AMAZON – Earnings Miss Pressure – Next Step in Long Term Bear Warning Perspective …

AMAZON –   Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

7.05.2020 –  AMAZON – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extensions – May 2020…

20.06.2020 –  AMAZON – Genius Cover Warning…

14.10.2020 – AMAZON – Prime Day…

2021

5.02.2021 – AMAZON – Bezos Left the Building…

31.07.2021 – AMAZON – from Disappointment Strike to Long Term Bear Warning…

with

ATA Following…

AMAZON

2017 – 2019 

21.05.2017 – AMAZING AMAZON…

23.09.2017 – AMAZON – HOW MUCH IS ENOUGH..!!???

21.11.2017  –  TECH ICARUS – FLIGHT NEAR THE MARKET SUN…

10.11.2018 –  AMAZON dynamic return from COSMIC GATE…

20.07.2019 –  AMAZON – still under COSMIC GATE…

27.07.2019 –  AMAZON – Contraction from COSMIC GATE…

4.10.2019 –  AMAZON – Bear Power Rising…

15.11.2019 –  AMAZON – still away from Nasdaq Bull Rally…

2.12.2019 –  AMAZON – Cyber Monday Mainstream Motive…

7.12.2019 – AMAZON – No Santa Claus Motive in Smart Money Play…

2020

11.02.2020 –  AMAZON – “JEDI” Contract Strike Back…

15.06.2020 –  AMAZON – Higher Cosmic Orbit must Wait…

30.08.2020 – AMAZON – Higher Cosmic Orbit Testing…

8.10.2020 – AMAZON – Back from E-commerce Stratosphere …

AMAZON  Master Motives

Q3 Earnings

Q3 Results miss expectations as online sales slow after pandemic surge

Earnings drop nearly 50% and holiday forecast disappoints

Profit falls by half as logistics spending mounts

Warns of Billions in Additional Costs in Year-End Quarter

Amazon blames sales slowdown on supply chain chaos

Analysts Cut Price Targets On Amazon Following Q3 Miss

Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joseph Feldman maintained an Outperform and lowered the PT from $4,000 to $3,850

Piper Sandler analyst Thomas Champion lowered the PT to $3,875 from $3,904

Barclays analyst Ross Sandler lowered the PT to $3,800 from $4,130

JMP Securities analyst Ronald Josey lowered the PT to $4,000 from $4,500

Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak lowered the PT to $4,000 from $4,100

Mizuho analyst James Lee lowered the PT to $3,950 from $4,100

Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan lowered the price target to $4,100 from $4,250 

vs

Credit Suisse analyst Stephen Ju raised the price target to $4,200 from $4,100

and

Nasdaq Bull New Dynamic Strike

Move above/in Master Psychological Key Levels

Nasdaq 100 > 15.800

Nasdaq Comp. to 15.500

Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Comp Fresh October ATH

with

Secular Motives

still Active

Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN –  Major Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq

with

Present Bull Strike – Fresh October ATH S&P500  DJIA and Nasdaq 100  Nasdaq Comp.

on

Wall Street Earnings Season

but with

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

clear example

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

US DEBT Limit Risk

China Real Estate Evergrande Crisis Contagion RISK OFF WAVE

and

Warning Symptoms

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk

Rising Probability

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk 

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Harder Contraction Rising Risk

BUBBLE WARNINGS

Peter Schiff Warns of Irrational Exuberance in the Stock Market Casino

Stanley Druckenmiller Warns Stock Market is in an ‘Absolute Raging Mania’

Volatility Storm Rising Risk

” Sugar High ” Over – Nomura Warning

US Economy Has Entered Slowdown Phase

Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis

Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime

Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts

Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.

“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market

BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell

Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession

” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

Palantir Gold Bet Warning

Preparing for Future More Black Swans

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Wave  –  October Fresh ATH S&P500 and DJIA Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Comp.

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

vs

Stagflation Rising Risk

Global Debt Rising

US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket

COVID Variants Waves

Now DELTA and DELTA Plus

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

Fed and ECB Mega ”Central Printing“

European QE > US QE

Fed No Taper and ECB No Taper for Now

Fed

Fed Minutes

Fed officials reviewed plans to begin reducing bond-buying stimulus program in November

Fed Meeting Hawkish Scenario

Taper Start November 2021 – Ending Mid-2022 , Signals Rate-Hike In 2022

Finally for Now

Inflation and Stagflation Fears

US Macro and Taper ” Ping Pong ”

Fed Time Game in ” Printing World ”

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia Continuation – from Dovish to Hawkish

ECB

ECB Verdict & Lagarde Conference Impact

Inflation Magic Word

Finally

ECB Dovish  –  FX Market Dovish

on

European QE Story

with Earlier

MORE EUROPEAN QE Scenario

ECB is studying a new bond-buying plan

New program would complement 2015 quantitative easing

ECB to Weigh QE Boost when Covid Bond Buys End

ECB Lagarde Verdict

more Dovish than Hawkish Strike

Not Eurozone Tapering vs Recalibrating PEPP ( Pandemic Stimulus )

and

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Strong Dynamic Strike Back

Reactivation Bull Rescue Defense Lower Support Zone Key Level 93.50 

by

Back from Lower 93.30 Zone above 93.50

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave  Saved

Cancel Last Bearish Reversal Action

Now dominating

Bull Strong Move above Psychological Key Level 94.00

after Yesterday

First Bull Signals – Back above 93.30 and 93.50

Active Zone Key Levels  94.00  – 94.30-94.50

( EOW-EOM-October 94.10 )

First…ATA  from  31.07.2021

” Quarterly

Bearish Warnings

Ending Diagonal Pattern Risk

Q3 Quarterly Shooting Star Candlestick

Monthly

Bearish Warnings

July Monthly Shooting Star Candlestick

Activated 2B Pattern

Pattern Inception

from Pattern to 2B Pattern

Change

from M – Key Level 3550 USD

to 2B – Key Level 3550 USD

Second…Present  AMAZON  Situation 

AMAZON LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

Quarterly – Monthly View 

First of All

June 2021 All Time High Key Level 3.800 USD Zone

( stricte 3.773,08 )

Mega Long Term Strong Bull Trend still Stopped

Active Warnings

Quarterly

Bearish Warnings

Ending Diagonal Pattern Risk

Upper Edge – Key Level 3800 USD

Lower Edge – Key Level 3180 USD

Q3 Quarterly Shooting Star Candlestick

Monthly

Bearish Warnings

Activated 2B Pattern

Key Level 3550 USD

with

September Monthly Bear Candlestick

October Monthly Bull Candlestick

Upper and Lower Shadows

after

Test

1.27%   Fibonacci Extension

Younger Rising Wave

1.13 – 1.27%   Fibonacci Extension

Older Rising Wave

Finally

Monthly Chart

Strong Warning – Rising Risk of End

Dynamic Bull  Skyrocket 

Long Term Bull Trend

with

Present Activated 2B Pattern

Quarterly Chart

First Bear Target

Secular Bull Trendline – Key Level 2500 USD Zone ( EOM – October )

ATA Investment Conclusion

Now Special Focus on

Present Master Psychological Key Levels 3000 3300 vs 3500 – 3800 USD 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N- TIMES

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – November  and  Finally…EOQ – Q4/2021 

AMAZON    Monthly  Charts

6.05.2020  – EOD

Amazon - M - Fib Ext

12.06.2020 – EOW

Amazon - M - Fib Ext

19.06.2020 – EOW 

Amazon - M - Fib Ext

28.08.2020 – EOD 

Amazon - M - Fib Ext

7.10.2020 – EOD

AMAZON Quarterly & Monthly Charts

13.10.2020 – EOD

4.02.2021 – EOD

30.07.2021 – EOM

29.10.2021 – EOM

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