GOLD Spot – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
2020
9.04.2020 – GOLD Spot – Secular Golden Fibonacci Constellation …
6.07.2020 – GOLD Spot – Golden Final Countdown…
12.08.2020 – GOLD Spot – Golden Ambush Rising Risk…
2021
31.05.2021 – GOLD Spot – Fibonacci Golden Constellation…
ATA Following…
GOLDEN SPECTRUM
2020
7.04.2020 – GOLD – GOLDEN SECULAR SPECTRUM …
Gold/Bitcoin Ratio
2022
13.01.2022 – GOLD/BITCOIN RATIO – First Hard Clash in Golden Bull Reversal…
Silver/Bitcoin Ratio
2022
13.01.2022 – SILVER/BITCOIN RATIO – First Hard Clash in Silver Bull Action…
GOLD Spot Major Motives
Golden Major Sparks
Russia and Inflation
STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu
Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
Global Debt Rising
with
Goldman Sachs Gold Bullish Outlook 2022
Goldman Sachs Long on Gold – Target 2150 USD
and
Global Risk Off Waves
Bond Sell Off
Stocks Sell Off
Wall Street Risk Off Wave – specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq
Secular Motives
Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN Stopped
Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Comp. Bear Hard Wave
from November 2021 Top Zone – still under October 2021 Low Zone
with
Bull vs Bear Hard Fight Continuation for Now
after
Test Fib Ret 30% 13.750 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low
DJIA S&P500 Dynamic Bear Strikes from January 2022 ATH Zones
with
Bull vs Bear Hard Fight Continuation for Now
and
Russia Ukraine Crisis
US President Biden New Warning
United States believes that Russian President Putin has decided to carry out an attack on Ukraine “in the coming days.”
“We have reason to believe the Russian forces are planning and intend to attack Ukraine in the coming week, in the coming days,”
“We believe that they will target Ukraine’s capital, Kyiv, a city of 2.8 million innocent people.”
Global Inflation Shock
special in Eurozone US and EM
US Inflation Shock
Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed
Fed Faster Rate Hikes
Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s
Fed March 2022 Meeting – Fed Funds Rates
18.02.2022 – 1st Hike 0.25% 64.4% Probability and 0.50% 35.6% Probability
vs
11.02.2022 – 1st Hike 0.50% Action High 93.8% Probability
7 Hikes 2022 Outlook by Bank of America and Goldman Sachs
Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario
Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario
with
US Inflation Stagflation Fears
STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream
clear example
Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror
and
Warning Symptoms Activated
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating
RISK OFF Scenario Active
BUBBLE WARNINGS
BofA – Endgame Begins
Global Rate Shock Has Triggered Tech Wreck, Recession Countdown Systemic Event
JPMorgan Warns
S&P Fair Value Is 2,500 I f Inflation Shocks Do Not Fade Away
Jim Grant – Fed Warns
The Fed – Speculator on the Wrong Side of the Market
Goldman Sachs Bond Market “Jonestown” Delusion Territory Warns
$100T of the planet’s wealth is positioned in bonds sub 2% in yield with inflation normalizing this cycle at 3-4% vs 1-2% post Lehman
Bill Ackman Warning
We’re in a “Classic Bubble” that’s “Fueled by The Fed”
Goldman Boss Solomon Warns
Market Greed Is outpacing Fear
Rickards New Great Depression Warning
No Full Recovery until 2045
Not Recover from Pandemic fully until 2045 or later in Terms of
Savings, Consumption, Disinflation, Low Interest Rates, Low Growth
Michael Burry Wall Street Madness
Michael Burry Blasts Fed, SEC Over Most Speculative, Overvalued, Geopolitically-Challenged Market In Decades
Larry Summers Warns
Central Banking Blast
Economic Stagnation & Japanization
Michael Snyder Warns
They Have Lost Control – Our Destination Is Economic Collapse
Stan Druckenmiller – This Bubble Is in Everything
Warns Crypto, Meme Stocks, Bonds are in Bubble
Peter Schiff Warns of Irrational Exuberance in the Stock Market Casino
Stanley Druckenmiller Warns Stock Market is in an ‘Absolute Raging Mania’
Volatility Storm Rising Risk
” Sugar High ” Over – Nomura Warning
US Economy Has Entered Slowdown Phase
Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun
Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror
Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis
Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime
Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts
Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.
“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market
BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell
Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession
” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash
Stagflationary Debt Crisis
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning
” Epic Bubble ”
“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning
” Mother of All Crashes ”
Rob Subbaraman Nomura
Cassandra Warning Model
Palantir Gold Bet Warning
Preparing for Future More Black Swans
BLACK SWANS
Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
Secular Motives
Wall Street Bull Wave Hard Stopped
by
Bear Hard Dynamic Strikes
specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Comp.
Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street Stopped
RATE HIKES and TAPER Acceleration Main Scenario – especially by Fed
after
Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by Main Central Banks
Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns
with
Stagflation Rising Risk
Global Debt Rising
US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket
COVID Variants Waves
Now OMICRON
Fed vs ECB Central Motive
Fed
Last Fed Meeting – Powell Hawkish Prediction
Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s
Fed March 2022 Meeting – Fed Funds Rates
18.02.2022 – 1st Hike 0.25% 64.4% Probability and 0.50% 35.6% Probability
7 Hikes 2022 Outlook by Bank of America and Goldman Sachs
Strong Hawkish Perspective
Dynamic Rate Hikes
Balance Sheet Rundown
Fed Taper
US Inflation Dynamic Rising
ECB
ECB Lagarde Central Schizophrenia
Now Dovish vs Meeting Hawkish
ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery
European QE > US QE
ECB No Taper for Now
ECB Dovish Strikes for Now
Eurozone Inflation Dynamic Rising
Eurozone Rates Time Game
European QE Story
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Bull Long Term Wave New Try Back to Bull Track
after USD Euphory on Fed Hawkish Test 97.50 Zone
Activated Bear Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 96.85
Bears Dynamic Contraction from 97.50 Zone to 95 Zone
Bull Reversal W – 95.15
Bull Strike > Psychological Key Level 96
ATA Conclusion
Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave New Try Back to Bull Track
Now dominating
Bull Dynamic Wave from 95 Zone to above Psychological Key Level 96.00
Active Zone Key Levels 96 – 96.30-50
( EOW 96.10 )
First…
ATA from 12.08.2020
” GOLD Mainstream Media Present Mega Ecstasy
and for Now
Golden Shinig Story non stop creating by Mainstream Media
&
Golden Crowd attacking Mints…want buying All Gold Coins…
…
Now dominating
Present Hard Golden Bear Contraction
with
Dynamic Shot Down under Psychological Key Level 2000 USD “
and
ATA from 31.05.2021
” Finally
Activated Bear Reversal Pattern – 2B
Key Level 1920 USD
and
Golden Bear Contraction
but with
Test 38.2 – 44.7% Fib Ret Zones – Key Levels 1675-1680 USD
Now dominating
Golden Bulls Reactivation
with
Present Bull Strike – Test Higher Psychological Key Level 1900 USD Zone
Present GOLD Spot Battlefield
1680 1800 vs 1900 2000-2070 “
&
ATA Last Gold Tweets
Second…Present GOLD Spot Situation
GOLD SPOT SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN SECULAR ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
The Hardest is to be Patient
Trend is Your Friend
Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante
Charts Worth more than 1000 Words
Charts have No Temperature
Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante
Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope or Fear is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast
Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
First of All
After
August 2020
Dynamic Shot Down under Psychological Key Level 2000 USD
August Monthly Bearish Candlestick – Long Upper Shadow
Finally
Activated Bear Reversal Pattern – 2B
Key Level 1920 USD
and
Golden Bear Contraction
vs
Activated
Golden Bull Reversal Process
after
First and Second Test 38.2 – 44.7% Fib Ret Zones – Key Levels 1675-1680 USD
Bull Pattern W – Key Level 1680 USD
March 2021 August 2021
Now dominating
Golden Bulls New Reactivation from 1680 USD Zone
with
Present Bull Strike – New Test Higher Psychological Key Level 1900 USD
and
February Monthly Bull Candlestick
Present Master Golden Key Levels 1900 and 2000 USD
Higher Fib Ext…
2075 2350 and 2700 USD
vs
MACD Monthly still Active Sell Signal
Present GOLD Spot Battlefield
1680 1800 vs 1900 2000-2070
ATA Investment Conclusion
Now Special Focus on
Active Golden Range
1680 1800 vs 1900 2000-2070
with
Present Psychological Key Level 1900 USD
Master Golden Key Level 2000 USD
Higher Fib Ext…First…2075 USD
of course with
US DOLLAR – DXY Strikes – Present Major Key Level 96
EUR/USD Present Major Psychological Key Level 1.13
and
Research New Classic and Candlestick Patterns
New Russia Ukraine News
New Inflaction Strikes
Next Global Macro Strikes
Central Banks FED-ECB-BOJ & Governments Strikes
ATA Metals Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE
vs
MAJOR BOTTOMS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS
with
PANIC PHASE
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
N – TIMES
Metals Maximes
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOM – February
by the Gold Way
always remember
Gold – anti US Dollar Vector
Gold Spot Monthly Charts
9.04.2020 – before Start US Session
6.07.2020 – First Half Assian Session
12.08.2020 – Second Half Assian Session
31.05.2021 – before Start European Session
18.02.2022 – EOW
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 