S&P 500 – SECULAR HORIZON – from Fibonacci Extensions to Fibonacci Retracements in Fed Charade Shadow…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

S&P 500 Index  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2019

19.05.2019 –  S&P500 – Another 3 US Stock Himalayas Peaks…

17.07.2019 –  S&P 500 – on the Edge of Tomorrow…

27.09.2019 –  S&P 500 – Clinch of Titans…

26.11.2019 –  S&P 500 – Wall Street Heat vs SECULAR HORIZON Fibonacci Extensions Hitting Major Target Zone…

30.12.2019 –  S&P 500 – Wall Street Heat vs SECULAR HORIZON Fibonacci Extensions – Update December 2019…

2020

17.02.2020 –  S&P 500 – Wall Street Bulls Charge vs SECULAR HORIZON Fibonacci Extensions Update February 2020…

26.02.2020 – S&P 500 – Hitting First Major Fibonacci Retracement Zone on Coronavirus Panic…

6.09.2020 S&P 500 – Pullback but with Bear Reversal Risk…

with

ATA Following…

Nasdaq

8.05.2022 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – from ”Unstoppable” Contrarian Warning to Bear Dynamic Wave…

S&P500  Present Key Motives

Present Inflation & Fed PING PONG Game

Global Inflation Shock vs Inflation Peak Scenario

Fed May Verdict vs Fed May FOMC Minutes

Fed Super Hawkish vs Fed Less Hawkish

ATA Conclusion

Fed Pause Rate Hike Cycle Scenario in Smart Money Play

vs

Fed QT – Quantitative Tightening – Master Central Factor Ahead

Now

Big Waiting for Fed QT Start June 1st

Reducing Size of Federal Reserve Balance Sheet

2022 Perspective

from January ATH to Latest May Low

First…Test Fibonacci Ret – Key Level 3.800 Zone

Second…Activated Bulls Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 3850

Finally for Now

Bulls Dynamic Strike – Back above Psychological Key Level 4.000

on

Mainstream Bearish Impacts and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone

vs

Test – 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bull Dynamic Strike  – Back above Psychological Key Level 12.000

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. above Higher Key Level 12.500 

DJIA S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH  37.000 Zone

vs

Test – 30% Fib Ret 31.330  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bulls Strike Back  above 32.000 War Low Zone – February 2022

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. above Higher Key Level 33.000 

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH  4.800 Zone

vs

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 3.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bulls Strike Back above 4.100  War Low Zone – February 2022

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. to Higher Key Level 4.150  

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed FOM Minutes – Less Hawkish

vs

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start June 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

ECB

ECB Lagarde Davos Hawkish Verbal Strike

ECB Eurozone Dovish vs Hawkish Central Fight Continuation

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Hard Stopped 

after

Last Test Higher 105 

Bear Strike  Continuation – Fall Out of the Range 103 – 104

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

with

Present Bear Dynamic Strike Cont. under Major Key Level 102

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination Hard Stopped Continuation

Now dominating

Bear Wave Action  under Major  102

vs

Bulls Bears Short Term Hard Fight > Lower 101.50

Active Zone Key Levels  101.50 – 102

special focus on

Present 101.50

( EOW 101.65 )

First…

ATA  from  17.02.2020

“First of All

All Time High

3385.09  ( 12.02.2020 )

( Monthly Charts )

Present Active Master FIB EXT Targets 

Key Levels Zone

3300 ;  3450-3550  ; 3650-3700  ; 3800 

of course with

Psychological Key Levels

3300 ;  3500 ;  3800  &  4000 

still show

Extreme Risk of Final Bull Market Phase 

Ending Wave Up 

with

Major Top Creating Process Starting High Risk 

ATA  from  6.09.2020

” First

Break Down Bull Trend & Psychological Key Level 3000

Waterfall Pattern

Panic Sell Off

Second

Activated Bull Reversal Pattern 

Inverted 2B Pattern – Key Level 2350

Dynamic Bull Strike Back

with

Raising Wave above February 2020 Top Zone

Special  Focus on

Dynamic Pullback to February Top for Now

Key Level 3380 Zone

and

Wall Street S&P500 Last Key Tweets

Second…S&P500 Present  Situation

S&P500  LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

First of All

All Time High

4.800 Key Level Zone – January 2022

( stricte 4.817,88 )

S&P500  Secular Perspective 

Fibonacci Ext Fibonacci Ret Investment Phase

First…2020 Year

Bulls Dynamic Wave

Test Fibonacci Ext Node3.300 Zone – January 2020 – February 2020

Bear Dynamic Wave

Test Fibonacci Ret Node2.150 2.300 Zone – March 2020

Second…2022 Year

Bulls Dynamic Wave

Test Fibonacci Ext Node4.600-4.800-4.900 Zone – December 2021 – January 2022

Bear Dynamic Wave

Test Fibonacci Ret 3.800 Zone – May 2022

vs

Bearish Monthly Reversal PatternH&S – Neckline – Key Level 4.400

and

Long Legged Doji May Monthly Bull Bear Candlestick – Very Long Lower Shadow

MACD Monthly Sell Signal

S&P500  Long Term Perspective  2020 – 2022

1ST Bear – Bull Cycle February 2020 – March 2020

Activated Bearish Reversal Patterns 2B : 2B – Key Level 3.380 2B – Key Level 3.330 – February 2020

Bear Dynamic Wave – Fall under Psychological 3.300 3.000 and 2.500

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 2.150 Zone Bull Wave from 2016 Low Zone

Activated Bullish Reversal Pattern Invert 2B Key Level 2.350 – March 2020

Bull Dynamic Wave – Raise above Psychological 3.000 4.000 and 4.500

Test 4.800 Zone

2ND Bear – Bull Cycle January 20220 – May 2022 for Now

Activated Bearish Reversal Patterns 2B : 2B – Key Level 4.800 2B – Key Level 4.740 – January 2022

Bear Dynamic Wave – Fall under Psychological 4.500 and 4.000

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 3.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Activated Bullish Reversal Pattern Invert 2B Key Level 3.855 – May 2022

Bulls Strike Back above  Psychological Key Level 4.000 and 4.100  War Low Zone – May 2022

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. to Higher Key Level 4.150  Zone

and

Weekly Bull Large Real Body Candlestick

MACD Weekly Sell Signal

S&P500  Medium Term Perspective January – May 2022

2B vs Invert 2B

Daily Rising Ending Diagonal vs Expanding Falling Ending Diagonal ( Line Chart )

Bearish Daily Reversal PatternH&S – Neckline – Key Level 4.160 ( Line Chart )

Present Test

Neckline H&S – Key Level 4.160

Upper Edge Expanding Falling Ending Diagonal – Key Level 4.160

with

Fibonacci Ret Last Bull Wave vs Fibonacci Ret Last Bear Wave ( Candlestick Chart )

and

Daily Bull Large Real Body Candlestick

MACD Daily Buy Signal

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present

Active Zone 3.800-4000 vs 4.1604.200 4.400

Fib Ret – special 38.2% Last Bear Wave

Bearish Monthly Reversal PatternH&S – Neckline – Key Level 4.400 ( Line Chart )

Bearish Daily Reversal PatternH&S – Neckline – Key Level 4.160 ( Line Chart )

Upper Edge Daily Expanding Falling Ending Diagonal – Key Level 4.160 ( Line Chart )

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New

Fed Verbal Strikes

Wall Street Strikes

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s

Final…EOM – May

S&P500  Secular Fibonacci Extension Targets  Monthly Charts

25.11.2019 – EOD 

S&P500- FIB EXT - SECULAR
S&P500- FIB EXT - SECULAR - Focus
S&P500- FIB EXT - SECULAR - Focus - Focus

30.12.2019 – ( Half  of  US Session )

S&P500- FIB EXT - SECULAR - Focus
S&P500- FIB EXT - SECULAR - Focus - Focus

14.02.2020 – EOW 

S&P500- FIB EXT - SECULAR - Focus
S&P500- FIB EXT - SECULAR - Focus - Focus

S&P 500  Daily Charts

25.02.2020 – EOD

S&P500 - D - fib Ret
S&P500 - D - fib Ret - Focus
S&P500 - D - Line

4.09.2020 – EOD

S&P500  Secular Fibonacci Extension Targets  Monthly Weekly and Daily Charts

27.05.2022 – EOW

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