AMAZON – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
2020
7.05.2020 – AMAZON – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extensions – May 2020…
20.06.2020 – AMAZON – Genius Cover Warning…
14.10.2020 – AMAZON – Prime Day…
2021
5.02.2021 – AMAZON – Bezos Left the Building…
31.07.2021 – AMAZON – from Disappointment Strike to Long Term Bear Warning…
with
ATA Following…
AMAZON
2017 – 2019
21.05.2017 – AMAZING AMAZON…
23.09.2017 – AMAZON – HOW MUCH IS ENOUGH..!!???
21.11.2017 – TECH ICARUS – FLIGHT NEAR THE MARKET SUN…
10.11.2018 – AMAZON dynamic return from COSMIC GATE…
20.07.2019 – AMAZON – still under COSMIC GATE…
27.07.2019 – AMAZON – Contraction from COSMIC GATE…
4.10.2019 – AMAZON – Bear Power Rising…
15.11.2019 – AMAZON – still away from Nasdaq Bull Rally…
2.12.2019 – AMAZON – Cyber Monday Mainstream Motive…
7.12.2019 – AMAZON – No Santa Claus Motive in Smart Money Play…
2020
11.02.2020 – AMAZON – “JEDI” Contract Strike Back…
15.06.2020 – AMAZON – Higher Cosmic Orbit must Wait…
30.08.2020 – AMAZON – Higher Cosmic Orbit Testing…
8.10.2020 – AMAZON – Back from E-commerce Stratosphere …
AMAZON Master Motives
Q3 Earnings
Q3 Results miss expectations as online sales slow after pandemic surge
Earnings drop nearly 50% and holiday forecast disappoints
Profit falls by half as logistics spending mounts
Warns of Billions in Additional Costs in Year-End Quarter
Amazon blames sales slowdown on supply chain chaos
Analysts Cut Price Targets On Amazon Following Q3 Miss
Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joseph Feldman maintained an Outperform and lowered the PT from $4,000 to $3,850
Piper Sandler analyst Thomas Champion lowered the PT to $3,875 from $3,904
Barclays analyst Ross Sandler lowered the PT to $3,800 from $4,130
JMP Securities analyst Ronald Josey lowered the PT to $4,000 from $4,500
Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak lowered the PT to $4,000 from $4,100
Mizuho analyst James Lee lowered the PT to $3,950 from $4,100
Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan lowered the price target to $4,100 from $4,250
vs
Credit Suisse analyst Stephen Ju raised the price target to $4,200 from $4,100
and
Nasdaq Bull New Dynamic Strike
Move above/in Master Psychological Key Levels
Nasdaq 100 > 15.800
Nasdaq Comp. to 15.500
Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Comp Fresh October ATH
with
Secular Motives
still Active
Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN – Major Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq
with
Present Bull Strike – Fresh October ATH S&P500 , DJIA and Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Comp.
on
Wall Street Earnings Season
but with
STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream
clear example
Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror
US DEBT Limit Risk
China Real Estate Evergrande Crisis Contagion RISK OFF WAVE
and
Warning Symptoms
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating
RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk
Rising Probability
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk
Latest Warning Symptoms & Bear Harder Contraction Rising Risk
BUBBLE WARNINGS
Peter Schiff Warns of Irrational Exuberance in the Stock Market Casino
Stanley Druckenmiller Warns Stock Market is in an ‘Absolute Raging Mania’
Volatility Storm Rising Risk
” Sugar High ” Over – Nomura Warning
US Economy Has Entered Slowdown Phase
Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun
Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror
Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis
Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime
Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts
Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.
“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market
BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell
Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession
” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash
Stagflationary Debt Crisis
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning
” Epic Bubble ”
“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning
” Mother of All Crashes ”
Rob Subbaraman Nomura
Cassandra Warning Model
Palantir Gold Bet Warning
Preparing for Future More Black Swans
BLACK SWANS
Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
Secular Motives
Wall Street Bull Wave – October Fresh ATH S&P500 and DJIA Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Comp.
Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street
Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by Main Central Banks – specially Fed
Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns
vs
Stagflation Rising Risk
Global Debt Rising
US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket
COVID Variants Waves
Now DELTA and DELTA Plus
Fed vs ECB Central Motive
Fed and ECB Mega ”Central Printing“
European QE > US QE
Fed No Taper and ECB No Taper for Now
Fed
Fed Minutes
Fed officials reviewed plans to begin reducing bond-buying stimulus program in November
Fed Meeting Hawkish Scenario
Taper Start November 2021 – Ending Mid-2022 , Signals Rate-Hike In 2022
Finally for Now
Inflation and Stagflation Fears
US Macro and Taper ” Ping Pong ”
Fed Time Game in ” Printing World ”
Fed Verbal Schizophrenia Continuation – from Dovish to Hawkish
ECB
ECB Verdict & Lagarde Conference Impact
Inflation Magic Word
Finally
ECB Dovish – FX Market Dovish
on
European QE Story
with Earlier
MORE EUROPEAN QE Scenario
ECB is studying a new bond-buying plan
New program would complement 2015 quantitative easing
ECB to Weigh QE Boost when Covid Bond Buys End
ECB Lagarde Verdict
more Dovish than Hawkish Strike
Not Eurozone Tapering vs Recalibrating PEPP ( Pandemic Stimulus )
and
ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Bull Strong Dynamic Strike Back
Reactivation Bull Rescue Defense Lower Support Zone Key Level 93.50
by
Back from Lower 93.30 Zone above 93.50
ATA Conclusion
Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Saved
Cancel Last Bearish Reversal Action
Now dominating
Bull Strong Move above Psychological Key Level 94.00
after Yesterday
First Bull Signals – Back above 93.30 and 93.50
Active Zone Key Levels 94.00 – 94.30-94.50
( EOW-EOM-October 94.10 )
First…ATA from 31.07.2021
” Quarterly
Bearish Warnings
Ending Diagonal Pattern Risk
Q3 Quarterly Shooting Star Candlestick
Monthly
Bearish Warnings
July Monthly Shooting Star Candlestick
Activated 2B Pattern
Pattern Inception
from M Pattern to 2B Pattern
Change
from M – Key Level 3550 USD
to 2B – Key Level 3550 USD “
Second…Present AMAZON Situation
AMAZON LONG TERM SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
The Hardest is to be Patient
Trend is Your Friend
Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante
Charts Worth more than 1000 Words
Charts have No Temperature
Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante
Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast
Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
Quarterly – Monthly View
First of All
June 2021 All Time High Key Level 3.800 USD Zone
( stricte 3.773,08 )
Mega Long Term Strong Bull Trend still Stopped
Active Warnings
Quarterly
Bearish Warnings
Ending Diagonal Pattern Risk
Upper Edge – Key Level 3800 USD
Lower Edge – Key Level 3180 USD
Q3 Quarterly Shooting Star Candlestick
Monthly
Bearish Warnings
Activated 2B Pattern
Key Level 3550 USD
with
September Monthly Bear Candlestick
October Monthly Bull Candlestick
Upper and Lower Shadows
after
Test
1.27% Fibonacci Extension
Younger Rising Wave
1.13 – 1.27% Fibonacci Extension
Older Rising Wave
Finally
Monthly Chart
Strong Warning – Rising Risk of End
Dynamic Bull Skyrocket
Long Term Bull Trend
with
Present Activated 2B Pattern
Quarterly Chart
First Bear Target
Secular Bull Trendline – Key Level 2500 USD Zone ( EOM – October )
ATA Investment Conclusion
Now Special Focus on
Present Master Psychological Key Levels 3000 3300 vs 3500 – 3800 USD
ATA Wall Street Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
N- TIMES
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOM – November and Finally…EOQ – Q4/2021
AMAZON Monthly Charts
6.05.2020 – EOD
12.06.2020 – EOW
19.06.2020 – EOW
28.08.2020 – EOD
7.10.2020 – EOD
AMAZON Quarterly & Monthly Charts
13.10.2020 – EOD
4.02.2021 – EOD
30.07.2021 – EOM
29.10.2021 – EOM
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 