NVIDIA – Bearish Dynamic Strike Back 2022 from Bullish Extreme Chip Space 2021…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

NVIDIA  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2017- 2019

10.06.2017  –  NVIDIA – NASDAQ TOWERING INFERNO…

10.11.2018 –  NVIDIA – NASDAQ REAL TOWERING INFERNO …

28.07.2019 –  NVIDIA – Waiting for Strike…

9.10.2019 –  NVIDIA – under Pressure…

2020

8.05.2020 –  NVIDIA – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extensions – May 2020…

9.06.2020 – NVIDIA – Bulls Knocking on Market Heavens Door…

26.06.2020 –  NVIDIA – Bulls Harder Knocking on Market Heavens Door…

20.07.2020 –  NVIDIA – Fighting on Higher Tech Orbit…

5.08.2020 – NVIDIA – Chip Space Horizon…

2021

12.06.2021 – NVIDIA – Into the Chip Space…

with

ATA Following…

Philadelphia Semiconductor Index

28.08.2022 – Philadelphia Semiconductor Index – from Bear Reversal Risk 2021 – Global Chip Shortage Panic to Bear Reversal and Bear Wave 2022 on Global Chip Oversupply…

Apple

10.09.2022 – APPLE – iPhone 14 Launch Event in Ending Diagonals and Fibonacci Shadows…

APPLE/S&P500 Ratio

11.09.2022 – APPLE/S&P500 RATIO – Apple Shining Capitalisation Equivalent to 180 Stocks in Loosing Momentum Risk Shadow…

Microsoft

17.09.2022 – MICROSOFT – from Bear Pattern 2021 to Bear Impact 2022 in Fibonacci Shadow…

Amazon

18.09.2022 – AMAZON – from Bear Warning 2021 to Bear Strike 2022 and Finally Secular Bearish Game Changer Warning …

Tesla

24.09.2022 – TESLA – Split Bullish Motive in Smart Money Game – Bulls Hard Fight above June-July 2022 Low Zone…

ALPHABET ( Google )

25.09.2022 – ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – from Risk of Bull Skyrocket Fly End – 2021 to Bear Hard Impact – 2022…

Meta ( Facebook )

1.10.2022 – Meta – Zuckerberg Gotterdammerung 2022 after Contrarian Warning 2021…

Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario

19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…

15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…

8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!

Polish Stocks

14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…

NVIDIA  Master Motives

First of All

Nvidia Stock 4-to-1 Split July 20 2021

Nvidia 8th Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and 14th in S&P500

2022 Global Chips Oversupply

after

2021 Mainstream Panic Global Chips Shortage and Hunting – Strong Global Tech – Chips Demand

Nvidia Earnings Q2/2022 – August 24 2022

Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg

Revenue: $6.7 billion versus $6.7 billion expected

Adj. EPS: $0.51 versus $0.53 expected

Data Center: $3.8 billion versus $3.8 billion expected

Gaming: $2.0 billion versus $2.0 billion expected

Nvidia Stocks Action 

Quarterly View

after 4-to-1 Split July 20 2021

Activated Ending Diagonal Bearish Pattern  

Bull Trap – Upper Edge Key Level 300 USD

Lower Edge Key Level 275 USD

Back inside Secular Bull Channel

ahead of Test

1st Secular Bull Channel Lower Trendline  – Key Level 95 USD

2nd 2018 Year Top – Key Level 70-73 USD Zone

with

Global Risk Off Waves Action Acceleration after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off Active Cont.

Stocks Sell Off Active Cont.

Wall Street Risk Off Wave Active –  Testing June 2022 Lows

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Active  for Now

with

Present Bear Wave – Strike Cont. –  Test June 2022 Low

on

Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally 

Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK OFF – September Fib Ret – Back to  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Warnings  and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Latest Bear Hard Strike Back

on Friday Triple Witch Day

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Active for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone – Cancel Last Summer Bull Wave

with

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

vs

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike – Test 11.000 Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Bear Hard Strike under  June 2022 Low 29.500 Zone – Cancel Last Summer Bull Wave

with

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

vs

Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike under  29.000 Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone – Cancel Last Summer Bull Wave

with

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

vs

Ahead of Test  50% Fib Ret 3.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike under 3.600 

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish still Active – 75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

China Central Bank Verbal Intervention

Warning on Speculation against Yuan

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave  Stopped and Cooling Strike – after Latest Acceleration New Higher  Overheat Extreme Risk Zone – 20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )

Long Term Bulls  FX Wave Stopped after Latest  Acceleration

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow

( confirmed – EOM )

with

Last

Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50

Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 111.70 

Test Key Level 111.70 – 30% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave

vs

Latest

Bull Strike Back above Key Level 112

still  above July/22 Top 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Dynamic Acceleration after Latest Stopped – Cooling

( July High 109.30 – September High 113 Zone stricte 113.228 )

with

Present USD Domination Stopped and Cooling

Bears FX short term Strike from Higher 115 Zone to 112 Zone

Key Levels   110110.80 111.80-112  vs 113 – 113.30  Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels    110110.80  111.80-112  vs  113 114.80 – 115

( EOW 112.17 )

First…ATA from  12.06.2021

before Split July 2021

Earlier 800 USD Zone – Now 200 USD Zone

” Now  dominating

New Bull Wave above Upper Edge Zone 

all time above Trend Channel  – Upper Line 450 USD Zone 

Rising above New Higher Psychological Key Level 700 USD Zone 

in

New Bull Channel

Upper Edge – Key Level 900 USD

Lower Edge – Key Level 550 USD

but with

Test Fib Ext Node 2.% – 2.058% – Key Levels 700 – 720 USD Zone

Open Option

Higher Fib Ext 800 – 900 and 1000 USD Zone

and

ATA Central Banks Master Tweet

Second…Present  NVIDIA  Situation 

NVIDIA  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

First of All

New All Time High    350 USD Zone November 2021

( stricte 346.77 )

Quarterly & Monthly View 

After

1st Bullish Skyrocket from 30 USD Zone to 350 USD Zone

2018 – 2021 Years Horizon

2nd Test Fib Ext Nodes of Two Main Bulls Waves

4.23% – 4.414% Secular Bulls Wave from Lehman Panic Low 335-348 USD Zone

2% – 2.058% Long Term Bulls Wave from 2018 Year Low 348-355 USD Zone

Finally Activated

Quarterly Bearish Ending Diagonal

Bull Trap – Upper Edge Key Level 300 USD

Break Down – Lower Edge Key Level 275 USD

Bearish Dynamic Trend and Waterfall Pattern

Now  still dominating

Bear Destructive Wave

ahead of Test

Quarterly

1st Secular Bull Channel Lower Trendline  – Key Level 95 USD

2nd 2018 Year Top – Key Level 70-73 USD Zone

Monthly

Covid Panic Low 115 USD Zone

Fib Ret Node 78.6% – 88.6% – Key Levels 98 – 67 USD Zone

with

Quarterly Q2 Q3 Bear Candlesticks

Monthly September Bear Candlestick

MACD Quarterly Buy Signal vs Near to Active Sell Signal

MACD Monthly Sell Signal

NVIDIA  Battlefield

67-70-73 95 – 100 115  vs 130 150 – 180 USD

ATA  NVIDIA Investment Conclusion 

Now Special Focus on

Present Range 

67-70-73 95 – 100 115  vs 130 150 – 180 USD

Fib Ret-s

Research New Classic and Candlestick Patterns Confirm or Cancel

with Next

Meta US Big Tech Nasdaq News   

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and

Most Important Final Smart Money Reaction…

EOM – Now October  and EOQ – Q4/2022EOY 2022

NVIDIA Quarterly  & Monthly  Charts

10.06.2017

NVIDIA - Q

9.11.2018 

NVIDIA - M - 1
NVIDIA - M - 2

26.07.2019 – EOW 

NVDA - Q
NVDA - M
NVDA - M - Fib Ret

9.10.2019 – ( Second Half US Session )

NVDA - Q
NVDA - M
NVDA - M - Fib Ret

NVIDIA   Monthly  Charts

7.05.2020  – EOD

NVIDIA - M - Fib Ext

NVIDIA Quarterly  Charts

8.06.2020 – EOD

NVDA - Q

25.06.2020 – EOD 

NVDA - Q

17.07.2020 – EOW 

NVIDIA - Q

4.08.2020 – EOD 

NVDA - Q

NVIDIA Quarterly  & Monthly  Charts

11.06.2021 – EOW

30.09.2022 – EOM -EOQ

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