Blackstone – Wall Street Space – Earth Cycle – from Skyrocket Euphory to Hard Landing Fear…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

Blackstone – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

2.05.2020 – Blackstone – Sailing on Wall Street Waves…

2021

24.10.2021 – Blackstone – Skyrocket Flight on Wall Street Space…

ATA Following …

BlackRock 

2022

12.06.2022 – BlackRock – World Largest Asset Manager from Bulls Wave Edge to Bears Dynamic Strike…

Blackstone Main Motives

Wall Street specially Nasdaq Big Tech RISK OFF Impact Stopped for Now

with

Bulls Dynamic Strikes

on

Extreme Fear created by Mainstream

Main Warns Factors

Fed Rates Hike Cycle

Fed – QT – Quantitative Tightening – Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Stagflation Recession Fear with Ukraine War RISK OFF Impact

Investment Conclusion

Wall Street Huge Volatility and RISK OFF Action Continuation

on

Mainstream Bearish Impacts and Projections

in Inflation Stagflation Recession and Fed Hawkish Shadows

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Stopped for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Test – 38.2% Fib Ret 12.900-13.000 Zone Bear Wave from 2021 April High

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Back > Key Level 11.500  May/22 Low Zone

DJIA S&P500

DJIA 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH  37.000 Zone Stopped for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test – 30% Fib Ret 31.330  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Test – 61.8% Fib Ret 33.500 Zone Bear Wave from 2021 April High

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Back > Key Level 30.500  May/22 Low Zone

S&P500 

Bear Hard Wave from January 2022 ATH  4.800 Zone Stopped for Now

Fibonacci Constelation

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 3.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Test – 50% Fib Ret 4.200 Zone Bear Wave from 2021 April High

Finally for Now

Bulls Strike Back > Key Level 3.800  May/22 Low Zone

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed Powell Testimony and US Michigan Inflation Expectations Less Hawkish

Fed Hawkish Central Path

Fed Fund Futures FOMC Meeting July

Fed Rate Hike 75bps 83.8% Probability

after

Fed June 2022 Meeting  Super Hawkish

Fed Rate Hike 75bps – First Time since 1994

Active Taper – QT $47.5B/M Started June 1st

Fed Less Hawkish Outlook vs July 75bps still in Play

ECB

ECB Emergency Meeting – Introduction of Anti-Fragmentation New Tools

ECB June Meeting Hawkish Outlook still Active

Rate Hike 25bps July QT – APP Program End July 1

ECB Eurozone Danger Dilemma

Lagarde Hawkish vs Stagflation Fragmentation Bond Yield Risk

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Action

Bulls still Hard Fight > 104

vs

Bears still Hold Positions  under Psychological Key Level 105 from High 105.78

still Out of the Range 103 – 104

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave (Last New High 105.78) Stopped for Now

with

Present Active Domination

Bull Bear FX short term Fight

Active Zone Key Levels  104 – 105

special focus on

Present Key Levels  104 and 105

( EOW 104.12 )

First…ATA  from  24.10.2021

” Now dominating

Bull Strikes

…Ahead of Upper Edge Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal

Key Level 155 USD Zone

( Line Chart – Log scale )

…Above Upper Edge Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal

Key Level 130 USD Zone

( Candlestick Chart – Log scale )

Testing

Fib Ext 135 – 145 USD Zone and 143 – 153 USD Zone

First Bull Waves start 2016 Year and 2009 Year “

&

ATA Latest Wall Street Key Tweets

First of All

Chronological

Second…Present  Blackstone  Situation

BLACKSTONE LONG TERM PERSPECTIVE

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

Long Term Horizon 

Monthly Charts

First of All

ATH 150 USD Zone – November 2021

( stricte 149.78 USD )

After

Test

Fib Ext 135 – 145 USD Zone and 143 – 153 USD Zone

First Bull Waves start 2016 Year and 2009 Year

Activated

Long Term Bearish Hybryd Patterns

Pattern Inception Process

Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal 2010 – 2021 Years

Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal 2018 – 2021 Years

Back from Upper Edges Zone to Inside Patterns

( Line Chart – Log scale )

and

Dynamic Bear Wave

from 150 USD to 90 USD Zone

with

Test Fib 38.2 – 44.7% Ret Zone – Key Levels 93 – 85 USD

Now dominating

Bull Strike to Higher Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone

from Fib 38.2 – 44.7% Ret Zone – Key Levels 93 – 85 USD

with

June Monthly Bear Large Real Body Candlestick vs Long Lower Shadow

and

MACD Monthly Sell Signal

and

Future Scenarios

Open Bullish Scenario

No Bear Wave Continuation

No Break Down Lower Edge Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal

Key Levels 80 – 85 USD Zone

No Fall under Fib 38.2% Ret Zone – Key Level 85 USD

Bulls Strike Back above Psychological Key Level 100 USD

Open Bearish Scenario

Bear Wave Continuation

Break Down Lower Edge Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal

Key Levels 80 – 85 USD Zone

Fall under Fib 38.2% Ret Zone – Key Level 85 USD

Ahead of Future Test Lower Zones

Fib 50 – 61.8% Ret – Key Levels 75 and 60 USD

Lower Edge Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal – Key Level 50 USD Zone

Blackstone Battlefield

Key Levels  85 – 90  vs  100 – 110 USD 

ATA  Blackstone Investment Conclusion

Focus on

Key Levels  85 – 90  vs  100 – 110 USD 

Fib Ret Zones

Bigger and Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonals

especially Lower Edges

Research Classic and Candlestick Patterns

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New 

Blackstone and Wall Street Motives – News

Fed Strikes and Verdicts

Wall Street Strikes

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – June

Blackstone  Monthly  Charts

1.05.2020 – EOD 

Blackstone - M - Line - Log
Blackstone - M - Line
Blackstone - M

22.10.2021 – EOW

24.06.2022 – EOW

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