CNY/JPY – FX CHINA POINT BREAK RISING RISK…

YUAN vs YEN – Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Following…

USD/JPY

8.07.2021 – YEN – JAPAN WARNING…

EUR/CHF

9.07.2021 – SWISS FRANC – EURO/CHF – SWISS SAFE HAVEN STRIKE…

USD/CHF

10.07.2021 – SWISS FRANC – USD/CHF – FX RISK OFF SHADOW DOMINATION…

CHF/JPY

11.07.2021 – CHF/JPY – DOUBLE SAFE HAVEN IMPACT…

CHINA YUAN vs JAPAN YEN Master Motives

YEN RISK OFF Strikes Back

YEN Negative Divergences

Wall Street Indexes – July Fresh ATH

vs

CNY/JPY Bear Strike

Last High June 2021

and

Shanghai Comp Bear Strike

Main Top February 2021

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street

Secular Motives 

still Active

Wall Street Bull Wave

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

with

Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream

on

Afterpandemic New Reality 

CHINA – JAPAN – US and Global Economy Reopen

vs

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Wall Street and US TECH Overheating Risk 

and

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Contraction Rising Risk

on

PBoC Active Easing Policy

Signals Easier Monetary Policy, reviving Worries about Weaker Growth

BOJ keeps Policy Steady

Massive Stimulus to Support the Economy

and

Fed Central Motive

after

Fed Minutes Status Quo

earlier

Fed Double Hawkish vs Dovish Impact

Fed Meeting Hawkish vs Powell Testimony Dovish

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia

Fed Projections Taper and First post-pandemic Interest Rate Hikes into 2023

vs

Fed Powell Testimony Dovish Words

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street – Nasdaq – US TECH Risk 

Global Debt Rising

US INFLATION Skyrocket

Russia plans to Cut Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

New DELTA and LAMBDA COVID Wave

with

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD BULL still in Action above Psychological Key Level 91.50  after Fed Minutes  and Fed – Powell Testimony

DXY 

above Psychological Key Level 90 still  >  91.50

vs

Latest Bear Contraction from 92.80 to Key Level 92.00 Zone  – ( Now 92.18 )

and

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Locdowns

with

FED Mega ”Central Printing“

but with

FED Projections

TAPER – Start 2022

First post-pandemic Interest Rate Hikes 2023

vs

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” with “MORE” Option

and

Biden Stimulus Ecstasy and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

but with

New COVID Wave

Newest Lambda Virus Mutation

Delta Virus Mutation from India

New Lockdowns RIKS OFF Strikes

vs

COVID Vaccines Global Hope

with

all time Active

WARNINGS

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

vs

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

but with

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Present  CHINA YUAN vs JAPAN YEN  Secular Situation

CNY/JPY LONG  TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

CHINA YUAN  vs  JAPAN YEN Secular View

CNY/JPY

( Monthly Charts)

After Activated

First…Triple Bottom Pattern – Key Levels 12-12.50 Zone

2000 – 2004 – 2011 Years Horizon

Second…China FX Bull Wave

from 12 to 20 Key Level Zone

2011 – 2015 Years

Third…Yen Contraction

from 20 to 15 Key Level Zone

with

H&S Pattern

vs

Test 61.8% Fib Ret – Key Level 15 Zone

First…2016 Year

Second..2019 – 2020 Years

Now dominating

Second Test Key Level 17 Zone

New Active Range 15 – 17 Key Levels

with

YEN Contraction

but with

MACD Monthly Buy Signal

CNY/JPY Long Term Battlefield 

15 vs 17

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

Present Master  Key Levels 15 – 17

and of course

Final Smart Money Reaction 

ATA  FX Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  & Metals Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First..EOM – July

CNY/JPY Monthly Chart

12.07.2021 – European Session Start Phase

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