RUSSIAN RUBLE – Vamos OIL on Falling USD Wave…

RUSSIAN RUB   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2015 – 2016

6.08.2015 –  MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…

12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

2018

18.03.2018  –  RTS & RUB – RUSSIA TODAY…

11.04.2018  –  RED ASSETS – from RUSSIA with LOSS…

16.07.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – TRUMP – PUTIN GEOPOLITICAL FACTOR…

23.07.2018  –  RUBLE – RUSSIAN OIL & GEOPOLITICAL ROULETTE…

9.08.2018   –   RUBLE – TRUMP STRIKES BACK…

10.08.2018  –  RUB – AMERICAN F/X TARGET…

18.08.2018  –  RUB vs US SANCTIONS & OIL RISK OFF FACTORS…

26.08.2018  –  RUB vs TRUMP CURRENCY WAR…

10.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs American Financial Pressure…

12.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs VOSTOCK 2018…

15.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs CBR Rate Hike…

18.10.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs SANCTIONS with ITALIAN VERBAL HELP…

18.11.2018 –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs OIL STRIKE…

2019

19.01.2019 –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – Relative Strength Rising…

1.06.2019 –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – Above & Beyond RISK…

4.08.2019 –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – under Moscow Political & Oil Strikes…

3.09.2019 –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – Secular Perspective -Putin 20 years in Power…

2020

18.08.2020 – RUSSIAN RUBLE – AT USD & OIL GRACE…

27.09.2020 – RUSSIAN RUBLE – PUTIN BEAR WEAKNESS…

19.10.2020 – RUSSIAN RUBLE – Russian Roulette Shot Countdown…

14.11.2020 – RUSSIAN RUBLE – RUSSIAN FX LIMITED STRIKE…

Present  RUSSIAN RUB  Motives

The Bank of Russia April Meeting

Raises the Key Rate by 50 bp to 5.00%

and

OIL Strong Bull Market

Putin – Navalny

Sanctions

Nord Stream 2

Ukraine and Belarus

with

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Master EM Currencies Pathfinder

USD BEAR WAVE

DXY Dynamic Fall – Back to Master Psychological Key Level 90 Zone

EM CURRENCIES – RUB BULL STRIKE

and

US & Europe – Russia Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Locdowns

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “

FED No any Tapering Signals

Biden Stimuls Ecstasy

but with

Virus Mutation – Now special India

vs

COVID Vaccines Global Hope

with

still Active

Clear Risky Motive

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

vs

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

with

Afterpandemic New Reality 

Russia – Europe – US & Global Economy Reopen

K – Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

First…ATA from  14.11.2020

” Now still dominating

Shot Down from Psychological Key Level 80 Zone

after

First…Test Key Level 80 Zone 

Second…Test Lower Key Level 75 Zone 

and

ATA RUB Key Tweet

Second…Present  RUSSIAN RUB   Situation 

USD/RUB   SECULAR   SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Monthly View 

First of All

After  Activated

Two Bear Reversal Patterns

2B Pattern  – Key Level 78.50 Zone 

2B Pattern  – Key Level 77.50 Zone 

with

still Active

Invert Ending Diagonal 

Now still dominating

Shot Down from Psychological Key Level 80 Zone

New Active USD Bear Strike under Key Level 75

with

Present Testing Lower Key Level 73 Zone 

and

Monthly MACD Sell Signal

RUB Smart Money Battlefield  

70 – 73 vs  75 – 80

ATA  USD/RUB  Investment Conclusion 

USD  Relative Strength  still Falling …!!!

Now special focus on

Result of Test Present Psychological Key Level 70 – 73 Zone  

ATA  USD/RUB  Present Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on Key Levels

70 – 73 vs  75 – 80

with

Active Monitoring 

DXY , EUR/USD , EM CURRENCIES & OIL 

ATA FX Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N- TIMES

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOM – May

USD/RUB  Monthly , Weekly  &  Daily  Charts

18.03.2018

Your new TVC (6)

11.04.2018

Your new TVC

15.07.2018

Your new TVC (3)
Your new TVC (4)
Your new TVC (5)

23.07.2018

Your new TVC
Your new TVC (1)
Your new TVC (2)

9.08.2018

Your new TVC (5)
Your new TVC (6)
Your new TVC (8)

10.08.2018

tvc_1e1d68711527d067624b3bb54ef71d1c
tvc_ce8bc1b6f2353c07c4dd8f89de37ba33
tvc_406b4856071959d34d9241f4f7b0127d

17.08.2018

USD-RUB-M
USD-RUB-W
USD-RUB-D

24.08.2018

RUB-M
RUB-W
RUB-D

10.09.2018

USD-RUB-M
USD-RUB-W
USD-RUB-D

12.09.2018

USD-RUB-M-1
USD-RUB-W-1
USD-RUB-D-1

14.09.2018

USD-RUB-M-2
USD-RUB-W-2
USD-RUB-D-2

18.10.2018

USD-RUB-M-3
USD-RUB-W-3
USD-RUB-D-3

16.11.2018

USD-RUB-M-4
USD-RUB-W-4
USD-RUB-D-4

18.01.2019

usd-rub-m
usd-rub-w
usd-rub-d

31.05.2019

USD-RUB - M
USD-RUB - W
USD-RUB - D

2.08.2019

USD-RUB - M
USD-RUB - W
USD-RUB - D

3.09.2019 

USD-RUB - M-Line
USD-RUB - M
USD-RUB - W
USD-RUB - D

USD/RUB  Monthly Charts

18.08.2020 – Assian Session 

USD-RUB - M-Line-First
USD-RUB - M-Line-Second
USD-RUB - M- Fib Ret

25.09.2020 – EOD

19.10.2020 – Assian Session

13.11.2020 – EOD

10.05.2021 – before Start European Session

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