SWISS FRANC – EURO/CHF – SWISS SAFE HAVEN WAVE ACCELERATION on RUSSIA INVASION…

SWISS FRANC  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

First of All

SWISS FRANC

2013

28.03.2013 – SWISS STORM…

&

2019

2.08.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – SWISS SPARK in F/X DARK…

27.08.2019 – SWISS FRANC – under Short Term RISK ON Pressure…

25.09.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – from RISK ON Hope to RISK OFF Pressure…

12.12.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – Bull – Bear Fight on Central Trinity FED, SNB, ECB Verdicts & Trump New Verbal Deal Euphory…

21.12.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – Strong Swiss Relative Strength…

2020 

4.01.2020 –  SWISS FRANC – IRAN Motive…

14.01.2020 –  SWISS FRANC – SWISS WARNING – No Falling on No IRAN War Motive…

13.05.2020 – SWISS FRANC – EURO/CHF – EUROZONE VIRUS…

2021

25.02.2021 – SWISS FRANC – EURO/CHF – ESCAPE from SWISS SAFE HAVEN…

23.05.2021 – SWISS FRANC – EURO/CHF – SWISS SAFE HAVEN BACK WARNING…

9.07.2021 – SWISS FRANC – EURO/CHF – SWISS SAFE HAVEN STRIKE…

SWISS FRANC   EUR/CHF  Master  Present Motives

SWISS FRANC Safe Haven Bull Action

with

EURO Hard RISK OFF FX Double Impact

Escape from EUROZONE –EURO – Russia Ukraine War Eurozone Stagflation Rising Risk ECB Dovish

Inflow to USD FX Area US – Fed Hawkish Ahead of March Rate Hike

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Global Master Currencies Pathfinder

RUSSIA UKRIANE WAR & RUSSIA ECONOMY COLLAPSE WARNS

Russia Ukraine War – Russia Invasion

Russia Junk Rating S&P Moody’s Fitch Triple Strike

Russia Economy Crash Crisis Recession Collapse Warnings

Russa Asset ( Rubel Bonds ) under SELL OFF Pressure

MOEX Closed – London LSE Russian Stocks Financial Extermination

West US EU SWISS Sanctions

“Nuclear Option” – cutting Russia SWIFT Access – selected Banks for Now

US Sanctions on Russia Central Bank – CBR

The Bank of Russia CBR Emergency Meeting

CBR raises key rate to 20% from 9.5%

SECULAR MOTIVES

Wall Street

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

Nasdaq 100  Nasdaq Comp. 

Bear Hard Wave from November 2021 Top Zone Stopped  for Now

after

Test 38.2% 13.000 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

Present Active Bull Bear Dynamic Fighting in 13.800 – 14.000 Zone

DJIA S&P500

Bear Hard Waves from January 2022 ATH Zones Stopped for Now

Present Active Bull Bear Dynamic Fighting

and

Global Inflation Shock

special in Eurozone US and EM

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting – Fed Funds Rates

4.03.2022 – 1st Hike 0.25% 98.8% Probability

vs

25.02.2022 – 1st Hike 0.25% 76% Probability and 0.50% 24% Probability

18.02.2022 – 1st Hike 0.25% 64.4% Probability and 0.50% 35.6% Probability

11.02.2022 – 1st Hike 0.50% Action High 93.8% Probability

7 Hikes 2022 Outlook by Bank of America and Goldman Sachs

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US and Global Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

clear example

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

with

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Debt Rising

BUBBLE WARNINGS

BofA – Endgame Begins

Global Rate Shock Has Triggered Tech Wreck, Recession Countdown Systemic Event

JPMorgan Warns

S&P Fair Value Is 2,500 I f Inflation Shocks Do Not Fade Away

Jim Grant – Fed Warns

The Fed – Speculator on the Wrong Side of the Market

Goldman Sachs Bond Market “Jonestown” Delusion Territory Warns

$100T of the planet’s wealth is positioned in bonds sub 2% in yield with inflation normalizing this cycle at 3-4% vs 1-2% post Lehman

Bill Ackman Warning

We’re in a “Classic Bubble” that’s “Fueled by The Fed”

Goldman Boss Solomon Warns

Market Greed Is outpacing Fear

Rickards New Great Depression Warning

No Full Recovery until 2045

Not Recover from Pandemic fully until 2045 or later in Terms of

Savings, Consumption, Disinflation, Low Interest Rates, Low Growth

Michael Burry Wall Street Madness

Michael Burry Blasts Fed, SEC Over Most Speculative, Overvalued, Geopolitically-Challenged Market In Decades

Larry Summers Warns

Central Banking Blast

Economic Stagnation & Japanization

Michael Snyder Warns

They Have Lost Control – Our Destination Is Economic Collapse

Stan Druckenmiller – This Bubble Is in Everything

Warns Crypto, Meme Stocks, Bonds are in Bubble

Peter Schiff Warns of Irrational Exuberance in the Stock Market Casino

Stanley Druckenmiller Warns Stock Market is in an ‘Absolute Raging Mania’

Volatility Storm Rising Risk

” Sugar High ” Over – Nomura Warning

US Economy Has Entered Slowdown Phase

Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis

Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime

Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts

Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.

“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market

BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell

Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession

” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

Palantir Gold Bet Warning

Preparing for Future More Black Swans

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus or Russia Invasion “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

CENTRAL MOTIVE Fed vs ECB

Fed

Powell Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed March 2022 Meeting – Fed Funds Rates

4.03.2022 – 1st Hike 0.25% 98.8% Probability

7 Hikes 2022 Outlook by Bank of America and Goldman Sachs

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Taper

ECB

ECB special Dovish after Russia-Ukraine War Escalation

ECB Lagarde Central Schizophrenia

Now Dovish vs Meeting Hawkish

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Back to Bull Track 

USD Panic Buying on Russia Ukraine War Escalation – West Hard Sanctions

Bulls Dynamic Contraction from 96.50 Zone to 98.80 Zone

Cancel  Bear Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 97.30

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Reactivation

Now dominating

Bull Dynamic Wave  from 96.50 Zone to to 98.80 Zone

vs

Yesterday Bear Intraday Contraction – Back to 98.50

Active Zone Key Levels  98.50  –  98.80

( EOW 98.49 )

First…ATA  from  9.07.2021

” After

Test 38.2% Fib Ret Last Long Term Bear Wave

and

Test Upper Edge – Key Level 1.1150

Bear Reversal Pattern Strike

Inverted Ending Diagonal in Action

Swiss Contraction under Psychological Key Level 1.10

Now dominating

Bear Strike under Lower Edge – Key Level 1.09

Inverted Ending Diagonal

Second…Present  SWISS FRANC  Situation 

SWISS FRANC  EUR/CHF SECULAR & LONG TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope or Fear is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

SWISS FRANC Secular & Long Term View

EUR/CHF

Monthly View 

First of All

After

First…

Test 38.2-44.7 % Zone Fib Ret Last Long Term Bear Wave

Upper Edge – Key Level 1.1150

Inverted Ending Diagonal

Second…

Swiss RISK OFF Strike under Psychological Key Level 1.10

Activated

Bear Reversal Process

Bear Reversal Pattern – Inverted Ending Diagonal

Fall under Lower Edge – Key Level 1.09

Now still dominating

EURO Bear Strong Wave

Test EUR/CHF Forex Parity Zone – Master Psychological Key Level 1.00 Zone

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

Ahead of Open Scenario SWISS Wave Continuation to

Master ATL Key Levels 0.87 Zone from 2015 Year

Lower Psychological Key Level 0.85 Zone

with

Pattern Inception ( Line Chart )

Large Inverted Ending DiagonalLower Edge – Key Level 0.85 Zone

Small Inverted Ending DiagonalLower Edge – Key Level 0.9750 Zone

with

H&S – Neckline – Key Level 1.0550

SWISS FRANC  Long Term  Battlefield

EUR/CHF

0.85 0.87 0.97-1.00   vs   1.05 – 1.10

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

Present Master  Range

0.85 0.87 0.97-1.00   vs   1.05 – 1.10

with

Patterns ( Line Chart )

Large Small Inverted Ending Diagonals and H&S

ATA FX Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

always remember

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N – TIMES

Finally …

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

Now EOM –  March

EUR/CHF ;  USD/CHF  ; GBP/CHF  &  SWISS FRANC FUTURES Charts 

2.08.2019 –  ( First Phase US Session )

EUR-CHF - M
USD-CHF - M
GBP-CHF - M
CHF FUT - M
CHF FUT - M - Line

EUR/CHF  Monthly  Charts :

13.05.2020  ( Second Half European Session )

EUR-CHF - M
EUR-CHF - M - Line

25.02.2021 – Asian Session

21.05.2021 – EOW

9.07.2021 – European Session – Start Phase

4.03.2022 – EOW

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Create a website or blog at WordPress.com

Up ↑

%d bloggers like this: