FIRST OF ALL
FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS
2021 – 2022 Horizon
– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –
ARK Innovation ETF – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
2021
6.03.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Fibonacci Smart Money Game…
25.03.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Besotted in TESLA…
18.04.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – ARK Portfolio ” Chess Castling “
7.05.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Smart Money Playing Out Present Master Key Level 100 USD…
18.07.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – JP Morgan ” Bull Trap ” Warning…
17.08.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – ‘Big Short’ Michael Burry Bearish Bet…
1.09.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bulls vs Bears Draw…
6.10.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – in the Line of Bear Fire…
28.10.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – “TESLA” Rescue Strike from the Line of Bear Fire…
4.12.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bear Torpedo in the Target…
2022
15.01.2022 – ARK Innovation ETF – ARKK in the “DARK” vs Fibonacci “SPARK”…
ARK Innovation ETF Key Master Motives
ARKK Capital Outflow Continuation
ARKK Worst Ever Month after Plunging 27% in April 2022
vs
Cathie Wood US TECH Bull Super Predictions
Cathie Wood still expects ‘spectacular returns’ over the next 5 years
ARKK Free Fall Continuation
Bear Wave under Key Level 50 USD from Peak 160 USD Zone February 16 2021
ARKK Conclusion – ARKK Darkness
Bear Wave Active Continuation
after
Dynamic Break Down and Out Off from Range 110 – 130
with
Present Test 78.6% Fib Ret Bull Wave 45-46 USD Zone
on
US Big Tech Bear Hard Wave
Nasdaq 100 falls 13% in April – Biggest Monthly Drop since Lehman Brother Collapse 2008
on
RISK OFF Waves in Inflation Stagflation Fed Hawkish ( Rate Hikes QT Prediction ) Shadows
with
SECULAR MOTIVES
Wall Street
Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN Stopped
Nasdaq 100
Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Continuation after Last Reactivation
Bear Strike under Psychological 13.000
after Earlier
Test 38.2% Fib Ret 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
Bull Dynamic Contraction from 13.000 Zone to 15.300 Zone
Finally for Now
Bear Contraction Continuation from 15.300 Zone under 13.000 – War Low
Test Lower 12.850 Zone
Ahead of Lower 50% Fib Ret 11.800 Zone
DJIA S&P500
Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Continuation after Last Reactivation
with
Bull Dynamic Strikes still Stopped for Now
from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone
to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.300 Zone S&P500 to 4600 Zone
and
Bear Contractions Continuation
DJIA from 35.300 Zone to 33.000 Zone – still above War Low Zone
S&P500 from 4.600 Zone to 4.100 Zone – in War Low Zone
and
Global Inflation Shock
special in Eurozone US and EM
US Inflation Shock
Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed
Fed Faster and Harder Rate Hikes
Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s
Fed May 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish Outlook
Fed Funds Futures Hike 0.50% 97.1% Probability
after
Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25%
with
Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook
Fed Powell More Hawkish
Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario
Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario
with
US and Global Stagflation Fears
STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream
More Risk Scenario
Structural Stagflation Risk
Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation
with still Active
Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by Main Central Banks
Global Debt Rising
and
CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB
Fed
Fed May 2022 Meeting Super Hawkish Outlook
Fed Funds Futures Hike 0.50% 97.1% Probability
after
Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish Rate Hike 0.25%
with
Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook
Powell and other Fed Members More Hawkish Prediction
Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s
Strong Hawkish Perspective
Dynamic Rate Hikes
QT Balance Sheet Rundown
Fed Rapid Taper
ECB
ECB Last Hawkish Strikes
ECB April 2022 Meeting Dovish
Lagarde Dovish Verbal Strike
ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War
Dovish vs Hawkish Fight Continuation
ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia
ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery
European QE > US QE
ECB No Taper for Now
Eurozone Rates Time Game
European QE Story
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Bull Long Term Wave Active
but with
Hard FX Fighting in 103 – 104 Zone
103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top
104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top
after
Bear Correction from 101 Zone to 99.80 Zone
USD Bull Strike Continuation from Last Low 99.80 Zone
above
First…Master Psychological Key Level 100
Second…Higher Psychological Key Level 103
but with
Latest Bear Short Term Contraction from Key Level 104 to 102.80
( Max 103.94 )
and
Latest Bull Short Term Strike from Key Level 102.80 Back above 103
on
FOMC MAY Meeting Fed Hawkish Outlook
Super Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook
ATA Conclusion
Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Domination still Active
Now dominating
Bull Wave Domination still above 100 and Higher 103 – EOW 103.23
Active Zone Key Levels 103 – 104
special focus on
103 Key Level Zone Covid 2020 Year Top
104 Key Level Zone European Debt Crisis 2016 Year Top
Master Psychological Key Level 100 and Higher Key Levels 103 vs 104
( EOW 103.23 )
First…ATA from 15.01.2022
” Now still dominating
Bear New Hard Wave…
with
Monthly November December Bear Candlesticks
Monthly January Bear Candlestick for Now
and
Active Test
Fib Ext 88.6% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top ( 77 USD Zone )
Fib Ret 56.4% Last Bull Wave from 30 USD Low ( 77 USD Zone ) “
Second…Present ARKK Innovation ETF Situation
ARKK Innovation ETF LONG TERM SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
First of All
All Time High Zone
Key Level 160 USD Zone – February 2021
( stricte 159.70 )
Perfect Test 3.618% Fib Ext
Activated
Monthly Bear Reversal Pattern – Ending Diagonal
on
TECH Innovation Ecstasy
and
Shot Down to Lower Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone
Test 38.3 – 44.7% Zone Fib Ret Big Bull Wave 95 – 100 USD Zone
with
Bull Contraction from Psychological Support 100 USD Zone to Higher 130 USD Zone
Test 56.4% Zone Fib Ret Last Bear Wave 130 USD Zone
and
Second Bear Strike to Lower Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone
Second Bull Strike from 100 USD to 120 USD Zone
vs
No Back above Key Level 120 USD
Now still dominating
Bear New Hard Wave from Master Top Psychological Key Level 160 USD
with
Test
Fib Ext 1.414% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top ( 44 USD Zone )
Fib Ret 78.6% Big Bull Wave from 15 USD Low ( 45 USD Zone )
Test
Inverted Ending Diagonal – Lower Edge 44- 45 USD Zone
with
Monthly April Bear Candlestick – Large Real Body
and
More Bearish Open Scenarios
First Bearish Scenario
Cancel Ending Diagonal Pattern – Bear Strike to 33-35 USD Zone
Future Tests
Lower Zone of Consolidation 2018 – 2020 Years – Key Levels 33-35 USD Zone
Fib Ext 1.5% and 1.618% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top ( 39-40 and 30 USD Zone )
Fib Ret 88.5% Big Bull Wave from 15 USD Low Zone ( 30 USD Zone )
Second Bearish Scenario
Bear Strike to 14- 15 USD Zone – Low 2016 Year
Cancel Whole Long Bull Wave
remember
ARK – First OUT of Bulls Market so Real Scenario – First Back IN Bulls Play after Bears Hard Wave…
ATA Long Term Investment Conclusion
special focus on
Present Active Range
44-45 – 50 USD
and
Test Results of
Inverted Ending Diagonal – Lower Edge 44- 45 USD Zone
FIB RET 44 USD Zone
FIB EXT 45 USD Zone
with
Research
New Candlesticks and Classic Pattern
of course with
Next Smart Money Move
New
FOMC May – Fed Verdict
ARK Cathie Wood News
US Tech News
Global Macro Economy News
Governments & Central Banks Strikes
and of course
Future Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOW-s
Final…EOM – May
ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly Charts
5.03.2021 – EOD
24.03.2021 – EOD
16.04.2021 – EOD
6.05.2021 – EOD
16.07.2021 – EOD
16.08.2021 – EOD
31.08.2021 – EOM
5.10.2021 – EOD
27.10.2021 – EOD
ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly and Weekly Charts
3.12.2021 – EOW
14.01.2022 – EOW
29.04.2022 – EOM
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 