NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – from ”Unstoppable” Contrarian Warning to Bear Dynamic Wave…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Nasdaq   –  All Time on ATA Research Radar 

NASDAQ  Indexes  – Wall Street  &  Global Equity Pathfinders

First of All

Back to 2016…

21.08.2016 – NASDAQ(S) – Big Picture – 18 Months Over 2000 year Top…

&

ATA Continuation of…

2019 

21.07.2019 –  NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON…

22.07.2019 –  NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON FIB EXT TARGETS…

8.09.2019 –  NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON Update September before ECB & FED Verdicts…

29.09.2019 –  NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON Update September after ECB & FED Verdicts…

9.11.2019 –  NASDAQ – SECULAR HORIZON ahead of Major Fibonacci Extensions Zone -Update November…

2020

1.01.2020 –NASDAQ – Wall Street Euphory vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update December 2019…

9.01.2020 –  NASDAQ – Wall Street Bulls Power vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update January 2020…

12.02.2020 –  NASDAQ – US Tech Bulls Parabolic Wave vs Secular Horizon Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…

9.05.2020 –  NASDAQ – US Tech Bulls Back in Action Ahead of Secular Horizon Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update May 2020…

2.06.2020 –  NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – Secular Horizon Perspective…

21.06.2020 –  NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – WEALTH GAP – BULLS HIDDEN ENGINE…

25.06.2020 –  NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – PERFECT FIB EXT HIT…

3.07.2020 –  NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – Enternig Tech Mania…

4.07.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BARRON’S Cover CRUNCH TIME…

10.07.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – AD TECH ASTRA…

21.07.2020 –  NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – US TECH SHOW GOES ON…

3.08.2020 –  NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – Bulls do not fold the Gun…

26.08.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – US TECH SPACE INVADERS IN ACTION…

4.09.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BEARS STRIKES BACK…

9.09.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – Next Bear Hit…

13.09.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BARRON’S TECH BUBBLE COVER…

10.10.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – COVID VACCINE DANGER EUPHORY…

22.12.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – US TECH ” PRINTING ” STIMULUS…

2021

17.01.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BIDEN STIMULUS MAINSTREAM STRIKE …

31.01.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – FIRST AWAKENING…

13.02.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – NEW BULLS CHARGE vs BULLS TRAP HIDING RISK…

28.02.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BEAR FIBONACCI AWAKENING…

12.03.2021 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BIDEN STIMULUS GAMBLE CHECK…

22.08.2021 NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – US BIG TECH ” Unstoppable ” Contrarian Risk Off Sign…

with

ATA Following…

Nasdaq 100 Futures 

31.03.2020 –  NASDAQ 100 Futures – Smart Money Perfection – Secular AMAZING CONSTELLATION after First & Second Bear Strikes…

NASDAQ   Key Master Motives

First…Activated Bear Reversal Process – November 2021

Test Fib Ext Node All Main Bull Waves

Formed Bear Reversal Patterns – Ending Diagonals

Second…Activated Bear Dynamic Wave

on

Nasdaq Big Tech Bear Hard Wave

Wall Street RISK OFF Waves

in Inflation Stagflation Fed Hawkish ( Rate Hikes & QT ) Shadows

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Continuation after Last  Reactivation

Active Bear Strike under Psychological 13.000

after Earlier

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bull Dynamic Contraction from 13.000 Zone to 15.300 Zone

Finally for Now

Bear Contraction Continuation  from 15.300 Zone under 13.000 – War Low – February March 2022

Fall under Lower 12.800

Ahead of Lower 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Continuation after Last Reactivation

Bear Strikes and Fight in War Low Zones Active Action

DJIA from 35.300 Zone to 32.000 Zone – in War Low Zone – February 2022

S&P500 from 4.600 Zone to 4.100 Zone – in War Low Zone – February 2022

after Earlier

Bull Dynamic Contractions

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone  S&P500 to 4600 Zone

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start June 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

End of Easy Money Era – Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Bond Yields Rising

Global Debt Rising

and

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start June 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB Eurozone Dovish vs Hawkish Central Fight Continuation

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Central Verbal Moves

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Active 

but with

Hard FX Fight Continuation  in 103 – 104 Zone

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

still above 

First…Master Psychological Key Level 100  

Second…Higher Psychological Key Level 103  

with

Present Active Bull Bear Short Term Fighting  in Key Levels 103 – 104 Zone

( Latest Max 104.09 )

on 

FOMC MAY Meeting Fed Hawkish Verdict

Fed Hawkish 2022 Outlook

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active

Now dominating

Bull Wave Action still above 100 and Higher 103 – EOW 103.68

Active Zone Key Levels  103 – 104

special focus on

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

Master Psychological Key Level 100 and Higher Key Levels  103 vs 104

( EOW 103.68 )

First…ATA  from  22.08.2021

US BIG TECH Ecstasy Domination

vs

Testing

Higher FIB EXT Zones

Psychological Key Levels Zone – First 15.000 – 15.500

and

Bear Reversal Patterns – Ending Diagonals Rising Risk

Second…Present  NASDAQ Comp  NASDAQ 100  & NASDAQ 100 Futures  Situation 

NASDAQ Comp  NASDAQ 100  NASDAQ 100 FUTURES   SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

First of All

All Time Highs

NASDAQ Comp   16.000 Zone  ( 16.212 ) –  November 2021

NASDAQ 100   16.800 Zone ( 16.764 ) November 2021

NASDAQ Futures  16.800 Zone ( 16.767 ) November 2021

Quarterly View

After Activated

Bear Reversal Pattern – Ending Diagonal

Upper Edge – Key Level 16.800

Lower Edge – Key Level 15.300

Now dominating

Bear Dynamic Wave

Back inside Secular Bull Channel

Fall under Upper Edge – Key Level 14.300

Quarterly Q2/22 Bear Candlestick for Now

( needed confirmation EOQ – June 2022 )

MACD Quarterly still Active Buy Signal

with

Open Bearish Scenario

Bear Wave Continuation – Test Lower Edge – Key Level 10.500

Monthly View

After

US BIG TECH Ecstasy Mainstream Peak – November 2021

Test

FIB EXT Nodes and Ending Diagonals Upper Edges

Psychological Key Levels Zones

Nasdaq Comp. 16.000 Zone  

Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Fut 16.800 Zone

and

Activated

Bear Reversal Patterns – Ending Diagonals – Break Lower Edges

Nasdaq Comp Key Level 15.800

Nasdaq 100 Key Level 16.000

Nasdaq Fut Key Level 15.500

with

Monthly Shooting Star – Candlestick Bear Reversal Patterns – November 2021

Now dominating

Bear Dynamic Wave

Fall under Psychological Key Level 13.000

special Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Fut

Monthly April Bear Candlesticks – Large Real Body

MACD Monthly Sell Signals

with

Open Bearish Scenario

Bear Wave Continuation – Test Lower Fib Ret Nodes – Key Levels 11.800 and 10.000 Zone

ATA Secular Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Psychological Key Levels

12.000 and 11.000 – Nasdaq Comp

13.000 and 12.000 – Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Fut

and

Present and Lower FIB RET Nodes

with

Classic Technical Analysis Pattern Research 

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New

Fed Verbal Strikes

Nasdaq US Tech News 

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – May

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Quarterly Charts

19.07.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp -Q
Nasdaq 100 -Q

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

19.07.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Quarterly Charts

6.09.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp -Q
Nasdaq 100 -Q

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

6.09.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 Quarterly Charts

27.09.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp -Q
Nasdaq 100 -Q

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

27.09.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

8.11.2019 – EOW 

Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT - Focus
Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT - Focus

31.12.2019 – EOM  ( Log Scale ) 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT - Focus
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT - Focus

8.01.2020 – EOD ( Log Scale ) 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

12.02.2020 –  Start US Session  ( Log Scale ) 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

8.05.2020 – EOD 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

NASDAQ Comp  NASDAQ 100  & NASDAQ 100 Futures Monthly Charts

2.06.2020 – First Phase American Session 

Nasdaq Comp - M - Line
Nasdaq 100 - M - Line
Nasdaq 100 Futures - M - Line

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

19.06.2020 – EOW 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

24.06.2020 – EOD 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT

2.07.2020 – EOD

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100   Quarterly  Charts

2.07.2020 – EOD

Nasdaq Comp -Q
Nasdaq 100 -Q

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

9.07.2020 – EOD 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

20.07.2020 – EOD

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT - Focus
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT - Focus

31.07.2020 – EOM 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

25.08.2020 – EOD 

Nasdaq Comp - M - FIB EXT
Nasdaq 100 - M - FIB EXT

3.09.2020 – EOD

8.09.2020 – EOD

11.09.2020 – EOD

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100  Monthly Charts

Nasdaq 100  Futures Daily Chart

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100   Quarterly & Monthly Charts

21.12.2020 – EOD

15.01.2021 – EOD

Nasdaq 100 & Nasdaq 100 Futures  Monthly Charts

29.01.2021 – EOM

NASDAQ Comp  NASDAQ 100  & NASDAQ 100 Futures  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

12.02.2021 – EOD

26.02.2021 – EOM

11.03.2021 – Indexes EOD – Futures Asian Session

NASDAQ Comp  NASDAQ 100  and NASDAQ 100 Futures  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

20.08.2021 – EOD

NASDAQ Comp  NASDAQ 100 and NASDAQ 100 Futures FIB EXT FIB RET Quarterly & Monthly Charts

6.05.2022 – EOW

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