FIRST OF ALL
FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS
2021 – 2022 Horizon
– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –
Nasdaq – All Time on ATA Research Radar
NASDAQ Indexes – Wall Street & Global Equity Pathfinders
First of All
Back to 2016…
21.08.2016 – NASDAQ(S) – Big Picture – 18 Months Over 2000 year Top…
&
ATA Continuation of…
2019
21.07.2019 – NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON…
22.07.2019 – NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON FIB EXT TARGETS…
8.09.2019 – NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON Update September before ECB & FED Verdicts…
29.09.2019 – NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON Update September after ECB & FED Verdicts…
9.11.2019 – NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON ahead of Major Fibonacci Extensions Zone -Update November…
2020
1.01.2020 –NASDAQ – Wall Street Euphory vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update December 2019…
9.01.2020 – NASDAQ – Wall Street Bulls Power vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update January 2020…
12.02.2020 – NASDAQ – US Tech Bulls Parabolic Wave vs Secular Horizon Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…
9.05.2020 – NASDAQ – US Tech Bulls Back in Action Ahead of Secular Horizon Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update May 2020…
2.06.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – Secular Horizon Perspective…
21.06.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – WEALTH GAP – BULLS HIDDEN ENGINE…
25.06.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – PERFECT FIB EXT HIT…
3.07.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – Enternig Tech Mania…
4.07.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BARRON’S Cover CRUNCH TIME…
10.07.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – AD TECH ASTRA…
21.07.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – US TECH SHOW GOES ON…
3.08.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – Bulls do not fold the Gun…
26.08.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – US TECH SPACE INVADERS IN ACTION…
4.09.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BEARS STRIKES BACK…
9.09.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – Next Bear Hit…
13.09.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BARRON’S TECH BUBBLE COVER…
10.10.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – COVID VACCINE DANGER EUPHORY…
22.12.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – US TECH ” PRINTING ” STIMULUS…
2021
17.01.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BIDEN STIMULUS MAINSTREAM STRIKE …
31.01.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – FIRST AWAKENING…
13.02.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – NEW BULLS CHARGE vs BULLS TRAP HIDING RISK…
28.02.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BEAR FIBONACCI AWAKENING…
12.03.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BIDEN STIMULUS GAMBLE CHECK…
22.08.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – US BIG TECH ” Unstoppable ” Contrarian Risk Off Sign…
with
ATA Following…
Nasdaq 100 Futures
31.03.2020 – NASDAQ 100 Futures – Smart Money Perfection – Secular AMAZING CONSTELLATION after First & Second Bear Strikes…
ATA Following…
Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario
19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…
15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…
8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!
Polish Stocks
14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…
NASDAQ Key Master Motives
First…Activated Bear Reversal Process – November 2021
Test Fib Ext Node All Main Bull Waves
Formed Bear Reversal Patterns – Ending Diagonals
Second…Activated Bear Dynamic Wave
on
Nasdaq Big Tech Bear Hard Wave
Wall Street RISK OFF Waves
in Inflation Stagflation Fed Hawkish ( Rate Hikes & QT ) Shadows
with
SECULAR MOTIVES
Wall Street
Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN Stopped
Nasdaq 100
Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Continuation after Last Reactivation
Active Bear Strike under Psychological 13.000
after Earlier
Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Bull Dynamic Contraction from 13.000 Zone to 15.300 Zone
Finally for Now
Bear Contraction Continuation from 15.300 Zone under 13.000 – War Low – February March 2022
Fall under Lower 12.800
Ahead of Lower 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone
DJIA S&P500
Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Continuation after Last Reactivation
Bear Strikes and Fight in War Low Zones Active Action
DJIA from 35.300 Zone to 32.000 Zone – in War Low Zone – February 2022
S&P500 from 4.600 Zone to 4.100 Zone – in War Low Zone – February 2022
after Earlier
Bull Dynamic Contractions
from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone
to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone S&P500 to 4600 Zone
and
Global Inflation Shock
special in Eurozone US and EM
US Inflation Shock
Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed
Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes
Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s
Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict
0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start June 1st
Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook
after
Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25%
with
Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook
Fed Powell More Hawkish
Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario
Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario
with
US and Global Stagflation Fears
STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream
More Risk Scenario
Structural Stagflation Risk
Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation
End of Easy Money Era – Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by Main Central Banks
Global Bond Yields Rising
Global Debt Rising
and
CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB
Fed
Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict
0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start June 1st
Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook
after
Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25%
with
Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook
Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction
Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s
Strong Hawkish Perspective
Dynamic Rate Hikes
QT Balance Sheet Rundown
Fed Rapid Taper
ECB
ECB Eurozone Dovish vs Hawkish Central Fight Continuation
ECB Last Hawkish Strikes
ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish
Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike
ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War
Dovish vs Hawkish Central Verbal Moves
ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia
ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery
European QE > US QE
ECB No Taper for Now
Eurozone Rates Time Game
European QE Story
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Bull Long Term Wave still Active
but with
Hard FX Fight Continuation in 103 – 104 Zone
103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top
104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top
still above
First…Master Psychological Key Level 100
Second…Higher Psychological Key Level 103
with
Present Active Bull Bear Short Term Fighting in Key Levels 103 – 104 Zone
( Latest Max 104.09 )
on
FOMC MAY Meeting Fed Hawkish Verdict
Fed Hawkish 2022 Outlook
ATA Conclusion
Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active
Now dominating
Bull Wave Action still above 100 and Higher 103 – EOW 103.68
Active Zone Key Levels 103 – 104
special focus on
103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top
104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top
Master Psychological Key Level 100 and Higher Key Levels 103 vs 104
( EOW 103.68 )
First…ATA from 22.08.2021
” US BIG TECH Ecstasy Domination
vs
Testing
Higher FIB EXT Zones
Psychological Key Levels Zone – First 15.000 – 15.500
and
Bear Reversal Patterns – Ending Diagonals Rising Risk “
Second…Present NASDAQ Comp NASDAQ 100 & NASDAQ 100 Futures Situation
NASDAQ Comp NASDAQ 100 NASDAQ 100 FUTURES SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
First of All
All Time Highs
NASDAQ Comp 16.000 Zone ( 16.212 ) – November 2021
NASDAQ 100 16.800 Zone ( 16.764 ) – November 2021
NASDAQ Futures 16.800 Zone ( 16.767 ) – November 2021
Quarterly View
After Activated
Bear Reversal Pattern – Ending Diagonal
Upper Edge – Key Level 16.800
Lower Edge – Key Level 15.300
Now dominating
Bear Dynamic Wave
Back inside Secular Bull Channel
Fall under Upper Edge – Key Level 14.300
Quarterly Q2/22 Bear Candlestick for Now
( needed confirmation EOQ – June 2022 )
MACD Quarterly still Active Buy Signal
with
Open Bearish Scenario
Bear Wave Continuation – Test Lower Edge – Key Level 10.500
Monthly View
After
US BIG TECH Ecstasy Mainstream Peak – November 2021
Test
FIB EXT Nodes and Ending Diagonals Upper Edges
Psychological Key Levels Zones
Nasdaq Comp. 16.000 Zone
Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Fut 16.800 Zone
and
Activated
Bear Reversal Patterns – Ending Diagonals – Break Lower Edges
Nasdaq Comp Key Level 15.800
Nasdaq 100 Key Level 16.000
Nasdaq Fut Key Level 15.500
with
Monthly Shooting Star – Candlestick Bear Reversal Patterns – November 2021
Now dominating
Bear Dynamic Wave
Fall under Psychological Key Level 13.000
special Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Fut
Monthly April Bear Candlesticks – Large Real Body
MACD Monthly Sell Signals
with
Open Bearish Scenario
Bear Wave Continuation – Test Lower Fib Ret Nodes – Key Levels 11.800 and 10.000 Zone
ATA Secular Investment Conclusion
special focus on
Psychological Key Levels
12.000 and 11.000 – Nasdaq Comp
13.000 and 12.000 – Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Fut
and
Present and Lower FIB RET Nodes
with
Classic Technical Analysis Pattern Research
of course with
Next Smart Money Move
New
Fed Verbal Strikes
Nasdaq US Tech News
Global Macro Economy News
Governments & Central Banks Strikes
and of course
Future Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOM – May
Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Quarterly Charts
19.07.2019 – EOW
Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Monthly Charts
19.07.2019 – EOW
Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Quarterly Charts
6.09.2019 – EOW
Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Monthly Charts
6.09.2019 – EOW
Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Quarterly Charts
27.09.2019 – EOW
Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Monthly Charts
27.09.2019 – EOW
Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Monthly Charts
8.11.2019 – EOW
31.12.2019 – EOM ( Log Scale )
8.01.2020 – EOD ( Log Scale )
12.02.2020 – Start US Session ( Log Scale )
8.05.2020 – EOD
NASDAQ Comp NASDAQ 100 & NASDAQ 100 Futures Monthly Charts
2.06.2020 – First Phase American Session
Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Monthly Charts
19.06.2020 – EOW
24.06.2020 – EOD
2.07.2020 – EOD
Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Quarterly Charts
2.07.2020 – EOD
Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Monthly Charts
9.07.2020 – EOD
20.07.2020 – EOD
31.07.2020 – EOM
25.08.2020 – EOD
3.09.2020 – EOD
8.09.2020 – EOD
11.09.2020 – EOD
Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Monthly Charts
Nasdaq 100 Futures Daily Chart
Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Quarterly & Monthly Charts
21.12.2020 – EOD
15.01.2021 – EOD
Nasdaq 100 & Nasdaq 100 Futures Monthly Charts
29.01.2021 – EOM
NASDAQ Comp NASDAQ 100 & NASDAQ 100 Futures Quarterly & Monthly Charts
12.02.2021 – EOD
26.02.2021 – EOM
11.03.2021 – Indexes EOD – Futures Asian Session
NASDAQ Comp NASDAQ 100 and NASDAQ 100 Futures Quarterly & Monthly Charts
20.08.2021 – EOD
NASDAQ Comp NASDAQ 100 and NASDAQ 100 Futures FIB EXT FIB RET Quarterly & Monthly Charts
6.05.2022 – EOW
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 