WHEAT Futures – “ALL IN…” – Bulls Run vs Bears Reversal on Food Catastrophe Mainstream Panic…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

WHEAT Futures   –  Today on ATA Research Radar

ATA Following…

DB Agriculture Fund

10.04.2022 – DB Agriculture Fund – Secular View – Bulls Strange Action Fight vs No Run on Food Inflation Fever…

WHEAT Futures Key Master Motives

Bulls Panic Buying vs Bears Strikes still under pre Lehman Brothers Top 2008

Major Key Level 1330 USD

COT Report Wheat Futures Warning – Commodity Futures Trading Commission CFTC

Extreme BullishLong Positions at 14 Months High

on

Food Crisis Fear & Food Catastrophe creating by Mainstream

India Ban All Wheat Export over Food Security Risk

Ukraine Wheat Export plunged after Russian Invasion

with

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone

Bear Strike under 13.000 War Low Zone – February 2022

Fall under Psychological 13.000 – 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Latest New

Test – 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bull Dynamic Strike  – Back >  11.800 

Finally for Now

Bulls Bears Hard Fight in Present 11.800 Key Level Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones

DJIA 37.000 Zone S&P500 4.800 Zone

DJIA 

Bear Strike under 32.000 War Low Zone – February 2022

Latest

Test – 30% Fib Ret 31.330  Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bull Dynamic Strike  – Back >  31.000 

Finally for Now

Bulls Bears Hard Fight in Present 31.000 – 31.300 Key Levels Zone

S&P500 

Bear Strike under 4.100  War Low Zone – February 2022

Latest New

Test 38.2% Fib Ret 3.800 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

Bull Dynamic Strike  – Back >  3.800 

Finally for Now

Bulls Bears Hard Fight in Present Higher 3.900 Key Level Zone

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start June 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

End of Easy Money Era – Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Bond Yields Rising

Global Debt Rising

and

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Fed May 2022 Meeting Hawkish Verdict

0.50% Rate Hike and Taper – QT $47.5B/M Start June 1st

Fed Strong Hawkish Outlook

after

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25% 

with

Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

QT Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Rapid Taper

ECB

ECB Eurozone Dovish vs Hawkish Central Fight Continuation

ECB Last Hawkish Strikes

ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish

Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

Dovish vs Hawkish Central Verbal Moves

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Hard Stopped 

after

Last Test Higher 105 

Bear Strike Back to Range 103 – 104

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

with

Present Bear Dynamic Strike and Test 103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination Hard Stopped

Now dominating

Bear Wave Action – Back to 103 

Active Zone Key Levels  103 – 104

special focus on

103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top

104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top

Higher Psychological Key Level 105

( EOW 103.01 )

First…WHEAT Futures Key Tweet

Second…Present  WHEAT Futures Situation

WHEAT Futures SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION

First of All

All Time High Zone

Key Level 1350 USD Zone – March 2021

( stricte 1362.12 )

Test and Violation of

First…pre Lehman Top February 2008 Year – Key Level 1330 USD Zone

( stricte 1334.12 )

Second…100% Fib Ext Zone – Key Level 1320 USD Zone

( stricte 1321.06 )

First Bull Wave from Lehman Year 2008 Low to 2012 Year Top

Activated

Secular Bearish Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 1330 USD

February 2020 March 2022

Monthly March Bear Candlestick – Shooting Star – Extra Long Upper Shadow

Monthly April Bear Candlestick – Shooting Star – Upper Shadow

Now dominating

New Bear Strike after New Bull Panic Buying on India Ban

vs

No New ATH – May Max under Psychological 1.300 USD

( stricte 1283.60 USD )

Present Bear Strike under Lower Psychological Key Level 1.200 USD

Monthly May Bull Candlestick vs Upper Shadow

with

MACD Monthly Buy Signal vs Negative Divergence – still under 2008 Top

and

More Bullish Open Scenario

No Back under 2008 Lehman Year Major Top 1070 USD and Lower Psychological Key Level 1000 USD

Future Active New Bull Wave

vs

Bearish Open Scenario

Secular Bearish Reversal Pattern 2BKey Level 1330 USD Bearish Impact

Bear Strike Continuation under 2008 Lehman Year Major Top 1070 USD and Lower Psychological Key Level 1000 USD

ATA Long Term Investment Conclusion

WHEAT Futures Conclusion – Panic Buying – Bull Market End Phase High Risk

so special focus on

Present Active Range

1070-1130 1330-1350 USD ( Candlestick Chart )

9001070 1170 USD  ( Line Chart )

and

Fib Ret Big Bull Wave

First…23.6% 1130 USD Zone

Second…30% 1070 USD Zone

with

Research

New Candlesticks and Classic Pattern

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

New

Fed Verbal Strikes

Wheat Food News

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Strikes 

and of course

Future Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – May

WHEAT Futures Monthly Charts

20.05.2022 – EOW

Advertisement

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Create a website or blog at WordPress.com

Up ↑

%d bloggers like this: