APPLE – from Ending Diagonal Risk to Bear Strike in Fibonacci Shadows…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

APPLE  –  Back  Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

Last of 2020

24.12.2020 – APPLE – Next iLevel – Cupertino EV…

2021

8.02.2021 – APPLE – Apple Car Speculation…

19.07.2021 – APPLE – iPhone Optimism Warning…

11.09.2021 – APPLE – App Store Payment Decision Strike…

15.09.2021 – APPLE – iPhone event 2021 Motive…

30.10.2021 – APPLE – Pattern and Fibonacci in Supply Chain Crunch Shadow…

2022

29.01.2022 – APPLE – Bull Strikes Back on Monster Earnings in Fibonacci and Ending Diagonal Shadows…

Apple Main Motives

First of All

Apple Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and S&P500

Apple  Lost 3 Trillion USD Market

Apple EOW 147.1 USD per share – Present Valuation 2.38 Trillion USD

Saudi Aramco overtook Apple as the World Most Valuable Company

Apple Earnings Q2/2022

Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg

  • Revenue: $97.3 billion versus $93.98 billion expected
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.52 versus $1.42 expected
  • iPhone revenue: $50.57 billion versus $49.16 billion expected
  • Mac revenue: $10.44 billion versus $9.23 billion expected
  • iPad revenue: $7.65 billion versus $7.19 billion expected
  • Wearables revenue: $8.81 billion versus $8.98 billion expected
  • Services revenue: $19.82 billion versus $19.78 billion expected

Earnings Report Conclusion

Huge Quarter, but Revenue Growth is slowing

Apple Stocks Action Bear Wave vs Latest Bull Strike

on

Nasdaq Big Tech Bear Hard Wave

Wall Street RISK OFF Waves

in Inflation Stagflation Fed Hawkish ( Rate Hikes & QT ) Shadows

vs

Latest Bull Contraction

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone

Fall under Psychological 13.00038.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Test50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

Latest Bull Dynamic ContractionBack >  12.000 

Finally for Now

Bulls Bears Hard Fight in Present Active Zone 12.000 – 13.000

with

Lower Support Zone – 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones

DJIA 37.000 Zone S&P500 4.800 Zone

DJIA 

Bull Bear Hard Fight in War Low Zone Active Action

32.000 Zone – in War Low Zone – February 2022

S&P500 

Bear Strike under 4.100  War Low Zone – February 2022

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 3.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

Latest Bull Dynamic Contractions

from DJIA 31.000 Zone S&P500 3800 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 32.000 Zone  S&P500 to 4000 Zone

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start June 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

End of Easy Money Era – Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Bond Yields Rising

Global Debt Rising

and

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start June 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB Eurozone Dovish vs Hawkish Central Fight Continuation

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Central Verbal Moves

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave still Active 

Bull Strike Out of Range 103 – 104

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

with

Latest Test Higher 105 vs Bear Short Term Correction

Present Active Bull Bear Short Term Fighting  in Key Levels  104 – 105 Zone

( Latest Max 105.05 )

on 

FOMC MAY Meeting Fed Hawkish Verdict

Fed Hawkish 2022 Outlook

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active

Now dominating

Bull Wave Action still above 103 and Higher 104 – EOW 104.51

vs

Bear Latest Short Term Correction from Higher 105

Active Zone Key Levels  104 – 105

special focus on

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

Higher Psychological Key Level 105

( EOW 104.51 )

First…ATA  from  29.01.2022

Present January 2022 Long Term Strong Bull Trend  Stopped

with

Activated

Daily Bear Reversal Pattern – 2B Key Level 182 USD

still

Rising Risk of Skyrocket Fly End 

with Active

Bull vs Bear Hard Fighting

First…in Psychological Key Levels 150-180 USD Zone

ATA Investment Conclusion

all time special focus on

Present Apple Active Zone 

145-150   vs   180-185  USD 

still carefully Research

Present Active Smaller Ending Diagonal

and

Apple Key Tweets

Second…Present Apple  Situation 

APPLE  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Quarterly  Monthly Daily View 

First of All

All Time High – January 2022

after SPLIT 4 : 1 

Key Levels 180-183 USD Zone 

( stricte 182.87 USD )

January 2022 Long Term Strong Bull Trend  Stopped

Activated

Daily Bear Reversal Patterns

First…2B Key Level 182 USD

Second…2B Key Level 176.50 USD

and

Bear Wave

Finally for Now

Fight under Psychological Key Levels 150 USD

still

Rising Risk of Skyrocket Fly End 

Activated

Quarterly Smaller Ending Diagonal

( needed confirmation EOQ – Q2 )

Upper Edge Key Level 180 USD

Lower Edge Key Level 155 USD

Activated

Monthly Smaller Ending Diagonal

( needed confirmation EOM – May )

Upper Edge Key Level 180 USD

Lower Edge Key Level 160 USD

with

Quarterly Q2 Bear Candlestick

Fall for Now under 150 USD

Quarterly Q4 Bull Candlestick – Half Real Body Support Psychological Key Level 150 USD

and

Monthly April Bear Candlestick

Monthly May Bear Candlestick but with Lower Shadow

vs

Test 23.6% Fib Ret Bull Long Wave from post Lehman 2008 Low 140 USD Zone ( Monthly Chart )

Test October 2021 Low Zone 138 USD ( Daily Chart )

Present Bull Contraction – Back above 140 USD vs still under Psychological 150 USD

MACD Factor

still Active Quarterly Buy Signal vs Activated Monthly Sell Signal

with

Open Scenarios

Bull Scenario – W Pattern 138-140 USD Zone – Next Bull Strike > 150 USD

vs

Bear Scenario – No Back > 150 USD – Next Bear Strike < 140 USD

Apple  Smart Money Battlefield

140 vs  150-155-160  180-185  USD 

Psychological Key Level 150 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

all time special focus on

Present Apple Active Zone 

140 vs  150-155-160  180-185  USD  

and

Important Psychological Key Level 150 USD

still carefully Research

Present Active Quarterly and Monthly Smaller Ending Diagonals

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New

Fed Verbal Strikes

Apple News

Nasdaq US Tech News 

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First..EOM – May   and  Finally…EOQ – Q2/2022

APPLE  Monthly  Charts

8.11.2019  ( Half US Session )

APPLE - M - FIB EXT
APPLE - M - FIB EXT - Focus

24.12.2019 – EOD

APPLE - M - FIB EXT
APPLE - M - FIB EXT - Focus

7.02.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT - Focus

5.05.2020  –  EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

5.06.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

19.06.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

23.06.2020 – EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

10.07.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

31.07.2020 – EOM 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

11.08.2020 – EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

19.08.2020 -EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

28.08.2020 – EOD

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

APPLE  Quarterly Chart

after SPLIT 4 : 1 

31.08.2020 – EOM 

APPLE - Q - StockCharts

APPLE  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

11.09.2020 – EOD

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-q-stockcharts-1.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-m-fib-ext-focus.png

16.09.2020 – EOD

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-q-stockcharts-2.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-m-fib-ext-focus-1.png

21.09.2020 – EOD

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-q-stockcharts-3.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-m-fib-ext-focus-2.png

12.10.2020 – EOD

30.10.2020 -EOM

23.12.2020 – EOD

5.02.2021 – EOD

16.07.2021 – EOD

10.09.2021 – EOW

14.09.2021 – EOD

29.10.2021 – EOM

APPLE  Quarterly Monthly and Daily Charts

28.01.2022 – EOW

13.05.2022 – EOW

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