CHF/JPY – DOUBLE SAFE HAVEN IMPACT…

SWISS FRANC  &  JAPAN YEN –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

First of All

SWISS FRANC

28.03.2013 – SWISS STORM…

&

SWISS FRANC vs JAPAN YEN

2019

22.12.2019 –  CHF/JPY – NEW EUROZONE STORM 2020 Open Scenario…

2020

15.01.2020 –  CHF/JPY – EUROZONE-ITALIAN STORM 2020 Rising Risk…

13.05.2020 – CHF/JPY – NEXT SWISS BULL STRIKE AHEAD in EUROZONE SHADOW …

24.10.2020 – CHF/JPY – When Time Will Come…

2021

24.05.2021 – CHF/JPY – SWISS BULLS FX ACTION…

with

ATA Following…

USD/JPY

8.07.2021 – YEN – JAPAN WARNING…

EUR/CHF

9.07.2021 – SWISS FRANC – EURO/CHF – SWISS SAFE HAVEN STRIKE…

USD/CHF

10.07.2021 – SWISS FRANC – USD/CHF – FX RISK OFF SHADOW DOMINATION…

SWISS FRANC  vs  JAPAN YEN Master  Motives

ATA  still Open Risk Off  Scenario 

NEXT  EUROZONE  SWISS STORM 

ITALY  2021

after

GREECE  2010

EUROZONE & EURO Structural Risk 

ITALY – ” Dead Country Walking ”

only with Central Help – ECB economic life-support machine…

ATA  Conclusion 

Long Term Horizon 

EUROZONE & Global Debt Crisis – Rising Probability 

SWISS FRANC and YEN RISK OFF Strikes Back

SWISS FRANC and YEN Negative Divergences

SWISS FRANC Relative Strength vs YEN still Bullish Scenario

vs

Wall Street Indexes – Fresh July ATH

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street

Secular Motives 

still Active

Wall Street Bull Wave

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

with

Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream

on

Afterpandemic New Reality 

US and Global Economy Reopen

vs

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Wall Street and US TECH Overheating Risk 

and

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Contraction Rising Risk

on

SNB Policy on the Course 

Not Sufficient Reason to Change Course, as the central bank held its base policy rate at a global low of -0.75%

BOJ keeps Policy Steady

Massive Stimulus to Support the Economy

ECB – New Strategy Motive

Targeting 2% Inflation on symmetric basis

and

Fed Central Motive

after

Fed Minutes Status Quo

earlier

Fed Double Hawkish vs Dovish Impact

Fed Meeting Hawkish vs Powell Testimony Dovish

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia

Fed Projections Taper and First post-pandemic Interest Rate Hikes into 2023

vs

Fed Powell Testimony Dovish Words

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street – Nasdaq – US TECH Risk 

Global Debt Rising

US INFLATION Skyrocket

Russia plans to Cut Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

New DELTA and LAMBDA COVID Wave

with

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD BULL still in Action above Psychological Key Level 91.50  after Fed Minutes  and Fed – Powell Testimony

DXY 

above Psychological Key Level 90 still  >  91.50

vs

Latest Bear Contraction from 92.80 to Key Level 92.00  – ( EOW 92.10 )

and

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Locdowns

with

FED Mega ”Central Printing“

but with

FED Projections

TAPER – Start 2022

First post-pandemic Interest Rate Hikes 2023

vs

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” with “MORE” Option

and

Biden Stimulus Ecstasy and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

but with

New COVID Wave

Newest Lambda Virus Mutation

Delta Virus Mutation from India

New Lockdowns RIKS OFF Strikes

vs

COVID Vaccines Global Hope

with

all time Active

WARNINGS

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

vs

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

but with

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

First…ATA  from  24.05.2021

” Now  dominating

Swiss Bull Wave

above Psychological Key Level 120

and Now

above Higher Key Level 121

( 121.18 )

CHF/JPY FX Secular  Battlefield 

CHF/JPY

120-121    vs    123-125

Second…Present  SWISS FRANC vs JAPAN YEN  Secular Situation 

CHF/JPY LONG  TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

SWISS FRANC  vs  JAPAN YEN Secular View

CHF/JPY

( Monthly Charts)

After Activated

Two Bulls Reversal Patterns

First…Ending Diagonal 

Second… Inverted H&S

Rising above Neckline Inverted H&S – Key Level 117.30

Finally

Dynamic Swiss Bull Strike

but with

Test Upper Edge Bull ChannelKey Level 123 Zone

Now  dominating

SWISS Bull Trend in Raising Channel

but with Present

Swiss Bear Contraction

Test Lower Edge Bull Channel – Key Level 119

vs

Back above Psychological Key Level 120

( Now 120.50 )

with

still Active

MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

CHF/JPY FX Secular  Battlefield 

CHF/JPY

117.30 119-120    vs  121   123-125

ATA Investment Conclusion

CHF/JPY

Focus carefully on

Present Master  Range

117.30 119-120    vs  121   123-125

with

Next EUROZONE SWISS – JAPAN Debt , Economy and COVID News 

of course finally

Future Smart Moeny Strike 

ATA FX Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

always remember

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N – TIMES

Finally …

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…Now EOM-July

CHF/JPY  Monthly Charts

20.12.2019 – EOW

CHF-JPY-M-S
CHF-JPY-M
CHF-JPY-M - Line

15.01.2020 – ( First Half European Session ) 

CHF-JPY-M-S
CHF-JPY-M
CHF-JPY-M - Line

13.05.2020 – ( First Phase US Session ) 

CHF-JPY - M

23.10.2020 – EOD

24.05.2021 – before Start European Session

9.07.2021 – EOW

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