SWISS FRANC – USD/CHF – FX RISK OFF SHADOW DOMINATION…

SWISS FRANC  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

First of All

SWISS FRANC

2013

28.03.2013 – SWISS STORM…

&

2019

2.08.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – SWISS SPARK in F/X DARK…

27.08.2019 – SWISS FRANC – under Short Term RISK ON Pressure…

25.09.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – from RISK ON Hope to RISK OFF Pressure…

12.12.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – Bull – Bear Fight on Central Trinity FED, SNB, ECB Verdicts & Trump New Verbal Deal Euphory…

21.12.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – Strong Swiss Relative Strength…

2020 

4.01.2020 –  SWISS FRANC – IRAN Motive…

14.01.2020 –  SWISS FRANC – SWISS WARNING – No Falling on No IRAN War Motive…

13.05.2020 – SWISS FRANC – USD/CHF – COVID CALM…

2021

23.05.2021 – SWISS FRANC – USD/CHF – HELVETIC STRIKE after COVID CALM…

ATA Following

USD/JPY

8.07.2021 – YEN – JAPAN WARNING…

EUR/CHF

9.07.2021 – SWISS FRANC – EURO/CHF – SWISS SAFE HAVEN STRIKE…

SWISS FRANC   USD/CHF  Master  Present Motives

SWISS FRANC RISK OFF Strikes Back

SWISS FRANC Negative Divergences

Wall Street Indexes – Fresh July ATH

vs

USD/CHF Last Top March 2021 and Present Dynamic Fall

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street

Secular Motives 

still Active

Wall Street Bull Wave

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

with

Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream

on

Afterpandemic New Reality 

US and Global Economy Reopen

vs

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Wall Street and US TECH Overheating Risk 

and

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Contraction Rising Risk

on

SNB Policy on the Course 

Not Sufficient Reason to Change Course, as the central bank held its base policy rate at a global low of -0.75%

ECB – New Strategy Motive

Targeting 2% Inflation on symmetric basis

and

Fed Central Motive

after

Fed Minutes Status Quo

earlier

Fed Double Hawkish vs Dovish Impact

Fed Meeting Hawkish vs Powell Testimony Dovish

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia

Fed Projections Taper and First post-pandemic Interest Rate Hikes into 2023

vs

Fed Powell Testimony Dovish Words

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street – Nasdaq – US TECH Risk 

Global Debt Rising

US INFLATION Skyrocket

Russia plans to Cut Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

New DELTA and LAMBDA COVID Wave

with

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD BULL still in Action above Psychological Key Level 91.50  after Fed Minutes  and Fed Powell Testimony

DXY 

above Psychological Key Level 90 still  >  91.50

vs

Latest Bear Contraction from 92.80 to Key Level 92.00  – ( EOW 92.10 )

and

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Locdowns

with

FED Mega ”Central Printing“

but with

FED Projections

TAPER – Start 2022

First post-pandemic Interest Rate Hikes 2023

vs

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” with “MORE” Option

and

Biden Stimulus Ecstasy and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

but with

New COVID Wave

Newest Lambda Virus Mutation

Delta Virus Mutation from India

New Lockdowns RIKS OFF Strikes

vs

COVID Vaccines Global Hope

with

all time Active

WARNINGS

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

vs

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

but with

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

First…ATA  from  23.05.2021

No Back above Neckline – Key Level  0.96

Perfect Pullback to Broken Neckline – Line Chart

Now dominating

FX RISK OFF STRIKE OUT OF SECULAR SWISS VERDUN 

New Dynamic Bear Wave – Back under Psychological Key Level 0.90

ATA Investment Conclusion

USD/CHF

Focus carefully on 

Present Master  Range

0.8750-0.88  vs  0.90-0.93-0.95

Second…Present  SWISS FRANC  Situation

SWISS FRANC  USD/CHF SECULAR & LONG TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

SWISS FRANC Secular & Long Term View

USD/CHF

Monthly View 

First of All

still dominating

Long Term Bear Pattern – H&S  

Falling Neckline – Now Key Level  0.9550 ( Candlestick Chart )

Raising Neckline – Now Key Level  0.95 ( Line Chart )

After

Last Dynamic Shot Up –  Back above Key Level  0.90

Test Higher 92.50 Key Level Zone ( stricte 0.9262 )

June 2021

Now still dominating

FX RISK OFF STRIKE OUT OF SECULAR SWISS VERDUN 

New Dynamic Bear Wave

from 92.50 Zone to 91.30 Zone

Testing Key Level 0.9130 Zone vs still above Psychological Key Level  0.90

Monthly July Bear Candlestick

with

MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

ATA Investment Conclusion

USD/CHF

Focus carefully on 

Present Master  Range

0.8750-0.88 0.90  vs  0.93-0.95-0.96

with

Next Smart Money Move

ATA  FX Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

always remember

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N – TIMES

Finally …

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

Now EOM – July

EUR/CHF ;  USD/CHF  ; GBP/CHF  &  SWISS FRANC FUTURES Charts 

2.08.2019 –  ( First Phase US Session )

EUR-CHF - M
USD-CHF - M
GBP-CHF - M
CHF FUT - M
CHF FUT - M - Line

USD/CHF  Daily & Intraday ( H4 )  Charts

25.09.2019 (  Before Start US Session )

USD-CHF - D

12.12.2019 (  First Half US Session )

USD-CHF - D

20.12.2019 – EOD 

USD-CHF - D

3.01.2020 – EOD 

USD-CHF - D

14.01.2020  ( Before Start US Session )

USD-CHF - D

USD/CHF  Monthly  Charts

13.05.2020  ( First Half European Session )

USD-CHF - M
USD-CHF - M - Line

21.05.2021 – EOW

9.07.2021 – EOW

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