ARK Innovation ETF – ARKK in the “DARK” vs Fibonacci “SPARK”…

ARK Innovation ETF   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2021

6.03.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Fibonacci Smart Money Game…

25.03.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Besotted in TESLA…

18.04.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – ARK Portfolio ” Chess Castling “

7.05.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Smart Money Playing Out Present Master Key Level 100 USD…

18.07.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – JP Morgan ” Bull Trap ” Warning…

17.08.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – ‘Big Short’ Michael Burry Bearish Bet…

1.09.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bulls vs Bears Draw…

6.10.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – in the Line of Bear Fire…

28.10.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – “TESLA” Rescue Strike from the Line of Bear Fire…

4.12.2021 – ARK Innovation ETF – Bear Torpedo in the Target…

ARK Innovation ETF Key Master Motives

ARKK Capital Outflow

Bloomberg

Largest one-day capital outflow in 10-months

352 Million USD Exit from the fund on Last Wednesday

500 Milion USD Exit Last Two Days

vs

Cathie Wood & Mark Mobius US TECH Bull Predictions

Cathie Wood Claims Her Innovation Stocks in Deep Value Territory, Predicts 40% Returns The Next 5 Years

Legendary Investor Mark Mobius – tech sell-off is a good time to load up on FAANG stocks

ARKK Free Fall

test 18-month trading Low at 79.90 USD

50% off its all-time trading peak 160 USD Zone February 16 2021

ARKK Conclusion ARKK Spark in the Dark

Active Bear Wave

after

Dynamic Break Down and Out Off from Range 110 – 130

vs

Test 56.4% Fib Ret Bull Wave – 80 USD Zone

on

US Big Tech

Loosing Momentum Process

vs

Bull Hard Fight – Active Defense Support Zone specially on Nasdaq 100

with

Secular Motives

Active

Tech Boom Cycle – US BIG TECH RUN  Stopped

US Tech Sector Negative Divergence

Nasdaq 100  Nasdaq Comp. still under  November 2021 Top Zone

vs

Latest Fresh January 2022 ATH S&P500   DJIA

with

Present Bull Bear Hard Fighting

on

US Inflation Fears 

Rising Inflation keeps Pressure on Fed 

Fed Faster Rate Hikes – March 2022 Meeting 1st Hike Action Rising Probability

Fed Taper Action and Rasing Rates Scenario 

Fed Taper Acceleration Main Scenario

with

US Inflation Stagflation Fears

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

clear example

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

and

Warning Symptoms Activated

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating

RISK OFF Scenario Active

BUBBLE WARNINGS

JPMorgan Warns

S&P Fair Value Is 2,500 I f Inflation Shocks Do Not Fade Away

Jim Grant – Fed Warns

The Fed – Speculator on the Wrong Side of the Market

Goldman Sachs Bond Market “Jonestown” Delusion Territory Warns

$100T of the planet’s wealth is positioned in bonds sub 2% in yield with inflation normalizing this cycle at 3-4% vs 1-2% post Lehman

Bill Ackman Warning

We’re in a “Classic Bubble” that’s “Fueled by The Fed”

Goldman Boss Solomon Warns

Market Greed Is outpacing Fear

Rickards New Great Depression Warning

No Full Recovery until 2045

Not Recover from Pandemic fully until 2045 or later in Terms of

Savings, Consumption, Disinflation, Low Interest Rates, Low Growth

Michael Burry Wall Street Madness

Michael Burry Blasts Fed, SEC Over Most Speculative, Overvalued, Geopolitically-Challenged Market In Decades

Larry Summers Warns

Central Banking Blast

Economic Stagnation & Japanization

Michael Snyder Warns

They Have Lost Control – Our Destination Is Economic Collapse

Stan Druckenmiller – This Bubble Is in Everything

Warns Crypto, Meme Stocks, Bonds are in Bubble

Peter Schiff Warns of Irrational Exuberance in the Stock Market Casino

Stanley Druckenmiller Warns Stock Market is in an ‘Absolute Raging Mania’

Volatility Storm Rising Risk

” Sugar High ” Over – Nomura Warning

US Economy Has Entered Slowdown Phase

Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis

Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime

Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts

Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.

“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market

BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell

Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession

” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

Palantir Gold Bet Warning

Preparing for Future More Black Swans

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Wave Hard Stopped  

by

Bear Strikes

specially US BIG TECH – Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Comp.

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street Stopped

RATE HIKES and TAPER Acceleration Main Scenario – especially by Fed

after

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

with

Stagflation Rising Risk

Global Debt Rising

US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket

COVID Variants Waves

Now OMICRON

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

Fed

Powell Hawkish Testimony

Fed Minutes Double Impact

Earlier Rate Hikes

Balance Sheet Rundown

Fed Taper

with

US Inflation Dynamic Rising

ECB

European QE > US QE

ECB No Taper for Now

ECB Dovish  Hawkish  Strikes

Eurozone Inflation Dynamic Rising

Eurozone Rates Time Game

European QE Story

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Long Term Wave Hard Stopped

after

Bull Dynamic Move – Test  High 96.80 Zone

on

Fed December Meeting Euphory

with

Bear Dynamic Correction

Bear Contraction under Master Psychological Key Level 96

vs

Present Bull Strike Back above Psychological Key Level 95

after Earlier

Bear Dynamic Move – Test Lower 94.50 Zone

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Trying Back on Bull Track

after

FX Dynamic Moves

First…in Higher Psychological Key Level 96 – 97 Zone

Second…in Lower Psychological Key Level 94.50 – 95 Zone

Now dominating

Short Term Bull Dynamic Strike Back above Psychological 95.00

Active Zone Key Levels  95.00 – 95.30

( EOW 95.15 )

First…ATA  from  4.12.2021

” Now dominating

Bear New Hard Wave  from Higher Psychological Key Level 120 USD

with

Break Down Master Psychological Key Level 100 USD

with

Active Test

Fib Ext 61.8% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top 94 USD Zone )

Fib Ret 50% Last Bull Wave from 30 USD Low 97 USD Zone )

Ahead of Test

First…

Fib Ext 78.6% and 1 First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top ( 81-85 and 70 USD Zone )

Fib Ret 58.4% 61.8% and 68.5% Last Bull Wave from 30 USD Low 85 81 and 73 USD Zone )

( Weekly Chart )

Second…

Lower Fib Ret Bull Big Wave 50% ( 87 USD ) and 61.8% ( 70 USD )

( Monthly Chart ) ”

Second…Present  ARKK Innovation ETF Situation

ARKK Innovation ETF LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Master Motives 

Tech Boom Cycle &  Central Banks GIGA Easing Stopped …

and

ARKK TECH MACHINE Stopped and Down to even Lower Zone

Bears New Hard Strike

even after

‘Big Short’ Michael Burry ” Waterloo ” Syndrome

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

First of All

All Time High Zone

Key Level 160 USD Zone – February 2021

( stricte 159.70 )

Perfect Test 3.618% Fib Ext

Activated

Monthly Bear Reversal Pattern – Ending Diagonal

on

TECH Innovation Ecstasy

and

Shot Down to Lower Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone

Test 38.3 – 44.7% Zone Fib Ret Big Bull Wave 95 – 100 USD Zone

with

Bull Contraction from Psychological Support 100 USD Zone to Higher 130 USD Zone

Test 56.4% Zone Fib Ret Last Bear Wave 130 USD Zone

and

Second Bear Strike to Lower  Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone

Second Bull Strike from 100 USD to 120 USD Zone

vs

No Back above Key Level 120 USD

Now still dominating

Bear New Hard Wave  from Higher Psychological Key Level 120 USD

with

Break Down Master Psychological Key Level 100 USD

Out of

First…Falling Ending Diagonal

Lower Edge – Key Level 110 USD

Second…Horizontal Range 110 USD vs 130 USD

with

Monthly November December Bear Candlesticks

Monthly January Bear Candlestick for Now

and

Active Test

Fib Ext 88.6% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top 77 USD Zone )

Fib Ret 56.4% Last Bull Wave from 30 USD Low 77 USD Zone )

Ahead of Test

First…

Fib Ext 100% First Bear Wave from 160 USD Top ( 70 USD Zone )

Fib Ret 68.5% Last Bull Wave from 30 USD Low (  73 USD Zone )

( Weekly Chart )

Second…

Lower Fib Ret Bull Big Wave 61.8% ( 70 USD )

( Monthly Chart )

ATA Long Term Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Active Range

70 – 80 USD 

and

Test Results of

FIB RETS  77 – 73 – 70 USD

FIB EXTS 77 – 70 USD

with

Research

New Candlesticks and Classic Pattern

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE…!!!

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOM – January

ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly Charts

5.03.2021 – EOD

24.03.2021 – EOD

16.04.2021 – EOD

6.05.2021 – EOD

16.07.2021 – EOD

16.08.2021 – EOD

31.08.2021 – EOM

5.10.2021 – EOD

27.10.2021 – EOD

ARKK Innovation ETF Monthly and Weekly Charts

3.12.2021 – EOW

14.01.2022 – EOW

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