MICROSOFT – Bear vs Bull Hard Fight in Bear Pattern Inception…

MICROSOFT  –  Back  Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2019

23.04.2019 – MICROSOFT – Secular View beyond Tech Bulls Space Imaginations…

16.07.2019 –  MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Space Flight to Fibonacci Extensions …

7.11.2019 – MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Hitting Secular Fibonacci Extension…

2020

26.12.2020 –  MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extension – Update December 2019…

10.02.2020 –  MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extension – Update February 2020…

6.05.2020 –  MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extension – Update May 2020…

20.07.2020 –  MICROSOFT – MASTERMIND FIBONACCI PLAY…

5.08.2020 – MICROSOFT – TikTok Game…

8.09.2020 – MICROSOFT – Fibonacci in Action…

29.10.2020 – MICROSOFT – No Fibonacci Coincidences …

2021

26.08.2021 – MICROSOFT – Bull Skyrocket inside Bear Pattern…

29.10.2021 – MICROSOFT – Bulls Flight above Market Clouds Ceiling on Cloud Computing Boom…

MICROSOFT Main Motives

MSFT its fiscal Q2 Earnings

beating analysts expectations – special cloud revenue soars 46%

Revenue $51.7 billion vs $50.9 billion expected

Earnings per share $2.48 vs $2.31 expected

Intelligent Cloud $18.3 billion vs $18.3 billion expected

Productivity & Business Processes  $15.9 billion vs $15.9 billion expected

More Personal Computing $17.4 billion vs $16.7 billion expected

Microsoft Blizzard Gaming Deal

Microsoft will acquire Activision Blizzard for $95.00 per share, in transaction valued at $68.7 billion.

The deal, which is expected to close in 2023 will make Microsoft a Gaming juggernaut, thanks to Activision Blizzard’s library of games including “Call of Duty” and “World of Warcraft.”

Microsoft use its influx of gaming properties to further build Game Pass gaming service which offers a cloud gaming component for $14.99 per month.

Microsoft Recommendations Conclusion

Wall Street analysts 12 month price targets for Microsoft

The average price target is $375.22 with a high forecast of $425.00 and a low forecast of $320.00.

The average price target represents a 27.18% change from the last price of $295.04.

Microsoft Hedge Funds Position Q3 2021

Microsoft was in 250 hedge funds portfolios at the end of September.

The all time high for this statistic is 258.

” ALL IN ” Risk Present Materialization

Secular Motives

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped 

Nasdaq 100  Nasdaq Comp. Bear Hard Wave

from November 2021 Top Zone – still under October 2021 Low Zone

with 

Bull vs Bear Hard Fight Continuation  for Now

after

Test Fib Ret 30% 13.750 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

DJIA S&P500 Dynamic Bear Strikes from January 2022 ATH Zones

with 

Bull vs Bear Hard Fight Continuation  for Now

and

Russia Ukraine White House Warns

White House warns that Russia could invade Ukraine within days

Putin could attack Ukraine on Feb. 16

Any Americans still in Ukraine should leave “immediately,”

US Inflation Shock

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster Rate Hikes

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed Emergency Meeting Monday 14 February

March 2022 Meeting 1st Hike 0.50% Action High 93.8% Probability

7 Hikes 2022 Outlook by Bank of America and Goldman Sachs

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US Inflation Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

clear example

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

and

Warning Symptoms Activated

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating

RISK OFF Scenario Active

BUBBLE WARNINGS

BofA – Endgame Begins

Global Rate Shock Has Triggered Tech Wreck, Recession Countdown Systemic Event

JPMorgan Warns

S&P Fair Value Is 2,500 I f Inflation Shocks Do Not Fade Away

Jim Grant – Fed Warns

The Fed – Speculator on the Wrong Side of the Market

Goldman Sachs Bond Market “Jonestown” Delusion Territory Warns

$100T of the planet’s wealth is positioned in bonds sub 2% in yield with inflation normalizing this cycle at 3-4% vs 1-2% post Lehman

Bill Ackman Warning

We’re in a “Classic Bubble” that’s “Fueled by The Fed”

Goldman Boss Solomon Warns

Market Greed Is outpacing Fear

Rickards New Great Depression Warning

No Full Recovery until 2045

Not Recover from Pandemic fully until 2045 or later in Terms of

Savings, Consumption, Disinflation, Low Interest Rates, Low Growth

Michael Burry Wall Street Madness

Michael Burry Blasts Fed, SEC Over Most Speculative, Overvalued, Geopolitically-Challenged Market In Decades

Larry Summers Warns

Central Banking Blast

Economic Stagnation & Japanization

Michael Snyder Warns

They Have Lost Control – Our Destination Is Economic Collapse

Stan Druckenmiller – This Bubble Is in Everything

Warns Crypto, Meme Stocks, Bonds are in Bubble

Peter Schiff Warns of Irrational Exuberance in the Stock Market Casino

Stanley Druckenmiller Warns Stock Market is in an ‘Absolute Raging Mania’

Volatility Storm Rising Risk

” Sugar High ” Over – Nomura Warning

US Economy Has Entered Slowdown Phase

Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis

Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime

Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts

Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.

“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market

BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell

Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession

” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

Palantir Gold Bet Warning

Preparing for Future More Black Swans

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Wave Hard Stopped  

by

Bear Hard Dynamic Strikes

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Comp.

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street Stopped

RATE HIKES and TAPER Acceleration Main Scenario – especially by Fed

after

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

with

Stagflation Rising Risk

Global Debt Rising

US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket

COVID Variants Waves

Now OMICRON

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

Fed

Last Fed Meeting – Powell Hawkish Prediction

Powell – Volcker Moment 1970’s

Fed Emergency Meeting Monday 14 February

March 2022 Meeting 1st Hike 0.50% Action High 73.4% Probability

7 Hikes 2022 Outlook by Bank of America and Goldman Sachs

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Taper

US Inflation Dynamic Rising

ECB

ECB Lagarde Central Schizophrenia

Now Dovish vs Meeting Hawkish

ECB Acting Too Fast Could Choke Recovery

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

ECB Dovish Strikes for Now

Eurozone Inflation Dynamic Rising

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave New Try Back to Bull Track

after USD Euphory on Fed Hawkish Test 97.50 Zone

Activated Bear Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 96.85

Bears Dynamic Contraction from 97.50 Zone to 95 Zone

Bull Reversal W – 95.15

Bull Strike > Psychological Key Level 96

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave New Try Back to Bull Track

Now dominating

Bull Dynamic Wave  from 95 Zone to above Psychological Key Level  96.00

Active Zone Key Levels  96  –  96.30-50

( EOW 96.05 )

First…ATA  from  29.10.2021

Quarterly View 

Pattern Inception

Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal in Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal

Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal – Upper Edge – Key Level 330 USD Zone

Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal – Upper Edge – Key Level 350 USD Zone

Monthly View

still Active

Bull Long Term Channel – Upper Edge – Key Level 360 USD Zone

Close to Test First…Higher Major Target Fibonacci Extension

340 USD Zone ( 5.388% ) 

Quarterly View 

still Activate Risk of Key Bear Reversal Pattern

Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal 

Upper Edge – Key Level  330 USD Zone for Now

with

Open Scenario

Test

Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal – Upper Edge – Key Level 350 USD Zone “

Second…Present MICROSOFT  Situation 

MICROSOFT  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope or Fear is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Master Motives 

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

Secular Bull Wave Hard Stopped

Fresh All Time High – 350 USD Zone – November 2021

( 349.67 USD )

with

Secular Strong Bull Trend Bearish Reversal Process Started

after Test

Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal – Upper Edge – Key Level 350 USD Zone

Now dominating

Quarterly View 

Pattern Inception

Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal in Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal

Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal – Lower Edge – Key Level 295 USD Zone

Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal – Lower Edge – Key Level 285 USD Zone

Test

Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal 

Lower Edge – Key Level  295 USD Zone for Now

Monthly View

After

First…Test  Major Target Fibonacci Extension 340 USD Zone ( 5.388% ) 

Second… Activated Monthly November Hanging Man Bearish Candlestick Pattern

Third…Bear Wave

Now dominating

Break Down for Now

First…Bull Long Term Channel – Lower Edge – Key Level 315 USD 

Second…Master Psychological Key Level  300 USD 

Third…5 and 8 Monthly MA

needed Conformation – EOM – February

vs

Key Monthly 13 MA –  Support  285 USD for Now

with

MACD Quarterly Buy Signal

Monthly Buy Signal vs Near to Active Sell

Quarterly Q1 and Monthly January February Bear Candlesticks

Ahead of

Test Fib Ret First Node – 270 266 USD Zone

ATA Investment Conclusion

still carefully Research

Confirmation or Cancel

Master Trend Reversal  Patterns

Quarterly

Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal 

Lower Edge – Key Level  295 USD

Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal

Lower Edge – Key Level 285 USD

Monthly

Bull Long Term Channel

Lower Edge – Key Level 315 USD 

with

Key Monthly 13 MA –  Support  285 USD

and

Fib Ret First Node – 270 266 USD Zone

Special Focus on

Microsoft Smart Money Battlefield  

266-270 285    vs    300- 315   USD 

with

Master Psychological Key Level 300 USD 

and

FinaSM Reaction

First…EOM – Now February   and  Finally…EOQ – Q1/2022

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE…!!!

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOM – Now February  and   Finally…EOQ – Q1/2022

Microsoft  Monthly  Charts

23.04.2019 

MSFT - M
MSFT - M - Focus 1
MSFT - M - Focus 2

16.07.2019 

( Starting Phase American Session )

MSFT - M
MSFT - M - Focus 1
MSFT - M - Focus 2

Microsoft  Quarterly & Monthly  Charts

6.11.2019 – EOD 

MSFT -Q
MSFT - M - Focus 1
MSFT - M - Focus 2

24.12.2019 – EOD 

MSFT -Q
MSFT - M - FIB EXT - Focus

10.02.2020  ( Second Half US Session ) 

Microsoft - Q - Pattern Inception
Microsoft - M - FIB EXT - Focus

5.05.2020  –  EOD 

Microsoft - Q - Pattern Inception
Microsoft - M - FIB EXT png
Microsoft - M - FIB EXT - Focus

17.07.2020 – EOW 

Microsoft - Q - Pattern Inception
Microsoft - M - FIB EXT - Focus

4.08.2020 – EOD 

MSFT -Q
MSFT - M - FIB EXT - Focus

4.09.2020 – EOD

27.10.2020 – EOD

28.10.2020 – EOD

25.08.2021 – EOD

28.10.2021 – EOD

11.02.2022 – EOW

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