ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – from Risk of Bull Skyrocket Fly End – 2021 to Bear Hard Impact – 2022…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

ALPHABET –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

ALPHABET

2019

25.04.2019 –  ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – Searching the Top…

27.07.2019 –  ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – Fighting on the Edge…

29.10.2019 –  ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – INVESTMENT STATUS QUO…

2020

7.05.2020 –  ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extensions – May 2020…

16.05.2020 –  ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – Antitrust Impact…

7.08.2020 – ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – STRATEGIC E-LEARNING MOVE…

2021

13.09.2021 – ALPHABET (GOOGLE) – Rising Risk of Skyrocket Fly End…

with

ATA Following…

Apple

10.09.2022 – APPLE – iPhone 14 Launch Event in Ending Diagonals and Fibonacci Shadows…

APPLE/S&P500 Ratio

11.09.2022 – APPLE/S&P500 RATIO – Apple Shining Capitalisation Equivalent to 180 Stocks in Loosing Momentum Risk Shadow…

Microsoft

17.09.2022 – MICROSOFT – from Bear Pattern 2021 to Bear Impact 2022 in Fibonacci Shadow…

Amazon

18.09.2022 – AMAZON – from Bear Warning 2021 to Bear Strike 2022 and Finally Secular Bearish Game Changer Warning …

Tesla

24.09.2022 – TESLA – Split Bullish Motive in Smart Money Game – Bulls Hard Fight above June-July 2022 Low Zone…

Emerging Market – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario

19.04.2013 – Invert EM 2003-2008 Scenario…

15.04.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario – 2-nd Anniversary…

8.07.2015 – Invert EM 2003-2008 ATA Main Scenario RULES…!!!

Polish Stocks

14.11.2015 – POLISH SKYFALL CONTINUUM…

ALPHABET  Key Motives

First of All

Alphabet Stock 20-to-1 Split July 15 2022

Alphabet 5th Largest Weight Company in Nasdaq 100 and S&P500

Alphabet Earnings Q2/2022 – July 26 2022

Report most Importnat Numbers vs Wall Street Expectations by Bloomberg

EPS $1.21 vs $1.32 expected 

Revenue ex-TAC – or traffic acquisition costs $57.47 billion vs $58.14 billion expected

Revenue totaled $56.29 billion topping the $56.14 billion expected

Google Services Revenue $62.84 billion vs $63.34 billion expected

Alphabet Stocks Action 

Quarterly View

Activated Ending Diagonal Bearish Pattern  – Key Level 150 USD

Back inside Secular Bull Channel

ahead of Test Secular Bull Trendline – Key Level 80 USD

with

Global Risk Off Waves Action Acceleration after Reactivation in August 2022

Bond Sell Off Active Cont.

Stocks Sell Off Active Cont.

Wall Street Risk Off Wave Active ahead of Test June 2022 Lows

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Active  for Now

with

Present Bear Wave – Strike Cont. – ahead of Test June 2022 Low

on

Extreme Fear and Warnings after Last Euphory Summer Rally 

Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear and Taiwan Risk with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Volatility and RISK OFF – September Fib Ret – Back to  May – June Lows Zone

on

Mainstream Bearish Warnings  and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

LONG TERM MOTIVES

WALL STREET

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped with Latest Bear Hard Strike Back

on Friday Triple Witch Day

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 ATH Top 16.800 Zone Active for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 88.6% Fib Ret 11.300 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 11.000 Zone

vs

Test 61.8% Fib Ret 13.600-700 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 15.300 Zone

with

Test – 56.4% Fib Ret 11.100 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike to  in 11.300-11.000 Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick  vs Long Lower Shadow

DJIA and S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top  37.000 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test  June 2022 Low 29.500 Zone

vs

Test 78.6% Fib Ret 34.000 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 35.500 Zone

with

Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 29.800  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike to  29.000 – 29.500  Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick  vs Long Lower Shadow

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH Top 4.800 Zone Active  for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 88.6% Fib Ret 3.700 Zone Bull Wave from June 2022 Low 3..600 Zone

vs

Test 68.5% Fib Ret 4.300 Zone Bear Wave from March 2022 Top 4.600 Zone

with

Test 44.7% Fib Ret 3.650  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Finally for Now

Bear Hard Strike to  3.700 – 3.600  Zone

with

Present Friday Daily Bear Candlestick  vs Long Lower Shadow

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB and PBoC 

Fed

Fed More Hawkish still Active – 75bps Rate Hike September Meeting Verdict

Fed Super Hawkish – Higher Rates for Longer – Fed Main Present Active Scenario

after

Fed July 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish

2nd Fed Rate Hike 75bps

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

ECB

ECB Super Hawkish September Meeting Verdict – 75bps September Hike Rate

Biggest one Meeting Hike in ECB History

ECB More Hawkish Verdict – Rate Hike 50bps

July QT – APP End July 1 vs New TPI Tools Anti-Fragmentation

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Recession Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Energy Crisis

Italy Debt – Yield and Political Crisis

PBoC

PBoC – People Bank of China – more Dovish

Last Two unexpectedly Interest Rate Cuts after January 2022 Rate Cut

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave  Acceleration after Last Cooling Strike – New Higher  Overheat Extreme Risk Zone – 20 Years High 113 Zone ( stricte 113.228 )

Long Term Bulls   Dynamic FX Wave Acceleration

September Bullish Monthly Candlestick – Large Real Body

( most important September EOM )

with

Latest  Short Term Bull FX Strike from 109-110 to 113 Zone

after

1st Test Key Level 107.70 – 50% Fib Ret Last Bull Wave

2nd Bulls Dynamic Strike nad Back above July/22 Top 109.30

still above

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Dynamic Acceleration after Latest Stopped – Cooling

( July High 109.30 – September High 113 Zone stricte 113.228 )

with

Present Active Domination

Bulls FX short term Strike to Higher 113 Zone

Key Levels   110110.80 111.80-112  vs 113 – 113.30 Zone in Smart Money FX Game

special focus on

Present Key Levels    110110.80 111.80-112  vs 113 – 113.30

( EOW 113.02 )

First…ATA from  13.09.2021

before the Split July 2022

Earlier 3000 USD Zone – Now 150 USD Zone

” Now dominating

Secular Mega Strong Bull Trend  New Stopped

with

Bull vs Bear Fight in Psychological Key Levels 2800 – 3000 USD Zone

and

Test Major Higher 1.5% – 1.618% Fib Ext Zone – Key Levels  2840 – 2989 USD

with

Rising Risk of Skyrocket Fly End 

Second…Present ALPHABET  Situation 

ALPHABET  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Quarterly & Monthly View 

First of All

All Time High – November 2021

after 20-to-1 Split July 15 2022

150 USD Zone

( stricte 150.97 )

Quarterly & Monthly View 

After Activated

Fourth Major Bearish Reversal Patterns

1st Quarterly Ending Diagonal

Break down Lower Edge – Key Level 150 USD – Q1/20222

2nd Monthly 2B Pattern

Key Level 148 USD

October – November 2021

3rd Monthly Line H&S Pattern

Neckline – Key Level 135 USD

August 2021 – March 2022

4rh Monthly M Pattern

Key Level 150 USD

November 2021 – February 2022

Now dominating

Strong Bull Wave

Test 50% Fib Ret Bull Big Wave from Covid Panic Low

Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone

under Key Monthly MA

Back inside Quarterly Secular Bull Channel

ahead of Lower Edge – Bull Trend Line – Key Level 80 USD

with

Quarterly Q3 Bear Candlestick – Upper Long Shadow

Monthly September Bear Candlestick

MACD Quarterly still Buy Signal vs Near to Activated Sell

 MACD Monthly Sell Signal

and

Open Bull Scenario

Stop Bear Strike in 50% Fib Ret Bull Big Wave from Covid Panic Low

Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone

Future Activate Invert 2B – Key Level 102 USD – May 2022 Low Zone

vs

Open Bear Continuation Scenario

Next Bear Strike to Lower Key Level 80 USD Zone

68.5% Fib Ret Bull Big Wave from Covid Panic Low – Monthly View

Lower Edge – Bull Trend Line – Quarterly Secular Bull Channel

ALPHABET   Smart Money Battlefield

Psychological Key Levels  80 100  vs  110 – 115 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present ALPHABET Active Zone 

Psychological Key Levels  80 100  vs  110 – 115 USD

Fib Ret-s

Research Patterns  Classical  –  Candlestick  

with Next

Alphabet US Big Tech Nasdaq News   

Russia Moves  Ukraine War –  China – Taiwan

War  and  Global Economy News

Fed ECB PBoC Verbal Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Europe US China and Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and

Most Important Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – September

Finally…EOQ – Q3 – September

Alphabet Monthly Charts

25.04.2019 

Google - M - Line log
Google - M - Line log - Focus
Google - M - Line

Alphabet  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

26.07.2019  – EOW 

Google - Q png
Google - M - Line log
Google - M - Line log - Focus
Google - M
Google - M - Line

29.10.2019  – ( Half  US Session )

Google - Q png
Google - M - Line log
Google - M - Line
Google - M

Alphabet Monthly Charts

15.05.2020 – EOD

Google - M
Google - M - Line

6.08.2020 – EOD 

Google - M
Google - M - Line log

Alphabet  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

10.09.2021 – EOW

Alphabet  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

after STOCK SPLIT   20 : 1  July 2022

23.09.2022 – EOW

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