ARK Innovation ETF – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
2021
6.03.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Fibonacci Smart Money Game…
25.03.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Besotted in TESLA…
18.04.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – ARK Portfolio ” Chess Castling “
7.05.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Smart Money Playing Out Present Master Key Level 100 USD…
18.07.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – JP Morgan ” Bull Trap ” Warning…
17.08.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – ‘Big Short’ Michael Burry Bearish Bet…
1.09.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bulls vs Bears Draw…
6.10.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – in the Line of Bear Fire…
28.10.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – “TESLA” Rescue Strike from the Line of Bear Fire…
4.12.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bear Torpedo in the Target…
ARK Innovation ETF Key Master Motives
ARKK Capital Outflow
Bloomberg
Largest one-day capital outflow in 10-months
352 Million USD Exit from the fund on Last Wednesday
500 Milion USD Exit Last Two Days
vs
Cathie Wood & Mark Mobius US TECH Bull Predictions
Cathie Wood Claims Her Innovation Stocks in Deep Value Territory, Predicts 40% Returns The Next 5 Years
Legendary Investor Mark Mobius – tech sell-off is a good time to load up on FAANG stocks
ARKK Free Fall
test 18-month trading Low at 79.90 USD
50% off its all-time trading peak 160 USD Zone February 16 2021
ARKK Conclusion – ARKK Spark in the Dark
Active Bear Wave
after
Dynamic Break Down and Out Off from Range 110 – 130
vs
Test 56.4% Fib Ret Bull Wave – 80 USD Zone
on
US Big Tech
Loosing Momentum Process
vs
Bull Hard Fight – Active Defense Support Zone specially on Nasdaq 100
with
Secular Motives
Active
Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN Stopped
US Tech Sector Negative Divergence
Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Comp. still under November 2021 Top Zone
vs
Latest Fresh January 2022 ATH S&P500 DJIA
with
Present Bull Bear Hard Fighting
on
US Inflation Fears
Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed
Fed Faster Rate Hikes – March 2022 Meeting 1st Hike Action Rising Probability
Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario
Fed Taper Acceleration Main Scenario
with
US Inflation Stagflation Fears
STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream
clear example
Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror
and
Warning Symptoms Activated
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating
RISK OFF Scenario Active
BUBBLE WARNINGS
JPMorgan Warns
S&P Fair Value Is 2,500 I f Inflation Shocks Do Not Fade Away
Jim Grant – Fed Warns
The Fed – Speculator on the Wrong Side of the Market
Goldman Sachs Bond Market “Jonestown” Delusion Territory Warns
$100T of the planet’s wealth is positioned in bonds sub 2% in yield with inflation normalizing this cycle at 3-4% vs 1-2% post Lehman
Bill Ackman Warning
We’re in a “Classic Bubble” that’s “Fueled by The Fed”
Goldman Boss Solomon Warns
Market Greed Is outpacing Fear
Rickards New Great Depression Warning
No Full Recovery until 2045
Not Recover from Pandemic fully until 2045 or later in Terms of
Savings, Consumption, Disinflation, Low Interest Rates, Low Growth
Michael Burry Wall Street Madness
Michael Burry Blasts Fed, SEC Over Most Speculative, Overvalued, Geopolitically-Challenged Market In Decades
Larry Summers Warns
Central Banking Blast
Economic Stagnation & Japanization
Michael Snyder Warns
They Have Lost Control – Our Destination Is Economic Collapse
Stan Druckenmiller – This Bubble Is in Everything
Warns Crypto, Meme Stocks, Bonds are in Bubble
Peter Schiff Warns of Irrational Exuberance in the Stock Market Casino
Stanley Druckenmiller Warns Stock Market is in an ‘Absolute Raging Mania’
Volatility Storm Rising Risk
” Sugar High ” Over – Nomura Warning
US Economy Has Entered Slowdown Phase
Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun
Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror
Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis
Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime
Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts
Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.
“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market
BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell
Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession
” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash
Stagflationary Debt Crisis
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning
” Epic Bubble ”
“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning
” Mother of All Crashes ”
Rob Subbaraman Nomura
Cassandra Warning Model
Palantir Gold Bet Warning
Preparing for Future More Black Swans
BLACK SWANS
Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
Secular Motives
Wall Street Bull Wave Hard Stopped
by
Bear Strikes
specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Comp.
Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street Stopped
RATE HIKES and TAPER Acceleration Main Scenario – especially by Fed
after
Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by Main Central Banks
Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns
with
Stagflation Rising Risk
Global Debt Rising
US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket
COVID Variants Waves
Now OMICRON
Fed vs ECB Central Motive
Fed
Powell Hawkish Testimony
Fed Minutes Double Impact
Earlier Rate Hikes
Balance Sheet Rundown
Fed Taper
with
US Inflation Dynamic Rising
ECB
European QE > US QE
ECB No Taper for Now
ECB Dovish Hawkish Strikes
Eurozone Inflation Dynamic Rising
Eurozone Rates Time Game
European QE Story
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Bull Long Term Wave Hard Stopped
after
Bull Dynamic Move – Test High 96.80 Zone
on
Fed December Meeting Euphory
with
Bear Dynamic Correction
Bear Contraction under Master Psychological Key Level 96
vs
Present Bull Strike Back above Psychological Key Level 95
after Earlier
Bear Dynamic Move – Test Lower 94.50 Zone
ATA Conclusion
Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Trying Back on Bull Track
after
FX Dynamic Moves
First…in Higher Psychological Key Level 96 – 97 Zone
Second…in Lower Psychological Key Level 94.50 – 95 Zone
Now dominating
Short Term Bull Dynamic Strike Back above Psychological 95.00
Active Zone Key Levels 95.00 – 95.30
( EOW 95.15 )
First…ATA from 4.12.2021
” Now dominating
Bear New Hard Wave from Higher Psychological Key Level 120 USD
with
Break Down Master Psychological Key Level 100 USD
with
Active Test
Fib Ext 61.8% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top ( 94 USD Zone )
Fib Ret 50% Last Bull Wave from 30 USD Low ( 97 USD Zone )
Ahead of Test
First…
Fib Ext 78.6% and 1 First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top ( 81-85 and 70 USD Zone )
Fib Ret 58.4% 61.8% and 68.5% Last Bull Wave from 30 USD Low ( 85 81 and 73 USD Zone )
( Weekly Chart )
Second…
Lower Fib Ret Bull Big Wave 50% ( 87 USD ) and 61.8% ( 70 USD )
( Monthly Chart ) ”
Second…Present ARKK Innovation ETF Situation
ARKK Innovation ETF LONG TERM SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
The Hardest is to be Patient
Trend is Your Friend
Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante
Charts Worth more than 1000 Words
Charts have No Temperature
Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante
Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast
Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…
First…Key Master Motives
Tech Boom Cycle & Central Banks GIGA Easing Stopped …
and
ARKK TECH MACHINE Stopped and Down to even Lower Zone
Bears New Hard Strike
even after
‘Big Short’ Michael Burry ” Waterloo ” Syndrome
Second…Market Technical Patterns
First of All
All Time High Zone
Key Level 160 USD Zone – February 2021
( stricte 159.70 )
Perfect Test 3.618% Fib Ext
Activated
Monthly Bear Reversal Pattern – Ending Diagonal
on
TECH Innovation Ecstasy
and
Shot Down to Lower Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone
Test 38.3 – 44.7% Zone Fib Ret Big Bull Wave 95 – 100 USD Zone
with
Bull Contraction from Psychological Support 100 USD Zone to Higher 130 USD Zone
Test 56.4% Zone Fib Ret Last Bear Wave 130 USD Zone
and
Second Bear Strike to Lower Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone
Second Bull Strike from 100 USD to 120 USD Zone
vs
No Back above Key Level 120 USD
Now still dominating
Bear New Hard Wave from Higher Psychological Key Level 120 USD
with
Break Down Master Psychological Key Level 100 USD
Out of
First…Falling Ending Diagonal
Lower Edge – Key Level 110 USD
Second…Horizontal Range 110 USD vs 130 USD
with
Monthly November December Bear Candlesticks
Monthly January Bear Candlestick for Now
and
Active Test
Fib Ext 88.6% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top ( 77 USD Zone )
Fib Ret 56.4% Last Bull Wave from 30 USD Low ( 77 USD Zone )
Ahead of Test
First…
Fib Ext 100% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top ( 70 USD Zone )
Fib Ret 68.5% Last Bull Wave from 30 USD Low ( 73 USD Zone )
( Weekly Chart )
Second…
Lower Fib Ret Bull Big Wave 61.8% ( 70 USD )
( Monthly Chart )
ATA Long Term Investment Conclusion
special focus on
Present Active Range
70 – 80 USD
and
Test Results of
FIB RETS 77 – 73 – 70 USD
FIB EXTS 77 – 70 USD
with
Research
New Candlesticks and Classic Pattern
ATA Wall Street Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE
vs
MAJOR BOTTOMS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS
with
PANIC PHASE…!!!
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction….
First…EOM – January
ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly Charts
5.03.2021 – EOD
24.03.2021 – EOD
16.04.2021 – EOD
6.05.2021 – EOD
16.07.2021 – EOD
16.08.2021 – EOD
31.08.2021 – EOM
5.10.2021 – EOD
27.10.2021 – EOD
ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly and Weekly Charts
3.12.2021 – EOW
14.01.2022 – EOW
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 