US Natural Gas Futures – from Big Awakening 2020 Year and Panic Buying 2021 to Russia War Impact 2022…

FIRST OF ALL

– ATA MIND OVER MARKET –

US Natural Gas Futures – Back Today on ATA Research Radar

ATA Continuation of…

2020

9.08.2020 – Natural Gas Futures – Big Awakening…

2021

11.10.2021 Natural Gas Futures – from Big Awakening 2020 Year to Panic Buying 2021…

US Natural Gas Futures  Major Motives

Energy Crisis Transformation from stricte  European Gas Crisis to Global

New Bulls Wave 2022 with Panic Buying Strike – January 2022

Bear Dynamic Correction February 2022

Finally for Now

New Active Bull Strike March 2022

on

New Geopolitical RISK OFF ImpactRussia Invasion on Ukraine

after

First…Dynamic Bulls Action 2021 with Panic Buying Phase – October 2021

Second…Hard Bear Contraction from October Top to December Low

ATA Conclusion

Russia – Ukraine War – Geopolitical RISK OFF Impact on World Energy Prices

including US Natural Gas Futures

with

Wall Street and Global Indexes – Bulls Dynamic Contraction Continuation > War Low Zones

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Global Master Currencies Pathfinder

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone still Stopped for Now

after

Test 38.2% 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

Present Active Bull Dynamic Contraction Continuation  from 13.000 to above 14.500 Key Level

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones still Stopped for Now

with

Present Active Bull Dynamic Strikes

from War Low Zones DJIA 32.000 Zone S&P500 4100 Zone

to Higher Key Levels DJIA 35.000 Zone  S&P500 above 4500 

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Fed Powell More Hawkish

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

clear example

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

More Risk Scenario

Structural Stagflation Risk

Not Just Stagflation – Structural Stagflation

with

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Debt Rising

and

FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS

2021 – 2022  Horizon

– FINANCIAL MARKETS BUBBLE WARNINGS & BLACK SWANS vs WHITE SWANS… –

with

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Powell More Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting Hawkish

Rate Hike 0.25% and Hawkish Dynamic Rate Hikes 2022 Outlook

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Taper

ECB

ECB vs Russia-Ukraine War

ECB Meeting Hawkish

ECB Lagarde Dovish

ECB Lagarde still Active Central Schizophrenia

Now Next Dovish vs Meeting Hawkish

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave  New Act  – Back to Bull Track 

USD Bull New Strike from 98 Zone to above Key Level 98.80 on Fed Powell More Hawkish

after Earlier

USD Bears Strike Back on Fed Hawkish Verdict – Outlook and Russia Ukraine War vs Talks

Bears Dynamic Strike < 99  Key Level

Bear Reversal Pattern – M Intraday H5 Key Level 99.30

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Reactivation

Now dominating

Bull Wave from 98 Zone  to  above 98.80  Key Level

Active Zone Key Levels  98.80  –  99.00

( EOW 98.84 )

First…ATA from  11.10.2021

” After…

Test Fib Ret Zone 30 – 38.2% Big Bear Wave

Key Levels 5.80 – 7 USD Zone

and

Latest Phase Panic Buying

Now dominating

Bear Hard Contraction

Back under Key Level 6 USD

Second..Present  US Natural Gas Futures  Situation

US Natural Gas Futures  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

First of All

still Active

Bull Wave from Bullish Base 2016 – 2020 Year

Bull Move above Bear Trendline with Perfect Pullback

( Monthly Line Chart )

after earlier

First…Bull Reversal Pattern – Inverted 2B – Key Level 1.6150 USD 1995-2020 Years

Second…Bull Reversal Pattern – Inverted 2B – Key Level 1.71 USD 2016-2020 Years

Ahead of September Top – Psychological Key Level 6 USD Zone

( Monthly Line and Candlestick Charts )

After

First…

Big Fall & Test 1995 Lows Zone 2006 – 2020 Years

Key Level  1.30 – 1.50 USD 

Activated Two Long Term Inverted 2B Risk On Patterns

1st..2B Key Level  1.6150 USD 1995 – 2020 Years

2nd..2B Key Level  1.71 USD  2016 – 2020 Years

Second…

Bull Dynamic Wave

from 1.50-1.6150 to 6.50 USD  

above

Low Zone 2021 Year – Psychological Key Level 2 USD

Tops 2014 and 2018 Year ( EOM )

Fib Ret 23.6% – Key Level 4.88 USD

Psychological Key Level 5 USD

Test Fib Ret Zone 30 – 38.2% Big Bear Wave

Key Levels 5.80 – 7 USD Zone

Phase Panic Buying – October 2020

Third…

Bear Hard Contraction

Back under Key Level 6 USD

Test Lower  3.50 USD Zone

56.4% Fib Ret Last Large Bull Wave from 1.60 USD Zone to 6.50 USD Zone

Fourth…

Next Dynamic Bull Wave – New Panic Buying – January 2022

Test Higher Fib Ret Zone 38.2 – 44.7% Big Bear Wave

Key Level 7 USD Zone

vs

Bear Hard Strike Back

January Monthly Bear Candlestick  Shooting Star

February Monthly Bear Candlestick

Test 3.50-3.80 USD Zone

Now dominating

Bull Reactivation – Rising above Psychological Key Level 5 USD

Ahead of Test 38.2% or Higher 50-61.8% Fib Ret Last Bear Wave

Key Levels 7 USD Zone or Higher 8.60 – 10 USD Zone

Present Weekly Bull Candlestick – Large Real Body

( Weekly Candlestick Chart )

with

March Monthly Bull Candlestick – Large Real Body

( needed EOM confirmation )

MACD Weekly Buy Signal

MACD Monthly Buy Signal

ATA  US Natural Gas   Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Psychological Key Levels  Active Zone 

5.00 – 5.50  vs 5.60 – 6.00 USD

with

Present Active Psychological Key Level  5.50 USD

and

50 – 61.8% Fib Ret Last Bear Wave

with Next

Natural Gas US EU Decisions vs Russia Natural Gas Moves with Ukraine War

of course finally

Future Final Smart Money Reaction 

First…EOM – March

US Natural Gas Futures  Monthly  Charts

7.08.2020 – EOD

Natural Gas - M - Fib

11.10.2021 – European Session First Phase

Natural Gas Futures  Monthly  Weekly Charts

25.03.2022 – EOW

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