DJIA – SECULAR HORIZON – Blue Chips Relative Strength in Fibonacci and Fed Charade Shadow…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

DJIA  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2018

18.05.2018 –  DJIA – 3 Peaks of US Equities Himalayas…

2019

18.07.2019 –  DJIA – on FED Central Edge…

27.09.2019 –  DJIA – Wall Street VERDUN…

14.10.2019 –  DJIA – TUBE – MEGAPHONE REVERSAL PATTERN DOMINATING…

2020 

12.01.2020 –  DJIA – PATTERN INCEPTION – from TUBE – MEGAPHONE to ENDING DIAGONAL…

20.01.2020 –  DJIA – Barron’s Cover Warning with Bear Ending Diagonal Risk…

1.04.2020 –  DJIA – Secular View after January Barron’s Cover Warning…

5.07.2020 – DJIA – NO TECH NO RUN…

6.09.2020 – DJIA – FINAL TOUCH RISING RISK…

Special 

20.07.2019 –  DJIA – MOONWALKER…

FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS 

DJIA 

20.11.2019 –  DJIA – Wall Street Fever vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions Targets…

31.12.2019 –  DJIA – Wall Street Fever vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update December 2019…

Wall Street  2020 Covid Motive

2.01.2020 –  WALL STREET – 2020 ECSTASY START vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions…

Wall Street  Short Term Perspective

27.01.2020 –  WALL STREET Index Futures – Intraday Bear Reversal Patterns Activated before Coronavirus Fear Main Strike…

28.01.2020 –  WALL STREET Index Futures – the Day after China Coronavirus Panic…

1.02.2020 –  WALL STREET Index Futures – Coronavirus in Play – US Panic after China Panic…

8.02.2020 –  WALL STREET Index Futures – Coronavirus still in Play – New Intraday Bear Contraction…

13.02.2020 –  WALL STREET Index Futures – Clash of Coronavirus Bulls Optimism vs Bears New Cases Jump – Perfect Motive for Start Intraday Creation of Top…

with

ATA Following…

S&P 500

28.05.2022 – S&P 500 – SECULAR HORIZON – from Fibonacci Extensions to Fibonacci Retracements in Fed Charade Shadow…

Nasdaq

8.05.2022 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – from ”Unstoppable” Contrarian Warning to Bear Dynamic Wave…

ATA Following…

Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario

19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…

15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…

8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!

Polish Stocks

14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…

DJIA  Present Key Motives

Present Inflation & Fed PING PONG Game

Global Inflation Shock vs Inflation Peak Scenario

Fed May Verdict vs Fed May FOMC Minutes

Fed Super Hawkish vs Fed Less Hawkish

ATA Conclusion

Fed Pause Rate Hike Cycle Scenario in Smart Money Play

vs

Fed QT – Quantitative Tightening – Master Central Factor Ahead

Now

Big Waiting for Fed QT Start June 1st

Reducing Size of Federal Reserve Balance Sheet

2022 Perspective

from January ATH to Latest May Low

First…Test Fibonacci Ret – Key Level 31.000 Zone

Second…Activated Bulls Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 31.230

Finally for Now

Bulls Dynamic Strike – Back above Psychological Key Level 33.000

on

Mainstream Bearish Impacts and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone

vs

Test – 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bull Dynamic Strike  – Back above Psychological Key Level 12.000

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. above Higher Key Level 12.500 

DJIA S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH  37.000 Zone

vs

Test – 30% Fib Ret 31.330  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bulls Strike Back  above 32.000 War Low Zone – February 2022

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. above Higher Key Level 33.000 

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH  4.800 Zone

vs

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 3.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bulls Strike Back above 4.100  War Low Zone – February 2022

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. to Higher Key Level 4.150  

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed FOM Minutes – Less Hawkish

vs

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start June 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

ECB

ECB Lagarde Davos Hawkish Verbal Strike

ECB Eurozone Dovish vs Hawkish Central Fight Continuation

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Hard Stopped 

after

Last Test Higher 105 

Bear Strike  Continuation – Fall Out of the Range 103 – 104

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

with

Present Bear Dynamic Strike Cont. under Major Key Level 102

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination Hard Stopped Continuation

Now dominating

Bear Wave Action  under Major  102

vs

Bulls Bears Short Term Hard Fight > Lower 101.50

Active Zone Key Levels  101.50 – 102

special focus on

Present 101.50

( EOW 101.65 )

First…

ATA  from  31.12.2019

Master FIB EXT Targets 

Key Levels Zone

28.500

30.380

32.350 –  33.700

of course with

Psychological Key Levels

28.000 – 30.000  &  33.000

still  show

Rising Risks

of

Ending Wave Up 

Major Top Creating Process 

like

M – 2B  or TUBE with Ending Diagonal

ATA  from  6.09.2020

” Now dominating

Testing Lower Key Level 28.000 Zone

Finally Bear Reversal Pattern Rising Risk

M – Key Level 30.000 Zone

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Psychological Key Level 30.000

( Quarterly , Monthly Charts ) “

Second…DJIA Present  Situation

DJIA  LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

First of All

All Time High

37.000 Key Level Zone – January 2022

( stricte 36.962,65 )

DJIA  Secular Perspective 

Fibonacci Ext – Fibonacci Ret Investment Phase

First…2020 Year

Bulls Dynamic Wave

Test Fibonacci Ext – 28.500 Zone – January 2020 – February 2020

Bear Dynamic Wave

Test Fibonacci Ret Node – 18.500  Zone – March 2020

Second…2022 Year

Bulls Dynamic Wave

Test Fibonacci Ext  – 36.800 Zone – January 2022

Bear Dynamic Wave

Test Fibonacci Ret – 31.300 Zone – May 2022

vs

Bearish Monthly Reversal Pattern – H&S – Neckline – Key Level 34.000 Zone

and

Long Legged Doji May Monthly Bull Bear Candlestick – Very Long Lower Shadow

MACD Monthly Sell Signal

DJIA  Long Term Perspective  2020 – 2022

1ST Bear – Bull Cycle February 2020 – March 2020

Activated Bearish Reversal Pattern 2B  2B – Key Level 29.300 2B  – February 2020

Bear Dynamic Wave – Fall under Psychological 28.000 25.000 and 20.000

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 18.400 Zone Bull Wave from 2016 Low Zone

Activated Bullish Reversal Pattern Invert 2B Key Level 21.700 – April 2020

Bull Dynamic Wave – Raise above Psychological 25.000 30.000 and 35.000

Test 37.000 Zone

2ND Bear – Bull Cycle January 20220 – May 2022 for Now

Activated Bearish Reversal Pattern 2B : 2B – Key Level 36.500 – January 2022

Bear Dynamic Wave – Fall under Psychological 35.000 and 33.000

Test 30% Fib Ret 31.300 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Activated Bullish Reversal Pattern Invert 2B Key Level 31.230 – May 2022

Bulls Strike Back above 32.000  War Low Zone and Psychological Key Level 33.000 – May 2022

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Cont. to Higher Key Level 33.000

and

Weekly Bull Large Real Body Candlestick

MACD Weekly Sell Signal

DJIA  Medium Term Perspective January – May 2022

2B vs Invert 2B

Daily Expanding Rising Ending Diagonal vs Expanding Falling Ending Diagonal ( Line Chart )

Bearish Daily Reversal Pattern – H&S – Neckline – Key Level 32.800 ( Line Chart )

Canceled H&S – Present Bull Strike above Neckline H&S – Key Level 32.800

Upper Edge Expanding Falling Ending Diagonal – Key Level 34.600

with

Fibonacci Ret Last Bull Wave vs Fibonacci Ret Last Bear Wave ( Candlestick Chart )

and

Daily Bull Large Real Body Candlestick

MACD Daily Buy Signal

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present

Active Zone 31.000-33.000 vs 33.800 34.00034.600  35.00037.000

Fib Ret – special 50% Last Bear Wave

Bearish Monthly Reversal PatternH&S -Neckline-Key Level 34.000 ( Line Chart )

Bearish Daily Reversal Pattern – H&S – Neckline – Key Level 32.800 ( Line Chart )

Upper Edge Daily Expanding Falling Ending Diagonal – Key Level 34.600 ( Line Chart )

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New

Fed Verbal Strikes

Wall Street Strikes

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s

Final…EOM – May

DJIA  Quarterly, Monthly, Weekly & Daily  Charts

18.07.2019

( Starting Phase American Session )

DJIA - Q
DJIA - M
DJIA - W

27.09.2019 – EOD 

DJIA - Q
DJIA - Q - Focus
DJIA - M

DJIA  Quarterly, Monthly & Weekly Charts

14.10.2019 – ( First Phase US Session ) 

DJIA - Q
DJIA - M

DJIA  Secular Fibonacci Extension Targets  Monthly Charts

19.11.2019 – EOD 

DJIA - FIB EXT - SECULAR
DJIA - FIB EXT - SECULAR - Focus
DJIA - FIB EXT - SECULAR - Focus - Focus

30.12.2019 – EOD 

DJIA - FIB EXT - SECULAR
DJIA - FIB EXT - SECULAR - Focus
DJIA - FIB EXT - SECULAR - Focus - Focus

10.01.2020 – EOD

DJIA - Q
DJIA - M

17.01.2020 – EOW

DJIA - Q
DJIA - M

31.03.2020 – EOM-EOQ

DJIA - Q - Focus
DJIA - M - Focus
DJIA - W- Focus

DJIA Quarterly & Monthly Charts

3.07.2020 – EOW

DJIA - Q - SCharts
DJIA - M - SCharts

4.09.2020 – EOD

DJIA  Secular Fibonacci Extension Targets  Monthly Weekly and Daily Charts

27.05.2022 – EOW

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Create a website or blog at WordPress.com

Up ↑

%d bloggers like this: