Meta – Zuckerberg Gotterdammerung 2022 after Contrarian Warning 2021…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Meta ( Facebook ) –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2018

21.03.2018  –  FACE OFF – FACEBOOK GOES DOWN…

11.11.2018 –  FACEBOOK – FACE OFF Continuation…

2019

27.07.2019 –  FACEBOOK – Risky Top Zone Attack…

2020

2.05.2020 – Facebook – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extensions – May 2020…

21.05.2020 –  Facebook – E-Commerce Strike…

21.06.2020 –  Facebook – Social Bulls on the Run…

27.07.2020 – Facebook – Advertising Espace…

2021

1.08.2021 – Facebook – Wall Street Analysts Enthusiasm – Contrarian Warning…

26.10.2021 – Facebook – from Contrarian Warning to Real Bear Strike with Fibonacci Ret Test…

2022

5.02.2022 – Meta – from Contrarian Warning and First Bear Strike to Waterfall…

with

ATA Following…

Apple

10.09.2022 – APPLE – iPhone 14 Launch Event in Ending Diagonals and Fibonacci Shadows…

APPLE/S&P500 Ratio

11.09.2022 – APPLE/S&P500 RATIO – Apple Shining Capitalisation Equivalent to 180 Stocks in Loosing Momentum Risk Shadow…

Microsoft

17.09.2022 – MICROSOFT – from Bear Pattern 2021 to Bear Impact 2022 in Fibonacci Shadow…

Amazon

18.09.2022 – AMAZON – from Bear Warning 2021 to Bear Strike 2022 and Finally Secular Bearish Game Changer Warning …

Tesla

24.09.2022 – TESLA – Split Bullish Motive in Smart Money Game – Bulls Hard Fight above June-July 2022 Low Zone…

ALPHABET ( Google )

25.09.2022 – ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – from Risk of Bull Skyrocket Fly End – 2021 to Bear Hard Impact – 2022…

Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario

19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…

15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…

8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!

Polish Stocks

14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…

Meta  Key Motives

First of All

Meta 7th Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and 12th in S&P500

Mark Zuckerberg Warnings

“one of the worst downturns that we’ve seen in recent history,”

” Meta short-term future faces a serious cloud cover and impending storm “

Meta Platforms Pauses Hiring, Warns of Restructuring

During 3rd Quarter Meta shares have fallen some 15%,

drop of $57.5 Billion in Market Value from July through September

Meta Earnings Q2/2022 – July 27 2022

Meta Revenue shrank for the first time in its history

Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg

Revenue: $28.8 billion versus $28.9 billion expected

Earnings per share: $2.46 versus $2.54 expected

Facebook daily active users: 1.97 billion versus 1.95 billion expected

Meta Stocks Action 

Monthly View

Bearish Dynamic Hard Wave Continuation

Break Down Secular Bull Trendline – Key Level 195 USD

Test 2018 Year Low Zone – Key Levels 123 – 128 USD

with

Global Risk Off Waves Action Acceleration after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off Active Cont.

Stocks Sell Off Active Cont.

Wall Street Risk Off Wave Active –  Testing June 2022 Lows

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Active  for Now

with

Present Bear Wave – Strike Cont. –  Test June 2022 Low

on

Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally 

Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK OFF – September Fib Ret – Back to  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Warnings  and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Latest Bear Hard Strike Back

on Friday Triple Witch Day

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Active for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone – Cancel Last Summer Bull Wave

with

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

vs

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike – Test 11.000 Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Bear Hard Strike under  June 2022 Low 29.500 Zone – Cancel Last Summer Bull Wave

with

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

vs

Test – 44.7% Fib Ret 28.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike under  29.000 Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone – Cancel Last Summer Bull Wave

with

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

vs

Ahead of Test  50% Fib Ret 3.500  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike under 3.600 

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick 

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish still Active – 75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

China Central Bank Verbal Intervention

Warning on Speculation against Yuan

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave  Stopped and Cooling Strike – after Latest Acceleration New Higher  Overheat Extreme Risk Zone – 20 Years High 115 Zone ( stricte 114.778 )

Long Term Bulls  FX Wave Stopped after Latest  Acceleration

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body vs Long Upper Shadow

( confirmed – EOM )

with

Last

Bearish Pattern 2B Activated – Key Level 114.50

Short Term Bear FX Strike from 115 Zone to 111.70 

Test Key Level 111.70 – 30% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave

vs

Latest

Bull Strike Back above Key Level 112

still  above July/22 Top 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Dynamic Acceleration after Latest Stopped – Cooling

( July High 109.30 – September High 113 Zone stricte 113.228 )

with

Present USD Domination Stopped and Cooling

Bears FX short term Strike from Higher 115 Zone to 112 Zone

Key Levels   110110.80 111.80-112  vs 113 – 113.30  Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels    110110.80  111.80-112  vs  113 114.80 – 115

( EOW 112.17 )

First…ATA from  5.02.2022

” Now still dominating

Dynamic Bear Wave

with Latest

Waterfall Pattern

from Fib Ext Key Level 380 USD Zone to  Lower 230 USD Zone

and

Test 61.8% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave 2020 – 2021

Key Level 230 USD Zone

Meta  Present Battlefield

Key Levels  190-200 230   vs  244-255 275  USD 

and

ATA Meta FB and Central Banks Master Tweets

Second…Present  Meta  Situation 

META LONG TERM PERSPECTIVE

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION 

First of All

September 2021 All Time High Key Level 385 USD Zone

( stricte 384.33 )

Monthly View 

Three Months Test Key Level 380 USD Zone

( July August September 2021 )

Long Term Strong Bull Trend Stopped

After

First…

Test 1.272% Fib Ext – Key Level 380 USD Zone

Second…

Activated Bear Reversal Pattern – 2021 Year

2B  Key Level 380 USD

Now still dominating

Dynamic Bear Wave

with

Waterfall Pattern Continuation

from Fib Ext Key Level 380 USD Zone to  Lower 135 USD Zone

Ahead of Test

1st 68.5% Fib Ret Big Bull Wave 2012 – 2021 – Key Level 130 USD Zone ( stricte 133 USD )

2nd 2018 Year Low Zone 120 USD ( stricte 123 USD )

and

Daily Ending Diagonal Pattern

Lower Edge – Key Level 130 USD Zone

with

Monthly

September Bear Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body

MACD Monthly Sell Signal

MACD Daily Sell Signal vs Near to Active Buy

Positive Divergence since February – April 2022

Meta  Present Battlefield

Key Levels  120-130   vs  160 200  USD 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Now Special Focus on

Present Range 

Key Levels  120-130   vs  160 200  USD 

Fib Ret-s

Research New Classic and Candlestick Patterns Confirm or Cancel

with Next

Meta US Big Tech Nasdaq News   

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and

Most Important Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – October

Meta Facebook Weekly Charts

21.03.2018

Your new TVC (8)

9.11.2018

FB-W - 1
FB-W - 2

Facebook  Monthly & Weekly Charts

26.07.2019  – EOW 

Facebook - M
Facebook - W - Line
Facebook - W - Line Focus

Facebook  Monthly  Charts

6.05.2020  – EOD

Facebook - M - Fib Ext

Facebook  Monthly & Weekly  Charts

20.05.2020 – EOD 

Facebook - M
Facebook - M - Fib Ext
Facebook - W - Line
Facebook - W

Facebook  Monthly  Charts

19.06.2020 – EOW 

Facebook - M
Facebook - M - Fib Ext

Facebook  Monthly  Charts

26.07.2020 – EOW 

Facebook - M - Fib Ext

20.07.2021 – EOM

25.10.2021 – EOD

Meta  Monthly  and Daily Charts

4.02.2022 – EOW

30.09.2022 – EOM

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