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 