NETFLIX – from Streamig Ecstasy to Streaming Panic in Fibonacci Shadow…

NETFLIX –   Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

NETFLIX

2019

24.04.2019 –  NETFLIX – Risk of Movie End…

18.07.2019 –  NETFLIX – ” That’s All Folks “…

28.07.2019 –  NETFLIX – Disappointment vs Hope…

10.10.2019 –  NETFLIX – Goldman Downgrade Strike…

10.12.2019 –  NETFLIX – Risk Off Scenario Subscriber Exodus in 2020…

2020 

7.05.2020 – NETFLIX – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extensions – May 2020…

15.06.2020 –  NETFLIX – Stopped Wall Street Streaming…

17.07.2020 – NETFLIX – Streaming Giant Warning…

11.09.2020 – NETFLIX – ‘Cancel Netflix’ Strike…

22.10.2020 – NETFLIX – Perfect Streaming Game…

1.11.2020 – NETFLIX – End of Bulls Episode…

2021

20.01.2021 – NETFLIX – Waiting for Earnings Final Show…

21.10.2021 – NETFLIX – ” 456 “…

NETFLIX  Present Master Motives

Netflix Q4/21 Earnings

Earnings per share (EPS) 1.33 USD per share vs. 0.88 USD expected

Revenue 7.71 Billion USD vs. 7.71 Billion USD expected

Net subscriber additions 8.28 Million vs. 8.13 Million expected

Subscriber Growth slowing

Netflix Subscriber Outlook Misses Estimates

Q1 2022, expects to add 2.5 Million subscribers, compared to 3.98 Million it added in Q1 2021

Netflix “Too Cheap” Scenario after Earnings Sell-Off

Netflix – Most Misunderstood FAANG Stock

Netflix has more data and experience than its competitors like Amazon Prime, Disney+, and HBO Max

Netflix planning original content in “all corners of the globe” as it aims to eventually reach 800 Million to 900 Million households, or about 300% growth

60% of Netflix’s revenue comes from outside of the U.S.,

Netflix continues to invest in original content for those audiences

Bill Ackman Bullish on Netflix

Pershing Square Capital Management, a massive hedge fund headed by Bill Ackman has been buying a 2% stake in Netflix – 3.1 Million Shares

CEO Hastings Bought Netflix Stocks

CEO Hastings bought 50,000 Netflix shares, worth around 20 Million USD after post-earnings slump on January 21

Citi Buy Netflix Alert

Citigroup analyst Jason Bazinet lifted his Netflix rating to ‘buy’, from ‘neutral’, but slashed his price target by 145 USD to 450 USD per share

Netflix Hedge Funds Position Q3 2021

106 of the hedge funds held long positions in this stock, a change of -6% from the previous quarter

and

Secular Motives

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped vs Bull Dynamic Contraction

Nasdaq 100  Nasdaq Comp. Bear Hard Wave

from November 2021 Top Zone – still under October 2021 Low Zone

Stopped  with Bull vs Bear Hard Fight for Now

by

Bull Contraction after Test Fib Ret 30% 13.750 Zone Bull Wave from 2020 Covid Panic Low

with

DJIA S&P500 Dynamic Bear Strikes from January 2022 ATH Zones

Stopped  with Bull vs Bear Hard Fight for Now

vs

US Inflation Fears 

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster Rate Hikes

March 2022 Meeting 1st Hike 0.25% Action High 85% Probability

4 Hikes in 2022

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Hikes and Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US Inflation Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

clear example

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

and

Warning Symptoms Activated

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating

RISK OFF Scenario Active

BUBBLE WARNINGS

BofA – Endgame Begins

Global Rate Shock Has Triggered Tech Wreck, Recession Countdown Systemic Event

JPMorgan Warns

S&P Fair Value Is 2,500 I f Inflation Shocks Do Not Fade Away

Jim Grant – Fed Warns

The Fed – Speculator on the Wrong Side of the Market

Goldman Sachs Bond Market “Jonestown” Delusion Territory Warns

$100T of the planet’s wealth is positioned in bonds sub 2% in yield with inflation normalizing this cycle at 3-4% vs 1-2% post Lehman

Bill Ackman Warning

We’re in a “Classic Bubble” that’s “Fueled by The Fed”

Goldman Boss Solomon Warns

Market Greed Is outpacing Fear

Rickards New Great Depression Warning

No Full Recovery until 2045

Not Recover from Pandemic fully until 2045 or later in Terms of

Savings, Consumption, Disinflation, Low Interest Rates, Low Growth

Michael Burry Wall Street Madness

Michael Burry Blasts Fed, SEC Over Most Speculative, Overvalued, Geopolitically-Challenged Market In Decades

Larry Summers Warns

Central Banking Blast

Economic Stagnation & Japanization

Michael Snyder Warns

They Have Lost Control – Our Destination Is Economic Collapse

Stan Druckenmiller – This Bubble Is in Everything

Warns Crypto, Meme Stocks, Bonds are in Bubble

Peter Schiff Warns of Irrational Exuberance in the Stock Market Casino

Stanley Druckenmiller Warns Stock Market is in an ‘Absolute Raging Mania’

Volatility Storm Rising Risk

” Sugar High ” Over – Nomura Warning

US Economy Has Entered Slowdown Phase

Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis

Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime

Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts

Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.

“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market

BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell

Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession

” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

Palantir Gold Bet Warning

Preparing for Future More Black Swans

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Wave Hard Stopped  

by

Bear Hard Dynamic Strikes

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Comp.

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street Stopped

RATE HIKES and TAPER Acceleration Main Scenario – especially by Fed

after

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

with

Stagflation Rising Risk

Global Debt Rising

US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket

COVID Variants Waves

Now OMICRON

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

Fed

Last Fed Meeting – Powell Hawkish Prediction

even 4 Rates Hikes in 2022

Strong Hawkish Perspective

Dynamic Rate Hikes

Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Taper

with

US Inflation Dynamic Rising

ECB

Last ECB Meeting – Lagarde Hawkish Awakening

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

ECB Hawkish  Strikes for Now

Eurozone Inflation Dynamic Rising

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave  New Hard Stopped

after USD Euphory on Fed Hawkish Test 97.50 Zone

Bears Dynamic Contraction from 97.50 Zone to 95 Zone

Activated Bear Reversal Pattern 2B – Key Level 96.85

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Dynamic Hard Stopped

Now dominating

Bear Dynamic Wave under Lower Psychological Key Level  96.00

vs

Bull Short Term Contraction from 95 Zone

Active Zone Key Levels  95 – 95.50

( EOW 95.45 )

First…ATA  from  21.10.2021

” Finally

Latest Bull Run with  Test  100% FIB EXT ZONE 

Key Level 650 USD  100%  Fibonacci Extension

( All Time High  646.64 USD )

with

Open Scenario

Bull Strike and Test 113% FIB EXT Higher Psychological Key Level 700 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

Now Special Focus on

Master Psychological Key Levels 600 vs 650 USD

with

100% and 113% FIB EXT Long Term Bull Wave

Key Levels 650 and 700 USD

with

Research New Classic and Candlestick Patterns

Second…Present  NETFLIX  Situation 

NETFLIX  LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope or Fear is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Quarterly View

Q4/21 Quarterly Gravestone Doji Bear Reversal Candlestick  – Extra Long Upper Shadow

and

Q1/22 Quarterly Bear Candlestick  – Extra Large Real Body vs Lower Shadow

Quarterly MACD Buy Signal

Monthly View 

First of All

After

First Bull Wave

Test  100% FIB EXT ZONE 

Key Level 650 USD  100%  Fibonacci Extension

Second Bull Wave

Finally

Test  113% FIB EXT ZONE 

Key Level 700 USD  113%  Fibonacci Extension

( All Time High  700.99 USD )

Finally

Latest Bull Run with  Test  100% FIB EXT ZONE 

Key Level 650 USD  100%  Fibonacci Extension

( All Time High  646.64 USD )

November 2021

and

Bear Dynamic Contraction

November December 2021 Monthly Bear Candlesticks

January 2022 Monthly Bear Candlestick – Super Large Real Body vs Lower Shadow

February Monthly Bear Candlestick vs above January Low

Monthly Sell Signal  with 2B Bear Reversal Pattern

Now dominating

Short Term Bear Wave Stopped

February Monthly Bear Candlestick vs above January Low

with

January Test 50% Fib Ret Long Term Bull Wave 2021 – 2021

Key Level 355 USD Zone

ATA Investment Conclusion

Now Special Focus on

Present Active Zone 350-55 – 430 USD

with

Present Psychological Key Level 400 USD

and

Research New Classic and Candlestick Patterns

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE…!!!

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N- TIMES

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

Now…EOM – February – March and EOQ – Q1 2022

NETFLIX Monthly  Charts

6.05.2020  – EOD

NETFLIX - M - Fib Ext

12.06.2020 – EOW 

NETFLIX - M - Fib Ext

16.07.2020 – EOD 

NETFLIX - M - Fib Ext

10.09.2020 – EOD

21.10.2020 – EOD

NETFLIX  Quarterly & Monthly  Charts

30.10.2020 – EOM

19.01.2021 – EOD

20.10.2021 – EOD

4.0.2022 – EOW

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